Life Tables Grasshopper life table: (page 114 Bush) A B Life stage Number at start (n x) Egg Inst. 1 Inst. 2 Inst. 3 Inst. 4 Adult 44000 3513 2529 1922 1461 1300 C D E F G Proportion dying in stage (d x) Mortality rate in stage (q x) Proportion alive in stage (L x) Life expectancy (Ex) 0.057 0.044 0.033 0.030 0.014 0.010 0.004 0.030 0.240 0.240 0.110 0.051 0.038 0.031 2.352 1.937 1.390 0 0 Proportion surviving at start (lx) Eggs produced Column A: Age stages Column B: Actual number alive at the beginning of each stage (nx) Column C: Proportion of the initial number that is still alive at the beginning of the stage (lx) = 1.0 for the first interval, otherwise = nx/n0 Column D: Proportion that die during the stage (dx) = lx – lx+1 for stage Column E: Rate of mortality during the stage (qx) = proportion dying/proportion alive at beginning = dx/lx Column F: Average proportion alive during stage (Lx) = (lx + lx+1)/2 Column G: Life expectancy for individuals in that stage (Ex) = sum (Lx:Ln) /lx Questions: 1. When is the mortality rate highest? 2. Why is mortality rate = 1 for adults? 3. What does a life expectancy of 2.553 mean, in words? 4. Why is the life expectancy for adults (the last life stage) 0.5? 5. How can we estimate the fitness of the population? 6. Why are the stages chosen in 5 groups? 22617 Incorporating age specific birth rate Example: Consider a plant population whose members live up to 3 years of age. Each year, 3/4 of the population dies. Those who live to be 1 year old produce only 2 viable seeds between the ages of 1 and 2. Those who live to be 2 years of age produce 10 viable seeds. Age stage Age (x) Proportion units= years surviving at start (l x) 0-1 0 1-2 1 2-3 2 3-4 3 Birth rate (b x) units= indv/indv Birth rate in stageaccounting for mortality (l xbx) Ro = Age*previous column (x l x bx) Life expectancy (Ex) offspring/plant G= years bx = fecundity schedule = average number of offspring/parent within a particular age class R0 = net reproductive rate = reproductive potential of an individual during its entire lifetime, adjusted for mortality. (average fitness) k R0 l x bx x 0 G = generation time = average age of the parents of all the offspring produced by a single cohort. k G l b x x 0 x x R0 r = intrinsic growth rate: the finite rate of increase of a population (increases as a function of absolute time) r ln( R0 ) G Population Trajectory: If we start with 100 seeds, how will the population change through time? Generation 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 [0 to 1) 100 0 50 62.50 25.00 62.50 51.56 46.88 64.84 55.66 [1 to 2) 0 25 0 12.50 15.63 6.25 15.63 12.89 11.72 16.21 [2 to 3) 0 0 6.25 0.00 3.13 3.91 1.56 3.91 3.22 2.93 [3 to 4] 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ….need to carry out further…..then plot Total Population vs. Time total 100 25 56.25 75.00 43.75 72.66 68.75 63.67 79.79 74.80