AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 11 CHAPTER ELEVEN Answers to Self-Test Questions 1. a) 5 Swedish Krona (1/0.20); b) 1.4 cents or 0.014 dollars (1/70) 2. a) b) c) d) appreciate appreciate appreciate no change 3. a) Imports would rise as foreign products become relatively cheaper for Canadians. b) Exports would fall as Canadian products would become relatively more expensive for foreigners. 4. a), d) and e) would all cause the Canadian dollar to appreciate. 5. a) b) c) d) the Canadian dollar would depreciate the level of aggregate demand would decrease the level of GDP would decrease the price level would decrease 6. a) The Canadian dollar will appreciate. b) There will be a shortage of Canadian dollars on the world market because of the higher demand for Canadian dollars so that the Bank of Canada will need to increase the money supply in order to address this shortage. Doing this will, eventually, lead to inflation. 93 AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 11 7. Canada’s Balance of Payments Demand for Canadian Dollars Current Account Exports of goods & services 164 Supply of Canadian Dollars Import of goods & services 162 Balance of Trade Factor income paid 23 Net foreign factor income Transfers paid abroad 30 Transfers (net) Balance on Current Account Foreign factor income from abroad 8 Transfers received from abroad 26 Capital Account Foreign Investment in Canada 204 Canadian Investment abroad 186 Net foreign Investment Balance on Capital Account Overall Balance (current + capital) Official Settlements Account (Foreign reserves bought) Canadian dollars sold Total Balance (Current + Capital + Official Settlements) 1. False: it is worth 5 balboas 2. True 3. True 4. False: a demand for Canadian dollars 5. True 6. False: the effective price decreases and exports will increase 7. True 8. True 9. True 10. True b b b b b 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. d b d b d 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. a d e a c 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 94 a d c b c 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. +2 - 15 −4 −17 +18 +18 +1 ̶ 1 0 Answers to Study Guide Questions 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. Balance b c b a d AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 11 36A. Key Problem a) See the following table: Table 11.9 (completed) Value of Cdn $ in US $ Demand for Canadian Dollars Exports Factor Foreign of Goods income Investment & Earned in Canada Services Abroad $0.84 0.86 0.88 0.90 0.92 0.94 0.96 0.98 1.00 1.02 1.04 $120 119 118 117 116 115 114 113 112 111 110 $70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 $180 175 170 165 160 155 150 145 140 135 130 Total $370 364 358 352 346 340 334 328 322 316 310 Supply of Canadian Dollars Imports Foreign Canadian of Goods factor Investment & income Abroad Services Paid Abroad $80 $67 $146 83 67 148 86 67 150 89 67 152 92 67 154 95 67 156 98 67 158 101 67 160 104 67 162 107 67 164 110 67 166 b) Canadian dollar: $0.98 US c) balance of trade: + $12 (Exports of $113 – imports of $101) d) current account balance: + $15 ($183 – $168) e) capital account balance: – $15 ($145 – $160) f) total balance of payments: zero ($ 328 = 328) g) balance of trade: + $16 ($114 – 98) h) current account balance: + $19 ($184 – $165) i) capital account balance: – $8 ($150 – $158) j) overalll balance of payments: + $11 ($334 – $323) k) official settlements of account balance: – $11 (to offset the + $11 in j) 37A. a) 30 euros (42/1.40) b) 20 pounds (42/2.10) 38A. a) $1.33 Cdn (1/0.75) b) $0.0125 Cdn.(1/80) c) 0.625 euros (1/1.6) 39A. a) The Canadian businesswoman will be selling Canadian dollars to buy Japanese yen b) The Russian tourist will be buying dollars to spend in Cape Breton. c) The American corporation will be buying Canadian dollars in order to purchase the building in Saskatoon. 95 Total $293 298 303 308 313 318 323 328 333 338 343 AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 11 d) The Canadian bank will be selling Canadian dollars to buy American dollars to expand its operations in the US. 40A. a) hurt (It will cost him more to buy Canadian dollars with his euros) b) benefit (His Canadian dollars will now buy him more American dollars. c) hurt (Their British pounds will now buy fewer Canadian dollars.) d) hurt (The American dollars that she earns will be worth less where she lives in Canada). 41A. a) appreciate (Mexican investors will want to put their money in Canada where they can earn a higher return) b) depreciate (Canadians will be getting rid of Canadian dollars and buying American dollars.) c) appreciate (The Mexican government will be buying Canadian dollars in order to buy the equipment.) d) appreciate (Because the crops will be more expensive, Canadians will be buying less and purchasing fewer Mexican pesos.) 42A. Demand for Canadian Dollars Current Account Exports of goods & services 157 Foreign factor income from abroad 11 Transfers received from abroad Capital Account Foreign Investment in Canada 90 Official Settlements Account (Foreign reserves bought) Supply of Canadian Dollars Import of goods & services 153 Balance of Trade Factor income paid 29 Net foreign factor income Transfers paid abroad Transfers (net) Balance on Current Account Canadian Investment abroad 68 Net foreign Investment Balance on Capital Account Overall Balance (current + capital) Canadian dollars sold Total Balance (Current + Capital + Official Settlements) a) + $4; Balance +4 −18 +4 −10 +22 +22 + 12 ̶ 12 0 b) – 10; c) + 22; d) surplus of 12 43A. The supply of Canadian dollars comes from Canadians who exchange them in order to obtain foreign currencies. 96 AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 11 44A. Arbitrage is the practice of buying a commodity in a market where it is comparatively cheap and re-selling in a second market where it is expensive. 5A. a) 0.71 euros; 60 yen; 0.72 US$ In box 1, 2000 euros were exchanged for $2800 Canadian 1 $Canadian = 2000/2800 In box 2, 3000 yen were exchanged for $50 Canadian 1 $Canadian = 3000/50 In box 3, $3600 U.S. were exchanged for $5000 Canadian 1 $Canadian = 3600/5000 46A. Many years of a capital account surplus means a significant inflow of financial capital from foreign sources. Dividends and interest payments will then begin to flow back to those foreign sources over many more years. Since these latter payments show up in the current account as an outflow, it is unlikely that any balance of trade surplus will be sufficient to offset them. The result is many years of current account deficits. 47A. Exchange rate: up because the demand for the Canadian dollars will be higher; GDP: up; because the demand for Canadian exports will increase Unemployment: down because the increase in exports will boost both GDP and employment. 48A. a) $60B b) $59.4B US (i.e. $60B x 0.99) c) See figure below: Figure 11.10 (completed) 1.05 Price of Canadian dollars in US 1.03 dollars S1 1.01 0.99 D2 0.97 D1 0.95 0 20 40 60 80 100 Quantity of Canadian dollars (billions) 97 120 AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 11 c) quantity of Canadian $ exchanged: $80B (The central bank would have to make this amount available since only $60 is supplied by the market.) d) $70B (The new equilibrium.) e) $70B US (i.e. $70B x 1.00) 49A If the Canadian dollar appreciates then the effective price of Canadian products will also rise. This is because anyone who wants to buy Canadian dollars in order to buy our products (or assets) will now pay more in terms of foreign currencies. (For them, it is effectively the same as if the prices of the products themselves had increased.) As a result, the volume of Canadian exports will decrease. 50A. A flexible (or floating) exchange rate is one where there is no government intervention in its determination; the exchange rate is determined solely by the market, i.e. through the forces of supply and demand. A fixed exchange rate, on the contrary, is one whose value is fixed by the government in terms of the currency of another country. (Though the rate may initially be close to the long-term market value.) 51A. This question involves the classic distinction between an increase in demand for the Canadian dollar which is, graphically, a rightward shift in the demand curve compared to a decrease in the quantity demanded which is, graphically, a movement up along the demand curve. 52A. If the demand for the currency increases---say because of increased exports---then foreign money will flow into the country. In order to defend the fixed exchange rate, the country’s central bank will have to buy this foreign currency with domestic currency and this will increase the country’s money supply. While this will eventually be inflationary, with a fixed exchange rate there is nothing that can be done with monetary policy to change the situation. 53A. a) Real Exchange Rate = 0.80 (32 000/18 000 x 0.45) b) Canada The SUV sells for $32 000 in Canada and for $40 000 (18 000 pounds/0.45) in the United Kingdom. 54A. a) 1 Yuan = $0.25 Canadian (2.50/10.00); 1 Singapore $ = $0.71 Canadian (2.50/3.50); 1 Hong Kong $ = $0.125 Canadian. (2.50/20.00) b) Yuan is undervalued. (Its market value is less than the “real” Big Mac value.) Singapore dollar is overvalued. (Its market value isgreater than the “real” Big Mac value.) Honk Kong dollar is overvalued. (Its market value isgreater than the “real” Big Mac value.) 98 AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 11 c) China: increase (because their currency is undervalued which means their products are cheaper for Canadians); Singapore: decrease (because their currency is overvalued which means their products are more expensive for Canadians); Hong Kong: decrease (because their currency is overvalued which means their products are more expensive for Canadians); 55A. The purchasing power parity theory suggests that in the long-run all currencies will have equal purchasing power, i.e. that $100 in Canada will afford you exactly the same bundle of goods as will the equivalent amount of Yen in Japan or the equivalent amount of Euros in Europe. 99 AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 11 100