SEATTLE UNIVERSITY Albers School of Business and Economics ECON 260-01 – Business Statistics Fall Quarter, 2005 Section –01, MW, 7:45 a.m.-9:45 a.m., Pigott 200 C. Fred DeKay, Ph.D. Office Hours: Pigott 521 MTW, 10:00-12:00 206-296-5709, dekay@seattleu.edu and by appointment Angel website: Power Point presentations, data sets and examples of quizzes and exams can be found here: http://angel.seattleu.edu Content and objectives Data drive decisions. Business Statistics introduces students to basic statistical procedures, concepts and computer applications used in the business world to make decisions when the outcomes of actions are uncertain. This course covers descriptive statistics, probability and statistical inference so that students can be intelligent consumers of numerical information. The topics include graphical, tabular and numerical methods of summarizing data, fundamental concepts of probability, discrete and continuous probability functions, sampling and sampling distributions, interval estimation, and hypothesis testing. Emphasis will be placed on applying statistical techniques to making decisions in business with the help of Microsoft Excel. Course Prerequisites: MATH 130 or equivalent, CSSE 103 or equivalent. Text: Anderson, Sweeney and Williams, Essentials of Statistics for Business and Economics, 4th edition, (Thompson-South-Western), 2006. Optional: Study Guide. Grading 6 quizzes, 15 minutes 2 Cases 2 midterm exams, 1 hr. Final exam Extra credit activity 25 points each; short essay, problems, multiple choice 50 points each 100 points each; short essay, problems, multiple choice 175 points; short essay, problems, multiple choice Homework will not be graded, but must be handed in, in order to be eligible to take the midterm exams. As in learning a foreign language, doing homework in statistics is essential to learning. The lowest one of the 6 quizzes will be dropped from your score. Instructor's personal evaluation of progress and performance, partially based on homework, may affect grade. Quizzes may not be made up without prior permission from instructor. Missed quizzes will be assigned a zero score. One make up midterm exam will be scheduled for the hour following the final exam. Grade scale A 94-100% C+ 76-79% D- 55-57% A90-93% C 69-75% F Below 55% B+ 87-89% C65-68% B 83-86% D+ 62-64% B80-82% D 58-61% ECON260 – Business Statistics Fall Quarter, 2005 All dates are subject to change. Students are responsible for all changes announced in class. Reading assignments should be completed before the day assigned. Homework assignments are due on the day they appear, usually on Wednesdays. Tests will normally be on Wednesdays. WEEK 1: 9/22 Introduction: Populations and Samples: Ethical issues in statistics; using Excel Introduction, Team formation, Case introduction. Homework Assignment: In Class: Name, Class, Major, Telephone number, e-mail address. Visit Angel website: angel.seattleu.edu Ch. 1 & 2: Descriptive Statistics: Central Tendency and Variation WEEK 2: 9/26-28 Reading: ASW, Ch. 1, Ch. 2 Ch. 1 & 2: Descriptive Statistics: Central Tendency and Variation; Reading: ASW, Ch. 1, Ch. 2; 2.1, 2.2, 2.4 and Appendix 2.2, Excel Homework Assignment #1 : Chapter 1: 2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 14, 22 Chapter 2: 4, 15, 20, 33 Excel training; ADMIN 224 at 8:45 a.m. Ch 3: Descriptive Statistics: Numerical Methods Reading: ASW: Ch. 3; 3.1, 3.2, 3.4, 3.5 and Appendix 3.2 Homework Assignment due: 8, 9, 18, 20, 26, 32, 34, 41, 48,50 Quiz 1: Chapters 1, 2 Ch. 4: Introduction to Probability Reading: ASW, Chapter 4 WEEK 3: 10/3-5 Ch. 4 Homework Assignment Due: 6, 10, 12, 18, 20, 24, 28, 32, 34, 37, 55, 56 Case 1 analysis due Ch. 5 Probability Distributions: Discrete Random Variables (5.1-5.4) Reading: ASW, Chapter 5 Quiz 2: Chapters 3, 4 WEEK 4: 10/10-12 Ch. 5 Hmwrk Assignment Due: 4, 6, 10, 12, 18, 20, 22, 27, 28, 32, 34, 36, 56, 58 Quiz 3: Chapter 5 Ch. 6 Continuous Probability Distributions: (6.1-6.2) The Uniform Probability Distribution **The Normal Probability Distribution** Reading: ASW Chapter 6 Homework Assignment Due: 3, 6, 10, 15, 18, 20, 22, 42, 46 WEEK 5: 10/17-19 Ch. 6 Continuous Probability Distributions: (6.1-6.2) Homework Assignment Due: 3, 6, 10, 15, 18, 20, 22, 42, 46 Review for Midterm Ch. 7 Sampling Distributions/ Central Limit Theorem, Appendix 7.2 Reading: ASW Chapter 7 Midterm exam # 1: one hour Chapters 1-6 WEEK 6: 10/24-26 Ch. 7 Sampling Distributions/ Central Limit Theorem, Appendix 7.2 Reading: ASW Chapter 7 Homework Assignment: 10, 13, 16, 18, 22, 23, 26, 28, 30, 32, 34, 38, 40 Ch 8: Confidence Intervals: σ known/ σ unknown Reading: ASW Chapter 8, Appendix 8.2 Quiz 4: Chapter 7 WEEK 7: 10/31-11/2 Ch 8: Confidence Intervals: σ known/ σ unknown Reading: ASW Chapter 8, Appendix 8.2 The t Probability Distribution; Sample Sizes /Population Proportions/ Finite Populations/ Homework Assignment: 2, 5, 6, 10, 14, 15, 16, 26, 28, 35, 38, 40, 42 Quiz 5: Chapter 8 Excel training; ADMIN 224 at 8:45 a.m. WEEK 8: 11/7-9 Ch. 9: Hypothesis Testing: (9.1-9.7) Reading: ASW Chapter 9, Appendix 9.2 Hypothesis Testing: σ known/ σ unkown Homework Assignment: 2, 4, 6, 8, 14, 16, 18, 20, 23, 27, 32, 33, 44, 48, 50, 56, 58 WEEK 9: 11/14-16 Ch 10: Statistical Inferences based on two samples (10.1, 10.2, 10.4, 10.5) Reading: ASW Chapter 10, 10.1, 10.2 10.4 Sampling distributions and hypothesis testing, Appendix 10.2 Testing the equality of Multiple means: ANOVA and the F distribution Homework Assignment: 4, 8, 16, 18 Midterm exam # 2: one hour Chapters 7-9, date to be announced. WEEK 10: 11/21-23 Quiz 6 Chapter 10: ANOVA 11/23 Thanksgiving Break WEEK 11: 11/28-30 Ch. 11 Differences between proportions based on two or more samples; Non-parametric tests: Chi-square distribution: Tests for Independence Homework Assignment: 4, 8, 12, 16, 18, 26 WEEK 12: 12/05-08 Case 2 write up due. Case discussion, Review session Final Examinations: Thursday, December 8, 2005, 8:00 to 9:50 a.m. Please arrange your travel schedule to accommodate this exam date. This is a tentative outline. All dates and topics are subject to changes announced in class. Academic Honesty Seattle University is committed to the principle that academic honesty and integrity are important values in the educational process. Academic dishonesty in any form is a serious offense against the academic community. Acts of academic dishonesty will be addressed according to the Seattle University Academic Honesty Policy. The policy can be found at the address below: http://www.seattleu.edu/regis/Policies/Policy_2004-01.htm If you are not sure whether a particular action is acceptable according to the Academic Honesty Policy, you should check with your instructor before engaging in it. Student Information: ECON 260 Fall 2005 Name: _________________________________ Phone number___________________________ Preferred E-mail_________________________ Employer ________________________ Class level: Major________________________________ Prior Math/Econ Classes ___________________________________________________ A surprising fact about yourself: □ Freshman □ Sophomore □ Junior □ Senior □ OTHER ________________________________________________________ ________________________________________________________________________ Interviewed: Name__________________________________ City of Birth _________________________________________ Favorite Leisure activities _______________________________ Statistics Topics of Interest: ____________________________________________________