OpenOil Online Curriculum: Companies and Markets: IOCs and NOCs This module looks at the power struggle between International Oil Companies (IOCs) and National Oil Companies (NOCs), seeing how the balance of power and control of the world's oil reserves has changed from being on the side of International Oil Companies in the 1950s, to NOCs in recent years. Source: Article: The Seven Sisters Providing a historical perspective to the topic, this article looks at the initial domination by International Oil Companies, through the Seven Sisters, a term first used in the1950s to describe the then-dominant international oil companies. Source: Article: The World's Biggest Oil Companies, by Christopher Helman, 07.09.10 in Forbes Magazine This article looks at the differences between the International Oil Companies, which are commonly referred to as “Big Oil”, and the National Oil Companies, which have now overtaken the IOCs by a long way in terms of bookable oil reserves. We see how recent Public Relations disasters, such as the Gulf of Mexico BP oil spill, can be beneficial for NOCs, as well rumours that NOCs are looking to expand and buy into IOCs. Source: Article: National Oil Companies The Economist, Aug 10th 2006 Taken from The Economist, this article takes a closer look at the way that NOCs manage their huge oil reserves, concluding that their management styles and structures are inefficient and would be better off being privatized. It considers the influence of bureaucrats within NOCs as negatively impacting the efficiency of their companies. Source: Article: The Top 5 Oil Super Majors, from OilVoice, August 2011 This article takes a closer look at the top 5 oil super majors, all of which are stateowned oil companies: Saudi Arabian Oil Company (Saudi Aramco), National Iranian Oil Company, Qatar Petroleum, Iraq National Oil Company, and Petroleos de Venezuela (PdVSA). Source: Graph: World's Largest Oil and Gas Companies Basic statistical analysis skills are practised here with a graph of the World's Largest Oil and Gas Companies in terms of their bookable reserves. The large difference between the reserves of IOCs and those of the largest state-owned oil companies is clearly highlighted in the graph. OpenOil Online Curriculum: Companies and Markets: IOCs and NOCs OpenOil Online Curriculum: Companies and Markets: International and National Oil Companies Source: The Seven Sisters article The "Seven Sisters" was a term coined in the 1950s by businessman Enrico Mattei, the then head of the Italian state oil company Eni, to describe the seven oil companies which formed the "Consortium for Iran" and dominated the global petroleum industry from the mid-1940s to the 1970s. The group comprised Standard Oil of New Jersey and Standard Oil Company of New York (now ExxonMobil); Standard Oil of California, Gulf Oil and Texaco (now Chevron); Royal Dutch Shell; and Anglo-Persian Oil Company (now BP). In 1973 the members of the Seven Sisters controlled 85% of the world's petroleum reserves but in recent decades the dominance of them and their successor companies has been challenged by the increasing influence of the OPEC cartel and of state-owned oil companies in emerging-market economies. Composition and history In 1951 Iran nationalised its oil industry, then controlled by the Anglo-Iranian Oil Company (now BP), and Iranian oil was subjected to an international embargo. In an effort to bring Iranian oil production back to international markets, the U.S. State Department suggested the creation of a "Consortium" of major oil companies. The "Consortium for Iran" was subsequently formed by the following companies: Anglo-Persian Oil Company (United Kingdom). This subsequently became AngloIranian Oil Company and then British Petroleum. Following the acquisition of Amoco (which in turn was formerly Standard Oil of Indiana) and Atlantic Richfield it shortened its name to BP in 2000. Gulf Oil (United States) In 1985 most of Gulf was acquired by Chevron, with smaller parts acquired by BP and Cumberland Farms. A network of service stations in the northeastern United States still bears the Gulf name. Royal Dutch Shell (Netherlands/United Kingdom) Standard Oil of California ("Socal") (United States) This subsequently became Chevron. Standard Oil of New Jersey (Esso) (United States) This subsequently became Exxon, which renamed itself ExxonMobil following the acquisition of Mobil in 1999. Standard Oil Co. of New York ("Socony") (United States) This subsequently became Mobil, which was acquired by Exxon in 1999. Texaco (United States). This was acquired by Chevron in 2001. The head of the Italian state oil company, Enrico Mattei sought membership for the Italian oil company AGIP, but was rejected by what he dubbed the "Seven Sisters" to describe the Anglo-Saxon companies that controlled the Middle East’s oil production after World War II. OpenOil Online Curriculum: Companies and Markets: IOCs and NOCs Being well-organized and able to negotiate as a cartel, the Seven Sisters were initially able to exert considerable power over Third World oil producers. In recent decades the dominance of the Seven Sisters and their successor companies has been challenged by the increasing influence of the OPEC cartel (formed in 1960), OECD countries' share of world oil production declining, and the emergence of powerful state-owned oil companies in emergingmarket economies. As of 2010, the surviving companies from the Seven Sisters are BP, Chevron, ExxonMobil and Royal Dutch Shell, which form four members of the "supermajors" group. Source: Forbes Magazine, “The World’s Biggest Oil Companies, by Christopher Helman, 07/09/10 Publicly traded giants like Royal Dutch Shell, Chevron, ConocoPhillips and Total may be Big Oil, but they are not Biggest Oil. Houston -- What springs to mind when you think of the World's Biggest Oil Companies? BP probably, because these days you couldn't get BP out of your head if you tried. ExxonMobil, definitely, because for so many years before the Deepwater Horizon blowout Exxon was (rightly or wrongly) the embodiment of Big Oil. Yet you might be surprised that in a list of the top 10 oil producers, none of the other usual suspects made the cut. Publicly traded giants like Royal Dutch Shell, Chevron, ConocoPhillips and Total may be Big Oil, but they are not Biggest Oil. That moniker goes to the state-owned national oil companies, NOCs for short, that sit on 77% of the world's oil--accumulations so big they make even Exxon's 12 billion barrels of proven oil reserves look meager. The biggest by far is Saudi Aramco, with the ability to pump 12.5 million bpd and boasting more than 260 billion barrels of proven reserves, much of it easily recovered for less than $3 per barrel. Aramco doesn't venture outside its borders; it doesn't need to. But there are other breeds of NOCs, like China's trio of CNPC, Cnooc and Sinopec that actively reach out to buy assets around the globe, and have already been named as eager acquirers of BP assets. In the wake of BP's oil spill, it's worth thinking about the differences between Big Oil and Biggest Oil. Ironically, in as much as the spill hurts the publicly traded international oil companies with deepwater prospects in the gulf, it helps many of the NOCs. How? First, every barrel of oil not pulled out of the U.S. deepwater is one more barrel of market share (and profits) for OPEC--which has dialed back its output since the boom times a couple years ago. Second, drillers have already been scared out of the Gulf of Mexico, by the post-spill moratorium and the realization that drilling there will be more costly and complicated. Once these big deepwater rigs have left, it will be years before they return. That is good news for NOCs like Angola's Sonangol (1.8 million bpd gross), India's ONGC (550,000 bpd) and OpenOil Online Curriculum: Companies and Markets: IOCs and NOCs Brazil's Petrobras (1.9 million bpd), which have promising deepwater prospects they would like to see developed. Third--and most interesting to us--with a wounded BP looking around for billions in assets it can sell to cover its spill bills, some NOCs are already circling the carcass looking for tasty morsels to acquire. On July 7 BP Chief Executive Tony Hayward visited the crown prince of Abu Dhabi to talk about a possible investment. Days earlier came the news that Libya and Kuwait were thinking of buying slugs of BP stock. The NOCs of Abu Dhabi and Kuwait each control roughly 100 billion barrels of reserves. Libya's NOC has contracted BP to drill offshore. Discussions have been hot and heavy with China's Cnooc, named in early July as likely to pay $9 billion for BP's 60% stake in Argentinian outfit Pan-American Energy. Cnooc's big brother CNPC is BP's partner in redeveloping Iraq's Rumaila field. Then there's Russia. BP Chief Executive Tony Hayward met with Russia's energy minister, Igor Sechin, in late June. BP has already borrowed $2 billion against its 1.4% stake in Russia's state-controlled Rosneft, and might be looking for buyers for part of its 50% stake in privately owned Russian oil giant TNK-BP. The Kremlin-controlled Gazprom has also shown interest in BP's 25% stake in the Shah Deniz natural gas field in Azerbaijan--though Hayward on July 6 assured the Azeri state oil company Socar that BP was dedicated to sticking around. At this point there's little telling what BP will end up selling and to whom. Charley Maxwell, long-time oil analyst at Weeden & Co. thinks BP should take this opportunity to shed nearly all of its North American and European assets--especially big fields like Alaska's Prudeau Bay and in the U.K.'s North Sea that are well past their peak output and in markets with declining gasoline demand. BP could get in good with a vital growth partner by selling some of those assets to China's Cnooc. The smallest of China's three NOCs (after CNPC and Sinopec) has been looking for a way to gain entry to the U.S. market ever since the politically charged failure of its 2004 bid for Unocal. It would welcome the chance to pick up U.S. deepwater stakes. Could the U.S. trust the Chinese to not have a deepwater blowout of their own? After BP's blowout Cnooc announced it would upgrade the blowout preventers on all its deepwater rigs. After settling oil spill liabilities, BP should reinvest what's left in markets with ramping oil demand, like Asia and India, says Maxwell. "Even if the Macondo spill never occurred they should give up on Europe," he says. "It's hard to see petroleum demand growth in Europe ever again." Thus, BP has good incentive to sell older assets to NOCs that could grease BP's future investment. Even among NOCs there are haves and have nots. Cnooc, backed by China's horde of dollars, can afford whatever is politically feasible to buy. Mexico's Pemex, on the other hand, would be an ideal buyer of some deepwater stakes, but is too cash-strapped to consider it. In recent years Pemex has suffered the precipitous decline of its mighty Cantarell offshore megafield. OpenOil Online Curriculum: Companies and Markets: IOCs and NOCs Though its 3.9 million bpd of production still ranks it just below Iran in output, Pemex' revenues support the Mexican government, leaving scant cash for new investment in Mexico's own deepwater prospects. Kenneth Medlock, oil scholar at Rice University's Baker Institute, says acquiring smaller, non-operating stakes in some of BP's deepwater projects could give Pemex much needed experience that it could someday use in its own fields. It could also pave the way for BP to someday enter Mexico under contract with Pemex. All of this talk of national oil companies leads to the question: Should the U.S. have one? And if it did, how big would it be relative to those OPEC giants? In the weeks after the Deepwater Horizon exploded some political observers, like former Clinton administration Secretary of Labor Robert Reich, suggested that President Obama should move to nationalize BP's U.S. operations as collateral for the debt it owes America. That would have, in effect, created America's own national oil company. BP's subsequent $20 billion escrow fund kowtow removed any pressure for nationalization. But given the president's proclivities, it would wouldn't seem that far fetched if his reorganization of the Minerals Management Service into separate divisions eventually included the creation of a federal entity that directed the development of federally owned oil and gas acreage rather than just leasing it and collecting royalties. How big? Well the U.S. already produces more than 8 million barrels of oil a day, trailing only Saudi Arabia and Russia in output. A report released earlier this year by the National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners and conducted by Science Applications International Corp. (SAIC) finds that federally owned lands and waters probably hold more than 2,000 trillion cubic feet of natural gas and 229 billion barrels of oil. If proved out, that could be more oil than any nation but Saudi Arabia. Though the feds already control General Motors, A.I.G., Fannie Mae ( FNM - news - people ) and Freddie Mac ( FRE - news - people ), those companies already have more-or-less capable managers in place. It would be a nightmare to put novice bureaucrats in charge of a new U.S. National Oil Company. A better alternative that might be politically palatable when the next oil price spike comes: Open more easily drillable federal lands to oil exploration but at higher rates than the one-sixth royalty currently charged. In this, the U.S. can take some lessons from the likes of the National Oil Company of Libya, where in some fields Occidental Petroleum ( OXY - news - people ) and Marathon Oil ( MRO - news - people ) are happy to keep 5 out of every 100 barrels they produce. Terms like that are why the future of the industry belongs to Biggest Oil. Source: The Economist, “National Oil Companies”, Aug 10th 2006 OpenOil Online Curriculum: Companies and Markets: IOCs and NOCs WHEN activists, journalists and others speak of “Big Oil”, you know exactly what they mean: companies such as Exxon Mobil, Chevron, BP and Royal Dutch Shell. These titans have been making lots of money for their shareholders; their bosses enjoy vast pay packets; and their actions affect us all. BP's decision to shut down Prudhoe Bay, America's biggest oilfield, to repair leaking pipes is a case in point, outraging many and pushing petrol prices even higher. Yet Big Oil is pretty small next to the industry's true giants: the national oil companies (NOCs) owned or controlled by the governments of oil-rich countries, which manage over 90% of the world's oil, depending on how you count. Of the 20 biggest oil firms, in terms of reserves of oil and gas, 16 are NOCs. Saudi Aramco, the biggest, has more than ten times the reserves that Exxon does. Those with misgivings about oil—that its price is too high, that reserves are running out, that it damages the environment, that it is more a curse than an asset for countries that produce it—must look to NOCs for reassurance. These companies are certainly sitting on a reassuring amount of oil. Saudi Aramco's proved reserves alone could keep the world supplied for several decades. But it is only exploiting ten of its 80 or so fields, so will be able to pump at the present rate for about 70 years even if it never discovers another drop of oil. In fact, Aramco and other NOCs are likely to find plenty more if they look, since their territory has not been very thoroughly explored. Only 2,000 wildcat wells have ever been dug in the countries around the Gulf, according to Leonardo Maugeri, an Italian oilman, compared with more than 1m wells in the United States. But if the amount of oil at state oil companies' disposal is not much of a worry, the way they manage it certainly is. Few of the princes, politicians and strongmen who wield ultimate authority over these firms can resist the urge to meddle. At best, that leads to the sort of inefficiencies found at most state-owned firms: overstaffing, underinvestment and so on. At worst, the business of pumping and selling oil is entirely subsumed by politics, as in the case of Petróleos de Venezuela, one of the biggest NOCs. In either case, NOCs produce less oil, more expensively, than they should. The people's oil, not the bureaucrats' That is bad for consumers, of course, in so far as it pushes up the price of oil. But it is also bad for oil-producing countries, which could be squeezing more profit from each barrel if their NOCs were more efficient. Moreover, there are several NOCs not bound by OPEC quotas, such as Mexico's Pemex and Russia's Rosneft, which would love to boost production to take advantage of the current high price, but are struggling to do so. The easiest way to improve state oil firms' performance would be to privatise them. The authorities, no longer torn between nurturing their NOCs and milking them for all they are worth, could concentrate on maximising their oil revenue through taxes and royalties. Failing that, governments could instil a little market discipline by subjecting their NOCs to competition, either by encouraging them to expand abroad or by allowing foreign firms some access to their home territory. At least, they should grant NOCs operational autonomy, and allow them to retain and invest some portion of their earnings. The less bureaucrats interfere, after all, the more money their oil companies will generate for them to spend. OpenOil Online Curriculum: Companies and Markets: IOCs and NOCs Source: OilVoice, “The Top 5 Oil Super Majors”, August 2011 Some of the biggest economies in the world hinge on revenues generated by oil and gas companies. The industry also dictates our growing dependency on energy. Some of the biggest oil companies in the world even underpin the political and socio-economic dynamics within a country and its place and role on the world stage. This begs the question, what is it about these companies that tilts the power equation in their favour? Is it the money play? Their monopoly over a resource that has seeped in to every aspect of our life? The employment opportunities these companies offer, the almost gamble like nature that lures many a player into raising, winning or losing stakes. We would say it's all of the above. This week, OilVoice lists the top five oil super majors and interestingly they all happen to be national oil companies. 1. Saudi Arabian Oil Company (Saudi Aramco) Leading the oil giants of the world is Saudi Aramco, a company run by Saudi Arabian government. The company owns and operates one fifth of the world's total oil reserves that is roughly equivalent to 260 billion barrels of oil. Its estimated net production for the year 2010 was 2.887 billion barrels of oil, which amounts to 7.91 million barrels of oil per day. If the figures aren't awe inspiring enough, the company's natural gas annual output is pegged at 9.388 billions of standard cubic feet per day (2010). The company employs 55,000 workers and controls and manages 112 oil and gas fields in Saudi Arabia (2010). The initial foundation of the company was laid as far back as the 1930's when oil exploration was rapidly gaining momentum in the Gulf triggered by oil finds in the neighbouring states Persia, Iraq and Bahrain. It was an American company called the Standard Oil Company of California that first saw promise in the land and signed the first concession. The company then went from strength to strength bolstered by the resource rich fields and Saudis slowly replacing the board and taking over the reins completely. Today, Saudi Aramco supplies more than 10% of global oil demand and owns and operates oil refineries. It is positioned strongly in the global market and has monopolised the domestic space. It has the kingdom's best fleet of oil tankers and its investments are in many countries including China, Japan, South Korea and the US. 2. National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC) The history of NIOC can be traced back to 28 May 1901, when the first concession was signed by Liam Knox D'arcy and Mozaffarol din- Shah of Qajar for exploration and production of oil across Iran. However, the establishment of National Iranian Oil Company, a nationalised oil giant was realised in the year 1951 marked by the hoisting of the Iranian flag on the company's Khorramshahr headquarters. Positioned strategically in one of the world's largest oil and natural gas reserves, the NIOC fields hold an estimated 137 billion barrels of liquid hydrocarbons and 29 trillion cubic feet of natural gas. The company is comprised of 17 production companies, eight technical service companies, seven managements, and five organisational units. OpenOil Online Curriculum: Companies and Markets: IOCs and NOCs Its production capacity of over 4 million barrels of crude oil per day helps sustain the supply for an extensive international market it has created for itself. It was anticipated that the company's production ratio would slip to 12% in the next 20 years. However, in the year ending March 2008, with the discovery and development of five new oil fields the company ramped up its in place reserves by 2,840 million barrels of crude oil, 1,045 billion cubic meters of gas and 898 million barrels of NGL. Today the National Iranian Oil Company stands as Iran oil industry's watch dog with the responsibility of drafting policies and regulations impacting domestic markets and world trade alike. The company has created a place for itself in playing a vital role in the political dynamics of modern day industrialised nations. 3. Qatar Petroleum Qatar Petroleum is the third largest oil firm in the world. It is state owned and is led by the country's Ministry of Energy and Industry. As a result, the company has political clout and the advantage of harnessing the nation's most precious and abundant resource - oil. The company contributes to 60% of Qatar's GDP and its operations are branched in to exploration, production, refining, transport and storage for crude oil, natural gas and liquefied natural gas (LNG). The company's onshore crude oil reserves are 1,842 million barrels and onshore gas reserves are approximately 8 trillion cu. ft, making it the third largest in the world in terms of reserves in place. QP's Dukhan oil field alone produces 335,000 barrels per day. The company's reach to the international markets is extensive with exports extending to North America, Asia and Europe, thanks to its partnerships with oil conglomerates like ExxonMobil, Total and Occidental. The initial concessions in Qatar were granted to British and US oil giants, it wasn't until 1973 that the government initiated a progressive take over of stakes in onshore concessions of Qatar Petroleum Company and interest in offshore concessions of Shell Company Qatar. Qatar Petroleum as a unified state run company emerged in the year 1974 after the government nationalised the oil sector. 4. Iraq National Oil Company (INOC) Iraq National Oil Company (INOC) is a group of regional units linked together that look into exploration, production, refining, storage and transport of oil. The basis for the formation of this company was Iraq Petroleum Company, which was made to transfer its concessions to the Iraqi government on grounds that the company was catering to the west. The Public Law 80 that was passed in 1961 compelled the management of the company to surrender 95% of its concessions to the government. On June 1st, 1972, Iraq's Ba'athist regime nationalised the company on grounds that IPC was unwilling to concede to the government's demands paving way to the present day Iraq National Oil Company. The initial years under the government rule saw the production rise significantly from 1.4 OpenOil Online Curriculum: Companies and Markets: IOCs and NOCs million barrels a day to over 3 million barrels a day in 1980. However the war with Iran adversely impacted the country's production capacity. INOC comes directly under Iraq's oil ministry and hence it also acts as a regulator of the oil production and market. The company's combined reserves in place are estimated at 115 billion barrels and worldwide natural gas reserves are 119,940 billion cubic feet (2007). 5. Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) Petroleos de Venezuela is a state run company and the world's fifth largest in terms of reserves in place and exports. The company manages both upstream (exploration, production and processing) and downstream (refining, marketing, transport) operations. PDVSA represents Venezuela's oil industry. It emerged in the year 1976 with the nationalisation of the country's oil sector. A major chunk of the oil rich fields in the Americas are owned and operated by Venezuela, constituting almost half of the lands combined total. Conventional oil reserves of the company are estimated at 77.5 billion barrels along with natural gas reserves that are pegged at 150 trillion cubic feet. One of the most important events in the history of the company is the Venezuelan general strike of 2002-2003 that led to a halt in production for two months. Thousands of employees were fired in a bid to suppress the protest against the then ruling president, Hugo Chavez. The strike also had a ripple effect on the country's economy with unemployment reaching its peak of over 20% in March 2003. Today the company boasts of its own army to safeguard its autonomy and socialist doctrine from a government 'coup'. Source: World's Largest Oil and Gas Companies graph OpenOil Online Curriculum: Companies and Markets: IOCs and NOCs