An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management February 2013 with the support of Institute Table of Contents 1. Executive Summary.............................................................................................. 5 2. Review of Hedge Fund Techniques and how they can be transported to the Mutual Fund/UCITS Space ............................................... 11 3.Literature Review and our Contribution .......................................................27 4. UCITS Restrictions and Testable Hypotheses................................................31 5.Data and Summary Statistics...........................................................................35 6.Average HF and UHF Performance .................................................................43 7. Conclusion ..........................................................................................................55 References................................................................................................................57 About Newedge.......................................................................................................63 About EDHEC-Risk Institute.................................................................................66 EDHEC-Risk Institute Publications and Position Papers (2010-2013)......... 71 2 Printed in France, February 2013. Copyright© EDHEC 2013 The opinions expressed in this study are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of EDHEC Business School. The author can be contacted at research@edhec-risk.com. An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 Foreword The present document, which represents the latest publication from the “Advanced Modelling for Alternative Investments” research chair at EDHEC Risk Institute, supported by the Prime Brokerage Group at Newedge, is part of the chair research on “Analysing the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Money Management.” Over the last few years institutional investors’ traditional portfolios have failed to meet their objectives in terms of risk and performance. Investors have thus demonstrated a growing interest in new forms of diversification and especially in investment vehicles offering better protection during extreme market conditions. This has naturally led them to increasingly consider hedge funds as part of their investment universe, but also to search for access to sophisticated risk management techniques within the regulated and transparent world of mutual fund products. While this convergence of mainstream long-only asset management and alternative hedge funds has been much talked about for some years, it has not been realised on any significant scale until recently. Two main forces are currently accelerating the trend. The first of these forces, from the supply side, was the amendment of the UCITS framework, which allowed mainstream fund managers to supply regulated forms of hedge fund-type products to their traditional customer base, while also permitting hedge funds to reach out to the same customers. The second of these forces, from the demand side, is the increased interest of private but also, and more importantly, institutional investors in novel, more sophisticated forms of mutual fund investing strategies, and which has led to the rapid development of regulated products implementing absolute return strategies and 130/30 strategies. Such products are often perceived as an entry door to the alternative industry, or a middle ground between complex and opaque hedge fund strategies and unsophisticated mutual fund strategies without any substantial added value in terms of risk management. It is important to note that the convergence goes in both directions, as an increasing number of hedge fund managers are now offering regulated products as well. We would particularly like to thank the authors of this publication, Robert Kosowski and Juha Joenväärä, for the quality of their research. We would also like to thank the Prime Brokerage Group at Newedge for their generous support of our research, with particular thanks to James Skeggs, Duncan Crawford and Gérard de Lambilly. Wishing you an agreeable and informative read, Noël Amenc Professor of Finance Director of EDHEC-Risk Institute An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 3 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 About the Authors Juha Joenväärä is assistant professor at the University of Oulu. He conducts research on delegated portfolio management especially hedge funds, empirical asset pricing, and financial econometrics. In particular, his research focuses on hedge fund performance predictability. Juha received his master’s degree in finance with highest honours from University of Oulu in 2005. He earned his PhD in finance from the University of Oulu and the Graduate School of Finance in 2010. His PhD dissertation “Essays on Hedge Fund Performance and Risk” has received an award from the OP-Pohjola Research Foundation. Since October 2010 Juha is a visiting researcher at Imperial College’s Centre for Hedge Fund Research. Joenväärä has consulted for several Finnish asset management companies and pension funds in their asset allocation and fund selection decisions. Robert Kosowski is affiliate professor at EDHEC-Risk Institute, associate professor in the Finance Group of Imperial College Business School, Imperial College London and Director of the Centre for Hedge Fund Research. Robert’s research has been published in top peer-reviewed finance journals and received several awards. Robert holds a BA (First Class Honours) and MA in Economics from Trinity College, Cambridge University, and a MSc in Economics and PhD from the London School of Economics. Robert is an associate member of the Oxford-Man Institute of Quantitative Finance at Oxford University and a member of AIMA's research committee. Robert has consulted for private and public sector organisations and has worked for Goldman Sachs, the Boston Consulting Group and Deutsche Bank. His policy related advisory work includes: specialist adviser to UK House of Lords (2009-2010), expert technical consultant (International Monetary Fund, USA, 2008). 4 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication Executive Summary An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 5 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 Executive Summary 1 - The Undertakings for Collective Investment in Transferable Securities, Directives 2001/107/EC and 2001/108/EC (or "UCITS") are a set of European Union Directives that are designed to allow collective investment schemes to operate freely throughout the EU on the basis of a single authorization from one member state. 2 - See, for example, http:// www.hedgefundintelligence. com/UCITS. 3 - UCITS III compliant hedge fund strategies are sometimes referred to as or Newcits or ‘absolute’ UCITS. 4 - ‘The Coming of Age of Alternative UCITS Funds January 2012’, January 2012, Pertrac Research Study. This paper has two objectives. First, this paper provides an academic analysis of the main techniques that are currently used by hedge fund managers and that could be transported to the mutual fund and alternative UCITS space in a straightforward manner so as to provide better forms of risk management in a regulated environment. We categorize techniques according to three groups: (1) risk management, (2) alpha generation and (3) leverage. Within the group of risk management techniques we review (1.1) techniques based on derivatives, (1.2) techniques based on dynamic trading strategies, (1.3) volatility scaling of positions, (1.4) risk measurement techniques, (1.5) currency overlay and (1.6) performance-enhancing compensation and incentive structures. In the context of alpha creation techniques, we discuss (2.1) advanced econometric techniques for asset allocation, (2.2) asset-specific betas and stock-picking, (2.3) shareholder activism, (2.4) order execution alpha and (2.5) currency alpha. Finally, we show how leverage can act as a performance driver and distinguish (3.1) financial leverage, (3.2) construction leverage, (3.3) instrument leverage, (3.4) risk-parity techniques and (3.5) VaR techniques and leverage. Alternative investment fund managers are increasingly deciding to implement alternative strategies through traditional investment vehicles such as mutual funds in order to access assets from retail and institutional investors that, for various reasons (such as investment mandates, for example), cannot invest through less regulated structures. Packaging hedge fund strategies in a traditional format is not straightforward and it raises a lot of challenges for the managers as 6 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication well as for the brand of the regulatory format. An important question is to know whether structuring hedge fund strategies through mutual funds will compromise these strategies and provide the same level of returns, considering the constraints under mutual fund regulations such as investment restrictions, liquidity requirements, operational requirements and risk management. We therefore carefully examine how dynamic trading and derivatives strategies can be transported to the mutual fund space. Our second objective is to examine the convergence between the mainstream and the alternative asset management industry by studying UCITS and non-UCITS hedge funds.1 The latest amendment of the UCITS framework, referred to as UCITS III and IV, allows mainstream fund managers to supply regulated forms of hedge fund-type products to their traditional customer base, while also permitting hedge funds to reach out to the same customers.2 We refer to the latter as UCITS hedge funds (UHFs) to distinguish them from traditional non-UCITS hedge funds (HFs).3 A recent Pertrac study found that alternative UCITS Assets under Management (AuM) peaked at €178.82 billion in May 2011.4 Alternative UCITS or UCITS hedge funds are funds that follow a hedge fund type strategy aiming to generate absolute return or absolute performance. They are, in other words, simply UCITS that take advantage of certain investment techniques allowed by the UCITS regulations which enable them to pursue strategies that were previously more common in the alternative investment sector – in particular, the hedge fund sector. Based on regulatory requirements that apply to UCITS, we economically motivate An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 Executive Summary 5 - See, for example, ESMA’s guidelines on ETFs and other UCITS issues, available at http://www.esma.europa.eu/ system/files/2012-44_0.pdf. a range of hypotheses regarding differences in AuM growth, performance and risk between UHFs and HFs and empirically test them using one of the most comprehensive hedge fund databases constructed to date. We examine differences between UHFs and HFs based on a range of crosssectional fund features such as investment objectives and other fund characteristics including compensation and redemption structures. Regulatory requirements that apply to UCITS imply that UHFs impose less binding share restrictions than HFs. Hence, UHF investors can exploit performance persistence, if any, more easily than HF investors. Our paper sheds light on the convergence of mainstream and alternative investment management as well as drivers of performance and risk for different types of UCITS funds. This study is timely since UCITS funds, and in particular the so-called retailization of complex products and the use of total return swaps, recently attracted the attention of regulators in 2012.5 UCITS funds differ from hedge funds in several ways which leads to testable hypotheses about differences in their performance and risk. First, the requirement of a (i) separate risk management function in UCITS funds as well as (ii) leverage limits and (iii) VaR (Value-at-Risk) limits leads to our first hypothesis that the risk of UHFs is lower than that of HFs. Measuring risk is a complex issue and therefore we apply a range of different risk metrics to capture tail-risk in addition to volatility (Patton (2009)). Second, UCITS funds face restrictions regarding the use of derivatives. This leads to two further hypotheses. Our second hypothesis is that restrictions in the use of derivatives reduce option-like payoff profiles and non-normal returns in UHF return distributions. Our third hypothesis is that reduced flexibility in the use of derivatives makes UHF returns less counter-cyclical than those of HFs. A fourth hypothesis is that the investment objective is crucial and that the extent to which UCITS restrictions affect risk and performance depends on the investment objective of the fund. We therefore carry out our hypotheses tests for all funds as well as by investment objective to distinguish, for example, Long/Short Equity funds, Global Macro funds as well as Event Driven funds. Previous studies of UHFs have typically focused on a smaller set of investment objectives (Darolles (2011)). Our fifth hypothesis is related to the fact that different countries have implemented the UCITS directive in different ways, which implies that geography and in particular domicile matters for UHFs. One of the main strengths of our paper is that we examine the relationship between performance and risk of HFs and UHFs and a range of economically important fund characteristics related to fund manager incentives and fund liquidity which have not been previously examined in the context of UHFs. Liquidity is linked to fund performance in at least two important ways. First, liquidity, in terms of less binding redemption restrictions for UHFs investors, may allow them exploit performance persistence. On the one hand, Joenväärä, Kosowski and Tolonen (2012, hereafter JKT (2012)) show that HFs performance may hypothetically persist but investors’ ability to exploit it is limited by strict share restrictions. Hence, the UHF universe provides an interesting setting to test whether performance persists and whether it can be exploited in practice. An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 7 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 Executive Summary On the other hand, Teo (2011) provides evidence that capital outflows can be costly if HFs are exposed to liquidity risk. This suggests that liquidity may be harmful in certain circumstances. Thus, it is interesting to study the role of share restrictions and liquidity risk for UHFs. 6 - See, Güner, Rachev, Edelman, and Fabozzi (2010). The AIS database includes funds that UBS allocated capital to, but that do not report to commercial databases. Moreover, in terms of the time-series and number of funds in our data, this paper is to our knowledge one of the most comprehensive analyzes of the performance and risks of HFs and UHFs. Previous studies have typically analyzed UHFs in isolation without comparing them to the HF universe or they have examined at most 460 UHFs and less than 2800 HFs. First, we carry out a comprehensive aggregation process to construct an aggregate HF dataset that consists of more than 24,000 unique hedge funds that report at least 12 return observations. This database consists of active and inactive or defunct funds. This group of funds represents our HF control group. The number of hedge funds in our database is close to that reported by the UBS’ proprietary AIS database consisting of about 20,000 hedge funds and 45,000 share classes6, while the PerTrac 2010 hedge fund database study finds that the hedge fund industry contains about 23,600 funds. Therefore, we believe that our aggregate database containing the union of five major databases is close to the true unobservable population of hedge funds. Second, by merging data on UCITS funds from the EurekaHedge, BarclayHedge, and HFR databases on UCITS hedge funds we also construct an aggregate database on UHFs. In our study we thus carry out a comprehensive analysis and comparison of both UHFs and HFs. Hedge fund databases 8 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication are also non-overlapping - we find that almost 70% of funds in our consolidated database report only to one of the used major databases. JKT (2012) recently documented that data biases are different between hedge fund databases, thus affecting stylized facts about performance and risk of HFs. This suggests that merging several databases will provide us with a more accurate view of the aggregate size of the UCITS hedge fund universe. We document stylized facts about hedge fund performance, data biases, and fund-specific characteristics explaining cross-sectional differences in UHF and HF performance. To understand why the performance results differ between UHFs and HFs, we start by highlighting how the total return and AuM time-series differ on a value and equal-weight basis between UHFs and HFs. We then move to differences in fees and risk-adjusted performance and study how Sharpe ratios, the Fung and Hsieh (2004) seven-factor model alphas and risk exposures differ between HFs and UHFs. Finally, we examine the cross-sectional relationship between fund characteristics and hedge fund performance. The existing literature on HFs has documented that managerial incentives, share restrictions and capacity constraints are associated with cross-sectional differences in hedge fund performance. Using portfolio sorts and the Fama and MacBeth (1973) regressions, JKT (2012) demonstrate that smaller and younger funds, and funds with greater capital flows deliver better future returns than their peers. This conclusion is in line with the previous literature (e.g., Teo, (2010) and Aggarwal and Jorion (2010)). In contrast to the existing literature, JKT (2012) find, An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 Executive Summary however, that fund characteristics related to managerial discretion or illiquidity do not consistently explain hedge fund crosssectional returns. In fact, they find very little evidence that share restrictions in the form of lockup, notice and redemption periods are related to higher risk-adjusted returns when they control for the role of other characteristics in multivariate regression. Given regulatory requirements on the liquidity of UHFs it is therefore of particular interest to study the relationship between UHF performance and fund liquidity. hedge fund performance and cross-sectional characteristics. Section 7 concludes. In our empirical results, we find that UHFs underperform HFs on a total and risk-adjusted basis. However, UHFs have more favourable liquidity terms and when we compare liquidity matched groups of UHFs and HFs, we find that UHFs generate similar performance. Thus we uncovered an important liquidity-performance trade-off in the sample of UHFs. Our results also show that HFs have generally lower volatility and tail risk than UHFs, which is consistent with hurdles to the transportation of risk management techniques discussed. Finally we find important domicile effects related to firm and fund performance. The paper is structured as follows. Section 2 reviews techniques used by hedge funds and how they can be transported to the mutual fund/UCITS space. Section 3 reviews the related literature and puts our study in context. Section 4 reviews the regulatory restrictions imposed on UCITS funds and motivates the resulting testable hypotheses. Section 5 describes the HF and UHF data and methodology. Section 6 summarizes the empirical results on differences in performance and risk between HFs and UHFs. It also describes stylized facts about An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 9 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 Executive Summary 10 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 2. Review of Hedge Fund Techniques and how they can be transported to the Mutual Fund/UCITS Space An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 11 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 2. Review of Hedge Fund Techniques and how they can be transported to the Mutual Fund/UCITS Space 7 - Equation 1 in Section 5.3 shows one of the risk decomposition that is most common in the academic hedge fund literature. 8 - See, for example, Buraschi, Kosowski and Sritrakul (2012). 9 - See for example Kraus and Litzenberger (1976). Hedge funds use a diverse set of techniques to improve performance and reduce volatility. Hedge funds have investment mandates that differ from those of traditional long-only managers. Hedge funds have an absolute return objective, i.e. achieving returns uncorrelated with the market (Ineichen (2002)). Absolute return managers therefore have different incentives regarding risk management. The portfolios of most long-only mutual fund managers closely track the benchmark (with significant risk or beta exposure) and, due to their investment mandate, they are mainly concerned about tracking error or active risk relative to a benchmark. When absolute return managers speak of risk, they normally mean total risk and its mandate is generating positive returns in excess of a hurdle such as LIBOR, for example. The absolute return objective implies that risk reduction techniques such as long-short strategies and derivatives positions are used to reduce benchmark exposures. Despite the fact that a hedge fund’s objective is to generate absolute returns, for purposes of performance and risk attribution it is instructive to decompose hedge fund returns into risk exposures (beta) and risk-adjusted exposure (alpha).7 It is well known8 that leverage can be used to scale and increase an existing alpha in standard performance regressions and therefore it is helpful to examine leverage separately as one of several potential performance drivers. Given the large number of techniques it is useful to categorize the techniques into three main groups and several subgroups (see Box 1 below). The three main groups that we use are (1) risk 12 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication management techniques, (2) alpha creation techniques and (3) techniques related to leverage. Of course, some techniques may fall into more than one category. Risk management techniques which reduce beta exposures may not only change a fund’s return profile, for example, but may also increase the alpha of a fund relative to a given benchmark. Nevertheless, we believe that our choice of classification scheme facilitates the explanation of the mechanism underlying different techniques and their impact on fund performance and risk. 2.1 Risk Management Techniques Risk management techniques encompass methods to reduce risk exposures and change the return distribution in such a way as to reduce the probability of (extreme) losses. Risk can be viewed from two perspectives. On the one hand, the distribution of returns can be described statistically using moments such as the mean, the volatility (standard deviation), skewness and kurtosis (lower probability of tail outcomes in general). Theoretically it can be shown that many common utility functions imply a preference for higher mean and skewness and lower volatility and kurtosis.9 In practice, many investors prefer funds with a higher mean return, lower volatility and lower drawdown. Drawdown is defined as the money lost since reaching the most recent high water mark. One of the limitations of using the four statistical moments to select funds is that drawdown is often poorly approximated by skewness and kurtosis (Burghardt and Liu (2012)). The An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 2. Review of Hedge Fund Techniques and how they can be transported to the Mutual Fund/UCITS Space Box 1. This box categorizes techniques that hedge funds use. The third column provides an assessment of whether this particular technique is transferable to UCITS funds. Technique 1. Risk Management techniques (reduction of risk exposures and change in return distribution) 2. Alpha Creation Techniques Sub-group Transferable to UCITS 1.1.Techniques to change the fund return distribution by means of derivatives (futures, forwards, options, swaps and other derivatives) Partly 1.2. Techniques to change the fund return distribution by means of dynamic (option-like) trading strategies (portfolio insurance) Partly 1.3. Volatility scaling of positions Yes 1.4. Risk measurement techniques (VaR, EVT, advanced risk measures) Yes 1.5. Currency overlay Yes 1.6. Performance-enhancing compensation and incentive structures (high water marks, performance fees, clawback) Partly 2.1. Advanced econometric and forecasting techniques for Global Tactical Asset Allocation Yes 2.2 Asset-specific bets and stock-picking Yes 2.3 Shareholder activism Yes 2.4 Order Execution Alpha Partly 2.5 Currency Alpha 3. Leverage as performance driver Yes 3.1 Financial Leverage (borrowing leverage and /or notional leverage; prime broker funding) Partly 3.2 Construction leverage (Shorting as a source of Leverage) Partly 3.3 Instrument leverage Partly 3.4 Risk-parity techniques Yes 3.5 VaR techniques and leverage Yes reason is that drawdown is affected by autocorrelation and that it is a multiperiod concept in contrast to the statistical distribution. On the other hand, the distribution of returns can be traced back to underlying risk exposures and risk factors such as equity, interest rate, credit, currency and volatility risk. Risk management techniques also include risk measurement tools which are used to monitor risk and inform risk management decisions. We further distinguish the following five sub-groups of risk management techniques: (i) techniques to change the fund return payoff distribution by means of derivatives and tail risk hedges, (ii) techniques to change the fund return payoff distribution by means of dynamic (option-like) trading strategies, (iii) risk measurement techniques, (iv) currency overlay and (v) performance enhancing compensation structures and incentives (performance fees, clawbacks, staggered position reduction). (i) Techniques to change the fund return distribution by means of derivatives (options, swaps, futures and other derivatives) Futures and forwards are the simplest derivatives that hedge funds can use to manage risk. A futures contract is a standardized contract between two parties to buy or sell a specified asset of standardized quantity and quality for a price agreed today. The difference between forward contracts and futures An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 13 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 2. Review of Hedge Fund Techniques and how they can be transported to the Mutual Fund/UCITS Space contracts is that forward contracts are not standardized and not traded on the exchange (which leads to different margin and capital requirements). Futures and forward contracts exist globally for several hundred assets such as equities, interest rates, currencies and commodities. 10 - Interest rate swaps pay periodic interest, while variance swaps, for example, do not. 11 - CFDs are currently not permitted in the United States, due to restrictions by the U.S. SEC on OTC derivatives. Until 2007 CFDs were OTC contracts, but in November 2007 the Australian Securities Exchange listed exchangetraded CFDs on several Australian stocks, FX pairs as well as other global indices and commodities. Another highly popular type of derivative is the swap. A swap is a derivative in which counterparties exchange cash flows of one party's financial instrument for those of the other party's financial instrument. In an interest rate swap, for example, two parties agree to exchange interest rate cash flows, based on a specified notional amount from a fixed rate to a floating rate (or vice versa) or from one floating rate to another. Swaps are commonly used for both hedging and speculating. Swaps exist on interest rates, currencies, commodities, variance, correlation, longevity indices, equities as well as credit default events.10 Some swaps, such as interest rate swaps, are relatively liquid while others such as correlation swaps are not. Total return swaps (TRS) have been used by UCITS fund structures to implement hedge fund like strategies. In a total return swap, party A pays the total return of an asset and party B makes periodic interest payments. Globally there is a movement to move certain swap trading from OTC markets to central clearing and exchanges. In addition to forwards and futures, hedge funds can use contracts for differences (CFDs) in some countries such as the United Kingdom, Hong Kong, the Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Germany, Switzerland, Italy, Singapore, South Africa, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Sweden, Norway, France, Ireland, Japan 14 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication and Spain.11 A CFD is a contract between two parties that agree that the seller will pay the buyer the difference between the current value of an asset and its value at contract time. CFDs emerged in the 1990s in the UK where they were used by hedge funds and institutional investors as a cost effective way to hedge equity exposure since they involved only small margin payments and avoided UK stamp duty tax. Similar to futures, CFDs also allow trading on margin which we discuss in one of the upcoming subsections in the context of leverage as a performance driver. Similar to futures contracts, options exist on a wide range of underlyings including equity indices, individual stocks, interest rates, futures, swaps (“swaption”), commodities, currencies and volatility indices. Options have asymmetric return profiles. A long put position on an equity index, for example, can be used by a fund to buy protection against large losses. The put option premium will reduce the mean return of a fund but is likely to reduce its volatility and increase its skewness (and thus reduce its tail risk). This is an example of a risk return trade-off. The trade-off between mean return and volatility in financial markets is well known. In the last 10 years more evidence has accumulated of a trade-off between the mean return as well as skewness and kurtosis (Harvey and Siddique (2000)). Following the financial crisis, practitioners including investors and hedge fund managers have become increasingly interested in what are loosely defined as ‘tail-risk hedges’ or ‘tail hedge funds’.12 These vehicles are used to reduce tail risk by means of different derivatives or option An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 2. Review of Hedge Fund Techniques and how they can be transported to the Mutual Fund/UCITS Space like techniques. As the simple option example above illustrated, a tail risk hedge, like any type of insurance, comes at a cost. One way to reduce the cost of the hedge is to implement it conditionally and vary the type of derivative used to implement it depending on where insurance is cheapest. Therefore, the challenge for ‘tail risk funds’ is to provide a given tail risk hedge (against a particular risk factor) at the cheapest possible costs. Different derivatives can be used to reduce extreme losses for a premium. These include put options, but also credit default swaps and variance or volatility swaps. Although the area of higher order moments and tail risk hedges has been studied in the academic literature for decades, the concept of tail risk was popularized significantly by Taleb (2007, 2008) who introduced such catchy labels as the ‘The Black Swan’ to explain the underpinnings of tail events and their impact on performance. Many hedge funds occasionally or regularly implement tail-risk hedges in their portfolios. Some tail hedge funds however claim to specialize in providing tail risk insurance. Tail hedge funds rose to prominence in 2008 when some of them delivered tripledigit returns for investors. Their success led to copycat funds that similarly aim to profit from rare extreme events. The first tail-protected ETF was launched in May 2012 and is traded on the TSX via Horizons ETFs. potentially high cost in terms of average absolute returns as well as risk-adjusted performance. There is evidence that some hedge funds buy tail risk insurance, while other hedge funds implicitly or explicitly sell tail risk insurance. In a recent paper, Kelly and Jiang (2012) document large persistent exposures of hedge funds to downside tail risk. Funds that lose value during high tail risk episodes earn average annual returns more than 6% higher than funds that are tail risk-hedged, controlling for commonly used hedge fund factors. Buraschi, Kosowski and Trojani (2012) further shed light on the drivers of tail risk by highlighting the role of correlation risk in driving drawdowns for longshort hedge funds, merger arbitrage funds, option trader funds and other funds that are susceptible to large losses when correlations unexpectedly change. These results are consistent with the notion that a significant component of hedge fund returns can be viewed as compensation for selling disaster insurance. Therefore, a fund that is buying (selling) tail risk insurance is likely to have lower (higher) returns, lower (higher) volatility and higher (lower) skewness. Several derivatives can be used to change the payoff distribution by changing tail risk exposure and Box 2 provides an overview of different derivatives types and their effect on tail risk. Although tail hedge funds are gaining in popularity, the economic literature provides a sobering perspective on the potential returns that can be expected from them due to evidence of a return / tail-risk trade-off in hedge funds. Investors may find that reducing tail risk comes at a An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 15 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 2. Review of Hedge Fund Techniques and how they can be transported to the Mutual Fund/UCITS Space Box 2. Derivatives and tail risk. This table shows a range of derivatives position examples and the impact on tail risk. Type of Derivative Position 1. (Equity) Put Option 2. Credit Default Swap 3. Variance Swap (on equity index, but potentially also bond index or currency) 4. Correlation Swap (on equity index) 13 - A CDS contract is binary in the sense that it pays out in case of default. The question of when a default event is declared is governed by the ISDA protocol and a sovereign CDS may not be an effective tail hedge if a government takes steps to avoid a default event being declared. 14 - See, for example, EU Regulation No 236/2012 of the European Parliament and of the of 14 March 2012 on short selling and certain aspects of credit default swaps. 15 - Strictly speaking the theoretically possible perfect dynamic replicating strategy does not exist in practice. Attempts to dynamically hedge derivatives can we viewed as approximations (Derman and Taleb (2005)). 16 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication Position Effect on Tail Risk Long (agree to sell asset at strike price K) Reduction Short (agree to sell asset at strike price K) Increase Long (buy insurance against credit event) Reduction Short (sell insurance against credit event) Increase Long (pay implied, receive realized variance) Reduction Short (receive implied, pay realized variance) Increase Long (pay implied, receive realized correlation) Reduction Short (pay implied, receive realized correlation) Increase Variance and correlation swaps are traded over-the-counter (OTC) and are less liquid than most put options or CDS index contracts.13 The relative price of tail risk insurance across these contracts can vary over time. Moreover, regulation can affect which of the derivative contracts offers the best tail risk hedge at a given point in time. Bans on naked short-selling or naked CDS positions14, for example, can make CDS unattractive and instead make it preferable to search for approximate tail risk hedges using options or other derivatives for regulatory reasons. Buraschi, Kosowski and Trojani (2012) obtain data on OTC correlation swaps and show that option trader funds, for example, had a statistically significant loading on a correlation swap based factor that explained part of their superior performance as well as their higher tail risk. Aragon, Kang and Martin (2012) collect a unique dataset of long equity option positions for hedge funds using SEC filings. They find that index option positions for hedge funds are associated with greater reductions in portfolio risk of poorly performing hedge funds. (ii) Techniques to change the fund return distribution by means of dynamic (option-like) trading strategies (portfolio insurance, volatility scaling) Apart from using derivatives to reduce risk as discussed above, hedge funds can also employ dynamic trading strategies to reduce risk. These strategies can be divided into two further subgroups: (a) dynamic replication strategies and (b) volatility scaling strategies. Dynamic trading strategies are rooted in dynamic replication and option pricing theory. A portfolio is said to replicate another portfolio if it generates at maturity identical cash flows (positive or negative). A put option on an equity index, for example, can be replicated using positions in equity index futures and borrowing/lending. Mathematically, concepts of replication involve the existence of a equivalent martingale measure.15 Dynamic trading strategies can serve the purpose of risk management, similar to derivatives. They can, however, also be used for arbitrage strategies. Replication is costly in practice and imperfect replication can be desirable if the objective is to take directional views on some risks while hedging out An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 2. Review of Hedge Fund Techniques and how they can be transported to the Mutual Fund/UCITS Space other risks. Such arbitrage strategies can be the source of alpha or risk-adjusted performance. Portfolio insurance is one example of a dynamic trading strategy. It is a method of hedging a portfolio of stocks against market risk by short selling stock index futures. The method was invented by Leland and Rubinstein in 1976 and involves the replication of a put option by shorting the underlying in amounts determined by the constantly changing option delta. In principle portfolio insurance can be applied to other market risks such as interest rate risk, currency risk, volatility risk or commodity price risk. More advanced dynamic trading strategies are linked to volatility and correlation trading. In Section 2.1 we discussed variance and correlation swaps. A variance swap may be hedged and hence replicated using a portfolio of European call and put options with weights inversely proportional to the square of strike (Bossu, Strasser and Guichard, 2005). A correlation swap can also be synthetically replicated. This would require index and individual stock variance swaps. Another approach to create a correlation exposure is through a dispersion trade. This involves creating an exposure to correlation by shorting index options and going long individual options accompanied by positions in the underlying index components and the riskless rate in time-varying proportions. The discussion of dynamic replication strategies shows that hedge funds can dynamically trade in instruments such as futures and options to dynamically replicate option and swap payoffs and thus hedge risk without having to outright purchase the instrument that the payoff replicates. One attraction of such dynamic trading strategies is that they may be cheaper than buying the corresponding derivative in the market which often involves paying a profit margin to the seller of the derivative. (iii) Volatility scaling of positions and stop-loss rules Another set of techniques that is not based on replication, but that also helps reduce portfolio volatility is related to volatility scaling and stop-loss rules. Commodity trading advisors and trendfollowing funds are one group of investors that extensively employ volatility scaling of positions. Simply speaking, volatility scaling means that assets whose volatility goes up receive a lower weight in the portfolio, that is portfolio weights are inversely related to asset specific volatility. Volatility scaling is not predicated on an asset price model such as a Brownian motion and therefore, on a conceptual level, it significantly differs from dynamic replication strategies. Volatility scaling is employed by hedge funds both in the context of time-series momentum strategies (Baltas and Kosowski (2012b)) as well as cross-sectional momentum strategies. See Barroso and Santa-Clara (2012) for how the risk-adjusted return of equity momentum strategies can be improved by means of volatility scaling. Although conceptually different from portfolio insurance and volatility scaling strategies, the use of stop-loss rules by hedge funds is another related technique. Stop-loss rules involve the reduction or closing of positions once losses above An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 17 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 2. Review of Hedge Fund Techniques and how they can be transported to the Mutual Fund/UCITS Space 16 - For example, if a portfolio has a 5% one month value at risk of £100 million, then this means that there is a 5% chance that the firm could lose more than £100 million in any given month. Therefore, a £100 million loss should be expected to occur once every 20 months. 17 - See, for example, Embrechts, Kluppelberg and Mikosch (1997) a certain level have been incurred. For example, a position may be cut by 50% (100%) if it experienced a loss of 2% (5%). Theoretically stop-loss rules should not improve performance for asset prices that exhibit mean reversion as positions are closed before asset prices recover. However, stop-loss rules can be very beneficial since they introduce discipline into the portfolio construction process and prevent behavioural biases from creeping in. One important bias is the disposition effect (Kahneman and Tversky (1979)) which states that investors have a tendency to sell winning investments more frequently than losing investments. Stop-loss rules can therefore prevent portfolio underperformance that is driven by a manager’s disposition effect. The empirical evidence on the performance of mechanical stop-loss rules applied in equity markets shows that the benefits of the technique are not constant and vary over time (Lei and Li (2009)). (iv) Risk measurement techniques (VaR, EVT, advanced risk measures) Risk measurement techniques are different from risk management techniques discussed above, but they may help risk management through the monitoring or risks and provide risk management signals. Hedge funds use techniques such as scenario analysis and Value-at-Risk (VaR) to monitor portfolio risk. Scenario analysis is a process of examining possible future events by considering alternative possible outcomes. It involves simulating portfolio returns under different extreme historical or hypothetical conditions. VaR is a simple but common risk measure of the risk of loss of a specific portfolio. For a given portfolio, probability and time 18 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication horizon, VaR is defined as the threshold portfolio value such that the probability that the mark-to-market loss on the portfolio over the given time horizon exceeds this value is the given probability level.16 In principle, VaR can be calculated using forward looking or backward looking measures of volatility. Many hedge funds draw on the latest econometric research that documents the benefits of using high frequency data to calculate volatility estimates. Baltas and Kosowski (2012a) discuss the role of different volatility estimators in the implementation of trendfollowing strategies. Blair, Poon and Taylor (2001) discuss the incremental information content of implied volatilities and highfrequency index returns, for example. A number of recent academic papers have studied volatility estimators that can improve on realized volatility estimators. The choice of volatility estimator is crucial for the successful implementation of VaR models. Extreme Value Theory17 and other recent innovations have been used to address the challenge of forecasting rare extreme events with a small number of observations. Hedge funds carry out research and innovate in the area of volatility estimation. (v) Currency overlay Currency overlay is a technique used to manage the currency exposure in a given portfolio (Record (2003)). Currency overlay can have two main objectives: (a) hedging exchange rate risk or (b) speculation and generation of alpha from tactical exchange rate bets. Therefore, it can be viewed as falling into subsections 2.1 (i) and (ii) above or Section 2.2 below. An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 2. Review of Hedge Fund Techniques and how they can be transported to the Mutual Fund/UCITS Space We discuss hedging applications of currency overlay in this section and cover alpha generation aspects in Section 2.2. Often one distinguishes passive and active currency overlay. Passive currency overlay involves the use of forward contracts to match the portfolio’s currency exposures in such a way as to insure against exchange rate fluctuations. The implementation of the overlay depends on parameters such as the maturity of the forward contracts, the frequency of the cash flows to be hedged, their currency as well as the rebalancing frequency. 18 - Clawbacks can exist at the fund level or within the fund (individual portfolio manager compensation). Clawbacks at the fund level are relatively rare. At the fund level a clawback can be viewed as a put option written by the fund to investors. (vi)Performance-enhancing compensation and incentive structures (high water marks, performance fees, clawbacks) An important but often overlooked set of techniques used by hedge funds relates to their compensation structures. There is evidence that hedge funds that have higher performance fees achieve higher total and risk-adjusted performance (JKT (2012)). The use of high water marks by hedge funds introduces option like features into the compensation contract and affects risk taking and performance (Buraschi, Kosowski and Sritrakul (2012)). Another compensation feature used by many hedge funds are clawbacks. Clawbacks imply that portfolio managers do not receive their performance bonuses in full each year, but that some proportion is withheld until later years and their payout is conditional on future performance.18 See Light (2001) for an example of a clawback feature in the compensation scheme of Harvard Management Company. 2.2 Alpha Creation Techniques The intercept in performance regressions such as Equation 1 below (in Section 5) is referred to as the alpha. The sign and magnitude of alpha is therefore affected by the choice of factors. The distinction between alpha and beta is often not clear and in practice alpha is often defined with respect to a simple value-weighted equity index such as the MSCI World index instead of a seven-factor model such as the one in Equation 1. It is wellknown that alpha in an unconditional performance regression can be generated by either stock-picking skill or market timing. Some of the techniques reviewed below implicitly fall into the category of market timing. (i) Advanced econometric and forecasting techniques for Global Tactical Asset Allocation One example of a technique that is fundamentally based on a form of successful market timing is Global Tactical Asset Allocation (or GTAA). GTAA generally refers to a top-down investment strategy that attempts to exploit short-term mispricings among a global set of assets. The implementation of GTAA in practice differs widely. Litterman (2003, Chapter 25) provides a detailed example of a GTAA application. GTAA can be further decomposed into a strategic rebalancing component and an overlay component. Strategic rebalancing is implemented to make sure that the portfolio stays close to the strategic benchmarks that the investment mandate prescribes. The overlay component aims at capturing excess return through tactical long and short positions in different asset classes and countries. Global macro funds, for An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 19 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 2. Review of Hedge Fund Techniques and how they can be transported to the Mutual Fund/UCITS Space 19 - ‘Buyside IT department of the year – Marshall Wace tops the league of innovation’, by Dan Barnes, Financial News, 10 October 2011. example, invest across a wide range of securities such as global equities, bonds, commodities and currencies. To reduce transaction costs they often use futures and forwards to take positions. They use different signals including, but not limited to value and momentum. Asness, Moskowitz and Pedersen (2012) provide a good overview of the profitability of value and momentum strategies across different asset classes. Volatility and correlation can be viewed as separate asset classes. Implied volatility indices now exist not just for equity, bond and currency markets, but also for commodity markets such as oil. Therefore, tactical allocations to benefit from changes in implied or realized volatility or correlation can be viewed as part of the investment opportunity set for GTAA. (ii) Asset-specific bets and stock-picking In contract to GTAA which focuses on general movements in the market, some techniques focus on the performance of individual securities. The signals used in practice for stock-picking are too numerous to list here and we can only provide a small number of unrepresentative examples. McLean and Pontiff (2012) provide one of the most comprehensive studies of 82 market anomalies identified in the academic literature. The techniques used by hedge funds to implement assetspecific or discretionary bets can be classified into discretionary or systematic and quantitative approaches. Value and momentum strategies within asset classes are one example of systematic stockpicking strategies. Asness, Moskowitz and Pedersen (2012) not only provide evidence of value and momentum 20 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication strategies across asset classes but also within asset classes. The academic literature has, for example, documented the information content of some analyst forecasts (Womack (1996)). In practice, some funds have developed sophisticated systems to capture the information in analyst recommendations. These systems are also referred to as alpha capture systems, and they allow investment banks and other organisations to submit ‘trading ideas’ or analyst recommendations in a written electronic format. Marshall Wace implemented one of the first alpha capture systems called TOPS (Trade Optimised Portfolio System) in 2001.19 (iii) Order-execution alpha Some hedge fund strategies have grown out of techniques used by market makers and the returns earned as compensation for liquidity provision services. Orderexecution alpha is sometimes used to describe alpha generated through the superior execution of orders and the provision of liquidity in the market (Easley, Lopez de Prado and O’Hara (2012)). The quantitative techniques used to implement it in practice are sometimes based on algorithmic trading. Algorithmic trading is the use of electronic platforms for entering trading orders with an algorithm determining the timing, price and quantity of an order. If algorithmic trading occurs at very high frequencies, it is often referred to as ‘high frequency-trading’. Algorithmic trading can also take the form of scalping which is a method of arbitraging small price gaps created by the bid-ask spread. An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 2. Review of Hedge Fund Techniques and how they can be transported to the Mutual Fund/UCITS Space 20 - See Overview of Leverage, AIMA Canada, Strategy Paper Series Companion Document, October 2006, Number 4, http://aima-canada.org/ doc_bin/AIMA_Canada_ StrategyPaper_06_Leverage. pdf. (iv) Shareholder activism Another technique used for stock specific bets that is however much more longterm than the strategies reviewed in the previous subsections, is shareholder activism. Generally speaking, activist shareholders use their ownership stakes in companies to monitor and influence the management of the company. Brav, Jiang and Kim (2009) provide a comprehensive review of shareholder activism by hedge funds. They note that hedge fund activism differs from that of other institutional investors in several ways. Hedge funds’ incentive fees and the prevalence of personal investments by their managers imply that they have strong incentives to generate performance. Moreover, hedge funds can use derivatives or leverage their stakes. Derivatives also allow them to potentially separate their cash flow and voting rights associated with certain investments (Black and Hu (2006)). (v) Currency alpha Although trading in foreign exchange markets could be viewed as only one type of asset specific bet or market timing with the objective of generating alpha, we review it separately since many managers specialize in currency markets. Currency alpha is related to currency overlay and the generation of alpha from currency markets is one type of active currency overlay strategy (see Section 2.1. (v)). There are many different currency strategies, but they can be broadly classified as (a) carry, (b) trend-following, (c) value or (d) volatility based. Levich and Pojarliev (2008) provide a comprehensive overview and also use tradable proxies for (a)-(d). A carry trade strategy implies borrowing in a low interest rate currency and investing in a high interest rate currency. Trend-following currency strategies are based on time-series momentum. Value-based currency investing often depends on Purchasing Power Parity deviations. Volatility can also form the basis for currency managers who may use derivatives to benefit from volatility in currency markets. 2.3 Leverage as a Performance Driver Hedge funds can use several techniques related to leverage to affect their performance and risk. Leverage can scale an existing alpha and can therefore be a performance or alpha driver (Buraschi, Kosowski and Sritrakul (2012)). We can distinguish three types of leverage: (a) financial leverage, (b) construction leverage and (c) instrument leverage.20 (i) Financial Leverage (borrowing leverage and/or notional leverage; prime broker funding) Financial leverage can be created through borrowing leverage and/or notional leverage. Hedge funds can trade on margin or borrow from a prime broker and use the funding to leverage existing positions. (ii) Construction leverage Construction leverage can be the result of how assets are combined in a portfolio and in particular whether long positions are hedged with short positions. Short selling involves the sale of a security not owned by the seller. A short seller must generally pledge to the lender other securities or cash as collateral for the shorted security in an amount at least equal to the market An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 21 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 2. Review of Hedge Fund Techniques and how they can be transported to the Mutual Fund/UCITS Space price of the borrowed securities. As an example, if a hedge fund has invested £100,000 in stock A, by shorting £100,000 worth of stock B, the fund uses the proceeds to increase its position in stock A (ignoring margin requirements and other transaction costs for simplicity). (iii) Instrument Leverage Instrument leverage measures the intrinsic risk of a certain security selected since different instruments have different levels of internal leverage. Futures positions are highly leveraged because the initial margins that are set by the exchanges are relatively small compared to the notional value of the contracts in question. Options and leveraged exchange traded funds are designed with embedded leverage. Recent research by Frazzini and Pedersen (2011) shows that embedded leverage lowers required returns. (iv) Risk-parity Risk parity is one alternative investment approach followed by hedge funds. The premise of risk parity is that if asset allocations are adjusted (leveraged or deleveraged) to the same risk level, then the risk-adjusted or Sharpe Ratio performance of the portfolio can be increased. Note the analogy between volatility scaling in CTA strategies discussed above and risk parity: equating the volatility of different asset allocation components by levering the investments up and down is similar to volatility scaling futures positions. One famous example of a hedge fund that employs risk parity is the Bridgewater Associates All Weather fund launched in 1996. Bhansali et al. (2012) provide a critical examination of risk-parity techniques and benefits. 22 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication Thomas et al. (2012) examine risk parity in the context of momentum and trendfollowing strategies. (v) VaR and leverage In section 2.1 (iv) we discussed VaR as a risk measurement technique. The Sharpe ratio is not sensitive to leverage and therefore it may mask the very different risk-return combinations created by different levels of debt. VaR is sensitive to leverage levels and its use can therefore lead to better risk management decisions. As described above, short-selling, leverage, financial derivatives, and alternative asset classes are the key tools at the disposal of hedge fund managers in their quest of alpha. Restrictions on techniques to achieve short exposure and prohibitions of certain asset types point to a serious potential downside of transporting hedge fund techniques to the mutual fund and UICTS space: potentially lower investment returns. We discuss in detail by investment objective which techniques can be potentially implemented by mutual funds. An important question is to know whether structuring hedge fund strategies in the mutual fund/UCITS manner will compromise these strategies and provide the same level of returns, considering the constraints under UCITS regulations such as investment restrictions, liquidity requirements, operational requirements and risk management. Financial markets exhibit risk return trade-offs and therefore it is likely that transporting high return strategies from the hedge fund space to the more liquid and regulated mutual fund space will also involve trade-offs in the An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 2. Review of Hedge Fund Techniques and how they can be transported to the Mutual Fund/UCITS Space presence of restrictions on fees, liquidity and risk. In theory, the current UCITS framework (synthetic derivatives to get short exposure, leverage level, financial derivatives used for investment purposes) should allow many alternative strategies to be replicated. Nevertheless, UCITS won’t be the appropriate format for certain alternative strategies due to the liquidity of underlying strategies/holdings, some asset classes not being authorized under UCITS, investment limits and borrowing rules as well as rules governing the usage of financial derivatives. For example, shareholder activism strategies may be difficult to implement under UCITS rules due to very concentrated positions. 2.4 Hedge Fund Strategies In sections 2.1-2.3 we have provided a comprehensive review of different techniques used by hedge funds to generate different performance and risk profiles. It is beyond the scope of this paper to review the myriad of strategy specific investment styles employed by hedge funds, but below we provide a selective list of the main hedge fund strategies (Szylar (2012)). Some of them may be transported to the mutual fund space or structured within a UCITS. (i) Long/short equity and short-selling Long/short funds aim at identifying undervalued and overvalued securities. They then take long and short positions to benefit from the expected price corrections. Short positions can be used to exploit stock or asset specific mispricing or to hedge the portfolio against risk factors or market movements, thus reducing portfolio volatility. As reviewed above, shorting is also a source of leverage and can drive performance. (ii) Equity market neutral The equity market neutral style generally aims at creating beta neutral portfolios relative to different risk factors. The neutral position can refer to beta, sector, country, currency, industry, market capitalization, style neutral, or any combination of these factors. In practice many equity market neutral funds are however not beta neutral (Patton (2008)). (iii) Convertible arbitrage Convertible bonds are bonds that give their holders the right to periodic coupon payments and, as of a fixed date, the right to convert the bonds into a fixed number of shares. Convertible bond arbitrage strategies typically involve a long position on the convertible bond, hedged with a concurrent short sale of the underlying common stock. Sometimes put options or credit default swaps may also be used to hedge the position depending on their relative prices. The objective is often to benefit from the underpriced option embedded in the convertible bond. Other potential sources of profit are the coupon return and short rebate as well as gamma trading. The coupon payments, however, are usually low compared to normal bond coupons, and the managers therefore often use leverage. Choi et al. (2010) examine the role of convertible bond arbitrageurs as supplies of capital in the convertible bond market. (iv) Global macro Global macro managers typically pursue a top-down investment approach and their choices are oftentimes based on An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 23 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 2. Review of Hedge Fund Techniques and how they can be transported to the Mutual Fund/UCITS Space the analysis of macro-economic variables associated with the different countries that they follow. The often make large directional bets and make extensive use of derivatives. (v) Fixed Income Relative Value Fixed income relative value funds pursue diverse trading strategies. They include (a) issuance driven arbitrage (trades involving on-the-run and off-the-fun treasuries), (b) yield curve arbitrage, (c) inter-market spread trading, (d) futures basis trading, (e) swap spread trading, (f) capital structure arbitrage, (g) carry trades in fixed income markets, (h) long/short credit strategies, (i) break-even inflation trades (involving nominal and real bonds), (j) emerging markets fixed income, (k) treasuries over Eurodollar spread trades, (l) mortgage backed securities (MBS) trades. (vi) CTA/Managed Futures funds Commodity trading advisors (CTA) or managed futures funds use futures, forward and options to invest in commodities, interest rates, equity indices and currencies. They can be classified into discretionary funds, which resemble global macro funds in their trading approach, and systematic funds. Their trading strategies differ depending on the horizon that they exploit as well as whether they focus on trends or trend reversals and spread trades. Arnold (2012) investigates risk, performance and persistence of systematic and discretionary CTAs. Baltas and Kosowski (2012a, 2012b) create futures-based trends following benchmarks for CTAs and show that they explain more than 50 percent of the average CTA index performance. 24 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication (vii) Event-driven strategies Event driven managers pursue a large number of different strategies. They include merger arbitrage funds that exploit merger events. Distressed securities funds within this group are active in companies that experience Chapter 11 filings, restructurings and bankruptcy reorganizations or recapitalizations. Other event driven strategies attempt to capitalize on company news events, such as earnings releases, spin-offs, carve-outs and share buybacks. 2.5 Potential Restrictions Regarding the Transportation of Alternatives Strategies to the Mutual Fund and UCITS Space The transportation of alternative strategies to the mutual fund space under the UCITS format implies a certain number of changes such as the limitation of leverage, or the fact that physical shorting is not allowed under UCITS which means that short exposure can only be achieved using synthetic derivatives. Moreover, more parties are needed to manage an onshore fund (notably the custodian as well as the administrator), while there are also increased burdens on operations, compliance such as getting a pre-trade monitoring system, marketing and to some extent the investment staff of the investment advisor. Such restrictions are therefore likely to lead to higher costs for the UCITS version of a fund which contributes to cost differences between UICTS and non-UCITS funds. Three other constraints may also constitute an obstacle (Szylar (2012)). “The first one is the ineligibility of certain type of assets An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 2. Review of Hedge Fund Techniques and how they can be transported to the Mutual Fund/UCITS Space such as physical commodities, credit, distressed but it does not constitute an insurmountable obstacle for the majority of alternative strategies. No more than 10% of net assets (so called “trash-ratio”) maybe invested, as non-core investments, in transferable securities and money market instruments which are not listed on a stock exchange or dealt in on another regulated market. The second constraint is the liquidity requirement under UCITS which has to be at minimum fortnightly. As most of hedge funds offer monthly or quarterly liquidity this may constitute a strong limitation for alternative managers. A UCITS fund must re-purchase or redeem its shares / units at the request of any unitholder. UCITS funds can operate daily, weekly or bi-monthly dealing. A UCITS can impose UCITS funds have also to comply with investment diversification such as the 10% limit and 5/40 rule as explained in chapter V. Finally, the third one is linked with exposures to OTC counterparties. Exposures to OTC counterparties must be maintained within the UCITS limits. Risk exposure to an OTC counterparty may not exceed 5% NAV or 10% (in case of EU or equivalent credit institutions). All these limitations are deeply explained in chapter IV on counterparty risk.” have an advantage. In the next section of the paper we examine the literature on UCITS funds and carry out an empirical analysis of the differential performance of UCITS hedge funds and regular hedge funds. Another difference between UHFs and HFs that is important for the returns that investors receive and that is not often mentioned is related to an administrative or contractual feature. The issue concerns equalization differences between the two groups (UHFs and HFs). For HFs a new series is created for each share class at the dealing date, but the same process does not occur for UHFs. This means that investors investing during a drawdows An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 25 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 2. Review of Hedge Fund Techniques and how they can be transported to the Mutual Fund/UCITS Space 26 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 3. Literature Review and our Contribution An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 27 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 3. Literature Review and our Contribution Our paper is related to three streams of the literature. First, it is related to recent work on ‘hedged mutual funds’ in the US as well as studies on alternatives UCITS. Agarwal, Boyson and Naik (2009) study ‘hedged mutual funds’ which they define as mutual funds regulated by the SEC but employing hedge fund like strategies. They study 49 hedged mutual funds and find that despite using similar trading strategies, hedged mutual funds underperform hedge funds. The authors attribute this finding to hedge funds’ lighter regulation and better incentives. In their sample, hedged mutual funds outperform traditional mutual funds. Their analysis suggests that this superior performance is driven by managers with experience implementing hedge fund strategies. The authors use the CRSP Survivorship-Bias-Free mutual fund database and include all hedged mutual funds which appear in the Morningstar and Lipper databases that classify funds as hedged mutual funds based on several criteria other than the investment objectives reported in Morningstar and Lipper. In contrast to hedged mutual funds studied by Agarwal, Boyson and Naik (2009), alternative UCITS funds have no restrictions on incentive structures. Our research is also related to that of Koski and Ponti (1999) and Almazan et al. (2004) who investigate the differences in performance of mutual funds that use derivatives and mutual funds that do not. In one of the more recent studies of UCITS funds, Darolles (2011) examines alternative UCITS funds. Similar to Agarwal, Boyson and Naik (2009) he finds that hedge fund experience counts when managing. Alternative UCITS funds. Darolles (2011) studies 450 alternative UCITS funds in the 28 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication Morningstar database on 450 alternative UCITS funds from June 2004 to May 2011 and compares them to 2782 hedge funds. Furthermore, the study finds that that the regulatory constraints come with a cost in terms of performance, but that this cost depends on the hedge fund’s investment objective. This result is in line with the study by Stefanini et al. (2010), who find that, on average, Alternative UCITS funds underperform by 3.50%. Stefanini et al. (2010) employ a tracking error approach to compare performance of offshore traditional hedge fund and the corresponding onshore UCITS version. Other studies examine UCITS using smaller databases. Tuchschmid et al. (2010) examine 191 Alternative UCITS funds using the Alix UCITS Alternative Index database. Pascalau (2011) uses a sample of 66 USD share class UCITS from the BarclayHedge database. Tuchschmid et al. (2010) and Pascalau (2011) both use the Fung and Hsieh (2004) model to calculate risk adjusted return performance. Our study builds on and extends the above papers in three main ways. First, by using one of the most comprehensive aggregate UHF and HF databases constructed to date, we increase the data sample significantly both in the time series (with data ending 2012) and the cross-section. The advantage of using an aggregate database is that given the relatively small number of UHFs compared to HFs we are more likely to capture the full universe of exciting UCTS funds. Second, we use a significantly larger number of crosssectional variables that allows us to capture not only aspects of the incentives faced by managers (performance fees, high water markets, etc) but also liquidity conditions (redemption, notice and lockup periods) An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 3. Literature Review and our Contribution which have not been studied in the above studies. Third, our paper is related to the literature that documents cross-sectional performance differences among hedge funds. This literature shows that funds with greater managerial incentives (e.g. Agarwal, Daniel, and Naik (2009), Aggarwal and Jorion (2010)), strict share restrictions (e.g., Aragon (2007)), and less binding capacity constraints (e.g., Teo (2010)), on average, outperform their peers on a risk-adjusted basis. On the relationship between liquidity and hedge fund performance, Aragon (2007) argues that share restrictions allow hedge funds to manage illiquid assets and earn an illiquidity premium. Teo (2011) examines hedge funds that grant favourable redemption terms to investors. He finds that hedge funds that are exposed to liquidity risk, but not shielded by strict share restrictions, underperform during times of financial distress due to costly capital outflows. Joenväärä, Kosowski and Tolonen (2012) aggregate five commercially available hedge fund databases and show that the stylized facts about hedge fund performance and certain fund characteristics are sensitive to the database used. We build on this work by using information about funds’ regulatory structure which allows us to impose testable restrictions on the relationship between liquidity and UHFs’ performance and risk. An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 29 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 3. Literature Review and our Contribution 30 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 4. UCITS Restrictions and Testable Hypotheses An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 31 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 4. UCITS Restrictions and Testable Hypotheses There is some misunderstanding in the literature on UCITS funds since they are sometimes viewed as a ‘regulated version of hedge funds’ or a ‘deregulated version’ of classic mutual funds. In fact both mutual funds and hedge funds are regulated. Since both hedge funds and mutual funds are regulated, it is more accurate to view the UCITS fund structure as imposing additional constrains on hedge funds while allowing more flexibility for mutual funds.21 21 - Note that the hedge fund manager is typically regulated (and to a lesser extent the offshore hedge fund), but both the UCITS fund and the UCITS management company are regulated. 32 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication The UCITS directive was implemented by the EU in 1985 with the aim of facilitating cross-border marketing of investment funds and maintaining a high level of investor protection. The directive was aimed at regulating the organization and oversight of UCITS funds and imposed constraints concerning diversification, liquidity, and use of leverage. Tuchschmid et al. (2010) summarize differences in the implementation of the UCITS directive in different countries: “The limited definition of eligible assets, however, hampered investment interest. As a consequence, in the decade following 2000 the European Commission adopted and applied several significant directives referred to as Ucits III. Due to the ambiguity of the Ucits directives, the European Commission granted The Committee of European Securities Regulators (CESR) a mandate to issue guidelines [CESR/07-044b] on what constitutes eligible investment instruments. In general, shares in companies, bonds (government and corporate), and most forms of derivatives on bonds and shares are allowed. In addition, the investment instrument must be easily traded in liquid markets. Most jurisdictions do not allow investments in physical commodities or certificates which represent them. The main exception is the German regulation which does allow holdings in commodities certificates. Hedge fund, private equity and real estate holdings are not allowed. However, the Luxembourg regulation allows Ucits to invest in closed-ended real estate investment trust (REIT) funds and closedended hedge funds. Many jurisdictions also allow investment in indices representative of such non-eligible assets as physical commodities or hedge funds. An exemption in the Ucits directive allows Ucits to hold up to 10%, often called the trash ratio, in non-eligible assets, which in practice allows investments in hedge funds and private equity. In general, Ucits funds are allowed to synthetically achieve short positions through derivatives. France and Ireland are the exceptions where limited amounts of short selling are allowed. There are, however, additional rules which require that the short position should be adequately covered, either by the underlying asset or by an asset which is highly correlated to the underlying.” The characteristics of UCITS funds lead to several testable implications. First, UCITS funds are subject to leverage and VaR restrictions and also require a separate risk management function. As Tuchschmid et al. (2010 note ‘The most significant requirement for a Ucits fund from an organizational viewpoint is that it should have a separate risk management team, which is independent of the units in charge of making portfolio management decisions. Risk management functions exist in all investment funds but the formal requirement could be expected to enhance risk management in principle,[...]’. From a theoretical point of view, investment and risk restrictions may prevent managers from An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 4. UCITS Restrictions and Testable Hypotheses risk shifting, that is strategically changing portfolio volatility, to maximize the value of their implicit incentive contracts and fees (Buraschi, Kosowski and Sritrakul (2012)). This can be expected to reduce the ex post risk of UHFs. We therefore test the hypothesis (Hypothesis 1a) whether the volatility of UHFs is lower than that of HFs for the same investment objective. Tuchschmid et al. (2010) state that ‘Many implementations of the Ucits directive center its risk management regulations on the value at risk (VaR) measure. Most countries distinguish two cases of acceptable VaR levels for Ucits: relative VaR and absolute VaR. Relative VaR is chosen if there is a suitable reference index. Then the VaR of the Ucits may not exceed twice the level of VaR of the reference index. The absolute VaR approach is chosen if a reference index does not exist. Then the VaR of the Ucits may not exceed a specific absolute percentage of the net asset value (NAV). Most jurisdictions have ruled that the 99% monthly VaR may not exceed 20% of NAV.’ Therefore we extend our first hypothesis and examine whether the relationship between the risk of HFs and UHFs is dependent on country of origin of the fund (Hypothesis 1b). Second, restrictions regarding the investment opportunity set may imply that UHFs cannot use derivatives to the same extent as HFs. Since there is evidence that derivatives and dynamic trading strategies can lead to non-normal return profiles we test the hypothesis whether UHFs have less non-normal returns and lower tail risk than HFs (Hypothesis 2). The instruments used by hedge funds depend on their investment objective and therefore we condition each of our tests on the type of investment objective followed by the funds. Third, restrictions on the use of derivatives can also limit the ability to hedge against market downturns and this leads us to test the hypothesis whether the returns of UHFs are less counter-cyclical than that of HFs (Hypothesis 3). Tuchschmid et al. (2010) summarize UCITS regulation on concentration and counterparty risk as follows. ‘The Ucits directives stipulate an array of rules concerning concentration and counterparty risk. These rules are in general the same in regulatory implementations across member states. Most notably, the exposure to any security or money market instruments by the same issuer may not exceed 10% of NAV, and in combination with derivatives it may not exceed 20% of NAV. Special rules apply to securities or money market instruments which are issued or guaranteed by a member state of the EU where the maximum exposure is 35% of NAV.’ Fourth we examine whether cross-sectional fund characteristics are related to UHFs performance. We add to the existing literature by focusing on the impact of investment objectives, trading instruments, and share restrictions. Agarwal, Daniel and Naik (2009) and Darolles (2011) find that experience is positively related to performance. As the above summary shows that not only do UHF investment restrictions differ from those faced by HFs but UHF investment restrictions also differ by country. Our fifth hypothesis is based on the fact that we have information on the domicile of the fund and the management company which leads to additional testable restrictions An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 33 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 4. UCITS Restrictions and Testable Hypotheses regarding the performance of different funds. In contrast to Darolles (2011) we study all investment objectives included in the EurekaHedge database. Darolles (2011) focuses on Equity Hedge, Relative Value and Global Macro CTA strategies (from the Morningstar™ classification) and excludes the Event Driven and Multi-strategy categories. Moreover, the risk-adjustment by Darolles (2011) does not take into account non-linearities captured by the Fung and Hsieh (2004) model which we apply. Darolles (2011) examines the relationship between current performance as well as (1) past performance, (2) fund age, (3) past performance and (4) a year dummy. We examine how share restrictions in terms of notice, lockup and redemption periods explain cross-section of UHFs performance. Given that Teo (2011) shows that HFs granting favourable redemption possibilities for investors, but taking liquidity risk is harmless for investors, it is interesting to examine whether this is an issues for UHFs. Indeed, Tuchschmid et al. (2010) summarize issues related to liquidity risk and valuation in following way: ‘Ucits funds are required to consider liquidity risk [...] when investing in any financial instrument. In practice, this means that they are advised to consider factors such as the bid-ask spread and the quality of the secondary market. They are specifically required to be able to allow 20% of NAV to be redeemed at any point. Ucits funds are required to value their investments at least twice a month. Illiquid instrument are allowed to be held (up to 10% of NAV) as long as the fund is able to meet foreseeable redemption requests. Liquidity should be offered to clients at least twice a month.’ 34 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 5. Data and Summary Statistics An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 35 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 5. Data and Summary Statistics 5.1 Alternative UCITS III and Hedge Fund data 22 - TASS and Morningstar hedge fund databases do not include information whether a fund is UCITS III fund or regular hedge fund. 23 - We calculate aggregate hedge fund AuM figures using December observations given that month’s AuM figures are considered to be more accurate for hedge funds. See, Edelmann, Fung and Hsieh (2012) for details. 36 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication In this section, we review the construction of the aggregate HF and UHF databases. We combine three major hedge fund databases (BarclayHedge, EurekaHedge, and Hedge Fund Research (HFR)) to the aggregate dataset. These databases contain information on which hedge funds are UCITS hedge funds. This allows us to construct two samples consisting of HFs and UHFs.22 The sample period is from January 2003 to June 2012 and contains funds with at least 12 nonmissing monthly returns. We find that our consolidated database contains 642 alternative UCITS III funds, of which 550 are active and only 92 are defunct. In terms of hedge funds, there are 14,216 funds including 6,315 active and 7,901 inactive funds. It is not a trivial task to merge several commercial hedge fund databases and to identify unique hedge funds based on information on multiple share classes. The main reason is that commercial data vendors only provide an identifier for unique share classes, but they do not provide identifiers for unique hedge funds. Using JKT’s (2012) merging approach, we identify unique alternative UCITS funds and regular hedge funds. Given that UCITS funds have their origin in the European Union we do not limit our focus to USD share classes, but also include funds that have only non-USD share classes. In those cases, we convert their returns and AuM information into USD before including them in the analysis. The baseline version of our consolidated database contains monthly net-of-fees returns, AuM, and other characteristics, such as manager compensation (management fee, performance-based fee, and highwatermark provision), share restrictions (lockup period, advance notification period, and redemption frequency), domicile, currency code, style category, and inception. Table 1 presents the aggregate AuM, number of funds, attrition rates for the HF and UHF universe. The table shows that growth has been extremely fast for the alternative UCITS universe during the sample period from January 2003 to June 2012.23 Both aggregate AuM and number of funds have increased significantly. Currently there are 557 UHFs, with aggregate AuM of USD 115bn. Our consolidated database contains a significantly higher number of active HFs. There are 6,207 HFs with aggregate AuM of USD 1.6 trillion. This figure underestimates the size of HF industry, because, unlike JKT (2012), we do not include the TASS and Morningstar databases in our consolidated database. The reason for this is that these two databases do not provide information on whether a fund is an alternative UCITS III compliant fund or a regular hedge fund. One concern with databases is that there may be an over-counting bias as some funds have multiple share classes and there is also a practice of ‘whitelabelling’ funds that lead to identical portfolios appearing under different names (Duncan, Liu and Skeggs (2012)). We do not believe that this is an important concern in our data since we carefully removed duplicate share classes and the number of UCITS funds in our data is very similar to the number of funds in another commercially available UCITS database that we compared our data to. An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 5. Data and Summary Statistics Table 1: Capital formation of Alternative UCITS III and Hedge Funds Table 1 presents the capital formation process of Alternative UCITS III and hedge funds from January 2003 to June 2012. N is the number of funds in given year. 'Agg Aum' provides aggregate assets under management for Hedge Funds and Alternative UCITS III Funds. Attrition rate is the percentage of funds that became inactive during the year. 24 - Given the fact that UCITS hedge funds are a relatively recent development it is possible that in the early part of our sample, some funds that are now classified as UCITS hedge funds may have been non-UCITS hedge funds initially. Year Hedge Funds Alternative UCITS III Funds N Agg AuM 2003 5674 548 301 Attrition rate N Agg AuM 63 4 053 Attrition Rate 2004 6588 836 893 8.7 89 8 165 0 2005 7271 966 500 11.6 117 13 103 0 2006 7917 1 304 928 11.9 166 20 680 0 2007 8171 1 667 172 13.2 224 30 130 0.6 2008 7621 1 158 129 20.0 289 20 327 0.9 2009 7348 1 158 525 14.1 415 50 285 0.7 2010 7077 1 283 742 13.7 554 95 962 5.1 2011 6207 1 242 661 16.5 557 115 078 11.7 Table 1 shows an interesting pattern for attrition rates that measure the percentage of funds that become defunct during the year. On average, HFs attrition rates are significantly higher compared to UHFs, but at the end of the sample the UHF’s attrition rate is almost as high as that of HFs. During the period from 2003 to 2009, the UHFs attrition rate is negligible. We believe that there are two main reasons why the attrition rate is so low. First, during this period, many management companies started to offer alternative UCITS III funds, and therefore there are relatively few closed (or defunct) funds in the database. Second, and more importantly, during the period from 2003 to 2008 the BarclayHedge, EurekaHedge, and HFR databases have not yet started to gather information on whether a fund is UCITS III compliant. This implies that if a fund moved to the graveyard database during that period, it did so without any UCITS III indicator variable. Later in the sample, commercial databases started to provide UCITS indicator information for alive funds, but not for those funds that entered the graveyard data base earlier on. In other words, commercial databases only provide comprehensive data for UHFs that survived. Therefore, the average UHF return could be biased upwards at the beginning of the sample.24 Hence, it is important to examine subsamples of the data given the potential survivorship bias in the UHFs database. 5.2 Summary Statistics for Compensation and Share Restrictions Variables Table 2 presents the compensation structure and share restriction variables for HFs and UHFs. We find that on average HFs’ fees and share restrictions are higher compared to UHFs. This result is intuitive, since by regulation UHFs need to provide at least bi-weekly liquidity and can therefore be expected to have fewer share restrictions than HFs. UHFs can be expected to charge fees that are lower than those of HFs and closer to those of mutual funds. Panel A in Table 2 shows that HFs’ average management fee is 1.58%, which is slightly higher than that An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 37 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 5. Data and Summary Statistics 25 - Aragon, Liang and Park (2012) and Liang and Park (2008) provide a detailed discussion about US regulation’s impact on the hedge fund firm’s lockup decision. 26 - We exclude funds belonging to Long Only and Sector styles, since we focus on funds employing dynamic trading strategies based on active use of derivatives, leverage and short selling. 38 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication of UHFs (1.37%). HFs also charge higher performance-based fees and impose more often high-water mark provisions. Indeed, HFs’ average performance based fee is 18.84% compared to UHFs’ 13.33%. To examine the convergence of compensation structures of UHFs and HFs, we divide funds into two subsamples based on the fund inception date. During the early period when fund inception date was from 2003 to 2007, we find slightly higher fee difference between HFs and UHFs. Indeed, HFs and UHFs that have been opened after 2007 have imposed more similar compensation structures. Return differences between HFs and UHFs can therefore potentially be at least partly explained by the fact that UHFs charge lower performance-based fees. Both theoretical models and empirical evidence suggest that compensation structure variables are associated with managerial incentives and potentially higher gross returns. On the other hand, by construction higher fees should also imply lower net (after-fee) returns for investors. no lockups. Hence, there are significant differences in redemption terms between HFs and UHFs. Our subsample analysis based on fund inception dates shows that both HFs and UHFs share restriction structure are quite similar over the time even though that anecdotal evidence suggests that investors are demanding greater liquidity for their investments. Panel B in Table 2 shows that HFs impose remarkably tighter share restrictions compared to UHFs. By regulation UHFs need to provide at least bi-weekly liquidity to investors. Many HFs are domiciled in the US, however, and US regulation may have an impact on hedge funds’ willingness to impose long lockup periods.25 According to Panel B, 25% of HFs impose a lockup period. In addition, HFs typically allow investors monthly or quarterly redemptions with 30 days advance notice. In contrast, the majority of UHFs provide daily redemptions and Table 3 presents the annualized crosssectional average mean return and standard deviation as well as the average Sharpe ratio for a specific category. The sample contains 11,948 hedge funds, and 475 alternative UCITS funds, which have at least 18 monthly return observations. Table shows that HFs outperform UHFs in terms of standard performance and risk measures across investment strategies. Indeed, the cross-sectional average means and Sharpe ratios are consistently higher for HFs compared to those obtained for UHFs. Lower average 5.3 Summary Statistics for Standard Performance and Risk Measures We next provide cross-sectional summary statistics for HFs and UHFs based on the time period from January 2003 to June 2012. We estimate standard performance and risk measures for each individual fund having at least 18 monthly return observations. We then take the crosssectional average within a specific category. The results are provided for HF and UHF funds across investment strategies. We classify funds into 8 main categories: CTA, Emerging Markets, Event Driven, Global Macro, Long/Short Equity, Market Neutral, Multi-Strategy, and Relative Value.26 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 5. Data and Summary Statistics Table 2: Summary statistics of compensation structure and share restrictions variables This table presents the summary statistics for compensation and share restrictions variables of Alternative UCITS III and Hedge Funds. The table divides funds into groups based on fund inception date to examine the convergence of fees and restrictions. High-water mark indicates whether a fund imposes a high-water mark provision. Management Fee (%) shows the cross-sectional average management fee within a specific category. Incentive Fee (%) shows the cross-sectional average incentive fee within a specific category. Incentive Fee (Y=1, N=1) indicates the percentage of funds charging an incentive fee. Lockup denotes the length of period when investors are restricted to withdraw their initial investment. Notice is the cross-sectional average advance notice period. Redemption denotes the cross-sectional average redemption frequency. Panel A: Compensation structure variables Hedge Funds Compensation Structure Alternative UCITS III Funds N Mean Min Max N Mean Min Max High-Water Mark (%) 14100 83.55 0 1 635 62.20 0 1 Management Fee (%) 14127 1.58 0 20 640 1.37 0 3 Incentive Fee (%) 14116 18.84 0 65 636 13.33 0 30 Incentive Fee (Y=1, N=1) 14216 95.62 0 1 642 76.48 0 1 Fund inception date between January 2003 and Decmeber 2006 High-Water Mark (%) N Mean Min Max N Mean Min Max 5619 84.66 0 1 122 54.92 0 1 Management Fee (%) 5614 1.59 0 6 122 1.26 0 3 Incentive Fee (%) 5603 18.93 0 65 122 12.75 0 30 Incentive Fee (Y=1, N=1) 5642 95.94 0 1 122 69.67 0 1 N Mean Min Max N Mean Min Max High-Water Mark (%) 4187 85.03 0 1 468 65.38 0 1 Management Fee (%) 4246 1.66 0 6 474 1.38 0 3 Incentive Fee (%) 4240 18.73 0 60 469 13.85 0 30 Incentive Fee (Y=1, N=1) 4261 95.28 0 1 475 80.42 0 1 Fund inception date between January 2007 and June 2012 Panel B: Share restriction variables Hedge Funds Share restrictions Alternative UCITS III Funds N Mean Min Max N Mean Min Max 13289 0.23 0 5 594 0 0 0 Lockup (Y=1, N=1) 8496 25.45 0 1 217 0 0 0 Notice (days) 13837 32.55 0 365 590 1.93 0 14 Redemption (days) 12930 53.45 0 1825 640 3.37 1 14 Lockup (Years) Fund inception date between January 2003 and Decmeber 2006 N Mean Min Max N Mean Min Max Lockup (Years) 5323 0.22 0 5 107 0.00 0 0 Lockup (Y=1, N=1) 3468 25.14 0 1 43 0.00 0 0 Notice (days) 5502 33.10 0 365 110 1.97 0 14 Redemption (days) 5180 50.13 0 1825 122 3.67 1 14 N Mean Min Max N Mean Min Max Fund inception date between January 2007 and June 2012 Lockup (Years) 3981 0.21 0 5 449 0.00 0 0 Lockup (Y=1, N=1) 2444 22.55 0 1 151 0.00 0 0 Notice (days) 4135 33.40 0 365 436 1.99 0 14 Redemption (days) 3894 49.54 0 730 473 3.13 1 14 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 39 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 5. Data and Summary Statistics standard deviations for HFs suggest that HFs’ higher risk level do not explain their superior performance. It is plausible that limitations in the implementation of hedge fund-like strategies may lead to UHFs lower performance and higher volatility. To examine whether fund returns are nonGaussian, we also estimate third and forth moments of returns as well as JarqueBera test statistics for HFs and UHFs. Table 3 presents the cross-sectional average skewness, kurtosis and Jarque-Bera test statistic for a specific category. The results suggest that HFs have significantly more non-Gausian returns than UHFs. The cross-sectional average of JarqueBera test statistic is considerable higher for HFs compared to UHFs respective test statistic. The results seem to be driven by HFs higher kurtosis, but not negative skewness, in their returns. Finally, Table 3 presents the crosssectional average Fung and Hsieh (2004) alphas and their associated t-statistics across specific categories. The Fung and Hsieh (2004) seven-factor model is based on the following regression, Ri,t = a + b1(SP - Rf) + b2(RL - SP) + b3(TY - Rf) + b4(BAA - TY) + b5(PTFSBD - Rf) + b6(PTFSFX -Rf) + b7(PTFSCOM - Rf) + e, (Equation 1) in which the fund’s excess returns are regressed on traditional buy-and-hold and primitive trend-following factors. The risk factors are defined as the excess return of the S&P 500 index (SP-RF), the return of 40 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication the Russell 2000 index minus the return of the S&P 500 index (RL-SP), the excess return of ten-year Treasuries (TY-RF), the return of Moody's BAA corporate bonds minus ten-year Treasuries (BAA-TY), the excess returns of look-back straddles on bonds (PTFSBD-RF), currencies (PTFSFXRF), and commodities (PTFSCOM-RF). Table 3 shows that the cross-sectional average alphas and their t-statistics are significantly higher for HFs compared to UHFs. This preliminary evidence suggests that regular hedge funds seem to outperform alternative UCITS funds in terms of risk-adjusted performance. Hence, it is interesting to examine more formally performance differences and reasons for these differences. An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 5. Data and Summary Statistics Table 3: Summary statistics for Alternaltive UCITS III and hedge funds Table 3 presents summary statistics for Alternative UCITS III funds and hedge funds over the period from January 2003 to June 2012. Using our consolidated database (BarclayHedge, EurekaHedge, and HFR), we estimate the following statistics for each individual fund. Mean represents the annualized cross-sectional average return for a specific category. Std is the annualized cross-sectional average standard deviation. Sharpe is the cross-sectional average Sharpe ratio for specific category. Skewness and Kurtosis are cross-sectional averages of individual funds' skewness and kurtosis. JB Stat denotes the cross-sectional average Jarque-Bera test statistic for a specific category. P-value is the cross-sectional average p-value of Jarque-Bera test within a specific category. Alpha is the annualized cross-sectional average Fung and Hsieh (2004) alpha within a specific category. T-stat of Alpha presents the cross-sectional average t-statistic of alpha with a specific category. UCITS Strategy N Mean Std Sharpe Skewness Kurtosis JB Stat P-value Alpha t-stat of alpha No All Hedge Funds 11948 6.76 15.67 0.59 -0.23 3.14 161.24 0.22 4.11 0.85 Yes All UCITS III Funds 475 2.56 18.16 0.14 -0.26 1.01 18.77 0.41 -5.39 -0.63 No CTA 1276 8.50 18.50 0.42 0.23 2.35 70.48 0.25 7.04 0.69 40 0.39 19.83 0.06 -0.25 0.69 10.09 0.51 -8.21 -0.72 Emerging Markets 1796 8.75 20.42 0.57 -0.35 3.09 126.30 0.18 5.08 0.90 105 5.82 26.17 0.23 -0.38 1.47 34.42 0.29 -3.19 -0.25 Event Driven 659 7.87 12.70 0.82 -0.34 3.91 192.68 0.16 4.83 1.30 8 -0.59 11.91 -0.02 -0.48 2.44 80.57 0.31 -7.04 -1.25 Global Macro 690 6.18 16.12 0.37 0.06 2.77 113.18 0.24 3.89 0.53 38 0.56 14.16 0.03 -0.20 0.50 5.07 0.51 -6.21 -0.75 Long/Short Equity 3542 6.09 15.06 0.46 -0.18 2.07 56.84 0.24 2.95 0.57 109 3.30 17.77 0.19 -0.24 0.78 10.94 0.41 -5.30 -0.61 Market Neutral 712 3.92 10.29 0.43 -0.22 2.04 56.71 0.29 1.89 0.60 34 -0.16 12.91 -0.01 -0.07 0.70 23.11 0.58 -8.11 -1.18 MultiStrategy 1509 6.10 15.84 0.53 -0.15 2.91 169.14 0.26 4.24 0.81 45 0.17 16.02 0.03 -0.23 0.67 7.46 0.49 -6.48 -0.93 1518 6.15 12.58 1.12 -0.79 6.62 494.23 0.15 3.93 1.67 85 1.95 13.78 0.20 -0.25 1.36 19.72 0.32 -4.70 -0.59 Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes Relative Value An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 41 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 5. Data and Summary Statistics 42 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 6. Average HF and UHF Performance An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 43 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 6. Average HF and UHF Performance 27 - We thank Kenneth French for making available value-weighted market returns for these regions on his webpage. In this section, we investigate how average HF and UHF performance differs. We examine the issue using equal- and value weight portfolios across subperiods, investment strategies and fund domiciles. investors, but hold illiquid assets, deliver poor performance during the liquidity shocks. Hence, it is interesting to examine whether the liquidity-based story can explain performance difference between HFs and UHFs. 6.1. Average Performance of HFs and UHFs We compare hedge fund average performance to equity markets’ overall performance. Specifically, we estimate standard performance and risk measures also for Global, North American and European equity markets.27 To evaluate average performance of HFs and UHFs, we construct equal-weight (EW) and value-weight (VW) portfolios. EW portfolios measures how an average hedge fund performs, while VW portfolio summarizes the performance of the aggregate wealth invested in hedge funds. We expect to find that the aggregate EW portfolio has a higher average performance compared to the VW portfolio, since the earlier studies suggest (e.g., Teo (2010)) that smaller hedge funds, on average, outperform larger ones. We construct a subsample analysis given that alternative UCITS funds have gained popularity during the more recent periods. The early period before the 2008-2009 financial crisis contains only very few UHFs. In addition, results in Table 1 suggest that UHF data may suffer from survivorship bias. To avoid comparing apples and oranges, we create liquidity matched HF and UHF portfolios so that we exclude all hedge funds that do not provide at least bi-weekly liquidity to investors. Both theoretical asset pricing models and empirical evidence suggest that illiquid assets should deliver higher average returns. Aragon (2007) shows that hedge funds with strict share restrictions are able to earn an illiquidity premium. In addition, Teo (2010) shows that hedge funds that provide liquidity for 44 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication Overall average performance results presented in Tables 4 and 5 - show that HFs seem to outperform UHFs. Consistently across time-periods and portfolio weighing schemes, standard performance measures are higher for HFs even after accounting for tail risk. Average Fung and Hsieh (2004) alphas and associated t-statistics are also significantly higher for HFs compared to those obtained for UHFs. In addition, we find that systematic risk exposure is higher for UHFs than HFs, since their market beta coefficients and R-squares of the Fung and Hsieh (2004) seven-factor model are higher across model specifications. An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 6. Average HF and UHF Performance Table 4: Performance of Alternative UCITS III and Hedge Funds Table 4 presents standard performance measures for Alternative UCITS III and Hedge Funds. 'Number of funds in portfolio' refers to the number of funds in a given portfolio (mean, minimum and maximum). Mean represents the annualized average return of a specific portfolio. Std denotes the annualized standard deviation of a specific portfolio. Sharpe is defined as the annualized mean return of a portfolio divided by the standard deviation of portfolio. CVaR refers to empirical expected shortfall at 5% level. M. Sharpe refers to modified Sharpe ratio defined as the annualized mean divided by expected shortfall. Panel A: Equal-weighted Portfolio from January 2003 to June 2012 Number of funds in portfolio Performance measures UCITS Mean Min Max Mean Std Sharpe CVaR M. Sharpe No 6979 4530 8200 7.23 7.65 0.94 5.34 1.35 Yes 266 46 589 7.81 13.63 0.57 10.00 0.78 Panel B: Equal-weighted Portfolio from January 2003 to December 2007 UCITS Mean Min Max Mean Std Sharpe CVaR M. Sharpe No 6815 4530 8199 11.12 5.06 2.20 1.95 5.69 Yes 117 46 226 16.78 8.92 1.88 3.42 4.91 Panel C: Equal-weighted Portfolio from January 2008 to June 2012 UCITS Mean Min Max Mean Std Sharpe CVaR M. Sharpe No 7160 4846 8200 2.90 9.66 0.30 6.98 0.42 Yes 431 235 589 -2.17 17.08 -0.13 12.67 -0.17 Panel D: Value-weighted Portfolio from January 2003 to June 2012 Number of funds in portfolio Performance measures UCITS Mean Min Max Mean Std Sharpe CVaR M. Sharpe No 5607 3000 6655 6.19 6.62 0.94 4.15 1.49 Yes 164 21 492 7.99 13.46 0.59 9.77 0.82 Panel E: Benchmark Portfolio from January 2003 to June 2012 Mean Std Sharpe CVaR M. Sharpe Global Equities 9.72 20.67 0.47 14.38 0.68 European Equities 8.44 16.78 0.50 12.08 0.70 North American Equities 7.94 15.84 0.50 10.89 0.73 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 45 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 6. Average HF and UHF Performance Table 5: Average risk-adjusted returns of Alternative UCITS III and hedge funds Table 5 presents average risk-adjusted returns and risk loadings. The risk is adjusted using the Fung and Hsieh (2004) seven-factor model. Alpha refers to the annualized intercept of the Fung and Hsieh (2004) model. T-value is the t-statistic of the Fung and Hsieh (2004) model's intercept. Risk loadings of the Fung and Hsieh (2004) model are obtained as the excess return of the S&P 500 index (SP), the return of the Russell 2000 index minus the return of the S&P 500 index (SCLC), the excess return of ten-year Treasuries (CGS10), the return of Moody's BAA corporate bonds minus ten-year Treasuries (Credspr), the excess returns of look-back straddles on bonds (PTFSBD), currencies (PTFSFX), and commodities (PTFSCOM). RSQ refers to the R-squared of the Fung and Hsieh (2004) model. Panel A: Equal-weighted Portfolio from January 2003 to June 2012 UCITS Alpha t-value SP SCLC CGS10 Credspr PTFSBD No 3.917 2.494 Yes 0.943 0.327 PTFSFX PTFSCOM RSQ 0.335 0.001 0.032 0.263 -0.004 0.642 -0.052 0.272 0.410 -0.011 0.016 0.007 0.689 0.026 0.014 0.669 CGS10 Credspr PTFSBD PTFSFX PTFSCOM RSQ Panel B: Equal-weighted Portfolio from January 2003 to December 2007 UCITS Alpha t-value SP SCLC No 6.902 3.688 0.297 0.119 0.078 0.227 0.006 0.021 0.016 0.606 Yes 9.175 2.672 0.553 0.090 0.325 0.403 0.010 0.036 0.030 0.572 CGS10 Credspr PTFSBD PTFSFX PTFSCOM RSQ Panel C: Equal-weighted Portfolio from January 2008 to June 2012 UCITS Alpha t-value SP SCLC No 1.695 0.647 0.339 -0.136 0.025 0.267 -0.008 0.014 -0.010 0.755 Yes -6.132 -1.279 0.647 -0.203 0.282 0.398 -0.013 0.017 -0.008 0.737 PTFSCOM RSQ Panel D: Value-weighted Portfolio from January 2003 to June 2012 UCITS Alpha t-value SP SCLC CGS10 Credspr PTFSBD PTFSFX No 3.586 2.146 0.259 -0.054 0.051 0.229 -0.003 0.016 0.010 0.528 Yes 1.502 0.515 0.615 -0.104 0.201 0.419 -0.016 0.018 0.013 0.653 However, Tables 6 and 7 show that when we compare the performance of the two groups for ‘liquidity’ matched portfolios, HFs do not seem not to outperform UHFs. In fact, UHFs deliver slightly higher average return and Sharpe ratio. On the other hand, UHFs risk measures are higher compared to HFs. Table 6 shows that both HFs and UHFs provide more stabile returns that equity markets across regions and time-periods. Risk measures are significantly lower for HFs and UHFs compared to respective measures for equity markets. On the other hand, equity markets average returns are higher than those obtained by HFs and UHFs. However, both versions of Sharpe ratios are higher for HFs and UHFs compared respective measures for equity markets. Hence, risk averse investor may view active managers as an attractive alternative. 46 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 6. Average HF and UHF Performance Table 6: Comparing performance of share restrictions matched Alternative UCITS and Hedge Funds Table 6 presents standard performance measures for share restrictions matched Alternative UCITS and Hedge Funds. Specifically, share restriction matched portfolios contains only European domiciled funds, which offers at least bi-weekly liquidity to investors and do not impose lockup periods. We remove funds following Sector and Long Only strategies. The table also presents performance measures for a set of equity benchmark indexes. The definitions of performance measures can be found in the previous table. Panel A: January 2003 to June 2012 Number of funds in portfolio UCITS Mean Min Max No 314 178 396 Yes 232 36 529 Performance measures Mean Std Sharpe CVaR M. Sharpe 5.67 10.07 0.56 6.63 0.86 8.60 13.99 0.61 10.25 0.84 Global Equities 9.72 20.67 0.47 14.38 0.68 European Equities 8.44 16.78 0.50 12.08 0.70 North American Equities 7.94 15.84 0.50 10.89 0.73 Mean Std Panel B: January 2003 to December 2005 Number of funds in portfolio UCITS Performance measures Mean Min Max Sharpe CVaR M. Sharpe No 188 147 212 7.66 6.43 1.19 3.33 2.30 Yes 26 12 43 21.97 9.44 2.33 3.94 5.58 Global Equities 21.95 12.92 1.70 3.39 6.47 European Equities 18.51 9.87 1.88 3.77 4.91 North American Equities 14.87 9.72 1.53 3.77 3.94 Panel C: January 2006 to December 2008 Number of funds in portfolio UCITS Performance measures Mean Min Max Mean Std Sharpe CVaR M. Sharpe No 213 201 223 5.94 7.74 0.77 4.51 1.32 Yes 75 48 113 0.22 15.33 0.01 16.13 0.01 -6.71 21.09 -0.32 22.14 -0.30 European Equities -9.69 17.54 -0.55 19.46 -0.50 North American Equities -10.80 16.07 -0.67 18.23 -0.59 Global Equities Panel D: January 2009 to December 2011 Number of funds in portfolio UCITS Performance measures Mean Min Max Mean Std Sharpe CVaR M. Sharpe No 197 184 202 6.37 10.32 0.62 5.02 1.27 Yes 198 113 252 5.71 16.20 0.35 8.81 0.65 10.67 25.99 0.41 12.05 0.89 Global Equities European Equities 13.30 20.67 0.64 9.94 1.34 North American Equities 16.47 19.56 0.84 9.85 1.67 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 47 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 6. Average HF and UHF Performance Table 7: Comparing the Fung and Hsieh (2004) alphas and betas of share restrictions matched Alternative UCITS III and Hedge Funds Table 7 presents average risk-adjusted returns and risk loadings for share restrictions matched Alternative UCITS III funds and Hedge Funds. Share restriction matched portfolios contains only European domiciled funds, which offers at least bi-weekly liquidity to investors and do not impose lockup periods. We remove funds following Sector and Long Only strategies. Alpha refers to annualized intercept of the Fung and Hsieh (2004) model. T-value is the t-statistic of the Fung and Hsieh (2004) model's intercept. Risk loadings of the Fung and Hsieh (2004) model are obtained as the excess return of the S&P 500 index (SP), the return of the Russell 2000 index minus the return of the S&P 500 index (SCLC), the excess return of ten-year Treasuries (CGS10), the return of Moody's BAA corporate bonds minus ten-year Treasuries (Credspr), the excess returns of look-back straddles on bonds (PTFSBD), currencies (PTFSFX), and commodities (PTFSCOM). RSQ refers to the R-squared of the Fung and Hsieh (2004) model. Panel A: January 2003 to December 2011 UCITS Alpha t-value SP SCLC CGS10 Credspr PTFSBD PTFSFX PTFSCOM RSQ No 1.464 0.619 0.472 -0.086 0.182 0.272 0.004 0.026 0.019 0.592 Yes 1.442 0.484 0.653 -0.052 0.285 0.423 -0.014 0.026 0.016 0.664 PTFSBD PTFSFX PTFSCOM RSQ Panel B: January 2003 to December 2005 UCITS Alpha t-value SP SCLC CGS10 Credspr No 1.048 0.265 0.329 -0.044 0.260 0.415 0.017 0.034 0.014 0.542 Yes 6.372 1.442 0.591 0.056 0.435 0.700 -0.020 0.028 0.052 0.734 SCLC CGS10 Credspr PTFSBD PTFSFX PTFSCOM RSQ Panel C: January 2006 to December 2008 UCITS Alpha t-value SP No 9.443 2.047 0.034 0.003 -0.007 0.376 0.032 -0.002 0.033 0.359 Yes 10.247 1.601 0.474 0.005 0.138 0.552 0.011 -0.014 0.015 0.685 Credspr PTFSBD PTFSFX PTFSCOM RSQ Panel D: January 2008 to December 2011 UCITS Alpha t-value SP SCLC CGS10 No 0.003 0.647 0.477 -0.370 -0.061 0.071 -0.001 0.042 0.022 0.651 Yes -5.836 -0.959 0.761 -0.471 0.064 0.319 -0.043 0.089 -0.044 0.799 Table 7 shows that HFs and UHFs risk-adjusted average performance converges when we draw inference from liquidity matched portfolios. Fung and Hsieh (2004) alphas are very similar for both UHFs and HFs. During the early period UHFs seem to outperform, but HFs deliver higher alpha during the later period. HFs’ risk level is lower, since their equity betas and R-squares of the Fung and Hsieh (2004) model are lower compared to those received by UHFs. Overall, our findings support the view that HFs and UHFs performance seem to converge especially if we take liquidity into account. Figure 1 summarizes our main findings about average performance of HFs and UHFs over the sample period from January 2003 to December 2011. The figure shows that the 48 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 12-month rolling average return for share restrictions matched HFs and UHFs with European domicile is very similar. During the early periods UHFs seem to outperform, but, as mentioned above, this may be due to survivorship bias in commercial databases. HFs also have lower maximum drawdown at the time of the financial crisis. Finally, it is interesting to note that both HFs and UHFs provide more stabile returns than equity markets across regions. Our analysis above is based on net returns after fees and costs. UHFs are likely to be smaller than HFs on average. The smaller size is likely to introduce a performance drag resulting from the total expense ratio and is likely to be higher for smaller funds since some costs do not scale with size. An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 6. Average HF and UHF Performance Figure 1: Rolling mean Return 2003-2011 Figure 1 presents the 12-month rolling mean return for alternative UCITS III funds, liquid hedge funds, European equities from December 2003 to December 2011. 'Liquid hedge funds' contains only hedge funds domiciled in Europe that provide at least biweekly liquidity to their investors. 28 - One important caveat related to the currently available datasets is that we do not know whether an UHF in the data started as a mutual fund or a hedge fund. This information is likely to affect the fund’s strategy but does not seem to be provided by data vendors. 6.1. Investment Objectives Next, we turn to the average performance of the main investment strategies. We classify HFs and UHFs into 8 categories: CTA, Emerging Markets, Event Driven, Global Macro, Long/Short, Market Neutral, Multi-Strategy, and Relative Value. We also show results for Long Only HFs and UHFs given that it is interesting to compare how they behave compared to strategies that employ dynamic trading strategies.28 The overall results across investment strategies show that HFs deliver a significantly higher average performance with a lower risk compared to UHFs. An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 49 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 6. Average HF and UHF Performance Table 8: Average performance across investment strategies Table 8 presents the equal-weight average performance of Alternative UCITS and Hedge Funds from January 2005 to June 2012. 'Number of Funds in Portfolio' presents the minimum (Min), average (Mean), and maximum (Max) number of funds a specific strategy contains during the holding period. Mean is the annualized average excess return over a risk-free rate for a specific strategy. Std is the annualized standard deviation of a strategy's returns. Sharpe ratio is defined as a strategy's annualized average excess returns divided by its annualized standard deviation. CVaR is strategy's empirical expected shortfall at 5% level. M. Sharpe is defined by annualized mean return divided by the expected shortfall at 5% level. Number of Funds in Portfolio UCITS No Min Mean Max CTA 583 792 870 6.80 6.04 1.12 2.38 2.85 2 23 48 2.35 15.14 0.16 9.99 0.24 722 1197 1409 8.29 14.54 0.57 10.58 0.78 24 75 131 8.10 23.68 0.34 17.29 0.47 230 416 506 4.98 8.25 0.60 6.16 0.81 3 6 14 -1.40 8.83 -0.16 6.85 -0.21 271 408 432 4.55 5.52 0.82 2.79 1.63 5 24 52 1.55 10.08 0.15 6.95 0.22 214 276 313 4.03 14.68 0.27 11.00 0.37 50 88 117 2.03 18.33 0.11 13.64 0.15 1300 2199 2594 3.73 10.09 0.37 7.14 0.52 23 72 143 2.75 14.32 0.19 10.42 0.26 271 407 447 3.20 5.37 0.60 3.78 0.85 2 20 43 0.19 10.07 0.02 7.07 0.03 618 925 1032 4.82 6.71 0.72 2.98 1.62 6 29 58 0.66 11.86 0.06 8.18 0.08 572 861 994 5.12 6.84 0.75 5.89 0.87 26 61 96 0.76 11.25 0.07 8.18 0.09 Yes No Emerging Markets Yes No Event Driven Yes No Global Macro Yes No Long Only Yes No Long/Short Yes No Market Neutral Yes No Multi-Strategy Yes No Yes Relative Value Specifically, Table 8 presents the average performance and risk measures for HFs and UHFs. We form equal-weighted strategy portfolios using funds that have 12 return observations during the period from January 2005 to June 2012. We also calculate the number of funds in a given strategy during the holding period since some of the UHF strategy portfolios may contain a small number of funds. Therefore, these results must be interpreted with caution. In addition to the standard Sharpe ratio and volatility, we estimate each strategy portfolio’s empirical expected shortfall at the 5% level and use it to calculate the Modified Sharpe ratio. Table 8 shows that mean returns and both specifications of the Sharpe ratio are consistently higher 50 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication Performance Measures Main Strategy Mean Std Sharpe CVaR M. Sharpe for HFs. Furthermore, UHFs’ risk is higher, since volatility and tail risk estimates are consistently higher for UHFs across investment strategies. An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 6. Average HF and UHF Performance Table 9: Invesment strategy and average risk-adjusted returns of Alternative UCITS III and Hedge Funds Table 9 presents the average risk-adjusted returns and risk loadings across main investment strategies over the period from January 2005 to June 2012. The risk is adjusted using the Fung and Hsieh (2004) seven-factor model. Alpha refers to annualized intercept of the Fung and Hsieh (2004) model. T-value is the t-statistic of the Fung and Hsieh (2004) model's intercept. Risk loadings of the Fung and Hsieh (2004) model are obtained as the excess return of the S&P 500 index (SP), the return of the Russell 2000 index minus the return of the S&P 500 index (SCLC), the excess return of ten-year Treasuries (CGS10), the return of Moody's BAA corporate bonds minus ten-year Treasuries (Credspr), the excess returns of look-back straddles on bonds (PTFSBD), currencies (PTFSFX), and commodities (PTFSCOM). RSQ refers to the R-squared of the Fung and Hsieh (2004) model. UCITS Main Strategy Alpha t-value SP SCLC CGS10 Credspr PTFSBD PTFSFX PTFSCOM RSQ No CTA 6.947 3.250 0.162 -0.032 -0.008 0.058 0.015 0.013 0.035 0.290 -1.123 -0.233 0.523 -0.151 0.245 0.365 -0.006 0.011 0.066 0.422 5.808 1.643 0.549 -0.123 -0.076 0.461 -0.014 0.010 -0.001 0.664 2.793 0.505 0.960 -0.138 0.090 0.742 -0.022 0.018 0.010 0.690 3.486 2.405 0.299 0.006 -0.095 0.304 -0.012 0.003 -0.003 0.825 -3.699 -1.424 0.375 -0.093 0.093 0.114 -0.015 0.007 0.007 0.509 4.193 2.429 0.209 -0.056 0.001 0.098 0.009 0.005 0.026 0.445 -0.135 -0.046 0.444 -0.146 0.062 0.132 0.001 0.000 0.035 0.518 1.391 0.584 0.673 0.006 -0.021 0.407 0.000 0.002 0.005 0.850 -1.657 -0.484 0.894 -0.086 0.067 0.427 -0.001 0.007 0.019 0.802 2.422 1.236 0.449 0.011 -0.101 0.236 0.000 0.006 0.010 0.786 -0.347 -0.110 0.692 -0.099 0.101 0.296 -0.003 0.009 0.023 0.724 2.479 1.506 0.207 -0.053 -0.002 0.094 0.000 0.002 0.010 0.467 -2.032 -0.657 0.408 -0.121 0.175 0.173 0.000 0.000 0.022 0.464 4.892 2.205 0.215 -0.059 -0.031 0.102 0.016 0.012 0.040 0.379 -2.169 -0.625 0.526 -0.101 0.226 0.156 0.000 0.012 0.040 0.514 3.384 2.598 0.213 -0.099 0.035 0.362 -0.010 -0.004 -0.004 0.794 -2.112 -0.634 0.456 -0.151 0.251 0.256 -0.001 0.002 0.025 0.503 Yes No Emerging Markets Yes No Event Driven Yes No Global Macro Yes No Long Only Yes No Long/ Short Yes No Market Neutral Yes No MultiStrategy Yes No Yes Relative Value The Fung and Hsieh (2004) alphas and risk loadings in Table 9 supports the conclusion that HFs outperform UHFs in terms of risk-adjusted performance across investment strategies. We find that alphas are always higher for HFs across strategies. All of the alphas are positive for HFs and 5 of 8 them are statistically significant. Only Emerging Market’s alpha is positive for UHFs. The other strategies deliver negative and insignificant alphas. The results in Table 9 also suggest that UHFs take more systematic risk than HFs. Indeed, UHFs show often higher market exposures model across investment strategies even though the average number of funds in strategies is significantly lower compared to HFs. Also, equity and credit risk exposures are often higher for UHFs than HFs. An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 51 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 6. Average HF and UHF Performance 6.3. Domiciles Next we investigate HF and UHF performance based on fund domicile. The prior literature on hedge funds such as Aragon, Liang, and Park (2011) documents that onshore hedge funds registered in the USA deliver higher performance than the offshore hedge funds. We extend previous work by examining hedge fund average performance around the world. The domicile regions of funds are divided into five groups: Asia and Pacific, Caribbean, Europe, North America and Rest of world. Given that only very few of the UHFs are domiciled outside of Europe, we exclude other domicile regions from the analysis. Table 10 presents average performance results for HFs and UHFs across fund domiciles. Overall, we find that European domiciled funds deliver lower risk-adjusted compared to funds domiciled in other regions. Both versions of Sharpe ratios and Fung and Hsieh alphas (2004) are lower for European domiciled funds suggesting that they underperform. The risk-adjusted performance is highest for North American and Asia/Pacific domiciled funds. We find similar performance between main UHFs domiciles. Indeed, Ireland and Luxembourg domiciled funds exhibit very similar performance measures. The differences cannot be explained by the benchmark model choice, because systematic risk exposures do not differ significantly across fund domiciles. We also find similar results using benchmark free measures like Sharpe ratio. We also find similar performance between main UHFs domiciles. Indeed, Ireland and 52 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication Luxembourg domiciled funds deliver very similar performance measures. Our finding does not support the hypothesis that regulatory differences between countries affect performance in a systematic way. Although UCITS restrictions vary across countries, it is important to bear in mind that the restrictions by country for UCITS are not be set in stone and may vary over time. An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 6. Average HF and UHF Performance Table 10: Fund domicile and performance of alternative UCITS III and hedge funds Table 10 presents standard risk and performance measures (Panel A) and Fung and Hsieh (2004) alphas and risk loadings (Panel B) for alternative UCITS III and hedge funds. The sample period is from January 2005 to June 2012. Definitions of the standard risk and performance measures as well as Fung and Hsieh (2004) model can be found in previous tables. Panel A: Standard performance measures across fund domiciles Number of funds in portfolio UCITS Fund Domicile Mean Min Max Performance measures Mean Std Sharpe CVaR M. Sharpe Yes Europe 396 142 714 3.05 15.50 0.20 11.56 0.26 Yes Ireland 53 18 111 2.97 15.36 0.19 11.10 0.27 Yes Luxembourg 103 31 205 2.52 15.38 0.16 11.47 0.22 No Europe 998 625 1136 3.34 10.79 0.31 7.66 0.44 No Asia and Pacific 160 127 174 11.15 14.25 0.78 8.89 1.26 No Caribbean 3411 2621 3914 4.64 8.93 0.52 6.53 0.71 No Rest of the world 674 527 771 6.33 10.27 0.62 7.56 0.84 No North America 2751 2238 2975 6.02 6.89 0.87 4.43 1.36 Panel B: Fung and Hsieh (2004) alphas and risk loadings across fund domiciles UCITS Fund Domicile Alpha t-value SP SCLC CGS10 Credspr PTFSBD PTFSFX PTFSCOM RSQ Yes Europe 0.225 0.061 0.696 -0.119 0.158 0.399 -0.006 0.006 0.024 0.708 Yes Ireland 0.288 0.087 0.695 -0.107 0.103 0.433 -0.008 0.014 0.013 0.758 Yes Luxembourg -0.068 -0.017 0.671 -0.123 0.173 0.383 0.000 0.003 0.033 0.654 No Europe 2.176 0.775 0.480 -0.139 0.067 0.274 0.007 0.006 0.023 0.648 No Asia and Pacific 9.949 2.744 0.606 -0.161 0.022 0.384 0.011 -0.007 0.035 0.664 No Caribbean 3.819 1.670 0.354 -0.099 -0.038 0.274 -0.001 0.004 0.012 0.659 No Rest of the world 5.565 2.206 0.399 -0.039 -0.094 0.286 -0.001 0.003 0.005 0.687 No North America 5.915 4.075 0.278 0.038 -0.132 0.176 0.003 0.008 0.010 0.770 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 53 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 6. Average HF and UHF Performance 54 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 7. Conclusion An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 55 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 7. Conclusion In this paper we examine the convergence between the mainstream and the alternative asset management industry. First, we provide an academic analysis of the main techniques that are currently used by hedge fund managers and that could be transported to the mutual fund and alternative UCITS space. We categorize techniques according to three groups of techniques: (i) risk management, (ii) alpha generation and (iii) leverage. UCITS regulations impose several investment restrictions and we therefore discuss whether techniques employed by hedge funds can be transported to the UCITS and mutual fund space. Second, we provide an empirical comparison of the performance of UCITS and non-UCITS hedge funds. Based on regulatory constraints, which differ by country, we economically motivate a range of hypotheses regarding differences in performance and risk between UHFs and HFs. We empirically test them using one of the most comprehensive hedge fund databases constructed to date. We find that UHFs underperform HFs on a total and risk-adjusted basis. However, UHFs have more favourable liquidity terms and when we compare liquidity matched groups of UHFs and HFs we find that their performance seems to converge. We uncover an important liquidity-performance trade-off in the sample of UHFs. Our results also show that HFs generally have lower volatility and tail risk than UHFs which is consistent with hurdles to the transportation of the risk management techniques discussed. Finally, we find important domicile effects related to firm and fund performance. 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The Journal of Finance 54(March): 137-157. 62 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication About Newedge An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 63 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 About Newedge Newedge is a leading force in global multiasset brokerage, with a presence in more than 20 locations across 16 countries and access to more than 85 derivatives and stock exchanges. Newedge is independently run, whilst still benefitting from the support of its two global banking shareholders — Société Générale and Credit Agricole CIB — and offers a full range of execution, clearing and prime brokerage services. Newedge Alternative Investment Solutions (“Newedge AIS”) has developed to become a leading independent prime broker. It offers global hedge funds a multi-asset class prime brokerage platform, covering a variety of assets and instruments across equities, fixed income, foreign exchange and commodities, cash and derivatives. Recognising the quality of its Prime Brokerage offer and team, Newedge received numerous industry awards in 2012, including HFMWeek’s Best Prime Broker – Capital Introduction’ awards in Europe and in the U.S. and the Hedge Fund Journal ‘Leading Prime Broker for Liquid Strategies’ award for service providers to the European hedge fund industry. Newedge was also named 'Top Rated in North America' as a prime broker in the Global Custodian Awards for Excellence. Furthermore, Preqin, the alternative assets industry's leading source of data and intelligence, ranked the Newedge Prime Brokerage Group as number one in terms of CTA market share. rates and foreign exchange. Newedge is committed to helping their hedge fund clients maximise efficiency in trading multiple asset classes, while minimising operational risks. • Capital Introduction Newedge's knowledge and in-depth experience enables introductions to sophisticated investors where a match in criteria is found. Newedge specialises by investor type, with dedicated coverage for pension funds, Middle Eastern investors, sophisticated global investors and family offices. Capital introductions are subject to local rules and practices. • Financing, Risk Management and Reporting Newedge AIS offers financing and reporting options that are specifically tailored to client requirements, and to the different assets and instruments traded. The firm focuses on analysing and understanding customers' requirements, legal structure and business, before providing a personalised risk management solution. • Research An innovator in providing investors with benchmarking tools that accurately represent key hedge fund strategy styles, Newedge AIS also produces an exclusive series of industry-leading research reports and provides quantitative statistics on hedge fund return information to investors. • UCITS • Multi-Asset Prime Brokerage Newedge offers clients a single, multi-asset class prime brokerage platform that covers a variety of financial assets including listed products, equities, fixed income, interest 64 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication For investors looking to allocate capital to liquid and transparent fund structures, Newedge AIS offers an open architecture UCITS compliant servicing platform. This allows investors to access best-of-breed An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 About Newedge hedge funds and CTAs that offer a UCITS compliant investment solution within their product range. • Managed Account Services Newedge AIS provides an independent managed account service enabling investors to access the performance of hedge fund strategies through a separately managed account. An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 65 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 About Newedge 66 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication About EDHEC-Risk Institute An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 67 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 About EDHEC-Risk Institute Founded in 1906, EDHEC is one of the foremost international business schools. Accredited by the three main international academic organisations, EQUIS, AACSB, and Association of MBAs, EDHEC has for a number of years been pursuing a strategy of international excellence that led it to set up EDHEC-Risk Institute in 2001. This institute now boasts a team of 90 permanent professors, engineers and support staff, as well as 48 research associates from the financial industry and affiliate professors.. The Choice of Asset Allocation and Risk Management EDHEC-Risk structures all of its research work around asset allocation and risk management. This strategic choice is applied to all of the Institute's research programmes, whether they involve proposing new methods of strategic allocation, which integrate the alternative class; taking extreme risks into account in portfolio construction; studying the usefulness of derivatives in implementing asset-liability management approaches; or orienting the concept of dynamic “core-satellite” investment management in the framework of absolute return or target-date funds. Academic Excellence and Industry Relevance In an attempt to ensure that the research it carries out is truly applicable, EDHEC has implemented a dual validation system for the work of EDHEC-Risk. All research work must be part of a research programme, the relevance and goals of which have been validated from both an academic and a business viewpoint by the Institute's advisory board. This board is made up of internationally recognised researchers, the Institute's business partners, and representatives of major international institutional investors. Management of the research programmes respects a rigorous validation process, which guarantees the scientific quality and the operational usefulness of the programmes. 68 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication Six research programmes have been conducted by the centre to date: • Asset allocation and alternative diversification • Style and performance analysis • Indices and benchmarking • Operational risks and performance • Asset allocation and derivative instruments • ALM and asset management These programmes receive the support of a large number of financial companies. The results of the research programmes are disseminated through the EDHEC-Risk locations in Singapore, which was established at the invitation of the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS); the City of London in the United Kingdom; Nice and Paris in France; and New York in the United States. EDHEC-Risk has developed a close partnership with a small number of sponsors within the framework of research chairs or major research projects: • Core-Satellite and ETF Investment, in partnership with Amundi ETF • Regulation and Institutional Investment, in partnership with AXA Investment Managers • Asset-Liability Management and Institutional Investment Management, in partnership with BNP Paribas Investment Partners • Risk and Regulation in the European Fund Management Industry, in partnership with CACEIS • Exploring the Commodity Futures Risk Premium: Implications for Asset Allocation and Regulation, in partnership with CME Group An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 About EDHEC-Risk Institute • Asset-Liability Management in Private Wealth Management, in partnership with Coutts & Co. • Asset-Liability Management Techniques for Sovereign Wealth Fund Management, in partnership with Deutsche Bank • The Benefits of Volatility Derivatives in Equity Portfolio Management, in partnership with Eurex • Structured Products and Derivative Instruments, sponsored by the French Banking Federation (FBF) • Optimising Bond Portfolios, in partnership with the French Central Bank (BDF Gestion) • Asset Allocation Solutions, in partnership with Lyxor Asset Management • Infrastructure Equity Investment Management and Benchmarking, in partnership with Meridiam and Campbell Lutyens • Investment and Governance Characteristics of Infrastructure Debt Investments, in partnership with Natixis • Advanced Modelling for Alternative Investments, in partnership with Newedge Prime Brokerage • Advanced Investment Solutions for Liability Hedging for Inflation Risk, in partnership with Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan • The Case for Inflation-Linked Corporate Bonds: Issuers’ and Investors’ Perspectives, in partnership with Rothschild & Cie • Solvency II, in partnership with Russell Investments • Structured Equity Investment Strategies for Long-Term Asian Investors, in partnership with Société Générale Corporate & Investment Banking The philosophy of the Institute is to validate its work by publication in international academic journals, as well as to make it available to the sector through its position papers, published studies, and conferences. Each year, EDHEC-Risk organises three conferences for professionals in order to present the results of its research, one in London (EDHEC-Risk Days Europe), one in Singapore (EDHEC-Risk Days Asia), and one in New York (EDHEC-Risk Days North America) attracting more than 2,500 professional delegates. EDHEC also provides professionals with access to its website, www.edhec-risk.com, which is entirely devoted to international asset management research. The website, which has more than 58,000 regular visitors, is aimed at professionals who wish to benefit from EDHEC’s analysis and expertise in the area of applied portfolio management research. Its monthly newsletter is distributed to more than 1.5 million readers. EDHEC-Risk Institute: Key Figures, 2011-2012 Nbr of permanent staff 90 Nbr of research associates 20 Nbr of affiliate professors 28 Overall budget €13,000,000 External financing €5,250,000 Nbr of conference delegates 1,860 Nbr of participants at research seminars 640 Nbr of participants at EDHEC-Risk Institute Executive Education seminars 182 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 69 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 About EDHEC-Risk Institute The EDHEC-Risk Institute PhD in Finance The EDHEC-Risk Institute PhD in Finance is designed for professionals who aspire to higher intellectual levels and aim to redefine the investment banking and asset management industries. It is offered in two tracks: a residential track for high-potential graduate students, who hold part-time positions at EDHEC, and an executive track for practitioners who keep their full-time jobs. Drawing its faculty from the world’s best universities, such as Princeton, Wharton, Oxford, Chicago and CalTech, and enjoying the support of the research centre with the greatest impact on the financial industry, the EDHEC-Risk Institute PhD in Finance creates an extraordinary platform for professional development and industry innovation. Research for Business The Institute’s activities have also given rise to executive education and research service offshoots. EDHEC-Risk's executive education programmes help investment professionals to upgrade their skills with advanced risk and asset management training across traditional and alternative classes. In partnership with CFA Institute, it has developed advanced seminars based on its research which are available to CFA charterholders and have been taking place since 2008 in New York, Singapore and London. In 2012, EDHEC-Risk Institute signed two strategic partnership agreements with the Operations Research and Financial Engineering department of Princeton University to set up a joint research programme in the area of risk and investment management, and with Yale 70 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication School of Management to set up joint certified executive training courses in North America and Europe in the area of investment management. As part of its policy of transferring knowhow to the industry, EDHEC-Risk Institute has also set up ERI Scientific Beta. ERI Scientific Beta is an original initiative which aims to favour the adoption of the latest advances in smart beta design and implementation by the whole investment industry. Its academic origin provides the foundation for its strategy: offer, in the best economic conditions possible, the smart beta solutions that are most proven scientifically with full transparency in both the methods and the associated risks. EDHEC-Risk Institute Publications and Position Papers (2010-2013) An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 71 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 EDHEC-Risk Institute Publications (2010-2013) 2013 • Cocquemas, F. Towards better consideration of pension liabilities in european union countries (January). • Blanc-Brude, F. Towards efficient benchmarks for infrastructure equity investments (January). 2012 • Amenc, N., and F. Ducoulombier. Proposals for better management of non-financial risks within the european fund management industry (December). • Cocquemas, F. Improving Risk Management in DC and Hybrid Pension Plans (November). • Amenc, N., F. Cocquemas, L. Martellini, and S. Sender. Response to the european commission white paper "An agenda for adequate, safe and sustainable pensions" (October). • La gestion indicielle dans l'immobilier et l'indice EDHEC IEIF Immobilier d'Entreprise France (September). • Real estate indexing and the EDHEC IEIF commercial property (France) index (September). • Goltz, F., S. Stoyanov. The risks of volatility ETNs: A recent incident and underlying issues (September). • Almeida, C., and R. Garcia. Robust assessment of hedge fund performance through nonparametric discounting (June). • Amenc, N., F. Goltz, V. Milhau, and M. Mukai. Reactions to the EDHEC study “Optimal design of corporate market debt programmes in the presence of interest-rate and inflation risks” (May). • Goltz, F., L. Martellini, and S. Stoyanov. EDHEC-Risk equity volatility index: Methodology (May). • Amenc, N., F. Goltz, M. Masayoshi, P. Narasimhan and L. Tang. EDHEC-Risk Asian index survey 2011 (May). • Guobuzaite, R., and L. Martellini. The benefits of volatility derivatives in equity portfolio management (April). • Amenc, N., F. Goltz, L. Tang, and V. Vaidyanathan. EDHEC-Risk North American index survey 2011 (March). • Amenc, N., F. Cocquemas, R. Deguest, P. Foulquier, L. Martellini, and S. Sender. Introducing the EDHEC-Risk Solvency II Benchmarks – maximising the benefits of equity investments for insurance companies facing Solvency II constraints - Summary - (March). • Schoeffler, P. Optimal market estimates of French office property performance (March). • Le Sourd, V. Performance of socially responsible investment funds against an efficient SRI Index: The impact of benchmark choice when evaluating active managers – an update (March). • Martellini, L., V. Milhau, and A.Tarelli. Dynamic investment strategies for corporate pension funds in the presence of sponsor risk (March). 72 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 EDHEC-Risk Institute Publications (2010-2013) • Goltz, F., and L. Tang. The EDHEC European ETF survey 2011 (March). • Sender, S. Shifting towards hybrid pension systems: A European perspective (March). • Blanc-Brude, F. Pension fund investment in social infrastructure (February). • Ducoulombier, F., Lixia, L., and S. Stoyanov. What asset-liability management strategy for sovereign wealth funds? (February). • Amenc, N., Cocquemas, F., and S. Sender. Shedding light on non-financial risks – a European survey (January). • Amenc, N., F. Cocquemas, R. Deguest, P. Foulquier, Martellini, L., and S. Sender. Ground Rules for the EDHEC-Risk Solvency II Benchmarks. (January). • Amenc, N., F. Cocquemas, R. Deguest, P. Foulquier, Martellini, L., and S. Sender. Introducing the EDHEC-Risk Solvency Benchmarks – Maximising the Benefits of Equity Investments for Insurance Companies facing Solvency II Constraints - Synthesis -. (January). • Amenc, N., F. Cocquemas, R. Deguest, P. Foulquier, Martellini, L., and S. Sender. Introducing the EDHEC-Risk Solvency Benchmarks – Maximising the Benefits of Equity Investments for Insurance Companies facing Solvency II Constraints (January). • Schoeffler.P. Les estimateurs de marché optimaux de la performance de l’immobilier de bureaux en France (January). 2011 • Amenc, N., F. Goltz, Martellini, L., and D. Sahoo. A long horizon perspective on the cross-sectional risk-return relationship in equity markets (December 2011). • Amenc, N., F. Goltz, and L. Tang. EDHEC-Risk European index survey 2011 (October). • Deguest,R., Martellini, L., and V. Milhau. Life-cycle investing in private wealth management (October). • Amenc, N., F. Goltz, Martellini, L., and L. Tang. Improved beta? A comparison of indexweighting schemes (September). • Le Sourd, V. Performance of socially responsible investment funds against an Efficient SRI Index: The Impact of Benchmark Choice when Evaluating Active Managers (September). • Charbit, E., Giraud J. R., F. Goltz, and L. Tang Capturing the market, value, or momentum premium with downside Risk Control: Dynamic Allocation strategies with exchange-traded funds (July). • Scherer, B. An integrated approach to sovereign wealth risk management (June). • Campani, C. H., and F. Goltz. A review of corporate bond indices: Construction principles, return heterogeneity, and fluctuations in risk exposures (June). • Martellini, L., and V. Milhau. Capital structure choices, pension fund allocation decisions, and the rational pricing of liability streams (June). • Amenc, N., F. Goltz, and S. Stoyanov. A post-crisis perspective on diversification for risk management (May). An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 73 An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 EDHEC-Risk Institute Publications (2010-2013) • Amenc, N., F. Goltz, Martellini, L., and L. Tang. Improved beta? A comparison of indexweighting schemes (April). • Amenc, N., F. Goltz, Martellini, L., and D. Sahoo. Is there a risk/return tradeoff across stocks? An answer from a long-horizon perspective (April). • Sender, S. The elephant in the room: Accounting and sponsor risks in corporate pension plans (March). • Martellini, L., and V. Milhau. Optimal design of corporate market debt programmes in the presence of interest-rate and inflation risks (February). 2010 • Amenc, N., and S. Sender. The European fund management industry needs a better grasp of non-financial risks (December). • Amenc, N., S, Focardi, F. Goltz, D. Schröder, and L. Tang. EDHEC-Risk European private wealth management survey (November). • Amenc, N., F. Goltz, and L. Tang. Adoption of green investing by institutional investors: A European survey (November). • Martellini, L., and V. Milhau. An integrated approach to asset-liability management: Capital structure choices, pension fund allocation decisions and the rational pricing of liability streams (November). • Hitaj, A., L. Martellini, and G. Zambruno. Optimal hedge fund allocation with improved estimates for coskewness and cokurtosis parameters (October). • Amenc, N., F. Goltz, L. Martellini, and V. Milhau. New frontiers in benchmarking and liability-driven investing (September). • Martellini, L., and V. Milhau. From deterministic to stochastic life-cycle investing: Implications for the design of improved forms of target date funds (September). • Martellini, L., and V. Milhau. Capital structure choices, pension fund allocation decisions and the rational pricing of liability streams (July). • Sender, S. EDHEC survey of the asset and liability management practices of European pension funds (June). • Goltz, F., A. Grigoriu, and L. Tang. The EDHEC European ETF survey 2010 (May). • Martellini, L., and V. Milhau. Asset-liability management decisions for sovereign wealth funds (May). • Amenc, N., and S. Sender. Are hedge-fund UCITS the cure-all? (March). • Amenc, N., F. Goltz, and A. Grigoriu. Risk control through dynamic core-satellite portfolios of ETFs: Applications to absolute return funds and tactical asset allocation (January). • Amenc, N., F. Goltz, and P. Retkowsky. Efficient indexation: An alternative to cap-weighted indices (January). • Goltz, F., and V. Le Sourd. Does finance theory make the case for capitalisation-weighted indexing? (January). 74 An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication An Analysis of the Convergence between Mainstream and Alternative Asset Management - February 2013 EDHEC-Risk Institute Position Papers (2010-2013) 2012 • Till, H. Who sank the boat? (June). • Uppal, R. Financial Regulation (April). • Amenc, N., F. Ducoulombier, F. Goltz, and L. Tang. What are the risks of European ETFs? (January). 2011 • Amenc, N., and S. Sender. Response to ESMA consultation paper to implementing measures for the AIFMD (September). • Uppal, R. A Short note on the Tobin Tax: The costs and benefits of a tax on financial transactions (July). • Till, H. A review of the G20 meeting on agriculture: Addressing price volatility in the food markets (July). 2010 • Amenc, N., and V. Le Sourd. The performance of socially responsible investment and sustainable development in France: An update after the financial crisis (September). • Amenc, N., A. Chéron, S. Gregoir, and L. Martellini. Il faut préserver le Fonds de Réserve pour les Retraites (July). • Amenc, N., P. Schoefler, and P. Lasserre. Organisation optimale de la liquidité des fonds d’investissement (March). • Lioui, A. Spillover effects of counter-cyclical market regulation: Evidence from the 2008 ban on short sales (March). An EDHEC-Risk Institute Publication 75 For more information, please contact: Carolyn Essid on +33 493 187 824 or by e-mail to: carolyn.essid@edhec-risk.com EDHEC-Risk Institute 393 promenade des Anglais BP 3116 - 06202 Nice Cedex 3 France Tel: +33 (0)4 93 18 78 24 EDHEC Risk Institute—Europe 10 Fleet Place, Ludgate London EC4M 7RB United Kingdom Tel: +44 207 871 6740 EDHEC Risk Institute—Asia 1 George Street #07-02 Singapore 049145 Tel: +65 6631 8501 EDHEC Risk Institute—North America 1230 Avenue of the Americas Rockefeller Center - 7th Floor New York City - NY 10020 USA Tel: +1 212 500 6476 EDHEC Risk Institute—France 16-18 rue du 4 septembre 75002 Paris France Tel: +33 (0)1 53 32 76 30 www.edhec-risk.com