National Innovation Systems, PESTLE and SWOT Synthesis Report Output Title National Innovation Systems, PESTLE and SWOT Synthesis Report Work Package WP3- Context Analysis and Taskforce Formation Activity 3.3- National ICT Innovation Systems studies & Regional Synthesis 3.4National PESTLE& SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis Short Description The document discusses in detail the aggregated results of the National Innovation System Studies performed in each country, as well as the national PESTLE&SWOT Analysis. Status Final Distribution level Public Responsible partner University of Macedonia Version V01 WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 1/145 Revision History: Version Responsible Organization Comment 01 University of Macedonia Template Created 02 University of Macedonia First Draft incorporating analysis of competitiveness, statistics, policies 03 ATHENA ISI, ISHAS, ICI Provision of comments and suggestions 04 University of Macedonia, University of Patras Provision of reformulated draft and revised structure 05 University of Macedonia Incorporation and reformulation with data from Serbia and Montenegro Revision LEGAL NOTICE Neither the European Commission nor any person acting on behalf of the Commission is responsible for the use, which might be made, of the following information. The views expressed in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Commission. © FORSEE Partnership, 2011 Reproduction is authorised provided that the source is acknowledged. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 2/145 Table of Contents National Innovation Systems, PESTLE and SWOT Synthesis Report ............................................. 1 Table of Contents .......................................................................................................................... 3 List of Tables.................................................................................................................................. 5 List of Figures ................................................................................................................................ 6 Executive Summary ....................................................................................................................... 7 1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................ 10 2 Background Chapter............................................................................................................ 12 3 4 5 2.1 Task Objectives............................................................................................................ 12 2.2 Background Country Reports Countries Reviewed ..................................................... 13 2.3 Methodological Framework and Processes Involved ................................................. 15 General Economic Outlook of Countries Reviewed ............................................................ 20 3.1.1 Countries Overview ............................................................................................. 20 3.1.2 Competitiveness Aspects .................................................................................... 22 3.1.3 Europe 2020 Performance .................................................................................. 28 Policies and Priorities .......................................................................................................... 30 4.1 Background Information on European Innovation Policies ........................................ 30 4.2 Snapshot on national RTDI and Innovation Policies ................................................... 34 4.2.1 Main Innovation Policies Orientation ................................................................. 36 4.2.2 Main Innovation Systems Priorities .................................................................... 38 4.2.3 Coordination and Capacity .................................................................................. 39 Innovation Axis .................................................................................................................... 41 5.1 Human Resources ....................................................................................................... 41 5.1.1 Educational System performance and Science Base........................................... 41 5.1.2 Links between education and RTDI systems ....................................................... 44 Annual data on employment in total knowledge-intensive activities at the national level ....... 45 5.2 Knowledge flows ......................................................................................................... 46 5.2.1 Science-industry collaboration............................................................................ 47 5.2.2 Partnerships ........................................................................................................ 48 WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 3/145 Public-private co-publications per million populations .............................................................. 48 5.2.3 Key actors ............................................................................................................ 49 5.3 Internationalisation of knowledge .............................................................................. 51 5.4 Infrastructure and Funding ......................................................................................... 56 5.4.1 Funding Considerations....................................................................................... 56 5.4.2 Existing infrastructure in the region.................................................................... 60 5.5 6 Innovation and Business Environment........................................................................ 62 5.5.1 Market development .......................................................................................... 62 5.5.2 Industrial RTD and Innovation............................................................................. 64 Focus Theme: The ICT sector in the reviewed countries .................................................... 70 6.1.1 Digital agenda aspects......................................................................................... 70 6.1.2 RTDI /ICT Comparative Performances ................................................................ 72 7 Additional Issues ................................................................................................................. 77 8 PESTLE & SWOT Synthesis ................................................................................................... 79 8.1 Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Legal and Environmental analysis of the Region 79 8.2 Strengths, weaknesses, threats and opportunities in the Region .............................. 84 8.3 Short Discussion .......................................................................................................... 88 9 Conclusions ......................................................................................................................... 91 10 10.1 11 Abbreviations, Glossary, References............................................................................... 93 Abbreviations .............................................................................................................. 93 References....................................................................................................................... 94 WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 4/145 List of Tables Table 3.1. Structural indicators of the SEE economies and basic demographics. ................... 20 Table 3.2. Global Competitiveness Report regional rankings ................................................ 23 Table 3.3. Innovation Capacity Index Rankings 2010-2011 ................................................... 25 Table 5.1. Main education indicators in the region .............................................................. 41 Table 5.2. Spending in education ......................................................................................... 43 Table 5.3. Education and RTDI in the region ......................................................................... 45 Table 5.4. Collaboration parameters .................................................................................... 47 Table 5.5. Publication, licence and patents performance in the region ................................. 48 Table 5.6. Patents and specialisation in the region ............................................................... 52 Table 5.7. ICT trade balance and high-tech trade balance in the region ................................ 54 Table 5.8. Participaton of SEE countries in funding programmes (AT excluded) .................... 54 Table 5.9. EC Funding and participation per country ............................................................ 55 Table 5.10. Pattern of innovation followed by enterprises in the region .............................. 63 Table 5.11. Innovation profiles of enterprises in the region ................................................. 65 Table 5.12. Strategic trends of enterprises in the region ...................................................... 67 Table 6.1. Percentage of ICT sector in GDP ........................................................................... 74 Table 6.2. ICT expenditure as % of GPD in the region ........................................................... 75 Table 7.1. Regional innovation typologies in the area .......................................................... 77 Table 8.1. Synthesized regional PESTLE ................................................................................ 80 Table 8.2. Synthesized regional SWOT ................................................................................. 85 Table 8.3. Self-Assessment Tool on Features of a well-functioning NIS ................................. 88 Table A- 22: Opportunities and Challenges of financial crisis on the ICT sector ..................... 97 Table A- 23: Trade Balances in the region (difference between exports and imports) ......... 102 Table A- 24. Trade Balances in the region........................................................................... 103 Table A- 25. ICT policies and challenges at the EU level ...................................................... 104 Table A- 26. Operational Programmes Coherence .............................................................. 113 Table A- 27. Common priority axis and baseline priorities in the region ............................. 114 Table A- 28. FP7 participation per country and theme /top 20 performers in the EU .......... 130 WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 5/145 List of Figures Figure 1: Synthesis Report Methodological Conceptual Schema ............................................. 15 Figure 2. Illustration of competitive aspects in the region (1) .................................................. 25 Figure 3. Illustration of competitive aspects in the region (2) .................................................. 26 Figure 4. Illustration of competitive aspects in the region (3) .................................................. 28 Figure 5. Europe 2020 indicators positioning ............................................................................ 28 Figure 6. Assessment of supply-side or demand-side public policies and technology-push and demand factors .......................................................................................................................... 36 Figure 7. Competitiveness Aspects in Education and Rankings in the region (global rankings) ..................................................................................................................................................... 43 Figure 8. Employment in knowledge-intensive activities progress 2007-2009 ........................ 46 Figure 9. R&D expenditure by source of funds ......................................................................... 57 Figure 10. Gross Domestic Expenditure of R&D as % of GDP ................................................... 58 Figure 11. Business R&D expenditure a as % of GDP ................................................................ 59 Figure 12. Distribution of ICT BERD shares in EU countries ...................................................... 60 Figure 13. Progress of the region against Digital Agenda targets ............................................. 71 Figure 14. Weighing of ICT sector components in Europe ........................................................ 74 Figure 15. Major PESTLE forces with a potential impact in the region .................................... 84 Figure A-16. BERD in times of economic downturn .................................................................. 99 Figure A-17. Percentage of Real GDP growth rate in the region ........................................... 101 Figure A-18. Percentage of employment growth in the region .............................................. 101 Figure A-19. Emerging technologies in the context of ICT on a European Level ...................... 104 Figure A-20. Product –Service innovation ............................................................................... 131 Figure A-21. Innovative enterprises by type of innovator, as a percentage of all enterprises ................................................................................................................................................... 132 Figure A-22. BERD by sector of activity ................................................................................... 132 Figure A-23. % of population interacting with public authorities online ............................... 135 Figure A-24.Regional disparities in R&D expenditure as a % of GDP, 2007 ........................... 138 Figure A-25. Regional disparities in R&D personnel as a % of GDP, 2007 .............................. 138 Figure A-26. Regional disparities in employment in high-tech sectors as a % of total employment, 2007 ................................................................................................................... 139 WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 6/145 Executive Summary The present synthesis report aggregates the results of the eight national innovation reports on the basis of an initial appreciation of the potential of innovation structures and systems performance in the region. The report tries to identify the main components of the regional innovation system by identifying the pertaining characteristics which emerge when considering and contrasting the countries under examination together. Thus, the present report aims at synthesizing the results of national reports and drawing upon their implications for policies in the domain of ICT RTD. The National Innovation System reports have delivered key insights into the nature of innovation processes, governance, institutions and partnerships among innovation stakeholders and thus provided new insights on the strengths and weaknesses of the innovation system in a regional scope and the degree to which it is equipped for coping with new emerging challenges. The pace of change has accelerated in the globalisation era, imposing high requirements for policy-makers in the public and the private sphere, which are confronted with a high degree of uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity. Policy-making is confronted with major difficulties in designing, implementing and delivering effective and coherent policy initiatives due to the complexity of innovation processes. In general, the region is fragmented in terms of innovative potential and output. The level of innovation in regions varies considerably across almost all countries reflecting the persisting absence of a unified internal market for many of the most innovative sectors. The main discrepancies among countries lay upon the GDP, government debt and employment growth. The countries present some common patterns in terms of ICT usage and technological readiness, as well as education and labor market. Within the review of the national reports and the topics addressed, the main pillars and parameters of the synthesis results have been clustered into five broad areas, namely: Human resources pillar, including a discussion of the educational systems and links between education and RTDI; Knowledge flows consisting of science-industry collaboration, partnerships and key actors; Level of Internationalisation of knowledge reflecting patents, publications, participation in European research and trade specialization; Infrastructure and Funding and Innovation and the Business Environment, capturing firm-specific trends. General policy considerations, the specific ICT performance and PESTLE/SWOT analysis complement the aggregated results. These broad themes emerged as central across the reports reviewed, but they are also important for addressing the main challenges that Europe currently faces. Set within this context, three main conclusions can be highlighted (pertaining policies and priorities, the PESTLE/SOWT analysis and the five pillars). First, the national reports delivered key insights into the nature and conceptualisation of innovation within their national policies. All countries have explicit policies with regards to RTDI and innovation, which are namely influenced by European priorities and “umbrella” policies. The common policies pursued as key to innovation are related to education (supply of HR for RTDI), support to SMEs and entrepreneurship, development of innovative infrastructure, exploitation of key national strengths, forging strong partnerships across innovation actor and reinforcing private sector in WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 7/145 R&D activities. Cooperation and partnerships, quality of life, education, support of innovative entrepreneurship and competitiveness and improvement of the institutional framework remain on the agenda of the countries for promoting innovation and RTDI, as these broad issues are normally considered insufficiencies and systemic failures of the systems at hand. Secondly, the national reports under consideration have delivered insights on the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats present at a regional level so as to identify barriers and bottlenecks preventing the region from reaching its potential. Most striking strengths are the investments undertaken in R&D infrastructure and broadband, ICT penetration rates and improved educational structures, while most striking weaknesses are the low investments in information technology, the low usage of ICT in the learning process, the limited amount of innovative enterprises and lack of financing schemes for innovative SMEs and start-ups. In similar terms, the support for increasing science-industry collaboration and the role of the educational system towards strategic advantages are marked as important opportunities, while the complex insufficient system for innovation, the low responsiveness of the education system to market demand and the centralization of innovation in certain areas are considered major threats. The main forces that are expected to play a crucial role in the future are political (unstable political landscape, frequent changes in leadership, incoherent spending priorities), economic and market forces (the global recession, austerity measures, poor knowledgeintensive economy extroversion and spending cuts in the RTDI system) as well as environmental (climate change and green culture) and last some social and cultural (increased life expectancy and major societal challenges, improved education levels, poverty and unemployment. Finally, technological forces include R&D infrastructure development, low ICT expenditures as % of GDP and a diversifying picture in ICT application areas. Thirdly, based on the ample materials reviewed and filtered, important directions for policy emerge which indicate towards increased cooperation and coordination of the policy landscape: -Human resources: In general, the levels of education are considered good with adequate graduates in science and technology; nevertheless in most of the counties, the environment is unattractive for retaining graduates and researchers. Furthermore, there are significant weaknesses in training levels inside companies, lifelong learning and absorptive capacity of the RTDI systems. -Knowledge flows: Only Austria and Slovenia have strengths between innovations actors, intermediary units and interdisciplinary centers of excellence. In general, the picture is highly diversified, with most of the countries (expect Austria and Slovenia) targeting basic measures for enhancing knowledge flows such as technology transfer, cooperation and industry liaison, technological parks, incubators, joint technology platforms. The level of gravity or actors in each country is highly dependent on the systemic structures of the research as well as the government system. The main actors consist of public research organizations, universities, private research organisations and to a lesser extend private companies, incubators, innovation zones international research centers and special services or facilities. NGO’s are almost indictable as actors of innovation. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 8/145 -Internationalisation of Knowledge: South-East European countries are among those having limited cross-border activities, and quite differenced trade patterns. The external balance in ICT trade is negative in most of the countries with the notable exception of Hungary. Also, there is a relative specialization in ICT services trade than ICT goods. In this pillar countries are also quite diversified in patenting orientation in ICT and knowledge-intensive industries. -Infrastructure and Funding: The share of R&D as a percentage of the Gross Domestic Product (expenditure of the public sector) is very low in the region with the exception of Austria, which is the only country approximating the EU goals of 3% R&D expenditures as percentage of GDP. Slovenia presents a dynamic share, whilst the rest of the countries do not surpass 1.5%. Business Sector expenditures on R&D present an analogous picture in terms of country rankings. -Innovation and the Business Environment: Slovenia and Austria are the only countries to appear to spend less in non-R&D than R&D. The prevailing type of innovation is both technological and non-technological innovation. In general the countries not present a unified and mature market for addressing new to market innovation. Regarding the type of innovation in SEE countries, product and service innovation is the dominant type, with most of the countries evolving around the EU average. In particular, Slovenian, Romanian and Greek enterprises are characterised by a propensity to introduce new processes and marketing strategies as compared to the EU average. There seems to be a lack of coherence regarding RTDI performances inside the private enterprises of the participant countries, but the whole region appears to be performing well in the areas of open innovation as most of the countries’ indicators are above the EU average. The standpoint of enterprises in the region towards open innovation normally exceeds the stance of EU-27 enterprises. Enterprises in the region generally tend to use innovation stimulators such as knowledge management systems, internal mechanisms for innovative ideas, staff rotations and cross-functional teams on innovation projects. It is important to note that despite some general findings emerge from a set of national reports does not necessarily mean that all the questions have been answered. Important future research directions emerge in the interplay between organisations and institutions, the balance between harmonisation and diversity and the operation of effective mechanisms to enable goal-oriented transformation processes. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 9/145 1 Introduction The present synthesis report aggregates the results of the eight national innovation reports on the basis of an initial appreciation of the potential of innovation structures and systems performance in the region. Different implications in terms of research, technology and innovation (RTDI) policies are highlighted in the process of the synthesis of the national reports. The national innovation system reports, as well as a PESTLE and SWOT analysis were produced by partners to facilitate the main foresight work in terms of approaching in a holistic manner both their innovation systems as well as specific ICT issues. In specific, the national reports provide an initial understanding of the development, planning and implementation of ICT/RTD policies by examining the sectors, technologies and industries that should be promoted to enhance regional competitiveness and the key development trends and by investigating some aspects of the innovation system central to foresight exercises, such as the design and implementation of research and innovation policies, the main orientations, the investment trends, education and training systems , key partnerships, framework conditions that promote business investments in R&D, public support to innovation etc. PESTLE and SWOT analysis were also performed as a basis for more detailed discussion about the scope of the foresight exercises and analyze each country’s external environment to review the general frame for implementation of exercises. The present report was drafted in three specific stages: first the information from the national reports was collected and assessed with a view on enabling key stakeholders access key information that may prove useful in strategic planning and scenario building and understand resources and constraints related to ICT foresight. The report was first drafted on the basis of the structure of the national reports, by aggregating and synthesizing relevant sections. Additional research was performed by accessing key documents and performance reports of the European Union to widen the scope of the results. The information was then re-filtered on the basis of a common methodology that provided a comprehensive framework of presenting results on a regional level. An important constraint reported at the outset is the divergence of the national innovation systems, reflecting country-specific historic and economic circumstances, divergent policies and different approaches on innovation as well as the different degree of sophistication of the relative sections of the national reports determined by access to information and lack of expert-validated results. These difficulties underpin the robustness of the synthesis report. The report is structured as follows: The second chapter provides background information on the processes of the national innovation systems drafting and discusses in detail the methodological framework employed for the synthesis of the results. The third section discusses policies and priorities, both presented at an EU level and country level to enable the understanding of the regulatory environment and conceptualisation of innovation priorities. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 10/145 The fifth section discusses the pillars of the analysis i.e. the different parameters against the results were assessed against. In specific, five pillars are presented: 1. Human resources pillar, including a discussion of the educational systems and links between education and RTDI; 2. Knowledge flows consisting of science-industry collaboration, partnerships and key actors; 3. Level of Internationalisation of knowledge reflecting patents, publications, participation in European research and trade specialization; 4. Infrastructure and Funding and 5. Innovation and the Business Environment, capturing firm-specific trends. Section 6 discusses in detail the ICT sector in the reviewed countries, as isolated from the NIS structural analysis. A wide range of information is presented in terms of comparative performances of countries in ICT specific areas. This section has been enriched with statistical information, however it is noted that in the cases of Serbia and Montenegro, the lack of reliable and homogeneous statistics and ICT specific indicators limits the scope of analysis to the rest of the countries. Section 7 introduces additional issues (regional typologies and emerging trends in innovation) that are extensively covered in the Annex. Finally, section 8 compiles and synthesizes the PESTLE & SWOT analysis and the last section concludes. The document Annex provides supplementary information of each of the sections, enabling stakeholders and interested parties to access country-specific information upon which highlevel results were derived as well as some information on the effects of the current financial crisis on innovation and ICT. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 11/145 2 Background Chapter This chapter provides an overview of the objectives for the specific activity, as well as the methodological considerations that underlined the formulation of the report. 2.1 Task Objectives Within the context of activity 3.3 (National ICT Innovation Systems studies & Regional Synthesis) and activity 3.4 (National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis), an extensive analysis was undertook by partners to produce national innovation system reports, as well as a PESTLE and SWOT analysis. The underlying objectives of the National NIS, PESLTE &SWOT report in relation to the main foresight work were: to identify the main policies and implications for policy that lead to the definition of priority areas to understand the development, planning and implementation of ICT/RTD policies to grasp the region-specific needs for foresight by including the regional characteristics and regional goals, drivers and barriers to identify the sectors, technologies and industries that should be promoted to enhance regional competitiveness and the key development trends in central social issues to investigate some aspects of the innovation system central to foresight exercises, such as the design and implementation of research and innovation policies, the main orientations, the investment trends, education and training systems , key partnerships, framework conditions that promote business investments in R&D, public support to innovation etc. to perform PESTLE and SWOT as a basis for more detailed discussion about the scope of the foresight exercises and analyze each country’s external environment to review the general frame for implementation of exercises to enable key stakeholders involved in the foresight exercise access key information that may prove useful in strategic planning and scenario building to enable the FORSEE Consortium understand the resources and constraints related to ICT foresight that would contribute to the common methodology The information collected by the national reports will be used to inform stakeholders, map competencies and capabilities, map implications and strategies and extrapolate positive trends. The report’s structure (elaborated by the Task Leader-University of Macedonia) abides both to the SEE Programme Manual that stipulates that the innovation capacity can be described by the education system, the human resources (level of qualification) and the institutional framework for research and development (public and private sector, institutions, enterprises, budgets, programmes and politics) as well as the “Oslo Manual” of the OECD that provides guidance on innovation indicators and their interpretation. It is also enhanced by additions based upon a scrutiny and review of European policy documents, country reports, Innovation WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 12/145 Scoreboards and Competitiveness Reports generated by the European Union with a view of incorporating components that would serve the overarching aim of facilitating foresight work. Other conceptualisations of innovation flows (such as the concepts of innovation inputs and outputs of the Pro-Inno Europe (1)) are taken into consideration for the analysis of indicators. To develop their potential, and find their new role in the emerging EU25+ knowledge-based economy, regions need to widen their focus and go beyond their own innovation landscape to explore the European and trans-regional dimension to the full. Foresight is a key element in the creation of future oriented and outward looking visions and strategies. Many regions considering implementing foresight exercises need help to overcome initial barriers, such as doubts about the usefulness and usability of foresight, problems linking foresight to existing regional mechanisms, as well as simply lack of knowledge on how to set up and undertake foresight activities. Easy to understand practical blueprints on how to set up a foresight activities to suit specific regional circumstances could be instrumental in supporting regions to implement regional foresight (2). 2.2 Background Country Reports Countries Reviewed A National Innovation System encompasses a broad array of institutions and relationships involved in scientific research, the accumulation and diffusion of knowledge, education, technology development and the development and distribution of new products and processes. It is also defined as a “set of distinct institutions which jointly and individually contribute to the development and diffusion of new technologies in which governments form and implement policies to influence the innovation process” (3). As hybrid systems, innovation systems cut across other societal areas such as education and training, business entrepreneurship, existing infrastructures or other sectoral policies that highlight the interplay of research and innovation stakeholders and actors. The national reports employ a systems approach analysis that is inclusive of the main components of a NIS such as human capital, training, the institutional environment, the regulatory environment, R&D and usage of ICT as well as the resulting linkages among the components. Taking into consideration the innovation systems approach, the reports consider innovation as an interactive process among a wide variety of actors (4). However, in some specific cases, a shortage of relevant sources was noted; therefore partners had the liberty to elaborate on the components where more information was available. In any case, the main building blocks of the innovation system were included so as to provide the “diagnostics” of the situation inherent in every country. (5). A definition of “innovation” as perceived in the present report needs to be elucidated at the outset. According to the OECD innovation is “the implementation of a new or significantly improved product (good or service), or process, a new marketing method, or a new organizational method in business practices, workplace organization or external relations” (6). Innovation is seen as central within the knowledge-based economy, and it is recently that a better understanding of the complexity of the processes has been understood. Thus, the innovation system is perceived as an all-encompassing ecosystem based upon the pillars of science and technology institutions, the enterprise landscape, the broader framework condition of national institutional and structural factors and transfer factors that influence the WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 13/145 efficiency of innovation linkages (6). The factors, policies and institutions fostering innovation as well as the underlying logic of analysing them in the context of the national reports are: Institutions and the priority-setting during specific programming periods, which are essential issues to be taken into consideration by foresight exercises Innovation governance (the implications of governance may foster or impede investment climate, entry to market, business innovation and general efficiency in the system) The macro-economic environment of the country, especially in light of the current financial crisis, as fiscal and monetary policies can contribute to a stable domestic environment. The regulatory framework and analysis of competitiveness of the country (obstacles to competitiveness and doing business may generate additional challenges for innovation and entrepreneurship. The role of public sector procurement policies and other conditions might prove favourable to foster innovation and they are subsequently analysed). ICT usage and the ICT landscape in the country. As FORSEE targets RDI ICT foresight, it is imperative to include indicators regarding ICT with regards to trade, expenditure, productivity, industry structure, economic significance etc. The micro-level (firms), the report endeavours to assess capacities to absorb knowledge. Specific focus in placed upon the specialization patterns of each country and existing infrastructure. Other components and cross-cutting issues, such as links between industry and academia, links between the educational system and research, funding modes are analysed according to the degree of strength and the underlying role within the NIS. Education and training are emphasized as drivers of innovation and are inherently included. The reports acknowledge recent developments in innovation literature, according to which, interactions and linkages between actors, systemic failures and the interaction of the firm and its environment (framework conditions) were key to understanding innovation (or the lack thereof) from a policy perspective. For further clarity, the methodology of the national reports was elaborated by the Task Leader (University of Macedonia). The template, specific guidelines, points for analysis, existing literature and references to be consulted as well as documents including statistical indicators for each country were drafted and provided by the Task Leader (University of Macedonia). The main limitations of this task were concerned with the measurement of NIS which is a difficult manner, so a mix of qualitative and quantitative indicators was used. The indicators were selected on the basis of providing a holistic picture of the state of the NIS. For some countries (Serbia, Montenegro), most statistical indicators used in the reports were unavailable from the European Union and the World Bank, therefore, determining the strength of the NSI was a cumbersome task. In addition, these countries have recently introduced the concept of innovation as a policy instrument, resulting in a lack of practice and treatment of WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 14/145 measures supporting innovation. As standard metrics were unavailable and the constituent parts of the systems dissimilar, relevant partners relied on existing literature and some qualitative measurements when available. In addition, some factors, such as knowledge flows, interactions and linkages and the functionality of the system were difficult to assess for many countries. The interactions between multinational companies and local firms were also difficult to determine. The reports also expand to the environment to involve broader factors influencing the innovative environment in the PESTLE and SWOT analysis. For instance the social, economic and cultural context of each country was assessed (7) to indicate developments that might have an impact on innovation. 2.3 Methodological Framework and Processes Involved As the synthesis report collects and analyses the results of the national reports to deliver results on a regional level, the methodology had to be adjusted to a comprehensive framework that would allow conclusions to be formulated for each element of the innovation system. On a conceptual level, the methodology for the synthesis in depicted in the following figure: Figure 1: Synthesis Report Methodological Conceptual Schema In the schema, there are five main pillars of the innovation system in the region and each pillar is analysed against some specific issues so as to grasp the dynamics and effects of each of the WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 15/145 pillars. Before the results of the analysis are presented, a short chapter of the general economic situation and competitiveness aspects of all countries intervenes as a “snapshot” of the region in general terms. As innovation surveys provide a wide array of information on the innovation process, the analysis is not usually combined with other information sources such as economic statistics so as to measure incremental changes (8). According to the FORSEE view, it would be inadequate to consider only science and technology issues and not incorporate in the analysis a broad range of social dynamics such as linkages, diffusion, entrepreneurship, finance, skill needs and education, awareness of market and social demands for innovation etc. The pillars and sub pillars are presented below and the principal rationale for developing the framework and each sub pillar is included in the analysis, although the review of framework later on serves at understanding the rationale of embodying the indicators. It has to be noted that this framework is customised to the needs of the specific project but still encompasses NIS literature surveys used to build the methodology (Frascati Manual, (8) (9), (10), (5)). In this line, we do not adapt an available framework, rather we create bottom-up a project-specific framework on the basis of the common NIS components and innovation indicators. The umbrella pillar discusses policies and priorities, both presented at a EU level and country level. This enables the understanding of the regulatory environment that determines the strategic importance of innovation (and ICT/RTDI) for the development of the economy. The way that innovation is conceptualised and the priorities are set also determine the environment in which foresight is called to contribute. The rest of the pillars are included as follows: 1. Human resources a. Human resources (educational System and matrix) b. Links between education and RTDI This pillar includes the basic educational system for the general population, the university system, the specialised technical training system, the science and research base and some basic indicators on the workforce of the countries. 2. Knowledge flows a. science-industry collaboration b. partnerships c. key actors Linkages act as sources of knowledge and technology for firm innovation activities and connect firms to other actors in the innovation ecosystem. The level of interaction differentiated welldeveloped innovation systems as well as successful clusters. 3. Internationalisation of knowledge a. Patents, b. Publications, participation in FP’s c. trade specialization According to the Oslo manual, patent statistics are increasingly used as output of research activities since they reflect the technological dynamics and the direction of technological change. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 16/145 4. Infrastructure and Funding a. Funding Considerations (spending by type, venture capital) b. Existing infrastructure in the region (connectivity, major networks available) The degree of which ICT RTD infrastructure available is compatible with European infrastructure or a part of it is of importance, as the efficient connection of entities and the ICT sector with its environment is evaluated. 5. Innovation and Business Environment a. market development b. industrial RTD and innovation This pillar tries to capture the range of innovative efforts carried out by enterprises, their expenditure, the acquisition of knowledge and efforts associated with other innovation-related parameters such as the introduction of new products and processes, organizational changes and marketing innovations, percentage of sales to new product etc. The focus theme in the framework is the ICT sector in the reviewed countries (comparative performance in the ICT sector, Digital Agenda performance, etc). It discusses in more detail the general status and resources devoted to ICT R&D. This discussion was incorporated in the analysis of the previous draft of the report, however it was decided to disentangle the main indicators and present it in isolation to better serve the needs of the audience. A horizontal second pillar is the SWOT and PESTLE activity. Although SWOT and PESTLE analysis were different tasks in the context of the workpackage, the activities were merged in this report to provide a more comprehensive picture of the innovation systems and the forces that are likely to impact the system and its development. A broad range of social dynamics, like entrepreneurship, finance, scope for formation of firms, skill needs and educations, awareness of market, patterns of economic evolution and economic organisation, environmental and technological forces are included. The rationale behind PESLE analysis lies in that scientific and technological knowledge will continue to evolve and be used in ways that will both shape and be shaped by social structures and processes. SWOT on the other hand captures critical capabilities or deficiencies either in industry of in knowledge infrastructure that is not adequately mirrored in the innovation systems analysis. SWOT includes an initial presentation of the strengths that need to be built on, the weaknesses that are to be overcome, the resources and the opportunities to be exploited and the threats to be avoided. By amalgamating the results, the regional picture presents the common characteristics on which foresight can reside and the common deficiencies that might hamper its impact. In the present common PESTLE/SWOT analysis, the common patterns are brought on according to their relative robustness in the region so as to create a “prioritisation” of common factors. We preliminarily note that the analysis is performed by the partnership therefore this analysis is not expert-validated. According to past literature, two basic families of S&T indicators were previously directly relevant to the measurement of innovation: resources devoted to R&D and patent statistics. The Oslo Manual and Community surveys (such the European innovation scoreboard and community innovation surveys) represent the main building blocks of the indicators and the methodology used. Other studies such as Romijn and Albaladejo (2000) Hansen and WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 17/145 Birkinshaw (2007) were reviewed but their recommendation in including innovation vale chain etc. could not be embodied in this report. The Oslo manual acknowledges human resources indicators (The basic educational system for the general population, which determines minimum educational standards in the workforce and the domestic consumer market, the university system, the specialised technical training system), the science and research base, innovation policies and other government policies that influence innovation by firms, the legislative and macroeconomic settings such as patent law, taxation, corporate governance rules and policies relating to interest and exchange rates, tariffs and competition, the communications infrastructure, including roads and telecommunication networks, the financial institutions which determine, for example, the ease of access to venture capital, market accessibility and industry structure (firm –level) as the main components on the National Innovation System. However, the Oslo Manual grew to capture a wider range of innovation activities than R&D expenditures, a wider range of innovation output indicators such as the introduction of new products and processes, organizational changes and marketing innovations, percentage of sales to new products as well as information about a way that innovation proceeds. The European Union in the European Innovation Scoreboards has adopted a quite divergent framework, where innovation input and output are distinct pillars with specific indicators. Input consists of innovation drivers (Human resources indicators, broadband rate), Knowledge creation (R&D expenditures, funding of enterprises) and innovation & entrepreneurship (Businesses innovating in house, in cooperation, modes of innovation and venture capital). On the output side, employment indicators, exports, sales, patents and trademarks are evaluated to assess application and intellectual property of knowledge creation. However it is acknowledged that innovation involves tangible and intangible inputs, the process of innovation is complex and the outputs might be difficult to characterize. Recent indicators for measuring innovation tend to drift apart from innovation surveys, indexing and benchmarking to knowledge, networks, demand and system dynamcis (9). Recent approaches include intangible capital as human capita, intellectual capital and organisational capital, investments and ICT infrastructure (11), (12), (13) In addition, available surveys are not well-suited to provide information of the institutional environment and linkages. Finally the Handbook of Knowledge Society Foresight (14) further developed 3 indicators to measure knowledge society: Digital divide index (DIDIX), adaptability of work index (AWAI) and the eCommerce index. This are included in the Digital Agenda indicators under the ICT Focus Theme. Last, it is noted that although the systemic approach places emphasis on the interdisciplinary approach in terms of a historical perspective and examine learning and interactions as determinants of innovation, such a task proved extremely complex for partners, as these issues require extensive research, which was out of scope in the specific task. According to the SEE operational guide, context indicators should monitor the evolving socioeconomic context of the countries and it based on official statistics. To complement the acquisition of context indicators, some additional sources were collected, such as: The EU Industrial R&D Investment Scoreboard WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 18/145 ERAWATCH Inno-Reports and INNOVA sectoral innovation watch The European Institute of Innovation and Technology Eurostat and the World Bank Innovation Survey Data RIM database, European Commission. Digital Agenda Observatory The 2010 report on R&D in the European Union Innovation union competitiveness report 2011 WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 19/145 3 General Economic Outlook of Countries Reviewed This chapter mainly serves as an introduction of the countries’ review and their current standings in terms of general economic performance and competitiveness. An assessment of the Europe 2020 performance is also included. This marks a first attempt to unravel the underlying economic dynamics and growth patterns as well as some baseline common or divergent patterns of competitiveness. The chapter is only exploratory in nature, i.e. it does not seek to explain variant economic features but only present the current situation to enable stakeholders gain a short overview of the underlying economic environment. This serves as a familiarisation tool with the specific structural characteristics of the economies that can severely impact future projections and scenarios as well as illustrate the sensitivity of the economies against the backdrop of the current economic turbulence. More information under each heading is included in the Annex. 3.1.1 Countries Overview Most of the countries under investigation currently face some critical challenges both in terms of an emerging society and economy which do not perfectly correspond to the new realities and of an industrial sector that needs to transit to a knowledge-intensive reality. The economic models and industrial organisation of most of the countries (and in particular the former socialist countries) are characterised by the rational of transition. According to the European Innovation Scoreboard (2009), the classification of the countries based on the innovation performance is as follows: Austria and Slovenia are among the innovation followers Greece and Hungary belong to the moderate innovators Bulgaria and Romania are characterised as catching-up countries1 Before embarking on an analysis of the innovation potential and performance analysis, a brief overview of the economic performance of the countries first takes place. Table 3.1. Structural indicators of the SEE economies and basic demographics. 2 Bulgari a Hungar y Greec e Romani a Sloveni a Serbi a Montene gro 139 20 40 83 23 72 n/a 41 Austr ia GDP (100 base value) 1 Serbia and Montenegro did not undergo an assessment in the EIS For consistency reasons, the abbreviations of countries used therof are consistent with the Eurostat taxonomy and are represented as follows: Austria (AT), Bulgaria (BG), Hungary (HU), Greece (GR-EL), Romania (RO), Slovenia (SI), Serbia (RS) and Montenegro (ME) 2 WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 20/145 Health expenditure as % of GDP 11% 6.86% 7.4% 9.6% 5.27% 9.3% 5.7% 9.26% 3 Public expenditure on education (% of GDP) 4 5,46% 4,61% 5,1% n/a 4,25% 5,22% 3,52% n/a General Government debt ( % of GDP) 72.3% 16.2% 80.2% 142.8 % 30.8% 38% 31.3% 38,6% Gross Capital Formation (% of GDP) 22% 25.6% 22% 16.2% 30.5% 23.4% 23.9% 27.7% Employment Growth (%) 1% -5.9% 0.2% -2.1% -1.8% -2.2% 1% (2008 ) Jobless growth Unemploym ent rate 4.4% 10.2% 11.2% 12.6% 7.3% 7.3% 20% n/a (17.6 for 2007) M= 4.6% 10.9% 11.6% 9.9% 7.9% 7.5% 19.2% n/a F= 4.2% 9.5% 10.7% 16.2% 6.5% 7.1% 21% n/a Inequality of income distribution 2009 3.7% 5.9% 3.5% 5.8% 6.7% 3.2% 5.6% n/a % of urban population 30% 22% 25% 47% 16% 26% 29% 61% Rural population 32.6% 28.6% 32.1% 38.8% 45.6% 51.7% 27.8% n/a Source: World Bank and Eurostat GDP, capital formation and employment rates represent basic indicators of the economy whilst public expenditure on health and education as well as income inequality denote some underlying challenges each economy faces as to its budget restrictions. The main discrepancies lay upon the Gross Domestic Product, government debt and employment growth. Austria, Hungary and Greece have a large government debt; however Greece further faces losses in employment growth. Employment growth is negative for Bulgaria, Greece, Romania and Slovenia while unemployment underpins the Bulgarian, Hungarian and Greek economies. Additional societal challenges arise from a quite high inequality of income in Bulgaria, Greece and Romania while half of the Greek population is located in large urban centres whilst half of the Romanian and Slovenian in rural areas. Urban population is equally located in Montenegro. This information will be further analyzed in the context of regional issues and regional 3 4 Base value for 2009 Base value 2008 except for Romania, where last update is 2007 WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 21/145 innovation capacities. In general, the countries face social and economic challenges such as an ageing population, high expectation in regard to quality of life, in particular in healthcare and other concerns. For the two countries that are not members of the European Union, some further clarifications must be made, since these countries have undergone the process of economic transition from a planned to a market economy. The countries were marked by a late transition process with a high percentage of the population living below poverty lines due to turbulent period during the past years, especially for the primary sectors. GDP growth has been considerable for Serbia, with only a recent negative projection while in the Montenegrin Economy, GDP growth is expected to recover after a short downturn and former impressive growth. At the beginning of the transition period there was a common expectation that there would be a considerable improvement in the financial performance of privatized enterprises but this has been slow to materialise. The Serbian economy is dependant on metals, furniture, chemicals and pharmaceuticals while the Montenegrin on materials, agricultural process and consumer goods (World Bank, Wikipedia) The global financial crisis appears to have affected most of the SEE economies, as the real GDP growth rate has been violently disrupted in 2008 and 2009 to regain only a part of the growth momentum in 2010, as depicted in Figure 2 in the Annex. It has to be noted ex ante that this disturbance bears an impact on the investments and GDP percentage channelled to promoting innovation and growth. Similar conclusions can be drawn from the disruptive nature of employment growth diachronically which presents rather gloomy perspective unemployment especially for Bulgaria, Romania and Greece (Figure 3, Annex) Another aspect of the economic profile that can potentially impinge on future developments concerning innovation and the RTDI system is the degree of extroversion or introversion of the economy, as demonstrated by trade indicators (Tables 3.2, 3.3, Annex). The negative external trade balance for import-oriented countries such as Greece, Bulgaria, Romania and Serbia appears to gradually diminish, although this amelioration is more intense for Bulgaria, Romania and Serbia. Negative external balances normally denote a lack of a competitive advantage in the Ricardian perspective, meaning that the national strengths have not been able to be channelled to international markets. This trend however tends to be alleviated when considering total high-tech trade. Indeed, external trade balance of high-tech indicates a strong positioning of the countries in high-tech exports. In similar terms, external high-tech trade improves diachronically with the exception of Greece. At this point, the analysis is not advanced enough to reveal if the SEE countries in question follow a specific, isolated trend with respect to the general EU trend (15). At the moment a short snapshot of the economy dynamics points towards a relative specialisation in high-tech trade as well as a diversifying picture in structural economy and major societal indicators. 3.1.2 Competitiveness Aspects Some additional data on the competitiveness of the economies with respect to a number of issues in terms of the different components of the NIS is given below. Different scores on the WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 22/145 competitive aspects can elucidate some preliminary strengths of each country. For acquiring a rather objective view, several sources were sought. Table 3.2. Global Competitiveness Report regional rankings GCR Rank AT BG HU GR RO SI ME Public institutions Private institutions Infrastructure Macroeconomic environment Higher education and training Quality of education On the job training 15 15 20 24 115 106 80 42 77 89 51 69 82 101 42 123 81 79 92 78 48 49 36 34 43 56 67 37 16 67 34 42 54 21 52 21 10 48 114 42 60 84 100 64 92 26 42 41 70 Goods market efficiency 19 82 67 94 76 39 44 Competition 23 79 51 112 74 37 40 Quality of demand conditions Labour market efficiency 7 82 94 66 76 51 70 32 58 62 125 76 80 39 Efficiennt use of talent 25 79 69 114 70 40 54 Financial market development Technological readiness 23 91 68 93 81 77 28 18 48 37 46 58 35 44 Technological adoption 17 110 49 92 96 65 78 Availability of latest technologies Firm level technology absorption FDI and technology transfer 8 100 47 59 99 38 85 16 127 70 91 108 72 90 63 98 25 109 70 101 44 ICT use 19 32 37 39 45 28 42 Internet users 23 48 33 50 62 31 49 Broadband internet subscriptions Internet bandwindth 25 44 35 37 43 23 41 15 7 38 44 16 35 70 Innovation and sophistication factors subindex Business sophistication 13 95 51 73 91 35 56 6 95 69 74 93 36 70 Innovation 20 92 41 79 87 34 45 Capacity for innovation 11 79 46 105 72 22 51 Quality of scientific research institutions University industry collaboration in R&D Government procurement of advanced technological products 20 73 18 88 83 27 36 18 110 75 112 103 37 52 38 87 106 108 105 64 28 WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 23/145 Source: Global Competitiveness Report 2011-2012, Global Economic Forum 5 The first source classifies countries according to a wide spectrum of issues, such as institutions, infrastructure, education, framework conditions, technological adoption, IC (institutional capacity) and capacity for innovation. Austria lies within the countries with an impressive scores on most of the issues at hand. The quality of demand conditions and the availability of latest technologies as well as business sophistication place the country at one of the first places globally, especially relating to the capacity for innovation. The rest of the countries present a rather mixed picture, since advantages and disadvantages are not streamlined. For instance, Bulgaria’s strengths are oriented towards the macroeconomic environment, broadband infrastructure and ICT use while institutional capacities, training and technological adoption and availability are less advanced components, placing the country at the 79th place for the capacity for innovation. Education, technological readiness, FDI and ICT use as well as innovation and quality of research institutions are among the strongest capacities of Hungary, while the country lacks significantly in demand conditions, rather the capacity for innovation places Hungary among the top 50 countries. Greece is positively assessed in infrastructure, higher education, ICT use and broadband, while linkages and collaboration, efficiency of labour market, competition and other framework conditions appear very weak. Romania is negatively assessed in linkages, infrastructure and training, but the country is assessed as medium in the rest of the components. Slovenia appears to possess a number of advantages in economy, education and training, use of talent, technological readiness and availability and ICT usage and availability and research institutions endowing he country with a remarkable score in the capacity for innovation (22nd place). Montenegro appears to be of high potential as regards capacity for innovation as it positions among medium to high achievers. The country scores considerably in framework conditions such as labours and financial market efficiency but its deficiencies focus on ICT usage, bandwidth and business sophistication. Convergent and divergent components are exemplified in the following figure: 5 Total no of countries: 138, blue countries are included in the first quartile of competitive countries , red in the last quartile WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 24/145 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Austria Romania Bulgaria Slovenia Hungary Montenegro Greece Figure 2. Illustration of competitive aspects in the region (1) A common pattern emerges in ICT usage, internet users, broadband and technological readiness. A secondary pattern indicates a closeness of scores for Slovenia and Austria as a fist set, and the rest of countries as a second set with similarities and differences to both previous sets. In some cases, Greece and Austria pose the extreme positions. For instance, in education, labor market and technological adoption most of the countries are in the same cluster. A quite analogous finding derives from the innovation for Development report which assigns innovation capacity to include the following pillars: Human Capital, Training and Inclusion, Institutional Environment, Usage of ICT and R&D so as to balance a broad coverage of those factors which affect the capacity for innovation. Countries with remarkable marks in the institutional environment are Austria and Slovenia whereas Greece and Hungary lag behind. All of the countries score very well in human capital and social inclusion, with the exception of Romania which is placed in the medium-ranked countries. Similar rankings are noted in R&D and ICT adoption for most of the countries. In R&D and ICT infrastructure, Romania and Bulgaria score less that the rest of the countries which are classified in the top 50 countries in terms of infrastructure. Austria is once more merely exemplary in merely all the rankings. In terms of regulatory and legal framework (doing business in particular), the findings are not attuned to the previous source, since Bulgaria is topped in terms of doing business, Austria, Hungary, Romania and Slovenia have a medium score, while Greece slips into the 107th position. Table 3.3. Innovation Capacity Index Rankings 2010-2011 Pillars/Country Institutional Environment Human Capital, Training, Social Inclusion WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 25/145 General Good Governance General Education Social inclusion 13 60 Policy Assessmen t 32 21 Austria Bulgaria 14 48 17 36 32 40 15 35 Hungary 50 39 109 28 18 31 Greece 83 50 127 20 11 27 Romania 61 56 74 48 43 50 Slovenia 28 25 38 21 8 29 Regulatory and legal framework Doing Business R&D Adoption and use of ICT R&D infra Patents ICT usage Austria 61 13 17 19 Quality of ICT infra 6 Bulgaria 32 48 44 47 21 Hungary 53 30 26 39 77 Greece 107 40 39 36 20 Romania 52 61 51 49 85 Slovenia 56 24 28 28 13 Source: (16)6 140 120 100 80 Austria 60 Bulgaria 40 20 0 Hungary Greece Romania Slovenia Figure 3. Illustration of competitive aspects in the region (2) Note: lower rankings are considered better positioned. 6 Blue colour denotes in the first quartile of competitive countries , red in the last quartile. Non available data for Serbia and Montenegro WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 26/145 It has to be noted that the indicators between the two sources above are quite differentiated both in annotation and methodology, subsequently country rankings under similar headings may be assigned to the same quartiles, but individual scores in absolute terms are diverse. Nevertheless, strengths can be implied yet again in ICT usage, R&D infrastructure and education. A different standpoint on the competitiveness of the economies emerges from the World Bank and the Doing Business Report in specific. Despite the distinctiveness of the sub indicators of the rankings (construction permits, property, getting credit, protecting investors, paying taxes, trading across borders, enforcing contracts and starting/closing a business, the countries in question rank from the 30th to the 109th position out of 183 economies. Austria ranks 32nd in 2011 (and 31s in 2011), Slovenia 42nd (having ameliorated one place), Bulgaria 51st (no change over the year), Hungary and Montenegro 46th (having stepped up 5 counties, Romania 56th (from 54th), Serbia 89th while Greece is ranked at the 109th position (from the 97th in 2010) (17). A political viewpoint is also included in the competitiveness discussion. According to Transparency International (Corruption Index), Greece and Serbia are among the most corrupted countries (3.5), Hungary, Romania, Montenegro and Bulgaria have a better positioning (4.7, 3.7 and 3.6 respectively) while Slovenia and Austria are among the cleanest countries (6.4 and 7.9 respective scores) (9-10 is the cleanest score) (18). It is thus explicit that the historic developments and political foci have endowed the countries with different perspectives on innovation capacities. Government procurement of advanced… University industry collaboration in R&D Quality of scientific research institutions Capacity for innovation Innovation 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Higher education and training Quality of education On the job training Competition Labour market efficiency Business sophistication Technological readiness Innovation and sophistication factors… Technological adoption ICT use FDI and technology transfer Austria Romania Bulgaria Slovenia Availability of latest technologies Firm level technology absorption Hungary Serbia WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis Greece 27/145 Figure 4. Illustration of competitive aspects in the region (3) 3.1.3 Europe 2020 Performance The Europe 2020 Strategy aims at improving conditions and access to finance for research and innovation, to ensure that innovative ideas can be turned into products and services that create growth and jobs so that Europe develops its own distinctive approach to innovation. Europe 2020 builds on its strengths and capitalises on its values by focusing on innovations that address the major societal challenges identified in Europe 2020. It is suggested that pursuing a broad concept of innovation, both research-driven innovation and innovation in business models, design, branding and services will add value and involve all actors and all regions in the innovation cycle (19). This section gathers some baseline information to juxtapose the positioning of the region under investigation against the Europe 2020 indicators (especially in view of societal challenges) to derive common challenges that can underpin the foresight process, especially in view of convergence to a common strategy for inclusive growth. The targets of the strategy are the following: - employment rate Gross Domestic Expenditures invested on R&D greenhouse emissions and energy efficiency share of school leavers and tertiary educational attainment by gender reduction of poverty. EU 27 Austria Bulgaria Greece Hungary Romania Slovenia Target 80,00% 70,00% 60,00% 50,00% 40,00% 30,00% 20,00% 10,00% 0,00% Employment Gross Early leavers Tertiary People at Share of rate by domestic from educational risk of renewables gender, age expenditure education attainment poverty or in gross final group 20-64 on R&D and training by social energy by gender gender, age exclusion (% consumption group 30-34 of total population) Figure 5. Europe 2020 indicators positioning (Source: Eurostat, 2011) WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 28/145 The table above compares the performance of the region against the EU 27 performance and the targets set by the strategy. In this context, societal challenges are more vividly depicted, as well as inherent differences against set criteria for inclusive growth. Austria and Slovenia appear most well-prepared to embrace this strategy, as they almost attain targets in employment rates, early leavers from education and tertiary attainment as well as renewable alternative sources in energy consumption. Similarly, they have the lowest rates of people at risk of poverty. On the other hand the rest of the countries again do appear to be challenged with a different set of issues, except for the employment rate, which is a common denominator. Romania has apparent deficiencies in early leavers in education, percentage of access to tertiary educational attainment as well as risk of poverty. Greece needs to pace towards bringing the gap concerning early leavers and improve tertiary education attainment along with Bulgaria and Hungary, as well as reduce poverty and risk of social exclusion. Energy consumption varies according to size, population and habits while expenditure on R&D seem underachieved for most of the countries (3% is the target set). Notable challenges thus appear in risk of poverty, exclusion and energy. As FORSEE adopts a challenge-oriented approach towards themes relevant to economic competitiveness and societal challenges, this section provides all relevant information. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 29/145 4 Policies and Priorities The following section discusses the main cornerstones of R&D and innovation policies of the European Union to provide a comparative base upon which national policies and their respective trends can be further assessed as to their European Union dimension. As the innovation system consists of a set of institutions that contribute to knowledge diffusion, governments implement policies so as to exert influence on the innovation process. The interconnection of institutions calls upon an analysis of the policies and the implications they have on the innovation process. An orientation of the main innovation policies among the participating countries is also presented in terms of the common innovation systems priorities and it examines whether there is a common orientation among the countries and it focuses on the way in which policies are conceptualized and coordinated so as to detect common characteristics and incongruent elements. 4.1 Background Information on European Innovation Policies The EU approach to innovation policy demonstrates a positioning of innovation as a key driver for a prosperous future. According to the European Commission (20), innovation is the precondition for the creation of a knowledge-based, low-carbon economy necessary to render the EU competitive in the globalised world and to achieve wider societal goals. The challenges that arise at the EU level are to better exploit the potential of the partnership between the Union and the Member states and coordinate innovation at all levels. Framework conditions, uptake rates of innovative products and services and the proliferation of synergies soon became the kernels of the future of innovation policy. In particular the key initiatives and background policies of the European Union are as follows: Innovation Union This initiative aims at supporting innovative ideas turn into products and services that can offer growth and employment and at improving the conditions for accessing funding for research and innovation in Europe. In addition, it aims at improving the quality of life of Europeans and at creating a greener society. It consists of more than 30 action points and introduces the European Innovation Partnerships, the use of public procurement budgets, the Innovation Scoreboard and a European knowledge market for patents and licensing. More specifically, the planned initiatives are the strengthening of Europe’s knowledge base (support coherence between European and national research policies and business-academia collaborations, cut of red tape and elimination of obstacles in researchers’ mobility), supporting new ideas to enter the market via standardization, patent protection, public procurement, smart regulation, reinforcement of private sector investments and of European venture capital investments. In addition, another planned initiative is to secure the involvement of all regions so as to avoid an “innovation divide” and ensure the proper use of the remaining structural funds. The European Innovation Partnerships in turn address challenges such as climate change, health, ageing population and food and energy security efficiently through collaborations of private and WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 30/145 public actors in EU. Innovation Union is a flagship Initiative of the Europe 2020 Strategy for a Smart, Sustainable and Inclusive Economy targeting smart growth. Lead Market Initiative (LMI) The LMI consists of the European policy for six important sectors through which new products and services can enter the European market. The identified markets are: eHealth, protective textiles, sustainable construction, recycling, bio-based products and renewable energies. It further recommends the creation of conditions that can foster the transformation of technological and non-technological innovation into products and services in innovationfriendly markets. The policy tools relate to the improvement of regulations, the encouragement of public procurement, a more innovation-friendly standardization and supporting activities. This can accelerate the market expansion of fast-growing products and services in involved in lead markets. The LMI is one of the nine priorities that the Competitiveness Council of December 2006 had set for reinforcing the innovation action at EU level. Social Innovation Europe (SIE) and Regional Innovation With the aim of addressing social needs and changes, Social Innovation is an initiative that focuses on innovative new ideas that can create new types of collaborations. Social entrepreneurship is illustrated as means through which social innovation can be conceptualized and implemented. Regional Innovation is an initiative that aims at exploiting the potential of regional performances in the stimulation of innovation. It focuses on networks that facilitate the interaction between businesses and the rest of the stakeholders (universities, research institutes etc) active at the regional level as well as to regional governments which have the budget and the competences to efficiently innovate. An example of the abovementioned networks is the clusters initiative at the regional level. In the context of societal challenges, the Strategic-Energy-Technology Plan (SET Plan) is a thematic priority of ERA and a strategic plan by the EC to support the development and deployment of cost-effective low carbon technologies. It is the first step to establish a policy for energy technology in Europe and aims at achieving the 2020 Energy and Climate Change goals and the transition to a low-carbon economy by 2050. The European Industrial Initiatives (EIIs) bring together the Commission and the Member States as well as the industry and the research community in public-private partnerships so as to achieve the rapid development of energy technologies. A joint programming framework and the alignment of the R&D activities to the priorities of the SET Plan are undertaken by the European Energy Research Alliance (EERA). Other relevant trends and drivers Clusters have been set as one of the nine priorities set by the Competitiveness Council of December 2006 for reinforcing the innovation action at EU level. Their objective is to support the cooperation between enterprises and research institutions and other relevant actors in the same geographical area, to raise the levels of openness and excellence of clusters, to increase the transnational collaboration between clusters and to facilitate the integration of innovative SMEs into clusters. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 31/145 The protection of Intellectual Property Rights (IPRs) has been considered as a priority by the Competitiveness Council of December 2006 for reinforcing the innovation action at EU level and as a means of increasing the competitiveness of Europe in the global marketplace. The creation of a knowledge market for licensing and patents is in the center of the EC’s action for the improved economic exploitation of IPRs. Standardization can reinforce the efficiency of innovation in Europe as the definition of (technical) specifications can lead to improved future technological developments and to large scale markets. For these reasons, Standardization in support of innovation was set as a priority in the Competitiveness Council of December 2006 for reinforcing the innovation action at EU level. In addition, a White Paper is currently being prepared in the area of standardization of ICT. Public Procurement for Research and Innovation is seen as an instrument that public authorities can use to stimulate private investment in research and innovation. In this way, lead markets for new technologies can be created and firms can get the opportunity to suggest innovative solutions. The integration of technology requirements into tendering procedures is proposed and explained by the EC in the document “Guide on innovative solutions in public procurement. Since 2008, thematic networks of public procurers which focus on the LMI sectors are being supported with the aim to increase their demand for innovation in products and services. Public Procurement for Innovation has been set as a priority by the Competitiveness Council of December 2006 for reinforcing the innovation action at EU level. The transformation of research results into commercial products and services as well as the proper collaboration of public research institutions, industry, civil society and other relevant actors for the success of this transformation are regarded as significant elements for the industrial innovation. The elimination of barriers that affect this kind of collaborations and the creation of an environment that supports knowledge transfer can increase public investment in research. Including resource management and process management, Eco-Innovation is an initiative that appears in several sectors of the Lead Market Initiative (renewable energy, recycling, sustainable construction). The importance of know-how as a vehicle for the efficient commercialization of new services and products is considered significant for the leap towards a more innovative Europe. The initiative targets at the development of a more digitally literate workforce and at the improvement of education levels and “soft skills”. The Innovation in Services policy aims at strengthening the innovative potential of the service economy in Europe and draws the attention to non-technological innovationrelated services as well. With the exception of the ICT services sector, the innovation level in the services sector is low and this policy has the objective to increase it. In addition, Innovation in Services has been set as a priority by the Competitiveness Council of December 2006 for reinforcing the innovation action at EU level. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 32/145 The creation of national frameworks for venture capital funds is considered essential for a more integrated venture capital market in Europe. EU aims at facilitating the access to financing for innovative small enterprises by creating a common regulatory environment among its members. In December 2011, the EC presented the Single Market Act, which contained several legislative proposals that focused on venture capital funds. Public Private Partnerships in Research (PPPs) is another thematic priority of ERA. Three Public Private Partnerships in Research (PPPs) have been launched in 2009 by the EC with the aim to engage top industrial companies, SMEs and research organizations in Europe in the reinforcement of their research activities in three significant industrial sectors -automotive, construction and manufacturing- so as to achieve a more green and sustainable economy through innovation. The role of ICT and other key technology enablers Information and Communication Technology is viewed by the EC as the most significant characteristic of successful innovation. It is a means of increasing the competiveness levels at a European level, as ICT and other key technology enablers (such as micro- and nanoelectronics, nanotechnology and other) can re-invent the way in which business is conducted and in which products and services are created. The Competitiveness Council of December 2006 has set two additional priorities for reinforcing the innovation action at EU level. Joint Technology Initiatives (JTIs): Joint Technology Initiatives (JTI) is a mechanism for the performance of research at EU level which was firstly established in 2007 by the EC (Cooperation Programme). They are long-term public-private partnerships to support large-scale multinational research activities in key areas which can reinforce the industrial competitiveness of Europe. The partnerships can involve industry actors, the research community and public authorities. In addition, JTIs have been created to function as a coordinating mechanism for the activities of the European Technology Platforms (ETPs). The structures implementing JTI are independent legal entities which function in an integrated way so as to carry out research. A Digital Agenda for Europe: This initiative, which is the successor of the i2010 initiative, aims at the creation of a new digital Single Market with simpler regulations and management and at reinforcing greater interoperability for the ICT products and services. The specific action areas are delineated shortly so as to provide the basis of understanding of relevant policies at the national level. 1. A vibrant digital single market (telecom, internet services) 2. Interoperability and standards (between IT products and services) to ensure a digital society 3. Trust and security (protection of infrastructure, information security) 4. Fast and ultra fast internet access (basic broadband etc) 5. Research and Innovation: the main challenges identified in national R&D systems are the investment gap is related to weak and dispersed public R&D WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 33/145 effort, market fragmentation of financing and the slow uptake of ICT-based innovations, notably in areas of public interest. The R&D targets therefore are to step up efforts and efficiency (e.g. 2020 flagship, cloud computing for government and science), to drive ICT innovation by exploiting the single market (public sector innovation, knowledge transfer, open access) and focus on open innovation and open platforms for new products and services. 6. Enhancing digital literacy, skills and inclusion through digital literacy and skills and inclusive digital services. 7. ICT-enabled benefits for EU society through the smart use of technology and exploitation of information to address major challenges such as ICT for environment , sustainable healthcare and support for independent living, c cultural diversity and creative content, eGovernment and Intelligent Transport Systems for efficient and mobility 8. International aspects In general the level of innovation in the ICT sector in the European Union related to fragmented technology policies (15), scarcity of large-scale projects and slow decision making. However, the same report outlines some factors that are likely to shape the future of the ICT industry: convergence of industries, embedding and integration of technology and closer links between technology and applications. Crowd-sourcing and open innovation also surfaced as critical issues for products and services (21) in which participatory innovation addresses challenges related to the Single Market for knowledge intense services. Prospective challenges at a EU level are ingrained in the level of ICT uptake in the economy (skills and demand) and especially in the public sector. Public procurement has the potential to favour innovative solutions and support R&D and innovation. In this regard, ICT R&D innovation is related to both general issues (promotion of the knowledge economy, promoting adoption, investing in R&D) and technological and market-oriented issues, skills and collaboration and suppliers. Therefore, ICT RTDI cuts across a wide spectrum of horizontal activities and policies. The remaining section thereof discusses policy issues in the countries under view to extrapolate common challenges or fragmented logic of public intervention. A table illustrating the main policies from a review of EC documents and work programmes can be found in the Annex. 4.2 Snapshot on national RTDI and Innovation Policies As a general overview, the general policy orientation and the priorities set in the countries under review have been strongly influenced by their pronounced accession to the EU and its inherent model towards development and growth. The level of influence is exacerbated by the previous development model, as the partnership is represented by Greece that has accessed the EU in 1980, Austria which accessed in 1995, three previously communist countries that accessed in 2004 (Bulgaria, Romania and Slovenia) and two countries that are not members of the EU (Serbia, Montenegro having gained candidate status). Our goal is not present a thorough investigation of the development paths and the homogeneity with the EU Common WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 34/145 Market structures but expose the degree of congruence with European policies and check whether implementation and coordination of policies take place in similar settings. In a typical, supply driven system, orientation and S&T priorities are driven by funding opportunities and not by market demand. This bears several effects to the analysis. It is acknowledged that the innovation policy mix should consist of both supply-side measures and demand-side instruments (22). Policy mixes focusing on demand factors for innovation are found to spur modernisation of the economy and accelerate catching-up of countries and regions and in turn affect economic development. In this section in general, the importance of the public sector in the process of innovation is examined in general and demand-based innovation policy measures through the mobilisation of public procurement, regulation and accompanying systemic measures such as lead markets etc. in particular. Supply-side measures such as subsidies, loans and venture capital do have a positive impact of RTDI activities in the private sector and are presented in conjunction with previous policies when available. Specific demand-side innovation policies started to surface in Slovenia and in Austria, when in the other countries it is still in deliberation. In Specific, public (green) procurements started to flourish in Slovenia as well as open innovation paradigms. In Austria, public procurement for societal challenges in the public sector and green energy appear to gain in importance, while there are some Lead Market initiatives in Western Greece. However, this might have an impact on foresight, since a shift in emphasis from supply to demand-side policies might change the policy mix and delivery of services. According to the Innovation Union Competitiveness report (23), successful demand-side policies are reported by enterprises to have a positive effect, while supply-side measures were less likely to have positively affected enterprises’ innovation activities since 2006, except from enterprises in knowledge-intensive services sectors (although ICT RTD in countries where the state is the main developer of infrastructure could be connected to non competitive sector through state procurement as well). 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Greece Slovenia Supply-side Romania Demand side Austria Technology-Push Bulgaria Hungary Demand-Pull WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 35/145 Figure 6. Assessment of supply-side or demand-side public policies and technology-push and demand factors 7 Figure primary source: Innovation union competitiveness report 2011 and authors’ calculations The predominance of demand in boosting innovation is evident with some diversification in Bulgaria and Hungary, where supply-side is considered more important, however this might be generated by the existing industrial sectors and the export economy as well of the existence of a strong local RD institutional setting, therefore in such a case the boundaries between supply and demand led policies is blurred. It is illustrated that the majority of companies state that only changes in technology-push factors are positive, thus the importance of public sector policies on a national or supra-national level is obviated. 4.2.1 Main Innovation Policies Orientation Sustainable development and economic growth is the main objective behind the main policies among the participant countries (22). Taking into consideration the innovation gap between certain countries it was expected that several differences regarding the orientation of the innovation policies would occur. In fact, Austria’s position as an innovation follower – with the aim of becoming an innovation leader in the forthcoming future- is incongruent with the innovation position of the other countries, especially of those that are in the catching-up phase. However, the domains towards which the orientation of the participant countries is common are many, since formal national programs tend to include policy concepts included by current trends. Nevertheless, there are some policies that direct efforts towards different channels. The section discusses these channels in details along with the degree of occurrence of patterns. The references under each country that support this categorization are given in the Annex. Two specific cases are discussed in more detail (Serbia and Montenegro) where international and historic circumstances have imposed a quite different NIS model on these countries. Serbia on the one hand has not synchronized documents with the Lisbon guidelines and documents. The first attempts of Serbia towards putting priorities into the restructuring of the RTDI system were only taken in 2006 with two new laws for science and innovation that aim at the reduction of budget-based financing, introducing competition for all sorts of support for R&D activities in the country, the inclusion of private sector into the competition process and the creation of innovation infrastructure as part of government strategy for S&T and economic development. In a similar case, Montenegro was faced with different challenges that influenced ICT and RTD. The transition process had some negative effects related to standardization of ICT RTD on the national level as well as harmonization with key regulations and strategies on EU level in recent period. Current legal and regulatory background related to ICT RTD has showed improvements towards introduction and harmonization of the “Acquis 7 Technology-push factors include the emergence of new technologies for exploitation while demand-pull factors are pressure from competitors, new opportunities for market entrance, new demand generated by government and the public sectors or commercial clients. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 36/145 Communautaire”. However, there are some regulations which need to be adopted in the future, such as the Law on Mandatory Financing of ICT RTD, while some of laws need further revision (Law on E-commerce, Law on Digital Signature). The common priorities are shortly discussed below: Increase of support towards all research-relevant actors – Supply of HR for RTDI (8/88) Various measures here aim at lifelong learning, doctoral research, and in general the knowledge and innovation based society by increasing support to the relevant actors in research. Common patterns concentrate on the upgrade of higher education and increase stimulation of research. Support to SMEs- Entrepreneurship (8/8) Support to SME’s is the cornerstone of national policies, where the majority of the countries stress the importance of boosting investment of SME’s especially in new technologies amidst the particular difficult economic downturn. Specific supply-driven measures are envisaged, especially through innovation coupons, direct subsidies and access to finance. It is a common priority for all countries since as it will be available later on BERD levels are extremely low for most of the countries. Development of Innovative infrastructure, Centers of Excellence, Technology Transfer (7/8) The main priorities here include innovative infrastructure and strentgening of regional infrastructure. Innovation zones, incubators and spin offs are more pronounced in Hungary an Greece. By contrast, in Serbia and Montenegro, the emphasis is still placed on new research equipment and ICT infrastructure while in Montenegro some technology and science parks are also envisaged and incubators in Serbia. Increase of competitiveness- Exploitation of key national strengths (7/8) Most of the countries have set targets to increase the competitiveness of their economies and their business sectors so as to make their regions attractive places to invest and work in. Greece, Hungary and Serbia and Montenegro have pronounced their competitive capacities in various sectors. Reinforce the participation of the private sector in R&D activities and fundingInnovativeness of companies (6/8) Such priorities might be explicit or more implicit in other sets of policies for some countries, nevertheless the collaboration of research actors, especially innovative companies and research institutions. Cooperation (6/8) A sustainable basis for cooperation is in the centre of the policies of most countries. However, the type of collaboration that is supported differs from country to country. For instance it may be captured in terms of a sustainable education-business-science relation, among the main 8 denotes number of countries (countries where relevant policies have been identified. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 37/145 research intensive sectors or institutions or between applied research and the industry. Cooperation might also connotate bringing research results into market or participation in common calls for RTD projects. Nevertheless, cooperation is explicit for the majority of the countries. In Montenegro, the emphasis is placed on international cooperation. Improve quality of life and services through the use of ICT (3/8) Improving quality of life and services through the use of ICT is only visible in Romania, Austria and Greece, demonstrating a gap and limited attention of policy makers towards societal challenges, which were outlined in the previous section. Restructuring of the RDI system in a more functional and efficient way (2/8) This priority (mainly in Greece and Romania) targets functional identified failures of the RTDI systems and the re-organization of the systems so as to reduce fragmentations and make optimal use of resources. It has to be noted that this priority is not explicit in the case of Serbia and Montenegro, as the RTD systems of these countries are relevantly new and directly target at deficiencies. 4.2.2 Main Innovation Systems Priorities Priority setting cannot be easily measured and presented ( (22)(Inno-Europe 2012). Current analysis only underlines the policy priorities found in the policy mix. The most common STI policy priorities related to innovation detected among all the participatory countries relate to the support and improvement of scientific research and infrastructure, the support of innovation activities in SMEs as well as of the economic competitiveness of each country. In addition, the promotion of entrepreneurship and increasing of productivity levels are further common points. Most of these priorities seem to accommodate priorities set in the European Innovation Policies and more specifically with the Europe Strategy 2020 and the Flagship Initiatives Innovation Union and the Digital Agenda, including some nation-specific challenges which are not present at EU level. Most of the declared priorities focus on supply side elements. The following list presents the common characteristics on the main priority axis of the countries and baseline common priorities: Education-Training/Lifelong learning and knowledge society. Country-specific measures under this heading are not identical but tend towards the quality in human resources, increasing the number of researchers and improving investments in knowledge and excellence. the acknowledgement of lifelong learning is also gaining in importance Research Infrastructure: Most of the countries aim at the creation of either ICT broadband infrastructure or technology transfer, business pareks r and investment in larger facilities, such as supercomputing centers or R&D institutions. . Addressing Societal Changes- Elimination of Risks and Inequality: this measure is only visible as such in about half of the countries that take into consideration societal challenges and improving the quality of life, such as employment, sustainability, health facilities and combating social exclusion and climate change . WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 38/145 Creation and support of partnerships: The majority of countries aim at the creation of partnerships in RDI fields between research actors, the private sector, financial institutions, national-wide national networks and improving collaboration. These commonly articulated policies are correlated with weak collaboration ties among research actors. Improvement of the institutional framework: This is also a commonly articulated policy with measures aiming at addressing failures and bottlenecks in the institutional frameworks and market access conditions to ensure efficient and coherence in policies. In some cases, demand-side measures are also discussed. Promotion of innovation activities in enterprises: Assistance towards SMEs, research incentives in the private sector, stimulating investments. Specific supply-side measures vary from country to country. Improvement of the business environment: Measures here are similar to the improvement of the institutional framework but instead focus on internationalization of knowledge, exports, patents and start-ups. Support of innovative entrepreneurship and competitiveness: Another common denominator in policies aiming at developing knowledge centers throughout all education levels, technology transfer schemes and access to capital or taxing facilities. in low-performing countries these policies are more generically articulated towards the reorientation of the productive base towards entrepreneur investments. Horizontal support of ICTs: Romania and Greece specifically support application of ICTS as a means of improving quality of life or electronic public services. The relevant table is presented in the Annex for more information. Except for the common priority axis, there are also thematic priority axes of each country in accordance with national strategic frameworks. Some common priorities can be identified at a first glance, such us: ICT, energy and the environment, biotechnology, space and security and new materials for innovative products. Still, these particular common axes reflect international patterns or reflect specific interests in national contexts. Therefore, these particular fields may appear on national policies but that does not necessarily entail actual implementation, instead there are on the rhetoric level. Some additional conclusions on common sectors, though on a more generic level can be drawn from an initial analysis of the Operational Programmes in each of the countries, thus pointing to different foci when Structural Funds are involved. These are relevant only at the regional and cross-border level and regard specific areas of intervention, such as environment, transport infrastructure and increase of economic competitiveness. Relevant tables can be found in the Annex. 4.2.3 Coordination and Capacity The main issue arising from the coordination of policies is the lack of a central coordinating mechanism that can coordinate the activities of the ministries , of other RTDI related actors or even the policies themselves due to the fragmentation of their governance. In general the mode of coordination is not explicit, relying on the interaction of several Ministries and WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 39/145 organizations. Only Hungary and partially Greece and Montenegro have a more explicit organization or interministerial structure devoted to coordinate STI policies. The clarity of the systems and its coordination is different to conceptualize on a synthesis level due to the divergent structures inherent in each country. Still, the degree of stability of the structure in most of the countries is relatively low, as frequent changes take place in governance structures. Furthermore, good governance elements cannot be reported, as the measurement of the density of linkages, the frequency of consultations and the results of consensus-building in corresponding countries remain unknown. Coordination or RTDE in most of the countries takes place among various Ministries and advisory bodies. Ministries with a common mandate to innovation activities include the Ministries of Finance, Education, Information Society and Science. Another issue arising from screening the national reports is that RTDI policies are not usually distinct but intertwined in complex national settings of policy making and governance. A short overview of coordination mechanisms in each country is again provided in the Annex for clarity and easy reference. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 40/145 5 Innovation Axis This chapter presents the synthesized results for each of the pillars identified in the methodological section, i.e. Human Resources, Knowledge Flows, Internationalisation of knowledge, Infrastructure and Funding and Innovation and Business Environment. 5.1 Human Resources This subsection provides further information on Human resources and the drivers and barriers of the educational system to produce innovation inputs based on Human Resources. Educational profiles and HSRT rates in the region are delivered and some issues such as the importance of life-long learning and the robustness of other policies conclude the analysis. 5.1.1 Educational System performance and Science Base As one can assume, the educational systems and the profiles significantly diverge in the region, mirroring inherent differences in educational traditions and the prioritization of human resources as an enabler for innovation. The following table recapitulates basic indicators in human resources, so as to enable an extrapolation of common strengths and weaknesses on a regional level. Secondary and tertiary education attainment seems to be high in the region (exception of Romania indicating a low tertiary level attainment). There a clear shortage in lifelong learning in most of the countries scoring low and very low, but sufficient structures in Slovenia and Austria. Brain drain seems to be a problem, even with countries with scarcity in RTDI. In particular, Bulgaria, Hungary and Serbia are characterized by a scarcity of talent in RTDI, Romania and Austria have good supply rates, while in Greece and Slovenia, the situation is about average. Another major weakness is the RTDI graduates employed. The situation is somehow better in Hungary and Slovenia but for the majority of the countries reviewed employment is low either due to unattractive working conditions or structural mismatches in employment. Table 5.1. Main education indicators in the region9 Education indicators GR RO AT SI BG HU RS Secondary level education attainment 10 High (83%) High (78%) High (85%) High (89%) High (84% ) High (84% ) High (89%) 9 No relevant data have been provided for Montenegro, for Serbia 2010 data, Eurostat , comparison to EU average(79%) 10 WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 41/145 Tertiary education attainment 11 Medium (28.4) Low (18%) Medium (23.5%) High (34.8%) Medium (27.9%) Medium (25.7%) n/a Level of lifelong learning 12 Low (3%) Very low (1.3%) High (13.7%) Very High (16%) Very low (1.2%) Low (2.8%) Low (3.95%) Scarcity of talent in RTDI Relative (12.5%) Good supply (24.9%) Good supply (21.1%) Relative (16.2%) Scarcity (12.4%) Scarcity (10%) Scarcity (10%) Outward mobility of researchers 14 High, increased supply Brain Drain Diaspora n/a n/a Brain Drain n/a HSRT in total employment Low Low Low Medium to high Low Medium to high n/a Low 0.3% Low 0.9% Medium to high Medium Low 0.3% Low 0.4% n/a 13 15 Doctoral degree attainment (% of population) Source: National Innovation Reports In addition, most countries suffer from high levels of unemployment in RTD personnel. The educational structures of all countries serve a long-lasting tradition in science and therefore provide skilled workforce, especially in IT. Only Austria shows a relatively low share of graduates in science and technology, whilst the country is ranked as top in tertiary education. A common challenge is to update the educational systems in terms of skills in RTDI. In most of the countries the innovation RTDI systems are not yet well-structured and mature to enable absorption of researchers and highly skilled personnel to stimulate research careers, as shown by HSRT in total employment. This is also confirmed by the amount and strength of RTDI actors, discussed later on. In Serbia and Montenegro in specific, the educational system is characterized by an availability of scientists and engineers. Still, all countries have experienced increases on public spending on education (both in terms of expenditure and both on DGP on education), except Hungary. Although these metrics do not entail the quality of the education system, as funds might be channeled to personnel, infrastructure etc. it indicates a commitment to increasing science base and improving Human Resources. 11 2010 data, Eurostat , comparison to EU average(33.6%%) Share of persons having participated in education and training, 2009 data, comparison to EU average (9.1%) 13 2009 data, percentage of population graduates, comparison to EU average (19.2%) 14 Partnership evaluations 15 R&D personnel in ICT sector and employment in high technology activities for 2009 combination 12 WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 42/145 Table 5.2. Spending in education GDP on education Public spending on Education 2009 2007 2008 2009 2007 2008 Hungary 5,3 5,1 10,4 10,4 Bulgaria 3,9 4,4 10 12,3 Romania 4,3 Serbia 4,7 4,9 Austria 5,3 Slovenia 5,2 11,8 5 8,9 9,3 5,5 11,1 11,2 5,2 12,2 11,8 9,5 Source: World Bank Statistics, 2011 (data unavailable for Greece and Montenegro) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 AT BG HU GR RO SI ME Quality of education On the job training Higher education and training General Human Capital and Training Index. Education Figure 7. Competitiveness Aspects in Education and Rankings in the region (global rankings) The figure above recapitulates information from section 3.12 (competitiveness aspects) as regards education and science. Different rankings appear, and countries between 0-20 show considerable global rankings, while between 20-40 upper global rankings. As indicated, Austria and Slovenia are considered leaders in almost all aspects. Deficiencies can intuitively be identified in higher education, on the job training in most half of the countries (Bulgaria, Greece, Romania and partially Hungary). The general education quality pillar is admirable for most of the countries, especially, Greece, Hungary and Slovenia. Quality of education appears to be the third deficiency in most countries. It also appears that on the job training is a crucial challenge, as most of the countries do not ensure good matches of skills between higher education and the market, nor do they provide sufficient training and skills. Consequently, in terms of this pillar 3 categories emerge bottom-up: Austria and Slovenia in one cluster, Hungary and Montenegro in the second and Greece, Romania, Bulgaria and Serbia in the third one. This clustering is intuitive and does not take into consideration the excellent ranking in human capital and education in Greece. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 43/145 5.1.2 Links between education and RTDI systems The participant countries appear to have different challenges to address in terms of education and RTDI. Each country presents different levels of education (especially tertiary education) and lifelong learning participation. Thus, the landscape consists of rather contradictory elements. Each of the identified clusters is presented in more detail. More specifically, Austria and Slovenia appear to have very good levels of education, PhD graduates and lifelong learning. The only challenges that the countries face are the rates of unemployment due to the vast number of tertiary graduates, and the shortage of human capital in RTDI which is however being addressed by new policies. These two countries score very close to EU average in terms of employment in knowledge-intensive activities. The second cluster (Hungary), presents increasing but insufficient levels of S&E graduates and PhD holders and an unattractive environment for the retention of the existing graduates that results to brain drain. When considering Montenegro, good quality research institutions and availability of scientists and engineers appear to be a common denominator in the overall system. Countries in the third cluster present significant weaknesses in training levels on technological innovation inside companies, lifelong learning and absorptive capacity of the RTDI systems. In spite of the scarcity of tertiary graduates in Bulgaria, these countries experience brain drain and unemployment as well as a non-conducive environment for employment in research and technology. Therefore, the most striking element that could be said that most countries share is the talent scarcity in the RTDI sector for which Greece and Romania report an amount of human capital that cannot be absorbed by the country itself, resulting to significant brain drain to other countries. Greece and Romania further suffer regional inequalities in total unemployment as well in knowledge-intensive employment, although the total rankings along with total number of researchers of Greece can classify it in a different cluster. Both Greece and Serbia in this cluster possess increased capabilities in total number of R&D researchers. Pronounced misalignments between the industry’s needs and the response of the education system are about present in each of the clusters with a different degree of importance. The links between education and RTDI can be better reflected in the percentages of employment in Knowledge-Intensive high technology services as well as R&D personnel. The percentage of employment in knowledge-intensive activities in high technology represents a fraction between 1.5-3% on a country level. Bulgaria, Romania, Hungary and Greece are characterized by a descending trend between 2007 and 2009 while in Slovenia the trend is increasing (and marginally for Austria). No major differences are noted on a regional level and the EU-27 level, although Greece and Romania perform fewer than 2% of total employment. The situation in these two countries in exacerbated by regional inequalities in total unemployment as well in knowledge-intensive employment ranging from 0.5% to 3.%. The general picture on employment in knowledgeintensive activities (all sectors) is more encouraging as a range of about 30-35% is noted in Austria and Slovenia as well as Greece and Hungary. Romania scores the lowest percentage of WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 44/145 19% while Bulgaria precedes the 30% threshold. The employment rates however in both columns indicate that about 1/10th of the personnel employed in knowledge/intensive activities is employed in high-technology knowledge intensive activities ( in Greece this percentage is notably smaller). The diachronic development of employment in knowledgeintensive activities is illustrated in the schema below, indicating stagnation between 2008 and 2009 probably due to the global financial crisis. ICT personnel in the economy (as % of total employment) are relatively low in all countries (Eurostat, 2011). 2007 data denote that only Hungary maintained a 3.7% percentage, followed by Austria and Slovenia (2.5-2.7) while the rest of the countries fluctuate around 1.5%. However, when examining R&D personnel in the ICT sector, it occupies around 15-20% (except from Romania) indicating an increased relative weigh of ICT in total R&D. These indicators do not necessarily disclose links between academia and industry but provide a picture on R&D personnel and possibly the “weighing” of intensity in each economy. The situation is complemented by total R&D personnel and researcher in each country, in order to cover Serbia. As a percentage of total employment, an increased share or R&D personnel in employment is noted mainly in Austria and Slovenia, as well as Greece. Bulgaria and Romania are noted by a small percentage, while in Serbia the percentage lies within the median of national scores. Table 5.3. Education and RTDI in the region Number of employed persons in knowledgeintensive high-technology activities in business industries/ total employment European Union (EU27) Austria Bulgaria Hungary Greece Romania Annual data on employment in total knowledgeintensive activities at the national level Total R&D personnel and researchers in all sectors unit 2007 3,29% 33,13% 2.363.460 2008 2,58% 36,94% 2.471.292 2009 2,62% 38,2% 2.554.862 2007 2,59% 30% 53.252 2008 2,41% 34,86% 58.077 2009 2,62% 36,52% 58.002 2007 2,54% 22,1% 16.940 2008 2,18% 27,27% 17.219 2009 2,08% 29,06% 18.230 2007 3,28% 28,2% 25.954 2008 2,27% 33,24% 27.403 2009 2,19% 34,23% 29.795 2007 1,95% 25,51% 35.629 2008 1,66% 32,52% 2009 1,72% 32,88% 2007 1,52% 14,4% WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 45/145 28.977 Slovenia Serbia 2008 1,19% 18,98% 30.390 2009 1,26% 19,83% 28.398 2007 2,8% 26,45% 10.369 2008 2,78% 31,19% 11.594 2009 3,16% 32,29% 12.410 2007 - 18.153 2008 - 19.321 2009 - 20.067 Source: Eurostat-- Science and Technology-- High tech industry and knowledge intensive (non available data for Montenegro. Annual data on employment in total knowledge-intensive activities at the national level 45,00% 40,00% 35,00% 30,00% 25,00% 20,00% 15,00% 10,00% 5,00% 0,00% 2007 European Union (EU27) Hungary Slovenia 2008 Austria Greece 2009 Bulgaria Romania Figure 8. Employment in knowledge-intensive activities progress 2007-2009 5.2 Knowledge flows Knowledge flows are considered as the “blood” of each innovation system, enabling either strong performance or creating fragmentation of actors and weaknesses in commercialisation. Weak knowledge flows hamper the creation of a knowledge-base economy, as activities are becoming increasingly knowledge-intensive and the economy required skilled people for high technology industries (24), (25). Mapping knowledge flows proved to be rather a complex task for the national reports, as limited bibliography and evaluation has been devoted. However, some channels for knowledge flows and bottlenecks have been identified as hampering factors to innovation performance. We note that knowledge flows consist of a separate pillar, as it clearly reflects the systemic approach to innovation underlying by the present study. More specifically, the chapter draws the attention to the measures that countries have in place to WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 46/145 ensure and promote the collaboration between different actors of science such as universities and research institutes and actors of the industry such as big companies and SMEs. 5.2.1 Science-industry collaboration The overall situation is characterized by rather low levels of collaboration between science and industry. Most of the countries involve report a rather weak collaboration of the research triangle; however this cannot be based on metrics. The only metric available refers to the GCR rank reported previously and in particular the “University-industry collaboration in R&D”. The results classify Austria and Slovenia in considerable global rankings (18th and 37th respectively), which is distinctively different from the rest of the countries. Hungary and Montenegro score in medium terms, however Greece, Bulgaria and Romania are classified among the last ranks globally (112th, 110th and 102nd) indicating severe structural inefficiencies within their systems. In the same context, the robustness and amount of measures put forward in each of the countries serve as a measure of the intention to “correct” such failures. For instance, Austria reports a sufficient number of institutions for public/private partnerships, and Slovenia reports a small number but strong relationships between firms and research centers. Hungary has several measures in place to support further collaboration of this kind. The rest of the participant countries (Greece, Bulgaria, and Romania) lack strong intermediary mechanisms and efficient ways of commercially exploiting research output. However, they report that there are measures and policies in place for the improvement of the situation. These measures are under OPs and mainly aim at the creation and development of technology transfer centers, innovation poles, technology incubators and platforms and other means of reinforcing the collaborative links between science and industry (e.g. programme “cooperation” and clusters in Greece, technology transfers, commercialization, pre-procurement strategies, PPP’s etc.). The issue of these links is a long-lasting challenge and needs concentrated action. In countries such as Austria, Slovenia and Hungary, historically there are long-established partnerships between businesses and higher education institutions and intermediary organizations have been “bridging” mechanisms deeply embedded in the innovation culture, characteristics that are almost non-existent in the rest of the countries, in which the research systems corresponds to an orientation in a more traditional productive sector. In a different survey, Serbia and Montenegro feel about university-industry collaboration in R&D that businesses and universities collaborate adequately but not intensively. The following matrix revises most of the information and measures put forward in each country, that might have some explaining power on the specific structures. Further information can be found in the Annex. Table 5.4. Collaboration parameters Collaboration parameters AT, SI 16 HU, MEN16 GR, BG, RO,RS Information on Montenegro and Serbia are very limited. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 47/145 Strengths actors between ++++ ++ ----- Intermediary units ++++ ++ --- Inter-disciplinary centers of excellence ++++ ++ ? Measures 17 Centres of Excellence, Technology Platforms, Clusters Policy support measures such as pre-commercial procurement Jointly-run competence centers and Joint technology platforms in Austria knowledge circulation and the exploitation of research results. Joint university-industry research centers in Hungary. Technology transfer, clusters, cooperation enhancement measures, industry liaison offices, business incubators, technological parks, Joint technology platforms in Greece Technology/innovation centers in Montenegro Source: National Innovation Reports 5.2.2 Partnerships The degree of cooperation among key actors and the links between European policies and initiatives and the policies that each country has in place is also explored here. Publication rates and further indicators are presented for all the countries in which data were available. Partnerships and collaboration schemes are conceptualized and implemented differently in each country thus the only emerging paradigm regards strength in patenting and a general tendency towards innovation absorption. Hence, the situation in each country is presented separately in this section, as commonalities are very limited and we run the risk of generalisation. The per country analysis can be found in the Annex. Table 5.5. Publication, licence and patents performance in the region18 European Union (EU27) 17 18 Scientific publications among the top 10% most cited publications worldwide as % of total scientific publications of the country License and patent revenues from abroad as % of GDP Public-private copublications per million populations 0,11 0,21% 36,2 Existent for the first two groups , planned and existent in the third. No data for Montenegro WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 48/145 Austria 0,12 0,19% 56,3 Bulgaria 0,03 0,02% 2,3 Hungary 0,05 0,62% 19,6 Greece 0,09 0,01% 12,5 Romania 0,04 0,12% 6,3 Slovenia 0,07 0,08% 51 Serbia - 0,1% 4.2 Source: IUS2010, Thomas-Reuters database, Eurostat The parameters held in the table cannot however be viewed as decisive of partnership strengths. They only provide an approximation of research outputs that reach the academic community or create added-value in their economic system. As expected, Austria scores best in scientific publications and co-publications, followed by Greece, Slovenia and Hungary. Greece’s lower score in co-publications is indicative of the partnership strengths. In license and patent revenues the situation is quite different, as Serbia and Hungary manage to create revenues in their economies and to a lesser degree Austria and Romania. In Greece and Bulgaria, revenues are only marginal. This is also an indication of the low level of internationalization of knowledge, discussed later on. 5.2.3 Key actors SEE countries under investigation present a diversified picture in terms of the level of actor involvement in the National Investment Systems in accordance to GERD and funding specificities. The level of gravity or actors in each country is highly dependent on the systemic structures of the research as well as the government system. Thus, any strategic direction in R&D might affect or be affected by the degree of adjustability of the main research actors in new strategic directions. The main actors in RTDI and the degree of variance in the countries are listed below, however it is noted that the different categorization scheme in every country poses some complexities in the following classification: Public Research Organizations: Public research organizations receive state funding for theoretical or applied research. These organizations are extremely important for Romania and Greece as well as in Bulgaria, where academies of science are important state actors. Science units in government and government agencies cover a notable share in research in Bulgaria while in Greece, competitive calls through ministries is a norm of research activity distribution. Serbia also has an important amount of government-owned institutes (57) relative to its size; however there is no evidence on prominence or excellence. Universities: Universities are the main research performers in most of the countries, especially in Greece and Serbia and to a lesser extent in Austria and Hungary. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 49/145 However, universities play a vital role in every country’s research system with high records in excellence. Private Sector Research Organizations are more visible in Austria. In specific, the relatively high share of BERD obviates the undertaking of research on behalf of private Austrian research organisation. Private companies and Multinational Companies (MNC’s): Again, research activity is remarkable in Austria and Hungary. Especially in Hungary, major business actors such as Ericsson and Nokia, Microsoft and SAP have partnerships with higher education for research. The Business enterprise sector is significantly smaller in Serbia (Kutlaca, 2008) Other actors: A wide array of other actors also partakes in the RTDI system such as: Incubators and technology/incubation centers (Montenegro), innovation zones (Greece and Romania), Technology platforms (Slovenia), international research centers and special services or facilities (Romania). NGO’s part in the RTDI agenda is detectable in Bulgaria and R&D centers in Serbia, occupied with technological development. Private investors only occupy a marginal part in research activities while interest organization only have a small part in Slovenia Regional actors are notable in Serbia and Montenegro, such as entrepreneurship enhancement centers, institutes and agencies, as well as chambers. In general, the proliferation of public R&D organizations and research centers in the countries indicate some implementation of the political rhetoric to invest in R&D. A notable exception in this landscape is notable in Serbia, where the number of R&D organizations actually decreased from 1980 and the number of R&D organizations and the private sector is almost not integrated in the R&D system and private educational institutes do not partake in research activities at all. Specifically ICT is a strong thematic profile for some business incubators, technology transfers and information centers in Romania, Serbia and Montenegro to a lesser degree. ICT centers for excellence also exist in Bulgaria as well as several Academies in Bulgaria and Universities. There are some notable specificities per country that we shortly refer to: In Slovenia, the research stakeholder research is less distinct with types of collaborative tri-sector participation and high degree of diffusion among stakeholders. The tri-sector participation is mainly among technology platforms, centers of excellence and clusters. Centers of excellence for example combine research facilities at different public research units, thus the nature of RTDI is inter-disciplinary. In addition the classification of research actors pole apart from the rest of the countries, as there are government executing, bridging institutions, technology innovation support organisations, financial intermediaries and interest organizations. Regarding excellence, in Greece there are top performers in Chemical engineering, Molecular biology, biotechnology and genetics, Agrobiotechnology, Computer Science, Roman and Greek antiquity, Byzantine studies, Applied and computational mathematics, Immunology, Astroparticle physics and Oceanography as well as agriculture. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 50/145 5.3 In Austria, competence centres exist for advanced computing, mechatronics, eCommerce, Microsystems, ETourism, Materials, Processing and Product Engineering, Industrial Biotechnology, Information and Communication Technologies in Austria. In Bulgaria, excellence is dispersed in mathematics and informatics, mechanics, system engineering, robotics and ICT. In Romania, the activity profile of scientific and technological parks includes ICT, electronics and microelectronics, environment protection and unconventional energy sources, micro and nanotechnologies, micro engineering and new materials, chemistry, physics, control of technological processes, bio-technologies, food industry, audio-video technologies, economical sciences, marketing. Internationalisation of knowledge In a more “narrow” sense, internationalisation of knowledge refers to the capacity of an economy to utilise complementary resources associated with a local innovation system and the mostly regards foreign-located R&D (26). In this report however, our intention is to examine only spill-overs of knowledge in terms of patents, publications (codified knowledge) as well as external trade indicators in the knowledge economy. It is not a normative intention to isolate knowledge flows but rather present some indicators related to the degree of extroversion of the economy in terms of knowledge. We note that in literature (27), the openness of the NIS was measured by R&D in multinational firms, technical alliances, technology transfer abroad, international trade and international flow of scientific personnel. Due to difficulties in gathering such information we only focus on 3 basic assessment indicators. South-East European countries are among those having limited cross-border activities, and quite differenced trade patterns. It has been previously shown that the external balance in ICT trade is negative in most of the countries with the notable exception of Hungary, which exceeds the rest of the countries also in high-technology exports, as part of total manufacturing exports, revealing a clear national advantage in ICT manufacturing. Greece and Austria also perform well in high-tech exports. Another remarkable finding of the analysis is the relative specialization in ICT services trade than ICT goods. This trend is notable in Bulgaria, Slovenia but Romania in particular, where ICT service exports are about 1/5th of its national service exports. These findings are herewith combined with firm-level data and their propensity to engage in cooperation with other countries. According to the Innobarometer report 2011 (28), Greek enterprises are most willing to outsource tasks exceeding the EU average along with Slovenia, while Hungarian enterprises are less willing to engage in outsourcing. Enterprises in Austria, Bulgaria and Romania consider outsourcing an important activity. As regards investments, Austrian and Slovenian firms are most active in making investment in other countries, while Hungarian and Romanian firms are the least. Hungary and Romania are also least likely to recruit employees from other countries, while Austria, Slovenia and Greece are more open to international recruitment. In summary, the highest proportion of cooperation with countries outside the EU was found in Slovenia (26%), Austria and Greece WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 51/145 (20%). The lowest proportion of innovative enterprises cooperating is in Romania and Bulgaria, one of the lowest in the EU. The following table summarizes some the key data for patenting, trade specialisations and participation in Framework Programmes. Other indicators to manifest commercialisation routes were not identified and in most of the cases the reference year is not very recent. ICT and patent applications in societal challenges present relative strengths in the area (apart from Romania and Bulgaria), indicating a relative advantage and scientific strength in these areas. As trade indicators signify, the common strengths in high-technology exports are electronic and telecom, pharmacy and computer/office machines. Still, according to these data commercialisation routes appear to be weak, considering the strengths in patenting and cooperation in terms of research projects through Framework programmes and relative performances. Table 5.6. Patents and specialisation in the region19 GR AT BU RO SI HU Patents ICT patents applications (as percentage of total) 2006 25.2% 23.7% 9.3% 6.9% 9.7% 6.6% Biotechnology patent applications, (as percentage of total) 2006 6.3% 4.4% n/a 1.5% 6.1% 3.3% Patent applications in societal challenges as percentage of total, 201020 29% 14% 10% 6% 25% 25% Trade Specialization Hightechnology trade as % of total, 2009 19 20 8.5% imports 10.6% imports 6.3% imports 8.7% imports 7.1% imports 17.2% imports 5.9% exports 10.8% exports 3.6% exports 5.4% exports 5.2% exports 20.2% exports Data non available for Serbia and Montenegro OECD data WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 52/145 High technology exports (% of manufacturing exports) 11.25% 11.48% 8.2% 10% 6.5% 24% Hightechnology exports by group, 2008 (only notable segments) Electronics, telecom, aerospace and pharmacy to an equal degree Electronics, telecom, and to a lesser degree pharmacy Electronics, telecom dominant sector and some computer and office machines and scientific instruments Electronics, telecom, pharmacy to an equal degree Electronics, telecom computers and office machines, scientific machines to an equal extend Electronics, telecom dominant sector and some computers and office machines Average of FDI inflows and outflows, relative to GDP (%), 201021 0.4% 2.9% (from 1.7%) 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% (from 1.9%) Low High Low Cooperation Participation in Framework Programmes (number of projects and financial contributions) High High Low Source: Eurostat, 2011 It would be theoretically challenging to examine the trade patterns permeating ICT and hightechnology products in general. The external balance in ICT trade is negative in most of the countries with the notable exception of Hungary, where ICT trade (exports) represent about ¼ to 1/5th of its national trade. Serbia on the other hand presents the most negative external ICT trade balance, since the country does not present any advantages in ICT manufacturing or investments. Hungary exceeds the rest of the countries also in high-technology exports, as part of total manufacturing exports, revealing a clear national advantage in ICT manufacturing. Greece and Austria also perform well in high-tech exports. Greece and Hungary in particular have increased the share of high-tech manufacturing exports sharply from 2007 to 2009. Another remarkable finding of the analysis is the relative specialization in ICT services trade 21 The percentage for Serbia in 2008 is 6% WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 53/145 than ICT goods. This trend is notable in Bulgaria, Slovenia but Romania in particular, where ICT service exports are about 1/5th of its national service exports. These trends need to be validated further in order to reveal competitive advantages. Table 5.7. ICT trade balance and high-tech trade balance in the region Source: World Bank statistics Table 5.8. Participaton of SEE countries in funding programmes (AT excluded) Austria Bulgaria Hungary Greece Romania Slovenia Serbia 2007 2008 2009 2007 2008 2009 2007 2008 2007 2008 2009 2007 2008 2009 2007 2008 2009 2007 2008 2009 ICT goods exports (% of total) ICT service exports (% of service exports) ICT goods imports 6,13% 5,77% 5,49% 2,37% 2,62% 3,58% 24,52% 24,62% 2,97% 3,21% 2,99% 3,14% 5,34% 8,36% 2,87% 3,52% 3,79% 1,49% 2,22% 6,43% 6,14% 6,54% 4,33% 5,59% 5,61% 7,40% 8,26% 1,61% 1,68% 2,17% 18,02% 15,81% 18,93% 5,15% 6,72% 7,16% 6,11% 6,69% 7,99% 7.5% 6.89% 7.02% 5.9% 5.5% 6.4% 20.64% 78.83% 6.29% 5.61% 5.87% 7.3% 7.5% 9.4% 4.83% 5.1% 5.6% 6.7% 5.36% Hightechnology exports (% of manufacturing exports) 11.31% 10.92% 11.48% 6% 6.56% 8.2% 25% 24% 8% 9.95% 11.25% 3.66% 7.23% 10% 5.34% 6.10% 6.5% FP6 share FP7 success rates No of COST actions Areas of interest BG 0.62% 17% 109 GR 3% 17% 196 Physics and Medicine Engineering and Medicine RS and MEN 0.18% 14% 84 Engineering RO 0.81% 16% 116 SI 0.83% 18% 122 Materials, Physics, engineering Materials, Physics, engineering WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 54/145 Source: (29) Table 5.9. EC Funding and participation per country Country Percentage of total Participations participation Greece 4.16% 592 Austria 3.56% 502 Hungary 0.56% 129 Slovenia 0.46% 87 Romania 0.32% 82 Bulgaria 0.19% 62 Serbia 0.12% 36 Montenegro 0.002% 4 In a pan-European context, Germany, the UK, Italy, France and Spain remain top recipients of funding. Greece and Austria are in the 8th and 9th place on a pan-European scale. Greece is the 6th country in the EU in terms of coordination of projects. A further analysis shows that on a regional level, Attica in Greece and Wien in Austria are among the top 50 European regions by participation and funding. On the other hand, the rest of the countries’ participation hardly equals half of Austria’s participation. Additional information is provided in the Annex. It is equally noted that it is hard to extrapolate areas of strength from participation in FP7, as in some countries, national funding might also heavily influence orientation of research and R&D structure and the variant success rates in different areas complicate the situation further. It is clear that the financial volume of FP7 grants is received by Greece with signed financial grants equaling more than €312M. Engineering, physics and medicine are the most common areas of interest of SEE countries for participating in European Funding Programmes. In addition, the European Commission’s ICT statistical report for FP& Annual Monitoring (30) for the ICT theme of the 7th Framework Programme indicates a difference between old and new Member States in terms of participation and Funding In terms of clustering on this pillar, the following table presents the results. To date, the EC financial contribution awarded to signed agreements for SEE participations represent 64% of the initial requests. Cluster Medium Low Slovenia, Bulgaria Romania, Hungary Patenting in Greece, Slovenia knowledge-intensive Austria, Hungary Bulgaria, Romania High technology Hungary Trade orientation Austria, Greece Greece, Slovenia Bulgaria, ICT trade orientation Austria, Romania Greece, Bulgaria, Patenting orientation High ICT Greece, Austria Hungary WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 55/145 Slovenia 5.4 Infrastructure and Funding Whilst infrastructure can be considered a characteristic of the genesis of an innovation system, funding is a more “horizontal” issue that merits isolated treatment. However, albeit heterogeneous, these two elements are presented together as baseline enablers of innovation. 5.4.1 Funding Considerations It is equally important to conceptualize the funding mechanisms used for RTDI and innovation in each country, as at the regional level, the funding models of RTDI policies present significant differences. The specificities on funding models of RTDI policies might affect regional foresight since policy-making needs to orient itself according to the modes and differences in each country. This in turn might affect centralized decision making and implementation of scenarios, as different contributions of the public and private sector bear different significance and financial implications. Regarding the contribution of the private sector in RTDI funding there seems to be a big gap with countries in which its contribution is insignificant (such as Bulgaria and Greece) on the one hand and countries in which its contribution is increasing (such as Romania, Austria, Hungary and Slovenia). Public funding appears to be of high significance especially for Bulgaria and Greece. In addition, there is a tendency towards the support of applied research for countries such as Austria and Romania. Moreover, the dependence on the European Community Funds appears to be very strong for certain countries such as Greece and important for others such as Slovenia and Romania. Tax incentives assist RTDI only in certain countries. Goals of achieving higher performance in RTDI funding (GERD as a % of GDP) seem to be feasible only for few countries (such as Slovenia and Austria). The discrepancies can be seen as follows:22 22 Some countries (Austria, Greece, Hungary) receive a significant amount of community funds for research through framework programmes. According to (31)these countries receive about 5% of EU funds. Serbia and Montenegro receive about 0.18% Greece, Bulgaria and Romania as well as IPA countries (Serbia, Montenegro) are quite dependant of structural funds, although it is difficult to assess what part where dedicated to R&D Direct government is very strong in the majority of the countries. Especially, Greece, Bulgaria, Romania, Serbia and Montenegro are dependent on public funds. In most of these countries, about one third goes to university funding. Austria and Slovenia are the only countries with increased BERD levels (Business Expenditures on R&D) and within their goals is to reverse the percentage of public information is not homogeneous among countries WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 56/145 funding to the minority of funds. These countries also use indirect funding (eg. through tax regimes) as an instrument for spurring R&D amounts. Companies in Montenegro appear to spend little amounts on R&D (44th rank out of 142 countries) while Serbian enterprises only spend a minor amount of R&D. On average, SEE countries were granted around €6 per inhabitant for FP7 projects, compared to €32 for the EU27. On a per capita basis, Greece and Slovenia have better performed FP7 grants but in contrast, Romania was in top in terms of absolute financial grants and in respect to the number of eligible. (29). The section discusses synthesized findings on funding; however for Serbia and Montenegro, data are not available. In summary R&D expenditure by source of funds can be illustrated as follows: 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Austria Slovenia Business sector Hungary Greece Government ABR Bulgaria Romania national sources Figure 9. R&D expenditure by source of funds 23 (Source: Eurostat, 2008 and own calculations) Another funding aspect is venture capitals, which is among the innovation enablers. Venture capital investments are defined as private equity being raised for investment in companies (Eurostat). The volume of venture capital in GDP is rather small ranging from 0 to 0.005% of GDP. By using the amount of venture capital as a proxy for the relative dynamism of new business creation, relative data from Eurostat indicate a range from 0.002 to 0.05%. Notable increases of venture capital expansion can be observed in Austria, Hungary and Greece (however in Greece this trend was reversed in 2009). 23 ABR refers to other sources WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 57/145 To provide a more holistic picture of R&D, we first present the expenditure on R&D as percentage of the GDP (government and business sector) Gross Domestic Expenditure on R&D (GERD) as % of GDP 3,00% 2,50% 2,00% 1,50% 1,00% 0,50% 0,00% 2007 European Union (EU27) 2008 Austria Bulgaria Hungary 2009 Greece Romania Slovenia Figure 10. Gross Domestic Expenditure of R&D as % of GDP (Source: Eurostat, 2011) The share of R&D as a percentage of the Gross Domestic Product (expenditure of the public sector) is remarkable for Austria, which is the only country approximating the EU goals of 3% R&D expenditures as percentage of GDP. Slovenia presents a dynamic share, whilst the rest of the countries do not surpass 1.5% and in some cases, like Bulgaria, Greece and Romania the respective amounts are around 0.5% of government expenditure. GBAORD appropriations (Government Budget Appropriations or Outlays on R&D) referring to budget provisions for the same reference years, not to actual expenditure are quite similar to the actual expenditure, with the exception of Austria, presenting about 1.5% budget appropriations, less than actual government expenditure. Romania and Bulgaria also projected about a 0.8% expenditure, however actual expenditure were lessened, probably indicating a change in budgetary priorities (Eurostat data, 2011) WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 58/145 Figure 11. Business R&D expenditure a as % of GDP (Source: Eurostat, 2011) Business Sector expenditures on R&D present an analogous picture in terms of country rankings. Austria actually surpasses the EU average with increasing shares reaching about 2%. Slovenia has also surpassed the 1% threshold, followed by Hungary which demonstrates an increasing trend. The lack of data for all years renders further comparisons complex, however in most of the cases the share falls between 0.01 % and 0.5% which remains below the EU 27 average. We then go a level of detail further and indicate the distribution of BERD shares in the countries. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 59/145 I Figure 12. Distribution of ICT BERD shares in EU countries (Source: 2010 report on R&D in the EU) In order to further link RTDI and ICT, we present the R&D expenditure of business in the ICT sector as a percentage of total R&D expenditure in all sectors. The percentage of the ICT sector fluctuates between 10%-20%. Bulgaria spends about 19.93% to ICT, followed by Austria and Slovenia (17,41% and 16.23% respectively). The Hungarian business sector spends about 13.86%, while Greece and Romania 11.5% (Eurostat, Information Society indicators, 2011). However data availability is valid only for 2007, thus a comparative analysis of the shares dynamics cannot be achieved for recent years. 5.4.2 Existing infrastructure in the region This section discusses some of the background drivers for innovation such as existing infrastructures well as the science and personnel. In terms of infrastructure, hard infrastructure (such as telematics networks, backbones, participation in connectivity networks etc) is explored to identify the readiness of the countries in the ICT market and special markets that have potential of improvement. Progress towards digital agenda, online sophistication and delivery of services (eGovernment, eBusiness etc) is discussed in the next section to indicate the maturity of the internet and digital market. Most of the structural funds in the region where channelled towards the development of such infrastructure so as to ensure the conditions for research. Such prioritization was given especially to Greece and Romania. Austria on the other hand was one of the early adopters of backbone structures.24 Available hard R&D infrastructure in the region consists of: National Research & Technology Networks: Normally, such networks interconnect academic and research institutions, education and worldwide networks. For example, the Greek Research & Technology Network connects education and academic networks upon a broadband network with optical fibres. The National Network for 24 No relevant information was provided for Hungary and Slovenia WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 60/145 Education and Research in Romania serves the same purposes in conjunction with scientific databases and inventories for research results. Austrian infrastructure ensures connectivity. In Bulgaria, the National Research and Education Network is a partnership connecting science centres, academia and public administration. National Portals of public administration. In Greece , portal “ Ermis” ensures the use of eGovernment services upon a high eSophistication level as well as the national public administration networks ensuring broadband communication for public administration Regional networks: In Greece Metropolitan Area Networks are optical rings infrastructures in municipalities and wireless networks in cities. Grid infrastructure for research: Developed in Bulgaria, Greece, Hungary, Romania, Serbia by the national Grid Initiatives Supecomputing centres exist in Romania and Bulgaria, consisting of high level infracture for modelling and simulation in several science fields. There are also some International connections and memberships such as: International partnerships are quite dominant in Romania, where infrastructure was built or operated under collaborations with conventions and initiatives such as as the European Space Agency, the European Strategy Forum for Research infrastructures the European Grid initiative etc. In addition, the Romanian Agency for Administration of the Romanian Informatics network for Education and Research is a member of the GEANT network of SEE countries and a member of the High-Performance Computing Infrastructure for South East Europe’s Research Communities HP-SEE. Austria’s networks of research is also part of the GEANT network Bulgaria’s supercomputing centre is a partner of the PRACE pan-european infrastructure as well as the Bulgarian language electronic resources for language and culture is apart of CLARIN. European public administration network ‘s-TESTA’, - Greek National Public Administration Network is connected Greek Research & Technology Network is also part of the pan-European GEANT network, PRACE, and EGI, EGEE, and SEE-GRID. Such categorisation though may be generic to omit some country-specific R&D infrastructure. For instance in Greece, some regional initiatives in eHealth exist (e.g., in the Region of Epirus and Crete) providing integrated environments for health care delivery through telematics networks. In Bulgaria, there is also adequate infrastructure to support ICT technology transfer, including Technology Transfer Offices (TTO) and Centers (TTC) as well as High Tech Business Parks (HTBP) innovation offices, university High Tech parks and the R&D sectors (administrative units) at the universities that complement the network of TTOs. Nevertheless, it is noted that cloud computing infrastructure for government and science is not a widespread and developed concept though the region. Serbia and Montenegro have primarily invested in internet and 3G mobile connectivity, as well as broadband strategies so as to reach the European targets (50% of households with broadband connectivity). Apart from these investments, Serbia has a national research and academic network (AMRES), an important actor in the Information Society development in WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 61/145 Serbia. Through this network, universities, high education systems, accredited scientificresearch organizations, researchers and students can join. In budgetary terms, investment in capital and innovation infrastructure is still a priority for the two countries with budgetary provisions for ICT infrastructure. No clustering can be performed across the parameters of this section. 5.5 Innovation and Business Environment The business environment within an innovation system is very hard to delineate or isolate. As a source of information, assessments within the national report are used along with innovation patterns in EU publications. In this section the level of analysis is strengthened by presenting the general market trends in the area with an emphasis on a firm level. The specificities of the sectors, specialisation and key trends in innovative enterprises are explored to reveal possible conflicts or identify vicious circles of enterprise performance and policies set. 5.5.1 Market development Market development mainly refers to innovation patterns and innovation profiles of enterprises in the region as well as factors spurring innovation policies. As seen in the previous sections, BERD shares are in general at a very low level in most of the countries. One of the first challenges is thus to further investigate whether the expenditures of enterprises in R&D and non–R&D innovation expenditures are connected. Consequently, when measuring nonR&D innovation expenditures such as investment in equipment etc., Slovenia and Austria appear to spend less in non-R&D than R&D, however the methodological limitations of the measurement base of R&D and non R&D expenditure (% of expenditure and % of turnover) cannot strengthen this argument. It is however a fact that on average, enterprises in the region spend about 0.83% of their turnover in non-R&D expenditure. This percentage has increased from 2009 to 2010 (except from Slovenia) by about 0.2%. Concerning the EU-27 average (0.71% for 2010), Bulgaria, Romania and Slovenia seem to surpass it. The general trend in product and service innovation as well as R&D and non-R&D innovation in the countries under review and the European Union are shown in the Annex. As far as technological and non-technological investment is concerned, Greece and Slovenia experienced an increase up until 2008 in technological innovation, more than EU average, while Romania, Austria scored in about EU average. Bulgaria and Hungary were amongst the last places. The situation is similar in non-technological innovation as well, with Greece, Romania and Slovenia exceeding EU average, whilst Bulgaria and Hungary also take last positions. As in the previous section, this sections endeavour to perform an initial distinction between R&D and the ICT profile of enterprises than innovate. The prevailing type of innovation is both technological and non-technological innovation, with Bulgaria being the only technological innovator by majority. Non-technological innovation occupies an equally large share of enterprises in Romania. Austrian enterprises innovate by about a 60% share of total enterprises, exceeding the EU-27 average, about half of the Slovenian ones, while the rest of the countries oscillate from 25-35%. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 62/145 Another parameter under investigation is the sales of new-to-market and new-to-firm innovation, i.e. the sum of turnover of new or significantly improved products, measuring the turnover of new or significantly improved products, new to the market or to the firm. This helps disentangle whether enterprises in the region channel their R&D efforts to introducing product or service-related innovation. The table below presents both the sales of new-to-market and new-to-firm innovation as well as the pattern of innovation followed. As defined at the outset, there are essentially four types of innovation identified (8): Product/service innovation: product innovation involves a good or service new or significantly improved either in technical specifications, components and materials, software or other functional characteristics. Process innovation; process innovation again embraces a new or significantly improved production or delivery method, including changes in techniques, equipment, software, etc. Marketing innovation; which involves a new marketing method with significant changes in product design or packaging, placement, promotion or pricing. Organisational innovation; this involves a new organisational method in the firm’s business practices, workplace organisation or external relations The scores in the first column are indicative or a general failure of innovation to reach the market and commercialisation routes. As a deviation above the average, Greece achieves the highest score (25%) indicating a mature market for addressing new to market innovation (however due to very low BERD amounts, this may not have multiplier effects). Regarding the type of innovation in SEE countries, product and service innovation is the dominant type, with most of the countries evolving around the EU average, apart from Hungary. Thus, the percentage of enterprises that appear to innovate is quite satisfactory. Organisational innovation is the second preferred type. This especially holds for Greece, in which 75% of its enterprises introduced new organisational structures, exceeding the EU average by far. Romanian, Slovenian, and Austrian enterprises, share this rationale by surpassing the EU average, while Hungarian enterprises only share this type by 16%. Process and marketing innovation attract approximately similar shares of enterprises. Again Slovenian, Romanian and Greek enterprises are characterised by a propensity to introduce new processes and marketing strategies as compared to the EU average. Two facts have to be elaborated at this point: The share of Hungarian enterprises that innovate, as compared to the country’s RTD performance and trade patterns and the share of Greek enterprises than innovate, considering the very low BERD shares of the country. Table 5.10. Pattern of innovation followed by enterprises in the region Country Sales of new to market and new to firm innovation 2010 Product or servicerelated innovation (as compared Companies introducing new or significantly improved processes Companies introducing new or significantly improved marketing WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis Companies introducing new or signifinanly improved organizational 63/145 to no innovation)2009 strategies structures European Union (EU27) 13,26% 67% 46% 45% 49% Austria 11,24% 68% 49% 45% 47% Bulgaria 14,2% 55% 36% 36% 34% Hungary 16,44% 38% 12% 17% 16% Greece 25,65% 62% 59% 56% 75% Romania 14,87% 71% 45% 48% 52% Slovenia 16,31% 78% 59% 50% 62% Serbia 10,01% n/a n/a n/a n/a Data source: Innovation Union Scoreboard and Innobarometer 2009 Some additional variables can shed some light into these questions by distinguishing the expenditures of the enterprises in R&D by sector of activity. Manufacturing is the dominant mode for Slovenia, Hungary as well as for Austria, but to a lesser extent. Bulgaria appears as the only country that is service-oriented and Greece is more divided between manufacturing and services. Romania has a slight focus in manufacturing, but other sectors employ about 10% of its BERD (28). The preponderance of manufacturing can possibly consist an interpreting factor of the low shares of innovative enterprises in Hungary and its strong trade orientation, however in the case of Slovenia, domestic market maturity might absorb the majority of improved products and services (78% of enterprises innovate in product and services). One of the underlying differences could be the degree of economy extroversion in RTDI and ICT. The table can be found in the Annex. 5.5.2 Industrial RTD and Innovation Enterprises in the region interpret innovation opportunities mainly as increased demand for sustainable or energy-efficient products and services as well as new export markets in emerging countries outside Europe (32). Notwithstanding national differences (Greek enterprises are more oriented to exporting to emerging markets and Hungarian/Bulgarian enterprises feel there are limited opportunities for innovating) these two opportunities. Three notable trends are notable: Increased opportunities in sustainable (energy-efficient products) export markets in emerging countries More limited opportunities in terms of innovative products and services to meet ageing population and new demands for social, education and health services WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 64/145 About 1/5th of enterprises feel that these opportunities will not lead to innovation which is about the double amount of the EU average. This could be either a more pessimistic viewpoint towards innovation or it could indicate new emerging opportunities in the area which are not yet identifiable. In Serbia and Montenegro the sources of information is different, therefore the results are presented in accordance with reported information. Montenegrin companies obtain technology based on licensing or imitating foreign companies rather by conducting formal research or pioneering their own products and processes. Serbia’s rankings with this respect are decreased, indicating a very strong tendency towards licensing rather than formal R&D. There seems to be a lack of coherence regarding RTDI performances inside the private enterprises of the participant countries. In certain countries such as Slovenia and Austria, there is a rather satisfying amount of innovative enterprises and the levels of expenditures for RTDI are high. In Hungary, innovation performance is considered “moderate” in general and most enterprises do not feel the pressure to innovate. In other countries, such as Bulgaria and Romania, companies present lower levels of RTDI performance and in some cases indicators show far lower performance than the EU average. In Greece, there are certain indicators that appear to be promising, still however there many issues that need to be resolved for the situation to improve. It is worth mentioning that the whole region appears to be performing well in the areas of open innovation as most of the countries’ indicators are above the EU average. For more inclusive conclusions, the following table presents all the relevant indicators. Table 5.11. Innovation profiles of enterprises in the region Indicator (2008) Innovation in high-tech sectors -- Share of enterprises with innovation activities Innovative enterprises engaged in extra mural R&D expenditure as a percentage of innovative enterprises Innovative enterprises engaged in intra mural R&D expenditure as a percentage of innovative enterprises Innovative enterprises involved in all types of cooperation as a percentage of innovative enterprises Innovative enterprises that receive public Slovenia Greece Austria Romania Bulgaria Hungary 34% n/a 43 % 36% 24% 21% 36% n/a 26 % 9% 7% 26% 74% n/a 48% 23% 8% 47% 48% n/a 39 % 13.80% 17% 41% 24% n/a 40 % 9.70% 9% 27% WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 65/145 funding as a percentage of innovative enterprises Innovative enterprises, process and product 19% n/a 22 % 10% 7% 8% oriented, as a percentage of total number of enterprises Source: Eurostat-- Science and Technology-- High tech industry and knowledge intensive services: economic statistics at national level The following indicators of innovation, depicted on the above table reveal some interesting trends. Austria scores first in the percentage of innovative enterprises (as a percentage of total enterprises), followed by Slovenia with a score of 19-22%. Romania, Bulgaria and Hungary present percentages equal or lower to 10%. Innovation in high-tech sectors is apparent in Slovenia, Austria and Romania, while in Austria in specific about half of the enterprises innovate in high-tech sectors. In Bulgaria and Hungary these trend drops to about 1/4th and 1/5th of the enterprises. Interestedly, extra mural R&D expenditure is quite significant in Slovenia and to some extend to Austria and Hungary, (extramural R&D provides expenditure data performed outside the enterprise (eg outsourcing, joint development etc)) indicating a propensity to innovate, but not always in-house. Cooperation of enterprises is also notable in Austria, Slovenia and Hungary. The degree of public funding might be an enabling factor in innovative performance, taking into considerations that countries scoring admirably in most of the indicators (especially Austria, Slovenia) receive public funding. Hungary presents the peculiarity of low percentage of innovative enterprises despite the amounts of funding. A country-by country analysis is presented in the Annex to elucidate some of the findings, combining various data from different sections. Table 5.11 highlights the differences that occur among the participant countries regarding innovation trends inside companies. Apparently, Slovenia has the best percentages in most of the indicators and Bulgaria and Romania have the lowest percentages in most of the indicators. The table presents a more concise picture of the specificities of enterprises in the region, with regards to their stance and preference towards a number of innovative indicators. Specifically, with regards to strategic partnerships, Greek and Slovenian enterprises seem to actively value strategic relationships with customers, suppliers and other companies. However, strategic relationships with research institutes and educational institutes remain limited in preference, verifying the narrow links of the countries in the knowledge triangle. A notable exception is Slovenian enterprises which remain more focused in the links with educational institutes. The standpoint of enterprises in the region towards open innovation normally exceeds the stance of EU-27 enterprises with the exception of Slovenian enterprises that are more mature in open innovation and Bulgarian that lag behind the rest of the countries. Support to open innovation consists of product/service creation within forums, allowing free access to test products or services, involving end-users in the productive process or sharing IP licences. The WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 66/145 importance of open innovation as an emerging issues of innovation-spurring policies seems to be shared among the enterprises in the region, considering that recent literature indicates that open innovation practices reinforce the importance of innovation, improve its effectiveness and diversify its networks. Still, there is a large number of external factors to the firm affecting is ability to adopt open innovation practices, such as the supply of outside knowledge, highlyeducated personnel, effective legal systems and IP protection. Thus we can conclude that in the region the factors spurring open innovation-stimulating policies are quite crucial. Collaboration with foreign countries seems to be a quite unexploited issue of innovationspurring activities in enterprises, not only in the region but in the EU as well. Slovenian enterprises again have a propensity to engage in kinds of cooperation in other countries, especially in recruiting employees and testing in other markets. This last trend is equally shared by Greek enterprises as well. Table 5.12. Strategic trends of enterprises in the region Indicator EU27 Slovenia Greece Austria Romania Bulgaria Strategic partnerships to support innovation Str. Relationship with specific customers 39% 45% 46% 49% 35% 19% Str. Relationship with suppliers 42% 44% 48% 44% 39% 22% Str. Relationship with other companies active in their field 29% 36% 28% 37% 35% 21% Str. Relationship with research institutes 15% 17% 19% 19% 11% 14% Str. Relationship with educational institutes 24% 44% 24% 32% 24% 17% Indicators of open innovation Creation/participation in internet-based forums in support of innovation 13% 17% 19% 12% 21% 18% Allow free access to test products or services to users 26% 32% 34% 20% 37% 19% Involving potential users in in-house innovative activities 24% 35% 21% 19% 23% 10% Share/exchange of intellectual property in support of innovation 22% 30% 29% 31% 16% 19% Collaboration with foreign countries WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 67/145 Outsourcing tasks to enterprises located in other countries 10% 13% 18% 8% 7% Making investments in enterprises in other countries 6% 12% 7% 3% 5% Other forms of cooperation with local partners in other countries 17% 34% 30% 22% 17% Recruiting employees from other countries 16% 30% 17% 5% 12% Market testing innovative products in other countries 13% 30% (1st rank) 19% (7th rank) 11% 8% Innovation stimulators Knowledge management systems in support of innovation 35% 47% 48% 32% 21% 30% Internal mechanisms for employees to submit innovative ideas 46% 71% 43% 54% 37% 41% Staff rotations and secondments 40% 59% 38% 43% 23% 36% Creation of crossfunctional teams on innovation project 35% 45% 28% 46% 16% 36% Skills/Competencies that enterprises look for Companies targeting team working capacity in support of innovation 56% 41% 57% 57% Negotiation skills 46% 35% 48% 45% Successful communication with other cultures 32% 32% 40% 31% Creativity 48% 45% 56% 44% Source: Innovation Scoreboard, EU innovation report Enterprises in the region generally tend to use innovation stimulators such as knowledge management systems, internal mechanisms for innovative ideas, staff rotations and crossfunctional teams on innovation projects. This trend is not particularly shared by Romanian enterprises. Again, Slovenian enterprises indicate a strong preference to use innovation stimulators; however these indicators cannot lead to further conclusions, since they depend WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 68/145 on organizational practices especially related to personnel. An interesting aspect however, interrelated with human resources is the skills and competencies valued by enterprises, a shared vision towards team working, negotiation, intercultural communication skills and creativity. Whether organizational practices channel these skills effectively in the innovationstimulating processes remains still unexplored. Although this section examines trends of enterprises (therefore clustering of countries would be methodologically wrong), it appears that innovation in enterprises and strategic trends in enterprises towards innovation are more prominent in Slovenia, Greece and Austria. A second cluster could be Romania and Bulgaria and since there is no further information, no other clusters can be formed. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 69/145 6 Focus Theme: The ICT sector in the reviewed countries This section synthesizes an overview of the comparative performances of the countries reviewed in the ICT sectors. The key task is to elucidate and map the state of play in the ICT sector in the countries. We do not employ a sectoral system perspective, as the interplay between knowledge and technology, ICT actors and networks and institutions are building blocks which cannot be assessed within the present report (4). As the ICT sector is broad enough to encompass technologies between ICT and broadcasting and telecom, with extended complementarities this section presents some results in terms of ICT performance and Digital Agenda aspects. 6.1.1 Digital agenda aspects In the present report, it is crucial to embrace and evaluate aspects that can maximise the social and economic potential of ICT in the region. One possible benchmark is the Digital Agenda, adopted by the European Commission in May 2010 (33), consisting of a strategy to take advantage of the potential offered by the rapid progress of digital technologies as part of the overall Europe2020 strategy for smart, sustainable and inclusive growth. This benchmark rests on the assumption that the ICT sectors contributes actively to the European GDP and to productivity growth, due to the level of innovation inherent in the sector. In the words of the Digital Agenda “successful delivery of the Agenda will spur innovation, economic growth and improvements in daily life. Wider deployment and more effective use of digital technologies will thus enable Europe to address key challenges and provide with a better quality of life”. We thus use the Digital Agenda as a showcase of standards that could contribute to the same objectives in the region. The pillars of the Digital Agenda consist of a vibrant digital single market, interoperability, trust and security, internet access, research and innovation, digital literacy, skills and inclusion as well as ICT-enabled benefit for the society. The specific objectives demonstrated to pinpoint progress towards the goals are: o o o Broadband coverage for all o 50% of citizens using eGovernment 50% of citizens buying online o 25% of citizens using eGovernment 20% of citizens buying online crossand returning forms border o 11bn R&D in ICT public spending in o 33% of SME’s buying online 2020 o 33% of SME’s selling online o 50% of households have subsciptions o 75% internet regular use larger than 100 Mbps (2020) o 60% internet use by disadvantaged o 100% coverage of larger than 30 groups Mbps (2020) o 85% internet use Not all objectives are included in the regional analysis, as the goal is to identify the level of digital maturity in the region as an enabler for growth in the context of foresight. In this context, disparities in internet penetration rates or different level of absorption of ICT services WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 70/145 can significantly impact envisages scenarios. The results of regional performance in comparison the EU-27 and against the targets set are shown in the following figure: Broadband coverage for all (2013) 25% of citizens using eGovernment and returning forms 50% of citizens using eGovernment 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 50% of citizens bying online 20% of citizens buying online cross-border 85% internet use 33% of SMEs buying online 60% internet use by disadvantaged groups 33% of SMEs selling online 75% internet regular use EU 27 Hungary Austria Romania Bulgaria Slovenia Greece Target Figure 13. Progress of the region against Digital Agenda targets (Source: data are extracted from http://ec.europa.eu/information_society/digitalagenda/scoreboard/index_en.htm) It is explicit from the figure that an emerging regional pattern is a very good performance in broadband coverage and a relatively poor performance in e-Commerce.25 Austria, Hungary and Slovenia are more well-prepared markets with an advanced level of maturity in internet use and eGovernment use. The level of absorption of enabled broadband technologies does not appear to benefit Greece, Bulgaria and Romania, as these indicators fall behind. In Ecommerce however and buying online behavior, all countries except Austria are lagging behind the targets set. Cross-border online commerce remains underdeveloped again with the exception of Austria. Slovenia remains one of the leading countries in the adoption of e-Government with 100% availability of citizens' services and 88% availability of businesses' services. Take-up by citizens is slightly above average while usage by enterprises at 88% remains among the highest in Europe. Take up of internet services is around the EU average. In Austria, the full range of basic public services for citizens and enterprises are available online and take-up of eGovernment services by businesses is relatively good, although lower for citizens. eCommerce appears to be a popular activity. 25 Serbia and Montenegro state in their reports that broadband coverage is still inadequate. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 71/145 Internet use has expanded in Hungary and the percentages of internet use are similar to the EU average, but differences exist among services. The availability and use of eGovernment are also close to the EU average but less for eBusiness. In Bulgaria, rates of internet use have been gradually improving over the last few years but take-up is very low, putting the country at the bottom of the rankings. The availability of eGovernment services is below EU average but progress has been made in certain services. Broadband take up is quite low in the country. In Greece, regular internet use is the pattern but the ranking in the use of various internet services remains one of the lowest. eCommerce is underdeveloped while the availability and take-up of eGovernment services for both citizens and businesses is one of the lowest in the EU. In Romania, the low connectivity is reflected in low rates of internet use and low degree of internet services usage. The same holds for the area of eGovernment, where Romania is classified at the lowest place in the EU for both citizens (8%) and businesses (34). An interesting aspect of the regional performance is the seemingly convergent degree of broadband penetration. A more careful screening of national performances indicates a quite divergent picture in terms of infrastructure and resulting uptake levels. For instance, in Hungary, fixed broadband penetration increased and about 86% of connected households have a broadband subscription. 73% of Austrian households have an Internet connection and 64% have a broadband subscription, slightly better than the EU average. Internet take-up among businesses reached 97.2% explaining the extended take up of various online services. Slovenia demonstrates higher broadband coverage of rural areas with well-developed connectivity while there is also take-up of wireless internet on laptops and mobile phones. In Bulgaria, Broadband take-up stands at 15% as a percentage of overall population, translating into both low take-up by households and businesses. A positive trend though is high broadband speeds. In Greece, broadband performance has improved due to the focus on infrastructure through structural funds, but take up of broadband is still below the EU average and wireless broadband is still infant. Correspondingly, internet usage and take-up of services is not indicative of the progress made in broadband improvements. Last, in Romania, broadband take-up and coverage lag significantly behind, entailing low take-up by both households and businesses. Broadband subscriptions are fast nevertheless and the Romanian government aspires to increase household take-up rate to 80% by 2015. The unsatisfactory penetration and usage rates can be attributed to the share of the rural population which is characterized by low income, low PC penetration and low DSL coverage. Penetration rates are increasing sharply for Montenegro as well. Therefore the clustering in Digital Agenda aspects consists of 3 clusters: Austria and Slovenia, Hungary and the rest of the countries. This classification does not encompass the dynamics of each country in terms of real increase rates, but only present screenings. 6.1.2 RTDI /ICT Comparative Performances RTDI plays a pivotal role in innovation activities, while other sectors rely more on the adoption of knowledge and technology. Although we have already referred to differences in innovation WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 72/145 activity in a broad sense, we increase the level of analysis of analysis sophistication to include the ICT sector. ICT and innovation are interrelated concepts, since intrinsic innovation takes place in sectors where ICT plays a catalytic role. In addition, a high level of innovation in the ICT sector is associated with R&D intensity and the level of skills. The ICT sector is considered highly pervasive and it underpins most sectors in the economy, as the largest R&D investing sector of the economy (35). EU data indicate that the ICT sector represents about 4.8% of GDP and 3% of total employment, employing 32% of researchers. In specific between 2002 and 2007 the number of researcher in the ICT sector grew by 15%. In addition employment increased by 27% in ICT services, mostly in computer services and software (35). In addition, the ICT sector shows a sustained increase in BERD and employment and R&D investments by EU companies have been increasing in almost all ICT sub-sectors. It is clear that ICT is a major contributor to the knowledge economy, as the pervasive impact of ICT, its inherent R&D intensity, performance and dynamics confirm the central role ICT plays in the EU economy and the EU’s economic recovery. The ICT sector R&D in the new Member States is also notable in the services sector and in particular computer services and software. According to the 2010 R&D scoreboard, most of the new Member States combine low ICT BERD intensity with low BERD intensity of the rest of their economies giving a decreasing ICT BERD trend, nevertheless most of the new Member States have been improving their performance. Most of these countries have high rates of ICT BERD growth, which can be seen as “catching-up” and choice for specialisation. It has been suggested by the Commission that that the current underinvestment in ICT R&D is a complex issue due to Europe’s economic and industrial structure and a coordinated policy mix is required to favour industrial restructuring to high-tech, high-growth, high added-value sectors fuelled by ICT-enabled innovations (35) (32). The importance of ICT innovation is that in combination with other innovation it can lead to new products and services by connecting people and systems, providing remote access to resources and combining ICT with existing services. The analysis therefore starts with the pervasiveness of ICT in national accounts and sectors of the economy. According to the 2010 report on R&D in the European Union, from 1999 to 2007, employment increased by 27% in ICT services sub-sectors and brought the share of ICT services employment to 68% of the total ICT sector. From 2002 to 2007, BERD increased by 40% and employment of researchers by 56%. A further analysis of the ICT Scoreboard shows that R&D investments by EU companies have been growing in all ICT sub-sectors. ICT services account for nearly 70% of total ICT employment. The ICT sector is significantly ahead of other economic sectors in labour productivity, both in manufacturing and service industries. The ICT sector employs more researchers than any other sector in the economy ( 2010 report on R&D in the European Union) The new Member States as well as some SEE countries have also recorded an increase of the ICT sector R&D, where services sectors record half of the total national ICT R&D, denoting a specialisation pattern and catching-up phase of most of the countries especially in services sectors. The weight of the ICT sector in the economy of the countries is illustrated below: WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 73/145 Figure 14. Weighing of ICT sector components in Europe (Source: The 2010 report on R&D in the European Union) Hungary is the 4th European country in ICT weighting, with the following sub-sectors in increasing importance: telecom services, computer services, components, telecom and multimedia equipment, measurement instruments and IT equipment. IT equipment is visibly occupying the largest share in the EU, possibly due to the Multinational Enterprises in the country and their sales orientation. Bulgaria in specific has outpaced the growth of GDP though the growth of the ICT sector (especially in telecom services and less in computer services) and is next to the EU average, compared to the rest of the countries under investigation. Next, Romania and Slovenia also heavily rely in telecom and less in computer services, although measurement instruments and components also occupy a small fraction in Slovenia. Austria is classified next, with a more balanced picture in terms of telecom and computer services, though the first outweighs the latter. Greece is among the 4 last countries in classification with a clear orientation to telecom services as compared to computer services. It is evident that most of the new Member States in general concentrate their R&D efforts towards the ICT sector; however it is not easy to discern the true significance of technology diffusion or ICT-enabled growth as explanatory variables. The following table also recaps the percentage of the ICT sector on GDP for two subsequent years26 It is equally explicit that Bulgaria and Hungary show a relative increase, followed by Slovenia and Austria, although in these latter countries the trend is diminishing. 26 Unfortunately data for recent years are not available and therefore the effects of the financial crisis are not discernable. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 74/145 Table 6.1. Percentage of ICT sector in GDP Austria 2007 3,76% 2008 3,21% Bulgaria 2007 5,98% Hungary 2008 2007 2008 5,36% 5,84% 5,91% Greece 2007 2,71% Romania 2008 3,34% Slovenia 2007 2008 4,08% 3,41% Source: Eurostat, Benchmarking Digital Europe Indicators-ICT sector, 2011 Table 6.2. ICT expenditure as % of GPD in the region Country Year European Union 2008 2.9% 2.4% 2009 3% 2.5% Austria 2008 2.2% 2% 2009 2.2% 2% 2008 5.7% 1% 2009 5.8% 1.1% 2008 4.2% 1.6% 2009 4.7% 1.8% 2008 3.3% 1% 2009 3.3% 1% 2008 3.5% 1.1% 2009 4.3% 1.3% 2008 3% 1.6% 2009 3.3% 1.7% Bulgaria Hungary Greece Romania Slovenia ICT expenditure as percentage of GDP in communications ICT expenditure as percentage of GDP in Information Technology Source:Eurostat,ICT indicators, 2011 An emerging pattern is the dominance of the share of ICT expenditure in communications rather than information technologies, interrelated with the progress made in broadband, infrastructure and connectivity, especially in Bulgaria, Greece and Romania. The most WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 75/145 divergent expenditure can be distinguished in Bulgaria and Hungary, where ICT expenditure in communication is about triple of the expenditure in information technologies. The relative propensity to spend in communication and telecommunications might bear two distinct explanations, the first being related to the priorities to invest in infrastructure and connectivity and the second with the gravity of ICT goods imports from abroad. So far, the analysis has been focused on domestic components of the ICT/RTD sectors. As shown in section 5.3, external balances for ICT trade are negative in most of the countries with Hungary as the sole exception (due to ICT manufacturing). A notable performance in high-tech exports is clear for Greece and Austria and a relative specialization in ICT services trade (than ICT goods) in Bulgaria, Slovenia and Romania. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 76/145 7 Additional Issues Two more issues are explored in the present report: 1. Sub-Regional Issues An exploration large diversity regarding patterns of innovation performance where the countries in the region. This takes place especially for Romania and Greece, where regional strategies are present and where disparities should not be isolated from the general framework of innovation capacities. This analysis seeks to touch upon issues that differentiate the regional typology in innovation performance and let some further cluster emerge. The Regional Monitor (36) confirms that there is a large diversity regarding patterns of innovation performance where the countries in the region are characterised as follows: Table 7.1. Regional innovation typologies in the area Countries Innovation typology Characteristics Austria, Slovenia “Balanced regions” innovative entrepreneurship and high R&D expenditures entire country of Bulgaria, Romania and most of Hungary “knowledge-absorbing regions” innovation performance are below the average, innovative entrepreneurship is lower, small share of innovators , most of R&D expenditure is non-R&D Capital regions of Bulgaria and Hungary “Public regions” high score on ‘public knowledge’ , the average R&D expenditures in government research organisations are high and good shares of tertiary educated work force. Greece, Romania “knowledge-absorbing innovative regions” Eastern innovation knowledge higher average score on innovative entrepreneurship and non-R&D innovation expenditures low scores on technological innovation and patenting Greece (Thrace and Western Macedonia) “industrialised innovating regions” innovative entrepreneurship is below average, in turn resulting from industrialisation patterns Source: (36) 2. Emerging Themes Some further information is provided against the backdrop of emerging patterns of innovation and emerging themes as a tool to better anticipate changes that the regional is likely to be faced within the next years such as: New service opportunities, created by technological change and stimulated by demand for new types of knowledge WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 77/145 ICT growth allow firms to develop new services and produce existing services more efficiently and increases the tradability of services Technological change, growing stock of information and knowledge available increases knowledge intensity Open innovation patterns in user industries The creative industries have large growth potential in supporting innovative activities, encouraging economic growth and creating jobs Some new member states have very high annual employment growth rates in the creative industries Knowledge-intensive services (KIS), including knowledge-intensive business services (KIBS), are among the most dynamic industries in the economy Social enterprises are another emerging aspect in the EI as they are active in launching new services or products and an important source for sustainable and socially engage innovation R&D investments in the field of energy have been growing rapidly in the past years. This regards in particular, the development of new energy technologies driven by security of energy supply and environmental concerns. Living labs and cross –border cooperation can create eRegion between Austria, Hungary and Slovenia. Slovenia is more mature in living labs. These trends are derived from EU reports (top-down approach) and some other information of National reports (bottom-up) are revealed in terms of national strengths. Additional sources such as EU targets of the Framework Programmes are also used to provide futher refinement of issues and themes. Additional information on both these issues is provided in the Annex. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 78/145 8 PESTLE & SWOT Synthesis 8.1 Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Legal and Environmental analysis of the Region In formulating strategies, there are external factors with long-term influences and drivers of change that need to be taken into account. The questions asked by strategists are which factors are currently affecting and are likely to affect the country and what the relevant importance of these factors at present and tin the future (Curtis, 2005). The areas covered under each heading of the analysis are given below: Political/legal: legislation leading to competition distortion, tax policy, employment law, environmental protection laws, trade regulations, government continuity and stability Economic: inflation rates, unemployment, money supply, costs of material and energy, economic growth trends, business cycle (national and international). Socio-Cultural: population changes, age distribution, lifestyle changes, educational level, income distribution, attitudes to work and leisure. Technological: new innovations and development , obsolescence, technology transfer, public and private investment to research Environmental: energy consumption patterns, alternative technologies for the public and private sector. In the context of the present task, PESTLE is undertaken by the partnership as a means to formulate the ground for future analysis and provide a rudimentary understanding of the national system and some baseline future trends. In this line, it is partnership-generated and not expert-validated. The following regional PESTLE intends to depict the current situation in the SEE region, taking into consideration the input of the participant countries. The macro-environment of the region is analyzed in terms of political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental factors. The following table reveals the common elements deriving from the PESTLE analysis and their relative strengths (most common elements to less common, number in parenthesis denotes frequency). Isolated data, identifying country-specific elements are not included in the report. Our attempt to extrapolate general statements is also influenced by the different structure of the PESTLE reports in Serbia and Montenegro which have some distinct characteristics: 1. A series of national reforms undertook as enablers for EU accession, mostly existent in other countries 2. Contrasts between dynamic and growing sectors of the economy coupled with contradictory policy frameworks WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 79/145 3. Recent NIS with gradual incorporation of systemic R&D elements, cross-cutting the economy. Innovation and R&D are now being established as priorities. 4. Digital gaps, differentiated penetration rates and investments in infrastructure. The synthesized regional PESTLE therefore isolates trends that might affect the innovation landscape on a more general level. It is noted again that in the case of Serbia and Montenegro, affecting factors are more related to the general environment of the country, rather innovation-specific factors, due to recently formulated systemic innovation systems. Table 8.1. Synthesized regional PESTLE Relative strength Item Comments Political /legal institutional issues Very high (8) Medium (5) Low (3) Participation in international organization (EU, OECD, NATO, ISO, UNESCO, Interpol etc), creating stability Incoherent political landscape, having repercussions in the priorities set and the budget used for implementation at a political level. Elections in most of the countries Inefficient country-specific policies Low (3) The meaning and importance of innovation needs to be re-established Low (3) Positive impact of participation in EU and coherence of national goals and regulations Low (2) Low central budget dedicated to innovation Trade liberalization policies and reforms Low (2) For Serbia and Montenegro its actually application for memberships It may vary from very stable (Austria) to circumstancespecific (Greece), with frequent leadership changes This is a generic result, for example in Slovenia, the judicial system is ineffective, in Greece the implementation of policies etc In countries such as Austria, Greece and Romania, the importance of innovation in policy agendas is not prominent Greece is an exception, as the Europe 2020 targets and flagship initiatives (raise in GDP in innovation, employment etc) are contradictory to the imposed austerity measures Montenegro and Serbia specific finding For countries not present in the EU (Montenegro/Serbia ) Economic and Market issues WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 80/145 Very high (7) Very High (6) Medium (4) Global recession might raise austerity measures and restrictive public spending Import-dependent economies, poor trade extroversion Spending cuts in research affect RTDI activities of relevant actors Medium (4) Increased burden of taxes and contribution for companies, resulting in a businessunfriendly environment Recovering levels of GDP Medium (4) Medium (3) Medium (3) Medium (3) Very good quality of scientific research institutions Inefficient venture capital market Medium (3) Improving macroeconomic environment for Austria, Bulgaria and Slovenia, decreasing for Greece High inflation rates Medium (3) Unstable competitive rankings Medium (3) Market efficiency Low ( 2) Gradual reduction of state’s ownership of companies, which might alter orientation Low ( 2) Low contribution of the private sector in RTDI funding due a lack of an innovation driven type of demand Low (3) Access to joint R&D funds or Dependence on Structural Funds Low levels of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI Orientation towards open economy and equal economic development , , business environment improvements, harmonization with current EU systems Recovering funding opportunities for R&D Low (3) Very Low (2) Very Low Slovenia is currently the only country having increased private sector investment in R&D and public funding for R&D Particularly true for Slovenia, Romania and Greece. Austria is an exception. Particularly true for Slovenia, Romania , Montenegro and Austria, but not for Greece or Hungary. Austria, Hungary and Slovenia Particularly true for Slovenia, Romania, Greece and Serbia Abrupt droppings in competitiveness (Greece, Bulgaria, Hungary) Decreasing for Greece and Bulgaria Slovenia and Greece are most likely to privatize companies. Romania and Greece are countries most inflicted. Slovenia is the most successful country. Particularly true for Slovenia and Greece and Serbia Particularly true for Slovenia and Greece Montenegro/Serbia Serbia, Montenegro WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 81/145 (2) Social, Cultural and Demographic issues Very High (6) Very High (5) Medium (4) Medium (4) Increasing life expectancy resulting to aging population and need for new solutions for health and social care Good Literacy rates, improved education levels Income inequality, threatening percentages of population towards poverty line Scarcity of talent in the labour market but in different domains in each country Medium (4) Good rankings in social inclusion Medium (4) Low degree of HSRT in total employment Medium (4) Reduced employment Medium (4) Uneven regional development resulting to uneven intensity of innovation activity and centralization Very Low (2) Very Low (2) Very Low (2) Slow population growth rates Very Low (2) Reducing expenditures on education Very Low (2) Very Low Decreasing feeling of social security Mobility to urban regions Barriers for the establishment of new businesses Multiculturalism Improving structure of adult population Especially true for Romania, Hungary and Greece Might trigger need for skilled immigrants and returning diaspora Might alter consumer preferences and demographic indicators Especially pertinent to Slovenia, Greece, Montenegro, Serbia and Romania Especially true for Austria and Bulgaria This has implication for the labor market structure, entrepreneurship barriers and business demographics Especially true for Slovenia and Greece Especially true Romania and Hungary Montenegro Technological issues Very high (7) High (5) Broadband development Medium (4) Emphasis on hard R&D infrastructure Medium (4) Increased ICT expenditure as percentage of Good internet use Romania and Serbia as exceptions Greece, Austria, Bulgaria, Hungary WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 82/145 GDP in communications Medium (4) Medium (4) Low (3) Low (3) Low (3) Low ICT expenditures percentage of GDP in information technology New policies to encourage academiabusiness collaboration (AU), clusters and innovation poles creation (GR) flexible labour market and sustainable job creation (RO) eGovernment rates Availability of latest technologies very good for Austria and Slovenia, non availability for Bulgaria and Romania Low patenting rates for high-rate products Very Low (2) Innovation in Public services Very Low (2) Very Low (2) Very Low (2) Very Low (2) Very Low (2) Share of researchers in the economy Excellence in mathematics and computational mathematics ICT strategic importance in economy Lack of information literacy and monopolies in ASP Regional inequalities (digital gap) Limited for Montenegro Especially true for Slovenia and Bulgaria Facilitation of public services due to technological innovation Especially true for Slovenia and Greece Austria and Greece Mopntenegro , Serbia Montenegro Serbia, Montenegro Environmental issues Very High (7) Medium (3) Medium (3) Low Climate change is either a priority in the government agenda or the core of policy documents/measures ‘Green Culture’ Green entrepreneurship and green ICT are becoming priorities Especially true for Greece and Austria, and to a lesser degree in Slovenia Accession to environmental Treaties through the EU Low awareness among citizens WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 83/145 Economic/Market issues Global recession, austerity measures Poor knowledge-intensive economy extroversion Spending cuts in the RTDI system Political /legal issues Participation /accession in the EU Political landscape, frequent changes in leadership incoherent spending priorities Environmental issues Priority in climate change and green culture Low ICT expenditures as % of GDP Reforms and policies conducive to technologicalSocial/cultural innovation issues Life expectancy and major societal challenges Improved education levels Threatening % of poverty and unemployment NIS Technological issues Broadband and sufficient use rates R&D infrastructure development Low ICT expenditures as % of GDP Reforms and policies conducive to technological innovation Diversifying picture in ICT application areas. Figure 15. Major PESTLE forces with a potential impact in the region 8.2 Strengths, weaknesses, threats and opportunities in the Region The following table reveals the common elements deriving from the SWOT analysis and their relative strengths (most common elements to less common, number in parenthesis denotes frequency). Isolated data, identifying country-specific elements are not included in the report. It has to be noted that the SWOT analysis for Serbia and Montenegro are quite diversifying, as they mainly draw on reforms and newly born priorities in RTDI. It is not asserted that their NIS is immature; however it has recently gained in structural traits comparable to other countries. The SWOT takes into consideration their statements however the bullets below isolate some issues pertaining their specific NIS: Orientation to an open economy paradigm, conducive to innovation and entrepreneurship Pertaining ICT barriers such as lack of ICT skills in the wider population Emerging role of the knowledge based economy and ICT focus in national strategies Alignment with the “acquis communautaire”, reform-intensive structures Low investments into ICT RTD but emerging spending in infrastructures High dependence of RTD on government funding and lack of clear instruments to satisfy needs for R&D Relatively small number of international projects across all scientific areas WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 84/145 Weak transfer of research to the market, weak partnerships Fragmented public policies These two countries present recent institutional changes in order to promote research and innovation and strong transition attempts to a knowledge-oriented economy. They have recently put forward strategies, plans and instruments to encourage innovation and RTDI however they are faced with policy challenges that most of the countries have surpassed to some extend due to their membership in the European Union and coordination mechanisms thereof. Again, relative strength is denoted by the frequency of the statements present in national reports. As the countries only had an indicative list on SWOT statements, they had the liberty to elaborate according to national specificities. Therefore, the fact that some statements only gained in low relative strength does not necessarily entail that they are not present in the actual NIS, rather that they did not get acknowledged by partners. Table 8.2. Synthesized regional SWOT Relative strength Strengths Relative strength Weaknesses Medium (4) Investments (and plans) in hard R&D infrastructures and broadband High (6) Low BERD percentages /weak contribution of the business sector Medium (4) High levels of penetration/growth ICT High (5) Low investments in information technology Medium (4) Improved structures educational High (5) Low level of lifelong learning High (5) Low usage of ICT in the learning process and in eBusiness High (5) Few innovative enterprises High (5) Lack of Venture Capital/Risk Capital Fund for innovative SMEs and start-ups Medium (4) Low international competitiveness levels Medium (4) Adequate policy mix to support RTDI Medium (5) Priority of ICT in national strategies Low (2) Good orientation to open innovation schemes inside companies Low (3) High burden of taxes and inflexibility in the labor market Low (2) Shift from basic to applied Low (3) Little support WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 85/145 to innovative research start-ups transfer and technology Low (2) High level of know-how of companies Low (3) Limited capacity to attract EU funding, Inability to absorb EU funds for R&D or High dependence on EU funding Low proportion of researchers in the economy Low (2) Fundamental and strong knowledge creation, good track record in natural sciences and engineering as key to support other areas Low (3) Low (2) Research integrates with networks (eg ERA, FP6, FP7 etc) Low (2) Lack of dedicated evaluation mechanisms for innovation Low (2) Increasing prominence of funding for research, human resources and infrastructure Low (3) Lack of strategic focus while implementing regional RDI policies to benefit form regional strengths Low (2) Stable public funding (2) Low (3) Poor exploitability of research output and poor demand conditions Very low New emerging players and institutions in R&D Low (2) Administrative barriers governmental control Low (2) Low level of online public sector services for companies Low (2) Lead Market Initiatives non existent or at a primitive stage Low (2) Low levels of innovation absorption capacity in industry Low (2) Poor commercialization routes and patenting performance Low (2) Overlapping competencies of actors in policy implementation Low (2) Lack of clear focus in research Low (2) Knowledge transfer to the applied sector is quite weak Low (2) Limited international cooperation and mobility Low (2) Lack of awareness on RTD and innovation WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 86/145 and Low (2) Lack of an evaluation culture for innovation policies Low (2) Lack of focus in eCommerce and other ICT application areas in some countries Relative strength Opportunities Relative strength Threats High (5) Exploitation of niches/ new domains, based on regional knowledge High (5) Cuts in expenses for RTDI Medium (4) Support for increasing scienceindustry collaboration Medium (4) Responsiveness and adaptation of the education system to market demand Medium (4) Focus on innovative clusters in strategic industries Medium (4) Rigid, complex insufficient system for market efficiencies Medium (4) More strategic implementation of EU policies and programmes Medium (4) Regional disparities regarding distribution of innovation Medium (4) Lack of vision for an innovationled culture Medium (4) Brain drain to other countries, insufficient HSRT in national employment due to conditions Medium (4) Educational system can be geared towards strategic advantages Low (3) New measures to support private R&D investments Low (3) Slow implementation/inadequate mechanisms of national RTDI policies Low (3) Promising reforms for the venture capital and funding sector Low (3) Potential capital drain to other countries due to investment climate Low (3) Increase cooperation knowledge sharing and Low (3) Domination of HEIs in RTDI Low (2) Promising reforms in educational structures to enable industry-academia responses Low (3) Need for stronger industry links Low (2) Existence of ICT-dedicated public research centres Low (3) Dominance of traditional sectors over knowledge-intensive WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 87/145 science- technologies Low (2) Increasing R&D intensity Low (2) Loss of security, privacy and trust in the Internet, leading to the loss of its commercial potential Low (2) Increase of strategic innovative strategies inside companies Low (3) Unattractive climate for foreign investment and transfer of potential and know-how Low (2) Wider implementation of ecommerce/digital services Low (3) Relevantly low R&D spending of businesses Low (2) Creation of innovation Low Demand-supply gap in terms of innovation Low (2) Measures to increase investments of businesses in R&D Low (2) Increasing targets of GDP for R&D (might be non applicable due to budgetary cuts) Low (country specific) Societal awareness of Europe 2020 challenges and research to address these threats Low (country specific) Increase definition of societal role of research 8.3 demand for Short Discussion From the PESTLE and SWOT analysis, it was obviated that the countries have highly distinct economic, social, infrastructural, technological and administrative and institutional disparities and diversities, due to specific historic circumstances. The Innovation Union Policy report has generated a self assessment tool, concerning the features of a well performing national and regional research and innovation systems. We use this template as a basis for further discussion of the capacities of the region. The results once again are not expert-validated. The table only represents a first endeavour to derive high –level conclusions on the functioning of the regional innovation system. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 88/145 Table 8.3. Self-Assessment Tool on Features of a well-functioning NIS Self assessment tool: Features of well performing national and regional research and innovation systems Feature Current situation in the Region Promoting research and innovation is considered as a key policy instrument to Enhance competitiveness and job creation, address major societal challenges and improve quality of life and is communicated as such to the public. Public action in the region appears to acknowledge the pivotal role of promoting research and innovation in the national economies. Nevertheless, public action does not cut across all relevant policy areas (eg. financial market, labour mare, business environment, industrial policy, territorial cohesion, etc.) Design and implementation of research and innovation policies is steered at the highest political level and based on a multi-annual strategy. Policies and instruments are targeted at exploiting current or emerging national/regional strengths within an EU context ("smart specialisation") Government structures in the Region are quite blurred as concerns research and innovation policies. Steering at a high political level does occur with clear mandates and based on multi-annual programmes. In most of the cases, national consultation with stakeholders lead to specific policies. Policies recently and in some cases only acknowledge addressing major societal challenges without concerted action noted. Implementation of policies is rather complex without focusing on diffusing results to all stakeholders. Smart specialisation is not very widespread in the area in the European context. However, most of the countries state areas of national strengths. The strategies of the countries (besides Serbia and Montenegro which are in a pre-accession state) reflect EU priorities. Effective monitoring and reviewing systems with international benchmarking are not in place. Innovation policy is pursued in a broad sense going beyond technological research and its applications Most of the examined countries in the region base their policies on a broad concept of innovation, but a clear definition is not always explicit. Supply-side policies are the main instruments for stimulating innovation, while some countries (Austria, Slovenia, Greece) have started to deliberate on demandside policies. There is adequate and predictable public investment in research and innovation focused in particular on Public investments in education, research and innovation are in most of the cases budgeted in multiannual plans with complementary measures of the WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 89/145 stimulating private investment Structural Funds. Stimulation of private investment is very explicit on a policy level. Still, the countries (expect 1-2) heavily rely on GERD for innovation financing. BERD is very limited in the area. Excellence is a key criterion for research and education policy There is a rationale on allocating research funding on a competitive basis. Nevertheless, higher education and public research organisations are heavily reliable on GERD and national budgets. Research careers are not particularly attractive in the area. Although some measures are taken to re-attract researchers, countries suffer from brain drain. Education and training systems provide the right mix of skills Educational systems perform well in the area and there is sufficient supply of graduates in science and technology. Still, there is limited absorption of graduates in national RTDI systems. There are some mismatches in lifelong learning and education towards addressing innovation skills. Partnerships between higher education institutes, research centres and businesses, at regional, national and international level, are actively promoted Partnerships and collaboration schemes are conceptualized and implemented differently in each country The overall situation is characterized by rather low levels of collaboration between science and industry. On a policy level, strong partnerships consist priorities. Framework conditions promote business investment in R&D, entrepreneurship and innovation This is probably the main deficiency of the area, as framework conditions are not interconnected with policies and the business environment. Specifically, the venture capital market is deficient, the rules for starting up and running a business are not without complexities. The IP system has not been sufficiently researched in the area. Public support to research and innovation in businesses is simple, easy to access, and high quality Market failures are well identified in the provision of private funding for innovation. Funding support is available, however not always tailored to the needs of SME’s. Commercialisation of ideas is not actively sought. The public sector itself is a driver of innovation The public sector provides incentives in the delivery of public services only in the case of some countries. Public procurement policies for innovative solutions are considered rather weak. From the PESTLE and SWOT analysis, it was obviated that the countries have highly distinct economic, social, infrastructural, technological and administrative and institutional disparities WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 90/145 and diversities, due to specific historic circumstances. The regional RTDI system has a longterm vision WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 91/145 9 Conclusions The present synthesis report aggregated the results of the eight national innovation reports on the basis of an initial appreciation of the potential of innovation structures and systems performance in the region. Different implications in terms of research, technology and innovation (RTDI) policies were highlighted in the process of the synthesis of the national reports. Public action in the region appears to acknowledge the pivotal role of promoting research and innovation in the national economies. Nevertheless, public action does not cut across all relevant policy areas (e.g. financial market, labour mare, business environment, industrial policy, territorial cohesion, etc.). Partnerships and collaboration schemes are conceptualized and implemented differently in each country. The overall situation is characterized by rather low levels of collaboration between science and industry. Efficient framework conditions probably remain the main deficiency of the area, as framework conditions are not interconnected with policies and the business environment. Policies recently and in some cases only acknowledge addressing major societal challenges without concerted action noted. Government structures in the region are quite blurred as concerns research and innovation policies. Steering at a high political level does occur with clear mandates and based on multiannual programmes. In most of the cases, national consultation with stakeholders leads to specific policies. The strategies of the countries reflect current EU policies towards the paradigm of a knowledge-base society and smart and sustainable growth. Supply-side policies are the main instruments for stimulating innovation, while some countries have started to deliberate on demand-side policies. Public investments in education, research and innovation are in most of the cases budgeted in multi-annual plans with complementary measures of the Structural Funds. Stimulation of private investment is very explicit on a policy level. Still, the countries heavily rely on GERD for innovation financing while BERD is very limited in the area . Most striking strengths are the investments undertaken in R&D infrastructure and broadband, ICT penetration rates and improved educational structures, while most striking weaknesses are the low investments in information technology, the low usage of ICT in the learning process, the limited amount of innovative enterprises and lack of financing schemes for innovative SMEs and start-ups. In similar terms, the support for increasing science-industry collaboration and the role of the educational system towards strategic advantages are marked as important opportunities, while the complex insufficient system for innovation, the low responsiveness of the education system to market demand and the centralization of innovation in certain areas are considered major threats. The main forces that are expected to play a crucial role in the future are political (unstable political landscape, frequent changes in leadership, incoherent spending priorities), economic and market forces (the global recession, austerity measures, poor knowledge-intensive economy extroversion and spending cuts in the RTDI system) as well as environmental (climate change and green culture) and last some social and cultural (increased life expectancy and major societal challenges, improved education levels, poverty WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 92/145 and unemployment. Finally, technological forces include R&D infrastructure development, low ICT expenditures as % of GDP and a diversifying picture in ICT application areas. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 93/145 10 Abbreviations, Glossary, References 10.1 Abbreviations Abbreviation Full name BERD Business Expenditure on R&D EU European Union EC European Commission ICT Information and Communication Technologies GBAORD Government Budget Appropriations or Outlays on R&D GERD Government Expenditure on R&D RTDI Research, Technology and Development and Innovation PESTLE Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Legal,Environmentatl SEE South East Europe SWOT Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats WP Work Package WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 94/145 11 References 1. Commission, European. Innovation Input and Output. http://www.proinnoeurope.eu/page/innovation-input-and-output-0. [Online] 2. European Commission. Foresight blueprint for upgrade regions: the Upgrade Blueprint Foresight strategy and actions to assist regions of traditional industry towards a more knowledge-based community,. 2004. 3. Metcalfe, S. Technology systems and technology policy in an evolutionary framework. Cambridge : Cambride University Press, 1997. 4. Sectoral systems of innovation: a framework for linking innovation to the knwoledge base, structure and dynamic of sectors. Malerba, Franco. 1, 2005, Economics of Innovation and New Technology, Vol. 14, pp. 63-82. 5. Golden, W., Eoin Higgins, Soo Hee Lee. National Innovation Systems and Entrepreneurship. s.l. : CISC Working Paper No.8, 2003. 6. OECD. The measurement of Scientific and Technological Activities, Proposed Guidelines For Collecting and Interpreting Innovation Data. 2005. 7. —. The Contribution of Multinational Enterprises to the Upgrading of NIS in the EU new Member States: policy implications. Paris : OECD Global Forum, 2009. 8. OECD . The Oslo Manual" The measurement of scientific and techological activities: proposed guidelines for collecting and interpreting technological innovation data. 2005. 9. Science&Technology Policy Institute. Measuring Innovation and Intangibles: A Business Perspectives. s.l. : IDA, 2008. 10. Lundvall, B. National Systems of Innovation . London : Pinter, 1992. 11. Advisory Committee on Measuring Innovation in the 21ct Century Economy. Innovation Measurement: Tracking the State of. s.l. : US Department of Commerce (DOC), 2008. 12. Arundel, A. Innovation Survey Indicators: What Impact On Innovation Policy? Science, Technology, and Innovation Indicators in a Changing World: Responding to Policy Needs . Ottawa : OECD Blue Sky II Forum, 2006. 13. Rose, A, etc. Frameworks for Measuring Innovation: Initital Approaches. s.l. : Science and Technology Policy Insitute, 2009. 14. European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions. Handbook of knowldge Society Foresight . Dublin : s.n., 2003. 15. Europe Innova . Prospective Innovation Challenges in the ICT sector . 2008. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 95/145 16. Augusto Lopez-Carlos and Mata, Yasmina. Policies and Institutions underpinning country innovation: Results from the ICI. . s.l. : The innovation for Development Report 2010-2011, 2011. 17. World Bank. Doing Business . [Online] http://www.doingbusiness.org/. 18. Transparency International . Transparency International. Corruption Index. [Online] http://www.transparency.org/. 19. European Commission . Europe 2020 Strategy . [Online] http://ec.europa.eu/europe2020/index_en.htm. 20. European Commission. Reviewing Community innovation policy in a changing world. Brussels : s.n., 2009. COM(2009) 442 final. 21. —. Service Innovation Yearbook 2009-2010. Brussels : European Commission , 2010. 22. Edler, Kincsö Izsak & Jakob. Trends and Challenges in DemandSide Innovation Policies in Europe. s.l. : Thematic Report 2011 , 2011. 23. European Commission . Innovation Union Competitiveness Report 2011. Brussels : s.n., 2012. 24. OECD. National Innovation Systmes . Paris : s.n., 1997. 25. —. Innovative cluster: drivfers of national innovation systems. Paris : s.n., 2001. 26. Role of home and host country innovation systems in R&D internationalisation: a patent citation analysis. Criscuolo, P, Rajneesh Narula & Bart Verspagen. 2005, Economics of Innovation and New Technology, pp. 417-433. 27. Internationalization of innovationsystems: A survey of the literature. Carlsson, Bo. 2005, Research policy , pp. 56-67. 28. Eurobarometer. Innobarometer 2010. 2011. 29. Technopolis . Participation of SEE countries in competitive funding programmes in the European Commssion . s.l. : UNESCO-BRESCE, 2010. 30. European Commission. ICT Statistical Report for Annual Monitoring 2011. s.l. : Working Document 29 February 2012, 2011. 31. Ortega, J. L., Aguillo, I. F. Network collaboration in the 6th Framework Programmes: country participation. s.l. : Scientometrics , 2010. 32. European Commission . European Innovation Scoreboards (2009, 2010). Brussels : s.n., 2011. 33. European Commission. A Digital Agenda for Europe. s.l. : COM/2010/0245, 2010. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 96/145 34. —. Information Society Digital Agenda Scoreboard. [Online] 2012. http://ec.europa.eu/information society/digital-agneda/scoreboard/countries/index en.htm. 35. —. 2010 Report on R&D in the EU . Brussels : European Commission , 2011. 36. Technopolis Group. Regional Innovation Monitor -2010 Annual Report. s.l. : European Commission, Enterprise and Industry Directorate-General, 2011. 37. OECD . The impact of the crisis on ICTs and their role in the recovery . Paris : OECD, 2009. 38. European Commission. A European Economic Recovery Plan. 2008. COM (2008) 800 final . 39. Pro Inno Europe . European Innovation Scoreboard. s.l. : European Commission , 2009. 40. IW Istitut der deutschen Wirtschaft Koln Consult GmbH. Innovation Policy and the Business Cycle: Innovation Policy's Role in Adressing Economic Downturn . s.l. : INNO-Gips Policy Brief no.1, 2011. 41. European Commission. 2010 EU Survey on R&D Investment Business Trends. Brussels : JRC,DG Research, 2011. 42. Technopolis Group Belgium. Regional Innovation Monitor Policies and Processes of Smart Specialisation: Realising New Opportunities. 2011. http://www.rimeuropa.eu/index.cfm?q=p.file&r=aa27a00bcbc7feda69a4deb9b05fdb91. 43. European Commission. Social entrepreneurs as lead users for service innovation, March 2011 policy brief. 2011. 44. Europe Innova Sectoral Innovation Watch. National Specialisation Report. 2010. 45. ePractice . eGovernment Factsheet, National Infrastructure (Greece). 2011. http://www.epractice.eu/en/document/288255. 46. The system of innovation in Greece: Structural asymmetries. A, Komninos N. and Tsamis. 1, s.l. : International Journal of Innovation and Regional Development, 2007. 47. European Commission Regional Innovation Monitor . http://www.rimeuropa.eu/index.cfm?q=p.baseline&r=GR30. [Online] WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 97/145 Annex I: The Implications of the Current Financial Downturn on Foresight and ICTs. Most of the countries in the area have been heavily influenced by the currnet economic crisis. Economic stimulus packages to address the economic situation have been formulated mainly to restore the health of the banking sectors and stimulate short-term demand. Most of the countries also apply austerity measures, therefore the projections on R&D might be altered in the light of government cuts. According to a recent report by the OECD (37) performance in the ICT sector experienced a decline during the past years and therefore ICT policies need refinement in the crisis for quick recovery. During the past, ICT policies have been integrated into broader strategies such as eGovernment, cohesion, societal challenges, the environment etc. Governments worldwide aim at fostering growth through supply-side investments and formulating favorable conditions for innovation. The ICT sector is particularly sensitive to the financial crisis due to three main drivers of ICT production: Good long-term prospects for the ICT sector, as ICTs become embedded in all activities Volatile ICT investment that might magnify changes downwards in periods of depression Sharp downward changes in consumer spending and consumer confidence exerting pressures particularly on ICT goods expenditures. Therefore, depending on the overall business cycles, a fall in ICT spending and a period of under-investment are not being excluded. The economic crisis can trigger both opportunities and challenges (37): Table A- 4: Opportunities and Challenges of financial crisis on the ICT sector Opportunities Challenges ICT sector restructuring opportunities Greater reliance on ICT and the internet Outsourcing of services Declines in R&D and innovation activities Decreasing access to capital and start-ups and financial difficulties to finance investments Pressures on IT budgets in all sectors Public sector investments through procurement New ICT R&D innovation priorities as growth ICT manufacturing countries experience declines in ICT trade Fall in demand WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 98/145 might driver Growth in digital content applications Socio-economic challenges as a driver for ICT growth Decline in R&D and innovation activities Dropping priorities and innovation opportunities Resistance to change slowing ICT-enabled innovation Slower ICT uptake and diffusion through economy might slow down the sector even more. According to the Economic Recovery Plan (38) there is a vicious cycle of falling demand, downsized business plans, reduced innovation, and job cuts. This could further lead the EU into a deep and longer-lasting recession with stagflation. Nevertheless, there have been countries that actually used foresight to increase R&D expenditure in turbulent economic circumstances so as to lay the foundations of a strong position in innovation. In Europe, specifically, it has been proposed that Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) could provide a means for boosting research efforts in sectors affected by the downturn. Differentiation strategies instead of catching-up strategies are also proposed to build upon existing R&D strengths, articulating short term and longer term strategies. The overall EU strategy calls for optimizing European assets, transforming the research systems by providing an attractive environment for young researchers and creating disruption by the use of foresight, as “a vision-setting and policy coordination device as well as a catalyst for systemic disruption” (38). This may involve countries moving towards new sectors before their competitors and target investment in knowledge and lead structural change. This verifies the strategic role of the project, especially in a region. Direct-short actions for improving long-term competitiveness could be based on smart investments (skills for job creation in areas such as energy efficiency and clean technologies and investing in modernized infrastructure to boost other sectors as well). According to the same document structural reforms need to be oriented to supporting employment and improving flexibility and reducing administrative and regulatory burden on businesses, promoting entrepreneurship through the EGAF and enhance access to finance for businesses ( loan subsidies, guarantees, start-ups and micro-enterprises). The impact of the financial crisis can be found on four different layers of innovation, as put forward by a slighter older innovation report (39): 1. The Social and Economic Framework conditions (actual depth of the crisis on the financial situation, labor market etc.) 2. The Innovation policy framework i.e. changes in public policies influencing innovation 3. Spending on innovation (both public and private) 4. Internationalisation of innovation (FDI, Trade, scope of activities) We can thus conclude the multi-faceted impact of the financial crisis upon innovation, as most of the components of the NIS are interrelated. Although an evaluation per country is not yet WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 99/145 available, the general trends so far indicate a decline in demand, capital and liquidity problems, limited access to funding, falling innovation expenditures and decreasing employment rates. As concerns the specific behavior of enterprises in times of economic turbulence (BERDrelated issues, the recent Innobarometer (28) indicates that most enterprises did not report any change in innovation expenditure during 2009. Of those who changed expenditure, 22% of companies assert they have cut back on innovation spending, as compared to only 9% that increased the innovation budget. Another report (40) states that during the current economic crisis, firms are keeping their R&D activities unchanged or slightly increase them. Thus, the report finds a different firm behaviour from the pro-cyclical norms during times of economic downturn. High-tech manufacturing companies adopt a “forward-looking” behaviour as to innovation. Cost cutting has been very widespread in Greece (44%), due to the specific political and economic circumstances that may have undermined business and market confidence in the country. Figure 1 below presents the percentages of enterprises in all European countries. Enterprises in SEE countries appear particularly vulnerable as innovation followers and mainly maintain innovation expenditure at the same level with, with decreasing costs of innovation expenditures at second position. Figure A-16. BERD in times of economic downturn Source: Innobarometer 2009 According to the 2009 Survey on investment and business trends, the companies’ R&D investment is expected to grow by 2% annually over the period2010-12, half the amount expected according to last year’s survey, reflecting the ongoing effects of the economic crisis. This expectation does not cut across all R&D areas, as medium R&D intensity sectors expect a stagnation in R&D investments. Certain ICT areas, such as software and computer services are expected to produce approximately 5% growth, while technology hardware and equipment are expected to produce a less than 1.5%. The willingness of many firms to increase R&D WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 100/145 investment underline the role R&D plays to maintain or enhance competitiveness. Still, national debt levels, accompanied by low growth rates of the economies place additional challenges upon companies in dealing with a complex market environment. Therefore innovation measures should focus on preventing long-term negative impacts on the competitiveness. Whilst supply-side measures can stimulate short-term impact on private R&D&I activities (especially in terms of funding and subsidies), the stabilisation of the innovation system to the benefit of all actors involved could enhance resilience of a NIS. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 101/145 Annex II: Background information and analysis Supplementary information to Chapter 3: The global financial crisis appears to have affected most of the SEE economies, as the real GDP growth rate has been violently disrupted in 2008 and 2009 to regain only a part of the growth momentum in 2010, as depicted in the following figure. It has to be noted ex ante that this disturbance bears an impact on the investments and GDP percentage channelled to promoting innovation and growth. Similar conclusions can be drawn from the disruptive nature of employment growth diachronically which presents a rather gloomy perspective for unemployment especially for Bulgaria, Romania and Greece. The following figures present the GDP growth rate, employment growth and trade balances in most of the countries. Figure A-17. Percentage of Real GDP growth rate in the region 27 Real GDP growth rate (%) 10,00% 8,00% 6,00% 4,00% 2,00% 0,00% -2,00% 2007 2008 2009 2010 -4,00% -6,00% -8,00% -10,00% Austria European Union (EU27) Slovenia Bulgaria Greece Serbia Hungary Romania Source: Eurostat, 2011 Figure A-18. Percentage of employment growth in the region 27 Same growth rates apply to Montenegro, - 5.7% for 2009 and 2.5 for 2010, therefore the WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 102/145 Employment growth (%) 4,00% 3,00% 2,00% 1,00% 0,00% -1,00% 2007 2008 2009 2010 -2,00% -3,00% -4,00% -5,00% -6,00% European Union (EU27) Austria Bulgaria Hungary Greece Romania Slovenia Serbia Source: Eurostat, 2011 Table A- 5: Trade Balances in the region (difference between exports and imports)28 Austria Bulgaria Hungary Greece Romania Slovenia 28 2007 5,77% 2008 5,79% 2009 4,53% 2007 -19,71% 2008 -20,51% 2009 -7,92% 2007 1,59% 2008 1,22% 2007 -11,97% 2008 -12,72% 2009 -10,61% 2007 -12,12% 2008 -12,78% 2009 -6,92% 2007 -1,72% 2008 -3,02% 2009 1,52% No available data for Montenegro WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 103/145 Serbia 2007 -23,94% 2008 -23,35% 2009 -16,49% Source: World Bank Statistics, 2011 Table A- 6. Trade Balances in the region Balance Austria Bulgaria Hungary Greece Romania Slovenia Imports Exports 2007 0,30% 10,80% 11,10% 2008 0,20% 10,60% 10,80% 2009 0,10% 11,60% 11,70% 2007 -3,10% 6,60% 3,50% 2008 -2,70% 6,30% 3,60% 2009 -2,60% 7,20% 4,60% 2007 2,40% 19% 21,40% 2008 3,00% 17,20% 20,20% 2007 -3,50% 8,20% 4,70% 2008 -2,60% 8,40% 5,80% 2009 -3,90% 10,60% 6,70% 2007 -4,90% 8,40% 3,50% 2008 -3,30% 8,70% 5,40% 2009 -2,60% 10,80% 8,20% 2007 -2,50% 7,10% 4,60% 2008 -1,90% 7,10% 5,20% 2009 -2,00% 7,50% 5,50% Source: Eurostat, Science and Technology Indicators, 2011 Additional information to Chapter 4: Supplementary Information on Background Information on European Innovation Policies Some other emerging technologies in the context of ICT are illustrated in the following figure: WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 104/145 Figure A-19. Emerging technologies in the context of ICT on a European Level Source: (21) Some further information on European policies is given in the following table. the Areas are derived from European Policy Documents including Lead Markets, Digital Agenda, Key Technologies reports and ISTAG recommendations to provide additional details on policies and specific topics that lie in the heart of the European RTDI agenda. Table A- 7. ICT policies and challenges at the EU level Wide Area Description Key Emerging Technologies (KETs) KET s are knowledge and capital intensive technologies associated with high R&D intensity, rapid innovation cycles and highly-skilled employment, cutting across many technology areas with a trend towards convergence and technology integration Innovation infrastructures E-infrastructures for R&D , together with services supporting the management of scientific data and access of open data for specific purposes Proposed Industrial leadership in ICT (EU level) Specific topics Photonics (n/a) Manufacturing Nanotechnologies Biotechnology Advanced materials (n/a) Micro-nanoelectronics E-infrastructures for R&D and related services ICT based on strengths such as systems-ofsystems and urban WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 105/145 Health, Demographic change and well-being e-Health, ICT for patient empowerment, innovation in social care systems ISTAG orientation for ICT R&D and innovation beyond 2013 Inclusive, innovative and secure societies challenge Digital Agenda ICT inventions in societal domains Social innovation ICT to meet industrial existing strengths Technological and social innovation Integrating social challenges Rediscover emerging themes of innovation Single market in telecom and internet services Trust, security, interoperability and standards, fast internet access Cloud computing for government and science] Open innovation Digital literacy and skills Major societal challenges Lead markets highly innovative marekts, providing solutions ob strategic, societal, environmental and economic challenges but changes in legislation must be taken into consideration Key sectors for investing in the future The sectors emerge from previous estimations and the European management New ICT functionalities triggering social change ICT for societal challenges Future internet (internet of things, smart cities, smart traffic) Related enabling ICT Eg ICT for green and safe transport, smart energy, smart communities, affordable healthcare Non-specific Access to content, data protection, eGovernment Internet technologies Cloud computing Open platforms ICT for environment, sustainable healthcare, cultural diversity, eGov, transport systems e-Health Sustainable construction Protective textiles Renewable energies Bio-based products Recycling Low carbon economy Infrastructure for technology WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 106/145 Economic Recovery Plan diffusion Energy and environment/transport High-speed ICT networks Pan European research infrastructures Clean technologies Green cars Other trends Need for collaborative partnerships (PPP’s, tripartite financing, academiaindustry, etc). moving from fundamental research to meeting market and civil society needs, moving towards open innovation, involving industry in agendashaping. Bring stakeholders together through cross-sectoral and cross-borders platforms (both new thematic platforms and building on existing platforms) EU-wide services and platforms in cross-border, co-funded initiatives and partnerships. This notably includes development and support to common platforms and reference architectures as binding sets of structures, processes, interfaces, and data exchange standards and documentation standards Focus on creative industries for encouraging economic growth and creating jobs. This is a crossroad between arts, business and technology. Knowledge-Intensive services (KIS) fuelled by the applications of new technologies, new service concepts and changes in demand (mainly computer services and R&D). Extremely important for creating linkages and services with neighbouring countries. Emphasis on demand-side policies Other forms of innovation: o o o o Open innovation models (user-driven innovation , know-how trading, model in which firms can use external ideas and paths to market) Community/Social innovation (referring to strategies and products to meet societal needs from working conditions to education and health) Soft innovation (cultural industries, aesthetics, creativity and the creative industries) R&D and Innovation in support of major societal problems WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 107/145 Snapshot on national RTDI and Innovation Policies The main information presented in this section relate to a theoretical introduction on national RTDI and innovation policies and supplementary information derived from national reports. Overview and theoretical introduction on national RTDI and Innovation policies General policy orientation and the majority of policies in the national innovation systems of the countries under review have been strongly affected by the accession to the European Union, the funding provided by the Structural Funds as well as other supranational institutional structures such as the open method of co-ordination, the Lisbon agenda or the Innovation Union. However, some reports (Pro-Inno Innovation progress report 2009, FORSEE country reports) reveal significant divergences between policy declarations and actual implementation. Poor cross-country interactions and co-ordination is also noted. It is thus essential to examine STI policies in the region, their political weight in national agendas, and whether co-ordination and implementation take place in similar settings and with similar funding dependencies. Innovation policy in the countries under investigation seeks to couple different kinds of policy instruments to address challenges, themes or sectors although the level of policy debate and of concrete actions in the field is very diverse . In Bulgaria and Romania, there is no evidence of such debates on demand-side innovation policies, as the focus lies in fostering business innovation. In Slovenia, demand-side innovation policy is not a focus of attention, but the level of sophistication of national policies is mature enough. Specific demand-side innovation policies are listed as follows (ibid in conjuction with NIS) : In Slovenia, public procurement has started to flourish, especially with regards to green procurement. User-driven innovation and living labs are also more mature in Slovenia. In Austria, a new concept or public procurement for societal challenges and innovation in the public sectors is being developed. Also, regulations on green energy aims at the efficient use of funding instruments for green energy technologies to reach the market. An e-Health, protective textile, sustainable construction, recycling and renewable energies Lead Market initiative takes place in Western Greece. Demand-side measures broadly stimulate innovations in energy and the environment, as well as healthcare, communication and security. According to the (41), market regulation and legal frameworks are suitable for low R&D intensity sectrors. Supplementary Information on Main Innovation Policies Orientation WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 108/145 On a country level, the information on main innovation policies orientation is given in the list below: 1. Increase of support towards all research-relevant actors, supply of HR for RTDI Bulgaria (National Scientific Research Strategy 2020), Romania (Governing Programme 20092012), Austria (National Reform Programme), Greece (OP “Education and Life Long Learning”, Archimedes III, Heraclitus II, Thales), Hungary (“‘Bolyai Janos Research’ Scholarship”, “Hungarian Eotvos Scholarship”, “Mobility”) and Slovenia (Training and Financing of Young Researchers in Research Organizations) aim at the development of the knowledge and innovation based society by increasing the support to all the relevant actors that participate in research (universities, scientific institutions and other organizations). More specifically, Bulgaria supports young researchers and the creation of integrated scientific centers in universities. Romania’s target is to increase the number of researchers with international scientific results and the attractiveness of scientific careers and promote young researchers. Austria has set the target of a budget for science and research of 3.76% of GDP with at least 66% deriving from the private sector and a percentage of 38% of population with tertiary education. Greece intents to upgrade higher education and increase investment in human capital via better education and skills as well as to increase the stimulation of PhDs. Hungary, draws the emphasis on outstanding research activities of young researchers and provides them with financial support and supports their mobility and international experience. Slovenia promotes the stimulation of PhDs, the recruitment of researchers and science education). Moreover, Bulgaria and Romania aim at the repatriation of the scientific Diaspora. In Serbia, Development of Human Resources is one of the priorities in The National Strategy for Scientific and Technological Development 2010-14, although the main emphasis is still placed on infrastructures. In Montenegro, the goal is to emphasize the significance of human resources potentials for science and technology development, primarily through development of young researchers and inclusion in the European Research Area (ERA) to stimulate technological development and innovations and promotion of scientific results and development of new technologies the products of which are attractive to the market through the Strategy of Development and Financing of Higher Education in Montenegro (2011-2020) 2. Development of Innovative infrastructure, Centers of Excellence, Technology Transfer (7/8) Austria, Slovenia (Reform Programme for achieving the Lisbon Strategy Goals and OP “Strengthening regional development potentials”), Bulgaria (Innovative infrastructure and infrastructure for SMEs development) and Greece support the strengthening of regional infrastructure via the creation and support of Innovation Zones, incubators, spin-offs, technology clusters. Similarly, Hungary has several policies in place (“Support to accredited innovation clusters”, “Support to innovation and technology parks”) to reinforce the joint projects of accredited clusters and to facilitate the establishment of innovation and technology parks in the “pole cities” through the development of the appropriate research and ICT infrastructure. In Romania, the Registry of accredited entities belonging to the network of specialized technology transfer and innovation institutions (RENITT) published at 30.03.2011, includes 53 positions (technological and business incubators, technology transfer centres, WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 109/145 technology information centres). In Serbia, New Research Equipment (70 mil €) and ICT infrastructure including “Blue Danube” supercomputing center (50-80 mil €) are envisioned Initiative for Investment in Science and Technology Infrastructure”. In Montenegro, Necessary scientific research infrastructure and supporting research-oriented RTDI infrastructure are major goals of Strategy of Development and Financing of Higher Education in Montenegro (2011-2020). Montenegro also has an action plan for increasing ICT incubation. 3. Increase of competitiveness- Exploitation of key national strengths (7/8) Greece (OP “Competitiveness and Entrepreneurship), Bulgaria (Innovation Strategy, OP Competitiveness), Romania (National RDI Strategy) and Governing Programme 2009-2012 and Slovenia (Target Research Programmes) have set targets to increase the competitiveness of their economies and the competitiveness of their enterprises so as to make their regions attractive places to invest and work and so as to exploit domains with a comparative advantage. Moreover, Greece (Strategic Development Plan for Research, Technology and Innovation under 2007-2013 NSRF) supports R&D activities in key areas of national strength. In addition, Slovenia (OP “Strengthening Regional Development priority: Competitiveness of the enterprises and research excellence”) provides support to enterprises that conduct research that is strategically important and promotes inter-sectoral cooperation for R&D projects of public interest so as to increase the competitive capacity of the country and ensure its successful development (Target Research Programmes). In addition, Hungary (“National Technology Programme- Support for Strategic Research”) supports application-oriented R&D products which can improve life quality and enhance the competitiveness of the country particularly in the fields of life sciences, competitive industry, competitive agriculture and food industry, liveable and sustainable environment and security and safety. In Serbia, National Strategy is putting emphasis on specific national priorities: Biomedicine and human health, New materials and nanosciences, Environment protection and countering climate change, Agriculture and food, Energy and energy efficiency, Information and communication technologies amd Improvement of decision making processes and affirmation of national identity. In Montenegro, this is not very clear but the country in its national strategy does emphasise the importance of science and research within the context of further socialeconomical growth and transformation into modern knowledge based society; In Montenegro, the Ministy of Science has approved RTD projects in key areas including energy, new materials, interdisciplinary projects, natural sciences, competitiveness, science and education, agriculturist, medicine, ICT and tourism. 4. Support to SMEs- Entrepreneurship (8/8) Slovenia in particular places a lot of emphasis through several policies on providing support to SMEs. More specifically, there are policies in place to support investments of SMEs in new technologies (Programme for the promotion of entrepreneurship and competitiveness 20072013), to facilitate SMEs access to loans (Annual Programme of Slovene Enterprise Fund, OP:1 2007-2013), to provide subsidized costs of consultancy in order for older enterprises to modernize and new founded SMEs to survive the initial critical years (Programme for WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 110/145 promotion of entrepreneurship and competitiveness). In addition, Greece (Innovation vouchers for SMEs, Development and support of new highly knowledge intensive innovative enterprises, Support newly established firms in R&D and Support groups of SME's in their R&D activities) provides advanced support services for firms (Venture funding, Business Angels, Mentoring, seed capital) as well as support for firms at the pre-incubation phase and in spinoff and spin-out creation. Bulgaria (Innovative Infrastructure and infrastructure for SMEs development) has in place policies to ensure the improvement of the business environment and to foster start-up ventures. Austria too regards as a priority the funding of SMEs research and supports that via innovation vouchers, co-funding and tax incentives. The structural programme COIN-cooperation and innovation- is in place to stimulate and increase the RTDI activities of firms, especially SMEs and promote their collaboration with the academia. Hungary aims at strengthening the innovation capacity of SMEs and their profitability (“Technological upgrading of firms”) by facilitating market entry, supporting export-oriented companies with growth potential, increase value-added etc, finances innovative start-up SMEs with a large growth potential (“Corvinus Venture Capital Fund”), promotes equity financing in the early stage of risky SMEs (“Start Equity Guarantee Fund”), facilitates loans, promotes deductions of R&D expenditures from their taxable income and finances projects and researchers with high potential of generating outstanding results. In Romania examples of support provided to innovative enterprises are the Network of specialized technology transfer and innovation institutions, the National technological platforms (32 in 2010), the SOPs “Increasing economic competitiveness”, “Regional Development” and “Human Resources Development”, the Inno-voucher, introduced in collaboration with the Europe INNOVA initiative, with a budget of 2 mil. Euro in 2011In Montenegro the Strategy for Development of SMEs 2011-2015 envisages a better promotion and investing in innovation and research in SMEs will positively influence overall business performance of SMEs in Montenegro. In Serbia, SME’s are targeted through the Access to Finance The ‘Project for Supporting SMEs to Invest in Innovation (2009)’ supported by the Ministry of Economy and Regional Development, while the ‘Project for Supporting the Development of Competitiveness of SMEs and Innovation (2009)’ is managed by the National Agency for Regional Development. Strategy on Developing SMEs in Serbia 2008-2013 5. Reinforce the participation of the private sector in R&D activities and fundingInnovativeness of companies (6/8) Romania (National Reform Programme 2011-2013), Greece (National Reform Programme for Growth and Jobs 2008-2010), Austria (National Reform Programme), Bulgaria (National Research Strategy 2020), Hungary (“Support to innovation activities of firms”) and Slovenia (Programme on promotion of technology development and information society 2007-2013) set policies that reinforce the participation of the private sector in funding RDI. Slovenia in particular, reinforces the R&D co-financing actions of micro, small and medium enterprises as a means of offsetting the consequences of the recession. Bulgaria targets at a more stimulated private sector attitude which will contribute to RDI as a provider of direct investment and as a reliable beneficiary of scientific output. Moreover, Greece (Support new businesses for R&D) supports the collaboration of newly-established SMEs with public research institutions in order WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 111/145 to increase their participation in R&D funding. Hungary, aims at intensifying the RTDI activities and the competitiveness of companies by strengthening the growth potential of innovative companies, fostering experimental activities and the exploitation of research output etc. mIn Romania projects funded by the National Research Programmes are co-financed by participating private enterprises. In the National Programme “Innovation”, where projects consortia are coordinated by beneficiary private enterprises, the private contribution was about 51% of the budget in 2010. New mechanisms to support the public-private partnership in RDI are envisaged to be adopted according to the 2011-2013 National Reform Programme, including the innovation clusters oriented towards high technology areas and strategic sectors including ICT. In Serbia and Montenegro, the exact proclamation of policies is not present in the national reports, but may be implied in certain strategies. In Montenegro, the strategy plan for SME’s outlines most measures for competitiveness, however innovation and technological development regard the stimulating measure for financing innovation in the economic sector and marketing support for innovation actors, including public research institutions. 6. Cooperation (5/8) Bulgaria (National Research Strategy 2020) supports the establishment of a sustainable education-business-science relation. Greece (Legal Framework for the Development of scientific and technological research) enhances cooperation among research centers. Austria (10 Future Messages of the Minister of Science and Research (in the context of the Research Dialogue)) places the emphasis through various programmes on the cooperation of applied research organizations and the industry. Slovenia (Technology for Security and Peace 20062012) promotes R&D cooperation between public institutions and private business enterprises in the area of defense and security technologies. Hungary (“Development and strengthening if research and development centres”, “Support to market-oriented R&D activities”) has several policies in place channeled towards the strengthening of the cooperation of research centers with firms in order to achieve the best exploitation of the research results and their development into marketable products. In Romania, the collaboration between enterprises and academia in order to support the implementation of the 2007-2013 National RDI Plan is considered a major priority in stimulating the RDI investments in the private sector. In Montenegro, ministries started to be involved in Innovation and RTD activities and participate in research projects together with the Ministry of Science. One of examples of successful cooperation is a Call for proposal for RTD projects. Thus, cooperation is not viewed as explicit. In Montenegro, international cooperation aims at the reorganization of the systems for researchers mobility and participation in international actions 7. Improve quality of life and services through the use of ICT (3/8) In Romania (National RDI Strategy), strategies in the field of ICT on universal service in the field of electronic communications, broadband electronic communications, eRomania suporting eGovernment services for citizens and business environment), Greece (Digital Strategy 2006-2013) Austria (Programme Benefit, Programme Ambient Assisted Living Joint Programme) have policies in place to promote the improvement of the quality of life through WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 112/145 the use technology. Austria in particular draws attention to improving the quality of life of elderly people. 8. Restructuring of the RDI system in a more functional and efficient way (3/8) Romania (Governing Programme 2009-2012) and Greece (Law for the Institutional Framework of Research and Technology) aim at the reorganization of the research-innovation system in a more functional way so as to reduce the fragmentation of research activities and move towards performances of excellence. Other more national-focused orientations include the optimal use of the national and European funds and programs so as to achieve a more visible effect (Bulgaria), skill development and energy (Austria), awareness raising and innovationfriendly attitude (Greece) and the creation of legal infrastructure for RTDI activities, regarding the IPR protection abroad, the protection of activities of SMEs, individuals, PROs and higher education organizations (Hungary) ), strengthening the capacity and increasing the performance of RDI system, stimulating the growth of RDI investment in the private sector, developing the European and international dimension of RDI policies and programmes as three main RDI reform directions identified in the National Reform Programme 2011-2013 (Romania). Montenegro’s strategy aims at reforming the institutional framework for engaging in scientific-research activity, but this cuts across many reforms in many sectors so as to allocate funds towards research institutions and technological development projects. • • • • Greece: exploration and exploitation of the earth, environment, exploration and exploitation of space, transport, telecommunication and other infrastructures, energy, industrial production and technology, health, agriculture, education, culture, recreation, religion and mass media, political and social systems, structures and processes, general advancement of knowledge: R&D financed from general university funds, general advancement of knowledge: R&D financed from other sources, defence. Bulgaria: energy, energy efficiency and transport, development of green and eco technologies, health and quality of life, biotechnologies and ecological foods, new materials and technologies, cultural and historical heritage, information and communication technologies Hungary: transport, automotive industry and logistics, health industries, ICT, energy and environmental technologies, creative industries (no actual measures, more declarations) Austria: Austria demonstrates core competencies in e-areas such as e-commerce, egovernment, embedded systems, grid computing, knowledge based systems, Mechatronics, Semantic systems, Security and software engineering, Telecommunications, visual computing. Especially strong topics are signal processing, sensor systems, GIS, modeling and simulation and formal languages. In addition, international excellence is identified in both academic and industry research in embedded systems, microelectronincs, smart cards/RFID/security. Scientific ICT research can be found in visual computing, semantic systems, artificial intelligence, organic electronics, quantum information science, algorithmic mathematics, mathematical and simulation control basics. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 113/145 • • • Slovenia: advanced materials and nanotechnologies, energy efficiency and sustainable construction, renewable energy sources and environmental technologies, biotechnology, biomedicine and biological resources, high-performance computing and networks, analytical capacities, national digital resources, research infrastructure for social sciences and for applications in the space and safe and healthy food, metallic and nonmetallic materials, complex systems and innovations, information and communication technologies and medical sciences. Romania: ICT, energy, environment, physics, health, agriculture, food safety and security, biotechnologies, biology and genetics, materials, processes and innovative products, space and security, social, economic and humanistic research. Montenegro: international cooperation The tables below provide information on the national operational programmes and crossborder programmes to check for coherence on a regional level. Table A- 8. Operational Programmes Coherence National Programmes Sectors Operational Programme “Regional Development” Bulgaria Operational Programme “Regional Development” – Romania Operational Programme “Strengthening Regional Development Potentials” - Slovenia Regional Development Operational Programme “Environment and Energy” – Hungary Operational Programme “Environment and Sustainable Development”- Greece Operational Programme "Environment"- Romania Operational Programme “Development of Environment and Transport infrastructure”Slovenia Environment Operational Programme “Transport” –Bulgaria Operational Programme “Transport” –Hungary Operational Programme “Transport” –Romania Transport Bulgaria, Hungary, Romania Operational Programme “Development of the competitiveness of the Bulgarian Economy” – Bulgaria Operational Programme “Economic Development”Hungary Operational Programme “Competitiveness and Entrepreneurship”- Greece Operational Programme “Increase of Economic Competitiveness”-Romania Economic Development and Competitiveness Bulgaria, Romania, Slovenia Hungary, Greece, Slovenia, Romania Bulgaria, Hungary, Greece, Romania WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 114/145 Supplementary Information on Main Innovation Systems Priorities The Table below synthesizes information from the national reports regarding common priority axis of national innovation policies and specific measures taken. The table mainly serves at identifying the corrective measures each country takes for each deficiency identified and how it conceptualises approximating each priority axis in accordance with the level of sophistication of its system. Table A- 9. Common priority axis and baseline priorities in the region Priority Axis Relevant Countries Specific measures Slovenia Improvement of the quality and investments in human resources, through the upgrade of the educational system and the encouragement of life long learning Bulgaria Greece Romania Slovenia Increase of the number of researchers and improve their professional performance Montenegro 1. Education-TrainingLife Long LearningTowards the Knowledge Society and Performance of Excellence Hungary Addressing the issue of the shortage of supply of HR for RTDI as well as reinforcing the capacity of tertiary education in RTDI so as to achieve stronger cooperation with the industry and enhance their effectiveness Greece Improve the investments in Knowledge and Excellence as a tool to assist the reorganization of the economy and aims at generating knowledge in priority sectors of interest and at turning knowledge into innovative products. Austria Increasing possibilities to achieve higher qualifications, and recognizing non-formal and informal learning for disadvantaged groups. Austria also aims at improving monitoring of adult learning sector and analyze effects of reforms for adult learning. Montenegro- Professional development of researchers, stimulation of Doctorates in priority development areas; Establishing connections between the Educational system and labor market and enhancing entrepreneurial and innovative character of education. Serbia WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 115/145 Priority Axis 2. Research Infrastructure 3. Addressing Societal Changes- Elimination of Risks and Inequality Relevant Countries Specific measures Bulgaria Creation of new technological centers and parks as well as at strengthening the existing offices for technological transfer. Greece ICT and broadband infrastructure development but also technology transfer (Innovation Vouchers for SMEs) and cluster development . Austria Expanding cooperation of research institutions and firms on the basis of shared infrastructure, participation in EU and international infrastructure and support networking infrastructures to achieve critical mass. Hungary investment in large scientific facilities (Government’s mid-term STI policy strategy) and the development of R&D supply by providing the necessary infrastructure. Montenegro Necessary scientific research infrastructure; business parks and clusters. Serbia New Research Equipment and ICT infrastructure including supercomputing center. Romania Priority investment projects proposed by the Romanian Committee for Research Infrastructures including 19 positions for 10 domains, including ICT (6 projects), basic institutional funding to support the functioning of the research and development infrastructure, allocated to certified national R&D institutions and centers. Slovenia Addressing societal changes and improve the quality of life of all individuals in a sustainable way. Greece Romania Increasing the access to employment, creating a sustainable, efficient health system, reducing the levels of poverty and social exclusion. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 116/145 Priority Axis Relevant Countries Specific measures Austria Climate protection and renewable energy Greece29 Romania Slovenia 4. Creation and Support of Partnerships Creation of partnerships in RDI fields between national RDI institutes, universities , financial institutions or else between the public and the private sector Greece Reinforcement of European, Multilateral and Regional R&D cooperation in RDI projects so as to promote excellence Austria Improving the collaboration between science and industry and creation of competence centers Bulgaria Establishing national networks to bring together science and business through the creation of centers of excellence Romania Network of specialized technology transfer and innovation institutions (technological and business incubators, technology transfer centers, technology information centers) Slovenia Improving the institutional framework to facilitate entrepreneurial action and lead to a more dynamic society Greece (Austria) 5. Improvement of institutional framework 29 Hungary Addressing failures in terms of legal infrastructure for RTDI activities through STI policy support measures Austria Improving competition framework and market access conditions, HSRT, contribute to demand-side policies and expanding the basic research sector Romania Institutional reform regard the coherence of government policies through horizontal interministerial, scientific support in RDI developing policies and strategies, in RDI coordination, evaluation and funding, in evaluation and classification of units and However, Greece has not allocated specific budget on these priorities WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 117/145 Priority Axis Relevant Countries Specific measures institutions belonging to the national R&D system 6. Promotion of Innovation activities in enterprises Bulgaria Participation in Enterprise Europe Union as through its assistance the Bulgarian SMEs Slovenia Increase investments of the business sector in R&D Greece Increase of the participation of the private sector in RDI Austria Performing measures like innovation checks, research premiums, support for the commercialization of results and support of young enterprises Hungary Extending the R&D activities of enterprises and addressing inadequate private investment in RTDI activities Montenegro Strengthen and develop SMEs that will be export-oriented and capable to cope on EU markets in the future. Particular focus on strengthening export capacities of SMEs, developing and creating innovative environment and strengthening innovation capacities. Bulgaria Optimizing the relationships between participants of the innovation system and providing conditions for start-up enterprises Slovenia Support measures for the growth of patents, high-tech exports and value added products and services Austria Supporting new exporters internationalization) Romania Income tax exemption for IT specialist programmers, a more favourable regime of local taxes for industrial parks Bulgaria Establishing and developing centres for promotion of entrepreneurship in high schools Slovenia Higher rates of new high-tech firms and spin- 7. Improvement of the Business Environment 8. Support of Innovative Entrepreneurship and Competitiveness WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 118/145 (1st step of Priority Axis Relevant Countries Specific measures offs from universities stimulating innovation and entrepreneurship 9. Support ICT use in every domain Austria Technology transfer schemes, encouraging young talents and venture capital Greece Reorientation of the productive base towards high added value products and personalized services and at attracting new entrepreneur investments Romania Tax facilities to young entrepreneurs, improving entrepreneurial abilities of young engineers Romania Support of ICT use as a means of improving the quality of life and the quality of services. Emphasis is placed in the use of electronic public services. Greece The columns to the right indicate country-relevant information and how each priority axis is actually represented in a national context Supplementary Information on Coordination and Capacity A short overview of coordination mechanisms and capacity of the system in each country follows: In Greece, policies are conceptualized and implemented through Sectoral Operational Programmes, Regional Operational Programmes and European Territorial Cooperation Programmes. In addition, the alignment of the national research strategy to the Lisbon strategy is achieved through the Strategic Development Plan for Research Technology and Innovation 2007-2013 and the new National Strategic Reference Framework (NSFR). The main policy documents are the 9 Operational Programmes (OPs) and their basis is on the Regional Development Plan (NSFR), there are also 5 Regional Operational Programmes (RoPs) that focus on the needs of Greek regions. Sectoral measures to support innovation (support to entrepreneurship, ICT) and RTDI programmes (innovation vouchers, cooperation etc) exist as well. There is no single agency dedicated to innovation. Since 2009, the Greek government and the Special Permanent Committee on Technological Assessment (SPCTA) are the main actors at the political level of the governance structure of the Greek innovation policy. The main authority at operational level for the implementation of the RTD policy is the General Secretariat for Research and Technology (GSRT) which is under the Ministry of Education, Life Long Learning and Religious Affairs and the main advisory body on research is the National WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 119/145 Council for Research and Technology (NCRT) which is attached to GSRT. The main public organizations developing legal instruments and multi-annual programming for policy elaboration and implementation are the Ministry of Development, Competitiveness and Shipping (minDev), the Ministry of Finance (MEF) and the Regional General Secretariats of each Greek Region. The coordination of funding resources is under an Inter-Ministerial Committee and priority setting is assisted by the National Agency for Research and Technology. The orientation though of the main policy documents is highly influenced by the EU priorities. In Greece, coordination is mostly driven by the demand of the structural funds. In Bulgaria, the formulation of policies in RDI is based on micro and macro level analysis of the national economy and it is formed according to a series of legal and policy documents such as the Law on Promotion of Scientific Research, the National Reform Programme Bulgaria 20112015, the National Strategic Reference Programme, the Programme of Measures for Operational Programme Competitiveness and the Programme of measures for Human Resource Development 2007-2013. The policies are implemented through the National Scientific Research Strategy 2020, the National Roadmap for Research Infrastructures, the Regional Innovation Strategies for Bulgarian Regions and the Innovation Strategy. The legislative environment as well as the resource provision for scientific research are of major importance for the country. The Scientific Research Promotion Act is governing the research activities in the country and it regulates the principles and mechanisms for the implementation of policies regarding scientific research. There is a division of labour between science and education (MEYS) and innovation and market development (MEE) in the political system that governs RDI. The main policy maker is the Parliamentary Commission for Education and Science and the Council of Ministries acts as an intermediary between the Ministry of Education, Youth and Science (MEYS) and the Bulgarian Parliament and other ministries. The formulation and implementation of the policies is under the MEYS and research policy is shaped by other ministries as well (Ministry of Economy, Energy and Tourism (MEET), Ministry of Agriculture and Food (MAF), Ministry of Health (MH), Ministry of Defense). The National Council for Scientific Research (NCSR) and the National Council for Innovations provide assistance in the implementation of the government policies; however they lack the required degree of coordination in their operations. Some progress is made in Bulgaria concerning the distinguishing between policy formulation and implementation In Austria, the governance structure of the Austrian NIS consist of three levels; the policy making level under governmental bodies, the operational level that consists of programmes under agencies and the RTDI- performance level that involves scientific research-related organizations. The main governmental actors which are directly responsible for RDI are the federal ministries of Finance (BMF), of Economic Affairs, Family and Youth (BMWFJ), of Transportation, Innovation and Technology (BMVIT) which manages the biggest share of public funding for applied research and of Science and Research (MBWF). The Austrian Science Fund (FWF) and the Austrian Academy of Sciences are under BMWF. The Austrian Research Promotion Agency (FFG) is under the BMVIT. The Doppler Research Association (CDG) is under the BMWFJ. There is no formal mechanism for the coordination of the ministries’ activities. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 120/145 BMF is responsible for the allocation of funds to other ministries and for the design and implementation of the policies. In Romania, the current RDI policy framework is provided by the Governing Programme 20092012 and the new National Reform Programme 2011-2013. In addition, the National RDI Strategy 2007-2013 which is implemented by the National Research, Development and Innovation Plan 2007-2013 and sectoral plans is another means of the planning and implementation of the RDI policies. The legislative framework, the priorities regarding the implementation of policies and the issues ensuring inter-ministerial coordination is under the National Council for Science and Technology Policy which is under the Prime Minister coordination. The management of programmes of the National Plan II is under the Executive Agency for Higher Education, Research, Development and Innovation Funding (UEFISCDI) which is under the Ministry of Education, Research, Youth and Sports. Since 2011, several consulting bodies without legal personality have been created (National Council for Scientific Research which coordinates the Human Resources, Ideas and Capacities Programmes, National Council for Development and Innovation which coordinates the Partnerships and Innovation Programmes). The Institutional Performance Programme is coordinated by the National Council for Development and innovation, established in 2011. The domains of electronic communications, IT, information society and knowledge-based society services are under the Ministry of Communications and Information Society (MCSI). In addition, the National Authority for Scientific Research (ANCS) is responsible for the implementation, monitoring and evaluation of the RDI policies. In Slovenia, RDI policy is conceptualized by specific legal and policy documents such as the Law on Research and Development, Slovenia’s Development Strategy 2006-2013 (SDS), Resolution on the National Research and Development Programme 2006-2010(NRDP), National Reform Programme for Achieving the Lisbon Strategy Goals 2005-2010 (NRP), Programme of Measures for Entrepreneurship and Competitiveness 2007-2013, National Development Programme 2007-2013 and National Strategic Reference Framework (NSFR) with three Operational Programmes. All the policy documents are coherent due to their simultaneous preparation or hierarchical structure. However, the coordination of the measures and their implementation is a challenging domain for the country and is considered to be caused by the fragmental governance of the policies. More specifically, the innovation policy is under the Ministry of Higher Education, Science and Technology (MVZT), the Ministry of Economy (MG), and the Office for Development and European Affairs (GODEA) and the Office for Local SelfManagement and Regional Policy (GOSP). MG manages the implementation of policies through the Public Agency for Technology of the Republic of Slovenia (TIA) and the Public Agency of the Republic of Slovenia for Entrepreneurship and Foreign Investments (JAPTI). Moreover, there are two advisory bodies, the Science and Technology Council of the Republic of Slovenia and the Competitiveness Council. In Hungary, a number of government bodies is engaged in science, technology and innovation (STI) policy-making and each body has a considerably clear mission. The country is a unitary state and has a centralised decision-making system. In addition, an adequate number of policies schemes are in place addressing the variety of RTDI issues that emerge. Policies are WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 121/145 conceptualised and implemented mainly through the Government’s mid-term STI policy Strategy (2007-2013) and the OPs of the New Hungary Development Plan (2007-2013). Some of the most important OPs are: the Economic Development Operational Programme (EDOP), the Social Infrastructure OP (SIOP), and the Social Renewal OP. Since 2011, there are around two dozens of STI policy schemes and all of them are aligned to the EU STI policy goals. In the field of STI policy formation, the central government has a dominant role and the highest-level political bodies are the Education, Science and Research Committee and the Economic and Informatics Committee of the Parliament. The co-ordination of the governmental STI policy decision is under the National Research, Innovation and Science Policy Council, which is comprised by politicians from the Ministry of National Development, the Ministry for National Economy and the Ministry of National Resources, chaired by a deputy-prime minister and cochaired by the president of The Hungarian Academy of Sciences. The National Innovation Office (NIH) deals with the government’s policies for technology and innovation. The National Development Agency is responsible for the support schemes financed by the OPs of the New Hungary Development Plan (2007-2013) or by domestic funds. In Serbia, the governance system is attuned by political authorities, administrative bodies, funding agencies and research performers (Kutlaca, 2008). Although there is no official government policy toward restructuring of the R&D system, R&D organizations are in the process of transformations. The private sector is loosely integrated into the public public R&D system with no obvious links. The Government is the key player in Serbian ICT RTI as ICT RTD activities are funded by government and majority of research institutions are state-owned. Various Ministries are involved, as well as the National Council for Science and Technological Development and advisory bodies. In addition, there is a fragmentation in terms of a distinction between innovation and RTD in national bodies. In Montenegro, several ministries are involved in national innovation policy, and the Council for Scientific Research Activities represents the leading advisory bodies responsible for RTD. Additional information to Chapter 5: Supplementary Information on Educational System performance and Science Base The distinctive characteristics of the educational system per country is given below: In Greece, the situation is characterized by low levels of life-long learning participation and high levels of unemployment in all sectors. The knowledge triangle (research, innovation, education) policy is underdeveloped and only recently there has been some effort to implement changes. Although the country presents high levels of secondary education and tertiary education attainment, the Human Resources in Science and Technology (HRST) percentages in total employment are relatively low and the average growth indicator for doctoral degrees is lower than the EU average. Moreover, Greece is considered as one of the most open countries to outward mobility of researchers and it actually sends out more researchers than it receives. The update of the skills of the workforce is another important element that is needed for the upgrade of the RTDI system in the country. In addition, the WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 122/145 training levels on technological innovation inside companies are considered inadequate and only recently some action has been taken to address the matter (such as the vocational training of employees). As for the absorptive capacity of the R&D system, there is a mismatch between supply and demand for researchers as 500-700 new researchers remain unemployed each year. Scarcity of talent has been noted on sectors such as professional sales, accounting, technicians and other but not in RTDI. The situation in Romania is quite different, as the education sector has a quite active role in RTDI activities. Universities on the one hand prepare future researchers and on the other hand participate in applied and fundamental research. In addition, they are allowed to organize research institutes and laboratories and set up consortia with other research centers of private companies in collaboration programmes or projects. During the recent years, the country presents significant growth of graduates in math and engineering, their absorption by the system is low though and this results to significant brain drain. The most important reasons for this is the low market demand for researchers, low salaries in RTDI system and insufficient funding of programmes that stimulate research careers, inadequate research infrastructure and underestimation of the importance of RTDI for the economic growth of the country. Another kind of mismatch is noted as well, as the education policies are not efficiently correlated to the needs that private and public research presents and this leads to losses of qualified HSRT. Moreover, there seems to be a need for better coordination of education with initial training and continuing vocational training policies. In fact, the adult population faces difficulties in obtaining formal accreditation of skills acquired in the labour market and there is need for the creation of synergies between the existing legal framework, the educational policies and the lifelong learning policies. In Austria, the situation is characterized by a low share of graduates in science and technology and human capital in this area is considered a pressing challenge for the country. Although the quality of education in engineering, mathematics and natural sciences is rated from fairly good to top world wide, the country presents a significant shortage of highly skilled labour force in these domains. In addition, it is striking the fact that only 11.5% (in 2007) of the working population with tertiary education is actually working in a scientific occupation, a share that is significantly lower than the EU27 average (17.1%). However, the number of advanced and generic ICT specialists (such as software developers) is considered high (3.8%) when compared to the low share of ICT users (17.2) in the country. The attraction of Austrian Diaspora and foreign research is a means through which the country aims at strengthening its HSRT. In Slovenia, the high quality of the education system and the high levels of education and motivation of the workforce as well as the high levels of computer literacy and of foreign languages knowledge are considered as some of the main competitive advantages of the country. Both the levels of enrolled population in tertiary education and of expenditures on education as % of GDP have increased during the last decade. In fact, the ratio of expenditure on education as % of GDP of the country has always been higher that the EU average during the same decade (SI: 5.9%, EU: 5% in 2001, SI: 5.22%, EU: 5.01% in 2008). In addition, the ratio between teaching staff and students is high and the increase in tertiary education has a positive effect on the innovation capacity of the country. However, the increase of tertiary WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 123/145 graduates results in the creation of unemployment for young graduates. Another education issue that affects the innovation capacity of the country is the relevantly low levels of graduates in math, Science and Technology fields, leading to a shortage of personnel in these areas. Therefore, the education system aims at addressing this mismatch –despite its timeconsuming nature- by offering scholarships in these fields and by limiting the enrollment in other programmes such as social sciences, law and business, tourism and other services in which the country has more graduates than the EU average. Bulgaria is characterized by various conflicting elements. The amount of PhD students has increased twice from 2000 to 2006, however, during the past two years, there has not been noted an increase in the demand for doctoral degrees. A worth mentioning fact is the 46% increase of the number of positions for PhD students in higher education from 2007/2008 to 2008/2009. Moreover, although the OP “Development of Human Resources” provides financial support to young scientists, post graduate students and PhD students and even though the number of PhD scholarships has increased, the expected positive effect of an increase of the population with tertiary education has not led to the improved innovation capacity of the country as the actual number of students that defend their theses successfully and on time remains low. In addition, the amount of PhD students and PhD graduates in technical sciences varies and the amount of PhD graduates in Informatics studies is very low. However, the interest for ICT PhD studies seems to be increasing. In Hungary, the situation is characterized by increasing but insufficient levels (in international comparison) of Science and Engineering graduates and PhD degree holders and brain drain is a significant issue as it causes shortages of qualified S&E personnel. The main reasons for this are the unfavorable working conditions for researchers and the unattractive nature of this type of career in the country. Although there are several policy efforts to further increase graduates in scientific fields, there is the need for a more coordinated and effective way of addressing the issue in the long-term and businesses in particular need to be motivated to invest and create more positions for this kind of graduates. As for international mobility issues, the country presents low inward mobility (3% of researchers are foreign researchers in 2010) due to unattractive salaries and working conditions and stable outward mobility and for this reason there are several policy measures in place to support native and foreign researchers moving in and out of the country. The responsiveness of the education system is characterized by a lack of understanding of the actual industry needs and there is the need for better communication of the changing industry demands. Last but not least, the participation in lifelong learning is viewed as weak in international comparison and certain private training companies or some universities offer courses in entrepreneurship and innovation management. Note: no relevant analysis has been made for Serbia and Montenegro except for SWOT. Supplementary Information on Science-industry collaboration On a country level, the information on collaboration is given in the list below. The scarcity of sources and information on national reports however has rendered the analysis more difficult. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 124/145 In Greece, the most characteristic feature regarding the links between science and industry is the lack of a dynamic type of relationship between the relevant actors. In addition, the intermediary units are considered inadequate. The reason for this lies in the traditional orientation of the productive sector and in the fact that research priorities are driven by funding opportunities and not by demand leading to the lack of a dynamic market that could receive and exploit the research output of research centers and universities. There is limited knowledge circulation and exploitation, even though there have been some efforts by intermediary mechanisms to reinforce these types of collaboration. A small progress has been noted regarding the collaboration of innovative firms with universities during the years 20042006 (6% increase) due to the participation of the country in EU FPs for research. Most of the current measures that aim at improving the situation are under the Operational Programmes and are still under design. Indicatively, these measures aim at the creation of new knowledge intensive clusters in areas with competitive advantage and of regional innovation poles, the mobility of researchers from university to market, collaboration of SMEs with RTDI performers in high technology fields, collaboration of private companies with research centers in strategic fields and other. In Slovenia, the situation regarding the cooperation between science and industry is characterized by small progress (for the years 2002-2006), however, only a particular number of successful firms has managed to create strong connections with public research centers and benefit from this cooperation; the dominant aspect is that the output from the side of science and academia is rather irrelevant to the industry’s needs. In addition, the 3 types of collaborative tri-sector participation that exist in the country (Centres of Excellence, Technology Platforms, Clusters) have the aim to enhance the concentration of knowledge at key technological areas as well as to support strategic partnerships between academia and the private sector. Moreover, the 8 Centres of Excellence of the country have been created with the view of supporting inter-disciplinarity among different research fields, providing an equal basis for industry and academia and promoting joint sharing of the research equipment for public research units, industry and young researchers or postgraduate students. In Austria, there has been an increase of institutions of public/private partnerships during the last decade. More specifically, the Competence Centers play the role of the intermediary between science and industry and have different objectives, some of them related to ICT. The Competence Centers under K-plus have the objective of creating long-term initiatives for the collaboration of public and private research at an advanced level, K-ind Competence Centres support the creation of R&D centres which are run both by companies and research institutions, K-net Competence Centres support the co-operation of geographically dispersed facilities related to research of common issues. Moreover, according to a new naming scheme, K2 and K1 Competence Centres have been recently established. Other public/private partnerships that involve the industry are the Christian Doppler Laboratories (CD labs). In addition, the country’s research organizations participate in two EU Joint Technology Initiatives, the ARTEMIS and the ENIAC (European Nanoelectronics Initiative). Regarding university/industry collaboration, Bulgaria ranks 110th among 139 countries in the Global Competitiveness Rank. The OP Competitiveness and the primary priority axis support WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 125/145 the creation and upgrade of technology transfer centres, technology incubators, technology platforms and technology parks. In addition, another objective is to reinforce the synergetic attitude of all the relevant actors in the innovation system via the implementation of a series of related operations such as the creation of a “national innovation network”. In Romania, the companies are below the EU average regarding strategic relationships with research institutes (EU average: 15%, Romania: 11%) and equal regarding strategic relationships with educational institutes (EU average: 24%, Romania: 24%). The Sectoral OP “Increase of Economic Competitiveness” (SOP-IEC) sets among the priorities the support of partnerships between universities or research centres and enterprises for the production of output directly applicable to the economy. The state supports the development of innovation and technology transfer infrastructure through the creation of centres and specialized services for the dissemination and use of research output, areas and infrastructure with special facilities such as industry liaison offices, business incubators, technological parks, technology transfer centres and branch entities with a specialization in technology transfer, responsible for tripartite contracts. In Hungary, companies report higher frequency of cooperation in terms of innovation than most EU countries (6th in CIS 2008, with 41.6%) and there are long-established partnerships between businesses and higher education institutions.. There are several policy support measures in place to reinforce the collaboration between the private and the public sector organizations, knowledge circulation and the exploitation of research results. In addition, joint university-industry research centers located inside universities are supported through financing. The impact of these measures is contradictory as native experts support their efficiency and foreign experts support that science-industry links remain weak due to a lack of understanding of the actual industry needs by the academic side and due to the mismatching nature of the incentive structures that are offered to these actors. Moreover, the country reinforces the exploitation of knowledge by supporting IPR activities inside publicly financed research centers and technology transfer offices in many of these centers have been established to facilitate these activities. However, there is a rather significant lack of cooperation between domestic universities/public research centers and the ICT R&D field (namely electronic firms which mainly deal with manufacturing). Supplementary Information on Partnerships As above, the information on partnerships is given in the list below. The scarcity of sources and information on national reports however has rendered the analysis more difficult. The level of sophistication of analysis for each country significantly deviates. In Greece, one of the most representative characteristics related to the knowledge triangle links is the fact that although the country performs well in innovation inputs (such as education, investment in innovation), it does not perform well in output measuring indicators (such as patents, firm turnover form new products etc) and this seems to be caused by the lack of strong links and interactions in the knowledge sharing system. Although there has been noted some increase of collaboration between universities and innovative firms during 2004- WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 126/145 2006 and although the participation of Greece in the EU FPs has improved partially the situation, there is the need for more dynamic action. The distribution of knowledge to investors and SMEs is being supported by the relevantly recent creation of the Centres of Entrepreneurial and Technology Development but still there are few incentives for the creation of more intermediaries. Moreover, the country presents a low average for business funding public R&D). As far as the innovation policies set by the EU are concerned, in the country, Public Private Partnerships (PPPs) deal merely with the construction of public infrastructure. In addition, despite the importance of the public procurement policy for the improvement and rejuvenation of the innovation system, Greece seems incapable of exploiting this properly as it has neither set any clear-cut goal regarding it, nor formulated any policy to support it. However, new regulations combining public procurement and the health system are expected and there seems to be space for the improvement of the pre-commercial procurement market. Moreover, concerning the Lead Market Initiative (LMI) which is another innovation policy set by the EU for industrial innovation, Greece reports only a small participation in such projects and the reason for this appears to be the mistrust of the business sector towards the country’s market as well as the lack of a massive grant position. Another issue that characterizes the situation is the fact that the country needs to focus on innovation creation instead of innovation absorption. In fact, the tendency that the country presents towards adopting new technology instead of creating it, is proved by the number of patents which diverges significantly from the EU average. However, the country scores 82% of EU average in scientific publications per million inhabitants and half as much as the leading countries in terms of citations. As for the commercialization of public research, there are limited actions mainly due to the lack of interest and lack of capabilities and there are only few institutions that deal with this issue (FORTH, CERTH, ISI/ATHENA). Last but not least, the participation levels of Greek research teams in EU research is considerable and the most active FP7 research priority areas are ICT, Marie-Curie Actions, Research Potential, Transport, Nanosciences and Nanotechnologies and Health. In Slovenia, as already mentioned, collaborative participation appears in the form of technology platforms, centers of excellence and clusters. Regarding public sector innovation, Slovenia reports that the public sector motivates employees to submit suggestions and recommendations for the improvement of the delivery of public services. In addition, the public sector evaluates the education system, suggests preventive measures and forwards to ministries regulations for needed changes. As for public procurement strategies, there are two laws in the country; the Public Procurement Act and the Act in Public Procurement in Water, Energy, Transport and Postal Services. Concerning the commercialization of public research, the channels are: networking, continuous professional development, contracted research, licensing, spin-offs etc. Moreover, the Slovenian research policy, the instruments and the processes have been significantly influenced by the development of EU policies and documents. The issue of RTDI and the target of increasing R&D investment are included in national policy documents and thus the country aligns with the Lisbon and Barcelona targets. Generally, the country presents high indicators in knowledge internationalization aspects. As far as scientific co-publications are concerned, the country presents very good performance. In WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 127/145 terms of patent applications, Slovenia presents an increase from 2000 to 2008 (in 2000: 49 patent applications and 0.501 in ICT patent applications to the European Patent Office, in 2008: 60 patent applications and 0.995 in ICT patent applications to the European Patent Office), although the EU27 average has fallen. In Austria, Public Private Partnerships (PPPs) are considered as a means of reducing the intervention of the government and have become a deliberate policy goal. In addition, the commercialization of public research is supported at various stages, from early translation of the results to production of innovative products and services. In Romania, the creation of centres and specialized services, of areas and infrastructure with special facilities and branch entities are supported by the government at a national, regional and local level. The country has in place certain measures that align its policy with the Industrial Innovation policies of EU such as a law for approving the creation and functioning of S&T technology parks (2003), a government decision (2004) for the improvement of the coordination and management of innovation programmes and projects (PPPs with research institutes, Joint Projects, contract research, licensing etc) and other. In addition, in 2010 there were 32 technological platforms and in 2011 the Inno-voucher was launched with the aim to support and exploit the innovation potential of SMEs and the consulting potential of research institutes as a service, leading to the development of new products, implementation and testing of patents, technology transfer, evaluation and technological audit, transfer of research results to SMEs, IPR, certification of products and more. As for scientific publications per million populations, table … provides certain information for the county. In addition, in 2010, PCT patent applications per billion GDP were far lower than the EU27 average and license and patent revenues from abroad as % of GDP was 0.12% for Romania and 0.21% for EU27. In Bulgaria, the infrastructure for the support of the commercialization of research output and technology transfer in the ICT sector is reported to be adequate (it includes a network of Technology Transfer Offices-TTO, and Centres-TTC and High Tech Business Parks-HTBP). In addition, inside universities there are innovation offices, High-Tech Parks and R&D sectors and there are several technology transfer centers members of the Enterprise Europe Network which provide support to innovative SMEs and which are further supported by 3 high tech business incubators. As far as the patenting activity in ICT is concerned, Bulgaria presents very low performance with 10-20 patent applications for 2004-2008 at EPO/WIPO. In 2007-2008 there seems to be an increase of interest in IPR protection for the country’s ICT inventions, most of the new applications derive from SAP researchers with Bulgarian affiliation, though. In the Bulgarian Patent Office (BPO) the activity is seen as higher, more diverse and stable. In Hungary, there are measures and laws in place to support the commercialization of HEI’s research outputs through the creation of spin-offs and favorable IPR regulations. One of the priorities of the country is the introduction of pre-commercial procurement as a policy tool with the aim of strengthening the development of the ICT sector. There are no Lead Market Initiatives (LMIs) in the country and the capacity of ICT firms to absorb and exploit knowledge appears to be sufficient. In addition, the country participates in Joint Technology Initiatives WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 128/145 (JTIs) and Joint programmes, however, the country’s cooperation with other countries did not have the aim of joint policy design and STI policies are designed via joint initiatives only to a limited extent. Currently (2011-2012), the country holds the EUREKA chairmanship and Hungarian participants participate actively in its projects and contribute to 5 strategic cluster projects Supplementary Information on Infrastructure and Funding It is equally important to conceptualize the funding mechanisms used for RTDI and innovation in each country, as at the regional level, the funding models of RTDI policies present significant differences. In specific, in Greece, most of funding for RTDI activities derives from the European Community Funds with the R&D Framework Programmes and the Structural Funds and from direct government funding. There is no indirect public support via tax incentives. The contribution of the private sector is insignificant (0.58% of GERD, 2007) due to poor demand for research based knowledge that derives from the low absorptive capacity of the business sector and from bureaucratic obstacles whereas Structural Funds represent approximately 10% of GERD. The contribution of the public sector exceeds 2/3 of GERD and is half the EU average. Half of the public funding is university funding. All in all, the innovation policy in the country is heavily dependent on external sources of finance. In Bulgaria, the issue of funding RTDI is considered to be as one of the two main problems that the science sector faces. More than 80% of funding derives from the government and is based on the institutional funding principle. The contribution of the private sector is insignificant. In general, the country seems to be lagging behind nearly all EU countries in RTDI funding. The financial crisis which began to be felt in the 4rth quarter of 2008 slowed the GDP growth and led to negative growth in 2009 led to falling levels of RTDI funding (0,5% of GDP in 2008) and thus low levels of innovation and technology transfer. In Austria, the support to RTDI is threefold. It focuses on indirect funding via R&D tax incentives, basic funding to universities and research institutions and direct project funding to research institutions and firms. The emphasis is placed on applied research with market potential and direct and direct funding to business has increased considerably whereas public institutional funding for basic R&D has decreased. . In addition, there are many thematically open funding opportunities, ICT research is supported by European programmes, by thematic programmes and structural programmes. The private sector contributes significantly in ICT related research funding (84% of the overall research funding which is 0.52% of GDP, 2008) and the public sector contributes with a 16% of the total funding which is 0.52% of GDP (2008). The goal is to reach 1% funding of ICT RTD as a share of GDP and from this the 88% to be private funding and 12% to be public funding by 2020. In Slovenia, public funding to RTDI has increased (118,359,583 Euros in 2006, 234,241,000 Euros in 2009) due to the use of European Structural and Cohesion Policy Funds. GERD as a percentage of GDP has increased from 1.45% in 2007 to 1.86% in 2009. Financial incentives WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 129/145 have a positive effect but still the resources are limited compared to the actual needs. Private sector funding in RTDI has also increased during the recent years (companies invested 380.884.000 Euros in 2009) and it is approaching the EU average. The country plans to achieve the Barcelona target goal, part of the Lisbon Strategy, of investing 3% of GDP in science and development (1/3 public funds, 2/3 national economy) in 2012. In Romania, GERD as % of GDP has decreased from 0.58% in 2008 to 0.47% in 2010. The main sources are public funding (70.1% in 2008, 54.9 in 2010), private funding (23.3% in 2008, 32.3% in 2010) and they are devoted to fundamental research (49.5% in 2008, 42.9% in 2010), applied research (42.5% in 2008, 50% in 2010) and experimental development (8% in 2008, 7.1% in 2010). Public funding has decreased whereas private funding has increased. The emphasis appears to be placed on applied research. Public funding is allocated mostly to the governmental sector (47.3% in 2010), and Higher education (31.4% in 2010), the rest is allocated to enterprises and the private non-profit sector. State funds are allocated to the financing of the objectives of the National Plan and of the National Strategy as well as to the research institutes which participate in international programmes. The National Plan budget (15b. lei, 2007) focuses on the Partnerships Programme with 36% of the allocated budget and on the Ideas Programme with 18% of the budget. In addition, 13.5% is allocated to the Capacities Programme, 13.5% to the Innovation Programme, 10% to institutional performance and 9% to Human Resources. Another important source of RDI funding is the Sectoral Operational Programmes “Increase of Economic Competitiveness” (SOP-IEC) with an overall budget of 3.01 billons Euro (84.8% representing Community funding and 15.2% - National counterpart covered by National Public funding). Relevant for the RDI is the Priority Axis 2 – “Research, Technological Development and Innovation for competitiveness”, with 21.5% of the overall budget, while the Priority Axis 3 – “ICT for private and public sectors”, with 15.6% of the overall budget is focused on ICT. In Hungary, GERD has presented an upward tendency from 2001-2008 (0.9-1.0% of the GDP) to 2009 (1.17%). In 2010, it slightly fell to 1.16% (1,126.1m Euros), when the EU average was 2.0%. Furthermore, in 2010, businesses had the biggest share of GERD (HU: 59.8%, EU: 61.51%), Higher Education Institutions performed 19.9% of GERD (respective EU average: 24.2%) and one of the most important actors in the Hungarian research system, the Hungarian Academy of Sciences (MTA) performed 11.6% of GERD. Government funding has declined from 41.82% of GERD in 2008 to 39.34% in 2010, and business funding has decreased too, from 48.31% in 2008 to 47.37% in 2010. Industry-financed GERD has increased from 0.48% of GDP (2008) to 0.55 (2010), and government-financed GERD from 0.42% of GDP (2008) to 0.46% (2010). Another striking element is that domestic public funds for RTDI activities were disrupted: 36.6% of the 2010 budget of the Research and Innovation Fund was “frozen” in June 2010. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 130/145 Supplementary Information on Internationalisation of knowledge The following table extrapolates from the main FP7 ICT themes, the main performers on each theme: Table A- 10. FP7 participation per country and theme /top 20 performers in the EU Greece 5.2% Austria 1.2% Hungary 0.8% Slovenia Romania 4.5% 2.5% 0.4% 1.1% 0.6% 3.4% 6.1% 2.7% 4.6% 2.7% 2.8% 1.1% 1.6% 1% 1.6% 4.2% 5.4% 3.4% 3.6% 1% Photonics Organic and large area electronics Language technologies Intelligent Information Management ICT for Health ICT and Ageing ICT for Inclusion 3.2% 1.6% 1% 3% 0.8% 0.1% 4.4% 1.2% 5.2% 8.5% 8% 7.6% 6.5% 3.1% 7.1% 7.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.7% ICT for Governance and Policy ICT for Energy Efficiency ICT for Transport ICT for the Enterprise ICT for Learning Digital Libraries 8.1% 13.5% 1.2% 1.1% 4.7% 3.9% 3.9% 4% 2.6% 3.1% 2.5% 5% 9.4% 6.7% 0.6% Future Emerging 1.9% 3.1% 0.8% Future Networks and Internet Software, Services and interconnected objects Trustworthy ICT Networked Media Cognitive systems and robotics Nanoelectronics Micro/nanosystems Embedded Systems Other 0.4% 0.9% 0.5% Serbia 0.3% 0.2% 1% 0.6% 0.9% 2.2% 0.5% Bulgaria 1% Bulgaria 1.5% 0.6% Bulgaria 1.7% 0.4% 0.5% Bulgaria 1% 0.3% WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 131/145 Technologies International Cooperation Source: (30) 5% 1.3% It is explicit that Greece and Austria are important players on a pan-European scale. In Austria, participation in ICT is successful with more than 3.6% of funding and 64 projects coordinated . Industrial participation remains relatively low and the main strengths are ICT for Learning, ICT for ageing, Information management and ICT for inclusion. In Bulgaria, participation remained stable at about 0.2%. Bulgaria has been very strong in SME participation but participation of research institutions in very low. Areas of relative strength include Intelligent Information Management, ICT for Learning and ICT for Inclusion. Areas with low participation include some of the key enabling technologies. Nanoelectronics, Microsystems, Embedded systems and Photonics are among the key areas where no Bulgarian organisation is present. In Greece, research participation is very important and research institutions occupy the first ten positions in recipients ranking. The main strengths are in the areas of ICT for Health, Ageing and Inclusion but also technology areas such as Future networks and the internet, software and embedded systems. Greece seems to have potential to develop its companies in design, software and services as well as networking in the “knowledge triangle”. Hungary is very strong in SME participation whereas large companies are very weakly represented. The main areas of strength are Future networks, Networked media, Trustworthy ICT, Nanoelectronics and Photonics. Future and Emerging Technologies are also rather common. Romania has a rather strong participation from SME’s. Research participation is very focused on a few organizations such as several Universities. Areas of strength include Networked Media, Future networks and internet, ICT for health, for inclusion and for energyefficiency. Some of these areas have particularly high potential and have recently benefited from an increase in funding level. In Slovenia, SME participation has been relatively strong while participation of large industry is low and very concentrated. Areas of strength include intelligent information management, Cognitive systems and robotics, ICT for energy efficiency, and Software, services and internet connected objects. Supplementary Information on Market Development Three figures below provide more information on how countries engage in product of service innovation, by type of innovator and by type of BERD activity Figure A-20. Product –Service innovation Source: innobarometer 2009 WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 132/145 Figure A-21. Innovative enterprises by type of innovator, as a percentage of all enterprises Figure A-22. BERD by sector of activity WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 133/145 SI RO HU GR BG AT 0% 20% 40% Manufacturing 60% Services 80% 100% Other Supplementary Information on Industrial RTD and Innovation Some additional information per country is given below: In Slovenia, enterprises present very good performances in RTDI activities and are ranked above the EU average in many cases. More particularly, 34% of Slovenian enterprises in hightech sectors are actively innovating. In addition, manufacturing companies are more innovative than service companies (innovative manufacturing companies: 41.2%, innovative service companies: 26.8%). Due to the country’s size, the industrial-innovation sector presents a more extrovert character than other European countries and the percentages of outsourcing tasks to companies in other countries, of investments in enterprises in other countries, of other forms of cooperation with other countries and of recruitment of employees from other countries are higher than the EU average. Moreover, the country outperforms the EU average in open innovation, in user’s free access to test products/services, in the involvement of potential users in in-house innovative activities and share and exchange of intellectual property in support of innovation. In Greece, the situation is characterized by the lack of dynamic funding for the private R&D sector. BERD levels are low and the High Potential Entrepreneurship Indicator of the country is low as well. Moreover, the most representative features of the present situation include the risk-averse behavior of enterprises, the large number of small and very small firms with lowmedium technological orientation, the heavy reliance on public funding, the low “in-house” RTDI performance and the dominance of traditional sectors. The domains that attract the highest share of funding are ICT and biotechnology. Otherwise, the private sector is driven by the demand of the prominent sectors of the economy (IT services, chemicals, trade and food). Within enterprises, the high level of non-R&D innovation is another striking element and the failure to discriminate between non R&D and R&D innovators is a severe consequence that leads to ineffective public policies for innovation. On the other hand, there are some positive WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 134/145 elements regarding some of the major trends of Greek innovation enterprises. More specifically, Greek innovative companies perform better than the EU average in open innovation (creation/participation in internet-based forums in support of innovation, allow free access to tests product/services to users, share of intellectual property in support of innovation). In addition, the country performs quite well in strategic partnerships to support innovation as well as in cooperation with other countries. In Austria, there is a fair amount of enterprises that innovate. In addition, the country’s enterprises perform well in reinforcing employees submitting innovative ideas via internal mechanisms and cross-functional teams perform well in innovation projects. As far as the collaboration of the country’s companies with foreign companies and other foreign actors is concerned, the country presents low levels of collaboration in comparison with the other participant countries. However, they show higher levels of willingness to share and exchange intellectual property. In Romania, although the amount of innovative companies has increased from 17% in 2000/02 to 19% in 2008, the innovation capacity of the country’s industry remains low. The reason for this lies in the poor competitive environment, the companies’ reluctance to get involved in financial or commercial risks related to R&D and the lack of services and instruments that can reduce this risk. A positive element is the fact that private companies present very good levels of strategic partnerships with other companies which are active in the same field and good levels of strategic relationships with educational institutions. However, the relationships with the research institutes, with suppliers and specific customers need to be reinforced. In addition, the country’s enterprises present satisfactory indicators in all the areas of open innovation with the exception of sharing and exchanging intellectual property. Regarding the collaboration with other countries, Romanian enterprises are below the EU average in almost all the domains. Moreover, they are below the EU average and outperformed by the other countries in innovation stimulators. The tables at the end of the section provide evidence and further information for the situation of the country. In Bulgaria, the private companies present low performance in many innovation-related trends. First of all, they are below the EU average and outperformed by the rest of the participant countries in all the kinds of strategic relationships with other actors for the support of innovation. They perform quite better regarding open innovation; still they remain below the EU average with the exception of their participation in internet-based forums in support of innovation where they score better than Slovenian and Austrian enterprises. In addition, Bulgarian companies do not present an outward nature as far as collaboration with foreign countries is concerned and they invest in enterprises located in foreign countries the least of all the rest of the countries. Last but not least, Bulgarian companies present a rather satisfactory picture concerning innovation stimulators. The following table presents evidence and further information. In Hungary, firms report high frequency of innovation cooperation. However, only 6.5% of Hungarian enterprises reports cooperation with public research centers (16th among EU countries) and a decreasing pace has been noted since 1999-2001 (8.6%). R&D performed by WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 135/145 business enterprises present an increase from 52.57% of GERD in 2008 to 59.81% of GERD in 2010 (EU average in 2010: 61.51%). In addition, 7.1% of SMEs are engaged in innovation cooperation with other partners (2006-2008), a percentage lower than that of the EU average. One of the challenges that the country faces derives from the dual economy issues emerging from the existence and performance of large foreign-owned enterprises and the performance of small innovative firms, medium-sized innovative firms and large innovative companies regarding cooperation with clients and suppliers of equipment, materials and components of software. The factors hindering innovation activities are financial constraints and market conditions. More specifically, in 2004-2006, enterprises with technological innovation reported the lack of funds inside the enterprise (28.8%), lack of funds from external sources (19.9%), the high cost of innovation (27.3%), the lack of qualified personnel (14%), the domination of market by established enterprises (15.4%) and uncertain demand (14%) or lack of demand (4%) for innovative products and services as factors that hamper their innovation activities. Additional information to Chapter 6: As part of the Digital Agenda, the figure below isolates the indicator of the percentage of population interacting with public authorities to illustrate aspects of the discussion above in government services take-up and provision. Figure A-23. % of population interacting with public authorities online (Source: Digital Agenda Scoreboard, European Commission, 2012) Additional information to Chapter 7: Additional information is given on two issues: Regional issues and new trends in innovation: WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 136/145 Regional issues Some further analysis is performed in order to detect whether there is connectivity or regional actors in global networks and whether mechanisms behind diversifications can generate smart specialisation. According to (42) smartly specialised regions will be more innovative, resilient to economic downturns and competitive. Although all-embracing indicators cannot be analysed on the deliverable level, as comparative evaluations would have to include labour mobility, network formation, knowledge spill-overs and policy factors, some background perceptions can be formed upon existing findings. Technopolis (2011) also confirms that there is a large diversity regarding patterns of innovation performance where the countries in the region are characterised as follows : Regional typology in innovation performance o Half of the region under review belongs to the “knowledge-absorbing regions”, namely the entire country of Bulgaria, Romania and most of Hungary. Such regions are characteristics in South Eastern Europe , where innovation performance are below the average but innovative entrepreneurship is lower. In addition, the share of innovators is small and the most of R&D expenditure is non-R&D indicating absorption patterns. o Austria and Slovenia belong to the “ Balanced innovation regions”, characterised by innovative entrepreneurship and high R&D expenditures. o The capital regions in Bulgaria and Hungary are “Public knowledge regions” with a very high score on ‘public knowledge’ while the average R&D expenditures in government research organisations are also high and good shares of tertiary educated work force. o Most of Greece and a part of Eastern Romania belong to “knowledgeabsorbing innovative regions”, having a higher average score on innovative entrepreneurship and non-R&D innovation expenditures but low scores on technological innovation and patenting. In these regions, innovation mainly results from absorbing existing knowledge. o Two regions in Greece (Thrace and Western Macedonia) as well a region in lowest Hungary are labelled “industrialised innovating regions”, where the scores on technological innovation is above average but innovative entrepreneurship is below average, in turn resulting from industrialisation patterns. RTDI policies and funding o The same report reveals that the importance of policy level in RTDI in policy making is important at a national level for Bulgaria, Greece, Slovenia and Romania, while the regional element is important for Austria and Hungary. o RTDI policy is most pronounced in regions where the implementation of policies as such does not have an established tradition (e.g. Bulgaria, Greece) o The relevance of structural funding for regional innovation policies is significantly different across regions with no prounounced similiarities, but in WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 137/145 general they have a strategic role to pilot innovative measures in regions with no relevant capacities. Some regional disparities are discussed for Greece and Romania, as it would be insufficient to isolate factors relevant to innovation growth. Regional disparities are inherent in both countries, having received community assistance for regional development. In Romania, regional differences have increased over the last years, in particular between the capital and the rest of the country.. The South and capital regions concentrate most of the innovation activities in terms of BERD, personnel, patents etc. The South and capital regions concentrate most of the innovation activities in terms of BERD, personnel, patents etc. The other regions face numerous challenges as regards specific aspects on innovation development, insufficient financing, limited awareness and cooperation among actors and obsolete infrastructure. In Greece, the economic performance of the regions appears loosely coupled with the country’s innovation activity and there is limited correlation between the country’s overall economic performance with the respective performance on knowledge creation and innovation. Some regions appear to be wavering far away from the country’s average, due to some structural characteristics of the local economy (unemployment , dominance of traditional sectors, low share of GDP etc) and deficiencies in terms of infrastructure and linkages with Universities . The Region of Attiki concentrates the bulk of public and private R&D actors and expenditure in the country, absorbing 60% of the national GERD and 41% of national BERD, although, there is still a gap to the EU 27 average due to limited demands from industry. The region of Kriti also demonstrates high potential, but one of the obstacles these regions face is the slow rate of restructuring of the local economy and the weak alignment of technological demand by firms with the supply by the public sector. 30 In general, the common denominator of the deficiencies of Greek regions to convert themselves into growth dynamos are a combination of limited demand from the industry, reflecting the low-to-medium technology structure and low level of extroversion. At the same time the limited formal linkages between the research and business sector, the low level of public funding and the fragmentation of the research efforts across numerous disciplines constitute important barriers to further increasing R&D expenditure in most of the regions. The following figures illustrate regional performances (best and worst performing regions at at NUTS 2 level)) of the countries (excluding Serbia) with regard to R&D expenditure, R&D personnel and employment in high-tech sectors3132. Regions in the countries reviews apparently suffer from limited funding in R&D expenditure, lagging behind the EU average with Austria being the notable exception, thus with a robust gap between the best and worst performing region. Slovenia also approaches the EU average, nevertheless Romania Bulgaria 30 http://www.rim-europa.eu/index.cfm?q=p.regionalProfile&r=GR43&fj=true#economy 31 (source .Eurostat (2011, Science ,technology and innovation in Europe http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/ITY_OFFPUB/KS-31-11-118/EN/KS-31-11-118-EN.PDF) 32 Red vertical line denotes EU average, black vertical bold line denotes national average. Blue dots denote best performing regions and orange dots the worst-performing regions. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 138/145 and Greece in overall face low performances with the worst performing regions approaching 00.5% Figure A-24.Regional disparities in R&D expenditure as a % of GDP, 2007 (Source: Eurostat, 2011 Science, technology and innnovation in Europe) Interestingly, the situation in personnel is quite different from R&D spending, revealing a mismatch innovation and R&D structures, expenditure and employment. Most of the best performing regions in this case, apart from Bulgaria surpass the EU average in R&D personnel and employment in high-tech sectors, nevertheless differences persist in Bulgaria, Greece and Romania. Figure A-25. Regional disparities in R&D personnel as a % of GDP, 2007 (Source: Eurostat, 2011 Science, technology and innnovation in Europe) WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 139/145 Figure A-26. Regional disparities in employment in high-tech sectors as a % of total employment, 2007 (Source: Eurostat, 2011 Science, technology and innnovation in Europe) Additional EU trends This section revises most of the information provided against the backdrop of emerging patterns of innovation and emerging themes as a tool to better anticipate changes that the region is likely to face within the next years. According to the 2010 report on R&D in the, there are certain drivers and barriers to these processes for example: New service opportunities, created by technological change and stimulated by demand for new types of knowledge ICT growth allow firms to develop new services and produce existing services more efficiently and increases the tradability of services Technological change, growing stock of information and knowledge available increases knowledge intensity Open innovation patterns in user industries Barriers mostly consist of different rules and regulation s across countries, diversity of qualification, entry requirements and language differences. The creative industries have large growth potential in supporting innovative activities, encouraging economic growth and creating jobs Some new member states have very high annual employoment growth rates in the creative industries Knowledge-intensive services (KIS), including knowledge-intensive business services (KIBS), are among the most dynamic industries in the economy Trends: WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 140/145 There are three trends with potential in the future in; the quality of life: accelerated digital transformations, mass collaborations and a new paradigm of sustainability 33 The key sectors for investing in the future are low carbon economy, infrastructure and energy buildings, environmentally-friendly transport-modes, high-speed ICT networks, energy interconnections, and pan-European research infrastructures as well as clean technologies for cars and construction. 34 High-speed Internet connections promote rapid technology diffusion, which in turn creates demand for innovative products and services. The creative industries have large growth potential in supporting innovative activities , encouraging economic growth and creating jobs (crossroads between arts, business and technology). Some new member states have very high annual employoment growth rates in the creative industries (ibid) Knowledge-intensive services (KIS), including knowledge-intensive business services (KIBS), are among the most dynamic industries in the economy. The growth of KIBS has been fuelled by the application of new technologies, new service concepts as well as changes in demand. (innova sectroral report on KIBS) (KIBS are mainly computer services, R&D and other business services) KIBS can create strong linkages to a number of activities inside and outside servie sectors and create new services with neighbouring services. Social enterprises are another emerging aspect in the EI as they are active in launcihg new services or products and an important source for sustainable and socially engage innovation (43). Social entrepreneurs are much more likely to have introduced new-tothe-market innovations in goods, services or processes. Social enteriprises are a source for innovation generating towards the ambitions of the EU 2020 strategies (health, social work education etc) (Romania and Hungary are have high shares) Open innovation has emerged as a pattern and source of growth during the last years. Open innovation relies on networking with individuals to exploit knowledge and ideas, collaboration among partners, universities, users and compteititos and alternative methods of commercialisation. This trend is particularly significant in the evolution of the service industry for creating spill-over effects from a socio-economic perspective Public sector innovation and pre-market procurement: The single most important driver of innovation in the public sector was the introduction of new laws and regulations as well as new policy priorities 35. Public administration organisations most frequently developed new solutions on their own. R&D investments in the field of energy have been growing rapidly in the past years. This regards in particular, the development of new energy technologies driven by security of energy supply and environmental concerns. Living labs and cross –border cooperation can create eRegion between Austria, Hungary and Slovenia. Slovenia is more mature in living labs. The Innova national specialisation report (44) contrasts patent growth rate with technological specialisation form employment data and finds that the most promising innovative fields in the EU in terms of patents are information technology, pharma, biotechnology, medical engineering and semiconductors, whilst specialisation patterns exist in civil engineering, maching tools, space and wapons, agriculture and foods as well as environmental and nuclear 33 34 service innovation yearbook 2010-2011 A European Economic Recovery Plan, European Commission COM(2008) 800 final WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 141/145 sciences. A relative advantage appears in the European Union in technology fields such as environmental technologies (climate change, sustainable development etc). Small countries cannot efficiently diversify into a large range of industries. Therefore, they tend to specialise in a limited number of economic activities, chosen on the basis of domestic comparative advantages, the availability of specific resources, advantages related to location etc. According to the same source technological specialisation indicated by the HirshmanHerfindahl Index (HHI) has been steadily incrasing from 1978 to 2005 for Austria and Greece . In Slovenia in has declined until 1988 and then was stabilised with slight increasing trends. In Bulgaria, Hungary and Romania it has been flunctuating aroung 0.10-0.20 for the last decades with no clear trends. The Krugman Specialisation Index (KSI) measures national specialision based on the degree of similarity of the technology portfolios. This index has been stable in Greece for the last decades (after falling sharply between 1978 and 1993) and relative stable for Austria. The rest of the countries have continuously decreased their degree of sepcialistion Additional references of the Annex: 1. 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The Contribution of Multinational Enterprises to the Upgrading of NIS in the EU new Member States: policy implications. Paris : OECD Global Forum, 2009. 8. OECD . The Oslo Manual" The measurement of scientific and techological activities: proposed guidelines for collecting and interpreting technological innovation data. 2005. 9. Science&Technology Policy Institute. Measuring Innovation and Intangibles: A Business Perspectives. s.l. : IDA, 2008. 10. Lundvall, B. National Systems of Innovation . London : Pinter, 1992. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 142/145 11. Advisory Committee on Measuring Innovation in the 21ct Century Economy. Innovation Measurement: Tracking the State of. s.l. : US Department of Commerce (DOC), 2008. 12. Arundel, A. Innovation Survey Indicators: What Impact On Innovation Policy? Science, Technology, and Innovation Indicators in a Changing World: Responding to Policy Needs . Ottawa : OECD Blue Sky II Forum, 2006. 13. Rose, A, etc. Frameworks for Measuring Innovation: Initital Approaches. s.l. : Science and Technology Policy Insitute, 2009. 14. European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions. Handbook of knowldge Society Foresight . Dublin : s.n., 2003. 15. Europe Innova . Prospective Innovation Challenges in the ICT sector . 2008. 16. Augusto Lopez-Carlos and Mata, Yasmina. Policies and Institutions underpinning country innovation: Results from the ICI. . s.l. : The innovation for Development Report 2010-2011, 2011. 17. World Bank. Doing Business . [Online] http://www.doingbusiness.org/. 18. Transparency International . Transparency International. Corruption Index. [Online] http://www.transparency.org/. 19. European Commission . Europe 2020 Strategy . [Online] http://ec.europa.eu/europe2020/index_en.htm. 20. European Commission. Reviewing Community innovation policy in a changing world. Brussels : s.n., 2009. COM(2009) 442 final. 21. —. 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Participation of SEE countries in competitive funding programmes in the European Commssion . s.l. : UNESCO-BRESCE, 2010. 30. European Commission. ICT Statistical Report for Annual Monitoring 2011. s.l. : Working Document 29 February 2012, 2011. 31. Ortega, J. L., Aguillo, I. F. Network collaboration in the 6th Framework Programmes: country participation. s.l. : Scientometrics , 2010. 32. European Commission . European Innovation Scoreboards (2009, 2010). Brussels : s.n., 2011. 33. European Commission. A Digital Agenda for Europe. s.l. : COM/2010/0245, 2010. 34. —. Information Society Digital Agenda Scoreboard. [Online] 2012. http://ec.europa.eu/information society/digital-agneda/scoreboard/countries/index en.htm. 35. —. 2010 Report on R&D in the EU . Brussels : European Commission , 2011. 36. Technopolis Group. Regional Innovation Monitor -2010 Annual Report. s.l. : European Commission, Enterprise and Industry Directorate-General, 2011. 37. OECD . The impact of the crisis on ICTs and their role in the recovery . Paris : OECD, 2009. 38. European Commission. A European Economic Recovery Plan. 2008. COM (2008) 800 final . 39. Pro Inno Europe . European Innovation Scoreboard. s.l. : European Commission , 2009. 40. IW Istitut der deutschen Wirtschaft Koln Consult GmbH. Innovation Policy and the Business Cycle: Innovation Policy's Role in Adressing Economic Downturn . s.l. : INNO-Gips Policy Brief no.1, 2011. 41. European Commission. 2010 EU Survey on R&D Investment Business Trends. Brussels : JRC,DG Research, 2011. 42. Technopolis Group Belgium. Regional Innovation Monitor Policies and Processes of Smart Specialisation: Realising New Opportunities. 2011. http://www.rimeuropa.eu/index.cfm?q=p.file&r=aa27a00bcbc7feda69a4deb9b05fdb91. 43. European Commission. Social entrepreneurs as lead users for service innovation, March 2011 policy brief. 2011. 44. Europe Innova Sectoral Innovation Watch. National Specialisation Report. 2010. 45. ePractice . eGovernment Factsheet, National Infrastructure (Greece). 2011. http://www.epractice.eu/en/document/288255. WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 144/145 46. The system of innovation in Greece: Structural asymmetries. A, Komninos N. and Tsamis. 1, s.l. : International Journal of Innovation and Regional Development, 2007. 47. European Commission Regional Innovation Monitor . http://www.rimeuropa.eu/index.cfm?q=p.baseline&r=GR30. [Online] WP3 – Activity 3.4: National PESTLE & SWOT Analysis & Regional Synthesis 145/145