Climate and Cropping Systems Thomas G Chastain CROP 200 Crop Ecology and Morphology Climate and Cropping Systems • Successful cropping systems are adapted to the local climate and soil conditions. • The distribution of land on earth suitable for agriculture is determined by climate soil, and topography. • There are 3.5 billion acres of potential cropland on earth: 1. >20 inches/year 1.65 billion acres (47%) – most of this is in the Amazon Basin. 2. <20 inches/year 1.5 billion acres (43%) - this farmland includes most of the earth’s developed cropland. 3. Irrigated cropland 350 million acres (10%). Climate and Cropping Systems • Climatic Factors and Cropping Systems: 1. Water (Precipitation) – water determines the type of cropping system that can be employed. Also, in a dry climate, the variability in annual rainfall is greater than in a wet climate. 2. Temperature. Together with water, these factors most limit the productivity of the cropping system. 3. Solar Radiation – not a limiting factor in most cropping systems except in multiple cropping systems. 4. Wind 5. Humidity Climate and Cropping Systems • Much of the land mass of the Eastern US is wetter than the Western US. • There are individual areas within the west that are arid or semi-arid whereas a few areas have a wet climate. US Average Annual Precipitation Map Source – Oregon Climate Service US Wheat acreage US Soybean acreage Climate and Cropping Systems • Crops are grown in the climate where they are best adapted and economically competitive. • While wheat is grown throughout the US, the greatest acreage is concentrated in the driest part of the Great Plains states and the Western US. • Soybeans are mostly grown in the Midwest and the Mississippi Valley, but not in the Western US. Low night temperatures and lack of summer rainfall restrict the production of soybeans in the Western US. Climate and Cropping Systems Corvallis Oregon Climate Wet and Cool Winter Warm and Dry Summer TG Chastain, Oregon State University Climate favors winter annuals and cool-season perennials, crops that actively grow over winter and can be harvested early in summer. Rainfall subsides as crops mature in early summer facilitating harvest. A Climate and Seed Production Oregon Average Annual Precipitation C A B B C A - Annual ryegrass production in Willamette Valley B - Roughstalk bluegrass with aid of surface irrigation in central Oregon C- Kentucky bluegrass under center pivot in Grande Ronde Valley TG Chastain photos Climate Classification Köppen-Geiger climate classification system (Peel et al.,2007) A – Tropical B – Arid C – Temperate D – Cold E - Polar Climate Classification A. Tropical – can be found within 20⁰ latitude of the equator. Characterized by high temperatures with all monthly averages greater than 64⁰F. Near constant temperatures and photoperiods year around. • Rainforest (Af) high rainfall – more than 35 inches per year, and has a year-round distribution. • Monsoon (Am) has dry season alternating with wet season. • Savannah (Aw) drier than Af and also with a dry season, tree-studded grasslands. • Subsistence farming, intercropping, and plantation agriculture are generally practiced in these climates. Common crops include sugar cane, banana, coffee, cacao bean. Pineapple (TG Chastain photo) Climate Classification B. Arid – dry climates found over a wide range of latitudes. • Hot desert (BWh) tropical and subtropical regions. High temperatures and very dry. Phoenix Arizona is an example with 7.9 inches rainfall per year. Many crops can be grown in this climate when irrigated. Salinity problems may limit long-term productivity. • Cold desert (BWk) temperate regions. Cold winters, warm summers and very dry. Yakima Washington is an example with 7 inches precipitation per year. Many crops can be grown if irrigated. West Texas desert (TG Chastain photo) Climate Classification B. Arid – • Cold Steppe (BSk) semiarid climate in the temperate latitudes that has warm summers and cold winters. Palouse region of eastern Washington and north Idaho, and Columbia Plateau of Oregon. Also found in the plains of eastern Montana, Wyoming, and Colorado. • Hot Steppe (BSh) grasslands of Arizona and south-central Texas. • Grasslands dominate these regions in the natural state, but when developed for agriculture, cereals such as wheat and barley are the dominant crops. Both rainfed and irrigated agriculture is practiced in region’s with this climate type. Climate Classification C. Temperate – Found at higher latitudes than 20° • Mediterranean Hot Summer (Csa) a climate with hot dry summers with mild wet winters. Annual precipitation ranges from 15 to 25 inches per year. • Found in the southern Mediterranean region, California, and Australia. Many crops can be grown if irrigated, but also some dryland agriculture is practiced. • Mediterranean Warm Summer (Csb) – a temperate climate with warm dry summers and mild to cool wet winters. Found in the northern Mediterranean region, western Oregon and western Washington. Wheat field in Tasmania, Australia (TG Chastain photo) Climate Classification C. Temperate – • Humid Subtropical (Cfa) rain in all seasons with hot wet summers and mild moist winters. Baton Rouge Louisiana is an example with 58 inches rainfall per year. Crops such as rice and cotton are common. • Maritime Temperate (Oceanic) (Cfb) precipitation in all seasons, but with cool summers and mild winters. Coastal locations on windward side of continents – coastal Washington and British Columbia. Climate Classification D. Cold – Found at latitudes above 35⁰ average temperature of the coldest month is less than 32⁰F • Hot Summer Continental (Dfa) rain in all seasons with hot wet summers and cold moist winters. Characteristic of the US corn belt in the midwest. Ames Iowa has 31 inches of precipitation. • Warm Summer Continental (Dfb) warm summers with rainfall and cold winters with snowfall. Found in the Great lakes states, New England, and the Canadian Prairie Provinces. • Boreal (Dfc) cold summers with precipitation in all seasons and very cold winters at high latitudes. Some cereals, and grass and legume seed production in the southern parts of this climate type. Climate Classification E. Polar – cold summers with low precipitation, and very cold and dry winters. Not conducive to profitable agriculture. • Tundra (ET) • Icecap (EF) Climate Change: The Evidence • The mean temperature anomaly (or deviation) from a periodic mean has apparently increased with the industrialization of human society. • This increase is correlated with an increase in CO2 concentration and other “greenhouse gases” in the atmosphere. Temperature Data Source – NASA GISS Climate Change – A Local Perspective Corvallis - Industrial Revolution to Present • Incremental increases in temperature in the region has Warm been observed over the last 120 years of record-keeping. • Periodic warm and cool periods are found in the temperature record. This cycle seems to be related to temperatures in the Pacific Ocean. • These warm and cool periods have impacts on crop production such as extending or contracting the Cool frost-free growing season. Climate Change – A Local Perspective • Temperatures in Oregon have varied between warm and cool periods and apparently follow the phases of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), an index of sea surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean. Climate Change – A Local Perspective • Increased variability in annual Corvallis - Industrial Revolution to Present precipitation and its seasonal distribution has been a matter of Wet concern. • Average annual precipitation has increased by 81 mm over the last 120 years but most of that increase has been distributed in spring where higher rainfall can interfere with pollination of winter crops and planting of spring crops. • Early autumn rainfalls have been Dry on the decline; these are important for regrowth of perennials. Climate Change – A Long-term Perspective A. Industrial Revolution to Present B. Last 1000 years to Present Medieval Warm Period Post-industrial Warming Little Ice Age Climate Change – A Long-term Perspective C. Last 10000 years to Present D. Last 50000 years to Present Interglacial Post-industrial Warming Crop Domestication Ice Age Climate Change – The Urban Heat Island • Urbanization and industrialization have contributed to increases in temperature. Temperatures recorded at airports and city centers have seen the greatest change in temperature. Graph source NASA GISS Climate Change – Rural Locales • Recording stations in rural areas dominated by farms and forests have seen much less in the way of warming and in some cases no change or even reductions in temperature. Graph source NASA GISS Climate Change – Potential Impacts • Plant growth, yield, and water-use efficiency have increased and will continue to do so as CO2 levels rise. • The effects of increasing CO2 and possible climate change on pests (weeds, pathogens, insects and other arthropods) are largely unknown. • Some general circulation models predict that weather variability will increase, introducing yet more uncertainty and risk into agricultural production. Droughts, floods, storms, and periods of excessive heat or cold may occur more frequently, with impacts on agricultural operations, alterations in agricultural water supplies, and increased crop insurance costs and disaster payments. Source USDA