CASH-BASIS AND ACCRUAL-BASIS ACCOUNTING CHAPTER 16 EVALUATING FINANCIAL REPORTING QUALITY Accrual-Basis Accounting Cash-Basis Accounting • Financial statements reflect transactions according to cash flow. Presenter’s name Presenter’s title dd Month yyyy • Recognize revenues when receive cash. • Recognize expenses when disburse cash. • Financial statements reflect transactions in the reporting period in which they occur, irrespective of the timing of cash flow. • Recognize revenues when earned. • Recognize expenses when incurred. 2 Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute CASH-BASIS AND ACCRUAL-BASIS ACCOUNTING: EXAMPLE CASH-BASIS AND ACCRUAL-BASIS ACCOUNTING: EXAMPLE During the year, there are two transactions: 1. One customer pays $20 upfront. Cadence has not yet performed the service. 2. Second customer has not yet paid. Cadence has completed the service. At the start of the current year, the owner contributes $100 cash into the business. Cadence Cycling Beginning Balance Sheet ASSETS Cash CASH BASIS LIABILITIES & EQUITY $100 Liabilities 0 Equity Total $100 Common stock $100 Total $100 $20 Revenue $25 Expenses $0 Expenses $0 Net income Cash Liabilities Common stock Retained earnings Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute 3 ACCRUAL BASIS Revenue Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute $20 $120 $0 $100 $20 Net Income Cash $25 $120 Accounts receivable $25 Liabilities – Unearned revenue $20 Common stock Retained earnings $100 $25 4 CASH-BASIS AND ACCRUAL-BASIS ACCOUNTING: EXAMPLE ACCRUAL-BASIS ACCOUNTING: RELATIVE MERITS During the year, there are two transactions: 1. One customer pays $20 upfront. Cadence has not yet performed the service. 2. Second customer has not yet paid. Cadence has completed the service. CASH BASIS ACCRUAL BASIS Net income $20 Net Income $25 Total beginning assets $100 Total beginning assets $145 Advantages of accrual basis relative to cash basis: Total ending assets $120 Total ending assets $145 • More timely • Better predictor of future cash flows ROA 18.2% ROA 20.4% Disadvantages of accrual basis relative to cash basis: • Requires estimates • Involves more management discretion Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute 5 Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute 6 MANAGEMENT’S MOTIVATIONS: CAPITAL MARKETS SOURCES OF ACCOUNTING DISCRETION • Revenue recognition • Motivation to report results that meet or exceed expectations: Positive market reaction. • Allowance for doubtful accounts and related provision for bad debts • Research provides evidence of propensity to meet or exceed various thresholds: • Depreciation choices • Inventory choices - Beat historical earnings. • Choices related to goodwill and other noncurrent assets - Beat consensus analysts’ forecasts. • Evidence of propensity to barely meet or exceed these thresholds suggests • Choices related to taxes • Pension choices - Management possibly using discretion in reported earnings to achieve target. • Financial asset/liability valuation - In the case of analysts’ forecasts, management possibly moving the benchmark lower with strategic communications. • Stock option expense estimates Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute 7 Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute 8 MANAGEMENT’S MOTIVATIONS: CONTRACTS MECHANISMS DISCIPLINING THE FINANCIAL REPORTING PROCESS • External auditors • Management compensation contracts - Compensation linked explicitly to accounting measures (e.g., ROA, ROS). • Internal auditors, audit committee, and the board of directors - Compensation linked to stock prices, which can be affected by reported earnings numbers. • Litigation • Management certification • Regulators • General market scrutiny—for example, • Debt contracts - Financial journalists - Covenants based on accounting measures. - Short sellers - Pricing structures linking interest cost to financial performance. - Activist institutions - Employee unions - Analysts 9 Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute EARNINGS QUALITY 10 Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute EARNINGS PERSISTENCE • Earnings (operating income) can be viewed as two separate components: • Earnings that are considered to be higher quality: - Operating cash flows, and - When they exhibit persistence (i.e., when the reported level of earnings can be expected to be sustained or continued). - Accruals (the difference between operating income and operating cash flow). • Research measures “persistence” as regression coefficients, using the following regressions: - When they are unbiased—neither too conservative nor too aggressive. • Sustainable earnings enable better forecasts of future cash flows or earnings. Earningst+1 = 0 + 1Earningst + (1) Earningst+1 = 0+ 1Accrualst + 2Cash Flowst + (2) where earnings, accruals, and cash flows are all scaled by total assets. • Evidence that 1 is consistently smaller than 2 indicates that the cash flow component of earnings is more persistent than the accruals component. Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute 11 Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute 12 MEASURES OF EARNINGS QUALITY: BALANCE-SHEET-BASED ACCRUALS RATIO MEASURES OF EARNINGS QUALITY • Contrasting financial statements prepared on a cash basis to those prepared on an accrual basis is a natural way to identify the extent of discretion embedded in the reported financial statements. • Effectively, this amounts to comparing a pure change in cash measure of earnings with the reported earnings under accrual accounting. The difference is aggregate accruals or the accrual component of earnings. • Decompose reported accrual-based earnings into the cash flow and accrual component, using information on the balance sheet. • Define net operating assets (NOA): Totalassets Cash • How do you decompose reported accrual earnings into a cash flow and accrual component? - Focus on information in the balance sheet, or - Focus on information in the statement of cash flows Aggregateaccruals 13 MEASURES OF EARNINGS QUALITY: CASH FLOW STATEMENT-BASED ACCRUALS RATIO Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute / /2 Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute 14 • However, the two approaches (balance sheet and statement of cash flows) will not generate the exact same numbers. • Differences are typically small and can be ignored for the purpose of developing earnings quality measures. • The typical correlation between a broad accrual measure based on balance sheet data with one based on statement of cash flow data is in excess of 0.80. • The two approaches (balance sheet and statement of cash flows) are conceptually equivalent. • Adjust for size differences by scaling total accruals by average NOA: Accrualsratio MEASURES OF EARNINGS QUALITY • Measure total accruals for the period as the difference between net income and cash flow (from operating and investing): / • Adjust for size differences by scaling total accruals by average NOA: Accrualsratio Aggregateaccruals Totaldebt • Measure total accruals for the period as the change in NOA: Aggregate accruals = Accrual-based earnings – Cash earnings Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute Totalliabilities • An analyst should compare companies using the same method across companies. /2 15 Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute 16 A QUALITY-OF-EARNINGS COMPARISON OF TWO COMPANIES MEASURES OF EARNINGS QUALITY • Research provides validation of these measures of earnings quality. • Measures identify companies in advance of restatement announcements. • Measures are leading indicators of U.S. SEC enforcement actions. Balance-Sheet-Based Accrual Ratio / 2006 (%) 2005 (%) Siemens 14.2 18.7 General Electric 11.6 4.1 2006 (%) 2005 (%) Siemens 8.4 18.3 General Electric 9.0 3.3 Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accrual Ratio Accrualsratio Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute 17 POTENTIAL PROBLEMS THAT AFFECT THE QUALITY OF FINANCIAL REPORTING: REVENUE RECOGNITION • Revenue recognition issues Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute 18 INAPPROPRIATE REVENUE RECOGNITION: EXAMPLE • Diebold, Incorporated, has been engaged in an ongoing discussion with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regarding the company’s practice of recognizing certain revenue on a “bill and hold” basis within its North America business segment. As a result of these discussions, Diebold will discontinue the use of bill and hold as a method of revenue recognition in both its North America and international businesses. - Revenue misstatement - Accelerating revenue • Inappropriate revenue recognition - SEC enforcement actions - Restatements • The change in the company’s revenue recognition practice, and the potential amendment of prior financial statements, would only affect the timing of recognition of certain revenue. Although the percentage of the company’s global bill and hold revenue varied from period to period, it represented 11% of Diebold’s total consolidated revenue in 2006. • Warning signs of revenue misstatement - Large increases in accounts receivable - Examine days’ sales outstanding (DSO) - Consider in context - Large decreases in unearned revenue Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute 19 Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute 20 INDICATOR OF POTENTIAL REVENUE RECOGNITION ISSUES: REVENUE VS. CASH COLLECTIONS 2006 Revenue 2005 $2,906,232 $2,587,049 Plus decrease (minus increase) in accounts receivable 65,468 (92,703) Plus increase in deferred income 34,786 43,273 $3,006,486 $2,537,619 96.7% 101.9% Equals cash collected from customers Revenue/Cash collected from customers Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute 21 POTENTIAL PROBLEMS THAT AFFECT THE QUALITY OF FINANCIAL REPORTING: EXPENSE RECOGNITION “Improper accounting for bill-and-hold transactions usually involves the recording of revenue from a sale, even though the customer has not taken title of the product and assumed the risks and rewards of ownership of the products specified in the customer’s purchase order or sales agreement. In a typical bill-and-hold transaction, the seller does not ship the product or ships it to a delivery site other than the customer’s site. These transactions may be recognized legitimately under GAAP when special criteria are met, including being done pursuant to the buyer’s request.” “Report Pursuant to Section 704 of the Sarbanes–Oxley Act of 2002” U.S. SEC - Understating expenses. - Deferring expenses. - Classifying ordinary expenses as nonrecurring or nonoperating. • Warning signs of expense misstatement - Change in depreciation assumptions. - Ratio of depreciation relative to the gross value of PP&E or change in depreciation relative to sales compared with other companies. - Asset growth relative to sales growth. - Large positive unexpected increase in core operating margin and a contemporaneous negative special item or nonrecurring charge. - Inconsistency regarding items of expenses in operating income. 23 22 Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute ACCOUNTING WARNING SIGNS: EXPENSES Inconsistency over time in the items included in operating revenues and operating expenses. Classification of ordinary expenses as nonrecurring or nonoperating. Increases in the core operating margin [(Sales – COGS – SGA)/Sales] accompanied by spikes in negative special items. Use of nonconservative depreciation and amortization estimates, assumptions, or methods—for example, long depreciable lives. • Expense recognition issues Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute INAPPROPRIATE REVENUE RECOGNITION: EXAMPLE Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute May indicate opportunistic use of discretion to boost reported operating income. May reflect an attempt to mask a decline in operating performance. May indicate opportunistic classification of recurring expenses as nonrecurring. May indicate actions taken to boost current reported income. Changes in assumptions may indicate an attempt to mask problems with underlying performance in the current period. 24 POTENTIAL PROBLEMS THAT AFFECT THE QUALITY OF FINANCIAL REPORTING: BALANCE SHEET ISSUES ACCOUNTING WARNING SIGNS: EXPENSES Buildup of high inventory levels relative to sales or decrease in inventory turnover ratios. Deferral of expenses by capitalizing expenditures as an asset—for example: May indicate obsolete inventory or failure to take needed inventory write-downs. May boost current income at the expense of future income; May mask problems with underlying business performance. May allow company to “save” profits in one period to be used when needed in a later period; May be used to smooth earnings and mask underlying earnings variability. Customer acquisition costs Product development costs Use of reserves, such as restructuring or impairment charges reversed in a subsequent period; Use of high or low level of bad debt reserves relative to peers. Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute - Off-balance-sheet debt—that is, operating leases. - Goodwill. • Warning signs of balance sheet issues: - Changes in reported goodwill. - Goodwill amounts when market capitalization is less than book value of equity. 25 POTENTIAL PROBLEMS THAT AFFECT THE QUALITY OF FINANCIAL REPORTING: CASH FLOW ISSUES • Statement of cash flow issues - Classification issues in the cash flow statement - Omitted investing and financing activities - Real earnings management activity Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute • Balance sheet issues: 27 26 Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute SUMMARY • Financial reporting quality relates to the accuracy with which a company’s reported financial statements reflect its operating performance and to their usefulness for forecasting future cash flows. Understanding the properties of accruals is critical for understanding and evaluating financial reporting quality. • The application of accrual accounting makes necessary use of judgment and discretion. On average, accrual accounting provides a superior picture to a cash-basis accounting for forecasting future cash flows. • Earnings can be decomposed into cash and accrual components. The accrual component has been found to have less persistence than the cash component, and therefore, (1) earnings with higher accrual components are less persistent than earnings with smaller accrual components, all else being equal, and (2) the cash component of earnings should receive a higher weighting in evaluating company performance. • Aggregate accruals ratios are useful to rank companies for the purpose of evaluating earnings quality. Copyright © 2013 CFA Institute 28