AREUEA – ASSA Conference Atlanta, GA December 28-30, 1989 (Conference Hotel: Atlanta Marriot Marquis Hotel, AREUEA Hotel: Atlanta Hilton) AREUEA Schedule at a Glance: Thursday, December 28 8:00 am— Mortgage Default Risk Mortgage Pricing I Issues in Real Estate Valuation: The George Bloom Session 10:15 am— The Role of Homeownership in National Housing Policy: A Roundtable Discussion Academic Journals in Real Estate: An Editorial Roundtable (Doctoral Session) Mortgage Pricing II 2:30 pm— Research in REIT Performance Formal Models of Real Estate Market Behavior Mortgage Market Analysis: Micro and Macro Perspectives Friday, December 29 8:00 am— Rent Control Corporate Real Estate and Portfolio Issues Taxes and Housing Economic Efficiency in Mortgage Markets (joint with AEA) 10:15 am— Mortgage Pricing III Location Theory Hedonic Models 2:30 pm— Mortgage Origination and Selection Issues The Pounding of Feet: Migration Within and Between Regions The Impact of Regulatory Reform on the Mortgage and Housing Markets: A Roundtable Discussion Risk and Returns on Real Estate (joint with AFA) Saturday, December 30 8:00 am— Zoning and Land Use Regulation Mortgage Prepayment Risk Racial Impact of Urban Public Policy in Transportation and Housing (joint with NEA and URPE) Quality of Life 10:15 am— Commercial Real Estate Housing Market Behavior Real Estate Investment: Micro and Macro Issues Page 1 of 12 AREUEA Schedule at a Glance: Thursday, December 28 4:15 pm, Atlanta Hilton— Lisbon, Board Meeting—Invitation Only Friday, December 29 8:00 am, Atlanta Hilton— Vienna, Homer Hoyt Institute Breakfast—Invitation Only 12:00 pm, Atlanta Hilton— Crystal Parlor A, B & C, Reception (Cash Bar) 12:45 pm, Atlanta Hilton— Presidential Luncheon—Fee Event Presiding: Kerry D. Vandell, University of California-Berkeley Speaker: James Follain, Syracuse University 4:45 pm, Atlanta Hilton— Page 2 of 12 Fayette, General Membership Meeting AREUEA Session Information Thursday, December 28 8:00 am, Atlanta Hilton— Fayette, Mortgage Default Risk Presiding: CHESTER FOSTER, Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation LEON G. SHILTON, Fordham University—Option Valuation Verification of Commercial Loan Defaults OSKAR HARMON, University of Connecticut—A Hazard Rate Analysis of Single-Family Conventional Mortgage Loan Delinquency Payment Patterns DAVID HARTZELL, University of North Carolina, and KERRY D. VANDELL, University of Wisconsin-Madison—Termination Experience in Commercial Mortgages: Theory and Empirical Estimates SAMUEL BULMASH, University of South Florida—Investigating Lending Risk, Agency Relations, and Size Effects in the Savings and Loan Industry Discussants: TERRY BELTON, Discount Corporation of NY Futures ROBIN GRIEVES, Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp. MICHAEL LEE, Imperial Corporation of America PETER ZORN, Cornell University 8:00 am, Atlanta Hilton— Newton, Mortgage Pricing I Presiding: CHESTER SPATT, Carnegie-Mellon University WAIK. LEUNG and C. F. SIRMANS, Louisiana State University— Adjustable Rate Mortgage Pricing with Default and Prepayment Options: A Lattice Approach MICHAEL C. EHRHARDT and THOMAS P. BOEHM, University of Tennessee-Knoxville—The Pricing of Reverse Mortgages: Implications for Financial Institutions and the Secondary Market J. DOUGLAS GORDON, JAN E. LUYTJES, and JOHN J. FEID, Federal Home Loan Bank Board—Economic Analysis of Thrifts' Pricing of Adjustable Rate Mortgages Discussants: CHESTER SPATT, Carnegie-Mellon University STEVEN HESTON, Yale University PETER BOSSAERTS, Carnegie-Mellon University 8:00 am, Atlanta Hilton— Rockdale, Issues in Real Estate Valuation: George Bloom Session Presiding: TERRY GRISSOM, Texas A&M University DOUGLAS S. BIBLE, Louisiana State University-Shreveport, and TERRENCE M. CLAURETIE, University of Nevada-Las Vegas—A Comparative Analysis of Appraisers’ Views on Regulation and Certification JEFFREY FISHER, Indiana University, and WILLIAM N. KINNARD, Real Estate Counseling Group of Connecticut, Inc.—Separation of Real Estate and Business Value in the Appraisal of Malls and Department Stores JOHN D. BENJAMIN, Pennsylvania State University, GLENN W. BOYLE, C. F. SIRMANS, Louisiana State University—Discriminatory Pricing of Differentiated Products: The Case of Commercial Real Estate CRAIG STANLEY, California State University-Sacramento—Factors Influencing the Change in Multiple Family Residential Property Values: Evidence from the 1980 Census in Sacramento, California Page 3 of 12 Discussants: JAMES VERNOR, Georgia State University MIKE ROBBINS, University of Wisconsin-Madison JULIAN DIAZ, Georgia College RAY PERRYMAN, Baylor University 10:15 am, Atlanta Hilton— Fayette, The Role of Homeownership in National Housing Policy: A Roundtable Discussion Presiding: DENISE DiPASQUALE, Harvard University and Joint Center for Housing Studies JOHN WEICHER, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development SUSAN WACHTER, University of Pennsylvania MICHAEL STEGMAN, University of North Carolina 1015 am, Atlanta Hilton— Newton, Academic Journals in Real Estate: An Editorial Roundtable (1989 AREUEA Doctoral Session) Presiding: GEORGE W. GAU, University of Texas-Austin DONALD HAURIN and PATRIC HENDERSHOTT, Journal of the American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association DANIEL BROMLEY, Land Economics EDWIN MILLS, Journal of Urban Economics DONALD EPLEY, Journal of Real Estate Research JAMES KAU and C. F. SIRMANS, Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics 10:15 am, Atlanta Hilton— Rockdale, Mortgage Pricing II Presiding: ANTHONY SANDERS, Ohio State University RICHARD A. PHILLIPS, Old Dominion University, and JAMES VANDERHOFF, Rutgers University-Newark—Mortgage Instrument Choice in the Residential Housing Market: The Impact of ARM Initial Rate Discounts ALLAN A. ABRAHAMSON and JOHN T. EMERY, California State University-Fullerton—An Alternative to Simulation for Mortgage-Backed Security Analysis Using Functionals of Conditional Rate Paths C. F. SIRMANS, Louisiana State University, and JOHN D. BENJAMIN, Pennsylvania State University—Pricing Fixed-Rate Mortgages: Some Empirical Evidence Discussants: AVOY SPARKS, Citicorp Mortgage Research MICHAEL D. HERSKOVITZ, Merrill Lynch Mortgage Capital LEONARD D. VAN DRUNEN, Merrill Lynch Mortgage Capital COLEMAN KENDALL, Ohio State University Page 4 of 12 2:30 pm, Atlanta Hilton— Fayette, Research in REIT Performance Presiding: DAVID HARTZELL, University of North Carolina RAYMOND CHIANG, DAVID C. LING, University of Florida, and T. C. VENKATESH, University of Houston—REIT’s and Earnings and Dividend Announcements WILLARD MclNTOSH, University of Kentucky, and RONALD C. ROGERS, University of South Carolina—Stock Price and Management Changes: The Case of REIT’s JOHN S. HOWE and JAMES D. SHILLING, Louisiana State University— Measuring REIT Advisor Performance Discussants: MICHAEL GILIBERTO, Salomon Brothers, Inc. JOHN L. GLASCOCK, Louisiana State University CROCKER H. LIU, New York University 2:30 pm, Atlanta Hilton— Newton, Formal Models of Real Estate Market Behavior Presiding: ROBERT EDELSTEIN, University of California-Berkeley STUART S. ROSENTHAL, University of British Columbia, and SUSAN M. WACHTER, University of Pennsylvania—Housing Price Appreciation and the Savings Rate SURESH DEMAN, Australian National University—The Theory of Real Estate Takeover Bids: A Game Theoretic Model DANIEL QUAN, University of Texas-Austin—A Model of Search Behavior in the Real Estate Market HENRY POLLAKOWSKI, Joint Center for Housing Studies, and LLOYD LYNFORD, REIS Report—A Model of the Local Office Market: A Pooled Cross-Section and Time Series Analysis Discussants: DAVID DALE-JOHNSON, University of Southern California RICHARD MUTH, Emory University GREGORY SCHWANN, University of British Columbia and University of California-Berkeley SUSAN WOODWARD, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development 2:30 pm, Atlanta Hilton— Rockdale, Mortgage Market Analysis: Micro and Macro Perspectives Presiding: PETER M. ZORN, Cornell University JAMES T. FERGUS, STUART A. GABRIEL, STEPHEN A. LUMPKIN, and J. MICHAEL WOOLLEY, Federal Reserve Board—Vertical Integration of Mortgage Markets, Secondary Market Innovation, and Housing Activity PATRICIA M. RUDOLPH and J. HOWARD FINCH, University of Alabama—Trade-Offs Among Mortgage Loan Terms JOHN H. CROCKETT, George Mason University, FRANK E. NOTHAFT, Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, and GEORGE H. K. WANG, Commodities Futures Trading Commission—Temporal Relationships Among Adjustable-Rate Mortgage Indices: A Time Series Analysis ROBERT E. MARTIN and DAVID J. SMYTH, Louisiana State University—Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard Effects in Mortgage Market: An Empirical Analysis Page 5 of 12 Discussants: ROBERT AVERY, Cornell University CHESTER SPATT, Carnegie-Mellon University DAVID GROSS, U.S. General Accounting Office JAN ONDRICH, Syracuse University Friday, December 29 8:00 am, Atlanta Hilton— Fayette, Rent Control Presiding: THOMAS THIBODEAU, Southern Methodist University ERIC WEISS, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development—A General Equilibrium Analysis of Rent Control ELIZABETH ROISTACHER, Queens College, City University of New York—Hedonics, Rental Housing Markets, and Regulation HENRY O. POLLAKOWSKI, Joint Center for Housing Studies—The Spatial Distribution of Subsidies Generated by Rent Stabilization in New York City Discussants: EDGAR O. OLSEN, University of Virginia HARRIET NEWBURGER, Bryn Mawr College STEPHEN MALPEZZI, World Bank 8:00 am, Atlanta Hilton— Newton, Corporate Real Estate and Portfolio Issues Presiding: NORMAN G. MILLER, University of Cincinnati JOSEPH GYOURKO and DON KEIM, University of Pennsylvania— Analysis of Real-Estate Related Stocks and Their Contribution to Portfolio Risk WALLACE N. DAVIDSON III, JOHN L. GLASCOCK, and C. F. SIRMANS, Louisiana State University—An Analysis of Corporate Acquisitions and Dispositions: The Case of Realty Assets GEORGE H. LENTZ and JERROLD J. STERN, Indiana University— Restructuring Corporate Real Estate Holdings Using Non-Corporate Entities Discussants: DAVID GELTNER, University of Cincinnati HUGH NOURSE, University of Georgia BRIAN WEBB, Indiana University 8:00 am, Atlanta Hilton— Rockdale, Taxes and Housing Presiding: DONALD R. HAURIN, Ohio State University WILLIAM H. HOYT and STUART S. ROSENTHAL, University of Kentucky—Housing Demand, Capital Gains, and the Tax Reform Act of 1986 DONALD N. BAUM, University of Nebraska-Omaha—A New Approach to Analyzing the Economic Effects of Tax Competition JAMES R. FOLLAIN, Syracuse University, and DAVID C. LING, University of Florida—The Tax Subsidy to Housing: An Equity or Efficiency Concern DENISE DiPASQUALE, Joint Center for Housing Studies, and WILLIAM WHEATON, Massachusetts Institute of Technology—The Cost of Capital, Tax Reform, and the Future of the Rental Housing Market Page 6 of 12 Discussants: PETER ZORN, Cornell University JOHN YINGER, Syracuse University PATRIC HENDERSHOTT, Ohio State University 8:00 am, Atlanta Hilton— Clayton, AEA/AREUEA Economic Efficiency in Real Estate Markets Presiding: JOHN M. QUIGLEY, University of California-Berkeley KARL E. CASE, Wellesley College, and ROBERT J. SHILLER, Yale University—Are Housing Markets Economically Efficient? DENNIS J. CAPOZZA, University of Michigan, and GREGORY SCHWANN, University of British Columbia—Efficiency in the Urban Land Market: The Value of Risk JOHN M. QUIGLEY, University of California-Berkeley, and ROBERT VAN ORDER, Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation—Efficiency in the Mortgage Market: The Borrower's Perspective YOON DOKKO, University of Illinois, and ROBERT H. EDELSTEIN, University of California-Berkeley—Efficiency Aspects of the Commercial Property Market Discussants: DANIEL QUAN, University of Texas-Austin RALPH BRAID, Wayne State University DAVID DALE-JOHNSON, University of Southern California 10:15 am, Atlanta Hilton— Newton, Mortgage Pricing III Presiding: J. SA AADU, University of Florida NANCY E. WALLACE and ALBERT WANG, University of CaliforniaBerkeley—Origination Pricing of Adjustable Rate Mortgages: The Prepayment Option in a Path Dependent Lattice Model STEPHEN A. BUSER and ANTHONY SANDERS, Ohio State University— Pricing Mortgage Strips in the American and French Markets PETER M. ZORN, Cornell University—The Termination of Fixed Rate Mortgage Contracts: The Effect of the Introduction of Adjustable Rate Mortgages JOEL HOUSTON, J. SA AADU, University of Florida, and JAMES D. SHILLING— The Pricing of ARM Teasers: Some Empirical Evidence Discussants: SUBRAMANYAM VENKATARAMAN, University of Florida LEONARD D. VAN DRUNEN, Merrill Lynch DOUGLAS GORDON, Federal Home Loan Bank Board JACK GOODMAN, Federal Reserve Board 10:15 am, Atlanta Hilton— Fayette, Location Theory Presiding: JAMES R. FOLLAIN, Syracuse University PETER CHINLOY, University of Santa Clara—Location, Jobs, and Real Estate EDWARD COULSON, Pennsylvania State University—Really Useful Tests of the Standard Theorems of the Monocentric Model RALPH M. BRAID, Wayne State University— Residential Spatial Growth with Perfect Foresight and Multiple Income Groups Page 7 of 12 JOHN YINGER, Syracuse University—Urban Models with More Than One Employment Center Discussants: ALEX ANAS, Northwestern University JAN BRUECKNER, University of Illinois-ChampaignUrbana 10:15 am, Atlanta Hilton— Rockdale, Hedonic Models Presiding: SUSAN M. WACHTER, University of Pennsylvania JOHN E. ANDERSON, Eastern Michigan University—Hedonic Functions for Housing: Estimating Optimal Functional Form with Heteroskedasticity JAMES F. BURGESS, JR., Union College, and OSKAR HARMON, State of New York and University of Connecticut—Specification Tests in Hedonic Models JAMES D. SHILLING, C. F. SIRMANS, GEOFFREY K. TURNBULL, Louisiana State University, and JOHN D. BENJAMIN, Pennsylvania State University-Hedonic Prices and Contractual Contingencies TERRY GRISSOM, Texas A&M University, and KO WANG, California State University-Fullerton—The External Impacts of Rental Properties on the Price of Single-Family Residences Discussants: HARRIET NEWBURGER, Bryn Mawr College ALLEN C. GOODMAN, Wayne State University WILLIAM B. SHEAR, U.S. General Accounting Office JAMES D. RESCHOVSKY, Cornell University 12:45 pm, Atlanta Hilton— Crystal Parlor A, B & C Presidential Luncheon Presiding: KERRY D. VANDELL, University of California-Berkeley JAMES FOLLAIN, Syracuse University 2:30 pm, Atlanta Hilton— Fayette, Mortgage Origination and Selection Issues Presiding: JAMES SHILLING, Louisiana State University DONALD CUNNINGHAM and SAM SEAMAN, Baylor University— Mortgage Pipeline Bust-Out Probabilities J. SA AADU, University of Florida, and JAMES D. SHILLING, Louisiana State University—Testing for Adverse Selection in Adjustable Mortgage Markets YOON DOKKO, University of Illinois, and ROBERT H. EDELSTEIN, University of California-Berkeley—Optimal Design of Mortgage Instruments CHARLES STONE and ANNE-MARIE ZISSU, Temple University— Choosing a Discount Point/Contract Rate Combination Discussants: ROBIN GRIEVES, Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp. MICHAEL GILIBERTO, Salomon Brothers ANDY DAVIDSON, Merrill Lynch THOMAS SPRINGER, Clemson University Page 8 of 12 2:30 pm, Atlanta Hilton— Newton, The Pounding of Feet: Migration Within and Between Regions Presiding: JOHN N. CLAPP, University of Connecticut STUART A. GABRIEL, JANICE SHACK-MARQUEZ, and WILLIAM L. WASCHER, Federal Reserve Board—Does Migration Arbitrage Regional Labor Market Differentials? TIMOTHY D. HOGAN, Arizona State University, and DONALD N. STEINNES, University of Minnesota-Duluth—Take the Money and Sun: Elderly Migration as a Consequence of Gains in Unaffordable Housing Markets JAN K. BRUECKNER, University of Illinois—Analyzing Third-World Urbanization: A Model with Empirical Evidence JOHN M. CLAPP, University of Connecticut, and HENRY 0. POLLAKOWSKI, Joint Center for Housing Studies— Intrametropolitan Movement of People and Jobs Discussants: GARY L. HUNT, University of Colorado WILLIAM J. SEROW, Florida State University DONALD N. STEINNES, University of Minnesota-Duluth WILLIAM C. WHEATON, Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2:30 pm, Atlanta Hilton— Rockdale, The Impact of Regulatory Reform on the Mortgage and Housing Markets: A Roundtable Discussion Presiding: JOHN WEICHER, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development ROBERT VAN ORDER, Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation JAMES L. FREUND, Federal Home Loan Bank Board DAVID SEIDERS, National Association of Home Builders MICHAEL LEA, Imperial Corporation of America 2:30 pm, Atlanta Hilton— Cobb, AFA/AREUEA Risk and Returns on Real Estate Presiding: PATRIC H. HENDERSHOTT, Ohio State University DAVID GELTNER, University of Cincinnati—Cash Flow and Return Risk on Real Estate CROCKER H. LIU, New York University, DAVID HARTZELL, University of North Carolina, WYLIE GREIG, The RREEF Funds, and TERRY GRISSOM, Texas A&M University—Alternative Rationales for Superior Real Estate Investment Performance K. C. CHAN, PATRIC H. HENDERSHOTT, and ANTHONY SANDERS, Ohio State University—Real Estate Returns and Risk: Evidence from REITs Discussants: ROBERT HAUGEN, University of California-lrvine STEPHEN ROSS, Yale University SHERIDAN TITMAN, University of California-Los Angeles Page 9 of 12 Saturday, December 30 8:00 am, Atlanta Hilton— Newton, Zoning and Land Use Regulation Presiding: PETER CHINLOY, University of Santa Clara MICHELLE J. WHITE, University of Michigan—Commuting, Congestion, and Zoning JOSEPH GYOURKO, University of Pennsylvania— Impact Fees, Exclusionary Zoning, and the Density of New Development J. M. POGODZINSKI and T. R. SASS, San Jose University— Interjurisdictional Effects of Zoning Regulations: A Study of Santa Clara County, California HENRY O. POLLAKOWSKI, Joint Center for Housing Studies, and SUSAN M. WACHTER, University of Pennsylvania—The Effects of LandUse Constraints on the Local Housing Market Discussants: DENTON MARKS, Simon Fraser University SHAWN BECKETTI, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City DAN STEINBERG, San Diego State University WAYNE PASSMORE, Federal Home Loan Bank of San Francisco 8:00 am, Atlanta Hilton— Rockdale, Mortgage Prepayment Risk Presiding: DAVID LING, University of Florida W. STEPHEN SMITH, University of North Texas, and LEONARD V. ZUMPANO, University of Alabama—An Option-Based Model for Valuing the Effects of Prepayment and Taxes on Mortgage Loans RONALD SPAHR, MARK SUNDERMAN, and JAMES HYMA, University of Wyoming—An Analysis of Prepayment Behavior of Mortgage-Backed Securities JAMES B. KAU, University of Georgia, and THOMAS M. SPRINGER, Clemson University—Analysis of Financial and Non-Financial Prepayment of Debt Securities with a Varying Coefficient Model Discussants: LOUIS SCOTT, University of Georgia S. MICHAEL GILIBERTO, Salomon Brothers DONALD CUNNINGHAM, Baylor University 8:00 am, Atlanta Hilton— Paulding, NEA/AREUEA/URPE Racial Impact of Urban Public Policy in Transportation and Housing Presiding: RODNEY GREEN, Howard University R. GAIL GRASS, Howard University—Do Metropolitan Stations Displace Residents in Washington, DC? MODIBO S. COULIBALY, Institute for Urban Affairs and Research—The Political Economy of Racial Segregation in Public Housing, 1937-1985 ARLEASE G. SALLY, Howard University—Can the Washington, D.C. Metro System Increase Black Employment? RONNIE TRIBBLE, Spelman College—The Economics of Housing Discrimination MACK MOORE, Georgia Institute of Technology—Economics of the Rural to Urban Transition Page 10 of 12 Discussants: CAROL B. MEEKS, University of Georgia ELIZABETH ROISTACHER, Queen’s College, City University of New York CHRIS TILLY, University of Lowell CHRISTOPHER JEFFRIES, Columbus College 8:00 am, Atlanta Hilton— Fayette, Quality of Life Presiding: DOWELL MYERS, University of Southern California MARK E. STOVER, University of Missouri-St. Louis, and CHARLES L. LEVEN, Washington University—Methodological Issues in the Determination of the Quality of Life in Urban Areas JOSEPH GYOURKO, University of Pennsylvania, and JOSEPH TRACY, Yale University—The Structure of Local Public Finance and the Quality of Life SUSAN L. NELSON and THERON R. NELSON, University of North Dakota—Business Climate and Quality of Life Indices: Their Reliability, Validity, and Usefulness in Site Selection Discussants: GLENN BLOMQUIST, University of Kentucky MARK C. BERGER, University of Kentucky EMIL MALIZIA, University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill 10:15 am, Atlanta Hilton— Fayette, Commercial Real Estate Presiding: HENRY POLLAKOWSKI, Joint Center for Housing Studies JOHN D. BENJAMIN, Pennsylvania State University, JAMES D. SHILLING and C. F. SIRMANS, Louisiana State University—Security Deposits in Office Leases as Signals JOHN M. CLAPP, University of Connecticut, and HENRY O. POLLAKOWSKI, Joint Center for Housing Studies—A Hierarchical Spatial Model of the Local Market for Office Space WILLIAM C. WHEATON, Massachusetts Institute of Technology— Forecasting Future Demand and Supply in the Industrial Real Estate Market MIKE MILES, DAVID HARTZELL, DAVID GUILKEY, and DAVID SEARS, University of North Carolina—Is a True Transactions-Based Real Estate Index Possible? Discussants: JOHN B. CORGEL, Cornell University SHARON K. LONG, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. MICHAEL J. WASYLENKO, Syracuse University THOMAS THIBODEAU, Southern Methodist University 10:15 am, Atlanta Hilton— Newton, Housing Market Behavior Presiding: JAN K. BRUECKNER, University of Illinois-UrbanaChampaign ALEX ANAS, Northwestern University—A Theory of Rent Control with Transaction Costs, Rationing, and Housing Quality JAMES D. RESCHOVSKY, Cornell University—An Empirical Investigation into Homeowner Demand for Repair and Maintenance Activities Page 11 of 12 DONALD R. HAURIN and PATRIC H. HENDERSHOTT, Ohio State University—The Household Formation and Homeownership Decisions among American Youth JANET F. SPEYRER and WADE R. RAGAS, University of New Orleans—Urban Flood Risk, Flood Insurance, and Housing Capitalization Discussants: KANGOH LEE, University of Illinois-Urbana-Champaign JAN K. BRUECKNER, University of Illinois-UrbanaChampaign J. VERNON HENDERSON, Brown University JOHN BENJAMIN, Pennsylvania State University 10:15 am, Atlanta Hilton— Rockdale, Real Estate Investment: Micro and Macro Issues Presiding: AUSTIN JAFFE, Pennsylvania State University STEPHEN A. PHYRR, University of Texas, WALDO L. BORN, Eastern Illinois University, and JAMES R. WEBB, Cleveland State University— Development of a Dynamic Investment Strategy under Alternative Inflation Cycle Scenarios GEORGE W. GAU, University of Texas, and KO WANG, California State University-Fullerton—Determinants of the Holding Periods of Real Estate Investments: Theory and Empirical Evidence MIKE WALLACE, Kuring-gai College—Applied Real Estate Investment Research in Australia Discussants: RONALD C. ROGERS, University of South Carolina JEFFREY D. FISHER, Indiana University KENNETH M. LUSHT, Pennsylvania State University Page 12 of 12