A ‘perfect storm’ of change offers opportunity for fee-based advisers Commentary Peter Robertson, Head of Retail for Vanguard Asset Management discusses how congruence of market changes and reform efforts across the advice industry offers advisers a chance to radically remake their approach to serving their clients. Most advisers are no doubt keenly aware of the individual waves of changes that are buffeting the financial services industry. Together they make a perfect storm of change that will transform the entire industry. To stretch the analogy further – perhaps to breaking point – for those that stay afloat I think it could be a storm that pushes them into a safe port in an undiscovered country with untapped potential to profitably serve clients. Changes to savings patterns, an overhaul of the way state and private pensions are delivered and administered, RDR and the platform consultation are coming at once. Taken together, these changes mean that those at the lower end of the income scale will probably be better served through state and employer sponsored savings, while those at the top will need more advice than ever. Advisers will need to position themselves to demonstrate why clients should pay for their advice. A nation of savers? The credit crunch spelled the end of unsustainable borrowing. The hope that asset price inflation, (e.g. house prices) will pay for borrowing has been dashed. We may be seeing the beginning of a generational shift away from borrowing as a result. The availability of mortgages and the attractiveness of buying houses will probably continue to diminish. The future should see a far higher proportion saving and not ending up on means-tested benefits. A host of industry change and financial reform, such as auto-enrolment, are reinforcing these changes. Radical pension reforms For many, the changes mean that what they should do in terms of saving will be clearer than before, or if not clearer, at least automated. For those on a lower income, after 2014, auto-enrolment, along with the availability of a simple default pensions savings plan with NEST, will be their main source of long-term saving. More people than ever before will have some sort of employer pension with the employer contributing, to the extent that every pound of employee contribution will be matched by a combination of tax relief and employer contributions. Some of the funds these types of people end up in, be it in NEST or an employer scheme, will include elements of ‘embedded advice’, such as Target Date Funds. These will automatically adjust portfolio allocations as the investors in the fund approach retirement. The simple embedded advice solution implied by NEST for lower income earners, something that is conveniently forgotten by some in the industry who attack RDR on the grounds that it will deprive lowincome earners of the benefits of financial advice. The combination of ‘embedded advice’ and employer contributions will significantly reduce this group’s need for individual advice. The lower income brackets will thus potentially have more wealth in retirement, with a simplified higher state pension, even if they do have to work longer to get it. Simplicity for some, complexity for others Even as the government announces plans for further simplification of state pensions, those farther up the income scale potentially face more complexity and a need for more advice. As a result, those at the top end of the pensions and investing market offer the greatest opportunity for fee-based advisers in the new world. They will garner much less significant benefits from their employer with the end of Defined Benefits schemes. This has already occurred in most of the private sector with the switch to defined contributions, and is on the way in the public sector. At the same time, they will have a far greater range of options for what they do with their money, with more platforms, a greater range of products and scope for drawdown throughout retirement. With more choice, comes the need for the expertise and perspective that a highly professional and qualified adviser can give. This sector of the market has the greatest motivation to seek unbiased advice and the means to pay for fees to get it. The opportunities for fee-based advisers Those advisers that embrace the changes will thrive. The ban on commission and burgeoning requirements for qualifications and development will place huge demands on the advice community. But at the same time, those two things will generate more trust in clients, with greater confidence that advice is both impartial and sound. No doubt, advisers will have to revise their proposition to focus more on the high-networth segments, away from those whose saving needs are served by auto-enrolment and higher basic state pensions. The wealthy, now have even more choice, but Decile Investable Wealth* % held 1 2,448,300 54 2 856,800 19 3 508,400 11 4 303,200 7 5 181,000 4 6 112,800 2 7 75,200 2 8 31,700 1 9 5,000 0 – 8,200 0 4,514,200 100 10 Total face higher taxes. They may only be 30% of the population but has over 80% of the wealth and could provide the base for fees. There are 2.6 million such households in the top 10% alone1 and that’s arguably enough for all the fee based advisers if we assume 150-2002 clients for each of the expected 15,0002 firms post RDR. To thrive, not just survive the perfect storm, they will need to focus on those clients with the means and motivation to seek and pay for their advice. But to succeed, they will need to embrace change and put in place new systems and processes with only the client in mind because after all, only the client will pay them. 84% of the investable wealth in the UK is held by the top 30% of households, with more need for advice from fee-based advisers. Those on modest incomes, 70% of households, hold only 16% of wealth. They will be better served as a result of pension reform, with a lowered requirement for advice. *Net financial & pension wealth, excluding physical and property assets. 26 million households in total at time of study, divided into 10% bands (2.5 million each). Source: Wealth and Assets Survey, Office for National Statistics. 1 Source: Wealth and Assets Survey, Office for National Statistics. 2 Vanguard estimates. 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