Insurance

Property/Casualty Insurers / France

COFACE SA

And Subsidiaries

Full Rating Report

Ratings

COFACE SA

Long-Term Foreign-Currency IDR A

Short-Term Insurer Financial F1

Strength Rating

Compagnie française d’assurance pour le commerce extérieur

Long-Term Foreign-Currency IDR A+

Insurer Financial Strength Rating AA−

Short-Term Insurer Financial

Strength Rating

F1+

See page 13 for subsidiaries ‟ ratings

Sovereign Risk

Long-Term Foreign-Currency IDR AA+

Long-Term Local-Currency IDR AA+

Outlooks

Long-Term Foreign-Currency IDR Stable

Insurer Financial Strength Rating Stable

Sovereign Long-Term IDRs Stable

Financial Data

COFACE SA

(EURbn)

Total assets

Total equity

GWP

Net combined ratio (%)

Net profit (EURm)

Solvency margin (x)

2013

5.99

1.8

1.2

93

127 n/a

2012

6.07

1.8

1.3

89

124

6.8

Key Rating Drivers

Leading Business Position: With gross written premiums (GWP) of EUR1.2bn in 2013,

Compagnie française d‟assurance pour le commerce extérieur (Coface; the main operating entity of the Coface group) is the third-largest credit insurer worldwide. The group holds an estimated 20% market share in the credit insurance industry, and operates in more than 60 countries and in multiple economic sectors.

Sound Underwriting Performance: In 2013,

Coface‟s underwriting performance deteriorated slightly but remained sound. This is reflected in a Fitch Ratings-calculated net combined ratio of

92.7% for the group in 2013, somewhat higher than 89% for 2012, mainly driven by a higher expense ratio due to additional reinsurance protection and higher administrative and acquisition costs. Fitch expects

Coface‟s underwriting performance to remain strong in 2014.

Strong Solvency: Fitch considers the Coface group to be strongly capitalised, both on the agency‟s own risk-adjusted capital basis and from the perspective of regulatory solvency, which at end-2012 was 6.8x the minimum required. Fitch expects Coface ‟s solvency to have remained strong in 2013, even after the distribution of EUR65m of interim dividends to parent company Natixis (Long-Term IDR: A/Stable).

Solid Earnings: For 2013, Coface reported net income of EUR127m (2012: EUR124m). The slight deterioration in underwriting performance was offset by a material increase in the group‟s financial results, including EUR28m of realised capital gains compared with a realised loss of

EUR7m in 2012.

Adequate Risk Profile: Fitch considers

Coface‟s risk profile to be adequate despite the close correlation of its activities with the macroeconomic environment. The group benefits from high flexibility to adjust the terms and conditions of its policies and concentrates on short-tail business; almost 100% of its bond investments are investment-grade, and cash and cash equivalents represent 35% of total investments.

Increased Financial Leverage: Fitch expects Coface‟s financial leverage to materially increase to about 20%, once the insurer completes the subordinated note issuance announced in March 2014. Despite this, Coface‟s financial leverage is expected to remain within the median bounds for a

„AA‟ IFS rating. Fitch views the debt issuance as being consistent with the group‟s decision to become financially independent from Natixis.

Rating Sensitivities

New Shareholder: A rating upgrade could be triggered by a new, financially stronger shareholding structure in which Coface

‟s strategic importance increased at the same time as the group ‟s standalone financial profile remaining strong.

Standalone Credit Deterioration: The ratings could be downgraded if capital is extracted by

Natixis, or if Coface ‟s standalone profile deteriorated as a result of increased insolvencies, leading to a combined ratio above 100% for a prolonged period and a material fall from current capital levels. Analysts

Amelie Hibos

+33 1 44 29 91 78 amelie.hibos@fitchratings.com

Marc-Philippe Juilliard

+33 1 44 29 91 37 marcphilippe.juilliard@fitchratings.com www.fitchratings.com 20 March 2014

Insurance

Figure 1

Coface Exposure by

Countries in 2013 (%)

Western Europe

Germany, Western &

Northern Europe

Africa, Middle East, Italy,

Turkey & Greece

Asia Pacific

Central Europe

Latin America

North America

Total

Source: Coface

30

20

14

14

8

7

8

100

Figure 2

Coface Revenue Split

2013

Factoring

5%

Public procedures

5%

Debt collection

& Services

7%

Credit Insurance

83%

Source: Coface

Figure 3

Coface Revenue by countries 2013

Asia

Latin Pacific

America 7%

North 5%

America

7%

Med. countries

& Africa

15%

Central

Europe

8%

Northen

Europe

25%

Western

Europe

33%

Source: Coface

Market Position and Size/Scale

Market-Leading Credit Insurer

Strong presence worldwide

Focus on credit insurance

Niche player but well diversified by sector and geography

Short-tail business, flexible policies

Strong Presence Worldwide

With EUR1.2bn of GWP in 2013, Coface is the third-largest credit insurer worldwide, accounting for an estimated 20% market share within this business line. It operates predominantly in France, Italy, Germany and North America. The company has a strong presence in more than 60 countries and employs around 4,500 staff.

Focus on Credit Insurance

In 2012 , Coface‟s strategy remained focused on its credit insurance activities (80% of total revenues). The group has retained certain other activities, including credit information, debt collection and factoring (notably in Poland and Germany), but only those that add value to its core business.

Niche Player but Well Diversified by Sector and Geography

Despite being a niche player, Coface is well diversified by sector and geography, with no particular concentrations. The company operates through a direct sales network in 66 markets

– and 97 markets when including partnerships. Product distribution channels vary according to the country of operation. In 2012, direct sales networks and tied agents represented 41% and

34% of Coface total‟s sales force respectively, but more than half of its business is introduced by brokers.

Short-Tail Business, Flexible Policies

Coface‟s business consists mainly of short-tail business where the risk is borne by the insurer for up to 180 days. Coface benefits from high flexibility to promptly adjust the terms and conditions of its policies and to impose stricter underwriting practices, which enabled the group to recover quickly during the financial crisis in 2008-2009.

Figure 4

Ratings Range Based on Market Position and Size/Scale

AAA

AA

AA

A

A

BBB

IFS Rating category

Senior debt rating category

Large market position and size/scale

Medium market position and size/scale

Small market position and size/scale

Source: Fitch

BBB

BB

<BBB

<BB

Related Criteria

Insurance Rating Methodology

(November 2013)

COFACE SA

March 2014

2

Insurance

Corporate Governance and

Management

Corporate governance and management are considered adequate and neutral to the rating.

KPMG and Deloitte are

Coface‟s auditors. The opinion for 2012 was unqualified. Coface reports under the

IFRS framework.

 Coface‟s supervisory board has 13 members and the managing board has 14 members. The company is governed by the French insurance

Code. The Autorité de Contrôle

Prudentiel (ACP) is its main regulator as the company is headquartered in

France.

Ownership is Neutral to Rating

Coface is 100% owned by Natixis, which had been a minority shareholder for many years through the former Banque Française de Commerce Extérieur.

Fitch considers Coface to be of limited strategic importance to its parent company, Natixis.

Natixis intends to dispose gradually of Coface in 2014 by means of an IPO. Nevertheless, the agency does not rule out the possibility of capital support being provided by Natixis if the need arises. The Coface group legal structure (Figure 5) shows the group‟s key operating subsidiaries (excluding sub-holdings).

Figure 5

Coface Simplified Group Structure

0.2%

Natixis

100%

COFACE SA

99.8%

Compagnie Françaised‟ Assurance pour le Commerce Extérieur

100% 100%

Coface

Finanz

Coface

Poland

Factoring and its credit insurance subsidiaries:

Germany

Austria

Italy

United Kingdom

Spain

Hong Kong

Singapore

Australia

 etc.

CNAIC

100% 100%

Coface

SeguroCredit oMexico

Coface

Chile

100% 75.8% Seguradora

Brasileira

C.E.

Coface

Sigorta

Turkey

100% 100%

Coface DO

Brasil

Coface

South

Africa

100% 100% Coface Rus

Insurance

Credit Insurance

Factoring

Source: Transaction documents

COFACE SA

March 2014

3

Insurance

Sovereign and Country-Related

Constraints

 Fitch rates France „AA+‟ with a

Stable Outlook, and the Country

Ceiling is „AAA‟. The ratings of

French insurance organisations and other corporate issuers are not directly constrained by sovereign or macroeconomic risks.

Industry Profile and Operating Environment

Distressed Operating Environment in 2012: Increase in Credit Insurance

Demand

A number of factors had a negative impact on the operations of corporates during 2012.

Political and economic disturbances in Africa (Tunisia, Egypt), the Middle East (Turkey, Syria) and South America, weaker economic growth in Europe, Russia and China, new regulations –

Basel III, Solvency II

– and limited funding options in the financial markets had a positive effect on demand for credit insurance as an increase in risk awareness led to greater demand for coverage.

Total insured exposure in trade credit insurance increased by 4.4% to EUR1.92trn at end-2012 from EUR1.84trn at end-2011. Demand slightly increased to EUR6.14bn (excluding reinsurance) at end-2012 from EUR5.96bn at end-2011, according to the International Credit

Insurance and Surety Association. Underwriting in terms of risk selection and pricing has also become more complex for the credit insurance industry.

The high level of competition in the market

– particularly from governmental export credit agencies and new capacity available in the London market – has kept prices low; meanwhile risks appear to be higher. Claims paid for the credit insurance sector deteriorated by 12% to

EUR2.93bn at end-2012 from EUR2.62bn at end-2011, mainly explained by insolvencies in

Europe.

Demand for trade credit insurance continued to increase in 2013 in Asia, Latin America

(especially Brazil), Africa (Angola, Mozambique), Gulf region countries, Russia and the US.

Figure 6

Ratings Range Based on Industry Profile/Operating Environment

IFS Rating

Debt

Non-life insurance

AAA

AA

AA

A

A

BBB

BBB

BB

<BBB

<BB

Source: Fitch

Peer Analysis

A Dominant Player in the Credit Insurance Market

Three major European groups

– Euler Hermes, Atradius and Coface – dominate the market internationally, with an estimated combined market share in 2012 of around 80%. Credit insurers faced weaker economic conditions that negatively affected their underwriting performance in 2012. Even so, Fitch considers their earnings to have remained solid.

Coface‟s financial performance compares well with peers‟, as shown in Figure 7.

COFACE SA

March 2014

4

Insurance

Figure 7

World’s Largest Credit Insurers

(EURm)

Total turnover

Gross earned premiums

- % of turnover

Other revenues (services income)

- % of turnover

Retention rate (%)

Net earned premiums

Net loss ratio (%)

Net expense ratio (%)

Reinsurance commission ratio (%)

Net combined ratio (%)

- Average last 5 years (2009-2013; %)

Consolidated net income

Euler Hermes (NR) Atradius (NR) Coface (IFS: AA−) Sace BT

2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013 2011 2012 2013

2,275 2,398 2,486 1,554 1,602 1,578 1,607 1,584 1,440

1,896 1,995 2,079 1,403 1,440 1,412 1,217 1,251 1,129

83

379

17

83

403

17

84

407

16

65 68 70

1,220 1,344 1,436

90

151

10

55

768

90

162

10

55

786

89

166

11

54

770

76

216

13

68

841

79

205

13

72

893

78

187

13

74

888

45

48

-19

75

330

52

47

-18

81

300

51

44

-16

80

85

314

56

68

-30

95

130

55

67

-26

97

117

53

70

-28

94

105

135

59

49

-13

94

74

57

45

-13

89

117

57

48

-12

93

102

106

63

100

0

0

59

63

54

46 n-a

100

0.2

83

54

100

0

0

65

55

62

55 n-a

116

-22 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

Net loss ratio = Net claims incurred/net premiums earned; Net expense ratio = Acquisition costs + administrative expenses/net premiums written;

Net combined ratio = Net loss ratio + net expense ratio+ reinsurance commission ratio. Expenses and income from other services are not included in the calculation of technical ratios. Since 2008, Atradius has included CyC; Coface excludes Natixis Factor

Source: Fitch, Annual reports Euler Hermes, Atradius and Coface

COFACE SA

March 2014

5

Insurance

Figure 8

Capitalisation and Leverage

(x)

Regulatory capital ratio

Net premiums written/equity

Gross leverage

Net leverage*

Financial leverage (%)

Total financing & commitments ratio

2009

3.7

0.7

6.2

5.7

39

4.2

2010

5.8

0.6

5.3

4.8

33

3.3

2011

5.9

0.6

4.7

4.2

3

2.4

2012

6.8

0.5

3.1

2.7

1

1.3

2013 Fitch ’s expectation n/a Fitch expects Coface to maintain strong

0.5 capital levels. The agency anticipates that

2.8

2.6 financial debt leverage will increase following the issuance of subordinated

1

1.4 debt, but this will not have a negative impact on the insurer‟s rating. Fitch expects the TFC ratio to remain stable.

* The ratio is calculated by dividing the sum of net premiums written and total liabilities, less any ceded reserves, by equity

Source: Fitch, Coface

Capital is Strong for the Rating Level

Strong regulatory capital

Limited-use factors protect capital

Increased financial leverage

Stable TFC ratio

Strong Regulatory Capital

Fitch views Coface‟s regulatory capital as strong, at 6.8x the minimum required at end-2012.

Fitch-calculated total adjusted equity (including minority interests and unrealised capital gains) increased to EUR1.8bn at end-2012 from EUR1.5bn at end-2011, reflecting retained earnings over the past three years.

Limited-Use Factors Protect Capital

Limits granted by Coface are not fully used by its clients; there is an average use factor of no more than 30%, which further contributes to capital protection. Indemnification is usually capped at 85%-90% of the loss, and each policy has a maximum liability.

Increased Financial Leverage

Fitch expects Coface‟s financial leverage to materially increase to about 20% due to the group‟s intention to issue subordinated notes, announced in March 2014, but to remain in line with the Fitch „AA‟ category IFS rating median. The agency views the debt issuance as being consistent with Coface‟s stated intentions to become financially independent from Natixis.

At end-2013, financial leverage remained unchanged year on year at a low 1%. This contrasts with the higher levels reported at end-2009 and end-2010. The significant decrease at end-

2013 can mainly be explained by a material decrease in banking liabilities following the disposal of Coface Finans AS Denmark and the run-off of seven other factoring companies. In contrast, Coface completed a securitisation programme of EUR1.1bn in March 2012 and set up a EUR250m commercial paper facility in October 2012, which was extended to EUR500m in

October 2013.

Stable TFC Ratio

Coface‟s TFC ratio remained stable at 1.4x at end-2013, compared with 1.3x at end-2012. This indicator is higher than the peer average, but this can be explained by the group‟s factoring operations. Fitch considers Coface‟s access to external financing as to be good, as demonstrated by the establishment of the EUR500m commercial paper facility mentioned above.

COFACE SA

March 2014

6

Insurance

Figure 9

Debt Service Capabilities and Financial Flexibility

(x)

Fixed-charge coverage ratio

(excluding realised and unrealised capital gains)

2009

-26.2

2010 2011

26.4 25.4

2012 2013 Fitch

’s expectation

66.2 53.7 Fitch expects Coface‟s fixed-charge coverage ratio to materially decrease to about 8x, due to an increase in interest payments arising from the group‟s intention to issue subordinated notes, announced in March 2014.

Source: Fitch, Coface

Holding Company Liquidity/

Bank Facilities

In October 2013, the group had available liquid assets and undrawn committed facilities of EUR500m to back up the commercial paper issue.

These back-up credit lines were provided by high-credit-quality banks including: Société Générale (A/Stable),

Crédit Agricole (A/Stable), Natixis

(A/Stable), HSBC (AA −/Stable), Royal

Bank of Scotland (A/Stable),

Commerzbank (A+/Stable) and BRED

Banque Populaire (A/Stable).

Low Fixed-Charge Coverage

Low coverage ratio

Access to external financing

Limited reliance on Natixis for additional funding

Low Coverage Ratio

Fitch expect s Coface‟s fixed-charge coverage ratio to materially decrease to about 8x, which is marginally below the Fitch „AA‟ category IFS rating median, due to an increase in interest payments arising from the group‟s intention to issue subordinated notes, announced in March

2014. The agency will monitor the evolution of this ratio carefully.

Coface‟s coverage ratio remained strong at 54x at end-2013, down from 66x at end-2012.

Access to External Financing

Fitch considers Coface to have adequate access to external funding. This was proved by the

EUR1.1bn securitisation programme completed in 1Q12 through FCT Vega (securitisation fund) and the EUR250m commercial paper facility arranged by COFACE S.A. in October 2012 and extended to EUR500m in October 2013 to replace funding provided by Natixis and to support Coface

‟s factoring business.

Limited Reliance on Natixis for Additional Funding

Overall, Fitch views Natixis‟ ownership as neutral to Coface‟s ratings, and considers Coface‟s strategic importance to Natixis to be limited. Given Natixis ‟ weaker financial profile, Fitch believes that its ability to provide support to Coface if needed would be constrained.

COFACE SA

March 2014

7

Insurance

Figure 10

Financial Performance and Earnings

(%) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Fitch ’s expectation

Return on adj. equity (incl. gains)

Combined ratio

Expense ratio

Claims ratio a

Reinsurance ratio b

-14

139.3

38.7

109.7

9.1

8.9

95.6

46.4

58.2

9.1

5.7

94.2

48.8

58.5

13.0

7.7

88.7

45.3

56.5

13.1

7.0 Fitch expects Coface to achieve better

92.7 technical results, in line with the group‟s

48.4 stricter underwriting guidelines and manageable claims development in 2013.

56.6

12.2 a

Expense ratio = (acquisition costs+ admin costs+ other expenses – premium-related revenues – public procedure expenses) / net earned premiums b

Reinsurance ratio = reinsurance commission / net earned premiums

Source: Fitch

Strong Profitability, Solid Credit Profile

Solid and increasing earning

Sound underwriting performance

Reduced exposure to certain countries

Selective risk acceptance

Solid and Increasing Earnings

For 2013, Coface reported net income of EUR127m (2012: EUR124m). The slight deterioration in its underwriting performance was offset by a material increase in the group‟s financial results, including EUR28m realised capital gains compared with a realised loss of EUR7m in

2012.

Sound Underwriting Performance

The group‟s underwriting performance decreased slightly in 2013, as reflected in a higher net combined ratio.

Coface‟s net combined ratio deteriorated to 92.7%, mainly explained by an increase in the group‟s expense ratio due to additional reinsurance protection and higher administrative expenses. Nevertheless, the group‟s claims ratio remained stable compared with

2012 as it implemented a new risk underwriting organisation, increased its number of risk underwriting centres and revised its risk portfolios, reducing its limits to certain countries exposed to high frequency claims, especially Italy. Fitch expects Coface ‟s underwriting performance to remain sound in 2014.

Reduced Exposure to Certain Countries

Fitch expects

Coface‟s technical performance to have improved further in 2013 as a result of measures taken to reduce exposure to several countries/regions, including Italy, Egypt, Latin

America and Asia where the group has reduced most of its higher-risk exposure to prevent adverse claims development. Coface also plans to reduce limits in Poland, the Netherlands and

South Africa.

Selective Risk Acceptance

Fitch considers Coface‟s exposure by level of risk to be adequate, with 89% of the group‟s exposure focused in highly rated risks, as measured by Coface‟s internal risk assessment system. Furthermore, the risk acceptance rate used by the company does not exceed 18% for the lower-rated credit category.

COFACE SA

March 2014

8

Insurance

Figure 11

Investment and Asset Risk

(x)

Unaffiliated common stocks/equity

Risky assets a

/equity (%)

Liquid assets/technical reserves (%)

2009

0.1

0.1

170

2010

0

0.1

185 a

Risky assets include sub-investment-grade bonds, equities and affiliates

Source: Coface, Fitch

2011

0

0.1

191

2012

0

0.1

213

2013 Fitch ’s expectation

0 Fitch does not expect any material change

0.1 in Coface‟s investment strategy, which is

234 currently focused on fixed-income assets.

Prudent Investment Strategy

Excellent liquidity

Good quality of bond investments

Mainly exposed to European Economic Monetary Union (EMU) and North American bonds

Short-tail assets and liabilities

A centralised investment platform

Excellent Liquidity

Fitch considers Coface‟s liquidity to be excellent, with EUR939m of cash at end-2012, representing 35

% of the group‟s total investment portfolio. Liquidity is strengthened by the high quality of the investment portfolio, reflecting the quality of the assets held and the holding of mutual funds rather than the underlying instruments.

Good Quality of Bond Investments

The credit quality of

Coface‟s bond portfolio remained strong at end-2012, mainly comprising high-quality assets, but with a growing proportion of weaker, potentially higher-yielding, investment-grade bonds compared with 2011. Of the total bond portfolio, 85% was rated at least „A−‟, of which 29.4% was rated „AAA‟, 55.8% was rated „AA‟ to „A‟, and 14.6% was rated in the „BBB‟ category.

Mainly Exposed to EMU and North American bonds

In 2013, Coface remained mainly exposed to European EMU bonds (at 66.5% of its total bond portfolio, up from 78% in 2012) and increased its exposure to North American bonds (to 18%, from 8% in 2012). Fitch considers

Coface‟s remaining exposure to Italy to be moderate in accordance with the activities it runs in this country. T he group‟s exposure to Italian government bonds accounted for 6% of its total bond exposure.

Short-Tail Assets and Liabilities

Coface‟s global portfolio‟s modified duration reduced to 2.4 years at end-2012 (end-2011: 2.9 years). Fitch considers the asset duration to be in line with the company‟s short-tail liabilities.

A Centralised Investment Platform

Coface has reorganised and centralised its investment policy. The company outsources administrative services such as middle- and back-office management, reporting to Amundi, a leading European asset manager, through an international platform. Coface remains in charge of its overall asset allocation.

COFACE SA

March 2014

9

Insurance

Figure 12

Reserve Adequacy

(%)

Non-life technical reserves/non-life NPW

Non-life claims reserves/non-life NPW

Source: Fitch

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Fitch ’s expectation

119 117 132 120 119 Fitch expects Coface to maintain adequate reserve levels to meet its

98 95 107 95 93 policyholder obligations. The agency expects prior-year reserve releases to continue supporting profits reported.

Consistently Favourable Claims Development

Coface‟s reserving practices have proved favourable since 2003 (excluding underwriting year

2008). Fitch does not expect any changes in reserving practices and believes that the group

‟s conservative reserve levels will continue to strengthen profitability through reserve releases in the coming years.

COFACE SA

March 2014

10

Insurance

Figure 13

Reinsurance, Risk Management and Catastrophe Risk

(%)

Net premiums written/gross premiums written

Reinsurance recoverables/equity

Source: Fitch

2009

77

22

2010

72

12

2011

68

8

2012

72

10

2013 Fitch ’s expectation

74 Fitch expects Coface to maintain its level of

8 reinsured premiums and keep a conservative level of reinsurance programmes.

Adequate Reinsurance Programme

High reinsurance utilisation smooths profitability through the cycle

Centralised reinsurance at group level, global view of risks

Conservative level of reinsurance programmes

High quality of reinsurance providers

High Reinsurance Utilisation Smooths Profitability Through the Cycle

Fitch views positively Coface‟s high use of reinsurance, with 26% of GWP ceded to reinsurers in 2013 (28% in 2012), as it could serve to smooth profitability in times of financial disturbance.

Centralised Reinsurance at Group Level, Global View of Risks

Coface‟s reinsurance policy is centralised at the group level, with a view to mitigating aggregated losses through a quota-share treaty and excess-of-loss cover, and protecting individual subsidiaries through internal stop-loss programmes. This provides a global view of the entire group, enabling appropriate measures to be taken quickly.

Conservative Level of Reinsurance Programmes

In 2013, the group added another layer to its excess-of-loss treaty per debtor and implemented a new excess-of-loss treaty per country for single risk.

The company‟s quota-share treaty remained unchanged . Deductibles are adjusted annually in relation to both the group‟s net assets and the net annual probable maximum loss, taking into account internal sharing mechanisms (at a 99% confidence level). Reinsurance programmes are structured so that no more than 3% of the group‟s total adjusted equity is at risk (net of taxes), which Fitch views as a conservative level.

High Quality of Reinsurance Providers

The quality of the reinsurance panel is satisfactory: core providers are in the „AA‟ and „A‟ rating categories. The group‟s main reinsurance providers are: Hannover Rueck SE (IFS Rating:

A+/Positive); SCOR S.E. (IFS Rating: A+/Stable); and Partner Reinsurance Company Ltd (IFS

Rating: AA −/Stable).

COFACE SA

March 2014

11

Insurance

Figure 14

Key Non-Insurance Operations/Exposure

(%)

Factoring business/total revenues

Debt collection & services/total revenues

2009

7

18

2010

7

16

Source: Fitch

2011

8

8

2012

5

7

2013 Fitch ’s expectation

5 Fitch expects growth in other activities to remain at current levels, consistent with Coface‟s intention to

7 focus on its credit insurance activity.

Complementary Non-Insurance Activities

Factoring

Debt collection and information services

Factoring

In 2013, the factoring activity remained stable at 5% of total revenue. Factoring‟s revenue decreased by 21.7% in 2012 due mainly to the disposal of Coface Finans AS Denmark and the run-off of seven other factoring entities. Moreover, the Coface Finanz and Coface Factoring

Poland activities shrank following the 26% voluntary reduction in the volume of financing.

Fitch expects the factoring activity to remain stable over the next few years in line with Coface‟s strategy to focus on its credit insurance business.

Debt Collection and Information Services

In order to leverage group knowhow, Coface is active in the complementary businesses of financial information and the recovering of trade receivables. Revenue from t he group‟s services activity remained stable at 7% in 2013 on a comparable basis. Central Europe contributes the bulk of debt collection and information services.

COFACE SA

March 2014

12

Insurance

Complete Ratings List

Coface:

Long-Term Foreign-Currency IDR

„A+‟/Stable

IFS Rating „AA−‟/Stable

ShortTerm IFS Rating „F1+‟

COFACE SA (holding co):

Long-Term Foreign-Currency IDR

„A‟/Stable

Short-Term Foreign-

Currency IDR „F1‟

Coface North America Insurance

Company (CNAIC):

IFS Rating „AA−‟/Stable

Coface Finanz GmbH:

Long-Term Foreign-Currency IDR

„A+‟/Stable

COFACE SA

March 2014

Appendix: Other Ratings Considerations

Below is a summary of additional ratings considerations of a “technical” nature that are part of

Fitch‟s ratings criteria.

Group IFS Rating Approach

Coface is rated on a group approach, with its main subsidiaries being considered “Core”.

Therefore, the main subsidiaries‟ ratings have been aligned with those of Coface itself.

The Coface group ‟s ratings are based on an analysis of its own credit risk profile, taking into account its ownership by Natixis

– see in particular page 3 of this report.

Notching

Fitch regards France as having a

“Strong” regulatory environment, with restrictions on payments from operating companies to holding companies and with priority afforded to policyholder obligations.

Notching Summary

Holding Company

Fitch rates COFACE SA, the ultimate parent holding company of the Coface group, at an „A‟

IDR, one notch below the IDR of its core insurance subsidiaries.

IFS Ratings

A “Good” baseline recovery assumption was applied to IFS Ratings, and standard notching was used based on the existence of policyholder priority for the operating companies. The IFS

Ratings of the operating companies therefore stand one notch higher than their actual or implied IDRs.

Debt

Not applicable.

Hybrids

Not applicable.

Short-Term Ratings

Coface ‟s Short-Term IFS Rating is „F1+‟, which is standard when the Long-Term IFS Rating is

„AA-„.

The short-term debt rating of the EUR500m commercial paper issued by COFACE S.A is „F1‟, which is standard when the Long-

Term IDR is „A+‟. The issue is entirely backed by five credit lines.

Hybrids – Equity/Debt Treatment

Not applicable.

Exceptions to Criteria/Ratings Limitations

None.

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Insurance

COFACE SA

March 2014

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