The Atmosphere in Motion “Tracking Weather Accuracy” (Lesson integrated into Glencoe Science Level Red Series, Ch. 12) Objectives • Students will be able to interpret a weather satellite image, use the internet to obtain data from satellites, and compare data using charts and graphs. Suggested Grade Levels 6th or higher Subject Areas Science Technology Timeline 3 - 50 minutes periods for introduction and wrap-up 5 consecutive days of at least 15-20 minutes Extensions: 1 week of 10-15 minutes a day Background This lesson should be taught as after learning about the atmosphere, the things that make it up, and what effects it has on our weather. Some of the knowledge students should already know: Vocabulary – atmosphere, troposphere, water cycle, weather, relative humidity, dew point, precipitation, air mass, fronts Concepts/Ideas – temperature, energy transfer, atmospheric pressure, cloud formations, wind, pressure centers Materials Computer with internet access available for at least an entire week Color printer or projector that hooks up to your computer to show images Weather satellite images (make sure you have one for the United States) Images can be obtained at www.noaa.gov Taped television weather forecast Atlases (to make group photocopies from) Large World Map Globe (if needed) Copies of the “Group Forecast Table” for each group Lesson 1. Getting Ready Discussion (1 – 50 minute period) A) Ask: How does weather affect us? Think about all of your activities such as camping, swimming, soccer practice, school closings, etc. B) Ask: How do we measure and predict weather? Discuss the weather reports they see on television. C) Show a brief weather forecast. Discuss their previous knowledge of fronts and pressure centers. What else did they see? Which way are things moving? 2. Satellite Discussion (during 50 minute period) A) All the following information can be found at www.noaa.gov and is just to give students background on the types of satellites they will be getting their information. B) State the facts: It has been 44 years since the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) launched the first weather satellite. It’s hard to imagine when there weren’t any satellites, especially with today’s technology and the images shown on TV. C) NOAA’s operational environmental satellite system is composed of two types of satellites. 1. (GOES) Geostationary Observational Environmental Satellite – this is a short-range satellite that continuously monitors for intensive data analysis. It orbits the equatorial plane at the same speed as the Earth’s rotation, therefore collecting data from one position (35,800 km or 22,300 miles away). It comes in handy when severe weather is a threat. 2. (POES) Polar-Orbiting Environmental Satellite – this is a long-term forecasting satellite that has nearly polar orbits that make their rounds about 14 times a day. There are morning and afternoon satellites that take in global coverage 4 times a day. These are mostly for daily weather forecasting. D) TRMM (Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission) – this was the first satellite to measure precipitation with accuracy from a radar and other sensors. E) Use AGI-Orbital Mechanics Presentation to show the students the visual orbits of satellites. (Notes attached) Demonstrate with a globe if needed. 3. Reading a Satellite Image (1 -50 minute period) A) Use a United States satellite image and ask the students to discuss what they see. Make sure they know what each color represents; i.e. blue = water, white = clouds. Lead the following discussion. B) Identify the region. (U.S.A) Locate your state. C) What areas are being affected? a. Which areas have clear skies? Which areas have cloud cover? How do you know? Predict. D) What about our state? Infer what the weather conditions are during this satellite image. E) Do you see any tropical storms? Hint: look at the surrounding water. Does anything look out of the ordinary? F) Identify if there is a front. (stationary front- where warm and cold air meet). G) List the areas that might receive rainfall if the front were to move. (Determine direction according to your image) H) Are there any low-pressure areas? (A counterclockwise movement) 4. Tracking the Weather (15-20 minutes/day for a week, can use part of 50 minute period for explanations) A) Group students in teams of 3-4. B) Assign each team a region of the world. C) Have each team familiarize themselves with the region; locating water sources, mountain ranges, deserts, etc. D) Each team will need a Group Forecast Table. And five copies of their region from the atlas. E) Each team will use the internet to find a 5-day forecast for their region. Record Temperature (high/low), Clouds and Precipitation, Wind, and Pressure. They need to draw the current satellite image onto one of their maps. 1. http://www.cnn.com/weather 2. www.weather.com (weather channel) 3. http://www.nws.noaa.gov F) Have students record the actual weather and compare for the next five days. 1. Each group will have to record the new satellite image onto their maps each day, but don’t erase their previous forecast! G) Have each group choose 1-2 strands of their data and graph the forecast vs. the actual. Double bar graphs or lines graphs would work best. This could be homework. 5. Wrap Up (1 -50 minute period) A) Let each group share their graphs and interesting data from their regions. Everyone in the group must speak. B) Lead class in discussion: 1. How accurate were the forecasts? 2. Were the temperatures or the cloud & precipitation more accurate? 3. Did the forecast’s accuracy drop off with time? 4. What do you think about the forecast in general? 5. How do you think satellites have helped with forecasting the weather? Extensions Have groups choose a different location or the same. Just look at the satellite images. Predict what will happen, record predictions. Check predictions at http://weather.noaa.gov/weather for a 24 hour summary Have groups record forecasts for several different sources (newspaper, radio, different TV stations, different websites). Compare to actual weather. Which forecast was more accurate, which was the least accurate, why? Evaluation Students will be assessed throughout the lesson by teacher observation on how well they work together, also on their ability to obtain information from the internet, and their ability to give a small oral presentation. The presentation, forecast table, and graph will be taken as a grade. A= completion of forecast table, accurate graph, solid understanding of presentation, B= completion of forecast table, semi-accurate graph, basic understanding of presentation, C= semi-complete forecast table, average graph, slight understanding of presentation, D= slightly complete forecast table, less than average graph, little understanding of presentation, F= didn’t contribute, no understanding. Resources: AGI-Orbital Mechanics Presentation by Tina Cox. The U.S. Space Foundation, Colorado Springs. Summer 2005 Investigating the Climate System, NASA TRMM Education Modules/Weather (http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov/education_dir/weather_04.pdf) Glencoe Science, Level Red. The McGraw Hill Companies, Inc. New York, 2005. (red.msscience.com) http://www.earthkam.ucsd.edu http://www.cde.state.co.us/cdeassess/standards/pdf (Colorado Standards) Satellite images and information www.noaa.gov Weather sites http://www.cnn.com/weather www.weather.com (weather channel) http://www.nws.noaa.gov Other http://photojournal.jpl.nasa.gov Addendums (3) Addendum 1 Tracking Weather Accuracy Group Forecast Table Group Members ________________________________________ Website Used __________________________________________ Location: _______________________________________ Date 1 Forecast 1 Actual 2 Forecast 2 Actual 3 Forecast 3 Actual 4 Forecast 4 Actual 5 Forecast 5 Actual High Temp Low Temp Clouds & Precipitation Wind Pressure Addendum 2 Satellite Information From (www.noaa.gov/satellites.html) NOAA's Environmental Satellites: A History On April 1, 2000, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration celebrated the 40th anniversary of the launch of the world's first weather satellite. With today's advanced technology, and with images of clouds shown daily on television weather forecasts, it may be difficult to remember the days when there were no weather satellites. Today, the nation's environmental satellites are operated by NOAA's National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service in Suitland, Maryland. NOAA's operational environmental satellite system is composed of two types of satellites: geostationary operational environmental satellites (GOES) for national, regional, shortrange warning and "now-casting," and polar-orbiting environmental satellites (POES) for global, long-term forecasting and environmental monitoring. Both types of satellites are necessary for providing a complete global weather monitoring system. In addition, NOAA operates satellites in the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP), which are also polar-orbiting satellites. NESDIS also manages the processing and distribution of the millions of bits of data and images the satellites produce each day. Geostationary Satellites GOES satellites provide the kind of continuous monitoring necessary for intensive data analysis. They circle the Earth in a geosynchronous orbit, which means they orbit the equatorial plane of the Earth at a speed matching the Earth's rotation. This allows them to hover continuously over one position on the surface. The geosynchronous plane is about 35,800 km (22,300 miles) above the Earth, high enough to allow the satellites a full-disc view of the Earth. Because they stay above a fixed spot on the surface, they provide a constant vigil for the atmospheric "triggers" for severe weather conditions such as tornadoes, flash floods, hailstorms, and hurricanes. When these conditions develop the GOES satellites are able to monitor storm development and track their movements. GOES satellite imagery is also used to estimate rainfall during the thunderstorms and hurricanes for flash flood warnings, as well as estimates snowfall accumulations and overall extent of snow cover. Such data help meteorologists issue winter storm warnings and spring snowmelt advisories. Satellite sensors also detect ice fields and map the movements of sea and lake ice. Polar Orbiting Satellites The POES satellite system offers the advantage of daily global coverage, by making nearly polar orbits roughly 14.1 times daily. Since the number of orbits per day is not an integer the sub orbital tracks do not repeat on a daily basis, although the local solar time of each satellite's passage is essentially unchanged for any latitude. Currently in orbit we have a morning and afternoon satellite, which provide global coverage four times daily. The POES system includes the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) and the Tiros Operational Vertical Sounder (TOVS). Because of the polar orbiting nature of the POES series satellites, these satellites are able to collect global data on a daily basis for a variety of land, ocean, and atmospheric applications. Data from the POES series supports a broad range of environmental monitoring applications including weather analysis and forecasting, climate research and prediction, global sea surface temperature measurements, atmospheric soundings of temperature and humidity, ocean dynamics research, volcanic eruption monitoring, forest fire detection, global vegetation analysis, search and rescue, and many other applications. Defense Meteorological Satellite Program Since the mid-1960's, when the Department of Defense (DOD) initiated the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP), low, earth-orbiting satellites have provided the military with important environmental information. The DMSP satellites "see" such environmental features as clouds, bodies of water, snow, fire, and pollution in the visual and infrared spectra. Scanning radiometers record information which can help determine cloud type and height, land and surface water temperatures, water currents, ocean surface features, ice, and snow. Communicated to ground-based terminals, the data is processed, interpreted by meteorologists, and ultimately used in planning and conducting U.S. military operations worldwide. Addendum 3 Satellite Orbits Taken from: AGI – Orbital Mechanics Presentation by Tina Cox What are orbits? A closed “path” around which a planet or satellite travels 1) Orbits can be very diverse 2) Eccentricity describes the “roundness” of an orbit. 3) Orbits may have the same eccentricity but be different sizes. 4) Orbits may have the same size and shape, but different orientations. 5) Inclination is the angle between the earth’s equatorial plane and the plane of the orbit.