STA1013 section 7 (2003 Fall) Seo-eun Choi chapter 2 summary 2003. 8. 27 Wednesday Part I. Producing Data Chapter 2. Samples, good and bad • BAD samples : voluntary sample, convenience sample • GOOD samples : simple random sample, systematic sample, cluster sample, stratified sample 2.1 How to sample badly • voluntary response sample : Town Talk example - allow people to call in rather than actively select its own sample it chooses itself by responding to a general appeal. eg) write-in or call-in opinion polls • convenience sample : orange example - selection of whichever individuals are easiest to reach • result: biased result - it favors systematically favors certain outcomes 2.2 Simple random samples Problem, problem... • voluntary response sample : people choose whether to respond • convenience sample : the interviewer makes the choice • PROBLEM : in both cases, personal choice produces bias • REMEDY : allow impersonal chance to choose the sample (no favoritism by the sampler, no self-selection by respondents) Choosing a sample by chance attacks bias by giving all individuals an equal chance to be chosen. All have the same chance to be in the sample. ANY SIMPLE WAY? use hat – simple random sampling SRS (simple random sample) of size n • it consists of n individuals from the population 1 • n individuals are chosen in such a way that every set of n individuals has an equal chance to be the sample actually selected • It gives each individual an equal chance to be chosen. • It gives every possible sample an equal chance to be chosen. What if population is SO HUGE?? - use random digits 1. Label : label individuals in population 2. Table : choose n numbers from Table A (pp.545,546) starting any line between 101 and 150 2.3 Can you trust a sample? • We have more confidence in results from an SRS, because it uses impersonal chance to avoid bias. • Was sample chosen at random? • No bias is the best, little bias is the better. 2.4 Exploring the web • www.misterpoll.com • www.randomizer.org 2.5 Statistics in summary • sample : in order to get information about population • biased samples : convenience sample, voluntary response sample • bias : it favors systematically favors certain outcomes • how to attack bias? : use randomness (eliminate favoritism) • simple random sample : simplest sample of random sample 2