China Fresh at A Glance Domestic production is growing at a slower rate; Needs for improving the yield and production quality on the limited arable land; Fruit and vegetable processing industry is on transforming; Disposable income is the main factor driving the demand rising rapidly; Cold Chain Logistics upgrade is required, on both software and hardware; Increasing demands on high quality of imported fresh produce will generate more chances and competition as the same time; Huge gap of the fresh produces exports and imports between the Netherlands and China; E-commerce and FTZs are facilitating the fresh produce import; China is the world NO.1 of fruit and vegetable plantation acreage and production since two decades ago. In 2013, fruits production of China was nearly 251 MMT, comprised 13% of the global total fruits production of the year; vegetable production over 735 MMT, more than one eighth of the world’s outputs. The plantation acreage and production curves are both inclining, but the growth rates are slightly decreasing. As a major country of production, China is also a country with rich varieties of fruits and vegetables. 000MT 800.000 000Ha 25.000 700.000 735.120 708.831 679.297 650.994 600.000 618.238 583.255 500.000 18.217 592.403 564.520 17.329 17.876 20.353 20.899 20.000 19.639 18.999 18.390 15.000 400.000 10.000 300.000 200.000 5.000 100.000 - 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 aerage 2011 Output 2012 2013 (Sown area and output of vegetables in China) From 2006 to 2012, the Chinese market for fruit and vegetables, and the processed products has been expanding by 24% annually. The rapid economic growth combined with increasing disposable income allowed Chinese consumers to spend more on fruit and vegetable products, and formulated the stronger demand for high quality processed food. The increased awareness of a healthy diet and the public concerns of food safety in general are also the key reasons to enhance the market growth in China. The fruit and vegetable processing industry in China is improving gradually and transforming towards a centralized layout and industrial agglomeration. And the consumption of processed fruit and vegetable products is increasing tremendously along with the urbanization in China. Currently there are still some critical issues exist in this industry, such as lack of dedicated varieties for processing, low processing efficiency and utilization of raw materials, low level of processing with advanced equipment, etc., which restrain the further development of the industry. The overall cold chain logistics system in China is still under development, while the fruit and vegetable industry is growing continuously. The supply of cold chain services has not kept up with demand. The need for well-managed cold chain logistics and capable thirdparty logistics services providers (3PLs) in China are acute. Every year, cold chain logistical problems in China result in massive product losses, accounting for about 25% to 30% of total production. The cold storage capacity in China covers only about 25% of total output, compared to 70% to 80% in developed countries. China's cold supply chain is overseen by a complex mix of authorities. The structure of the trucking industry is another major difficulty to the further development. Although the draft standards now exist that can be referenced in cases of improper handling, China lacks a sound self-enforcing mechanism and the manpower to monitor cold chain transactions at a meaningful level. (a delivery truck in Hong Kong) China as one of the largest production bases of vegetables and fruits, also exports large volumes of vegetables and fruits as well as the processed products to other counties and regions. Shangdong and Hebei province are the two largest production and export bases for fruit and vegetables. In contrast to overall local production, a greater proportion of Chinese fruit and vegetables sold to international market, consisted of frozen and dried fruits and vegetables. However, according to the International Agricultural Trade statistics of MoA, the export growth rate of vegetables and fruits in recent years witnessed a remarkable decline. The growth rate of import vegetables and fruits is noticeably larger than export. Food quality and safety are still a major issue in China, although the Central government has invested lots of efforts to improve the food safety on the whole supply chain. Additionally, food safety is becoming a greater factor of lifting the demands for high quality import fresh produces, as well as food ingredients and manufactured foods. 2014 witnessed a significant growth in China's imported fruit market, with an ever-growing number of countries and products gaining market access. In the five years through 2020, imports of fruits and vegetables are expected to increase at an annualized rate of 9.9% in this period. The number of fruits granted Chinese import approval has been steadily increasing, with roughly 50 fruits from 35 different countries having gained market access thus far. 104 applications from 40 countries covering more than 30 fruits are still awaiting approval for access to the Chinese market. After five years of bilateral consultations and negotiations, at the end of 2014, the Dutch conference pear finally got the marketing access to the fruit market in China. There was total more than 1 million kg of Dutch conference pears exported to China during the first season of entering into the Chinese market. There is still a large potential of the exports of the fresh produces from the Netherlands to China in the future. However, the increasing international competition and the influence from the government policies and regulations cannot be ignored. 2014 2013 NL->CN 2012 CN->NL 2011 2010 0 50.000 100.000 150.000 200.000 250.000 300.000 (Trade of fresh produce between China and NL) Chinese internet users number broke through 600 million by the end of 2013, and ecommerce revenue growth (from 2009 to 2012) topping 70% compounded annually, China is on pace to pass over the US and become to the largest e-commerce market in the world. Alibaba is China’s undisputed market share leader of B2C and C2C e-commerce. Taobao, Tmall are the major e-commerce platforms run by Alibaba. E-commerce created vast development possibilities and opportunities to fresh produce business in China, which is still in the early development stage. O2O (Online-to-Offline) is a new term and business model of E-commerce in recent years, which is implemented widely in the food especially the fresh produce online retail sector. Micro-commerce is based on Wechat mobile app, has grown quickly. The “micro” merchants are so large that they can purchase fruits directly from abroad, and even surpass the scale of traditional fruit e-commerce retailers. FTZs (Free Trade Zones) contain the potential to change wholesale and e-commerce trade and to cause direct sourcing, which is gaining popularity among fresh produce retailers and distributors, to become easier and more accessible. (Value of e-commerce transactions in the US and China) (Online sales of imported food products in China) China is on the transition from an investment-heavy growth model, towards a more consumption-driven model. The economy is facing greater difficulty in the future, likely an end to the era of rapid growth. Although the overall economic growth doesn't seem to end, it is clear that these factors will have a substantial moderating effect on China’s future development, and will likely affect the entire food industry including the fresh produces.