• Types of financial statements : Balance sheet, income statement, statement of cash flows, and the statement of changes in shareholder’s equity. • Balance sheet : Assets(current assets includes inventories,receivables etc. longterm includes depreciation, bookvalue of assets, goodwill, intangibleassets, amortization, impairment charge) = liabilities(longterm liabilities includes deferred taxes) + shareholders’ equity(includes market capitalization = total market value of firm’s equity = the market price per share × the number of shares). Value of Equity • market-to-book value ratio(price-to-book ratio)= Market . If low, Book Value of Equity called value stocks. if higher, called growth stocks. Total Debt . Enterprise • Debt-Equity Ratio= Total Equity Value=Market Value of Equity + Debt − Cash. Current ratio = CurrentAsset . Quick ratio = CurrentAssets−Inventories CurrentLiabilities CurrentLiabilities • Gross Profit = Net Sales − Cost of Sales. • EBIT = Earning before interest and taxes. EPS(Earning per share) = Net Income Shares Outstanding Profit . Operating margin = Operating Profit . Net Profit • Gross Margin = Gross Sales Sales Margin = Net Income . Accounts Receivable Days = Accounts Receivable . Total Sales Average Daily Sales Accounts Payable . Inventory Accounts Payable days = Average daily purchases Inventory . Return on Equity(ROE) = AverageDailyCost of Goods Sold Net Income . Return on Assets(ROA) = Net Income . Price-Earning Book Value of Equity Total Assets Market Capitalization Share Price ratio(P/E ratio) = . = Net Income Earning per Share Net Income Sales Total Assets . ROE = × × Sales Total Assets Total Equity | {z } | {z } {z } | Asset Turnover Net Profit Margin Equity Multiplier | {z } Return on Assets Retained Earning = Net Income − Dividends. Arbitrage = practice of buying and selling equivalent goods in different markets to take advantage of a price difference. Therefore, no arbitrage price of a security implies Price = P V . The bond’s return = Gain . If no arbitrage, all risk-free Cost investments should offers the same return and N P V must be zero. Separation Principle states we can separate the firm’s investment decision from its financing choice. days= • • • • • Price of stock. P0 = Div1 +P1 1+rE rE = Div1 + P1 Div1 P0 | {z } P0 −1 (1) P1 − P0 + | Dividend Yield P0 {z (2) } • Expected Return = E[R] = R pR × R P 2 • V ar(r) = r pr × (r − E[r]) p • SD(r) = V ar(r) = Volatility 1 • Using empirical distribution of realized returns, R = T PT 2 1 • V ar(R) = T −1 t=1 (Rt − R) PT t=1 Rt SD(individual risk) • SD(Average of Independent, Identical risks = √ number of observations • small stocks have had higher volatility and higher average returns than large stocks, which have had higher volatility and higher average returns than bonds. • Variation in a stocks return due to firm-specific news is called idiosyncratic risk. This type of risk is also called firm-specific, unique, or diversifiable risk. It is risk that is independent of other shocks in the economy • Systematic risk is risk due to market-wide news that affects all stocks simultaneously. Systematic risk is also called market or undiversifiable risk. It is risk that is common to all stocks. • If a firm moves independently, there is no systematic risk. • Diversification eliminates idiosyncratic risk but does not eliminate systematic risk because investors can eliminate idiosyncratic risk, they do not require a risk premium for taking it on. • An efficient portfolio is a portfolio that contains only systematic risk and cannot be diversified further • If the market portfolio is efficient, we can measure the systematic risk of a security by its beta ().The beta of a security is the sensitivity of the securitys return to the return of the overall market. • Market Risk Premium = Expected Excess return of market portfolio = E[RM kt ] − rf • CAPM states that r = rf + β(E[RM kt − rf ) • Cov(Ri , Rj ) = E[(Ri − E[Ri ])(Rj − E[Rj ])] P t (Ri,t − Ri )(Rj,t − Rj ) 1 • Cov(Ri , Rj ) = T −1 Cov(R ,R ) i j • Corr(R)i, Rj ) = SD(R )SD(R i j) • V ar(Rp ) = – Investors have homogeneous expectations regarding the volatilities, correlations, and expected returns of securities. • The CAPM equation states that the risk premium of any security is equal to the market risk premium multiplied by the beta of the security. E[Ri ] = ri = rf + M kt βi | (E[RM kt ] − rf ) {z } Risk Premium for security i • βi = βiM kt = Cov(Ri ,RM kt ) V ar(RM kt • The beta of a portfolio is the weighted-average beta of the securities in the portfolio. • In a value-weighted portfolio, the amount invested in each security is proportional to its market capitalization. • Beta measures a securitys sensitivity to market risk. Specifically, beta is the expected change in the return of a security given a 1% change in the return of the market portfolio. • Because of default risk, the debt cost of capital, which is its expected return to investors, is less than its yield to maturity, which is its promised return. • the debt cost of capital, rd = Y T M − P r(def ault) × Expected Loss Rate E·rE +D·rD E+D EβE +DβD E+D • Project cost of capital, rU = • The beta of project, βU = • The Weighted cost of capital D r (1 − τ ) = r − D τ r E r + rW ACC = E+D E C U E+D D E+D C D • αi = E[Ri ] − ri • When equity is used without debt, the firm is said to be unlevered. Otherwise, the amount of debt determines the firms leverage. • Capital markets are said to be perfect if they satisfy three conditions: – Investors and firms can trade the same set of securities at competitive market prices equal to the present value of their future cash flows. – There are no taxes, transaction costs, or issuance costs associated with security trading. 2 x2 1 V ar(R1 ) + x2 V ar(R2 ) + 2x1 x2 Cov(R1 , R2 ) 2 x1 V ar(R1 ) + x2 2 V ar(R2 ) + 2x1 x2 Corr(R1 , R2 )SD(R1 )SD(R2 ) 1 (Average Variance of the Individual Stocks) + n • V ar(Rp ) = 1 (Average Covariance between the Stocks) 1− n P • SD(RP ) = i xi × SD(Ri ) × Corr(Ri , RP ) • If the portfolio weights are positive, as we lower the covariance or correlation between the two stocks in a portfolio, we lower the portfolio variance. • E[RxP ] = rf + x(E[RP ] − rf ) and SD(RxP ) = xSD(RP ) E[RP ]−rf SD(RP ) Cov(Ri ,RP ) V ar(RP ) • Sharpe Ratio = • βiP = • Portfolio is efficient when E[Ri ] = ri for all securities. ef f E[Ri ] = ri ≡ rf + βi • Three main assumptions underlie CAPM • A firm can change its capital structure at any time by issuing new securities and using the funds to pay its existing investors. An example is a leveraged recapitalization in which the firm borrows money (issues debt) and repurchases shares (or pays a dividend). MM Proposition I implies that such transactions will not change the share price. • According to MM Proposition II, the cost of capital for levered equity is (rU − rD ) rE = rU + D E E r + D r • rW ACC = rA = rU = E+D E E+D D E β + D β • βU = E+D E D E+D Capital Gain Rate P • V ar(Rp ) = – Investors choose efficient portfolios. – A firms financing decisions do not change the cash flows generated by its investments, nor do they reveal new information about them. • Total return. = – Investors trade securities at competitive market prices (without incurring taxes or transaction costs) and can borrow and lend at the risk-free rate. × (E[Ref f ] − rf ) (βU − βD ) • βE = βU + D E • A firms net debt is equal to its debt less its holdings of cash and other risk-free securities • Leverage can raise a firms expected earnings per share, but it also increases the volatility of earnings per share. As a result, shareholders are not better off and the value of equity is unchanged. •