Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 Acknowledgements This Environmental Scan has been produced by Service Skills Australia with the assistance of funding provided by the Australian Government through the Department of Industry. While this Environmental Scan is published by Service Skills Australia (the Industry Skills Council for the wholesale, retail and personal service industries), it is endorsed and owned by these industries. Service Skills Australia would like to acknowledge the significant contribution of its Wholesale, Retail and Personal Services Industry Advisory Committee in the preparation of this document. March 2014 Email: info@serviceskills.com.au Web: www.serviceskills.com.au About Service Skills Australia Service Skills Australia is the Industry Skills Council for the service industries, one of 11 not-for-profit, independent organisations funded by the Australian Government Department of Industry to support skills and workforce development. The service industries encompass the following: • Wholesale, Retail and Personal Services (wholesale, retail, hairdressing, beauty, floristry, community pharmacy and funeral services) • Tourism, Travel and Hospitality (travel, tours, meetings and events, accommodation, restaurants and catering, holiday parks and resorts) • Sport, Fitness and Recreation (sport, fitness, community recreation and outdoor recreation). Service Skills Australia’s roles and responsibilities are to: 1.Provide integrated industry intelligence and advice to government, the Australian Workforce and Productivity Agency (AWPA), industry and enterprises on workforce development and skill needs for the service industries. 2.Actively support the development, implementation and continuous improvement of high quality training products for the service industries, including training packages. 3.Engage in workforce development activities and services for the service industries. The Environmental Scan: Context, Purpose and Audience Rapid advances in technology, seismic shifts in global demography and rise of the conscientious consumer are just some of the factors that have left economists and policymakers recognising the limited relevance of historical trends and data as a reliable indicator of the future. Attempts to predict industry’s future workforce and skill development needs can be particularly fraught as industries continue to evolve, converge or re-locate and as new job roles emerge while others become obsolete. Leading developed nations are establishing ‘early warning systems’ to quickly detect the onset of trends and building agile vocational training systems capable of responding to issues once identified. Environmental Scans have been conceived on this basis. Specifically, the Environmental Scan identifies the macro and micro factors currently impacting on the skill needs of the workforce and its composition, it considers how well the national training system, its products and services, and industry itself are responding. Grassroots evidence and real-time intelligence from across Australia are what sets the Environmental Scan apart from other reports in the national training system. It captures intelligence gathered from on-going visits and conversations with industry, key stakeholders, regulators and critically, the people doing the jobs across the sectors, and who experience firsthand the impact of change. It also draws on a range of topical sources such as the latest industry, enterprise and government research, and international developments. The Environmental Scan does not seek to capture every issue within every sector. It is a snapshot of a continually evolving story that is intended to alert and inform a wide audience and enhance their capacity to act. The Environmental Scan’s formal audience is the Department of Industry, the Australian Workforce and Productivity Agency and the National Skills Standards Council although its relevance extends far beyond and continues to be used extensively by state and territory governments, industry bodies, enterprises and many other stakeholders involved in skills and workforce development. Environmental Scans are produced annually by Australia’s Industry Skills Councils as part of their broader role in gathering industry intelligence and undertaking high-quality analysis of the skills needs and profile of the current and future workforce. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 1 Contents Key Messages 6 Retail8 Latest Intelligence Changing Spending Patterns 9 9 Technology9 The Global Marketplace 11 Price Harmonisation 11 Sustainability and Ethical Practices 12 Changes to the VET Market 12 Workforce Development Needs 17 Improving Retention and Career Pathways 17 Management and Leadership Skills 17 Back-Office Retail Skills 17 Language, Literacy and Numeracy 18 The National Workforce Development Fund 18 Retail Services Occupations in Demand 20 Current Impact of the SIR07 Retail Services Training Package 23 Enrolments23 Completions24 Future Directions for the SIR07 Retail Services Training Package 25 Wholesale26 Latest Intelligence 27 Changes to the VET Market 28 Workforce Development Needs 29 Current Impact of the SIR07 Retail Services Training Package (Wholesale) 30 Enrolments30 Completions31 Future Directions for the SIR07 Retail Services Training Package (Wholesale) 31 Community Pharmacy 32 Latest Intelligence 33 The Fifth Community Pharmacy Funding Agreement 2 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services 33 Demographic Changes 33 Preventative Health 34 Technology34 The Pharmaceuticals Market 35 Household Consumption Patterns 35 Changes to the VET Market 36 Workforce Development Needs 37 Customer Service 37 Workforce Ageing 37 Retention37 Business and Management Skills 37 Language, Literacy and Numeracy 38 Community Pharmacy Occupations in Demand 39 Current Impact of the SIR07 Retail Services Training Package (Community Pharmacy) 40 Enrolments40 Completions41 Future Directions for the SIR07 Retail Services Training Package (Community Pharmacy) 41 Floristry42 Latest Intelligence 43 Competitive Pressures 43 Product Diversification 43 Market Segmentation 43 Technology43 Affiliation Models 43 Workforce Development Needs 44 Digital Literacy 44 Multiskilling: Marketing, Management and Business Skills 44 Sustainability44 Current Impact of the SFL10 Floristry Training Package 46 Enrolments46 Completions47 Future Directions for the SFL10 Floristry Training Package Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 47 3 Hairdressing48 Latest Intelligence 49 Changes to the VET Market 49 Workforce Development Needs 50 Continued Shortages 50 Salon Management Skills 51 Age Profile 51 Hairdressing Occupations in Demand 52 Current Impact of the SIH11 Hairdressing Training Package 52 Enrolments52 Completions53 Future Directions for the SIH11 Hairdressing Training Package 55 Beauty56 Latest Intelligence 57 Growing Demand 57 Advanced Treatments 57 Sustainability58 Intersection with the Tourism Industry 58 Business Processes 59 Changes to the VET Market 59 Workforce Development Needs 60 Beauty Occupations in Demand 64 Current Impact of the SIB10 Beauty Training Package 64 Enrolments64 Completions66 Future Directions for the SIB10 Beauty Training Package 4 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services 67 Funeral Services 68 Latest Intelligence 69 Changing Industry Structure 69 Changing Business Models and Processes 69 Key Demand Determinants 70 Cultural Shifts 70 Demographics71 Sustainability71 Legislation and Regulation 71 Changes to the VET Market 72 Workforce Development Needs 73 Funeral Services Occupations in Demand 74 Current Impact of the SIF Funeral Services Training Package 74 Enrolments74 Future Directions for the SIF Funeral Services Training Package 75 Appendices76 Appendix A: Report on Previous Continuous Improvement Activity 77 References81 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 5 Key Messages The wholesale, retail and personal services industries are struggling with gaps in management and employability skills, poorly defined and articulated career pathways, and ongoing changes to publicly funded training. 6 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Key Messages This Environmental Scan contains a separate chapter for each of the seven industry sectors which comprise the wholesale, retail and personal services (WRAPS) industries: retail, wholesale, community pharmacy, floristry, hairdressing, beauty and funeral services. Each chapter details the trends shaping the skills and workforce development needs of that specific industry sector. Yet, despite their diversity, many of the key challenges are remarkably similar. Indeed, gaps in management and employability skills, poorly defined and articulated career pathways, and ongoing changes to publicly funded training are challenges facing each industry sector. Consultation undertaken in the process of developing this Environmental Scan has reaffirmed the critical need for viable and visible career pathways within each of the sectors comprising WRAPS. While low barriers to entry can be beneficial in allowing lowskilled and inexperienced workers to gain a foothold in the labour market, relying purely on a rotating cycle of entry-level workers is unsustainable. The WRAPS industries would benefit from the development of formalised career structures and enhanced skill development opportunities, as this will help demonstrate that there is a viable future for those entering these sectors. Persistent skills gaps at both the entry and management levels are another key challenge facing the WRAPS industries. Despite being technically proficient, owners and managers often lack the business skills essential for success, whilst new entrants frequently lack critical employability and core skills which underpin excellent customer service. Whilst Service Skills Australia’s training packages lay the foundation for quality outcomes, the delivery of training is equally important. Finally, reform of state and territory vocational education and training systems has been in full-flight in 2013. While the introduction of demand-driven funding could potentially increase training uptake across the service industries, there is a concern that the various mechanisms to determine priority skills areas will disadvantage the WRAPS industries. These concerns are not unfounded. Already we have seen some jurisdictions remove funding for retail qualifications in the face of tight budgets. With the pace of reform set to accelerate in coming years, it is critical that funding continues to be made available for quality training in these industries. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 7 Retail The retail industry employs 10.5% of the workforce Employment is projected to grow by 4.1% over the next five years 2011-12 RETAIL TRADE GVA WAS 4.8% OF GDP 8 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Retail Latest Intelligence Changing Spending Patterns Technology Industry consultation and available statistics both point toward a significant change in consumer behaviour. This has occurred on two fronts. Firstly, consumption levels and the savings rate have readjusted to what Philip Lowe, Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, has termed ‘normal’ levels.1 Secondly, the composition of consumption itself has changed—shifting away from goods and towards services. Among the many changes occurring in the Australian retail industry, none are as transformative as those wrought by technology. This Environmental Scan will focus on three key elements of technological innovation and their impact upon the retail industry. The first is the explosion of retail sales through online channels. The second is the shift toward mobile devices and the expansion of mCommerce platforms. Finally, there is the integration of increasingly sophisticated technologies in bricksand-mortar retail stores. Each of these trends has implications for the skill needs of the industry. In recent years consumption has grown broadly in line with income. This current pattern of spending, while reflecting historical norms, is quite different to the period from the mid 1990s to the mid 2000s, where consumption growth per person was consistently strong and the savings rate was on a downward trend: ‘put differently, growth in consumption was consistently faster than growth in income. For part of this period we spent every extra dollar we earned, and then a bit more.’2 Current levels of consumer spending require many retailers to readjust business models that were predicated on assumptions of higher overall levels of consumer spending. Moreover, the fact that current levels of consumption reflect historical norms suggest that training is more critical than ever to improve labour productivity in the industry as it is highly unlikely to witness a return to the spending levels of the mid 1990s to the mid 2000s in either the short or longer term. The retail industry has also been adversely affected by a trend toward the consumption of services over goods. This has been occurring since the 1980s, with food, clothing and footwear, and household furnishings and equipment declining in their share of the total household budget by around three percentage points over the past 25 years.3 With food taken out of the equation the decline is even more visible, at 6 per cent.4 Online retail In the year to May 2013, $13.7 billion was spent through online channels—equivalent to 6.1 per cent of spending in traditional bricks and mortar retail. The year-on-year online retail growth rate was 18 per cent compared to 3.2 per cent for traditional retail.5 Yet despite these stark figures and the fact that Australia has the fifth highest level of internet penetration in the world, only 52.3 per cent of retailers have their own website or a social media page.6 This is a critical issue for the industry. A recent report from Deloitte Restructuring Services (DRS) warned that many retailers ‘just aren’t preparing for digital disruption.’7 DRS estimated that more than 50 traditional middle-market retailers (those with between 50 and 200 stores) will need to cut their store networks by up to a third to survive ‘as the shift to online retailing in Australia moves into overdrive.’8 Access Economics cites the lack of skills and knowledge in this area by businesses as the most significant reason for the lack of uptake of e-commerce.9 As a result, there is a significant role for training packages to deliver the necessary skills to businesses so that the potential of the internet can be fully exploited. The SIR07 Retail Services Training Package has already begun to address this Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 9 industry skill need through the inclusion of specific units of competency such as SIRXEBS001A Acquire and retain online customers and SIRXEBS002A Manage retail brands online. mCommerce Three years ago, 37 per cent of Australians owned a smartphone.10 Since then it has risen to 65 per cent.11 The use of mobile internet to inform purchasing decisions is widespread, with 78 per cent of smartphone users indicating that they used their device to find out more about a product or service to support a purchasing decision and 41 per cent making a purchase on their phone.12 However, research has found that mCommerce platforms also supported traditional bricks-andmortar retailers, with nearly half of Australian smartphone users (48 per cent) visiting a business as a result of their search.13 The integration of location-based technology in smartphones and the proliferation of geo-targeting applications is further crystallising the need for retailers to engage with mobile platforms. Geotargeting applications launch automatically upon a customer’s arrival in a physical store, providing them with a list of available products and detailed product information. This offers retailers a powerful tool to increase foot-traffic, complementing the retail experience. The SIR07 Retail Services Training Package has responded to these industry changes through the inclusion of a discrete unit of competency, SIRXICT404 Adopt mobile commerce applications to improve sales and service—which is included as an elective in the SIR40212 Certificate IV in Retail Management and the SIR50112 Diploma of Retail Management. Additionally, mCommerce skills have been flagged as a medium to long-term priority in future revisions of the Retail Services Training Package. 10 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Reimagining the retail store A report by IBM noted that consumer use of IT allows them to ‘dip in and out of the [buying] process,’ rather than follow the continuous sequence that exists when browsing and purchasing in-store. The effect is that, through technology, the retail experience is becoming a ‘series of moments’, whereby the retailer’s window of opportunity to influence consumer decisions is more important than ever.14 Retail stakeholders have indicated that customers expect increasingly sophisticated technologies in-store. They also expect access to sales staff that possess a deeper level of product knowledge than is available to the public. As a result, some retailers provide smart devices in-store so that sales staff can process transactions, look for alternate products in stock and have access to the same or better information as the customer. Critically, the enrichment of retail stores with greater levels of technology requires higher level skills on the part of staff, not just because their tasks may have changed, but because interacting in a technology-rich environment requires more advanced problem-solving skills and digital literacy. Another use of in-store technology is self-service kiosks, particularly in the supermarket sector. Industry feedback indicates that the expanding use of self-serve and self-scanning technologies sees sales staff redirected towards providing advice, guidance and engagement—higher skill activities than transactions. These changes also have implications on the definition and role of customer service in the store. There is a strong sense within the industry that this is critical to the ongoing survival of enterprises. Some retailers have responded by expanding the authority of frontline customer service staff to more effectively manage negative customer experiences. These strategies require skill development for frontline staff in addition to a thorough understanding of the aspects of customer service. Retail The Global Marketplace Price Harmonisation As identified in the Australia in the Asian Century White Paper, Australia is well positioned geographically, economically and politically to benefit from the increasing prosperity of Asian countries, including China, India and South East Asian nations.15 In particular, the retail industry has the opportunity to capitalise on Asia’s growing middle class and their appetite for luxury brands, unique products and quality. Opportunities are available for retailers to capture a greater share of international visitor spending as well as for Australian retailers to establish a presence in overseas markets. Both of these opportunities, however, will require the workforce to develop new and more complex skills in cross-cultural communication, language proficiency, merchandising and marketing. The increasingly globalised market through the internet, which brings pricing transparency, has also led Australian retailers to push a price harmonisation agenda. Price harmonisation refers to suppliers agreeing to remove pricing disparities for the same product in different regional markets. Due to the relative strength of the Australian economy, international retailers, particularly those from the fashion and apparel sectors, are accelerating their expansion into the Australian market. Colliers International has identified fifteen new entrants to the Australian market in 2014 (including major international retailers such as Uniqlo, H&M and Banana Republic) and expansion plans for at least thirteen others (including prominent brands such as Apple, Zara and Topshop/Topman).16 These high levels of foreign investment, coupled with the growth in online shopping, have created a substantially more globalised marketplace. It has increased the breadth of the brands, products and services available to consumers, and, critically, has increased the level of competition for domestic retailers. Consequently, Australian retailers are under growing pressure to innovate and remain relevant to the consumer. The price discrimination faced by Australian consumers was highlighted in the Productivity Commission’s 2011 report, Economic Structure and Performance of the Australian Retail Industry. The report compared the prices of 40 different retail goods at a selection of Australian bricksand-mortar retailers, Australian online retailers and overseas online retailers. Even after taking into account shipping and delivery costs, the Commission found that ‘for the majority of goods examined, the cheapest price offerings were from online retailers rather than from Australian bricksand-mortar stores, with the majority of the lowest prices from international online retailers.’17 Such price discrimination in a context of heightened competition puts local retailers at a distinct disadvantage. Philip Lowe, Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, commented in March 2012 that global pricing transparency brought about by the internet was ‘part of the story’ behind the declining sales volumes being felt by department stores and clothing and footwear retailers as ‘Australian consumers have responded by increasingly going online.’18 Research into the online spending habits of Australian consumers vindicates Lowe’s remarks. A 2012 survey conducted by PwC and Frost & Sullivan found that lower prices were the main reason (59 per cent) for shoppers choosing to purchase goods from offshore retailers.19 Prominent Australian retailers have expressed criticism of supplier pricing for the Australian market. In August 2012, Myer CEO, Bernie Brookes, declared that 20 to 30 per cent of the company’s product range is not internationally price competitive.20 Myer competitor, David Jones, Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 11 has also expressed the need for global price harmonisation.21 By negotiating with suppliers, retailers are aiming to maintain their gross profit margins in spite of revenue declines from lower retail prices.22 Sustainability and Ethical Practices While consumer demand for ethically procured and environmentally sustainable goods and services has been increasing for some time, growing consumer access to information sources and increasingly globalised supply-chains have meant that the industry is more sensitive than ever to issues of sustainability and ethics. This is particularly relevant for the procurement of goods and services from manufacturers. The public backlash to the 2013 tragedy in Savar, Bangladesh—when a garment factory building collapsed with a reported death toll of more than 1,120 and many more injuries— highlighted the need for retailers and brands to take more responsibility in choosing suppliers and manufacturers. Many brands and retailers have taken on environmentally-friendly stock as a form of product differentiation and to attract the emerging group of environmentally-conscious consumers. In order for this to work effectively, sales staff must hold product knowledge on the environmental credentials of individual products and understand the relationship between the characteristics of products and their environmental effects in order to educate consumers on the value of their decision. 12 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Changes to the VET Market Since agreeing to a revised National Agreement for Skills and Workforce Development at the Council of Australian Governments (COAG) meeting of 13 April 2012, nearly all states and territories have embarked on reforms to their training systems, with some jurisdictions already well progressed. One of the core elements of the reform agreement is the ‘National Training Entitlement’, which guarantees government subsidised training places to individuals up to their first Certificate III qualification. In 2011, Victoria fully implemented its entitlement scheme— the Victorian Training Guarantee—with mixed results. In 2011, enrolments in publicly-funded qualifications from the SIR07 Retail Services Training Package in Victoria increased by 42.2 per cent from 2010 levels. For all other states and territories, the increase was a much more modest 5 per cent (see Figure 1). The rapid increase in Victoria placed strain on the state’s training budget, leading to new arrangements that applied different subsidy rates for courses and qualifications based on ‘areas of greatest public benefit and future jobs growth.’ 23 From 1 July 2012, the new fee arrangements grouped qualifications into five subsidy bands, ranging from under $2 per hour to in excess of $10 per hour. Retail Figure 1. Enrolments in SIR07 Retail Services Training Package, 2007–2012 45,000 40,000 35,000 Enrolments 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 Victoria 10,000 Other States 5,000 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Year Source: NCVER VOCSTATS (ncver.edu.au/resources/vocstats/intro.html), extracted on 05/09/2013 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 13 Victoria is unique in its approach, with other jurisdictions using priority skills lists and caps to determine the funding of VET qualifications. However, South Australia announced in December 2013 that it would also commence applying subsidy bands to qualifications listed in its January 2014 Version 8 ‘Funded Training List’. Funding for retail qualifications in the jurisdictions that have commenced implementing VET reform is shown in Table 1. Table 1. Funding of Retail Qualifications under VET Reform Programs a Qualification Jurisdiction VIC SA Certificate I in Retail Services $1.50 per hour ü Capped Certificate II in Retail Fast Food $1.50 per hour Certificate II in Community Pharmacy $4.00 per hour ü Capped Certificate II in Retail** $1.50 per hour ü Capped TGSS, FF Certificate II in Retail Services $1.50 per hour ü Capped TGSS Certificate III in Retail Operations $1.50 per hour ü Capped Certificate III in Retail Supervision $4.00 per hour Certificate III in Community Pharmacy $4.00 per hour ü Capped Certificate IV in Retail Management $4.00 per hour ü Certificate IV in Community Pharmacy $4.00 per hour ü Capped Diploma of Retail Management $1.50 per hour ü Diploma of Visual Merchandising $4.00 per hour ü Vocational Graduate Certificate in Retail Leadership $4.00 per hour NT ACT QLD WA NSW ü ü ü ü ü Draft inclusion ü ü ü ü Draft inclusion Provisional priority aCorrect as at 16 December 2013. TGSS refers to the Training Guarantee for SACE Students. This means that qualifications listed as TGSS on the Skills for All Funded Training List will be fully-funded for South Australian students who are 16 years or over and who are enrolled and working towards completing the South Australian Certificate of Education (or equivalent). Full eligibility criteria are available at the following website: skills.sa.gov.au/for-training-providers/training-school-students/training-guaranteefor-sace-students. FF denotes ‘fee free’. 14 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Retail There is the risk that the reduction of funding for retail qualifications will result in a loss of productivity for the industry, which is crucial given the intensified competition from online and international outlets. Additionally, this places an extra burden on small and micro enterprises struggling to upskill their staff. The funding available per hour in Victoria also affects the number of Registered Training Organisations (RTOs) providing these qualifications, which is detrimental to regional areas in particular. The lack of funding for Diploma and Advanced Diploma level qualifications—with the exception of the Australian Capital Territory and Western Australia—is quite concerning. These qualifications provide crucial management and business skills. Moreover, the removal of these higher-level qualifications may entrench existing perceptions that the retail industry requires lowlevels of skill and lacks professionalism. Additionally, at the federal level, the August 2013 decision to cease standard completion incentive payments for employers engaging existing worker trainees in non-priority occupations, including retail, is likely to have a detrimental effect on the industry’s training effort. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 15 16 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Retail Workforce Development Needs Improving Retention and Career Pathways The retail industry suffers from the perception that it is low skilled and without career prospects. It is often seen as a short-term, stopgap employment option. An Australian Centre for Retail Studies research report found that respondents (from schools, universities and existing employees) felt that the retail industry is undesirable as a longterm career, because of the belief that there are few opportunities for career progression. There was little awareness of retail’s corporate support functions such as marketing, merchandising, finance and IT among respondents. While the industry was perceived to be appealing because of the social nature of the work, less than 5 per cent of retail employee respondents indicated satisfaction with retail as a long-term career option.24 Consultation with retailers identified that the development of an industry-wide career promotion strategy, including a career pathway map, coordinated marketing campaign and case-studies of industry champions would be beneficial in improving retention and attracting talent to the industry. However, numerous stakeholders across the country identified that implementing an industry-wide career promotion strategy would be challenging, due, in part, to the multiple peakbodies which service the industry. Regardless, acting to improve retention and career pathways needs to be an industry-wide priority. Management and Leadership Skills In the retail industry, managers are usually promoted internally, often without adequate development. Industry has identified this aspect as a contributor to a deficiency in skills in people management, financial management, operations, innovation and small business management by those in management positions. An international study of management and productivity found that an individual’s level of education and skills is a crucial factor for management performance.25 Encouraging employers to engage their staff in management training at the higher levels, such as the Certificate IV, Diploma and Graduate Certificate level will be a significant step in improving management performance. Back-Office Retail Skills Industry consultation has identified that retailspecific support roles, such as merchandise planning, buying, store design, data analysis and information technology are in high demand. These recruitment requirements are directly related to the changing nature of the industry outlined in the previous section. A number of retailers have reported that they have to recruit internationally for retail-specific back office roles and some IT roles because local talent was not sufficiently ‘deep’ or available. In particular there is competition for people with digital media skills, merchandise planning and buying skills, and it was reported that it is difficult to retain people in these jobs. As brands are increasingly communicated online, the retail industry requires a new set of skills in marketing, which is proving difficult to find. Marketing roles now require a thorough understanding of the customer through expertise in collecting customer data, as well as digital marketing and social media management. Accessing these skills is considered a high priority for the future growth of retail businesses. Future revisions of the Retail Services Training Package will be looking at the changing occupational makeup of retail with particular attention to back-office roles. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 17 Language, Literacy and Numeracy Despite evidence which suggests that a 1 per cent increase in literacy can lead to a 2.5 per cent increase in labour productivity, recently released data on Australian adult literacy, numeracy and problem-solving skills show that retail workers are below the all-industry average (see Table 2).26 27 Improving language, literacy and numeracy (LLN) skills is critical as the industry adjusts to increasing customer demands and the tasks demanded of sales and management staff become more complex. Improving technology skills and boosting the qualification and language, literacy and numeracy levels of the retail workforce could impact positively on the industry’s productivity and innovation performance. Table 2. Literacy, Numeracy and Problem-solving Skill Level of Employed Persons (15–64): Retail Trade and All Employed Persons, 2011–12 (%) Below Level 1/ Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4/5 Retail Trade 10.0% 30.5% 41.8% 17.7% All Employed Persons (15–64) 9.8% 28.5% 42.2% 19.4% Below Level 1/ Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4/5 Retail Trade 17.9% 35.0% 35.9% 11.2% All Employed Persons (15–64) 15.9% 32.5% 36.2% 15.4% Problem Solving in Technology-Rich Environments Below Level 1 Level 1 Level 2/3 Not Classified Retail Trade 10.6% 34.7% 35.9% 18.8% All Employed Persons (15–64) 13.1% 34.9% 34.2% 17.7% Literacy Numeracy Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), 2013, Programme for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies, Australia, 2011–12, Cat. no. 4228.0. Through the Australian Government Workplace English Language and Literacy (WELL) Program, Service Skills Australia has been providing access to customised, integrated LLN training for the service industries. Over the course of 2013, retailers accessing the WELL program have identified some common LLN issues in the sector, including: literacy barriers when developing the product knowledge of sales assistants; limited communication and report writing skills in supervisors, particularly those who have been promoted from a sales assistant role; and general issues around customer service, including language, interpreting customer needs, reading and understanding labels and packaging. 18 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services The National Workforce Development Fund In July 2011, the Australian Government announced the launch of the National Workforce Development Fund (NWDF). This continued a model of funding established by the Enterprise-Based Productivity Places Program (EBPPP), whereby the ISCs fulfil a broker role between employers and training providers. The overall policy intent of this program is to support training and workforce development for existing and new workers in areas of skill need. This assists enterprises to increase productivity and address the specific skilling needs of the enterprise. The crucial aspect of the NWDF arrangements (and its predecessor, EBPPP) is that they are the first example of enterprisedriven funded training. As of September 2013, 932 WRAPS businesses had accessed the NWDF through Service Skills Australia, representing 2,260 learners. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 19 Retail Services Occupations in Demand Table 3 identifies the key retail occupations in demand based on industry feedback and forecasts from the Department of Employment. While the table uses the same occupation titles from the Australian and New Zealand Standard Classification of Occupations (ANZSCO), industry has highlighted that numerous ANZSCO titles do not reflect current job titles and roles in the industry. For example, retailers have argued that the occupations of shelf filler and checkout operator infer that individuals classified under these titles only undertake a few core tasks, whereas it is accepted business practice that an individual who fills shelves and maintains displays would also be responsible for processing sales and other retail-specific tasks. This means that the skill levels identified in ANZSCO for these occupations do not reflect industry practices. It is also important to note that these are occupation forecasts and by that virtue do not identify the retail sub-sectors which will absorb this growth. This is a critical point, as the composition of retail sales is changing. Fresh food sales have continued to trend up quite strongly, as has spending on eating out and on ‘other retail’ (including, for example, stores selling mobile phones). For some years, however, spending in department stores, and spending on clothing, footwear and household goods has been growing only slowly. This is true in volume terms and even more apparent in dollar terms.28 Table 3. Retail Occupations in Demand ANZSCO Code 6215 Occupations Retail Supervisors Training Package Qualifications Justification/Evidence SIR30312 Certificate III in Retail Supervision The Department of Employment forecasts employment in this occupation will increase by 10.6 per cent between 2012 and 2017 (representing 3,600 workers). Analysis by AWPA also shows that employment in this occupation is set to grow in each of their four potential economic scenarios. 1421 6359 Retail Managers Visual Merchandisers SIR40212 Certificate IV in Retail Management The Department of Employment forecasts employment in this occupation will increase by 1.3 per cent between 2012 and 2017 (representing 3,000 workers). SIR50112 Diploma of Retail Management Analysis by AWPA also shows that employment in this occupation is set to grow in each of their four potential economic scenarios. SIR50212 Diploma of Visual Merchandising The Department of Employment forecasts employment in this occupation will increase by 25.9 per cent between 2012 and 2017 (representing 1,600 workers). Extensive consultation with retail employers through Service Skills Australia’s Retail Futures study also discovered that there is a demand for Visual Merchandisers (both in-store and online). 20 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Retail ANZSCO Code 1421 6359 Occupations Retail Managers Visual Merchandisers Training Package Qualifications Justification/Evidence SIR40212 Certificate IV in Retail Management The Department of Employment forecasts employment in this occupation will increase by 1.3 per cent between 2012 and 2017 (representing 3,000 workers). SIR50112 Diploma of Retail Management Analysis by AWPA also shows that employment in this occupation is set to grow in each of their four potential economic scenarios. SIR50212 Diploma of Visual Merchandising The Department of Employment forecasts employment in this occupation will increase by 25.9 per cent between 2012 and 2017 (representing 1,600 workers). Extensive consultation with retail employers through Service Skills Australia’s Retail Futures study also discovered that there is a demand for Visual Merchandisers (both in-store and online). 6211 Retail Sales Assistant SIR20212 Certificate II in Retail Services SIR30212 Certificate III in Retail Operations The Department of Employment forecasts employment in this occupation will increase by 8.9 per cent between 2012 and 2017 (representing 45,500 workers). This represents strong growth relative to the previous decade of relatively steady employment numbers. SIR10112 Certificate I in Retail Services The Department of Employment forecasts employment in this occupation will increase by 18.5 per cent between 2012 and 2017 (representing 12,400 workers). SIR20212 Certificate II in Retail Services Industry has also identified that this occupation will grow in line with the demand for online retail as these workers are responsible for managing stock in warehouses and distribution centres. Checkout Operators and Office Cashiers SIR10112 Certificate I in Retail Services The Department of Employment forecasts employment in this occupation will increase by 10.1 per cent between 2012 and 2017 (representing 13,700 workers). 2612 Multimedia Specialists and Web Developers N/A While retail is not a significant employer of Multimedia Specialists and Web Developers in terms of share of employment, the growth of online retail will ensure they will play a larger role in the retail industry. Across all industries, the Department of Employment expects employment in this occupation to increase by 33.2 per cent in the next five years. 6392 Retail and Wool Buyers N/A The Department of Employment forecasts employment in this occupation will increase by 24.8 per cent between 2012 and 2017 (representing 1,200 workers). 8912 6311 Shelf Fillers SIR20212 Certificate II in Retail Services This reflects industry feedback that back-of-house roles are in high demand, particularly retail buyers. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 21 22 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Retail Current Impact of the SIR07 Retail Services Training Package Enrolments b Around 65,000 service industry qualifications are completed in Australia each year and a quarter of these are retail qualifications developed by Service Skills Australia, representing over 4 per cent of all VET graduates.29 Considering the youthful profile of retail graduates and their relative inexperience of further study and the workplace, it is clear that the lower level certificate courses offered in retail play a vital role in skilling-up school leavers and providing a pathway into the workforce. They can also act as a stepping stone to higher level study and training.30 However, when looking closely at enrolment numbers in the Certificate I in Retail Services, it is clear that there is limited and declining industry demand for the continuation of this qualification. Figure 2. Retail Qualification Enrolments, 2008–2012 40,000 35,000 30,000 Enrolments 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Certificate I in Retail Services 3,765 3,247 2,312 1,889 1,023 Certificate II in Retail Services 28,466 28,275 30,929 34,044 30,099 Certificate III in Retail Operations 14,224 13,196 16,558 21,755 27,389 Certificate III in Retail Supervision 4,959 1,420 226 6 18 Certificate IV in Retail Management 1,718 2,546 3,181 4,877 5,803 Diploma of Retail Management 266 772 2,215 2,301 2,010 Diploma of Visual Merchandising 406 440 431 457 562 Source: NCVER VOCSTATS (ncver.edu.au/resources/vocstats/intro.html), extracted on 05/09/2013 bNote on enrolment and completion data: NCVER’s VET provider collection provides information on publicly funded training programs delivered by government funded and privately operated training providers and therefore excludes any training activity not in the receipt of government funds. However, this excluded data will be available in coming years as mandatory ‘total VET activity’ reporting requirements came into effect in January 2014. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 23 Completions Analysis of the training outcomes of retail graduates conducted by the University of Melbourne on behalf of Service Skills Australia found that while some retail graduates enter training with the aim to work in a specific job, many of them see the gaining of general skills, knowledge and work experience as major benefits irrespective of the area of training. For example 47 per cent reported that training helped to improve performance at work and that retail trainees were more likely than others to report that gaining knowledge was a benefit of their course.31 32 Figure 3. Retail Qualification Completions, 2007–2011 16,000 14,000 12,000 Completions 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Certificate I in Retail Services 597 651 728 485 588 Certificate II in Retail Services 7,393 9,424 9,626 11,463 13,614 Certificate III in Retail Operations 3,717 4,679 5,046 6,326 9,256 Certificate III in Retail Supervision 1,006 1,403 652 141 5 Certificate IV in Retail Management 546 440 709 994 1,344 Diploma of Retail Management 131 146 216 1,119 1,101 Diploma of Visual Merchandising 50 87 75 142 118 Source: NCVER VOCSTATS (ncver.edu.au/resources/vocstats/intro.html), extracted on 05/09/2013 24 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Retail Future Directions for the SIR07 Retail Services Training Package Consultation conducted as part of the 2012 Retail Futures project, the 2014 Environmental Scan and the joint retail workforce study between AWPA and Service Skills Australia has identified the following areas for review in the SIR Retail Services Training Package: In addition, the SIR Retail Services Training Package will be developed to meet the National Skills Standards Council (NSSC) Standards for Training Packages. It is anticipated that this will be submitted to the NSSC for endorsement in early 2015. • strategic and operational technology skills • financial, management and leadership skills, including skills required to lead and implement change • merchandising, planning and buying skills and roles • customer service in the context of multichannel and online retail • analytics • operations. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 25 Wholesale The wholesale industry employs 400,000 people Employment is projected to grow by 4% over the next five years In 2011-12 WHOLESALE GVA WAS 4.6% OF GDP 26 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Wholesale Latest Intelligence The wholesale industry is intrinsically linked to the performance of the retail industry through downstream demand. However, the relevance of the wholesale industry is being diminished as manufacturers increasingly internalise wholesale functions. Retailers are establishing direct relationships with manufacturers and by-passing wholesalers. This is driven by the competitive pressures in retail, in which cost savings are being made by directly sourcing supplies, especially from cheap overseas manufacturers. Wholesalers are also becoming increasingly redundant through the process of ‘disintermediation’ —manufacturers establishing direct consumer accessibility.33 This involves retailing directly to the public to reduce their costs and have more control over pricing and marketing of the products.34 For example, this has been the strategy of Apple. The by-pass trend is also intensified by the rise of online retail. Many discount enterprises are competing strongly on price, which is enabled by the cost savings from using the online model and sourcing directly from manufacturers. An example of this is the highly successful Kogan brand, which sells Kogan-branded electronics obtained directly from Chinese factories. The increasing use of e-commerce platforms is creating an imperative for wholesalers to remain relevant by also adopting ICT systems. Currently, Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) figures show that 57.3 per cent of wholesale businesses have a web presence and there has been some development in terms of establishing websites.35 Furthermore, 48.8 per cent received orders via the internet.36 Computerised stock control and inventory systems have been the main technological development within the industry; however, this has been in place for some time. A fully automated inventory system includes functions such as recording and bar coding inventories, matching orders with stock, assessing customer credit ratings and generating invoices and address labels. Service Skills Australia has made changes to the wholesale qualifications in the SIR07 Retail Services Training Package to reflect these changes in the industry. Two qualifications—SIR20307 Certificate II in Wholesale and SIR30307 Certificate III in Wholesale—have been deleted and replaced with a newly developed SIR30412 Certificate III in Business to Business Sales. This qualification better reflects current job roles in the industry driven by the development of multi-channel retailing and an increasing convergence of the retail and wholesale industries. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 27 Changes to the VET Market Since agreeing to a revised National Agreement for Skills and Workforce Development at the COAG meeting of 13 April 2012, nearly all states and territories have embarked on reforms to their training systems, with some jurisdictions already well progressed. One of the core elements of the reform agreement is the ‘National Training Entitlement’, which guarantees government subsidised training places to individuals up to their first Certificate III qualification. Different jurisdictions have developed their own mechanisms to determine the level of government funding for VET qualifications, with most states and territories implementing capping or pricing signals (subsidies) to manage demand. Table 4 indicates the funding available for wholesale qualifications in states and territories that have progressed with VET reform. At present, funding is only available in Victoria, South Australia and New South Wales. Table 4. Funding of Wholesale Qualifications under VET Reform Programs c Qualification Jurisdiction VIC SA Certificate III in Business to Business Sales $5.00 per hour Certificate II in Wholesale* $7.00 per hour ü Certificate III in Wholesale* $7.50 per hour ü *Denotes deleted qualification c Correct as at 16 December 28 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services NT ACT QLD WA NSW Wholesale Workforce Development Needs The characteristics of the wholesale industry workforce are substantially different to the retail industry despite their links. The wholesale industry workforce is mostly comprised of older and male workers. In the year to August 2012, males comprised 66.3 per cent of employment and 42.1 per cent of wholesale employees were aged over 45 in 2011.37 In November 2011, 14.1 per cent of wholesale trade employees were classified as casual (defined as without paid sick or holiday leave) as opposed to permanent, compared to 39.6 per cent of employees in retail.38 Additionally, only 15.8 per cent of wholesale trade workers are employed on a part-time basis, whereas 51.2 per cent of retail workers were employed part-time as opposed to full-time.39 In February 2012, 19.1 per cent of employees had been with their employer for less than one year, which is below the industry average of 19.9 per cent and the 23.6 per cent found in the retail industry.40 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 29 Current Impact of the SIR07 Retail Services Training Package (Wholesale) Enrolments d The low uptake of the SIR20307 Certificate II in Wholesale and SIR30307 Certificate III in Wholesale, as shown in Figure 4, contributed to the deletion of these qualifications in the SIR07 Retail Services Training Package. In place of both of these qualifications, Service Skills Australia developed the SIR30412 Certificate III in Business to Business Sales. This qualifications better reflects current job roles in this sector, which are a result of the development of multi-channel retailing and an increasing convergence of the retail and wholesale industries. Due to reporting delays in the national data collection, there is no available enrolment data for the SIR30412 Certificate III in Business to Business Sales. Figure 4. Wholesale Qualification Enrolments, 2008–2012 700 600 Enrolments 500 400 300 200 100 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Certificate II in Wholesale* 3 32 69 7 87 Certificate III in Wholesale 154 131 316 600 602 * Source: NCVER VOCSTATS (ncver.edu.au/resources/vocstats/intro.html), extracted on 05/09/2013 *Denotes deleted qualification dNote on enrolment and completion data: NCVER’s VET provider collection provides information on publicly funded training programs delivered by government funded and privately operated training providers and therefore excludes any training activity not in the receipt of government funds. However, this excluded data will be available in coming years as mandatory ‘total VET activity’ reporting requirements came into effect in January 2014. 30 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Wholesale Completions As can be expected, completions for wholesale qualifications have generally followed the trend of enrolments, with a lag in correspondence with the time taken to undertake the qualification. Consequently, completions have risen for the Certificate III in Wholesale in recent years and substantially lower and more variable completions for the Certificate II in Wholesale. Due to reporting delays in the national data collection, there is no available completion data for the new SIR30412 Certificate III in Business to Business Sales. Figure 5. Wholesale Qualification Completions, 2007–2011 140 120 Completions 100 80 60 40 20 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Certificate II in Wholesale* 18 0 0 30 1 Certificate III in Wholesale* 32 42 54 64 118 Source: NCVER VOCSTATS (ncver.edu.au/resources/vocstats/intro.html), extracted on 05/09/2013 *Denotes deleted qualification Future Directions for the SIR07 Retail Services Training Package (Wholesale) The SIR Retail Services Training Package will be developed to meet the NSSC Standards for Training Packages. It is anticipated that this will be submitted to the NSSC for endorsement in early 2015. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 31 Community Pharmacy IN FIVE YEARS, Employment of pharmacy sales assistants is projected to grow BY 6.4% In the 2011–12 financial year, community pharmacies generated ReVENUE OF $12.4 billion THERE ARE APPROXIMATELY 5,720 COMMUNITY PHARMACIES ACROSS AUSTRALIA 32 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Pharmacy Latest Intelligence The Fifth Community Pharmacy Funding Agreement On 1 July 2010, the Australian Government and the Pharmacy Guild of Australia formally initiated the Fifth Community Pharmacy Agreement (5CPA). A key component of the five year agreement is the pharmacy practice incentive (PPI) payments for the delivery of a defined set of activities that seek to improve patient health outcomes. The intent of the PPI payments is to reduce the burden on the broader health care system by expanding the role of community pharmacies. The underpinning rationale for this development is Australia’s ageing and growing population and the increased incidence of chronic disease, often caused by preventable risk factors. As a consequence of this policy change, the role of pharmacy and dispensary assistants has expanded. For example, they are required to assist with the documentation needed for the receipt of PPI payments, which involves data entry for each instance of service provision and collation of the data for quarterly reporting to Medicare. As these tasks are largely completed using computer software, pharmacy assistants require both data management and digital literacy skills. Pharmacy assistants are also increasingly implementing and managing services such as dose administration systems and health promotion programs as a result of the PPI payments. The changing skill needs of pharmacy and dispensary assistants as a result of the 5CPA are covered in additional detail throughout this chapter. Demographic Changes Australia’s population is changing; we are both an ageing and growing nation. Over the last two decades, the median age has risen from 32.1 years at 30 June 1990 to 37.1 years in June 2011. This trend is set to continue, with the median age of Australia’s population projected to increase to between 38.7 and 40.7 years by 2026, before rising to between 41.9 and 45.2 years in 2056.41 In terms of population growth, Australia recorded an increase of 1.5 per cent in the year ended March 2012, propelling the estimated resident population to 22,596,500.42 These changes are placing greater demands for the services provided by community pharmacies, both directly and indirectly. An ageing population implies a greater incidence of age-related health conditions that require medication. In 2012, 49 per cent of those aged 65–74 and 70 per cent of those aged 85 and over had five or more long-term health conditions.43 The most common conditions among older Australians are some degree of vision or hearing loss, arthritis and other musculoskeletal problems and elevated blood pressure or cholesterol levels.44 This is consequently driving the demand for the dispensing of medications. Indirectly, population ageing and growth has the effect of broadening the role of community pharmacies. Hospital expenditure rises exponentially from the age of 60 upwards, thereby placing increasing pressure on the hospital system.45 The ageing and growth of the population is estimated to account for 23 per cent and 21 per cent, Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 33 respectively, of the projected increase in total expenditure on health and aged care between 2003 and 2033.46 In order to alleviate some of this pressure, community pharmacies are increasingly required to expand their provision of services in relation to age-related diseases. This was seen in the 5CPA, which incentivises medicine management through dose administration aids and home medicine reviews; disease-specific services, such as screening for diabetes and cardiovascular disease; and disease management programs. Preventative Health Australia is experiencing a fundamental shift in attitudes towards healthcare, focusing much more on preventative—rather than reactive—treatment strategies.47 This shift is connected to growing cost burdens on the health system resulting from the increased prevalence of chronic illnesses. A national study conducted in 2003 found that 32.2 per cent of Australia’s illnesses are related to controllable lifestyle and behavioural factors,48 such as obesity, tobacco smoking and alcohol consumption, resulting in health expenditure of $6 billion.49 The preventative health agenda has consequently led to the recognition of the role community pharmacies can play in reducing the incidence and burden of chronic illnesses. Community pharmacies are able to contribute to preventative health strategies through health promotion, risk factor screening and in encouraging medicine adherence. Subsequently, these aspects have been formalised into the role of pharmacies through the Fifth Community Pharmacy Agreement. This builds on the existing role community pharmacies have had in providing a health advisory role to consumers, which has been increasing in recent years. In the 2010–11 Patient Experience Survey, 23 per cent of people aged 15 and over reported consulting a pharmacist for health advice in the prior 12 months compared to 13 per cent in 2007–2008.50 34 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services The enhanced role of community pharmacies in preventative health has had implications for the tasks and duties of pharmacy assistants. Under the 5CPA, pharmacy assistants play a role in coordinating, marketing and encouraging client involvement in the health promotion activities undertaken by the pharmacy. They also provide product and health care advice associated with preventable disease risk factors and assist in screening activities, such as blood glucose and blood pressure testing. Consequently, pharmacy assistants require heightened product and diseasespecific knowledge and skills in provision and assistance with risk screening methods. Technology Developments in technology are also having an effect on community pharmacies. A significant development has been the implementation of the national Personally Controlled Electronic Health Record (PCEHR) system. Under the 5CPA, community pharmacies are required to use and contribute to these health records by dispensing e-prescriptions. This development builds upon existing transitions to digital processes, such as dispensing software and Medicare Australia’s Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (PBS) online claiming. Industry consultation has also revealed that some community pharmacies are adopting other forms of technology, such as iPads for use as visual aids in retail areas and SMS alerts for prescription renewals. The rollout of the National Broadband Network (NBN) is also improving the access of all businesses to information and communication technology (ICT), particularly in regional areas. However, it has been recognised that the benefits of this are dependent on businesses holding the requisite skills and knowledge to fully exploit the capabilities of these technologies.51 All factors considered, digital literacy skills are increasingly a key area of need for this sector. Pharmacy The converse implication of e-commerce is that it has introduced new online competitors for pharmacies that are able to compete heavily on price. This has the effect of reaffirming many community pharmacies’ commitment to providing additional primary health care services in order to differentiate themselves from low-cost, online-only operators. The Pharmaceuticals Market As a core product in community pharmacies, changes in the pharmaceutical market have a significant effect upon operating conditions. In recent years, the level of remuneration and allowable profit margins on pharmaceuticals has decreased, coupled with key patent expirations and supplier trading term changes. Community pharmacies have reported a range of increased strains on profit margins for their dispensary activities. In September 2010, a memorandum of understanding was signed between the Australian government and Medicines Australia to reduce the price paid on generic medicines and all drugs listed on the F2A in April 2012. Furthermore, the 5CPA did not apply an indexed increase to the amount pharmacies are remunerated for dispensing PBS medications, implying an effective cut. These changes also build on significant reforms made to the PBS in 2008, which decreased revenue to pharmacies. Finally, it is expected that the expiry of key patents in 2014–15, which will allow generic products to be sold, will have a further impact on pharmacy profit margins. According to Pfizer, the generics market in Australia is expected to double in size over the next five years.52 Recent changes have also heightened the need for strong stock management skills. Community pharmacies need to ensure that they can provide timely access to all PBS medications for customers. However, this needs to be balanced against the potential costs to the pharmacy through storage and product life. These pressures have become more acute with recent and expected changes. The increase in the availability of generic products is one aspect. As generic products are launched, pharmacists need to manage the stock of the brand name product in the lead up to the introduction of generics. Furthermore, Pfizer altered its distribution model in February 2011, which involved directly distributing medicines to community pharmacies— cutting out the wholesaler. The effect of this is that distributors who had signed up to service standards that ensure timely supply to all pharmacies— ‘Community Service Obligation Distributors’— are now no longer able to stock the full supply of PBS medications.53 These changes subsequently affect the security of supply to community pharmacies and raise the importance of stock management practices. Finally, PPI payments for providing |‘staged supply’ of medicines also adds further complexity to the management of medicines being held at the pharmacy. Pharmacy and dispensary assistants will also be involved in dose administration aids, as well as alerting the pharmacist to potentially suitable clients, and will be involved in the splitting and storage of medications in relation to the staged supply of medications. Household Consumption Patterns Industry feedback reports that Australians are increasingly inclined to use alternative and complementary medicines, resulting in the increased demand for vitamins and other alternative medicine products. Subsequently, pharmacy assistants are increasingly required to be able to effectively advise customers on these products. This has been reflected in the SIR07 Retail Services Training Package, which contains a unit of competency on complementary medicine advice and a product knowledge unit on vitamins, minerals and supplements— SIRCHCS306 Advise on complementary medicines and SIRCPPK201 Assist customers seeking commonly requested vitamins, minerals and supplements. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 35 Changes to the VET Market Since agreeing to a revised National Agreement for Skills and Workforce Development at the COAG meeting of 13 April 2012, nearly all states and territories have embarked on reforms to their training systems, with some jurisdictions already well progressed. One of the core elements of the reform agreement is the ‘National Training Entitlement’, which guarantees government subsidised training places to individuals up to their first Certificate III qualification. Different jurisdictions have developed their own mechanisms to determine the level of government funding for VET qualifications, with most states and territories implementing capping or subsidy bands to manage demand. Table 5 indicates the funding available for community pharmacy qualifications in states and territories that have progressed with VET reform. Table 5. Funding of Community Pharmacy Qualifications under VET Reform Programs e Qualification Jurisdiction VIC SA Certificate II in Community Pharmacy $4.00 per hour ü Capped Certificate III in Community Pharmacy $4.00 per hour ü Capped Certificate IV in Community Pharmacy $4.00 per hour ü Capped e Correct as at 16 December 36 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services NT ACT QLD WA NSW ü Draft inclusion ü ü ü Pharmacy Workforce Development Needs Customer Service Retention The Quality Care Pharmacy Program (QCPP) was created by the Pharmacy Guild of Australia in recognition of the need for superior customer service provision required by community pharmacies.54 It has long been acknowledged that community pharmacies increasingly need to be built upon high-level customer service in order to differentiate themselves from supermarkets and, more recently, from discount pharmacies. The growth of ‘big box’ community pharmacy is consistently identified as an important factor in the increased competition for community pharmacies.55 Retention of talent is an important focus for the industry. Industry feedback suggests that good pharmacy assistants are leaving the industry due to a lack of recognition. In particular, the industry is perceived as having few career progression opportunities. Additionally, a reliance on casual employees is contributing to retention difficulties. Casual employees are often perceived as ‘precareer.’ This assumption is reflected in the gross replacement rate for pharmacy assistants, in which 21.4 per cent of the workforce is estimated to leave the occupation annually.58 Industry feedback has indicated that this is especially the case in metropolitan pharmacies, whereas regional and remote pharmacies tend to have higher retention levels. However, those close to mining regions do not have this advantage. Discount pharmacies are able to deliver more choice and aggressively discount prices and IBISWorld reports that industry polls show that consumers are very supportive of discount pharmacies.56 This development calls for community pharmacies to provide greater value through superior customer service and additional professional services, such as those encouraged by the 5CPA’s PPI payments. Industry feedback has reported that customer service and protocol requirements can be difficult to manage, as meeting compliance needs can lengthen the service time. As a result, pharmacy assistants require particularly well-developed customer service skills in order to manage these competing priorities. Workforce Ageing Across all industries, the working age population is shrinking. It is projected that the working age population will decline from 67 per cent in 2004 to between 57 and 59 per cent in 2051.57 The relatively youthful profile of the pharmacy assistant workforce—50.9 per cent of the workforce is aged 15–24 compared to 16.7 per cent across all occupations—presents a challenge for the industry, as its labour supply is subjected to increasing levels of competition from other industries as they replace their workforce of retiring baby boomers. Service Skills Australia’s industry engagement has indicated that a useful way to retain skilled employees is to show them potential career pathways, enabling them to have a vision of their potential future. Moreover, it also fosters employer discussion around the issue of retention, whilst ensuring that industry has a broader strategy to attract, retain and develop skills. Business and Management Skills Government legislation requires that community pharmacies are owned and operated by pharmacists. While many pharmacies operate under a ‘banner group’, which provide support for operational functions, many pharmacists are still largely responsible for running individual pharmacies and function as a small business owner. Since business management skills are not a mandatory component of a pharmacist’s education, feedback suggests that many find these aspects of operation challenging. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 37 As outlined, community pharmacies are increasingly exposed to a variety of pressures, which only increase the challenge of running a business. Owners and managers must be equipped with the skills to run a profitable business in the face of declining profit margins. Practice managers must also carefully manage their finite space for stock, which is made up of high value goods that are sometimes perishable. Community pharmacies are also highly regulated, necessitating an understanding of changing regulations in order to remain compliant. Furthermore, the ageing population and traditionally high reliance on a casual workforce brings a need for highly developed human resource management skills in order to better retain skilled employees. The QCPP, which is an accreditation program, has been one strategy to ensure high standards in the operation of pharmacies. However, better developed business skills are also required to ensure the sustainability of these enterprises. This need has been acknowledged in the training package with the addition of the skill set, SIRSS00003 Community Pharmacy Management, which covers the essential areas of leading and managing the work team, managing sales and 38 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services service, managing the premises and equipment, and investigating new products and services. An additional diploma level qualification in community pharmacy management will also be scoped in the next review. Language, Literacy and Numeracy Though the Australian Government’s Workplace English Language and Literacy (WELL) Program, Service Skills Australia has been providing access to customised, integrated language, literacy and numeracy (LLN) training for the service industries. Consultation undertaken in the course of managing the program has revealed that many community pharmacies are adversely affected by challenges in LLN domains. For example, limited language and communication skills often results in a lack of confidence and reluctance on the part of pharmacy assistants to approach customers, which impacts both on teamwork and customer service levels and stifles individual progression and achievement. Ensuring that workers in the community pharmacy industry have adequate LLN skills is critical to promote continued confidence in the industry, particularly as it begins to expand its scope of services. Pharmacy Community Pharmacy Occupations in Demand Table 6 identifies the key community pharmacy occupations in demand based on industry feedback and forecasts from the Department of Employment. Table 6. Community Pharmacy Occupations in Demand ANZSCO Code 6214 Occupations Pharmacy Sales Assistants Training Package Qualifications SIR20112 Certificate II in Community Pharmacy SIR30112 Certificate III in Community Pharmacy 3112 Pharmacy Technician / Dispensary Assistant SIR30112 Certificate III in Community Pharmacy SIR40112 Certificate IV in Community Pharmacy 1421 Retail Managers SIR40112 Certificate IV in Community Pharmacy SIR40212 Certificate IV in Retail Management SIR50112 Diploma of Retail Management Justification/Evidence The Department of Employment forecasts employment in this occupation will increase by 6.4 per cent between 2012 and 2017, representing 2,000 workers. Industry has indicated that this forecast is likely to be accurate given the effect of the ageing population and the increasing health needs of the community, particularly chronic conditions such as diabetes and hypertension. The Department of Employment forecasts employment in the occupation of ‘medical technician’ (approximately 14 per cent of which are pharmacy technicians/dispensary assistants) will increase by 20 per cent between 2012 and 2017 (representing 3,230 workers). Industry reports that dispensary assistants will grow in line with other medical technicians and the role will become more specialised, transitioning to a supporting role for the pharmacist. This is essential to improve workflow efficiencies, which is required to enable the provision of a greater range of services in community pharmacies. While there were only 3,800 retail managers working in community pharmacies in 2011, industry reports that this will grow substantially as pharmacists move towards more professional roles to improve health outcomes to the general public, with less time to undertake administrative activities, and hence a greater demand for and reliance upon retail managers. Other stakeholders have reported that many community pharmacies are now recognising the need to for a dedicated manager. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 39 Current Impact of the SIR07 Retail Services Training Package (Community Pharmacy) Enrolments f As shown in Figure 6, enrolments in the Certificate III in Community Pharmacy are now outpacing enrolments in Certificate II in Community Pharmacy for the first time in a decade. This reflects the industry’s requirements for higher-level skills as the industry continues to expand into primary health care management, public health promotion and screening. Figure 6. Community Pharmacy Qualification Enrolments, 2008–2012 4,000 3,500 3,000 Enrolments 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Certificate II in Community Pharmacy 1,868 1,757 1,531 1,213 1,067 Certificate III in Community Pharmacy 911 956 1,216 3,008 3,473 Certificate IV in Community Pharmacy 109 116 201 231 223 Source: NCVER VOCSTATS (ncver.edu.au/resources/vocstats/intro.html), extracted on 05/09/2013 fNote on enrolment and completion data: NCVER’s VET provider collection provides information on publicly funded training programs delivered by government funded and privately operated training providers and therefore excludes any training activity not in the receipt of government funds. However, this excluded data will be available in coming years as mandatory ‘total VET activity’ reporting requirements came into effect in January 2014. 40 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Pharmacy Completions While completions are still highest in the Certificate II in Community Pharmacy, as those students who enrol in the Certificate III in Community Pharmacy, begin to complete their courses it is expected there will be a commensurate rise in the number of Certificate III completions. Figure 7. Community Pharmacy Qualification Completions, 2007–2011 800 700 600 Completions 500 400 300 200 100 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Certificate II in Community Pharmacy 558 567 581 691 569 Certificate III in Community Pharmacy 195 303 247 337 431 Certificate IV in Community Pharmacy 44 35 26 38 62 Source: NCVER VOCSTATS (ncver.edu.au/resources/vocstats/intro.html), extracted on 05/09/2013 Future Directions for the SIR07 Retail Services Training Package (Community Pharmacy) Future directions for the community pharmacy components within the Retail Services Training Package include ensuring the training package meets the industry’s workforce needs under the Fifth Community Pharmacy Agreement along with transitioning to the NSSC Standards for Training Packages. Consultation will take place mid-2014, with a submission for endorsement anticipated to occur in early 2015. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 41 Floristry There are approximately 6,300 Florists employed across Australia Employment is projected to grow by 9.1% over The next five years There were 2,440 floristry businesses operating at the end of the 2011–12 financial year 42 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Floristry Latest Intelligence Competitive Pressures Market Segmentation As previous Environmental Scans have highlighted, traditional floristry businesses are experiencing high levels of competition in the generic cut flower market from general retailers, online stores and convenience stores. According to the most recent figures, only half of all cut flowers are sold through traditional floristry businesses.59 The decline in floristry establishments in recent years is thought to be due to the increase in purely online operations. Since online-only establishments generally have fewer overheads than their bricks-and-mortar counterparts, this is heightening levels of price competition, which in turn is affecting the industry’s skill requirements. Industry reports that in order to differentiate themselves from non-specialist competitors, florists are increasingly focusing on high-end products that are underpinned by high-level floristry skills. In response to industry’s need for increased floral design skills, the SFL10 Floristry Training Package introduced the SFL50110 Diploma of Floristry Design. While the global financial crisis adversely affected corporate demand for flowers, sources indicate that this is now rebounding.60 It is currently estimated that 20 per cent of industry sales are to corporate clients and hospitality companies. This represents an important market segment as these businesses usually have standing accounts for floral displays to be provided on a regular basis, thus providing greater income certainty for floristry businesses.61 Technology As previously mentioned, one factor influencing the shift to online operations is cost savings through reduced overheads. Reports also indicate that more floristry businesses are using online channels to reach a wider market. However, industry has stated that many businesses perceive e-commerce platforms as onerous to implement due to the time and training investment required. This suggests a greater focus is needed on developing the digital literacy skills of florists. Product Diversification Industry has reported that due to cultural shifts, flowers are no longer perceived as a default gift item and compete with other goods and services for discretionary spending. Consequently, florists have been expanding their product range beyond cut and arranged flowers over the past decade. However, industry feedback has indicated that product diversification is generally being kept to items with a strong link to flowers so as to not dilute the value of their core product offering. Affiliation Models A key development in the industry has been the introduction of affiliate organisations, such as www.florists.com and Interflora. These allow floristry businesses to operate on both a national and international scale, rather than the localised arrangements that have previously characterised the industry. Businesses participating in these arrangements benefit from centralised marketing campaigns and also have access to additional sales through the home delivery service they offer. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 43 Workforce Development Needs Digital Literacy The need for greater digital literacy skills in the industry is critical to ensure ongoing profitability as it will access to broader markets via online channels. Additionally, investment in inventory and handling systems is essential to maintain profitability by reducing wastage. This is crucial for an industry in which profits rely upon the timely sale of perishable items. It is critical that the implementation of IT systems is coupled with appropriate staff training and development. Multiskilling: Marketing, Management and Business Skills Feedback from industry has indicated that employing staff skilled in both floral arranging and business marketing can be a key success factor, as these employees are able to assist in differentiating floristry businesses in a highly fragmented and competitive market. The increasing importance of business and technical skills in the industry has been reflected in the SFL10 Floristry Training Package through increased flexibility in the number of elective units in the SFL40110 Certificate IV in Floristry. This allows for tailored training to meet the various business models across the industry. To assist with the cost of training staff, floristry businesses can access the National Workforce 44 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Development Fund (NWDF) through Service Skills Australia. The NWDF is an industry-driven, coinvestment funded skills development program with small, medium and large enterprises required to cover 33 per cent, 50 per cent or 67 per cent, respectively of training costs. Access to the fund is based on enterprises identifying their business needs and the way in which training will address them. Sustainability Despite the fact that the industry is particularly sensitive to environmental concerns (e.g. water usage), feedback suggests that widespread adoption of environmentally sustainable practices has yet to occur. However, there has been moderate uptake of environmentally-friendly wrapping, ribbons and wiring. The SFL10 Floristry Training Package addressed sustainability skills by embedding them within appropriate individual units of competency, making broad environmental sustainability units available for selection in appropriate qualifications and including sustainability in appropriate employability skills summaries. As a result, the successful completion of vocational floristry qualifications requires knowledge of the environmental impact of constructing and maintaining floristry products and best-practice for reducing energy usage, proper waste disposal and use of hazardous substances. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 45 Current Impact of the SFL10 Floristry Training Package Enrolments g In 2012, the Certificate III in Floristry overtook the Certificate II in Floristry (Assistant) as the most popular qualification. This is a positive development due to the greater number of job opportunities available at the Certificate III level. However, since 2010, enrolments in the Certificate IV in Floristry have declined. This could be due to tighter entry requirements that were introduced, which stipulate that the qualification is designed for senior florists who have significant vocational experience. The Diploma of Floristry Design recorded its first enrolments in 2012, reflecting the industry’s focus on the sale of high-end products that are underpinned by high-level floristry skills. Figure 8. Floristry Qualification Enrolments, 2008–2012 1,200 1,000 Enrolments 800 600 400 200 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Certificate II in Floristry (Assistant) 949 930 1,118 1,068 844 Certificate III in Floristry 763 837 930 901 1,053 Certificate IV in Floristry 84 102 136 110 84 0 0 0 0 32 Diploma of Floristry Design Source: NCVER VOCSTATS (ncver.edu.au/resources/vocstats/intro.html), extracted on 05/09/2013 gNote on enrolment and completion data: NCVER’s VET provider collection provides information on publicly funded training programs delivered by government funded and privately operated training providers and therefore excludes any training activity not in the receipt of government funds. However, this excluded data will be available in coming years as mandatory ‘total VET activity’ reporting requirements came into effect in January 2014. 46 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Floristry Completions As Figure 9 shows, there has been a steady rise in the number of completions in most qualifications since 2009. With the Diploma of Floristry Design only beginning to take enrolments in 2012, completions have not yet been recorded for this qualification. Figure 9. Floristry Qualification Completions, 2007–2011 600 500 Completions 400 300 200 100 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Certificate II in Floristry (Assistant) 312 386 355 489 553 Certificate III in Floristry 349 300 306 347 413 Certificate IV in Floristry 7 5 27 40 45 Diploma of Floristry Design 0 0 0 0 0 Source: NCVER VOCSTATS (ncver.edu.au/resources/vocstats/intro.html), extracted on 05/09/2013 Future Directions for the SFL10 Floristry Training Package In 2014, the SFL Floristry Training Package will be transitioned to the NSSC Standards for Training Packages. Work has already commenced on the units of competency and it is anticipated that the SFL Floristry Training Package will be submitted to the NSSC for endorsement in late 2014. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 47 Hairdressing There was an average of approximately 64,000 hairdressers in Australia in the year to May 2013 Employment is projected to grow by 0.7% in five years from November 2012 20,331 hairdressing and beauty services businesses WERE operating at the end of June 2012 48 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Hairdressing Latest Intelligence The hairdressing industry has not seen radical shifts in recent times. However, there continues to be a consistent increase in the demand for premium salon services, particularly in city centres, driving the need for the continued supply of highly skilled hairdressers. Additionally, there is an ongoing societal shift towards men engaging in an equal level of grooming to their female counterparts, which is ensuring an increase in demand for the industry. While there is a decrease in the demand for the service of barbers, there are also reports of an increase in higher-end barbers in innercity areas. These operate more as male-only hair salons rather than as a scaled-down service. Salons are also increasingly incorporating software and information and communication technology (ICT) in their business processes. This includes the use of appointment management software and text messages for appointment confirmation. Salon workers in the hairdressing industry require sufficient digital literacy skills to effectively engage with these technologies. The growing awareness of environmental issues has also led to an increase in the number of salons that incorporate or specialise in the use of natural products given the effects of synthetic chemicals on the environment. This shift has implications for hairdressers to understand and be able to communicate the benefits of these products to clients compared with standard products. Hair salons are also increasingly addressing their water and energy use and waste management practices. This requires an understanding of best practice methods. These industry trends have been addressed in previous training package revisions with the inclusion of sustainability skills and knowledge in the appropriate units of competency and the development of specific sustainability units of competency. There are also industry reports of a greater number of salons diversifying into beauty services, such as manicures and waxing, but these salons often do not have hairdressers who are skilled across both fields. Changes to the VET Market Since agreeing to a revised National Agreement for Skills and Workforce Development at the COAG meeting of 13 April 2012, nearly all states and territories have embarked on reforms to their training systems, with some jurisdictions already well progressed. One of the core elements of the reform agreement is the ‘National Training Entitlement’, which guarantees government subsidised training places to individuals up to their first Certificate III qualification. Different jurisdictions have developed their own mechanisms to determine the level of government funding for VET qualifications, with most states and territories implementing capping or subsidy bands to manage demand. Table 7 (overleaf) indicates the funding available for hairdressing qualifications in states and territories that have progressed with VET reform. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 49 Table 7. Funding of Hairdressing Qualifications under VET Reform h Qualification Jurisdiction VIC SA NT ACT Certificate II in Hairdressing $8.50 per hour ü Capped, TGSS Certificate III in Hairdressing $8.50 per hour ($10.50 Apprentice) ü ü (Priority) Draft inclusion Certificate IV in Hairdressing $7.00 per hour ü ü Draft inclusion Graduate Certificate in Hairdressing Creative Leadership $4.00 per hour QLD WA NSW ü ü ü Workforce Development Needs Continued Shortages In August 2012, hairdressers were deemed to still be in shortage by the Department of Employment and that it has worsened since 2011, in which there were a lower number of suitable candidates per advertisement.62 This rating has been applied to hairdressers consecutively since 1997, making 2012 the sixteenth year that this occupation has been in shortage. It was noted that recruitment difficulties were slightly more pronounced in metropolitan areas compared to regional areas, which contradicts usual geographical labour market dynamics. The Department of Employment’s analysis indicates that the predominant issue is the number of applicants who, despite having the requisite qualifications, do not have the skills to the level required for the role. As noted by the Department, ‘some applicants considered to be unsuitable were unable to demonstrate the required level of competency at trade tests’, which was attributed to an increase in the number of learners undertaking courses in an institutional-only setting rather an apprenticeship pathway. The available statistics from NCVER indicate that institutional-only training has increased in recent years and is consistent with the views of employers in our own consultations. The Department of Employment also noted that the level of practical experience in the industry is lacking. Industry consultation undertaken by Service Skills Australia indicated that there is a shortage of hairdressers who have the requisite 3–15 years experience to fill a ‘senior hairdresser’ role. hCorrect as at 16 December 2013. TGSS refers to the Training Guarantee for SACE Students. This means that qualifications listed as TGSS on the Skills for All Funded Training List will be fully-funded for South Australian students who are 16 years or over and who are enrolled and working towards completing the South Australian Certificate of Education (or equivalent). Full eligibility criteria are available at the following website: skills.sa.gov.au/for-training-providers/training-school-students/training-guaranteefor-sace-students. FF denotes ‘fee free’. 50 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Hairdressing Salon Management Skills Age Profile The hairdressing industry has a high number of business failures, with an exit rate of 13.8 per cent of hairdressing businesses in 2011–12, compared to 11 per cent across all industries.63 There is a strong industry pathway of hairdressers going on to open their own salon, but many do not necessarily have the requisite business skills to operate profitably. Industry reports that it is still not standard practice for hairdressers who are either promoted into management positions or open their own salon to upgrade their skills through the SIB50210 Diploma of Salon Management. Consequently, skills in finance, human resources and promoting the learning and development of staff can be lacking. This was also evident in the results of a recent audit of hair and beauty salons by the Fair Work Ombudsman, which found that from a sample of 858 random salons, 55 per cent had breached their obligations under workplace laws.64 Figure 10 shows the share of employment by age group for hairdressers compared with all occupations and indicates the high proportion of hairdressers from young age groups. There were 38.4 per cent of hairdressers aged 15–24 compared to 17.7 per cent of all occupations. This is reflective of the fact that hairdressing qualifications are often undertaken as an alternative to finishing high school, with only 34 per cent of hairdressing graduates having completed year 12.65 It is also often an individual’s first career, with only 23 per cent of hairdressing graduates having had a full-time job before starting the course.66 Figure 10. Age Profile of Hairdressers, 2012 16.5 15-19 6.9 21.9 20-24 10.8 26 25-34 21.9 20.8 Age 35-44 23.4 10 45-54 22.2 2.6 55-59 8 1.1 60-64 Hairdressers 4.5 All occupations 1.1 65+ 2.3 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Percentage Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 51 Hairdressing Occupations in Demand Table 8 identifies the key hairdressing occupations in demand based on industry feedback and forecasts from the Department of Employment. Table 8. Hairdressing Occupations in Demand ANZSCO Code Occupations 391111 Hairdresser Training Package Qualifications SIH30111 Certificate III in Hairdressing SIH40111 Certificate IV in Hairdressing Justification/Evidence The Department of Employment has determined that hairdressers are in shortage, particularly due to applicants lacking the required skill level, and have been so since 1997. Employers note that senior hairdressers with 3–15 years experience are particularly in demand. SIH80113 Graduate Certificate in Hairdressing Creative Leadership 142114 Hair or Beauty Salon Manager SIB50210 Diploma of Salon Management This industry, comprised of predominantly small businesses, is continually professionalising and requires a greater number of highly skilled managers. Current Impact of the SIH11 Hairdressing Training Package Enrolments i Despite the Certificate II in Hairdressing recording the second highest number of number of enrolments out of all qualifications in the SIH11 Hairdressing Training Package in 2012 (see Figure 11), industry has serious concerns with the continued offering of this qualification. Industry deems the Certificate II in Hairdressing to have no effective employment outcomes and that it only serves as a mechanism to generate profits for training providers. It is the industry view that the Certificate II in Hairdressing should be discontinued and that all funding for this qualification should cease. iNote on enrolment and completion data: NCVER’s VET provider collection provides information on publicly funded training programs delivered by government funded and privately operated training providers and therefore excludes any training activity not in the receipt of government funds. However, this excluded data will be available in coming years as mandatory ‘total VET activity’ reporting requirements came into effect in January 2014. 52 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Hairdressing Figure 11. Hairdressing Qualification Enrolments, 2008–2012 18,000 16,000 14,000 Enrolments 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Certificate II in Hairdressing 5,358 5,253 7,086 6,906 6,971 Certificate III in Hairdressing 14,067 13,958 15,085 15,773 15,860 Certificate IV in Hairdressing 469 790 1,371 1,091 975 5 9 20 5 13 353 518 950 932 444 Certificate IV in Trichology* Diploma of Hairdressing Salon Management** Source: NCVER VOCSTATS (http://www.ncver.edu.au/resources/vocstats/intro.html), extracted on 05/09/2013. * Denotes deleted qualification **This qualification has been superseded by the Diploma of Salon Management from the SIB Beauty Training Package. For enrolment figures please refer to Current Impact of Training Packages in the Beauty Chapter. Completions Analysis of the results of the National Centre for Vocational Education Research (NCVER) Student Outcomes Survey revealed that those who complete a hairdressing qualification report almost universally high levels of personal benefits from their course (98 per cent), a large number had gained job-related benefits (81 per cent) and a third gained access to further education (33 per cent). Compared with other service industry graduates, hairdressing graduates are much more likely to be interested in the intrinsic value of their work. The research found that 40 per cent of hairdressing course completers were mainly interested in getting a job. Similarly, 87 per cent entered their course because they wanted jobs related to that specific area of Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 53 training. This correlates to the high level of satisfaction reported by hairdressers with their work (92 per cent). Indeed, hairdressers are unlikely to leave the hairdressing industry. The Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey found that hairdressers have high levels of occupational (90 per cent) and industry (94 per cent) stability. However, this loyalty to the industry did not necessarily translate into employer stability, with half of hairdressers reporting that they switched employers over the five year period between 2004 and 2009. The completions of hairdressing qualifications indicated in Figure 12 largely reflect the trends in enrolments, with high and increasing numbers of completions for the Certificate III in Hairdressing and Certificate II in Hairdressing. Figure 12. Hairdressing Qualification Completions, 2007–2011 4,000 3,500 3,000 Completions 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Certificate II in Hairdressing 1,309 1,701 2,000 2,156 2,298 Certificate III in Hairdressing 2,970 3,419 3,730 3,418 3,503 Certificate IV in Hairdressing 116 182 307 589 423 0 1 0 12 2 70 137 254 376 360 Certificate IV in Trichology* Diploma of Hairdressing Salon Management** Source: NCVER VOCSTATS (http://www.ncver.edu.au/resources/vocstats/intro.html), extracted on 05/09/2013. * Denotes deleted qualification **This qualification has been superseded by the Diploma of Salon Management from the SIB Beauty Services Training Package. For enrolment figures please refer to Current Impact of Training Packages in the Beauty Chapter 54 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Hairdressing Future Directions for the SIH11 Hairdressing Training Package Future considerations for the Hairdressing Training Package include evaluating the qualifications framework against the workforce needs of the industry. The planned continuous improvement of the Hairdressing Training Package will ensure that the NSSC Standards for Training Packages are met and will include the development of Companion Volumes. It is expected that this will be submitted to the NSSC in late 2015. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 55 Beauty There was an average of approximately 23,000 beauty therapists in Australia in the year to May 2013 Employment of beauty therapists is projected to grow by 17% in five years 20,331 hairdressing and beauty services businesses WERE operating at the end of June 2012 56 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Beauty Latest Intelligence Growing Demand Beauty therapy salons have seen significant growth over the years and this growth is expected to continue due to a substantial consumer shift in the perception of these services. Industry reports that there is a stronger societal culture of the importance of personal grooming, with services such as manicures, pedicures, eyebrow grooming, body hair removal and facials seen as a basic and regular requirement. This has been credited to an ageing population, the normalisation of male grooming and an increasing societal culture of an appreciation of health and appearance. The emergence of advanced treatments has encouraged the expansion of services within traditional beauty salons, as well as increased the presence of specialised clinics. In some instances, specialised clinics will see practitioners from a range of fields and disciplines working as a team. Within this model, pre-treatment consultation is an important component of determining the best treatment option. Subsequently, the industry reports that this has heightened the need for skills in conducting consultations and assessments, as well as strengthening the required communication skills both with the clients and inter-disciplinary colleagues. Advanced Treatments Some beauty therapists are undertaking further studies in dermal therapies at the Bachelor Degree level, qualifying them as a dermal therapist. However, beyond the SIB70110 Vocational Graduate Certificate in Intense Pulsed Light and Laser Hair Reduction, which only focuses on hair reduction, there is little in the way of formal and industrydefined career and educational pathways between vocationally qualified beauty therapists and dermal therapists. Industry reports that there is a consequent over-reliance on equipment supplier training, which is often as little as one or two days in length and only covers one type of device or technology, meaning that therapists are not able to recommend more appropriate treatments beyond their scope of practice or readily apply their skills in another workplace. A significant trend in the beauty industry has been the continuing development of advanced treatments for skin rejuvenation and hair reduction. These advanced treatments incorporate the use of light (such as Intense Pulsed Light), laser, or are electrical or mechanical treatments. Advanced therapies, however, still only comprise a relatively small portion of the services offered by the industry as a whole. Industry representatives have also highlighted that there is growing levels of inter-sector collaboration, with medical practitioners developing referral links with beauty therapists that are equipped to provide the services that they recommend. While this is not currently widespread across the industry, representatives from Hair and Beauty Australia have identified a ‘move from the beauty salons of the past to the Medi Spas of the future.’ 67 Salons also However, industry also reports that there has been a reversal in the trend of indoor tanning services in response to the implementation of regulation in New South Wales and Victoria. The indoor tanning segment is in a state of decline and if national or state regulators follow the lead of New South Wales and Victoria, this segment is likely to disappear in the near future. Furthermore, while there is a substantial long term trend of an increase in beauty service demand, there have been fluctuations in recent years in response to subdued consumer sentiment owing to a more difficult economic climate. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 57 work with the medical professions to undertake pre-screening of patients before they undertake treatments that have the potential for complications. These practices are assisting to strengthen the reputation of this industry. While ‘best practice’ collaboration with the medical field is an emerging trend, there is still significant industry concern in regards to poor practices due to unenforceable minimum standards of training or other forms of regulation or accreditation. The calls for more robust training standards and other forms of accreditation or regulation stem from the fact that these treatments have the potential to cause minor and severe adverse outcomes, as well as the potential to prevent or delay detection of skin cancers when treating pigmented lesions. These risks subsequently require practitioners to have a thorough understanding of: • skin reaction to treatments and advanced cosmetics • the required patient education in terms of risks and post-treatment care • infection control • managing complications or minor adverse outcomes Sustainability Awareness of the need for environmental sustainability is on the rise among Australian consumers. This has led to a strong emergence of salons specialising in the use of ‘organic’ and natural beauty products in reaction to the negative environmental effects, and also personal effects, of using products containing synthetic chemicals. IBISWorld estimates that salons specialising in these products have increased by 20 per cent per annum in the last five years.68 This shift requires beauty therapists to understand and be able to communicate the benefits of these products compared with standard products. The growing awareness of environmental issues has also encouraged beauty salons to address their water and energy use and waste management practices. This requires a significant understanding of best practice methods. These industry trends have been addressed in previous training package revisions with the inclusion of sustainability skills and knowledge in appropriate units of competency and the development of specific sustainability units of competency. • wound healing and identifying abnormal and delayed wound healing Intersection with the Tourism Industry • dermal anatomy and physiology The beauty industry continues to draw upon the ‘visitor economy’ as a source of clientele due to the societal shift towards health, fitness and relaxation as a component of travel. This is evident in the continued increase in the number of day spas, health resorts and salon services within hotels to provide beauty treatments to guests. The businesses targeting this market tend to differ slightly compared to a standard salon in terms of an emphasis on treatments designed for relaxation, the treatment ‘experience’ and the provision of ‘one-off’ treatments. • the science of how the new technologies work and their safe use • the chemistry of advanced cosmetics. The risks involved in these treatments have also instigated a review of their regulation. The Australian Radiation Protection and Nuclear Safety Agency and the state and territory regulators, through the Radiation Health Committee, have been assessing a range of regulatory controls that could be applied nationally to the use of lasers and intense pulsed light devices (IPLs) for cosmetic purposes. 58 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Beauty Business Processes Salons are increasingly incorporating software and information and communication technology (ICT) in their business processes. This includes the use of appointment management software and text messages for appointment confirmation. Salon workers in the beauty industry subsequently require sufficient digital literacy skills to effectively engage with these technologies. Changes to the VET Market Since agreeing to a revised National Agreement for Skills and Workforce Development at the COAG meeting of 13 April 2012, nearly all states and territories have embarked on reforms to their training systems, with some jurisdictions already well progressed. One of the core elements of the reform agreement is the ‘National Training Entitlement’, which guarantees government subsidised training places to individuals up to their first Certificate III qualification. Different jurisdictions have developed their own mechanisms to determine the level of government funding for VET qualifications, with most states and territories implementing capping or subsidy bands to manage demand. Table 9 indicates the funding available for beauty qualifications in states and territories that have progressed with VET reform. Table 9. Funding of Beauty Qualifications under VET Reform j Qualification Jurisdiction VIC SA NT Certificate II in Retail Make-Up and Skin Care $3.00 per hour ü Capped, TGSS ü Certificate II in Nail Technology $3.00 per hour ü Capped, TGSS ü Certificate III in Beauty Services $3.00 per hour ü Capped, TGSS ü Certificate IV in Beauty Therapy $3.00 per hour ü Capped ü Diploma of Salon Management $4.00 per hour ü Diploma of Beauty Therapy $4.00 per hour ü Capped Vocational Graduate Certificate in Intense Pulsed Light and Laser Hair Reduction $4.00 per hour ü ACT Draft inclusion QLD ü WA NSW ü ü Draft inclusion ü Draft inclusion ü jCorrect as at 16 December 2013. TGSS refers to the Training Guarantee for SACE Students. This means that qualifications listed as TGSS on the Skills for All Funded Training List will be fully-funded for South Australian students who are 16 years or over and who are enrolled and working towards completing the South Australian Certificate of Education (or equivalent). Full eligibility criteria are available at the following website: skills.sa.gov.au/for-training-providers/training-school-students/training-guaranteefor-sace-students. FF denotes ‘fee free’ Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 59 Workforce Development Needs Figure 13, which shows historical and projected employment levels to 2017 for beauty therapists, indicates a long-term trend of increasing employment, albeit with year-to-year fluctuations. Figure 13. Beauty Therapist Employment Levels (‘000s) 13.6 2002 14.1 2003 18.9 2004 21.8 2005 19 Year 2006 18 2007 22.6 2008 23.3 2009 24.4 2010 23.6 2011 18.2 2012 21.3 2017 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Employment Level (‘000) Source: ABS, 2013, Labour Force Survey, Department of Employment trend data to November 2012 and Department of Employment projections to 2017. 60 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Beauty The occupation of beauty therapist is highly feminised, with 98.2 per cent of employment by women. Beauty therapists are also more likely to be employed on a part-time basis compared to most occupations, with 52.2 per cent of 2012 employment being on a part-time basis compared to 29.6 per cent of all occupations.69 Employees in this industry are also younger than the average working population profile, with 35.1 per cent of workers aged 15–24 compared to 17.7 per cent of all occupations, as shown in Figure 14.70 Figure 14. Age Profile of Beauty Therapists 12.2 15-19 6.9 22.9 20-24 10.8 29.5 25-34 21.9 16.6 35-44 Age 23.4 15.5 45-54 22.2 2.9 55-59 8 0.3 60-64 Beauty Therapists 4.5 All occupations 0 65+ 2.3 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Percentage Source: ABS Labour Force Survey, annual average 2012. Estimates have been rounded. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 61 Figure 15 shows the highest educational attainment of beauty therapists compared with all occupations. This figure demonstrates that the predominant qualification to work in this industry is the SIB50110 Diploma of Beauty Therapy, but also shows the shift of this occupation into more highly skilled areas as demonstrated by the existence of Bachelor Degree and post-graduate trained beauty therapists. Given the strong industry requirement for qualifications to be held to work in this industry, it is assumed that those with no post-school qualifications are individuals in training. Figure 15. Level of Educational Attainment of Beauty Therapists Below Year 10 Years 11 and 10 Year Year 12 Certificate III/IV Advanced Diploma/Diploma Bachelor Degree Beauty Therapists All occupations Post Graduate/Graduate Diploma or Graduate Certificate 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Employment Level (‘000) Source: ABS, 2011, Census of Population and Housing, (Department of Employment custom request data). The measure of overall educational attainment is the ABS ‘HEAP’ variable, which regards successful completion of Years 12, 11 or 10 of school as a higher attainment than a Certificate II coupled with any lower level of schooling. 62 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 63 Beauty Occupations in Demand Table 10 identifies the key beauty occupations in demand based on industry feedback and forecasts from the Department of Employment. Table 10. Beauty Occupations in Demand ANZSCO Code 451111 Occupations Beauty Therapist Training Package Qualifications Justification/Evidence SIB40110 Certificate IV in Beauty Therapy The employment of beauty therapists is projected to grow by 17%, or by 3,100 workers, in the five years from November 2012. SIB50110 Diploma of Beauty Therapy This growth is driven by an ageing population with high demand for these services, coupled with advances in technology and treatments. 451111 Nail Technician SIB20210 Certificate II in Nail Technology Beauty services, including nail treatments, continue to see increased demand, but industry reports that there are insufficient numbers of qualified nail technicians to provide these services with the required safety precautions. 142114 Hair or Beauty Salon Manager SIB50210 Diploma of Salon Management This industry, comprised of predominantly small businesses, is continually professionalising and requires a greater number of highly skilled managers. Current Impact of the SIB10 Beauty Training Package Enrolments k As Figure 16 shows, enrolments grew across all SIB10 Beauty Training Package qualifications—apart from the Diploma of Beauty Therapy and the Certificate III in Nail Technology— between 2011 and 2012. While the Certificate II in Retail Make-up and Skin Care remains the most popular qualification, the increase in enrolments between 2011 and 2012 was slight compared to the increase between 2010 and 2011. However, the Certificate III in Beauty Services and Certificate IV in Beauty Services have both grown steadily over the past five years. Declining enrolments in the Diploma of Beauty Therapy is likely due to changes in government funding, which incentivises enrolments at the Certificate III level. kNote on enrolment and completion data: NCVER’s VET provider collection provides information on publicly funded training programs delivered by government funded and privately operated training providers and therefore excludes any training activity not in the receipt of government funds. However, this excluded data will be available in coming years as mandatory ‘total VET activity’ reporting requirements came into effect in January 2014. 64 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Beauty Figure 16. Beauty Qualification Enrolments, 2008–2012 5,000 4 4 8 4,500 4,000 3,500 Enrolments 6 0 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Certificate II in Retail Make-up and Skin Care 1,951 2,045 2,285 4,314 4,584 Certificate II in Nail Technology 1,093 1,341 1,157 1,629 1,794 Certificate III in Beauty Services 2,650 3,151 3,610 3,941 4,408 Certificate III in Nail Technology* 81 51 35 26 4 Certificate IV in Beauty Therapy 1,975 2,082 2,206 2,447 3,176 Diploma of Beauty Therapy 1,178 1,812 3,263 3,788 3,560 Diploma of Salon Management 0 0 0 20 216 Vocational Graduate Certificate in Intense Pulsed Light and Laser Hair Reduction 0 0 0 4 16 Source: NCVER VOCSTATS (ncver.edu.au/resources/vocstats/intro.html), extracted on 05/09/2013 * Denotes deleted qualification Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 65 Completions Figure 17. Beauty Qualification Completions, 2007–2011 1,400 24 8 76 1,200 1,000 Completions 5 46 800 600 400 200 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Certificate II in Retail Make-up and Skin Care 489 614 717 874 1,224 Certificate II in Nail Technology 468 427 470 459 568 Certificate III in Beauty Services 875 998 1,054 1,141 1,276 Certificate III in Nail Technology* 29 39 25 5 3 Certificate IV in Beauty Therapy 608 720 784 795 905 Diploma of Beauty Therapy 458 478 598 781 1,246 Diploma of Salon Management 0 0 0 0 1 Vocational Graduate Certificate in Intense Pulsed Light and Laser Hair Reduction 0 0 0 0 0 Source: NCVER VOCSTATS (ncver.edu.au/resources/vocstats/intro.html), extracted on 05/09/2013 * Denotes deleted qualification 66 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Beauty Future Directions for the SIB10 Beauty Training Package A review of the SIB10 Beauty Training Package commenced in 2012, and in addition to transitioning to the NSSC Standards for Training Packages, is seeking to respond to areas of change in the industry. Subsequently, units of competency have been drafted to provide skills and knowledge for treatments delivered by the industry that are not yet covered within the training package, including eyelash enhancements, facial threading and infection control. Additionally, units of competency are have been drafted to address the advanced treatments increasingly provided by the industry, covering skills and knowledge for advanced consultation, treatments for complex skin needs and IPL use for hair reduction and skin rejuvenation. It is anticipated that the SIB Beauty Training Package will be submitted late 2014. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 67 Funeral Services 2,772 FUNERAL WORKERS ON AVERAGE IN YEAR TO MAY 2013 Employment of funeral workers is projected to grow by 84.6% over the next five years FUNERAL industry EMPLOYMENT overall is expected to grow by 16.4% in the next five years 68 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Funeral Services Latest Intelligence Changing Industry Structure Changing Business Models and Processes Industry reports that there has been a gradual shift away from the norm of small, often family-owned, businesses dominating the market, to ownership by a large corporation or larger franchise chains. This has been particularly driven by the corporation, InvoCare, which now accounts for as much as 35 per cent of the industry’s revenue.71 The effect of greater industry consolidation is an increased use of centralised staffing resources, which will decrease the demand for clerical or business support roles (such as human resources, finance, sales and administration roles). There are also reports of more shop-front only operations that make arrangements for shared facilities of mortuaries with other operators, which would decrease the need for embalmers. Industry describes both an increase in the complexity of service provision, as well as greater demand for ‘basic’ or ‘low cost’ funerals. This is demonstrated by the differing five year forecasts when looking at total funeral services industry employment compared to the employment of funeral services workers (funeral directors, embalmers, funeral director’s assistants, chapel attendants). The employment of funeral services workers is expected to grow by 1,200 workers in the next five years; yet total industry employment is only expected to grow by 800 workers, implying a loss of 400 workers outside the occupations of funeral directors, embalmers, funeral director’s assistants and chapel attendants. However, given the unpredictable nature of the demand for funeral services, the centralised use of staff can assist in stemming the need to rely on casual workers to assist in peak periods. This has the benefit of providing more stable work, and therefore, can assist in the retention of workers. Funeral directors report that funeral homes are providing a greater breadth of services, such as audiovisual or multimedia for the ceremony (such as videos, PowerPoint presentations, live webcasting for international guests and digital condolence books), catering, as well as the coordination of logistics, such as the provision of lowering devices, chairs and canopies. Employers believe that customer service expectations are continually increasing, fuelling the increase in service provision options. These trends are driving demand for additional funeral director’s assistants, but also changing the nature of the skills required, such as skills to operate audiovisual (AV) equipment and more advanced coordination and customer service skills. In fact, an industry representative has likened the skill base required to ‘event management’. Customer service skills in the funeral services industry are also unique in the way that it incorporates the ability to interact with those who are bereaved. IBISWorld reports that some funeral homes are now employing part-time or contracted qualified counsellors to offer professional bereavement counselling services.72 The industry’s business processes and customer service models are also being influenced by technology. It is increasingly common for funeral homes to maintain a website, utilise digitised inventory systems, and for tablet devices to be used in the sales process. Some key business processes, such as submitting Death Registration Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 69 Statements, have also been moved online. As a result, digital literacy skills are increasingly required in the funeral services industry. This includes data entry ability, file management, knowledge of IT terminology, and understanding how to report or troubleshoot basic technical problems. While business services and processes are becoming more advanced, economic conditions over the past few years have been subdued, which has led to greater price sensitivity from some consumers. This has resulted in some businesses reporting a decrease in the provision of more complex services – ‘low cost’ funerals. This could be a pattern associated with the location of the business, with areas in Australia that are undergoing greater economic stress exhibiting these trends to a greater extent. Prepaid funerals are increasingly becoming a central tenet of the funeral services business model. Industry feedback has indicated that this role is often undertaken by consultants on a commission basis. As such, the sales workforce is being drawn upon, rather than up skilling the existing funeral services workforce. This trend has the additional impact of making the industry more sensitive to interest rate movements and the potential for increasing regulation to be applied to the industry. Key Demand Determinants The number of deaths per year is a key indicator of the demand for the services of this industry. The number of deaths has remained relatively stable over the long term due to competing forces at play. Since 2002, the number of deaths registered has increased by around 0.9 per cent annually, with year-to-year fluctuations.73 A force that could lead to an increase in the number of deaths is the ageing Australian population. In 2012, 14 per cent of the population was aged 65 and over and it is expected that this will increase to 20 per cent by 2040.74 According to the ABS, the ageing population will cause a rapid increase in the death rate between 2022 and the early 70 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services 2040s, in which the number of deaths in 2061 will be double that in 2011–12.75 Up until this time, the countervailing force of increases to life expectancy through advances in medical treatments and healthier lifestyles will contain the death rate to a more stable figure. Cultural Shifts Given that funerals are highly influenced by cultures and religions, societal trends in religious adherence have a significant effect on the industry. Major changes include the increase in non-Christian religions, which is driven by migration patterns, alongside the increasing number that are not adhering to any religion. According to the 2011 Census, Australia’s overseas-born population is predominantly from the United Kingdom, followed by New Zealand, China, India, Italy and Vietnam.76 However, between 2001 and 2011, the proportion of the overseasborn population originating from Europe has declined from 52 per cent to 40 per cent, while the proportion born in Asia increased from 24 per cent to 33 per cent.77 This has driven an increasing diversity of religions, with the number of people reporting a non-Christian faith increasing from 4.9 per cent of the population to 7.2 per cent between 2001 and 2011.78 The fastest growing non-Christian religions have been Hinduism, followed by Islam and Buddhism.79 However, there has also been a societal shift away from ascribing to any religion, with the number of people reporting ‘no religion’ increasing substantially in just a few years—moving from 15 per cent of the population in 2006 to 22 per cent in 2011.80 The ever-increasing multicultural and religious composition of the Australian population has led to industry calling for several years for the need for funeral directors to develop greater cultural awareness. The increasing religious diversity also broadens the type of burials to be undertaken by gravediggers, but has also increased the prevalence of cremations, as it is consistent with traditional Funeral Services practices in some cultures and popular with those not ascribing to any religion. This reduces the demand for gravediggers and, while cremations can be as elaborate as burial services, they tend to be simpler events, subsequently requiring less staff. The trend of increasing secularism has also increased the popularity of secular funeral events. These events are more variable than services based on long-standing traditions and tend to focus on personalisation. As a result, this extends even further the need for a greater breadth of knowledge for funeral directors. Demographics Australia also has high levels of inter-state migration. There was an average of 366,300 interstate moves per year over the 10 years to June 2010.81 This high level of mobility means that families are more likely to be dispersed across the country or not have an attachment to a specific location. Industry reports that this is also driving the increased preference for cremations as ashes can be kept and transported, or scattered in a location that has sentimental value. This trend has also increased the numbers of deceased persons needing to be transported by air. Given the legislated requirement in Australia for any deceased person to be embalmed when transported by air, this has increased the demand for embalming services. Sustainability Growing community acknowledgement of a myriad of environmental issues is driving consumer habits and preferences, resulting in increased demand for businesses demonstrating environmental credentials. Since a significant aspect of the funeral services industry is affected by the availability—and the impact upon— land, sustainability is a key macroenvironmental factor for the industry. The availability of suitable burial sites is an issue that some states are addressing by making changes to legislation that encourage the more intensive use of burial sites. This includes the ‘lift and deepen’ method for family graves, renewable tenure contracts and cemetery renewal. An environmentally friendly funeral option is also an emerging trend for the industry. This includes ‘biocremation’ processes, such as ‘resomation’, which uses alkaline hydrolysis to speed up the natural decaying process from many months to three hours. There is also growing demand for natural burials that utilise bio-degradable materials. For example, bodies are wrapped in a shroud or placed in solid pine, cardboard or wicker coffins. The graves are often situated in natural settings that require less energy to maintain and are not marked with a headstone. In order to further drive sustainable practices across the industry, the SIF Funeral Services Training Package has embedded sustainability skills in the relevant units across all qualification levels. Specific references to these skills within units include: • adherence to the Environmental Protection Act • hygiene and waste management and disposal • water tables and water quality protection • non-compacted soil • clearing a work area • disposing or recycling of materials according to an environmental project management plan. Legislation and Regulation The health implications and the sensitive nature of funerals means that there is significant, and continuing, regulation and legislation that is applicable to the industry. Most recently this has been in relation to consumer transparency in New South Wales and Victoria, with the notable introduction of itemised price lists in Victoria. Legislation also applies in the area of public health, with disposable gloves and other protective gear required, protecting against the spread of infectious diseases. Given these health risks to employees, work health and safety knowledge is crucial for the industry. Stakeholders have also said that the growing incidence of obesity has been something that the industry has had to manage, with funeral home staff needing to manually handle the bodies at the time of collection and throughout the funeral service.82 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 71 Changes to the VET Market Since agreeing to a revised National Agreement for Skills and Workforce Development at the COAG meeting of 13 April 2012, nearly all states and territories have embarked on reforms to their training systems, with some jurisdictions already well progressed. One of the core elements of the reform agreement is the ‘National Training Entitlement’, which guarantees government subsidised training places to individuals up to their first Certificate III qualification. Different jurisdictions have developed their own mechanisms to determine the level of government funding for VET qualifications, with most states and territories implementing capping or subsidy bands to manage demand. Table 11 indicates the funding available for funeral industry qualifications in states and territories that have progressed with VET reform. It is notable that there is an absence for these qualifications in many states and territories’ skills lists or equivalent. Table 11. Funding of Funeral Industry Qualifications under VET Reform Programs l Qualification Jurisdiction VIC Certificate I in Funeral Services $6.50 per hour Certificate II in Funeral Operations $6.50 per hour Certificate III in Cemetery and Crematorium Operations $7.00 per hour Certificate III in Funeral Operations $7.00 per hour Certificate III in Gravedigging, Grounds and Maintenance $7.00 per hour Certificate IV in Embalming $7.00 per hour Certificate IV in Funeral Services $7.00 per hour Diploma of Funeral Services Management $4.00 per hour l 72 SA NT ACT QLD WA NSW ü ü ü ü ü ü Correct as at 16 December Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Funeral Services Workforce Development Needs Industry feedback indicates that smaller funeral directing businesses are increasingly relying on a mix of casual and part-time staff to support the inherently unpredictable variation in daily demand. This is also to support the degree of seasonality in the demand for funeral services, in which a higher number of deaths usually occur in the colder winter months. However, larger funeral organisations are able to utilise their economies of scale by shifting staff across establishments where required, or draw upon centralised functions, such as for embalming or clerical roles. Industry also reports that the workforce of the funerals services industry is ageing significantly. This is evident in the age profile in Figure 18, which indicates the disproportionate number of workers between the ages of 45 to 54. Furthermore, there are no workers from the 15 to 24 age group. The effects of an older age profile are also evident in the gross replacement rate for the industry, which measures the percentage of the workforce lost annually. Figure 18. Age Profile of Funeral Workers, 2012 15-19 20-24 25-34 Age 35-44 45-54 55-59 60-64 Funeral Workers All occupations 65+ 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Percentage Source: ABS, 2012, Labour Force Survey, Annual Average. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 73 Funeral Services Occupations in Demand Table 12 identifies the key funeral services industry occupations in demand based on industry feedback and forecasts from the Department of Employment. Table 12. Funeral Services Occupations in Demand ANZSCO Code 451399 Funeral Workers Occupations Funeral Director Embalmer Funeral Director’s Assistant Training Package Qualifications Justification/Evidence SIF40113 Certificate IV in Funeral Services The Department of Employment forecasts strong growth in employment for funeral workers, increasing by 84.6 per cent over the next 5 years, or 1,200 workers. SIF40213 Certificate IV in Embalming Industry on the whole, however, disputes these numbers. They note that the ageing population will not substantially affect the number of deaths until at least 2028. Chapel or Memorial Attendant The industry is also not currently experiencing any recruitment difficulty for these occupations. Current Impact of the SIF Funeral Services Training Package Enrolments m Table 13 indicates the enrolments recorded in publicly funded qualifications for the funeral services industry nationally. Data is not yet available for the new qualification, the SIF10113 Certificate I in Funeral Services, and there have been no enrolments in the SIF20113 Certificate II in Funeral Operations and the SIF50113 Diploma of Funeral Services Management, or their predecessors. It should also be noted that there are only small numbers of registered training organisations approved to deliver funeral services qualifications. mNote on enrolment and completion data: NCVER’s VET provider collection provides information on publicly funded training programs delivered by government funded and privately operated training providers and therefore excludes any training activity not in the receipt of government funds. However, this excluded data will be available in coming years as mandatory ‘total VET activity’ reporting requirements came into effect in January 2013. 74 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Funeral Services Table 13. Funeral Services Qualification Enrolments, 2008–12 Qualification* 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Certificate III in Funeral Operations 3 0 0 3 0 Certificate III in Cemetery and Crematorium Operations 0 0 0 0 16 Certificate III in Gravedigging, Grounds and Maintenance 0 0 0 12 13 Certificate IV in Funeral Services 1 19 0 2 7 Certificate IV in Embalming 0 0 0 7 10 * Qualifications not listed have not recorded any enrolments Future Directions for the SIF Funeral Services Training Package Given the recent 2013 endorsement of the SIF Funeral Services Training Package under the NSSC Standards for Training Packages, there are currently no plans for a review in the short term. Service Skills Australia will continue to liaise with the funeral services industry to ensure that the training package remains responsive to their needs. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 75 Appendices Report on Previous Continuous Improvement Activity 76 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Appendices Appendix A: Report on Previous Continuous Improvement Activity Note that no continuous improvement activities were undertaken for the SFL10 Floristry Training Package or SIB10 Beauty Training Package in 2013. SIF FUNERAL SERVICES TRAINING PACKAGE Brief summary of change Industry Imperatives/Rationale for Change Version 2.0 The SIF40213 Certificate IV in Embalming and eleven units of competency and associated assessment requirements were made compliant with the NSSC Standards for Training Packages. Additional changes included: • new coding applied to the qualification in accordance with NSSC coding policy. • removal of two existing units of competency: −− SIFMWK002A Maintain linen supplies −− SIFMWK016A Treat tissue gas. The qualification, SIF40213 Certificate IV in Embalming, now meets the NSSC Standards for Training Packages. Date submitted to office of the NSSC: 28 August 2013 Date endorsed by Nssc or Isc upgrade: 9 October 2013 Date made public through National Register: 10 October 2013 • Development of five new units of competency: −− SIFEMWK009 Apply anatomy and physiology principles to embalming −− SIFEMWK014 Perform arterial embalming of natural cases −− SIFEMWK015 Perform arterial embalming of autopsied cases −− SIFEMWK016 Treat complex ante mortem cases −− SIFEMWK017 Treat complex post mortem cases. The SIF Funeral Services Training Package Companion Volume Implementation Guide was updated to incorporate this qualification and its associated units and assessment requirements. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 77 SIF FUNERAL SERVICES TRAINING PACKAGE Brief summary of change Industry Imperatives/Rationale for Change Version 1.1 This ISC upgrade undertook editorial corrections. Brief summary of change The qualification, SIF40213 Certificate IV in Embalming, now meets the NSSC Standards for Training Packages. Industry Imperatives/Rationale for Change Version 1.0 The SIF Funeral Services Training Package was updated to be compliant with the NSSC Standards for Training Packages. Importantly, the changes made to this Training Package ensure that it meets the NSSC Standards for Training Packages. The following changes were made to the Training Package’s seven qualifications: The SIF10113 Certificate I in Funeral Services was developed in order to create an introductory pathway into the funeral services industry. • addition of the SIF10113 Certificate I in Funeral Services • updated and re-titled SIF50108 Diploma of Mortuary Management to the SIF50113 Diploma of Funeral Services Management • removed specialisations from the packaging rules for all qualifications • revised all qualifications to reflect the NSSC Standards for Training Packages • new coding applied to all qualifications in accordance with NSSC coding policy. Two skill sets were added: • SIFSS00003 Induction to the Funeral Services Industry • SIFSS00005 Safe Exhumation of Burial Sites. Two new units were developed: • SIFXIND001 Plan a career in the funeral services industry • SIFXMGT004 Support people dealing with grief and trauma. Two units were removed: Specialisations were removed from all qualifications to increase flexibility and provide access to other sectors of the industry. The re-titling of SIF50113 Diploma of Funeral Services Management reflects the industry’s need for a higher-level qualification across all funeral services sectors, not just mortuaries. The addition of the two new skill sets have been introduced to provide a structured induction to new employees, and for existing cemetery and crematoria workers and funeral directors to become multi-skilled in the specialist technical skills required for the safe exhumation of burial sites. All units of competency were reviewed to be more specific to industry requirements, including improving references to sustainability principles, cultural awareness and new work health and safety requirements. The reduction of specified imported units allows for more elective units to be imported from other Training Packages and accredited courses. • SIFCCS002A Prepare and present finger food • SIFMWK002A Maintain linen supplies. 78 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services ISC UPGRADE Date endorsed by Nssc or Isc upgrade: 2 July 2013 Date made public through National Register: 2 July 2013 Date submitted to office of the NSSC: 1 May 2013 Date endorsed by Nssc or Isc upgrade: 17 June 2013 Date made public through National Register: 21 June 2013 Appendices SIF FUNERAL SERVICES TRAINING PACKAGE Version 1.0 Continued All existing units of competency were updated and associated assessment requirements were developed. Amendments included: • new coding applied to all units of competency, which distinguishes between cross-sector and sector-specific units • reduced number of specified imported units. The SIF Funeral Services Training Package Companion Volume Implementation Guide was also developed and is available on the SSA website. SIR07 RETAIL SERVICES TRAINING PACKAGE Brief summary of change Industry Imperatives/Rationale for Change Version 3.3 Four community pharmacy skill sets were added to the training package: • SIRSS00008 Dispensary • SIRSS00009 Human Resources Management • SIRSS00010 Quality • SIRSS00011 Stock Control ISC UPGRADE These skill sets were developed to address skill gaps in the community pharmacy industry. Date endorsed by Nssc or Isc upgrade: 13 September 2013 Date made public through National Register: 14 September 2013 Version 3.2 ISC UPGRADE The following changes were made in this ISC upgrade: Date endorsed by Nssc or Isc upgrade: 21 January 2013 • editorial updates • updated Retail Services Qualification Pathway diagram • addition of BSBLED401A Develop teams and individuals to the elective units in the SIR50112 Diploma of Retail Management • addition of SIRCDIS301 Accept prescriptions and return dispensed medicines to customers to the elective units in the SIR40112 Certificate IV in Community Pharmacy Date made public through National Register: 21 January 2013 • amended range statement for SIRCPPK205 Assist customers seeking to relieve cough and cold symptoms. Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 79 SIH11 HAIRDRESSING TRAINING PACKAGE Brief summary of change Industry Imperatives/Rationale for Change Version 2.0 The SIH11 Hairdressing Training Package Version 2 contains the following changes: • qualification code and title of the SIH80113 Graduate Certificate in Hairdressing Creative Leadership was updated to reflect the revised AQF To be compliant with the Australian Qualifications Framework Second Edition January 2013. • updated codes, removed version identifiers and added competency fields for the following: −− SIHHTLS804 Provide creative leadership to the hairdressing industry −− SIHHTLS805 Conceive, develop and realise innovative hairdressing concepts for media −− SIHHTLS806 Conceive, develop and realise innovative hairdressing concepts for events −− SIHHTLS807 Plan and deliver professional hairdressing presentations −− SIHHTLS808 Originate and refine hair design concepts −− SIHHTLS809 Establish, negotiate and refine hair design concepts for briefs • updated mandatory text and mapping information • editorial updates. 80 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Date submitted to office of the NSSC: 4 July 2013 Date endorsed by Nssc or Isc upgrade: 15 August 2013 Date made public through National Register: 19 August 2013 References 1Lowe P. Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, 5 December 2012, ‘What is Normal?’ address delivered to the Australian Business Economists Annual Dinner, Sydney, rba.gov.au/ speeches/2012/sp-dg-051212.html 2Ibid. 3Deloitte, 28 February 2012, ‘Consumer spending patterns and retail implications’, Deloitte Access Economics Weekly Economic Briefing, deloitte. com/view/en_AU/au/industries/consumerbusine ssandtransport/21374d79832c5310VgnVCM30 00001c56f00aRCRD.htm 4Lowe P., 22 September 2011, ‘Changing Patterns in Household Saving and Spending’, presentation at Australian Economic Forum 2011, rba.gov.au/ speeches/2011/sp-ag-220911.html 5National Australia Bank, May 2013, NAB Online Retail Sales Index Monthly Update – May 2013, business.nab.com.au/wp-content/ uploads/2013/07/norsi-05-2013.pdf 6Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), 2013, Summary of IT Use and Innovation in Australian Business, 2011–12, Cat. no. 8166.0. 7Smith M., 12 August 2013, ‘Retail needs an “intervention” to survive online attack, says Deloitte’, BRW., brw.com.au/p/business/ mid-market/retail_needs_an_intervention_to_ tztgC0jhjykc2Q8VihenxL 10Google, 2013, Our Mobile Planet: Australia – Understanding the Mobile Consumer, services. google.com/fh/files/misc/omp-2013-au-en.pdf 11Ibid. 12Ibid. 13Ibid. 14IBM, 2011, Capitalising on the Smarter Consumer, ibm.com/services/au/gbs/pdf/capitalisingsmarter_consumer_aus_study_final.pdf 15Commonwealth of Australia, 2012, Australia in the Asian Century White Paper, p. 1–3. 16Colliers International, 2013, International Retailers Australia is Hot Property, colliers. com.au/~/media/Files/Corporate/Research/ Speciality%20Reports%20and%20Property%20 White%20Papers/International%20Retailers%20 Australia%20is%20Hot%20Property%20 White%20Paper%20-%20Summer%202013.ashx 17Productivity Commission, 2011, Economic Structure and Performance of the Australian Retail Industry, p. 141–42. 18Lowe, P., 7 March 2012, ‘The Changing Structure of the Australian Economy and Monetary Policy’, address delivered to the Australian Industry Group 12th Annual Economic Forum. 8Ibid. 19P wC and Frost & Sullivan, 2012, Australian Online Shopping Market and Digital Insights: An Executive Overview, p. 3. 9Access Economics, 2010, Household E-Commerce Activity and Trends in Australia, prepared for the Department of Broadband, Communications and the Digital Economy, p. 19. 20Kruger C., 17 August 2012, ‘Old retail will rule the web: Myer boss’, The Sydney Morning Herald, smh.com.au/business/old-retail-will-rule-the-webmyer-boss-20120817-24det.html Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 81 21Kruger C., 22 March 2012, ‘Widespread price cuts as David Jones races to catch up’, The Sydney Morning Herald, smh.com.au/executivestyle/style/widespread-price-cuts-as-david-jonesraces-to-catch-up-20120322-1vlop.html 22Kruger C., 12 January 203, ‘If the price is right… retail war just starting’, The Sydney Morning Herald, smh.com.au/business/if-the-price-is-right8230retail-war-just-starting-20130111-2cllm.html 23State of Victoria, 2012, Refocusing Vocational Training in Victoria, education. vic.gov.au/Documents/about/department/ refocusingvetstatement.pdf 24Australian Centre for Retail Studies, 2011, The War for Talent. 25Green R., 2009, Management Matters in Australia: Just how productive are we? Findings from the Australian Management Practices and Productivity global benchmarking project, Report commissioned by the Australian Government, Department of Innovation, Industry, Science and Research. 26Standing Council on Tertiary Education, Skills and Employment (SCOTESE), 2012, National Foundation Skills Strategy for Adults, p. 7. 27ABS, 2013, Programme for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies, Australia, 2011–12, Cat. no. 4228.0. 28Productivity Commission, 2011, Economic Structure and Performance of the Australian Retail Industry. 29Lamb, S., Long, M., Robinson, L., Doecke, E., Lai, A., 2013, Destinations Survey for the Services Industries: Overview, report prepared for Service Skills Australia, p. iv, education.unimelb.edu. au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0009/860805/ Destinations_Overview.pdf 30Ibid., p. v 31Ibid., p. vi 32Ibid., p. iv 82 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services 33Productivity Commission, 2011, Economic Structure and Performance of the Australian Retail Industry, Draft Report, Canberra. 34Lohan, R., 2011, IBISWorld Industry Report F4732: Furniture Wholesaling in Australia. 35ABS, 2011, Summary of IT Use and Innovation in Australian Business, 2009-10, Cat. no. 8166.0. 36Ibid. 37SkillsInfo, 2012, DEEWR Special Order based on ABS Labour Force, Australia, Cat. no. 6291.0.55.003 (2011 Four Quarter Average) 38ABS, 2011, Forms of Employment, Nov 2011, Cat. no. 6359.0. N.B. This statistic excludes owner managers. 39Ibid. 40ABS, 2012, Labour Mobility, Australia, February 2012, Cat. no. 6209.0, p. 15. 41ABS, 2008, Population Projections, Australia, 2006 to 2101, Cat. no. 3222.0. 42ABS, 2012, Australian Demographic Statistics, Jun 2012, Cat. no. 3101.0. 43AIHW, 2012, ‘Australia’s Health 2012’, Australia’s Health, No. 12, Cat. no. AUS 122, Canberra: AIWH, p. 83. 44Ibid. 45The Pharmacy Guild of Australia, 2010, The Roadmap: The Strategic Direction for Community Pharmacy, Canberra, p. 11. 46Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (AIHW), 2012, ‘Australia’s Health 2012’, Australia’s Health, No. 12, Cat. no. AUS 122, Canberra: AIWH, p. 8. 47The Pharmacy Guild of Australia, 2010, The Roadmap: The Strategic Direction for Community Pharmacy, Canberra, p. 12. References 48AIHW, 2012, ‘Australia’s Health 2012’, Australia’s Health, No. 12, Cat. No. AUS 122, Canberra: AIWH, p. 67. 49Hawker Britton, 2009, Report on Preventative Health Taskforce: National Preventative Health Strategy, hawkerbritton.com/hawker-brittonmedia/federal-act/preventative-health-taskforcereport-national-preventative-health-strategy.html 50ABS, 2012, Year Book Australia, 2012, Cat. no. 1301.0. 51Access Economics, 2010, Household E-Commerce Activity and Trends in Australia, prepared for the Department of Broadband, Communications and the Digital Economy, p. 19. 57ABS, 2011, Population Projections, Australia, 2006 to 2101, Series B, Cat. no. 3222.0. 58Job Outlook, 2012, ‘Pharmacy Sales Assistants: Statistics’ (based on ABS Labour Force Survey, DEEWR trend data to November 2010). 59Rowley S., 2012, IBISWorld Industry Report G4274: Flower Retailing in Australia, p. 4. 60Ibid., p. 9. 61Ibid., p. 12. 62Department of Employment, 2012, Labour Market Research – Hairdresser, employment.gov. au/occupational-skill-shortages-information 52Richardson, A., Pharmacies in Australia, IBISWorld Industry Report G525a, p. 9. 63ABS, 2013, Counts of Australian Businesses, including Entries and Exits, Jun 2008 to Jun 2012, Cat. no. 8165.0. 53Deloitte Access Economics, 2011, Economic Analysis of Exclusive Distribution of PBS Medicines, prepared for the National Pharmaceutical Services Association, nomonopolyonmedicine.com.au/downloads/DAENPSA_Revised_Final_Report_June_2011.pdf 64Redrup, Y., 12 August, 2013, ‘Fair Work crackdown on hair and beauty industry highlights hair-raising level of non-compliance, Smart Company, smartcompany.com.au/legal/056961fwo-hair-and-beauty-audit-campaign-reveals-highnon-compliance-levels.html 54The Quality Care Pharmacy Program (QCPP) is a quality assurance program aimed at raising the standards of service that pharmacies provide to the public. The program is based on business and professional standards developed by the Pharmacy Guild and other industry stakeholders. For more information, please refer to qcpp.com/ about-qcpp/what-is-qcpp- 65Lamb, S., Long, M., Robinson, L., Doecke, E., Lai, A., 2013, Destinations Survey for the Services Industries: Overview, report prepared for Service Skills Australia, p. 9, education.unimelb. edu.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0009/860805/ Destinations_Overview.pdf 55Big Box’ retail businesses typically operate in large, free-standing, structures, several times larger than traditional retail spaces. Examples of ‘big box’ pharmacies include Chemist’s Warehouse. 67Hair & Beauty Australia, unpublished, Feedback on 2014 WRAPS Environmental Scan. 56IBISWorld, 14 September 2011, ‘The pharmacy industry: Healthy and wealthy’ Smart Company, smartcompany.com.au/health-andpharmaceuticals/healthy-and-wealthy.html 66Ibid., p. 9 68Brennan, A., 2013, IBISWorld Industry Report S9511: Hairdressing and Beauty Services in Australia, April 2013, p. 9. 69Job Outlook, 2012, ‘Beauty Therapists: Statistics’(based on ABS Labour Force Survey, DEEWR trend data to November 2012). Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 83 70Ibid. 77Ibid. 71Brennan, A., 2013, IBISWorld Industry Report S9511: Hairdressing and Beauty Services in Australia, April 2013, p. 5. 78Ibid. 72Ibid., p. 19 73ABS, 2012, Deaths, Australia, 2012, Cat. no. 3302.0. 74ABS, 2013, Australian Demographic Statistics, Jun 2013, Cat. no. 3101.0; ABS, 2013, Population Projections Australia, 2012 (base) to 2101, Cat. no 3222.0. 75ABS, 2013, Population Projections Australia, 2012 (base) to 2101, Cat. no 3222.0. 76ABS, 2012, Reflecting a Nation: Stories from the 2011 Census, Cat. no. 2071.0. 84 Environmental Scan 2014 Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services 79Ibid. 80Ibid. 81ABS, 2013, Migration, Australia, 2011–12, Cat. no. 3412.0. 82Australian Safety and Compensation Council, 2009, The Bariatric Journey Australia: Funeral Case Study, safeworkaustralia.gov.au/sites/ SWA/about/Publications/Documents/318heBa riatricJourneyAustraliaFuneralCaseStudy_2009_ PDF.pdf Wholesale, Retail & Personal Services Environmental Scan 2014 85 www.serviceskills.com.au