Course Syllabus ECONOMICS AND POLICY IN THE GLOBAL BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT University of Basel WWZ Summer Program Professor J. Bradford Jensen Summer School 2015 Course Overview The objective of the Economics and Policy in the Global Business Environment course is to help you understand how a firm’s strategy is influenced by the firm’s environment and the strategy and environment interact to affect the performance of the firm. We will study the forces that shape relative costs of production, trade flows, capital flows, interest rates, exchange rates, and other variables that affect the global economic landscape. We will also examine how political institutions influence the global environment. The course examines firm-level decisions in the face of these global forces and how globalization affects firm performance. The ultimate objective is to help you develop a toolkit for analyzing both opportunities and risks in the global business environment. The course will utilize lectures, case based exercises, and a team project to develop ideas. Students will be required to work in groups and individually. In addition to team work and class participation, a final examination will also be part of grade determination. Course Reading Material The principle reading for the course consists of chapters from Bernard, Knetter, and Slaughter, Global Macroeconomics for Managers (textbook manuscript, denoted BKS in the syllabus). The BKS chapters and a number of articles are available on the University of Basel website. Other articles and all the cases are available from the Harvard Business School Press website where I have created a course with the assigned cases. The readings available from the Harvard Business Publishing website are preceded by “HBP” in the syllabus. Project A key feature of the course is a global industries project that is conducted by teams of students focused on a firm’s decisions about business in a range of global industries. Similar to a corporate strategy exercise, each team determines where to locate production and sales and how to organize a firm in each of the industries, and how the firm’s business is affected by a major macroeconomic or political shock that is likely to occur. The project runs throughout the course. Each student is part of a 5-person team that analyzes three different industries and creates a competitive firm for each of the industries. The tasks for the team are to determine: 1. Where and how the firm should locate and organize headquarters, research & development, design, and production of products or services for the firm in each industry 2. Where and how the firm should locate and organize distribution, marketing, and sales in each of the industries 3. How the firm’s competitive position and strategy is affected by macroeconomic shock that might take place in the near future (e.g., currency or debt crises). The industries with which we work are Information technology hardware Software Motor vehicles The concluding event of the course is project presentations by each team to the class using both presentation slides and a written report. More details regarding the project will be provided later. Grade Determination: Class Participation Vietnam Case Write-Up 10% 10% Firm Project Final Exam 20% 60% Week 1 Day 1: Topic 1: Heterogeneous Firms in the Global Economy Readings: HBP: “Competitive Advantage: The Value Chain and Your P&L.” 2012. Excerpted from Magretta, Joan, Understanding Michael Porter: The Essential Guide to Competition and Strategy HBP: “Staking Out Your Company’s Unique Competitive Position Using Michael Porter’s Elements of Strategy.” 2012. Excerpted from Magretta, Joan, Understanding Michael Porter: The Essential Guide to Competition and Strategy Topic 2: International Trade I – Resource Allocation and Comparative Advantage Readings: BKS: Ch. 2 Resource Allocation in a Closed Economy BKS: Ch. 3. International Trade in Goods and Services Bernard, Jensen, and Schott, “How Offshore Work Affects Your Industry,” Harvard Business Review, November 2004, Vol. 82, No. 11, p.24. Week 1 Day 2: Topic 3: International Trade II Readings: Bernard, Andrew B., J. Bradford Jensen, Stephen J. Redding, and Peter K. Schott. “The Empirics of Firm Heterogeneity and International Trade,” Annual Review of Economics, 2012, vol. 4, pp. 283-313. Krugman, Paul. “Is Free Trade Passé?” The Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 1, No. 2 (Autumn, 1987), pp. 131-144. Topic 4: Theory of the Firm and Transaction Costs Readings: HBP: Tadelis, Steven. “Williamson’s Contribution and Its Relevance to 21st Century Capitalism,” California Management Review, 2010, vol. 52, no. 2, pp. 159-166. Teece, David J. “Transaction Cost Economics and the Multinational Enterprise: An Assessment,” Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 1986, vol. 7, pp. 21-45. Case: HBP: Harvard Business School Case 9-107-003 “Strategic Outsourcing at Bharti Airtel Limited.” Please be prepared for a case discussion (and possible presentation) of the Bharti Airtel case Week 1 Day 3: Topic 5: Foreign Direct Investment and Intra-Firm Trade Readings: HBP: Multinationals and Foreign Direct Investment, Darden UV1212, 2009 Bernard, Andrew B., J. Bradford Jensen, Stephen J. Redding, and Peter K. Schott. “Intra-Firm Trade and Product Contractibility,” American Economic Review, 2010, vol. 100, no. 2, pp. 408-13. Case: HBP: Harvard Business School Case 9-597-020 “Vietnam: Market Entry Decisions” Case write-up due for the Vietnam case (please see case briefing) and please be prepared for a case discussion (and possible presentation) Topic 6: Markets for the Firm’s Products: Economic Growth & Topic 7: Frictions: Trade Policy Readings: BKS - Chapter 6: Economic Growth in the Long Run, Sections 6.1, 6.2, 6.5. Bartelsman, E. J. Haltiwanger, and S. Scarpetto. “Cross-Country Differences in Productivity: The Role of Allocation and Selection,” American Economic Review. 2014. Please read pages 305-311. Hsieh and Klenow “Misallocation and Manufacturing TFP in China and India,” Quarterly Journal of Economics. 2009. Please read Section 1 (pages 1403-1405) and review Tables I and II on page 1418. HBP: “The Effects of Tariffs and Quotas,” Darden UV 2703, 2007. Bernard, Andrew B., J. Bradford Jensen, and Peter K. Schott. “Trade Costs, Firms, and Productivity,” Journal of Monetary Economics, 2006, vol. 53, no. 5, pp. 917-937. Congressional Research Service. “The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP): Negotiations and Issues for Congress.” March 20, 2015 Case: Trans-Pacific Partnership Case See case briefing. Please schedule a 15-20 minute team meetings with Professor Jensen to discuss your project on Day 3 or Day 4. Week 1 Day 4: Topic 8: “Real” Shocks on the Supply Side and Business Cycles Readings: BKS - Chapter 7: The Short Run Behavior of Output, Sections 7.1, 7.2. Armenter, Roc. 2011. “Output Gaps: Uses and Limitations,” Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Business Review, First Quarter, pp. 1-8. Birnbaum, Michael. “European industry flocks to U.S. to take advantage of cheaper gas,” Washington Post, April 1, 2013. Topic 9: Monetary Policy Readings: BKS - Chapter 5: The Role of Money in the Long Run. BKS - Chapter 8: Monetary Policy. “Loads of Money: 1923 German Hyperinflation,” The Economist, December 23, 1999. The Economist Big Mac Index, see http://www.economist.com/content/big-mac-index “U.S. Monetary Policy.” 2004. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (pp. 1-24) http://www.frbsf.org/publications/federalreserve/monetary/ “The ECB’s Monetary Policy Strategy.” Ch. 3, The Monetary Policy of the ECB, European Central Bank. 2011, Sections 3.1-3.4 (pp. 55-64) http://www.ecb.int/pub/pdf/other/monetarypolicy2011en.pdf?ca3c0911a43d0f692df7a3f6dcdeac7d Please schedule a 15-20 minute team meetings with Professor Jensen to discuss your project on Day 3 or Day 4. Week 2 Day 1: Topic 10: Fiscal Policy and Fiscal-Monetary Linkages Readings: BKS - Chapter 9: Fiscal Policy Case: HBP: Harvard Business School Case 793-033, “Germany in the 1990s: Managing Reunification.” Please be prepared for a case discussion (and possible presentation) of the German Reunification case Topic 11: Determinants of Exchange Rates Readings: BKS - Chapter 10: The Economics of Currency Markets Week 2 Day 2: Topic 12: Exchange Rate Regimes Readings: BKS - Chapter 11: Fixed Exchange Rates and Their Implications. Topic 13: Current Account, Balance of Payments and Currency Crises Readings: BKS - Chapter 4: International Trade in Capital. Case: HBP: Harvard Business School Case 9-702-093, “Mexico: The Tequila Crisis, 1994-95.” Please be prepared for a case discussion (and possible presentation) of the Tequila case Week 2 Day 3: Topic 14: Firm Responses to Exchange Rate Fluctuations Readings: BKS - Chapter 14: Competing in International Markets HBP: Froot, Scharfstein, and Stein, “A Framework for Risk Management,” Harvard Business Review, November-December, 1994, reprint 94604. Case: HBP: Harvard Business School Case 9-290-005 “Jaguar, plc 1984.” Please be prepared for a case discussion (and possible presentation) of the Jaguar case Topic 15: Eurozone Crisis Case: HBP: The Greek Crisis: Tragedy or Opportunity? Harvard Business School Case 9-711-088 Please be prepared for a case discussion (and possible presentation) of the Eurozone case Week 2 Day 4: Topic 16: Endaka! HBP: Harvard Business School Case 9-796-030, “Japan's Automakers Face Endaka.” Please be prepared for a case discussion (and possible presentation) of the Endaka case Topic 17: Firms in the Global Economy Team Project Presentations Final Exam