• ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY and AEROSOLS Peter Hess Cornell University • WHOLE ATMOSPHERE COMMUNITY CLIMATE MODEL Michael Mills NCAR Chemical Effluents to the Atmosphere Where does it go? What are the impacts? What are the processes to be modeled? Where do Pollutants Go? -­‐Chemically transformed -­‐Deposited onto surface through contact (dry deposi;on) -­‐Dissolved in rain and deposited onto surface (wet deposi;on) How are these processes simulated in a CESM ? Atmospheric Chemistry and Aerosols - Climate – Biosphere - Hydrological Cycle- Wetland Emissions (CH4) Soil Emissions (NO, N2O) Biogenic Emissions Earth System • Paths to sustainability often involve chemically active species - Biofuels: CO2 , N2O • Climate – Health – Air Pollution Interactions - Emission Tradeoffs Radiative Impacts (1) RF (w/m2) CO2: 1.66 Ozone: 0.35 Methane: 0.48 N2O: 0.16 CFCs: 0.34 GWP 1.0 25 298 100 - >10000 Radiative Impacts (2) AEROSOLS Smoke from forest fires burning in Alaska and the Yukon, travelling into the Arctic over ice-covered areas Partly absorbing dust aerosol downwind of Sahara Absorbing aerosols (black carbon, dust) warm the climate by absorbing solar Radiation, other aerosols (sulfate) cool the climate by reflecting solar radiation NET FORCING: -0.5 W/m2 Radiative Impacts (3) Indirect Effect Ramanthan et al., Science, 2001 Radiative Impacts (4) Indirect Effects: -Clouds Brighter -Precipitation Suppressed: More Persistent Clouds N ~ 100 cm-3 W ~ 0.75 g m-3 re ~ 10.5 µm N ~ 40 cm-3 W ~ 0.30 g m-3 re ~ 11.2 µm from D. Rosenfeld NET FORCING: -0.7 W/m2 Radiative Impacts (5) SATELLITE IMAGES OF SHIP TRACKS NASA, 2002 Atlantic, France, Spain AVHRR, 27. Sept. 1987, 22:45 GMT US-west coast Radiative Impacts (6) Direct radiaFve forcing: ozone and methane, aerosols Aerosol indirect effects Radiative Impacts (7) Chemistry to climate Biogeochemical Impacts (1) Ozone -Detrimental for plants and crops• Approximately a 20-30% reduction of winter wheat in the Yangtze Delta region due to ozone exposure (Huixang et al) Biogeochemical Impacts (2) Ozone and vegetaFon Radiative impact of ozone on CO2 cycle may exceed its direct radiative impact (-0.35 W/m^2) Sitch et al., 2007 Biogeochemical Impacts (3) Nitrogen DeposiFon and Response of Carbon Data from 20,067 plots remeasured during the early 1980s to mid-1990s by the US Forest Service Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) Program -Quinn Thomas, Nature Geoscience Biogeochemical Impacts (3) Diffuse FracFon of RadiaFon Simulated percentage change (colour scale) in diffuse fraction between 1950 and 1980 Mercado et al., 2009 Diffuse fraction contribution to land carbon accumulation between 1950 and 1980 (grams C/m^2-year) Model Specification ∂µ/ ∂t = Explicit Transport · V µ +T + Ω µ + S(x,y,z,t) + L Param. Chemistry Emissions Physical Losses Transport µ: vector of constituents, typically ~100 V: velocity field Ω: reaction matrix: reaction coefficients, photolysis rates, species concentrations S: emissions L: physical losses: dry and wet deposition Emissions Chemistry Physical Losses Emissions Natural Lightning (NO) Wetlands (CH4) Trees (VOCs) Soils (NO) Anthropogenic -Biomass Burning -Agriculture - NH3, CH4, N2O, -Landuse Change Combustion (NO, CO) --Cars, Factories Emission Specification: -User-specified netcdf files -No explicit response to climate change • Namelist Control Parameter -Lightning, calculated internally • Strength Namelist Control Parameter OR Emissions Chemistry Physical Losses InteracFve Emissions Atmosphere Atmospheric Feedback -Temperature -Precipitation -Chemical Deposition Emissions Interactive Emissions in Model Lightning, Biogenic VOC, Biomass burning, Soil NO (partially) Interactive Emissions in Development Methane, Full Suite of Odd Nitrogen Future Human component? Emissions Chemistry Physical Losses • Chemistry consists of highly coupled stiff differential equations d[NO2]/dt = k1[NO][O3] + k2[NO][HO2] –j[NO2] –k4[NO2][OH]+… d[HO2]/dt = k5[CO][OH] – k2[NO][HO2] –k6[HO2][O3] + … -> increases cost by ~ 5x for reasonably complex mechanisms • Vastly different time-scales [O(sec) – O(years)] occur in chemical equations • Coupled equations solved w/ implicit and explicit solvers • Chemical mechanism (i.e., the selected chemistry) is a parameterization of the full chemistry • Selection depends on the problem addressed Emissions Chemistry Physical Losses Deposition not known rate uncertain to ~10x yield not known Deposition not known yield uncertain by ~2 Thousands of Atmospheric Reactions: Isoprene ~50,000 Emissions Chemistry Physical Losses Select Chemical Mechanism (problem dependent) i) Predefined mechanism in build configura;on -chem trop_mozart | trop_ghg | trop_bam | trop_mam3 | trop_mam7 | waccm_mozart | waccm_ghg | super_fast_llnl | none ii) User-­‐specified mechanism defined in build -usr_mech_infile $mechanism_file Allow user to specify a customized preprocessor input file Determines the number of advected tracers Emissions Chemistry Deposition Example of preprocessor input file mechanism file: SPECIES Solution CO End Solution Fixed OH End Fixed END SPECIES CHEMISTRY Reactions [usr8] CO + OH -> CO2 + HO2 End Reactions Ext Forcing CO<-dataset End Ext Forcing END CHEMISTRY Emissions Chemistry Physical Losses Preprocessor Preprocessor input file Preprocessor Chemistry code Build CAM-­‐chem Emissions Chemistry Physical Losses DeposiFon processes • Dry deposiFon: uptake of chemical consFtuents by plants and soil (handled by CLM), water -­‐Depends: species solubility, reacFvity, surface characterisFcs, meteorology -­‐Impacted species: Namelist control parameter • Wet deposiFon: uptake of chemical consFtuents in rain or ice (linked to precipitaFon, both large-­‐scale and convecFve) -­‐ Depends: species solubility -­‐Impacted species: Namelist control parameter Aerosols (1) Precursor Emissions AEROSOLS Aerosol Microphysics Primary Emissions Deposition (wet, dry) Aerosols (2) Bulk Aerosol Model (BAM) • External mixtures of all important aerosol types: 26 sulfate, sea salt, dust, hydrophobic and hydrophilic OC & BC • PredicFon of aerosol mass • Number proporFonal to mass Prescribed size distribuFon • Aerosol aging set diagnosFcally (through a Fmescale) • Coupled to 2-­‐moment cloud microphysics • Tuned to produce an acceptable climate Aerosols (3) Benchmark 7-Mode Modal Aerosol Model (MAM) Simplied 3-Mode Scheme also implemented Accumulation number sulfate ammonium secondary OM hydrophobic OM BC sea salt Aitken number sulfate ammmonium secondary OM sea salt Fine Soil Dust number soil dust sulfate ammonium Fine Sea Salt number sea salt sulfate ammonium Coarse Soil Dust number soil dust sulfate ammonium Coarse Sea Salt number sea salt sulfate ammonium coagulation condensation All modes log-normal with prescribed width. Total transported aerosol tracers: 31 Primary Carbon number hydrophobic OM BC Cloud-borne aerosol and aerosol water predicted but not 27 transported. 7-mode: Computer time is ~100% higher than BAM 3-mode: Computer time is ~30% higher than BAM Aerosols (4) • • • • • • • • • • Changes w/ Modal Formulation Prediction of Number and Mass Consistent coupling with Morrison-Gettlemen microphysics Consistent simulation of the indirect effect (-­‐1.0 to -­‐1.8 W/m2) Aging of primary carbon to accumulation mode based on sulfate coating from condensation & coagulation Radiation based on mixed phase aerosols (from Ghan and Zaverhi, 2007) Coagulation within, between modes Dynamic condensation of trace gas (H2SO4, NH3) on aerosols New particle formation (in UT and BL) Ultrafine sea salt emissions from Martensson et al. A new secondary organic aerosol treatment: reversible condensation of SOA (gas) Example of build configuraFon Predefined chemistry packages: -chem trop_mozart | trop_ghg | trop_bam | trop_mam3 | trop_mam7 | waccm_mozart | waccm_ghg | super_fast_llnl | none Predefined bulk aerosol/GHG packages: -prog_species CARBON16 SO4 | DST | SSLT | OC | BC | GHG | Configure will generate a preprocessor input file for any combination of these predefined prognostic aerosol and GHG packages. Examples: Chemistry-Climate Interactions (1) Temperature Ozone Exceedances Netherlands: 1000-­‐1400 deaths, 400– 600 air polluFon-­‐related deaths (Fischer et al.) Driven by: stagnation, biogenic hydrocarbon emissions, forest fires, chemistry Examples: Chemistry-Climate Interactions (2) Examples: Chemistry-Climate Interactions (3) O3 (Ozone) OH hν NO2 h ν, H2O NO Hydrocarbon OxidaFon <.1 pptv HO2 CO, CH4 1.8 ppm CO2, H2O Examples: Chemistry-Climate Interactions (4) 2030: GHG Increase + MFR Aerosols 2030: GHG Increase Only Kloster et al., 2009 Examples: Chemistry-Climate Interactions (4) Climate amplifier due CH4 emissions from wetlands Examples: Chemistry-Climate Interactions (5) Change in Soil Temperature, 2050, GFDL -permafrost melting, permafrost pool ~1/3 global soil carbon -additional emission of 1-4 PC/year over 100 years if ½ permafrost thaws -release of CO2 or CH4 -CH4 favored in wet conditions ‘World is running out of nitrogen…’ Sir William Crooks, president of the British Association for the Advancement of Science Haber-Bosch BNF Slide courtesy Marina Molodvskaya Namelist control parameters • • • • • • • Photolysis rates: LUT or inline Surface emissions/Other sources Species affected by dry deposiFon Species affected by wet deposiFon Lightning strength Lower boundary condiFons Stratosphere overwriFng Possibility of using observed meteorology (campaign) • Goal: use meteorological fields as close as possible to observed condiFons • Method 1) CAM: processing of meteorological fields through dynamical core 2) WACCM: relaxaFon Chemistry in CAM • Must be done in FV dynamical core (tracer conservaFon) • Requires to build CAM with specific opFon • Requires use of pre-­‐defined chemistry or user-­‐ specified