A market failure case study: African snake antivenoms Julien Potet Dr Jen Cohn MSF Access Campaign Meeting at Fondation Mérieux, January 2015 Estimates of burden of snakebite in sub-Saharan Africa • Chippaux (2008): – Envenomings: 500,000 – Deaths: 25,000 • Kasturiratne (2008): – Envenomings: 90,622 – 419,639 – Deaths: 3,529 – 32,117 • Chippaux (2011): – 314,078 envenomings ‘registered’ in modern health care system • Highest incidence found in African savannah, where Echis spp. (eg carpet vipers) are found – Often >100 bites per 100,000 population per year – Mortality rate (without effective antivenom) around 10-12% One market, or several sub-regional markets in SSA? • Three types of products: – ‘PanAfrican’ polyspecific (i.e. Sanofi’s Fav-Afrique) – ‘Sub-regional’ polyspecific (i.e. SAVP polyvalent) – Monospecific Overview of African snake antivenom products Company Country of production Clinical data? Fav-Afrique Sanofi-Pasteur France Limited, good results ASNA-C Bharat Serums and Vaccines India Limited, negative results ASNA-D Bharat Serums and Vaccines India No data Snake Venom Antiserum (Pan-African) VINS Bioproducts India No data Antivipmyn-Africa Instituto Bioclon / Silanes Mexico Limited, mixed results Inoserp PanAfrica Inosan Spain No data EchiTabPlus ICP Costa Rica RCT, good results SAIMR Polyvalent SAVP South Africa Limited Snake venom antiserum Echis ocellatus VINS Bioproducts India No data EchiTabG MicroPharm UK RCT, good results Monospecific Echis ocellatus/Echis pyramidum SAVP South Africa Limited Monospecific Dispholidus typus (boomslang) SAVP South Africa Limited Product PanAfrican polyspecific Sub-Regional polyspecific Monospecific The African antivenom crisis in the medical journals The African antivenom crisis • Late 1990s: – ~100,000 vials available in SSA • Late 2000s: – ~300,000 vials available (~83,000 ‘treatments’) – 90% of sales for two low-cost products of dubious efficacy • ASNA-C: Limited data, negative results • VINS PanAfrican: no data • 2014: Sanofi ceases production of Fav-Afrique – 20,000 vials sold out in just 6 months – Vials to expire in June 2016 • The African antivenom access crisis is both a supply crisis and a demand crisis Market failure: five underlying causes 1. Neglect of snakebite victims 2. Poor understanding of cost-effectiveness 3. Unstable demand 4. No quality requirements 5. Equine polyclonal serums considered as outdated 1. Invisible victims, invisible disease • Rural impoverished populations with little political voice (farmers) • Not transmissible, not controllable, considered a fatality • Burden vastly ‘hidden’ – MSF experience in South Sudan and CAR • Take Home message: – There may be no ‘market’, but there are ‘unmet needs’ for sure – Demand for modern medicine can be stimulated if quality interventions are provided 2. An unkown fact: antivenom is one of the most cost-effective interventions • Habib (2015): antivenom therapy (EchiTabG/EchiTabPlus) found highly cost-effective in Nigeria: – Cost per DALY averted: US$100 – Cost per death averted: US$2,330 – Cost-effectiveness ratio: better than ART and rotavirus vaccination, equivalent to HPV vaccination • Need for similar studies with other products in other settings – Requires good baseline/intervention clinical data – Also for MoHs to understand that low-cost ineffective products are NOT cost-effective • Take home message: – Quality antivenoms are highly cost-effective products 3. Unstable demand • User-fees & cost-recovery stifle both demand and supply: – Demand: Victims often incapable to rapidly mobilise $100 or so – Supply: By fear that antivenom may expire before being sold, small rural hospitals may prefer not to stock antivenoms • No donor support: antivenoms are not listed as priority by any funding agency • Take home message: – Vicious circle: victims can’t pay, no donor support, MoHs don’t take financial risk to purchase products (or they opt for low-cost ineffective products) 4. No independent quality control • Most African antivenoms are produced and used in countries with regulatory authorities with limited capacity • WHO has established clear norms to evaluate quality of antivenom products. However, no quality control in practice. – WHO-PQP has no resources to evaluate antivenoms and other Ig serums (i.e. no bank of reference venoms, no GMP audits) – Purchasers (MoHs) do not ask for compliance with quality standards • Take home message: – There is no framework to push producers to comply with quality norms 5. Misconception: there is no future for hyperimmune equine serums • mAbs are promising but not mature yet to replace equine polyclonal immune serums in short term • Most big pharmaceutical companies (except Sanofi) have already disengaged from hyperimmune equine serum. – Limited global capacity to produce and purify equine plasma (shortage of rabies Ig) • Take home message: – At global level, the capacity to produce equine serums is not sufficient to meet needs. Eight measures to address market failure and improve access • Short term 1. 2. 3. 4. Produce another batch of Fav-Afrique to address shortage Finalise technology transfer for continued production of Fav-Afrique Open a new WHO position on access to antivenoms and snakebite management Conduct pre-clinical and clinical studies to compare existing African antivenoms • Medium term 5. 6. 7. 8. Conduct more cost-effectiveness studies to guide policy-making Support suppliers of hyperimmune equine serums to increase global production capacity Finance WHO-PQP for quality control of antivenoms Support purchase and procurement to meet needs in African countries, with obligation to buy only WHO-PQed products http://www.msfaccess.org/