Course Syllabus: CHEMEKETA COMMUNITY COLLEGE 4000 Lancaster Drive NE, PO Box 14007, 97309 Math 243 – Probability and Statistics 1 Credit: 4 CRN: 50968 & 57712 Winter 2016 Instructor: Wayne Barber Office: Building 8 Room 113/V Voice Mail: 503-399-6096 e-mail: wayne.barber@chemeketa.edu Posted Office Hours: Held in 3/277 on Tuesday @ 12:30; Add’l hours available by appointment Mon: 10:30 – 11:20 Tue: 10:30 – 11:20 Tue: 12:30 – 1:20 Wed: 10:30 – 11:20 Fri: 10:30 – 11:20 COURSE DESCRIPTION: A first course in descriptive statistics open to all majors covering data analysis, regression and correlation, counting and probability, common probability distributions, sampling, confidence intervals and one-sample hypothesis testing. Group activities, writing assignments and laboratory activities may be required. COURSE PREREQUISITES: Placement into MTH243 or higher; or MTH105 or higher, with a grade of C or better; or equivalent course as determined by instructor; or consent of instructor. REQUIRED TEXT: Triola, Mario F.,Elementary Statistics, 12th edition, Addison Wesley ©2014 or Elementary Statistics, Custom Edition for Chemeketa Community College, Pearson ©2014 SUPPLEMENTS: This course can be learned without reference to any specific technology and can be learned with only a scientific calculator. However, because of the specific technology available to us, you should become familiar with at least one of the following supplements. The TI-83/84 plus calculators and the TI-Nspire have statistical functions that aid in the learning of statistics. You will be allowed the use of a calculator when taking exams, but you won't have access to any of the other technology supplements. For this reason, I recommend that you become familiar with your calculator, knowing what it will do, and how to use it. If you already have a graphing calculator, the TI-86 and the TI-89 can be updated with all the statistical routines that are resident on the TI-83/84 plus calculator. See the instructor to download the routines into your calculator. ·STATDISK: This is an easy-to-use statistical software package developed specifically for use with Elementary Statistics, and is included on the CD-ROM provided with new copies of the text. References to STATDISK are integrated throughout the text. A separate STATDISK manual/workbook is available as a supplement. The Appendix B data sets are included on the CDROM in a Minitab Format. ·Minitab: There are references to Minitab throughout the text, and there is a separate Minitab manual/workbook available as a supplement. 1 ·Excel: References to Excel are included throughout the text, and there is a separate Excel manual/workbook available as a supplement. The Appendix B data sets are included on the CDROM in an Excel Format. ·Graphing Calculator Manual for the TI-83 Plus, TI-84 Plus, Ti-89 and TI_Nspire: References to TI graphing calculators appear throughout the text. I recommend this supplement because it shows you how to access the statistical functions on your graphing calculator. ·Web Site: You will be directed to a web site specifically designed for this text for some internet projects. The address is http://www.awlonline.com/triola Many student resources are available there ·Videos, Animations, etc: The videos are designed to supplement the sections in the book. The videos feature professor and student interaction, and all technologies in the book are represented on the videos. You have access to all of these at http://coursecompass.com If you purchase a new text at Chemeketa’s bookstore, access to this product is included in the price. Also at that site is an electronic version of the text. Some of the above supplements are available in the Chemeketa library. PERFORMANCE BASED LEARNER OUTCOMES: Upon successful completion of the course, students should be able to: 1. Use mathematical problem-solving techniques involving statistics. Techniques include the use of graphical, symbolic, narrative, and tabular representations. 2 Create models of real world using statistics. 3. Use inductive reasoning to develop mathematical conjectures involving statistics. Use deductive reasoning to verify and apply mathematical arguments involving statistics. 4. Make mathematical connections to, and solve problems from, other disciplines involving representations of statistics. 5. Use oral and written skills to individually and collaboratively communicate about applications involving statistics. 6. Use appropriate technology to enhance their mathematical thinking and understanding of statistics and judge the reasonableness of their results. 7. Do projects that encourage independent, non-trivial exploration and models using statistics. 2 GRADING: Grade % of Total Weights A 90 - 100 B 80 - 89 Homework: 25% C 70 - 79 Projects: 10% D 60 - 69 Tests: 50% F 0 - 59 Final Exam: 15% Incomplete: (from college catalog) An ‘I” must be requested by the student, (there is a form that must be signed by the student,) and is given at the instructor’s discretion when some essential I/B requirement of the course has not been completed, and additional time is granted for I/C completion of coursework. A contract will specify the length of additional time to I/D complete the course material (standard is one-term). If the contract is not fulfilled I/F then the “I” grade will revert to the specified letter grade. An “I” does not entitle a student to satisfy a prerequisite requirement for another course. For this class this means that you were unable to take the final exam due to reasons beyond your control, you were passing the course, had attended regularly and discussed with me your situation. CLASS PROCEDURES: Activities: You will be given credit for participating in group learning activities. If you do not participate due to absence or unpreparedness, you will not receive credit that day. Homework Assignments: You are encouraged to work together on homework. The following procedure is required to earn the maximum credit for the homework problem sets. Complete the problem set. Self correct the odd problems. Answers are found in the back of your text. Answers to the even numbered problems will be available on the internet at http://faculty.chemeketa.edu/wbarber1/mth243/index.html and will be displayed in class on the due date. Show your corrections to each missed problem in red ink and write the number of missed problems on the top of the page of your homework. If you don’t know the answer to a problem, copy the answer on your paper using red ink. Your homework will be evaluated on the following criteria: All assigned problems are included 2 points The above stated procedure is followed. 1 point The homework is turned in on time. 2 points Projects: You will be directed to some internet projects during the term. The purpose of these assignments is for you to explore and understand the rich nature of statistics and its importance in our world. You are encouraged to work together on projects. Tests: Hour tests will be announced at least one week in advance. There will be Three exams plus the final. If you know you will miss one, make arrangements in advance for making it up. You are not allowed to work cooperatively on tests. All answers on exams must be your own work. You will be allowed 1 page (single side) handwritten notes for each exam. You will be required to turn in your notes with each exam. 3 Final: The final exam will be comprehensive. All answers on the final exam must be your own work. You will be allowed 1 page (both sides) handwritten notes for the final exam. INSTRUCTOR EXPECTATIONS: • Attendance is expected. • Come to class prepared to ask questions on the previous days' homework and the present days' topic. • You should expect to spend at least two hours a day, 4 days per week studying for this class. • Label your homework with the page number, chapter, section number and problems assigned. • Show your work in an organized manner. • Turn in all assignments when due. • I expect you to keep track of your own progress in this course. • The maximum penalty for cheating is automatic failure of the course. Cheating one exams is, but not limited to, copying answers from someone else’s paper, sharing your answers with someone else, having more notes than allowed, etc. SUPPLIES: •A calculator is required. It should be capable of statistical computations. I recommend the TI-83 or 84 plus calculator. You may use it for homework problems and tests except where restricted. Keep in mind that the calculator is a tool to be used toward understanding the mathematics. Use it freely for computation and verification, but strive to understand the mathematical concepts of the course. Math 243 Schedule & Homework (May be modified) Topic Sec. Page Homework 1-2 11-15 1 through 20 & 26, 27, 31, 33, 38, 39 1/5 1-3 21-23 1 through 29 1/6 1-4 32-34 1 through 20, 21, 24, 27, 28, 29, 31, 32, 33, 35 1/6 Search newspapers and magazines to find an example of a graph Misrepresented Data that is misleading. Describe how the graph is misleading. Redraw Project the graph so that it depicts the information correctly. 3/4 Introduction to Statistics Topic Summarizing and Graphing Due Date Sec. Page Homework Due Date 2-2 51-54 1-6, 11-15, 18, 20, 22, 24, 29 1/8 2-3 58-60 1, 4-8, 10, 12, 14, 19 1/11 2-4 70-73 1-4, 6, 8, 11, 12, 13, 21-25 1/12 4 Topic Sec. Page Homework Due Date Statistics for Describing, Exploring, and Comparing Data 3-2 90-95 1-4, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 26, 27, 29, 30, 33, 36 1/13 3-3 106-112 1-4, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 26, 27, 30, 31, 33, 37, 38, 41, 45(a-e) 1/15 3-4 123-126 1-16, 17, 20, 21-28, 29, 30, 31, 35 1/19 Data Collection This project is about data collection and descriptive statistics. See the Project handout. Exam Topic This exam covers concepts in One, Two and Three Scheduled on January 20, 2016 Sec. Probability Topic Simulation Project Exam Topic Normal Probability Distributions Central Limit Project Page Homework Due Date 4-2 144-149 1-32, 37, 38, 43, 44 1/25 4-3 153-156 1-8, 13-25 1/26 4-4 164-168 1-8, 13-22, 27 1/27 4-5 172-175 1-9, 12, 15, 18, 19-28, 30, 34, 35 1/29 4-6 180-184 1-24, 33, 40 2/1 Sec. Discrete Probability Distributions 1/19 Page Homework Due Date 5-2 206-210 1-18, 23, 25 2/2 5-3 217-223 1-8, 15, 18, 21-30, 35, 38, 41, 44 2/3 5-4 225-228 1-14, 18, 19, 22 2/5 This project is about using simulations to calculate an estimate of the probability of an event. It is found on page 190-191 of the text. Do problem #1 on page 191. 2/8 This exam covers concepts in chapters Four and Five. Scheduled on February 8, 2016 Sec. Page Homework Due Date 6-2 256-258 1-16, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36, 37-48, 50 2/10 6-3 266-271 1-20, 21, 24, 25, 26, 27, 30, 32, 35, 38 2/12 6-4 280-283 1-11 2/16 6-5 292-296 1-8, 11-15, 19, 20, 22 2/17 6-6 302-305 1-8, 13-16 2/19 6-7 311-314 1-16, 18, 19, 20, 26 2/22 This project is about the Central Limit Theorem. See the handout. 5 2/26 Topic Sec. Estimates and Sample Sizes Exam Topic Hypothesis Testing Page Homework Due Date 7-2 337-342 1-18, 19, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36 2/23 7-3 355-361 1-18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33 2/24 7-4 368-371 1-14, 16 2/25 This exam covers concepts in chapters Six and Seven. Scheduled on February 29, 2016 Sec. Page Homework Due Date 8-2 396-398 1-20, 25-28, 31-34 3/2 8-3 407-412 1-20, 24, 28, 36 3/4 8-4 419-423 1-16, 19, 20, 28, 34 3/7 8-5 428-431 1-8, 15, 16 3/8 Topic Sec. Correlation and Regression 10-2 510-516 1-18 3/9 10-3 527-531 1-18 3/10 Final Exam: Comprehensive Page Homework Due Date 8:30 class CRN:50968 Scheduled Monday, March 14, 2015, 8:00 – 9:50 9:30 class CRN:57712 Scheduled Wednesday, March 16, 10:00 – 11:50 So you don’t forget: Due Date Misrepresented Search newspapers and magazines to find an example of a graph that is 3/4 Data Project misleading. Describe how the graph is misleading. Redraw the graph so that it depicts the information correctly. Data Collection This project is about data collection and descriptive statistics. See the 1/19 Project handout. Simulation This project is about using simulations to calculate an estimate of the 2/8 Project probability of an event. It is found on page 190-191 of the text. Do problem #1 on page 191. Central Limit This project is about the Central Limit Theorem. See the handout. 2/26 Theorem Project 6