www.hemonline.com BROKING | DEPOSITORY | DISTRIBUTION | FINANCIAL ADVISORY Company report Nestle India Ltd. CMP Rs 1964.80 Target Price Rs 2500.00 BUY 13th July, 2009 Company Snapshot Nestle India, incorporated in the year 1959, is the largest dairy products company in India. The company has a broad portfolio of milk products & nutritions, beverages, prepared dishes & cooking aids and chocolates & confectionary. The company is a subsidiary of Nestle S.A. of Switzerland and their history goes back to 1912 when it imported and sold products in India under the name of ‘The Nestle Anglo Swiss Condensed Milk Company (Export) Ltd.’ BSE Code 500790 Market Cap (Rs Mn) 19377.63 52 Week High/Low 2049.00/1220.00 Industry Food Industry Face Value Rs 10.00 Shares O/S 9,64,15,716 EPS 55.39 Particulars CEPS 64.97 Book Value 49.09 P/E 35.47 P/B 40.02 Sales Expenditures Operating Profit Net Profit OPM% NPM % EPS CEPS Quarterly Financial Highlights Rs Million Shareholding Pattern 14% 8% 16% 62% Promoter owned Public owned FIIs owned Others owned For Private Circulation Only Q1FY08 Q2FY09 Q3FY09 Q4FY09 Q1FY09 10932.60 8518.50 2414.10 1601.50 22.08 14.65 16.61 18.79 10356.30 8437.10 1919.20 1210.90 18.53 11.69 12.56 14.88 11103.70 9012.10 2091.60 1317.60 18.84 11.87 13.67 16.08 10932.70 8947.10 1985.60 1210.90 18.16 11.08 12.56 15.22 12707.80 9666.80 3041.00 1973.00 23.93 15.53 20.46 23.12 Nestle India Ltd. has reported excellent results for Q1FY09. The net sales surged from Rs.10932.60 million in the same quarter last year to Rs.12707.80 million this quarter depicting an increase of 16.24%. This also resulted in an increase in the operating profit to Rs.3041.00 million showing a growth of 25.97% from Q1FY08. The net profit of the company increased by 23.20% to Rs.1973.00 million. The net sales comprised of Net Domestic Sales of Rs.11919.7 million, up by 18.70% and Exports Sales of Rs.788.1 million. Both the margins increased marginally. Operating profit margin rose from 22.08% to 23.93% in Q1FY09 and the Net Profit Margin saw an increase from 14.65% to 15.53%. EPS of the company stood at Rs.20.46 increased from Rs.16.61 in the same quarter last year. 1 Hem Research www.hemonline.com Business Details Nestle India was established in India in the year 1961 with its first investment in Moga, Punjab. Nestle India manufactures products of truly international quality under internationally famous brand names such as Nescafe, Maggi, Milkybar, Milo, Kit Kat, Bar-one, Milkmaid and Nestea. Nestle has been a partner in India’s growth for over nine decades now. It encompasses a wide range of products from milk and skimmed milk to value added products like condensed milk, curd, ghee, yoghurt and raita. All these products are sold under various brands such as Nestle Everyday, Nestle Milkmaid, Nestle Milk, Nestle Fresh n Natural etc. Nestle India enjoys the leadership position in infant milk foods business. The company has a capacity to produce 72,502 tonnes of milk products and nutritions per annum. They are spread over seven plants located across India in the states of Punjab, Haryana, Uttarakhand, Goa, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu. It processes over 3.3 lakh tonnes of milk and nearly 10,000 tonnes of milk powder per annum. The company has tied up with Heritage Food in South, Bengal Nester in the East and Dynamix Dairy in the West for sourcing, processing, packaging, and supplying milk. The company also has a strong presence in the chocolates and confectionary business. It is the second largest confectionary company in India. It is the largest coffee company in India sold under the brands of Nestle Classic, Nescafe Sunrise and Nescafe 3 in 1. The company also exports its instant coffee to various countries such as Russia and Japan. Segmental Outlook The food processing industry which is a sub-sector of the food industry includes milk and milk products, fruits & vegetables processing, grain processing, fisheries, meat & poultry processing and other consumer products such as packaged foods, confectionary, chocolates, beverages and packaged drinking water. The Indian food market is estimated at over $182 billion and accounts for about two-thirds of the total Indian retail market. According to McKinsey and co., the retail food sector in India is likely to grow from around US$70 billion in 2008 to US$150 billion by 2025. According to Dairy India 2007 estimates, the current size of the Indian dairy sector is US$62.67 billion and has been growing at a rate of 5% per year. the dairy exports in 2007-08 rose to US$210.5 million against US$113.57 last fiscal whereas the domestic dairy sector is slated to cross US$108 billion in revenues by 2011. The Indian snack market holds enormous growth potential for snack food, which is estimated to be worth US$3 billion. The market is divided in to organized and unorganized sector. The organized sector of the snack food market is growing at 15-20 % a year while the growth rate of the US$1.56 billion unorganized sector is 7-8%. India has a target of doubling its processed food production by 2015 and will set up 10 food technology parks during the next year with a view to achieving this. For Private Circulation Only 2 Hem Research www.hemonline.com Investment Rationale Increased Sales Focus The focus on continuous business excellence extends across the Company. The company has an efficient distribution system and has consistently pushed itself over the recent years to further improve its service levels and to help consumers with easier access to the Company’s products. During the year, there was further improvement in the distribution network and availability of fresh, high quality Nestlé products. The specialised teams for Key Account Management, Channel and Category Sales Development, Route-tomarket and the existing trade channels continued to improve availability and visibility of products. The quality and capabilities of the people are key to this and, during the year, the company maintained focus on training and development of the sales teams to reinforce skills and impart best practices and plan to continue in the future. Technological Advancement Nestle’s commitment to product quality is supported by state-ofthe-art technology and a high degree of automation. It is continuously working with local suppliers to help them develop capabilities for supply of high quality raw materials increasing its technological edge. During the year, the Company has made significant progress in developing suppliers at par with international quality which will help it become less reliant on imports for these raw materials. During the year, three more factories were awarded the internationally recognized external certification ISO 14001 for adherence to environmental processes and OSHAS 18001 for Health and Safety. With this, all the seven factories of the Company now have ISO 14001 and ISO 18001 certifications. The company’s factories not only create world class products delivering Nutrition, Health and Wellness but also provide economic prosperity to farmers by processing agricultural products in a sustainable manner. Robust Financial Performance Nestle reported great results for the CY 2008. The total revenue for the company rose from Rs.35130.80 million in CY2007 to Rs.43351.10 million in this financial year resulting in a growth rate of 23.40%. The operating profit of the company rose to Rs.8438.00 million from Rs.6874.90 million showing a growth of 22.74%. The profit before tax during the year 2008 was Rs.7728.20 million whereas in the CY07 it was Rs.6286.10 million. The bottom line of the company increased by 29.06% from Rs.4138.10 million last year to Rs.5340.80 million this year. The EPS of the company stood at Rs.55.39 which increased from last year’s Rs.42.92. For Private Circulation Only 3 Hem Research www.hemonline.com Consolidated Financial Matrix Rs. Million Particulars FY05 24769.00 FY06 28160.60 13.69 24.75 23.40 Expenditure 19745.30 22894.20 28255.90 34913.10 EBITDA 5023.70 5266.40 6874.90 8438.00 4.83 30.54 22.74 Net sales Growth% Growth% FY07 35130.80 FY08 43351.10 EBITDA margin 20.28 18.70 19.57 19.46 Other income 237.40 206.10 167.10 230.20 Depreciation 568.40 662.80 747.40 923.60 EBIT 4692.70 4809.70 6294.60 7744.60 EBIT margin 18.95 17.08 17.92 17.86 Interest 2.10 4.40 8.50 16.40 PBT 4690.60 4805.30 6286.10 7728.20 Tax 1594.90 1654.30 2148.00 2387.40 Adjusted PAT 3095.70 3151.00 4138.10 5340.80 1.79 31.33 29.06 12.50 11.19 11.78 12.32 3095.70 3151.00 4138.10 5340.80 Growth % Net Profit margins Reported PAT Equity Capital 964.20 964.20 964.20 964.20 Reserves & Surplus 2577.20 2924.72 3220.10 3769.40 Net Worth 3541.40 3888.92 4184.30 4733.60 Equity Shares 96.42 96.42 96.42 96.42 EPS 32.11 32.68 42.92 55.39 CEPS 38.00 39.55 50.67 64.97 Sales to equity FY05 25.69 FY06 29.21 FY07 36.44 FY08 44.96 RONW 87.41 81.03 98.90 112.83 Book Value 36.73 40.33 43.40 49.09 Ratios Particulars For Private Circulation Only 4 Hem Research www.hemonline.com Past Price movement of the stock Valuation We are positive on company’s long term prospects. The company has earned the trust and respect of every strata of society that it comes in contact with and is acknowledged amongst India's 'Most Respected Companies' and amongst the 'Top Wealth Creators of India'. The Company continuously focuses its efforts to better understand the changing lifestyles of India and anticipate consumer needs in order to provide Taste, Nutrition, Health and Wellness through its product offerings. Presently the company is running at a P/E multiple of 35.47x to its CY09 EPS of Rs.55.39. Based on the positive financial performance reported by the company, we recommend BUY on the stock with a medium term price target of Rs.2500.00. 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