14 Capital Markets Chapter 14 - Outline • • • • • • Structure of Capital Markets Demand for Funds in the Capital Markets Supply of Funds in the Capital Markets The Organization of the Security Markets Market Efficiency Government Regulation Prepared by: Michel Paquet SAIT Polytechnic ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Learning Objectives ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Learning Objectives 1. Define primary, secondary, money and capital markets. (LO1) 2. Outline the primary participants raising funds in the capital markets. (LO2) 3. Characterize the Canadian economy as three major sectors allocating funds amongst themselves. (LO3) 4. Outline the organization of the securities markets. (LO4) 5. Assess the concept of market efficiency and its benefits to the economic system. (LO5) 6. Examine the changing financial regulatory environment. (LO6) ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO1 Structure of Capital Markets ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO1 Figure 14-1 Canadian money and capital markets: securities outstanding, 2011 Capital Markets can be classified into: (1) Primary vs. Secondary Markets - A new security is first issued in a primary markets and there is cash flow to the issuer. - Any security currently outstanding are bought and sold amongst investors in a secondary market but no cash flows to the security issuer. (2) Money vs. Capital Markets - Fixed income securities with maturities of one year or less are traded in a money market (e.g., T-bills, commercial paper) - Long-term securities with maturities greater than one year are traded in a capital market (e.g., bond, common and preferred stock) ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited Source: Adapted in part from Statistics Canada, “Canada’s International Investment Position,” Catalogue No. 67-202, and “Quarterly Financial Statistics for Enterprises,” Catalogue No.61-008. ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 1 Figure 14-2 Market capitalization (value) of top 12 equity markets LO1 Competition for Funds in the Capital Markets LO2 • Corporations are not the only demander for funds in the capital markets. • All levels of governments also compete for funds in the capital markets. Source: World Federation of Exchanges, 2010. ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO2 LO2 Government Securities Corporate Securities Corporate Bonds • Government of Canada Securities § § § § – most widely used form of financing in recent years – significant amounts raised abroad T-bills: short-term securities Long-term bonds: active secondary market Canadian Savings Bonds: illiquid long-term bonds After 1998, the federal budget surpluses reduce demand for new debt and amount of debt outstanding. Preferred Stock – least used of all long-term corporate securities • Provincial and Municipal Government Bonds Common Stock § Historically, provinces have borrowed mainly long term but during the 1990s became active in the short-term market as well. § Provinces and municipalities borrow actively in the foreign markets § Municipal bonds account for a small portion of the bond market – 25% of net new financings in some years – more equity is being raised abroad by Canadian corporations ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO2 LO2 Figure 14-6 Net new corporate financings by type of security Corporate Financing in General • Debt-to-equity ratios among Canadian nonfinancial private corporations from the 1960s are fluctuating. • Managers attempt to time their issues of common stock. • Over a recent period, internally generated funds, consisting of retained earnings and capital consumption allowance generated over 60% of the firm’s funding needs. • Managers are reluctant to use external financing. Source: Reprinted with permission of Bank of Canada, “Banking and Financial Statistics”, F9 series. ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 2 LO2 Figure 14-7 Debt-to-equity ratios for nonfinancial private corporations Source: Adapted from Statistics Canada, “Financial Statistics for Enterprises”, Catalogue No. 61-008, 2011. Figure 14-8 Funding Sources of Non-financial Private Corporations LO2 Source: Statistics Canada, 61-008-, 2011, Table 3-2. ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO3 LO3 The Supply of Capital Funds Figure 14-9 Flow of funds through the economy • The major supplier of funds for investment in a three-sector economy is the household sector. • The transfer of funds from savers to borrowers can be accomplished directly in the capital markets. • Alternatively, a saver can indirectly invest his or her funds through a financial intermediary. • These financial intermediaries help make the flow of funds very efficient and competitive. ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO3 LO4 Figure 14-10 Total assets of financial intermediaries The Organization of the Security Markets • Security markets exist to facilitate the direct transfer of capital among households, corporations, and governments. • After a security is sold initially as an original offering, it then trades among investors, a process known as secondary trading. • Secondary trading is vitally important as it provides liquidity for investors. • Secondary market trading activity is divided between organized exchanges and over-thecounter (OTC) markets. Source: Bank of Canada, Banking and Financial Statistics, 2011, C3, D1-D5 Series; Statistics Canada, CANSIM 280-0002 to 0004. ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 3 LO4 LO4 Organized Stock Exchanges Organized Exchanges • Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) • Regulated marketplace where buyers and sellers of securities come together to trade securities in a single location – largest and most important market for stocks in Canada – strict requirements in order for a firm to be traded on that exchange – smaller and less significant globally than the NYSE • Exchanges are auction markets where there is a price offering and acceptance between buyers and sellers • New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) – largest and most important market for stocks in the world • Key components of organized exchanges are fair prices, transparency, liquidity and integrity • Alternative trading systems (ATS) – also known as Electronic Communication Networks (ECN) use the Internet to electronically match buyers and sellers ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO4 LO4 The Over-the-Counter (OTC) Markets Challenges for Canadian Exchanges • Have no central location • Networks of dealers connected by computer terminals and telephones • Buy and sell securities which are not listed on a stock exchange • Historically, the bulk of all bond trading was done OTC • CanDeal has been established to report real time pricing on debt inventories • The extremely liquid markets in the US have tended to attract business away from Canadian exchanges. • Another threat is the “upstairs rooms” practice, that is, dealers matching large trades in shares through their own trading floors. • Internet trading systems such as Alternative Trading Systems (ATS) are also competing for business. • Over the next decade, it is expected that securities market will become more competitive as more computer systems are used. ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited LO5 LO5 Market Efficiency Efficient markets allocate capital to its best use without undue costs. Criteria of Efficiency ü prices adjust rapidly to new information ü there is a continuous market in prices ü the market can absorb large dollar amounts of securities without price destabilization Based on these criteria: • The NYSE is the world’s most efficient capital market. • The TSX is reasonably efficient. ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited The Efficient Market Hypothesis • Based on the nature of information included in the price of a security, 3 forms of market efficiency are grades as to the degree of market efficiency. – Weak form: • Prices reflect all of the information contained in the past price history – Semi-strong form: • Prices reflect all public information – Strong form: • all information, both private and public is immediately reflected in stock prices ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 4 LO6 Securities Regulation • Good capital markets should be fair, transparent, liquid, competitive and efficient. • Regulation helps to develop and nurture these key aspects. • In Canada, the securities markets are regulated by: Ø Provincial securities commissions such as the Ontario Securities Commission (OSC) Ø Stock exchanges and Ø Trade organizations such as the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) • One of the major regulation tasks is to protect investors from fraud and manipulation. ©2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 5