The Power of Organizing Without Organizations HERE COMES EVERYBODY (Clay Shirky/Allen Lane/February 2008/336 Pages/$25.95) HERE COMES EVERYBODY The Power of Organizing Without Organizations MAIN IDEA Groups of people are incredibly hard to organize. That‟s why until now, only large corporations could generally afford to buy the tools and build the infrastructure which were required to sync the joint efforts of lots of people. That‟s about to change. For effectively the first time in history, a whole bevy of new social tools are coming to prominence which make it easy for groups to collaborate and take collective action. What this means for commerce is the environment in which the game of business is played has changed. You need to find ways to make these new social tools work for you rather than against you. Doing so will be an ongoing challenge, but if you ignore these tools, you run the risk of missing out on some interesting commercial opportunities. “We are living in the middle of a remarkable increase in our ability to share, to cooperate with one another, and to take collective action, all outside the framework of our traditional institutions and organizations.Though many of these social tools were first adopted by computer scientists and workers in high-tech industries, they have spread beyond academic and corporate settings. Their effects are going to be widespread and momentous.” – Clay Shirky -2- About of Author CLAY SHIRKY is a writer, teacher and consultant. He is an adjunct professor in New York University‟s graduate program in interactive telecommunications. Mr. Shirky specializes in studying the social and economic impacts of Internet technologies. He currently consults with Nokia, the BBC and the Library of Congress as well as other clients. He is a columnist in Business 2.0 and has had various articles published in the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal and the Harvard Business Review. Prior to his appointment at NYU, Mr. Shirky was a partner at The Accelerator Group, an international investment firm. He has also served as Chief Technology Officer of Site Specific, aWebmedia and design firm. He is a graduate of Yale College. The Web site for this book is at www.shirky.com -3- At one time, only very well resourced corporations could afford to hire and maintain a workforce. There was an imperative, therefore, that these people did productive work so as to repay the direct costs involved. That meant marginal value activities were never attempted. The new generation of social tools are changing that dynamic because they dramatically lower and often even eliminate entirely the costs of coordinating group action. Social tools work because they allow loosely structured groups to come together and achieve common aims, without any requirement for formal management and even outside the profit motive. With groups, people do things because they want to do them, not because they‟re afraid of getting fired if they don‟t. There‟s often a natural progression to the use of social tools: Group undertakings generally start out as a sharing activity between hardcore fans of something specific. Sharing is often operated in a take-it-or-leave-it environment. Cooperation is the next level. This occurs when some group of people alter their behavior in order to accommodate the actions of other parts of the group. The final rung on the ladder is when the group decides to collaborate together to produce something. Collective decisions are made in this final stage and it‟s hard to get everything together since the decisions of the group need to be binding on the individuals involved. -4- “For the last hundred years the big organizational question has been whether any given task was best taken on by the state, directing the effort in a planned way, or by businesses competing in a market. This debate was based on the universal and unspoken supposition that people couldn‟t simply self-assemble; the choice between markets and managed effort assumed that there was no third alternative. Now there is. Our electronic networks are enabling novel forms of collective action, enabling the creation of collaborative groups that are large. The scope of work that can be done by noninstitutional groups is a profound challenge to the status quo.” – Clay Shirky In many ways publishing is a bellwether for all the changes which are taking shape in society. In days gone past, getting something published was a major effort. The only way this could be done was through the use of a printing press which demanded huge setup costs and extensive pre-publication work before anything could be published. Today, by contrast, everyone can be a publisher. All kinds of ways and means exist for people to get their thoughts and ideas into the public domain. There are a huge variety of self-publishing tools within ready reach: ■ Anyone can start and maintain a blog or weblog – a Web site based diary of their thoughts, ideas and opinions. ■ Anyone can upload to the Web their photos and share their images with others. ■ Anyone can put together an audio or video message in a podcast and similarly share it instantly with everyone in the world who has an Internet connection. Globally free publishing has resulted in the mass amateurization of the entire publishing industry. Where previously journalism was a profession and journalistic privilege was a valued commodity, today anyone and everyone can honestly claim to be a journalist in one way or another. The same applies also to the professionals who used to reproduce, distribute and categorize what was printed. Today, all of these tasks are handled by computers. Whenever someone publishes something, even on the most obscure Weblog imaginable, the tools exist for others to instantly find and then access that material. Today anyone with a digital camera, a keyboard and access to the Internet can be a publisher. The mechanics of publishing anything is effortless – which in turn means it‟s much easier to make the decision whether something should be published or not. Globally free publishing also means people value professionally published materials differently. -5- “The Internet means that you don‟t have to convince anyone else that something is a good idea before trying it.” – Scott Bradner, former trustee of the Internet Society “An individual with a camera or keyboard is now a nonprofit of one, and self-publishing is now the normal case. This spread has been all the more remarkable because this technological story is not like the automobile, where an invention went from high cost to low cost, so that it went from being a luxury to being a commonplacepossession. Rather, this technological story is like literacy, wherein a particular capability moves from a group of professionals to become embedded within society itself, ubiquitously, available to a majority of citizens.” – Clay Shirky “In a world where publishing is effortless, the decision to publish something isn‟t terribly momentous. Just as movable type raised the value of being able to read and write even as it destroyed the scribal tradition, globally free publishing is making public speech and action more valuable, even as its absolute abundance diminishes the specialness of professional publishing.” – Clay Shirky Everywhere you look on the Internet, you‟ll find lots of “user-generated content”. The social networking companies like MySpace, Facebook, LiveJournal and Xanag base their entire business models around aggregating and then making available all of this material. The media has traditionally been split into two distinct camps: At one time, there was a very clear distinction between these two patterns of -6- communication but those boundaries are now blurring and dissolving. Tools like e-mail and Web sites bring together a mix of material which is intended for general dissemination and more private material that will be appreciated by a much smaller audience. It‟s hard to say whether a blog is intended for a small group of people who share a passion or whether it is designed to reach a global audience. The widely lauded two-way interactivity of the Internet gets diluted when someone attracts a sizable following. A blogger who is writing just for his small group of friends will find it easy to address specific questions which are put to him whereas a well known blogger with more than a million viewers each month really cannot do that. Interactivity and two-way conversation becomes impractical with an audience of that size. The constraints attached to making content for the traditional media meant a fair bit of vetting material of only marginal value occurred. When publishing and broadcasting cost money, you can be sure there will be an intensive effort to weed out poor materials beforehand. That dynamic gets reversed in the current business era. Since publishing is free for all practical purposes, people can put all kinds of material out there. Instead of the vetting going on pre-production, consumers today spend more time filtering what‟s out there to decide for themselves what they want to see and what they don‟t. The very obvious fact everyone who uses a computer can produce and consume information and cooperate with others to generate other bits of information completely changes the dynamics of communication. The new social tools are not just improvements on what existed previously but are the foundation for a revolution to occur. Things that were previously impossible suddenly come into reach. The restructuring of the media industry which is now occurring around the world is a forerunner for some even more profound changes because all businesses manage information to some extent. Amateur rather than professional production of content is the wave of the future. The poster child of collaborative production in the online world is Wikipedia, an encyclopedia which can be edited by anyone who reads i t . Launched in 2001, Wikipedia crossed the two-million-articlemark in September 2007 and is currently rated as the eleventh most popular Web site in the United States. Instead of remaining just an online encyclopedia, Wikipedia has become a robust tool for gathering and distributing information quickly. For example, when terrorist bombs went off in the London transit system on July 7, 2005, a Wikipedia page was set up within minutes. The first posting was five sentences long. Within four hours, the entry had been edited more than a thousand times as more news came in. The end result is a very detailed news article which is arguably superior to anything which has been published to date by a commercial publisher. What‟s impressive is Wikipedia accomplishes all this with no paid managers, no -7- employees and no formal work processes. Instead, people take it upon themselves to generate raw articles, edit those articles, polish them, correct misspellings and do everything else which is required. The complete lack of any type of organization whatsoever is bewildering and illogical but the proof collaborative production of this nature can and does work is found in Wikipedia itself. Note, however, not everyone who reads a Wikipedia article is motivated enough to become a collaborative producer in equal measure. It is estimated that fewer than 2 percent of Wikipedia users are contributors, and yet that level of participation is sufficient for something of value for millions of users to be created. From a business perspective, collaborative production is a paradox. If nobody is in charge, how can something meaningful and ultimately of value get accomplished? What happens is for something like Wikipedia, there are no real “average” or representative users. The majority of people simply view the articles and only a small handful get actively engaged in generating Wikipedia articles and materials. This active minority love having the opportunity to contribute and this is sufficient reward for them in and of itself. Collaborative production works because it accommodates both types of thinking. The easier it becomes to disseminate information, the easier it becomes for people to -8- organize and take collective action to get things done. Social tools like Web sites, blogs and e-mail means that people can come together and get things done in wayswhich were previously impractical and therefore extremely unlikely. Take, for example, e-mail – the ideal tool for group communication. E-mail has many advantages: • It costs virtually nothing. • It can go next door or across the ocean with equal ease. • It is delivered almost instantly anywhere in the world. • It doesn‟t matter if the recipient is busy doing something else. • It can be delivered to any number of people at the same time. • You don‟t have to ask anyone‟s permission to use e-mail. E-mail is the absolutely ideal group conversation tool because it applies to both one-to-many and many-to many situations with equal dexterity. It enables information to spread, conversations to take place and opinions to be formed within a group setting. Organizations of all shapes and sizes can then be formed to follow through on what is being discussed. Notably social tools, like e-mail, don‟t create collective action in and of themselves. Instead, these tools remove the obstacles which have traditionally got in the way. The removal of these obstacles, in turn, reshapes the world into an entirely different place. It has become feasible for people to band together to get things done rather than merely sitting back and waiting for the existing social institutions to act. “This is why many of the significant changes are based not on the fanciest, newest bits of technology but on simple, easy-to-use tools like e-mail, mobile phones, and websites, because those are the tools most people have access to and, critically, are comfortable using in their daily lives. Revolution doesn‟t happen when society adopts new technologies – it happens when society adopts new behaviors.” – Clay Shirky “We are being pushed rapidly down a route largely determined by the technological environment. We have a small degree of control over the spread of these tools, but that control does not extend to our being able to reverse, stop, or even radically alter the direction we‟re moving in. Our principal challenge is not to decide where we want to go but to stay upright as we go there. The invention of tools that facilitate group formation is less like ordinary technological change and more like an event, something that has already happened. The question is how these tools will spread or reshape society.” -9- – Clay Shirky Generally speaking, it used to take a long time for consumers to get organized. Doing anything by collective action was difficult because it was hard to get the word out to everyone who potentially could be involved. It used to take months, even years before a sizable group could form around any social issue. This is no longer the case. With the newgeneration of social tools now becoming available, pressure groups can be formed almost instantaneously. A good example of this occurred in December 2006. Several American Airlines flights got diverted to Austin, Texas because of heavy storms in Dallas. The diverted planes had to wait several hours on the ground before passengers could get access to food and water. As a result of this experience, a real estate agent who had been a passenger on one of those flights formed a group and drafted a proposed Passengers‟ Bill of Rights. This document mandated airlines had to provide for passenger‟s essential needs anytime there was an air or ground delay for 3 hours or longer. Within weeks, this group had collected thousands of signatures for a petition in support of the new Passengers‟ Bill of Rights. After lobbying Congress, the Bill of Rights was ultimately proposed in the House and the Senate. As this and other examples illustrate so vividly, social tools are much more immediate than anything which has ever gone before. Today‟s consumers have noticeably more power to get the word out to others. They can use all of the social tools to get things done. Whereas corporations in the past could get away with describing various things as “isolated incidents”, today‟s consumers don‟t buy that argument. If they see something they don‟t like, consumers get on the case. Companies need to acknowledge this shift of power and act accordingly or certain problems lie ahead. “The power to coordinate otherwise dispersed groups will continue to improve; new social tools are still being invented and however minor they may seem, any tool that improves shared awareness or group coordination can be pressed into service for political means, because the freedom to act in a group is inherently political. We adopt those tools that amplify our capabilities, and we modify our tools to improve that amplification.” – Clay Shirky “Thanks to the Web, the cost of publishing locally has collapsed.” – Clay Shirky “When we change the way we communicate,we change society. The tools that a society - 10 - uses to create and maintain itself are as central to human life as a hive is to bee life. We now have communications tools that are flexible enough to match our social capabilities, and we are witnessing the rise of new ways of coordinating action that take advantage of that change. Forming groups has gotten a lot easier. To put it in economic terms, the costs incurred by creating a new group or joining an existing one have fallen in recent years, and not just by a little bit. They have collapsed.” – Clay Shirky The new social tools work just as well for negative forces as they do for positive social forces. The new social tools are inherently neutral. They can be used with equal efficiency to do helpful things in society-at-large or to do those things which are inherently unhelpful. For example: ■ When a girl’s magazine started offering an online bulletin board, it was envisaged this would be useful for teenage girls to go online and talk about clothes, school, romance, health and beauty. What was found, however, was the most active users of this meeting place was a group of girls who wanted to swap tips on how to be anorexic. Due to the fact it proved impossible to stop this happening, the magazine shut downits bulletin board. ■ In the 1990s, entrepreneur Scott Heiferman was looking for a new business idea. He launched a Web-based business called Meetup which allowed people to identify others with similar interests and get together online. The original business plan for Meetup suggested this would be a reinvigoration of classic American interest groups – sort of like a Rotary club on steroids or people who liked one brand of cars or another, that kind of thing. Instead of that, however, the most active meetups with the most members in 1991 ended up being groups with these topics: • Witches (6,757 members, 442 meetups) • Slashdot (11,809 members, 401 meetups) • LiveJournal (10,691 members, 311 meetups) • Bloggers (4,222 members, 136 meetups) • Pagans (4,222 members, 90 meetups) • Fark (4,621 members, 81 meetups) • Ex-Jehovah‟s Witnesses (1,609 members, 67 meetups) • Bookcrossing (4,414 members, 56 meetups) • Xena (1,641 members, 51 meetups) • Tori Amos (2,261 members, 47 meetups) Both these examples illustrate the fact the new social tools allow special interest groups who previously had a hard time connecting with each other to get together and do things. The tools themselves make no judgements or distinction between users. They can be - 11 - used with equal effectiveness to do things which build social capital or the things which destroy it. It‟s now much easier for groups to form without social approval or sponsorship of any kind. This enhanced freedom of assembly for groups provided by social tools generates three different kinds of social capital loss: 1. People whose jobs previously relied on solving hard problems may find themselves out of work when so much self-help information is available. 2. It becomes impossible for media to be banned from trying to influence the outcome of elections because the definition of who“the media” is today is broad and changing all the time. 3. The new freedoms generated by social tools enable terrorist networks and criminal gangs to not only exist but also to become more resilient as a result of better communications. Instead of banning groups from forming in an ad hoc way, society is going to need new and better tools to actively oppose those groups which are unhelpful. This is a challenge of the future. At first glance, it would be easy to assume the new social tools make it easy for everyone to be connected to everyone else in the world. That‟s not how things work out. If you were to try and be connected to billions of other people, those connections would quickly become so dense they would be of no practical use whatsoever. Instead, the newsocial tools help small groups work together better. Put another way, the new tools increase “social capital”. Social capital is an essential component in a functioning society. Social capital is at work when your neighbor is prepared to walk your dog while you‟re sick or the shopkeeper trusts you to pay him the next time you come into the shop. In healthy and robust communities, there is a growing pool of social capital and conversely in ailing societies there is much less social capital. Social capital is a store of behaviors and norms in society. It exists in two different forms: - 12 - An increase in bridging capital would mean there are more people you‟d be prepared to lend money to if they asked for it. An increase in bonding capital would increase the amount of money you‟d be prepared to lend to the people whowere already on your approved list. In small groups, bonding tends to happen within small clusters whereas bridging typically occurs between different clusters. The new social tools increase the amount of leverage connected people have and maintain. They can increase both bonding and bridging capital. The more bridging capital you have, the greater the opportunities are for you to come up with new ideas. Bridging capital is also valuable in areas like supply chain management. “Group action gives human society its particular character, and anything that changes the way groups get things done will affect society as a whole. This change will not be limited to any particular set of institutions or functions. For any given organization, the important questions are „When will the change happen?‟ and „What will change?‟ The only two answers we can rule out are never, and nothing. The ways in which any given institution will find its situation transformed will vary, but the various local changes are manifestations of a single deep source: newly capable groups are assembling, and they are working without the managerial imperative and outside the previous strictures that bounded their effectiveness. These changes will transform the world everywhere groups of people come together to accomplish something, which is to say everywhere.” – Clay Shirky The fact things can get published nowadays for free undeniably generates a lot of junk. Instead of having high production costs naturally cull out the junk, loads more material gets published electronically now. The barriers to communication and participation have been lowered dramatically and quality control happens after the fact rather than before. This means the price of failure is also extremely low, often zero. Conventional organizations work hard to reduce the occurrence of failures because this is a waste of scarce resources for the firm. Therefore, ideas are carefully vetted before - 13 - any investment is made, and only those projects which hold the greatest likelihood of success are given the green light. The problem with this approach is no one knows for certain in advance which projects will succeed and which will fail. It‟s also difficult to determine whether the project designers have any clearer view of the future. Under these conditions, it‟s almost inevitable that firms will end up green-lighting failures and passing on projects which are actually huge success stories. Safety often trumps innovation for these businesses. The social tools reverse that dynamic entirely. New ideas can be put out there for free and people can decide for themselves whether to get involved or not. The genuinely worthwhile projects will attract people and resources while the also-ran ideas will just naturally fall by the wayside. The new social tools don‟t reduce the likelihood of failure. They do, however, reduce the cost of failure to nothing. They allow a large number of new ideas to be tried and whatever works to come shining through. In the publish-then-filter business model, nobody is trying to make a judgement call. Experimentation can be done ad infinitum. No one dictates that one project should move forward and that another should not. Instead, market forces dictate the course of development. What‟s popular gets worked on and what‟s not gets ignored. The shining example of publish-then-filter is quite possibly Open Source Software, one of the great success stories of the digital era. The term “open source” refers to the fact the source code of software gets distributed to all users rather than just the software itself. That means anybody and everybody can change the software if they are of a mind to do so. The history of Open Source Software is interesting: ■ Prior to 1980, software generally came free with a computer and was distributed with its source code. ■ During the 1980s, it was realized software sales could become a business in its own right. Companies started selling software packages, usually without the source code so only the original developer could make alterations. ■ In 1983, the Free Software Foundation was formed to produce high-quality free software for the Unix operating system. This foundation seemed to be fighting a losing battle since most software companies went the opposite route and sold proprietary software alone without the source code. By the late 1980s, most market commentators were suggesting free software wouldbe limited to just a small niche in the larger market. ■ In 1991, Linus Torvalds, a young Finnish computer programmer, posted a simple note to a discussion group on operating systems: “I‟m doing a free operating system (just a hobby, won‟t be big and professional) . . .I‟d like to know what features most people would want. Any suggestions are welcome, but I won’t promise I’ll implement them:-)” ■ Within 24 hours of announcing his intention, Torvalds had volunteer programmers contacting him from Austria, Iceland, the United States, Finland and the U.K. ■ Within months, a simple version of the operating system software which would later be called Linux was up and running. Torvalds solicited input for new ideas from far - 14 - and wide and used a brutal meritocracy where the best ideas were integrated into Linux, regardless of who had suggested them. Over time, this widely distributed group of programmers contributing their efforts for free have come up with a genuinely world-class operating system. ■ Today the Linux operating system is used by something like 40 percent of the world‟s servers. While it is true Linux has been a great success story, there are actually more than a hundred thousand open source projects underway at present. The vast majority of them have been failures. It is estimated around three-quarters of the open source software projects never get to the degree of completeness and utility required to attract even a single user. It‟s accurate, in fact, to say the open source ecosystem is outfailing corresponding commercial efforts. Whether or not Linux is a fluke remains to be seen but the commercial software industry does see open source as a profound potential threat to its business model. Allowing cheap failures is a great way to develop new things because: ■ Multiple ideas can be tried out – and you can build on what works and drop what obviously does not. ■ Biases can be set aside – you can ignore staying with the tried-and-true and instead branch out into all kinds of new directions. ■ If you get enough people trying new ideas, happy accidents have a greater chance of being discovered. ■ There is no bias toward accepting something which is substandard just so you can “get your money’s worth”. ■ You can use the talents of people who make only a one-time contribution rather than hiring people to churn out good ideas day-after-day. This means you can utilize the brilliant-but-erratic types rather always having to find steady-performers. “Community has not historically been a good guarantor of longevity. This is the secret of the open source ecosystem and, by extension, of all the large-scale and long-lived forms of sharing, collaborative work and collective action now being tried. Because anyone can try anything, the projects that fail, fail quickly, but the people working on these projects can migrate just as quickly to the things that are visibly working. Unlike the business landscape, where companies have an incentive to hide both successes (for reasons of competitive advantage) and failures (to forestall any perception of weakness), open source projects advertise their successes and get failure for free. This arrangement allows the successes to become host to a community of sustained interest.” – Clay Shirky - 15 - Every time social tools are used successfully, you will find there is a fusion of a plausible promise, at least one effective tool and an acceptable bargain with users. To take each of these elements in turn: The promise is the “why” anyone should join or contribute to a group. You have to create a promise which is compelling enough to get people to either participate or become an actual user. Everyone is busy and if you want to make a claim on someone‟s time, you have to offer something which is of more value than what they presently do. And not only does the promise need to appeal to you personally but you also need to be confident it will appeal to lots of other people as well. Being the sole user of a social tool really isn‟t much help at all. The larger the number of users you need to make something viable, the harder it is to get the promise right. You have to achieve buy-in from more people which is always hard. To address this dynamic, there are a few things to try: - 16 - ■ Make joining the group easy – which positions the promise correspondingly more within reach. ■ Offer things which will create personal value for individual users. ■ Subdivide the community into small clusters and offer a means whereby small groups can grow larger. ■ Offer fame – everyone will be able to admire what you contribute. ■ Use personal charisma to make the early joiners feel engaged in what’s going down. ■ Keep it real using something like the Linux approach. Instead of saying “We’re going to create a world-class operating system in our spare time”, you put out a much more down-to-earth invitation: “Get involved in this and you’ll be doing something interesting and noteworthy.” The promise specifies “why” anyone should join the group and the tool helps with the “how”. The tools need to be powerful enough to overcome the difficulties of coordinating the actions of a large group of people. Tools are inherently context sensitive – there is no universal tool which is going to be great in every situation imaginable. Simply put great social tools are designed for the job at hand and to help people achieve what they actually want to do. When designing or selecting the best tool, there are two basic questions you should ask: ■ If you’re looking for a small group of contributors, you’ll probably be looking for conversational tools where everyone can come to agree on a single point of view. ■ If you’re oriented more towards a very large group, you want tools where people can pool their knowledge to come up with a small list of potential answers. Not everyone - 17 - will agree with every option but in total these options will encapsulate what the majority of people are suggesting. ■ The duration of the group interaction will also strongly influence your choice of tools. Once you understand these basic factors, you can then decide which tools are most appropriate for the situation at hand. New social tools are being developed all the time, but newer doesn‟t automatically mean better. The most basic social tools are e-mail, online discussion groups, blogs and wikis. These tools are at least a decade old and yet are still in widespread general use. The bargain comes last. In practice, the bargain sets the rules of the road. The bargain matters only if there is a plausible promise and a working set of tools. The bargain specifies what you can expect to achieve if you are interested in the promise and adopt the tools required. The bargain is the most complex part of the mix because it cannot be specified in advance. The users have a big hand in creating the bargain. The bargain clarifies what you expect of others and what they can expect to get in return. Bargains can be balanced or entirely one-sided, formally stated or more implicit, simple or complex. When Larry Sanger launched Wikipedia, he couched the bargain as a personal favor: “Humor me. Go to our Web site and add a little article. It will take all of five or ten minutes”. The bargain drives what kind of group assembles so remember when you change the bargain, you‟ll always change the makeup of the group to one degree or another. At first glance, it would seem like putting together a plausible promise, tools that fit the task at hand and an acceptable bargain would be easy but in practice it‟s difficult to get the balance right. Most group efforts fail because of the complexity in getting all the interactions precisely aligned. To add to this complexity, groups always evolve over time. Take, for example, Wikipedia. The initial promise wascouched in terms of a personal favor. Today, Wikipedia‟s mission is: “Imagine a world in which every single person is given free access to the sum of all human knowledge”.The sheer breadth of that new and improved promise encourages people to be more thorough and more careful about what they contribute because this - 18 - project is all encompassing. By changing the promise, Wikipedia enjoys a quite different and distinctive dynamic. In similar fashion, social tools may appear simple on the surface but there are often deeply embedded complexities. Many large groups are sustained by the extraordinary efforts of a small group of genuine enthusiasts. If Wikipedia did not have a core group of enthusiasts who edit out the suspect material submitted by pranksters, the quality of the online encyclopedia as a whole would be seriously degraded. Different subgroups within the larger group as a whole may use quite different tools, including customized software It‟s also true that an inappropriate or unappealing bargain can kill a group, even when the promise and tool sets are effective. When Microsoft‟s engineers saw the success of Wikipedia, they offered Encarta users the same capabilities. The only stipulation was anyone who contributed had to grant Microsoft the right to use that information for commercial purposes in the future. Most people balked at the idea of giving Microsoft something for free it would then turn around and sell back to them. The Encarta approach died a natural death as a result. Note also the combination of the promise, tools and bargain is constantly changing and evolving. Digg is a user-edited news site where users can suggest and rate which stories should appear on the front page. In early 2007, various articles started appearing on Digg which contained the secret digital key present on all DVDs to stop people copying the contents. At first, Digg censored and removed any posts which contained the key but this set off a flurry of complaints. Kevin Rose, Digg‟s founder, eventually relented and stopped censoring these articles. In announcing a new policy of allowing anything to be posted, Rose stated: “After seeing hundreds of stories and reading thousands of comments, you‟ve made it clear. You‟s rather see Digg go down fighting than bow down to a bigger company.We hear you, and effective immediately we won‟t delete stories or comments containing the code and will deal with whatever the consequences might be. If welose, then what the hell, at least we died trying.” “The Digg revolt is one example of where our social tools are going. Starting with the invention of e-mail, which first functioned to support a conversation in a group, our social tools have been increasingly giving groups the power to coalesce and act in political arenas. We are seeing these tools progress from coordination into governance, as groups gain enough power and support to be able to demand that they be deferred to. The Digg revolt was one of the broadest examples of this intersection between groups and governance; it will not be the last.” – Clay Shirky Where social tools ultimately end up taking society is still open to debate. It is clear the ability to communicate better and work with groups of people will bring about changes in the way things get done in society. Social tools are inherently political by nature simply because they increase the ability of people to say what they like and to act accordingly. An increase in the freedom of speech has always generated political change in the past and it‟s highly likely this will continue to remain true in the future. Whilst wecan‟t accurately forecast what commercial paths these social tools will take society down in the future, it‟s already clear the world at large is being pushed down a route which is largely driven by the technological environment rather than conscious decisions on the part of business or political leaders. The important question isn‟t really - 19 - whether or not we should allow these tools to spread. The genie is already out of the bottle. Rather, everyone should be focused now on how social tools will reshape society and the business environment as a whole. “When I was growing up, one of the hot debates among my nerd friends was whether we were living in the Atomic Age or the Space Age. The only interesting question was whether limitless energy or the wonders of space flight would transform our world more. We were right to wonder which of the two technologies mattered more, but we didn‟t know we‟d picked the wrong two. The most important technologies of the time weren‟t atomic energy and space flight; they were the transistor and the birth control pill. The very size of the transistor meant that everything in society that touched information would be turned upside down, which turned out to be a bigger deal than nuclear energy. By making control of fertility a unilateral and, crucially, a female choice that didn‟t have to be negotiated case by case, the pill has transformed society in ways far more important than anything ever accomplished by NASA. The transistor and the birth control pill are quite unlike each other, but they do have one thing in common: they are both human-scale inventions that were pulled into society one person at a time, and they mattered more than giant inventions pushed along by massive and sustained effort. They changed society precisely because no one was in control of how the technology was used, or by whom. That is happening again today. A million times a day someone tries some new social tool. Much of the world can now use these tools, and within a decade, most of the world will be able to. Our social tools are dramatically improving our ability to share, cooperate, and act together. As everyone adopts these tools, it is leading to an epochal change.” – Clay Shirky * * * [세계 베스트셀러(NBS) 서비스는 영문의 경제·경영 및 정치 서적의 베스트셀러, 스테디셀러의 핵심 내용을 간략하게 정리한 요약(Summary) 서비스입니다. 영문 서비스는 단순히 서적을 소개하거나 광고를 위한 Book Review가 아니라 세계의 베스 트셀러 도서의 핵심을 체계적으로 정리한 도서 정보로써, 이 서비스를 통해 세계의 정치·경제·문화의 흐름을 빠르게 파악할 수 있습니다. 세계 지도층이 읽는 세계 베스트셀러 도서를 가장 빠르고 효율적으로 접해보시기 바랍니다.] - 20 -