Original Paper Psychopathology 2010;43:53–62 DOI: 10.1159/000260044 Received: November 18, 2008 Accepted after revision: July 24, 2009 Published online: November 20, 2009 Are There Valid Subtypes of Schizophrenia? A Grade of Membership Analysis Edith Pomarol-Clotet a, b Raymond Salvador a, b Graham Murray c Subash Tandon d Peter J. McKenna a, b a Benito Menni Complex Assistencial en Salut Mental, and b CIBERSAM, Barcelona, Spain; c Department of Psychiatry, University of Cambridge, Addenbrooke’s Hospital, and d Fulbourn Hospital, Cambridge, UK Key Words Schizophrenia subtypes ⴢ Grade of membership analysis Abstract Background/Aims: Cluster analysis has had limited success in establishing whether there are subtypes of schizophrenia. Grade of membership (GoM) analysis is a multivariate statistical technique which has advantages when, as in schizophrenia, individuals conforming to pure types are uncommon and mixed forms are frequent. Methods: GoM analysis was applied to 118 chronic schizophrenic patients. The patients were of all clinical subtypes, including 13 with simple schizophrenia. Both current and ‘lifetime’ symptoms were assessed, and two different rating systems were used. Results: Specifying 3 pure types resulted in robust findings across analyses. One pure type corresponded to paranoid schizophrenia, one to simple schizophrenia and the third combined elements of hebephrenic and catatonic schizophrenia. Specifying 4 pure types split the original 3 pure types in ways which were not clinically intuitive. Conclusion: GoM analysis divides schizophrenia into subtypes along conventional lines, with the proviso that hebephrenic and catatonic schizophrenic patients are not separable, at least in the chronic stage of the illness. Schizophrenia, it has become a truism to state, is a heterogeneous disorder. The multiplicity of its presentations and the fact that its outcome can range from full recovery to profound disability have taxed its credibility as a single disorder. As a result, there have been many attempts to define subtypes of schizophrenia which have a more uniform clinical picture and which might show meaningful differences in prognosis. Historically, a variety of schemes having been proposed, from Kraepelin’s [1] and Bleuler’s [2] original 4-way paranoid-hebephrenic-catatonic-simple scheme, through Kraepelin’s [3] later 9-subtype system, to the complex classification of Kleist and Leonhard [4, 5] which featured 19 different stable end states. However, none of these schemes have been supported particularly well empirically in studies which have used cluster analysis to generate subgroups of patients [6–9], nor have the results of these studies agreed with each other. One reason for the limited success of such studies could be that cluster analysis generates mutually exclusive subgroups of individuals within a population – subjects can only belong to one cluster and intermediate forms cannot be accommodated within the model. This is arguably inappropriate for schizophrenia, where the reality is a continuously varying spectrum of presentations in which mixed or undifferentiated forms have been Copyright © 2009 S. Karger AG, Basel © 2009 S. Karger AG, Basel 0254–4962/10/0431–0053$26.00/0 Fax +41 61 306 12 34 E-Mail karger@karger.ch www.karger.com Accessible online at: www.karger.com/psp Dr. Edith Pomarol-Clotet Benito Menni CASM C./Dr. Antoni Pujadas 38 ES–08830 Sant Boi de Llobregat, Barcelona (Spain) Tel. +34 936 529 999, ext. 327, Fax +34 936 240 268, E-Mail edith.pomarol @ gmail.com considered to be at least as common as classical subtype presentations. A technique which avoids this difficulty is grade of membership (GoM) analysis [10–12]. This generates classifications by assigning grades of membership to empirically generated ‘pure types’, which are intended to be similar to prototypical or ‘textbook’ cases. Cases need not be assigned to a single pure type, but can simultaneously and partially express symptoms in 2 or more classes, with the analysis generating a value for the degree to which each subject belongs to each pure type. GoM analysis is considered to be particularly appropriate for classification in medicine [12], and has been applied psychiatrically to the classification of psychosis [13], depression [14, 15] and other disorders [16, 17]. The present study used GoM analysis to investigate the subtyping of clinically stable chronic schizophrenic patients, including some with a well-validated diagnosis of simple schizophrenia. Method Patients The patient sample consisted of 118 in- and out-patients under the care of a rehabilitation service. The age range was 23–65 years. All patients were required to have been ill for at least 5 years and to have reached a state where there had been no major progression of symptoms in recent years. This was determined by 2 of the authors (P.J.M. and S.T.) who had known most of the patients for several years. Patients were also required to be persistently symptomatic: this was in order to avoid generation of an asymptomatic pure type as was found in the study of Manton et al. [13]. It was considered important to include patients who were representative of all 4 currently recognized subtypes of schizophrenia. Therefore, the sample included those with paranoid and hebephrenic presentations plus a small number who showed pronounced catatonic symptoms. There were 105 such patients and they all met Research Diagnostic Criteria for schizophrenia. The remaining 13 patients did not fulfil existing diagnostic criteria for schizophrenia because, despite being persistently symptomatic, they had never shown positive symptoms. These patients met proposed clinical criteria for simple schizophrenia [18] (9 of these have previously been described in detail [19]). Procedure The patients’ current symptoms were rated using the 9th edition of the Present State Examination (PSE) [20] and the schedules for the assessment of positive and negative symptoms from the Comprehensive Assessment of Symptoms and History (CASH) [21]. The PSE is a detailed, semi-structured psychiatric diagnostic interview, which establishes the presence or absence of many different types of psychotic and neurotic symptoms. Symptoms are rated as absent, present, or present in severe degree on a 0-1-2 scale. The CASH also assesses a full range of psychotic symptoms, but unlike the PSE, these are graded along a dimension of severity from 0 to 5. 54 Psychopathology 2010;43:53–62 The patients were examined outside any period of clinical worsening. Because this could give an incomplete picture of their symptomatology in some cases – for example, patients who showed only negative symptoms most of the time but were subject to flare-ups with positive symptoms from time to time – two PSE assessments were generated for each patient, one ‘current’ and one ‘lifetime’, the latter combining ratings of current symptoms and those from any relapses/exacerbations over the last 10 years. For this, the Syndrome Check List of the PSE was applied to symptoms recorded in the case notes from any previous exacerbations over the last 10 years. Data Analyses PSE data were converted into ‘PSE syndromes’. These consist of 39 groupings of intuitively rated and/or commonly co-occurring combinations of symptoms (plus a few single-item categories), which form the basis of the diagnostic algorithms used to generate overall diagnoses. For example, the PSE syndrome, nuclear syndrome includes 8 of the so-called first-rank symptoms of schizophrenia (thought insertion, thought broadcast, thought commentary, thought withdrawal, voices discussing patient, delusions of control, delusions of alien penetration, primary delusions); the syndrome hypomania includes 5 items (subjective euphoria, ideomotor pressure, grandiose ideas and actions, hypomanic affect, hypomanic content of speech), and the catatonic syndrome includes 2 items (mannerisms and posturing, catatonic movements). There are 3 PSE syndromes related to depression: simple depression (depressed mood, inefficient thinking, hopelessness, suicidal ideas and plans, and depression on examination), other features of depression (items relating to biological symptoms) and special features of depression (depressive cognitions such as guilt and self-depreciation). For a PSE syndrome to be rated as present, the patient typically has to have 2 or more individual symptoms in the category, although the combinatorial rules vary from syndrome to syndrome. It was felt necessary to make a few minor alterations to the composition of the PSE syndromes, as follows: – In the PSE, third-person auditory hallucinations contribute only to the nuclear syndrome (first-rank symptoms), and not to the syndrome auditory hallucinations, which contains only a single item, ‘voices to patient’. In order to avoid patients who only experienced third-person auditory hallucinations being treated as not hallucinated in the GoM analysis, the PSE syndrome auditory hallucinations was modified to include either second- or third-person auditory hallucinations. – Poverty of content of speech is 1 of the 3 elements of formal thought disorder rated in the PSE, but this item does not contribute to the incoherent speech syndrome in the Syndrome Check List of the PSE. This syndrome was therefore modified to include this item. – The item incongruity of affect is not included in any PSE syndrome. As this is a potentially important discriminating variable for hebephrenic schizophrenia, it was included in the analysis as a syndrome in its own right. Ratings on individual symptoms formed the basis of the analysis for the CASH. Items under the negative symptom heading ‘attentional impairment’ were excluded from the analysis, as these are no longer considered negative symptoms but are regarded as aspects of schizophrenic cognitive impairment. It was only possible to generate a ‘current’ CASH assessment, because the de- Pomarol-Clotet /Salvador /Murray / Tandon /McKenna tailed 0–5 scoring system cannot be applied to information from case notes. GoM analysis (DSIGoM, version 10, Decision Systems, Inc., 1999, www.dsisoft.com) was applied to each of these 3 data sets. GoM analysis represents the manifest symptoms of cases through linear combinations of products of 2 types of coefficients [12]. GoM analysis assigns scores or grades of membership (gik), describing the degree to which a given individual i is a member of the pure type k. GoM scores are non-negative and, for each individual, added over all subtypes sum to 1. Thus it may be that a case belongs entirely to 1 pure type (gik = 1 for that pure type and 0 for the rest) or partially to several (gik !1 for 2 or more pure types). Pure types are also described by another parameter, jk, whose major use is to define the characteristics of the pure type groups – symptom profiles whose coefficients are estimated to indicate the probability (jk) of a symptom j being manifest by a case belonging entirely (gik = 1) to 1 pure type k. The sum of jk values over symptoms, for a given pure type, should also add to 1. GoM analysis also generates a value, H, an information content coefficient. This quantifies how much each item contributes to the discriminability among the pure types. Small values mean that as far as the particular variable (i.e. symptom) is concerned, a random model where there were no pure types would fit just as well. For the purposes of the analysis, the PSE syndromes and the individual CASH symptom scores were considered as the ‘internal questions’, based on which the pure types are determined. GoM analysis also requires that an external or indicator variable be used to generate a starting partition for the analysis. This should tap a known source of variation in the data set. Both age and score on the Global Assessment of Severity (GAS) [22] were used in separate analyses for this purpose. Results PSE syndrome scores, which are typically scored 0–2 or 0–3 (0 = absent, 1 = minor or partial symptoms, 2 = 1 symptom present, 3 = 2 or more symptoms), were reduced to present or absent (0 = absent; 1, 2 or 3 = present). Similarly, for the CASH analysis, ‘present’ was defined as a rating of 2–5 (mild to severe) on individual CASH items, and absent as 0 or 1 (absent or questionable). The number of pure types to be used in a GoM analysis can be informed by the clinical question under examination [23]. Alternatively, the number of pure types above which no further information is gained can be determined mathematically by a likelihood ratio test or by a similar procedure based on minimizing the Akaike information criterion. In the latter the likelihood is penalized by the amount of estimated parameters [24]. The analyses of both the PSE and CASH data indicated that more than 2 pure types provided the best fit for the data on the above mathematical grounds. However, different analyses varied as to whether 3-, 4- or 5-pureAre There Valid Subtypes of Schizophrenia? type solutions were optimal, depending on the external variable used (age or GAS score), and on whether the likelihood ratio or the Akaike information criterion was employed. In terms of intuitiveness, the 3-pure-type solutions were closely similar for both the PSE and CASH analyses and were also easily interpretable. These are therefore presented first. Three-Pure-Type Solutions The 3-pure-type solution for the PSE current analysis is shown in table 1. Pure type I was characterized by zero probabilities on most positive symptoms. The only exceptions were sexual and fantastic delusions and catatonic symptoms which, at 0.15 and 0.11, respectively, were both well below the threshold of 0.5 for symptoms considered characteristic of a pure type [13]. In contrast, there were high probabilities on affective flattening, slowness, and a just-below-threshold probability on self-neglect. This type therefore corresponded quite closely to negative-symptom or simple schizophrenia. Pure type II resembled paranoid schizophrenia. It loaded maximally on nuclear symptoms, auditory hallucinations, referential delusions and sexual/fantastic delusions. There were also high probabilities on delusions of persecution. The probability for incoherent speech was 0.54, just above the cut-off of 0.5. The probability for grandiose delusions was just below the cut-off of 0.5. There were maximal probabilities on affective flattening, but only subthreshold probabilities on slowness, and selfneglect. The probability for residual syndrome (which consists of hears muttering or whispering, behaves as if hallucinated and non-social speech) was 0.66. This pure type, but neither of the other 2, was also associated with high ratings on depression items and 1 of the 2 anxiety items. Pure type III showed maximal probabilities on nuclear syndrome, grandiose and religious delusions and sexual/fantastic delusions. The probability on auditory hallucinations was also high at 0.76. However, the probabilities on delusions of reference and persecution were lower at 0.55 and 0.58, respectively. This pure type also had a maximal probability of incoherent speech. The probability for affective flattening was also maximal, as were those on residual syndrome and self-neglect. Pure type III was the only pure type to load on catatonic symptoms. It also was the only pure type to load on incongruity of affect, but at 0.41 this was slightly below threshold. This pure type therefore seemed to represent a more severe form of chronic schizophrenia combining features of both hebephrenia and catatonia. Psychopathology 2010;43:53–62 55 Table 1. GoM 3-pure-type solution using PSE ratings Pure types I II Affective flattening Slowness Self-neglect Worrying 0.88 0.69 0.42 0.31 III Nuclear syndrome Simple depression Affective flattening Auditory hallucinations Delusions of reference Sexual/fantastic delusions Non-specific psychosis Special features depression Tension Worrying Social unease Loss of interest/concentration Residual syndrome Delusions of persecution Irritability Lack of energy General anxiety Incoherent speech Obsessional neurosis Grandiose/religious delusions Slowness Olfactory hallucinations Other symptoms depression Self-neglect Situational anxiety 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.66 0.61 0.59 0.57 0.55 0.54 0.44 0.42 0.4 0.36 0.34 0.32 0.31 Nuclear syndrome Incoherent speech Residual syndrome Affective flattening Grandiose/religious delusions Sexual/fantastic delusions Non-specific psychosis Self-neglect Auditory hallucinations Delusions of persecutions Delusions of reference Catatonic syndrome Hypomania Incongruous affect Irritability Overactivity Visual hallucinations Agitation 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.92 0.76 0.58 0.55 0.52 0.45 0.41 0.37 0.35 0.33 0.31 Probabilities of <0.3 are not shown. For this analysis, age was used as the external variable. Analysis of ‘lifetime’ PSE ratings gave similar results. In particular, it continued to isolate a pure type which loaded above threshold only on affective flattening, slowness and self-neglect, together with subthreshold ratings on non-specific psychosis (0.46) and catatonic syndrome (0.39). The other 2 pure types showed essentially the same ‘paranoid’ and ‘hebephrenic/catatonic’ patterns of results as in the analysis of current symptoms. Analysis Using CASH Ratings As in the analysis of PSE ratings, 1 pure type (pure type III) loaded on a wide range of negative symptoms, although not on blocking and inappropriate affect. There were no probabilities on any delusion, hallucination or thought disorder items. A second pure type (pure type II) was similar to the paranoid pure type identified by the PSE. It had high probabilities on delusions, hallucinations and first-rank symptoms. The probabilities on thought disorder items 56 Psychopathology 2010;43:53–62 were all zero, except for that on poverty of content of speech, which approached threshold. Apart from affective flattening, which was maximal, suprathreshold probabilities on negative symptoms were scattered and relatively infrequent given the large number of such items in the CASH. The remaining pure type (pure type I) loaded most highly on thought disorder, grandiose delusions and negative symptoms. The probabilities were also high on auditory hallucinations and inappropriate affect. This pure type had a probability of only 0.29 on catatonic symptoms, but there were no high probabilities on this or any of the remaining CASH catatonia items (stupor, rigidity, waxy flexibility and excitement) for any of the other pure types. The findings are shown in table 2. Information Content Coefficients The H values, which quantify each item’s contribution to discriminability among the pure types, are shown in Pomarol-Clotet /Salvador /Murray / Tandon /McKenna Table 2. GoM 3-pure-type solution using CASH ratings Pure types I II Grandiose delusions Derailment Tangentiality Incoherence Illogicality Paucity of expressive gestures Affective non-responsivity Lack of vocal inflections Grooming and hygiene Impersistence at work or school Recreational interest/activities Unchanging facial expression Sexual interest/activity Inappropriate affect Auditory hallucinations Increased latency of response Ideas/delusions of reference Poor eye contact Somatic delusions Pressure of speech Religious delusions Decreased spontaneous movements Delusions of jealousy/other delusions Poverty of content of speech Persecutory delusions Poverty of speech Delusions mind reading Somatic hallucinations 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.91 0.90 0.88 0.77 0.74 0.70 0.70 0.69 0.68 0.65 0.60 0.58 0.50 0.46 0.42 0.40 0.30 III Persecutory delusions Religious delusions Ideas/delusions of reference Thought insertion Auditory hallucinations Affective non-responsivity Delusions mind reading Impersistence at work or school Recreational interest/activities Delusions of control Thought withdrawal Delusions of jealousy/other delusions Olfactory hallucinations Lack of vocal inflections Unchanging facial expression Paucity of expressive gestures Grooming and hygiene Thought broadcasting/echo Sexual interest/activity Poverty of content of speech Grandiose delusions Visual hallucinations Somatic hallucinations 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.99 0.96 0.92 0.83 0.81 0.74 0.65 0.63 0.59 0.53 0.52 0.49 0.49 0.43 0.39 0.37 0.36 Unchanging facial expression Decreased spontaneous movements Paucity of expressive gestures Poor eye contact Affective non-responsivity Lack of vocal inflections Poverty of speech Impersistence at work or school Recreational interest/activities Sexual interest/activity Grooming and hygiene Increased latency of response Posturing/mannerisms 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.97 0.89 0.35 Probabilities of <0.3 not shown. For this analysis, GAS score was used as the external variable. table 3. For the PSE analysis, a range of psychotic symptoms including delusions, hallucinations, and to a lesser extent incoherence of speech, contributed to the final pure type definition. Also important, however, were depressive symptoms. The CASH rates thought disorder in considerably more detail than the PSE, and in the CASH analysis 4 thought disorder items, i.e. derailment, tangentiality, incoherence and illogicality, made a greater contribution than delusions and hallucinations. In contrast, the values for most of the negative symptoms in the CASH were low. Four-Pure-Type Solutions In the PSE analysis, the 4-pure-type solution retained the simple and catatonic/hebephrenic pure types essentially unchanged. Paranoid schizophrenia became sepaAre There Valid Subtypes of Schizophrenia? rated into 2 pure types which could be construed as ‘florid’ and ‘residual’ forms. The former showed high ratings on persecutory and referential delusions, nuclear symptoms and auditory hallucinations, whereas in the latter the suprathreshold probabilities were almost exclusively on depression, and neurotic symptoms. Both types continued to load maximally on affective flattening. In the CASH analyses, the 4-pure-type solution essentially preserved the simple, paranoid and hebephrenic pure types and in addition isolated a type consistent with mild or residual symptomatology – characterized by the presence of some delusions and some negative symptoms, poverty of content of speech, but few other symptoms. In the 5-pure-type solution, symptomatology typical of paranoid schizophrenia appeared to be represented by 3 pure types. Psychopathology 2010;43:53–62 57 Table 3. GoM information content coefficients (H value) in the PSE and CASH analyses PSE analysis H value CASH analysis H value Nuclear syndrome Non-specific psychosis Simple depression Spec. features of depression Social unease Loss of interest Auditory hallucinations Residual syndrome Incoherent speech Referential delusions Grandiose/religious delusions Sexual/fantastic delusions Tension Persecutory delusions Worrying General anxiety Lack of energy Irritability Hypomania Incongruous affect Catatonic syndrome Self-neglect Other depressive symptoms Obsessional neurosis Situational anxiety Visual hallucinations Olfactory hallucinations Overactivity Agitation Slowness Hypochondriasis Depressive del./hall. Doubtful interview Affective flattening Ideas of reference Hysteria Depersonalization Organic impairment Subcultural del./hall. 0.70 0.70 0.62 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.55 0.52 0.50 0.49 0.49 0.48 0.45 0.26 0.26 0.24 0.24 0.21 0.19 0.17 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.07 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.02 0 0 Derailment Tangentiality Incoherence Illogicality Thought insertion Grandiose delusions Ideas/delusions of reference Religious delusions Persecutory delusions Poor eye contact Delusions mind reading Delusions of control Decreased spontaneous movements Somatic delusions Increased latency of response Pressure of speech Poverty of speech Thought withdrawal Inappropriate affect Auditory hallucinations Olfactory hallucinations Delusions of jealousy, etc.1 Paucity of expressive gestures Sexual interest/activity Thought broadcasting/echo Grooming and hygiene Lack of vocal inflections Somatic hallucinations Visual hallucinations Unchanging facial expression Circumstantiality Delusions of sin or guilt Posturing/mannerisms Poverty of content of speech Blocking Distractible speech Excitement Recreational interest/activities Clanging Stupor Rigidity Waxy flexibility Impersistence at work/school Affective non-responsivity 0.64 0.62 0.61 0.61 0.53 0.51 0.51 0.50 0.45 0.45 0.44 0.38 0.35 0.32 0.32 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.29 0.28 0.27 0.19 0.18 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0 1 This item was also used to rate miscellaneous other delusions. Agreement with Clinical Subtype Classification Without knowledge of the GoM analysis one of the authors (P.J.M.) assigned each patient to a subtype classification on clinical grounds. Eighty-one patients could be classified as paranoid (n = 39), hebephrenic (n = 19), 58 Psychopathology 2010;43:53–62 catatonic (n = 10) or simple (n = 13); the remainder were classified as undifferentiated. As described above, GoM analysis generates a gik value for each subject, which indicates the degree to which his or her symptoms reflect the profile of each pure type. The Pomarol-Clotet /Salvador /Murray / Tandon /McKenna Table 4. Mean gik scores of 81 schizophrenic patients diagnosed as simple, paranoid or hebephrenic/catatonic clinically Clinical subtype GoM mean gik score I/IIIa (simple) II (paranoid) III/Ia (hebephrenic/ catatonic) Analysis using current PSE ratings Simple 0.62b Paranoid 0.30 Hebephrenic/catatonic 0.25 0.14 0.48b 0.23 0.09 0.25 0.57b Analysis using CASH ratings Simple 0.67b Paranoid 0.28 Hebephrenic/catatonic 0.26 0.07 0.53b 0.20 0.05 0.25 0.58b a Pure types from analyses using current PSE ratings/CASH ratings, respectively. b Significantly higher gik score in the corresponding clinically identified subtype than in each of the other 2 clinical subtypes (see text). agreement between each clinical subtype (s = 1, …, S) and each GoM pure type (k = 1, …, K) was then assessed using the following formula: g ik ¬­ ­­ N total ¬­ ­ i s ­­ ­ N s ®­ g ik ­­ ­ all i ®­ The second ratio is the cumulative degree of membership to a pure type k for the individuals classified in the clinical subtype s, divided by the cumulative degree of membership of all individuals for the same pure type. The first ratio corrects for the fact that clinical subtypes are represented by different numbers of individuals in the sample. The results are shown in table 4. Although the agreement was far from perfect, it is apparent that in both the PSE and CASH analyses of current symptomatology, GoM analysis correctly identified at least twice the proportion of the patients clinically categorized as simple, paranoid or catatonic/hebephrenic as it incorrectly identified patients in other groups. Discussion Attempting to define subgroups of schizophrenia has always faced problems due to the continuously varying nature of the disorder’s clinical presentations. Kraepelin Are There Valid Subtypes of Schizophrenia? [3] stated that there were ‘such numerous transitions [between subtypes] that in spite of all efforts it appears impossible at present to delimit them sharply’, and Bleuler [2] observed that ‘a case which begins as a hebephrenic may be a paranoid several years later.’ While cluster analytic studies have failed to provide a clear empirical answer to this problem, our study demonstrates that techniques like GoM analysis, which differ from cluster analysis by not specifying mutually exclusive subgroup membership, can have findings which have much in common with the original paranoid-hebephrenic-catatonicsimple scheme. When a 3-pure-type GoM solution was specified, a paranoid-hallucinatory type emerged clearly from both the PSE and CASH analyses. Formal thought disorder made only a minor contribution to this pure type and negative symptoms were also not prominent, taking the form mainly of affective flattening. This pure type therefore conforms quite closely to the conventional view of paranoid schizophrenia – a presentation marked mainly but not exclusively by delusions and hallucinations, occurring against a background of less marked deterioration than in other schizophrenic subtypes. Both the PSE and CASH analyses also isolated a pure type characterized only by negative symptoms. Additionally, analysis using ‘lifetime’ assessments suggested that this pure type was not just isolating patients with current negative symptoms who had previously had positive symptoms. This pure type is thus consistent with simple schizophrenia. Patients in the third pure type showed high levels of delusions, particularly grandiose, sexual and fantastic delusions, plus hallucinations, thought disorder and negative symptoms. This was also the only pure type to load on inappropriate affect. While this pure type had obvious affiliations with hebephrenic schizophrenia, it also loaded on catatonic symptoms in the PSE analysis, although this was only marginally the case in the CASH analysis. Although some of the analyses on the present set of data suggested that 4- or 5-pure-type solutions provided a better mathematical fit than 3, the additional subtypes they generated were clinically uninformative. The 4pure-type solution in the PSE analysis did not split the catatonic/hebephrenic pure type, but merely separated the paranoid pure type into ‘florid’ and ‘residual’ types, or types dominated more by psychotic and more by neurotic and affective symptoms, respectively. The CASH analysis preserved the simple, paranoid and hebephrenic pure types and merely generated a fourth pure type consistent with mild or residual symptomatology. Psychopathology 2010;43:53–62 59 The fact that formal thought disorder and catatonic symptoms co-segregated in this study is not entirely counter-intuitive, as both symptoms have been found to be prevalent in severely ill, chronically hospitalized patients [25, 26]. Other studies have gone further and implied that hebephrenic and catatonic schizophrenia tend to merge into one another in the chronic stage of the illness. For example, Winokur and co-workers [27, 28] found that many patients meeting criteria for hebephrenic schizophrenia tended to develop catatonic symptoms after several years of illness, and they suggested that hebephrenic/catatonic schizophrenia was a more appropriate term for such cases. Similarly, a study examining the stability of schizophrenic subtypes over time [29] found that, while hebephrenic and paranoid schizophrenia rarely transformed into one another, a proportion of hebephrenic patients were rediagnosed as catatonic at follow-up. In this regard, it is also interesting to note that Hecker [30], in his original description of hebephrenia, alluded to the occurrence of catatonic phenomena. Our finding that GoM analysis isolated a pure type identifiable as simple schizophrenia could be of some current interest. Many authors have considered the existence of simple schizophrenia to be questionable [18]. However, two recent studies [19, 31] have made a convincing case that patients showing the typical clinical features of this presentation continue to be seen. One of the patients in one of these studies [31] has been described in detail in the DSM-III-R Casebook [32], where the authors argued that his diagnosis did not fit into any of the categories available in DSM-III-R, and that the diagnostic concept of simple schizophrenia should be considered as a possible addition to DSM-IV. However, ‘simple deteriorative disorder’ is currently only included in an appendix to DSM-IV which contains sets of criteria requiring further study. Clearly, the findings of our study add to the case for its inclusion in DSM-V. It is important to note that our findings using GoM analysis do not merely replicate, using a different technique, the positive, negative and disorganization syndromes found by Liddle [33] and others [34, 35] using factor analysis. In the first place, GoM analysis isolates groups of patients not symptoms. Secondly, while the 3pure-type solution produced 1 pure type consisting of patients only with negative symptoms, there were no pure types corresponding in any meaningful way to patients with reality distortion or disorganization; both the remaining 2 pure types loaded on a mixture of positive and negative symptoms. 60 Psychopathology 2010;43:53–62 As argued in the introduction, cluster analysis, which separates patients into mutually exclusive subgroups, may be flawed as a method for generating subgroups of schizophrenic patients. Nevertheless, comparing our results to those of the existing cluster analytic studies of schizophrenia reveals some commonalities. Carpenter et al. [6] applied cluster analysis to 600 acute schizophrenic patients and found that 4 clusters accounted for most of them. One cluster was characterized by poor insight, persecutory delusions, auditory hallucinations, passivity, flattened affect and social withdrawal, and so resembled paranoid schizophrenia. A second cluster shared many of the characteristics of the first, plus aberrant, agitated or bizarre behaviour, incoherence of speech, unkempt appearance and flattened and incongruent affect. Carpenter et al. [6] termed this ‘flagrant schizophrenia’, but it seems equally consistent with hebephrenic schizophrenia. Dollfus et al. [7], Farmer et al. [9] and Lykouras et al. [8] also isolated one cluster of patients with high scores on delusions, hallucinations and formal thought disorder but low scores on negative symptoms, and another where there were high scores on a wider range of positive and negative symptoms. These clusters are clearly similar to the pure types characterized as paranoid and hebephrenic, respectively, in our study. Dollfus et al. [7] and Lykouras et al. [8] also isolated a group of patients with predominantly negative symptoms. However, as these authors did not employ a lifetime approach, it would be dangerous to equate this cluster with simple schizophrenia. Another relevant technique is latent class analysis. This is related to cluster analysis, but employs a probabilistic approach and takes into account uncertainties about class membership. Like GoM analysis, it therefore generates ‘fuzzy’ class membership. However, it should be noted that the most commonly used classification rule in latent class analysis is modal assignment, which amounts to assigning each individual to a single class. A number of studies have applied latent class analysis to schizophrenic patients [36–38] or to groups of unselected psychotic patients [39–41]. However, only one of these studies generated data relevant to subtype classification. From a population-based sample of 343 patients with broadly defined schizophrenia or major affective disorder, Kendler et al. [41] identified 4 schizophrenic subgroups, plus 2 affective groups corresponding to major depression and bipolar disorder with psychotic features, respectively. Classic schizophrenia was characterized by high scores on delusions, hallucinations, plus flattening of affect and indices of deterioration; there were also somewhat lower Pomarol-Clotet /Salvador /Murray / Tandon /McKenna probabilities on formal thought disorder and alogia. Schizophreniform disorder was characterized by high levels of delusions and hallucinations but less prominent negative symptoms; this subtype also had a better outcome than classic schizophrenia. Schizodepression was characterized by levels of positive and negative symptoms which were as high as or higher than for classic schizophrenia, plus prominent depressive symptoms. The final type, hebephrenia, had a symptom profile which broadly resembled classic schizophrenia but with higher levels of formal thought disorder and elevated mood, overactivity, disinhibited behaviour and pressure of speech. One study other than ours has used GoM analysis to examine psychotic patients. Manton et al. [13] applied GoM analysis to symptom, course, history and outcome data on 1,065 acute psychotic patients in the International Pilot Study of Schizophrenia [42]. This isolated groups corresponding closely to mania and depression. The analysis also yielded 5 pure types ‘related to diagnostic concepts of schizophrenia and paranoid disorder’. However, these did not divide particularly along conventional lines. Pure type I loaded uniquely on auditory hallucinations, and non-uniquely on other hallucinations, firstrank symptoms, persecutory delusions and flattening of affect. Pure type II was characterized uniquely by depersonalization and derealization and symptoms understandable as psychotic elaborations of this. This pure type also loaded in a non-exclusive way on many other positive psychotic symptoms. Pure type III loaded almost exclusively on negative symptoms, together with multiple attributes of chronic and residual schizophrenia – autism, stereotypies, ambivalence and negativism. The 2 remaining schizophrenia-related pure types were similar to each other and were considered to reflect ‘paranoid psychosis’. They contained patients with persecutory delusions, ideas of reference, suspiciousness, irritability, and aggression and bizarre behaviour. Taken together, studies using cluster analysis, latent class analysis and GoM analysis appear consistently to honour the distinction between paranoid and hebephrenic subtypes of schizophrenia. A negative symptom or simple type has also sometimes been isolated. No study to date, however, has isolated anything resembling catatonic schizophrenia. There could be several reasons for this, not least the comparative rarity of this presentation in acute patients [42, 43]. 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