CHAPTER COMMENTARY Chapter 14 has close links to Chapter 13 on Poverty, Social Exclusion and Welfare, and also develops many of the theories of globalization that are included in chapter 4. The chapter provides an account of some of the empirical materials relating to inequality across the emerging global society. The opening paragraphs highlight the growing number of superwealthy in the twenty-first-century world as evidenced by the 2011 ‘Rich List’ in Table 14.1. These success stories are contrasted with the billions of workers currently earning barely enough to live on. The text links back to the previous chapter on poverty by stressing that the same mechanisms are at work but on an even greater scale on a global level. The chapter proceeds in four sections. The first sketches a typology of the countries of the world by income level. The second places some empirical flesh on the bones of the typology. The third covers the terrain of historical demography and looks ahead at the likely trends in world population. The fourth deals with the sociology of development and the role that political institutions play within the process of development. Global economic inequality is defined as signalling the systematic inequalities that exist between countries, allowing for the simultaneous existence of inequalities within countries. Competing measures of a country’s wealth are examined, namely Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Gross National Income (GNI). The text uses the World Bank’s typology of highincome, middle-income and low-income countries, while pointing out that income measures only tell part of the story. High-income countries were the early industrializers, although the ‘Asian tigers’ have now joined their ranks since the 1980s. Middle-income countries are found in south-east Asia, the Middle East oil producers, the Central American countries and the former Soviet republics. The low-income countries are mostly to be found in Africa, the Indian subcontinent, Indonesia and parts of Eastern Europe. The whole debate about inequality is an ongoing one: there are those who see globalization as ‘the great leveller’, while others see globalization as exacerbating existing patterns of inequality. The arguments are complex but are given full value and are supported by informative charts in Figure 14.1. The next section details the difference in living standards between the different countries known as ‘unequal life chances’. Four areas are highlighted: health, hunger, education and child labour. In each case we are presented with both the overall global picture and the inequalities between rich and poor. Maps, tables and photographs bolster and amplify the arguments in the text. Underlying such unequal life chances is the basic comparison between life in the relatively rich, industrialized countries and that in the relatively poor, developing world. This distinction is used across the book and offers a way of making some basic global comparisons across the diverse sub-fields of sociology. © Polity Press 2013 This file should be used solely for the purpose of review and must not be otherwise stored, duplicated, copied or sold Global Inequality The chapter moves on to a short course in historical demography, starting with the arresting statistic that the Earth’s population passed seven billion in 2011. The text briefly introduces the discipline of demography in order to understand and explain population trends. Some of the most widely used concepts are glossed in boxed form. The near zero or negative growth rates of the advanced nations are contrasted with the high net rates and distorted population pyramids of many of the less developed societies. This material is then placed in historical context with a review of Malthusianism and its famous thesis about the relationship between population and food resources. By the late twentieth century it seemed that Malthus’s ideas, in modified form, might again have relevance. The text offers an exegesis of the three stages of the demographic transition first outlined by Warren S. Thompson. This model is presented as a Classic Study given its wide-ranging influence on studies of demographic change. Stage 1 has high birth and death rates; in stage 2 the death rate falls but fertility remains high leading to a burst of population growth. In stage 3 birth rates fall to match death rates and stability returns. This contrasts with the work of Malthus. This section concludes with some speculation about future population levels, with the UN best estimate being around 9.3 billion people by 2050. With the empirical background established, the chapter finished with the development agenda. The experience of the newly industrializing countries (NICs) is detailed, with five major explanations being offered for their rapid success: (a) Many of these countries had foundations laid by the experience of colonialism. (b) There was a long period of world economic growth between the 1950s and the 1970s from which these countries benefited. (c) Generous economic assistance was provided by the United States during the height of the Cold War. (d) Some commentators suggest that the shared cultural tradition of Confucianism helped promote economic advancement in Japan and East Asia. (e) Strongly interventionist policies on the part of many governments were a major boost to economic growth. Theories of development are thoroughly discussed in the rest of this main section. Marketoriented theories favoured the pursuit of unfettered capitalism, a perspective exemplified by Rostow’s belief that underdeveloped societies needed to embrace a market approach. This perspective, modernization theory, was the dominant paradigm and was encapsulated in Rostow’s stages of economic growth (a Classic Study): traditional stage, ‘take-off’, technological maturity and high mass consumption. This bundle of views lives on in contemporary neo-liberalism. From the 1960s this perspective was challenged first by the dependency theorists, with its emphasis on colonialism, and later by world-systems theory. The world system comprises both core countries and peripheral countries, and it has an element of self-correction in its make-up. In the early 1990s, the dominant concept of ‘development’ came under severe criticism from scholars and activists, many of them working in developing countries, marking the start of a new era of post-development which bears some similarity to ideas of postindustrialism and postmodernism. The discourse of development is seen by postdevelopment theorists as a central element in maintaining the power of the minority world over the global majority. Global Inequality The remainder of the chapter examines the role of global institutions – the IMF, the World Bank, the UN and the World Trade Organization – in attempting to alleviate global inequality. It speculates on the future prospects in this area. TEACHING TOPICS 1. The nature of global inequality This covers the material in the first two sections of the chapter, comprising both the typologies of inequality and the empirical illustrations of the gulf between the rich and the poor of the world. 2. Population and demography This material covers both the theory and practice of demography as discussed in the chapter section titled ‘The changing human population’. 3. Arguments about development Comprising both the theoretical debates within the sociology of development and the controversies over the operation of global institutions, this covers the material in the main section ‘Can poor countries become rich?’ ACTIVITIES Activity 1: The nature of global inequality A. Read the opening section about global billionaires. Is it possible that there is now a ‘world elite’? B. Read the section on global economic inequality starting on page 575. Note down some statistical evidence showing growing inequalities across the world. How can countries can be growing further and further apart when the very nature of globalization involves greater economic integration? Activity 2: Population and demography A. Read the section on world population growth. Make sure you have a good grasp of the basic demographic concepts in Using Your Sociological Imagination Box 14.1 on pages 592-3. Make a summary of the main arguments put forward by Malthus about population growth. B. Now consider this short passage from a book on Thomas Malthus. In a short book mainly on a different topic altogether, Malthus had one comment on population: ‘I cannot agree with Archdeacon Paley, who says that the quantity of happiness in any country is best measured by the number of people. Increasing population is the most certain possible sign of the happiness and prosperity of a state; but the actual population may be only a sign of the happiness that is past’. In several respects this is an interesting passage. … For all his independence from political parties and schools of thought, Malthus throughout his life accepted without equivocation the utilitarian axiom that the function of political economy or of statesmanship is to improve the lot of humankind. 119 Global Inequality Second, these two sentences from Malthus’s first work at least suggest a dilemma that has plagued modern demographic analysis – namely, that the growth of numbers may be the consequence of prosperity (or, as we would be more likely to put it, of development), but that the effects of population increase are sometimes to impair that prosperity or in the worst cases to destroy it. [W. Petersen, Malthus, London: Heinemann, 1979, p. 38] 1. Check the term ‘utilitarian’ in a sociology dictionary and note the definition. Do you agree that the purpose of economic growth is to ‘improve the lot of humankind’? 2. Think more carefully about Malthus’s identification of population growth as both cause and effect. Try and apply this framework to other sociological variables and work through exactly how the relationships work. Activity 3: Arguments about development A. Make a brief summary of the main global institutions, especially the World Trade Organization (WTO). Then examine this piece of advocacy in favour of the WTO: The truth is that the WTO is more a champion of the weak than a stooge of the strong. Ask Ecuador. Its annual income per person is about £1,000 but its banana growers are the most efficient in the world. Banana production is in the hands of local people and banana workers enjoy full union rights. Their problem is that the EU makes it difficult for Ecuador to sell its fruit in Europe: the EU imposes strict limits on how many bananas it can export, and makes it pay hefty import duties … Without the WTO, Ecuador would be in dire straits. Thankfully it was able to appeal to the WTO, which ruled that the Europeans were breaching world trade rules. Kicking and screaming, the EU has agreed to change its banana regime … This is not the first time that the WTO has helped a small poor country fight its corner against a big rich one. True, the dispute settlement mechanism is not as fair as it could be. The US can marshal a battery of top lawyers to fight its cases; poor countries have to scrimp. But efforts are being made to remedy this, and a legal aid centre for poor countries is being set up. The point, though, is that in an unequal world, the WTO’s dispute settlement mechanism is much fairer than the alternative: the law of the jungle. [P. Legrain, ‘Against Globophobia’, Prospect, May 2000, pp. 32–3] www.prospect-magazine.co.uk 1. If wealthy countries are interested in free trade, why might they resort to various forms of protectionism? On which sectors of the developed countries’ economies might there be most pressure to do this and why? 2. Find out more about the activities of the WTO from its website. Look for additional examples where it has intervened in trade disputes and see what the outcomes were. 3. Consider the environmentalist motto, ‘think globally, act locally’. How exactly do you think this works? Choose one of the individual case studies recounted in the article and try to trace the mechanism through which a global event becomes an individual outcome. Write it down in terms of a number of steps or stages and show how each leads to or causes the next. Global Inequality REFLECTION & DISCUSSION QUESTIONS The nature of global inequality Might globalization not be good for everyone? Why have some developing countries done so much better out of expanding world trade than have others? Population and demography Why are sociologists interested in the work of demographers? In what sense is population growth at once ‘cause and consequence’? Why are birth rates lowest in wealthy countries where people could afford to have more children? Arguments about development To what extent are theories of development just reflections of more general theoretical controversies? Why is there so much hostility to organizations like the WTO? ESSAY QUESTIONS 1. Assess the prospects for a reduction in the wealth differentials between developed and developing countries in the next twenty years. 2. Describe and explain the phenomenon known as ‘the demographic transition’. 3. Which of the following provides the most convincing explanation of persistent and increasing global inequality: modernization theory, dependency theory, world-systems theory, post-development critiques? MAKING CONNECTIONS The nature of global inequality Obvious linkages exist here between the bulk of this chapter and the material in Chapter 4 on globalization. There are also parallels between the nature of global inequality and poverty in Chapter 13. You may also find connections here with issues of class and stratification in Chapter 12 and with global environmental issues in Chapter 5. Population and Demography This topic returns us to the emergence of modern societies traced in Chapter 4. The identification, observation and measurement of population trends present interesting challenges in terms of research methods (Chapter 2). A good example of the impact of population growth and movement would be the material on urbanization in Chapter 6. Arguments about Development Many theories of development mirror the central planks of the ‘grand theories’ discussed in Chapter 1 and Chapter 3, in so far as they are close to functionalism or Marxism. Themes of 121 Global Inequality nations, nationalism and colonialism are also closely tied to theories of national development and these are discussed in more detail in Chapter 23. SAMPLE SESSION Demography Aims: To introduce students to the discipline of demography and to raise their awareness of the technique of extrapolating from past and current trends. Outcomes: By the end of the session students will be able to: 1. Identify the main concepts within demography. 2. Produce an account of the main ideas of Thomas Malthus. 3. Demonstrate an awareness of the pitfalls of prediction in social science. Preparatory tasks Read the relevant sections of Sociology. In small groups carry out Task A and prepare a summary of the key points. Classroom tasks 1. Tutor elicits from the class explanations of the key demographic concepts in the boxed text referred to in Task A. Definitions go up on a board/flip-chart and remain there for duration of lesson. (10 minutes) 2. Split the class into the groups in which they did preparatory task. Groups now present the key facts they would consider when trying to predict the world’s population by 2050. (15 minutes) 3. As individuals, students complete Task B. (10 minutes) 4. Tutor-led discussion based on the passage commenting on Malthus. (15 minutes) 5. Tutor rounds off with links back to definitions in 1. (5 minutes) Assessment task On the basis of current information about future improvements and challenges to public health, discuss the variables that you would put into a model to predict the average life expectancy in the UK by 2050.