Intergroup Behavioral Strategies as Contextually Determined: Experimental Evidence from Israel 1 Ryan D. Enos2 Noam Gidron3 1 Thanks to Amir Gidron, Eric Nelson and the Harvard Center for Jewish Studies, Harvard Academy for International and Area Studies, Alex Mintz, Yalli Cananni and Geocartography, Julia Hutchinson and Harvard Global Services, Marika Beaton, Michael Gribben, Lee Cahaner, Ori Barzel, Yotam Kaplan and Alexander Sahn 2 Department of Government, Harvard University; renos@gov.harvard.edu 3 Department of Government, Harvard University; gidron@fas.harvard.edu Abstract Why are the negative effects of social diversity more pronounced in some places but not others? What are the mechanisms underlying the relationship between diversity and socially inefficient outcomes, and why do they vary in prevalence and strength across places? Recent experimental work in comparative politics has made significant advances in examining these questions by testing for differences in behavioral strategies when the identity of a strategic opponent is varied. At the same time, research in American politics, and increasingly in other places as well, has demonstrated that individual strategies are a function of context. In this paper, we unite these two lines of research and argue that the relationship between diversity and socially inefficient outcomes can be understood as a basic psychological process, which is a function of both the identity of individuals and the environment in which individuals reside. We argue that attitudes and behaviors are shaped by the context/prejudice link: context shapes prejudice, which shapes behaviors, which lead to social inefficiencies. What matters about context is the ways in which groups are organized in space, and especially the interaction between diversity and segregation, two universally applicable variables in the study of intergroup conflict. We examine these claims using original data compiled through multi-site lab-in-the-field experiments and survey responses collected across 20 locations in Israel. We demonstrate that attitudes and behavioral strategies of Ultra-Orthodox and nonUltra Orthodox Jews are strongly related to prejudice and vary systematically with the local size and segregation of social groups. Across and within countries, social diversity is positively correlated with between-group discriminatory attitudes and behaviors (Forbes 1997), poor governance (Easterly and Levine 1997), reduced social capital (Putnam 2007), inefficient resource distribution (Habyarimana, Humphreys, Posner, and Weinstein 2007), lack of democratic consensus (Couzin, Ioannou, Demirel, Gross, Torney, Hartnett, Conradt, Levin, and Leonard 2011), and violent conflict (Lim, Metzler, and Bar-Yam 2007, Bhavnani, Donnay, Miodownik, Mor, and Helbing 2013, Vanhanen 1999). Innovative work has examined the mechanism underlying this relationship, from both theoretical and empirical perspectives (Alesina, Baqir, and Easterly 1999, Habyarimana et al. 2007, Habyarimana, Humphreys, Posner, and Weinstein 2009, Lieberman and McClendon 2013). These investigations focus on behavioral strategies that are posited to be a function of individual-level variables, such as the ethnicity of opposing players. However, long-standing evidence from the United States (e.g. Green, Strolovitch, and Wong (1998)), and increasingly also other countries (e.g. Kasara (2013)) suggests the relationship between diversity and inter-group behavioral strategies and attitudes should vary, not only by the identity of the opposing players, but also by local context. Why are the negative consequences of diversity more pronounced in some places but not others? What is it about the local context that affects behavior? In this paper we propose a common theoretical framework for understanding the mechanisms linking diversity and social mechanisms and predicting how their prevalence and strength are expected to vary systematically across geographic units of analysis. We argue that inter-group behaviors and attitudes can be explained as part of a class of psychological phenomena that are shaped by the ways in which groups are organized in space. More specifically, we argue that the interaction between diversity and residential segregation, rather than diversity per se, plays an important role in determining intergroup affect, attitudes, and behavioral strategies, with different consequences for minority and majority groups. Using original experimental and survey data from Israel, we demonstrate that behavioral strategies and attitudes toward outgroups are, at least in part, a function of the social environment in which people live. 1 The empirical section of this paper is based on a large scale multi-site lab-in-the-field research conducted in 20 locations across Israel, focusing on the growing religious tensions within the Jewish population. This research design combines two, usually distinct, research strategies: survey data that bring the advantage of contextual variation and laboratory studies that precisely measure individual behavioral strategies. This allows for a rigorous measurement of intergroup behaviors, the psychological processes underlying these associations, and their contextual variation. The multiplicity of cross-cutting social cleavages, along with the availability of locations with great contextual variation within relatively small geographical distance, make Israel uniquely suited for studying the relations between residential patterns and inter-group relations. With the findings in this paper, we make several contributions: 1) we establish a theory of geographical context, prejudice, and intergroup behavioral strategies. We extend previous work to model contextual variation in the mechanisms through which the correlation between diversity and inefficient social outcomes operates. By doing so, we demonstrate that individual behavioral strategies are not only a function of the players, but the context in which the game is played. 2) We suggest that the class of mechanisms contributing to this relationship is broader than shown in previous research. 3) We demonstrate that the mechanisms underlying diversity and inefficient outcomes vary systematically by context, which should serve as a caution and guide for future research in the area. 4) We provide novel methods for controlling for self-selection when contextual variables are included in a theoretical model. 5) Finally, we provide some of the first systematic evidence for intra-Jewish relations in the geopolitically important state of Israel. We also argue that our results have important implications for social policy in diversifying Western nations. We point to residential segregation as an important component of intergroup relations and social efficiency. The rest of this paper is organized as follows: first we discuss why behavior is a function of context and how this informs the relationship between diversity and social inefficiency. We then describe the aspects of intergroup relations in Israel that are relevant to our study. 2 We move to describe our research design and the empirical results and close by discussing the implications of our findings for scholarship and policy. 1 The Negative Outcomes of Social Diversity Research on the negative social, political, and economic effects of demographic diversity has flourished in recent years. This body of literature ranges across a wide variety of theoretical approaches and empirical research designs. In addition to the topics mentioned above, various works establish a correlation between demographic heterogeneity and a bundle of negative outcomes, such as lower generalized trust (Alesina and La Ferrara 2002, Delhey and Newton 2005), poor distribution of public goods (Jackson 2013, Miguel and Gugerty 2005) and low economic development (Easterly and Levine 1997, Collier 2000, Alesina, Baqir, and Easterly 1999). In this paper, we collectively refer to these variables as socially inefficient outcomes. These correlations are shown to hold not only cross-nationally, but also when comparing sub-national units, as with the case of cities in the United States (Alesina and Ferrara 2004, Costa and Kahn 2003). The relationship between diversity and socially inefficient outcomes is generally described as causal; the implicit counter-factual claim in these studies is that a similar area with a homogeneous population should have better public goods provision, higher levels of trust, etc. While many studies on social diversity concentrate on ethnicity, others focus on other types of identities. In this paper, we explore a religious cleavage and we argue that our findings are generalizable to other salient social identities and conflict between politically relevant groups. In discussing the relevant populations in this study, we therefore adopt the general terminology of ingroup and outgroup. 3 1.1 Mechanisms Linking Diversity and Social Inefficiency Our central claim is that the behavioral mechanisms underlying the relationship between diversity and social inefficiency are a function of attitudes toward the outgroup and these attitudes are a function of context. As such, behavior too will vary by context. In this section we review the theoretical foundations of this claim. We begin with the mechanisms underlying the relationship between social diversity and social inefficiency. The literature has suggested several mechanisms underlying this relationship. Scholars have grouped these into three categories: preferences, technology, and strategy selection (Habyarimana et al. 2009).1 Preferences can be divided into commonality of tastes and other-regarding preferences. Commonality of tastes, in the context of governance, means tastes for public policies, such as preferences for expenditures on types of public goods. These tastes are thought to vary across social groups, making consensus on policy hard to achieve and, therefore, inaction by governments and other institutions designed to overcome collective action problems. Otherregarding preferences is a function of the psychological utility derived from the welfare of another person. With this mechanism, individuals derive more utility from the welfare of an ingroup member than an outgroup member, making actions undertaken to benefit the ingroup more common. Within the technology category there are many sub-mechanisms, most relevant among them for our study is efficacy. Efficacy is the degree to which it is easier for ingroup members to work together, perhaps because of shared language or customs, which lowers the incentive for cooperation across social groups.2 Finally, strategy selection also consists of a large number of sub-mechanisms, all of which involve individuals choosing different strategies when interacting with ingroup and outgroup 1 These mechanisms were usefully described by (Habyarimana et al. 2007) and (Habyarimana et al. 2009) and the description in this section is largely taken from these works. 2 Habyarimana et al. (2007) also discuss and test findability. Findability posits that the density of socialnetworks among ingroup members makes cooperative strategies available between ingroup members that are not available to the outgroup. We do not examine findability in this paper. 4 members. In the language of collective action, this involves the greater tendency for ingroup members than outgroup members to arrive at a cooperative equilibrium in a public goods game, thereby leading to less efficient outcomes when the game is played between ingroup and outgroup members. Our theoretical contribution begins by noting that these mechanisms can all result from a common psychological process. This process can generally be described as a distaste, affect, aversion, or prejudice against the outgroup. The exact form of this process is beyond the scope of this paper, so we adopt the general term prejudice, which describes a preference of the ingroup over the outgroup. Scholars have already noted that the psychological processes behind prejudice may cause the behaviors noted as mechanisms for diversity and inefficient outcomes. For example Habyarimana et al. (2007) appeal to social-cognitive theory of Social Identity Theory (SIT) (Tajfel 1969, Tajfel, Billig, Bundy, and Flament 1971, Tajfel et al. 1971) to explain why other-regarding preferences may favor ingroup over outgroup members. We note that prejudice can easily be extended to explain the presence of other mechanisms. Generally, this follows from increasing evidence that affect plays a role in all political behavior: as Lodge and Taber (2013, p.43) put it “all socio-political concepts are affectladen.” The connection between affect and political behavior likely arises because of the complexity of political decisions, which compels people to rely on affectively based heuristics (Sniderman, Brody, and Tetlock 1993). Importantly, Lodge and Taber (2013) and others have demonstrated that group-based attitudes are central to these affect-laden heuristics. This basic cognitive function can be extended to explain variation in all the mechanisms reviewed above. The tendency for individuals perceive more efficacy to working with ingroup members can be attributed to threat induced prejudice against the outgroup, which results in the attribution of negative stereotypes (Fiske, Cuddy, Glick, and Xu 2002) or negative utility from associating with the member of the outgroup. Strategy selection too, as measured by cooperative behavior, is dependent on assumptions about the behavior of the other player, which is conditioned by stereotypes attached to the other player, i.e. because decisions such 5 as whether or not to cooperate are complex, subjects rely on heuristics such as their feelings toward the other player. Finally, even the mechanism of tastes can spring from prejudice because aversion to outgroup members makes a person less likely to interact and acquire a commonality of tastes with the outgroup. 1.2 The Psychology of Geography and Intergroup Behavior Under what conditions does diversity lead to socially inefficient outcomes? Some scholars focus on types of diversity, distinguishing between economic and cultural differences (Baldwin and Huber 2010) or between groups with different degrees of political relevance (Posner 2004a). Others stress the role of political-institutional arrangements, suggesting that the effect of diversity varies between democratic and non-democratic regimes (Collier 2000) or small and large states (Posner 2004b). Other contextual variables have been proposed as important moderators of behavior, for example disparities in social status (Blumer 1958) and income (Gay 2006) between groups. Related to this scholarship, but largely working on different cases and within a different theoretical tradition, is the large literature on the contextual determinants of intergroup attitudes. This body of scholarship involves theory and evidence that closely resembles the literature on diversity and inefficient outcomes: aggregate levels of the presence of an outgroup are shown to be correlated with behavioral outcomes that are thought to operate through intergroup prejudice. These include overt and implicit racial attitudes (Wright 1977, Fossett and Kiecolt 1989, Fitzpatrick and Hwang 1992, Sigelman and Welch 1993, Quillian 1995, Bobo and Hutchings 1996, Taylor 1998, Oliver and Mendelberg 2000, Welch, Sigelman, Bledsoe, and Combs 2001, Oliver and Wong 2003, Gay 2006, Oliver 2010), policy positions (Glaser 1994, Hopkins 2010), social participation (Campbell 2006, Putnam 2007, Wright 2011), voter turnout (Key 1949, Matthews and Prothro 1963, Hill and Leighley 1999, Leighley and Vedlitz 1999), and candidate support (Giles and Buckner 1993, Voss 1996, Carsey 1995, Enos 2010, Spence and McClerking 2010). The predictions generated by this literature are 6 very similar to the diversity and inefficient outcomes literature: an area that is diverse will be associated with different behaviors than a more homogeneous area. However there is one key difference: the literature on the contextual determinants of intergroup relations models individual behavior as not only a function of the group membership of the opposite player, but also as a function of the context in which the game is played. In general terms, certain contextual variables (which we explore below) can stimulate prejudice toward the outgroup.3 Here we bring context into the discussion on the behavioral mechanisms connecting diversity to social inefficiencies by making the general case that prejudicial attitudes affect behavior toward the outgroup. While not all attitudes predict behavior, the relationship is generally quite strong. For example, Kraus (1995) reports the results of a meta-analysis, concluding that “attitudes significantly and substantially predict future behavior”. This leads to the prediction that individual behavior is shaped by the the context/prejudice link: Context shapes prejudice, which shapes behaviors, which lead to the social inefficiencies documented in the literature. In this paper, we begin by assessing the effect of prejudice on behaviors. Once we established this relationship, we move on to analyze the linkage between behavior and context. We focus on two broad, geographically-based contextual variables: outgroup size and residential segregation. We build a theory from these variables that connects geography to prejudicial attitudes and subsequently to behavior. These are attractive variables because from which to build a general theory because they are universally applicable: segregation and group proportions are phenomenon that are applicable to any society. These variables are also increasingly measurable in a variety of contexts due to improvements in Geographic Information Systems and other technologies, allowing the phenomenon to be widely studied 3 The mechanisms underlying the connection between contextual factors and outgroup affect are also much studied and disputed. In the context of American racial politics, these include: rational responses to material threat (Bobo 1983), competition over descriptive representation (Spence and McClerking 2010), increased group salience increasing perceptions of intergroup difference (Enos 2013), stimulation of old-fashioned racial stereotypes (Giles and Buckner 1993), manipulation of fear by interested elites (Key 1949), and preservation of “white power” (Voss 1996). While a fascinating topic of research, which could also benefit from an experimental approach, sorting through these mechanisms is unnecessary for our study. 7 (for example Ichino and Nathan (2012)). There is general agreement that the size or relative proportion of the outgroup in a locality causes increased prejudice, all else equal (Pettigrew and Tropp 2006).4 However, importantly for our analysis, it has also been argued in the American context that the relationship between outgroup proportion and prejudice is quadratic (Blalock 1967, Taylor 1998, Huffman and Cohen 2004, Enos 2010, Stephens-Davidowitz 2013), so that when the outgroup reaches large proportions, animosity tends to diminish. Additionally, recent scholarship has also begun to focus on the effects of spatial segregation, independent of group size, as a variable that directly affects prejudice, in both the U.S. (Baybeck 2006, Enos 2010, Uslaner 2012, Zingher and Steen forthcoming) and comparative contexts (Kasara 2012, Bhavnani et al. 2013, Koopmans and Veit 2013). The prediction in this literature is that the spatial segregation of groups (measured as residential segregation) increases prejudice. A range of mechanisms has been proposed to explain this relationship, including a lack of interaction with the outgroup leading to reduced trust (Uslaner 2012, Kasara 2012) or segregation serving as a heuristic for intergroup difference that leads to stereotyping (Enos 2011). The relationship between segregation and prejudice predicts that the discriminatory behavioral strategies proposed as mechanisms linking diversity and social inefficiency should operate more strongly in more segregated localities. These insights from the literature on contextual attitudes offer a key prediction for the study of the mechanisms linking diversity and inefficient social outcomes: the operation of the relevant mechanisms should vary predictably with the proportion of the outgroup and segregation in the local population. As we discussed above, the behaviors toward the outgroup can be thought of as a function of prejudice. If this is the case, then many, if not all, of the relevant mechanisms should be contextually dependent. For instance, as we demonstrate below, in some contexts we find very strong evidence that subjects prefer working with ingroup members on a task. However, this holds only for some locations but 4 We note that the finer details of this point are far from settled in the literature (Oliver 2010, Enos 2013) 8 not others. This pattern is predicted by the relationship between context and prejudice that will cause a simple aversion to working with outgroup members. And we find the greatest levels of ingroup preference in the areas predicted to have the highest levels of anti-outgroup prejudice. This contextual variation holds true for tests of all the classes of mechanisms proposed in the literature. Of course, segregation can affect the operation of mechanisms independently of individual psychology. For example, segregated groups have greater potential for acquiring differentiated tastes (Massey and Denton 1993), which implies that shared tastes should also vary with the contextual level of intergroup segregation. And segregation may also reinforce the accumulation of ingroup technology advantages that comes with residential segregation, such as shared customs, language, and habits, which makes the efficacy of the choice contextually dependent. Measuring the contribution of psychological and non-psychological processes to the operation of these mechanisms is beyond the scope of this paper. Here we note that they both can and should be operating in a diverse context. 1.3 Hypotheses Our theory of context and intergroup behavior generates several observable implications. We expect that increases in the size and segregation of a minority outgroup should increase intergroup prejudice and that this should be reflected in intergroup behaviors that have been proposed and tested as mechanisms linking diversity with negative social outcomes. In particular, we argue that size and segregation should be most visibly related to mechanisms most closely linked to affect: other-regarding behavior and strategy selection. Geographiccontextual variables should also have an impact on other mechanisms, but less directly and, therefore, perhaps more weakly. To summarize our expectations: 1. We hypothesize that the operation of taste for ingroup bias in other-regarding behavior, ingroup preference in task efficacy, and ingroup bias in cooperation will be greater in 9 individuals with higher outgroup prejudice. 2. We hypothesize that these same ingroup-biases will be systematically related to context. Ingroup bias should be greater in localities of higher segregation. 3. The local proportion of the outgroup should also significantly interact with segregation, but the relationship between local presence of the outgroup and ingroup bias will be quadratic, so that at lower levels of the outgroup population, increases in the outgroup proportion will lead to increases in prejudice. At higher levels of the outgroup proportion, it will lead to decreases in prejudice. While detecting the inflection point of this quadratic relation it outside the scope of our analysis, this theoretical insight produces two main predictions: (a) For small minority groups, increases in the outgroup are related to decreases in discriminatory behavior. (b) For large majority groups, increases in the outgroup are related to increases in discriminatory behavior. 2 2.1 The Intra-Jewish Cleavage in Israeli Society Demographic Background Due to its social and geographic characteristics, Israel is well suited for studying the effects of residential patterns on intergroup attitudes and behaviors. Israeli society shows high levels of ethnic fractionalization, especially compared to other OECD countries (Fearon 2003). As can be seen in Figure A.1 in the Appendix, Israel generally fits with the expected relations between social fractionalization and public spending (Alesina, Devleeschauwer, Easterly, Kurlat, and Wacziarg 2003, Fearon 2003). Due to the small geographic size of the country, within a relatively small area there are cities with vast variations in their demographic 10 composition and degree of segregation. This includes both cities with mixed Jewish (religious and non-religious) residents and inter-ethnic population (Arabs and Jews). Israeli society is rife with social cleavages. Much attention had been given to national and religious tensions between Arabs from Jews. Within the Israeli-Jewish society, the ethnic cleavage between Ashkenazi (with European origins) and Sephardic (with origins in Muslim countries) Jews has been analyzed from both economic (Fershtman and Gneezy 2001) and sociological (Mizrachi and Herzog 2012) perspectives. In addition, the intra-Jewish religious cleavage between religious and non-religious Jews is also highly salient in Israel (Ben-Porat 2013).5 Our study focuses on attitudes and behaviors between Ultra Orthodox [UO] and non-UO Jews. The UO are not defined by ethnic boundaries and are in fact deeply divided along ethnic lines (Ashkenazi and Sephardic origins). At the same time, the UO are clearly a “politically relevant group”, which Posner (2004a) identifies as a necessary condition for intergroup conflict. A politically relevant group is defined as a sub-group of the population that is a source of social identification and has direct impact on important political outcomes (Posner 2004a). We should therefore expect that theories regarding the effects and underlying mechanisms of inter-group relations should be also apparent within the intra-Jewish cleavages in Israel. According to Israel’s Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS), the Israeli population in 2009 was estimated at 7.5 million citizens. Around 75% of the population is Jewish, and the rest consist of mostly Muslim Arabs.6 In 2009, the UO population was estimated at around 750,000 people, approximately 14% of the Jewish population. The UO are rapidly growing due to high rates of reproduction. According to a recent CBS report, in 2012 around 23% of the students in Jewish schools attended institutions that are under UO supervision, 5 As can be expected, these cleavages intersect in multiple ways: “secular Israeli tend to be more educated, Ashkenazi, and politically identified with the left, and tend to describe themselves as upper-middle class. The [religious] ‘traditional’ category is popular among Mizrahim [Sephardic Jews]. Furthermore, religiosity strongly correlates with a rightist political orientation” (Ben-Porat 2013, p. 47) 6 This count does not include Arabs living in the Palestinian territories. 11 indicating a rapidly growing population. Figure 1 presents the CBS’s projections for demographic changes in 2009-2059 for Arabs, UO and non-UO Jews. The two minority groups Arabs and UO - are growing faster than the majority group of non-UO Jews. This pattern of population shift fits with a condition identified by scholars as associated with increased intergroup conflict (Hopkins 2010, Newman 2012). Figure 1: Projected demographic changes 200 300 All UO Non−UO Jews Arabs 0 100 Percentage of expected change 400 (a) Projected Rate of Population Change 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 Years Figures generated from authors calculations based on Israeli Central Bureau of Statistics data. In Hebrew, the UO are called “Haredim”, which translates “those in awe of divine power”. What distinguishes the UO from secular or other religious Jewish groups is their strict adherence to a very traditional interpretation of the sacred texts, which shapes their ways of living. They tend to live in segregated communities (as discussed below), attend an independent education system, wear distinctive clothing, pay special attention to issues of modesty and separation between men and women, and some prefer Yiddish to Hebrew 12 (Rubin 2012, pp. 161-163). Their beliefs and conduct of living have their origins in late 18th and early 19th century Eastern Europe: the UO “today practice a tradition that preserves to a remarkable degree the lifestyle of their villages (shtetls) in central and eastern Europe in the nineteenth century” (Berman 2000, p. 910). This includes also their style of dressing, which is unique in the Israeli landscape and makes them a highly visible minority. Our sample contains Israeli Jews across the full spectrum of religious adherence. It is important to state clearly that Israeli society contains a wide-range of religious devotion and cultural distinctiveness, including Jews that maintain religious customs, while not following the distinctive UO customs. It is therefore crucial to recognize that the Israeli Jewish society is not dichotomously divided between the non-UO and UO. Rather, the religious dimension is a continuum, with many traditional and Orthodox Jews situated in between (Rubin 2012, Ben-Porat, Levy, Mizrahi, Naor, and Tzfadia 2008). We took this point seriously in shaping the research instrument and consider it when analyzing the results, as discussed below. Because we were aware of the ambiguities in religious identity, we measured it in several ways, both by self-reported identity and the classification provided by the field workers. In the results reported here, we use classifications provided by the field workers to group our subjects, but the results using other classifications are similar and our conclusions would be unchanged. 2.2 The Politics of the Intra-Jewish Religious Cleavage The evolution of social tensions between UO and secular Jews in Israel is closely related to developments in the partisan arena. The Israeli party system is characterized by high levels of fragmentation. The UO are represented in the Knesset (the Israeli Parliament) by the Ashkenazi Agudat Israel (Union of Israel) party, which merged with other groups and is called today Yahadut HaTura (The Judaism of the Torah), and the Shas, the Mizrahi UO party. Shas’ success is at least partially due to its ability to attract also traditional and religious supporters, who do not see themselves as strictly UO (Ben-Porat 2013). The 13 influence of the UO parties increased as they participated in most governments since then (Sandler and Kampinsky 2009, p. 77). Because they have governed with both the Right and the Left, the UO parties play a pivotal role in a highly fragmented multi-party system and are well-positioned to serve as the king-makers of Israeli politics. In the last 30 years, the UO parties raised their demands to obtain material resources from the state for their community in the form of funds for the UO education system, generous childcare subsidies, governmental support for religious institutions, etc. These generous public funds allow the existence of a UO ‘society of learners’, exempt from military service and many times also from work. In light of their very low rate of participation in the labor market, government subsidies serves them as a crucial source of income (Doron and Kook 1999). However, the growing impact of the UO parties, coupled with projections over their demographic ascendance, has also created a backlash response, as the secular public felt coerced to accept more and more religious norms (Gordon 1989). According to Ben Porat et al., “in recent surveys a majority of respondents described the relationship between religious and secular as negative and as a great threat to Israeli democracy” (Ben-Porat et al. 2008, p. 31). 2.3 The Conflicting Dynamics of Integration and Segregation Changes in residential patterns constitute a major source of inter-group tensions in Israel. The communal aspect of the UO unique customs (code of dressing, educational institutions, Kosher regulations, gender segregation, etc.) is easier to preserve within an environment that consist mostly of UO. Traditionally, the UO preferred living in segregated neighborhoods in Jerusalem, or in the city of Bnei-Brak. As the size of the UO grew exponentially, there was a need to address their demand for affordable housing. During the 1960s, UO groups began to migrate into cities in the vicinity of Jerusalem and Bnei-Brak. They later moved farther into the periphery, where housing is cheaper (Cahaner 2009). In Jerusalem, UO have expanded from their traditional neighborhoods into the secular parts of the city. In some 14 cases, this process of UO-ization was accompanied with growing social tensions between groups. According to one observer (Efron 2003, p. 99), “The most primal fear of many secular Israelis is that Haredim [UO] are taking over our cities and neighborhoods”. By the late 1990s, non-UO residents of Jerusalem showed more concern regarding the intra-Jewish cleavage (secular-UO) than the inter-ethnic cleavage (Jews-Arabs) (Hasson and Gonen 1997). 3 Research Sites and Experimental Framework Previous works examining inter-group attitudes and behavioral strategies tend to rely on surveys (e.g. Tesler and Sears (2010)), laboratory (e.g. Fershtman and Gneezy (2001)) or lab-in-the-field (e.g. Habyarimana et al. (2007)) designs. Lab-in-the-field design has the advantage of moving beyond students in Western universities as the main population of interest in experimental social science research. Lab-in-the-field design also approximates a more natural environment for the respondents and thus increases the external validity of the experimental results (Grossman 2011). At the same time, as it stresses the importance of the local environment, this type of experiments also assumes that behavioral strategies vary across contexts, suggesting that lab-in-the-field experiments in a single area may suffer from external validity problems similar to those attributed to labs in traditional university settings. As with traditional lab experiments, it is sometimes hard to infer the scope conditions, or degree of generalizability, of the findings. For instance, it could be that degree of discrimination between Ashkenazi and Sephardic Jews differs across cities or neighborhoods in Israel (Fershtman and Gneezy 2001), or that behavioral strategies of French-natives toward Muslim immigrants vary across regions with more or less foreign-born population (Adida, Laitin, and Valfort 2012). And while surveys can be more easily deployed across multiple locations to measure scope conditions, it is often more difficult to manipulate conditions and precisely measure behavioral responses in a survey environment than in a lab. Previous works that used similar experimental games in a variety of different contexts 15 show that the answers ones finds depend on where one is looking (Henrich, Boyd, Bowles, Camerer, Fehr, Gintis, and McElreath 2001, Koopmans and Veit 2013). A comparative setting, with clear expectations for how and why behaviors should vary across sites, seems as the next logical step in experimental research design in the social sciences. While the execution of an elaborate multi-site research strategy can be costly and requires intimate knowledge with a host of contextual factors, it could at the same time extend researchers’ understanding of variations in the operation of key social mechanisms. Such a multi-site experimental design thus marries the comparative advantages of survey research (through close attention to contextual variations) and lab research (by measuring nuanced changes in respondents’ behavior). Prior to beginning our research we examined survey data on intergroup relations in Israel and found spatial variation in responses which were consistent with our hypotheses. We display these results in Table A.1 in the Appendix. We then designed and piloted our experiments on Israelis living in the U.S. We also used a web-based survey to pilot our questions about residency on a convenience sample of several dozen Israelis (living in Israel). 3.1 Case Selection Our locations include 16 cities across Israel and 4 neighborhoods in Jerusalem, which were selected based on variation in degrees of diversity and residential segregation. Table A.2 in the Appendix provides descriptive statistics on the key features of these locations. In mixed cities and neighborhoods, the sample consists of approximately half UO and half non-UO Jews, regardless of the distribution of the population in this location. This means that in each location, the minority group is over-represented, which allows sufficient statistical power to measure their behavior. This results in UO comprising a larger share in our sample compared to their relative size in the population. 16 3.2 Sampling method Fieldwork in Israel was conducted during late July and early August 2013 by a local professional survey firm, which has a unique expertise in working with the UO sector. We supervised approximately 20% of the field work in order to insure the integrity of the process. Our sample consists of 456 individuals spread across 20 locations, with an average of 23 respondents in each location. The number of respondents in each location ranges from 21 to 27 (see table A.3 in the Appendix). Quotas for gender and age groups were used to ensure a balanced sample of the population in each location. We limited participation to Hebrew speakers. Participants in each location were randomly selected to participate in the research, based on a random walk strategy. Fieldworkers followed a strict protocol in choosing potential participants. Walking from door to door in the locations to which they were assigned, fieldworkers presented the research as dealing with “Israeli society” in the broadest terms and explained that compensation will depend on participants’ decisions in a series of decision-making games, with a guaranteed minimum of 20 NIS (the equivalent of about $6). Participation took around 40 minutes, in which respondents worked independently on a laptop provided by us. The response rate for those invited to participate was approximately 17%, which compares favorably to survey response rates in the U.S. (Schoeni, Stafford, Mcgonagle, and Andreski 2013)7 With this method, we obtained a sample that is similar to a nationally representative Jewish sample obtained in other surveys (see Table A.3). However, because we oversample the UO population, which tends to be poor and less well educated than the typical Israeli Jew, our sample is over-represented on these dimensions. This method of data collection provides us with three main advantages. First, whereas 7 Considering the high costs of participation (letting fieldworkers into participants’ homes for more than half an hour), this response rate seems actually quite high. One thousand fifteen individuals immediately refused to participate, without opening the door. This includes children who are not allowed to bring in strangers, immigrants who did not speak Hebrew, etc. 1225 individuals refused to participate after learning about the research topic and expected compensation. In some cases, due to language or technological limitations, fieldworkers provided participants with basic technical help in responding. 17 random sampling is standard in collecting survey data, it is more rarely used in experiments. By bringing the lab to participants’ homes, rather than the other way around, we were able to achieve a broader and more representative sample of the population. Second, since we are interested in the effects of local residential patterns on attitudes and perceptions, it was important that participation takes place within the natural environment where individuals live and interact with others (rather than in a lab outside their neighborhood). Lastly, fieldworkers were instructed to record the exact location of the interview. This allowed us to match participants with geo-coded data on their immediate area of living, providing us with rich contextual information about their local environment. 3.3 Key tests Our subjects engaged in a series of games and survey questions to test the mechanisms of diversity and public goods. We designed our tests to closely resemble the design of Habyarimana et al. (2007). These tests took the following form: 1. Respondents expressed their preference for policy priorities to assess differences in tastes. They were asked which of the following four issues, which are commonly debated in Israeli politics, they believed to be the most important for the government to spend money on: defense, education, inequality, labor, or other. 2. Respondents played a dictator game to assess differences in other-regarding behavior. In this game, they were allocated 20 NIS (approximately $6) and allowed to allocate as much as they wanted between two other players or keep any amount for themselves. The other players were always either a UO and a non-UO, a UO and an Arab, or an Arab and a non-UO. Each subject played three rounds, with each combination presented in random order. It was also mentioned that all of the opposing players reside in Jerusalem, where both Arabs, UO and secular Jews live. At the end of this section, we documented whether respondents could recognize the social group of each 18 of the players. 3. Respondents played a public goods game to assess strategy selection differences when playing against the ingroup or outgroup. This was a Prisoner’s Dilemma where the subject was given 20 NIS and allowed to cooperate by sharing all of it or defect by keeping the 20 NIS for themselves. Only after they played were respondents informed on how the opposing player acted. Payoffs were multiplied in the standard format of a Prisoner’s Dilemma: the sum of money in the public pot was multiplied by 1.5 and then equally divided between the two participants. Subjects played three rounds, facing a UO, non-UO, or Arab in each. 4. Respondents were asked to choose a partner for a complex task to assess perceived technology advantages from working with the ingroup. Next to photo of a large Lego box, they were asked the following question: “Imagine you were given a complicated LEGO set similar to the one shown above, complete with instructions. If you had a limited time to complete it and you could choose a partner out of the people below, which one would you choose to work with?”. Respondents were given the option of choosing a UO, non-UO, or Arab (represented by photos of the same individuals from the previous games). Subjects were paid the winnings from a randomly determined round from one of their games. To recruit players as opponents for economic games, we contacted local residents of Jerusalem (Arab, Jewish and UO men at the ages of 20-30), who agreed to serve as opposing players in the dictator and public good games. We collected their basic demographic data and photo, and recorded their decision in a theoretical public-good game. Before each game, players were given detailed instructions. The group memberships of the other player was not explicitly identified; only the first name of the player and a photo were displayed. The difference between Arab and Jewish names and unique dress of the UO were intended to serve as clear identifiers of group membership. After the games, we asked 19 respondents to judge the group membership of the opposing players. A large majority of our respondents did so correctly. To test for prejudice, we use a modified Bogardus Social Distance Scale (Bogardus 1925), which is a cumulative scale designed to measure affect between two groups. Meta-analysis of this type of scale has demonstrated that they are predictive of behavior (Kraus 1995). We presented respondents with different outgroups and asked them to indicate the closest relationship for which they would accept that person with the options of “none”, “visitor to my country”, “citizen of my country”, “coworker”, “neighbor”, “friend”, and “relative”. Accepting a person into none of the relationships is maximum negative prejudice, while acceptance as a relative represents minimal negative prejudice. We also measured prejudice using a number of other theoretically similar measures, which yield similar results in the analysis to follow 3.4 Measurement of Ultra Orthodox population Using contextual data derived from the Israeli census of 2008, we construct measures of both demographic homogeneity and segregation. Segregation scores were computed using the Dissimilarity Index, a common measure of spatial segregation. We measure these variables at the Statistical Area (SA) level. These are the smallest unit of analysis used by the CBS (roughly equivalent to a Census Tract in the United States). In large cities, this unit stands for a neighborhood, yet in rural parts of the country a statistical area may include the whole town. In most cases, SA include around 1,000 to 10,000 inhabitants, though some of them are significantly smaller. In the Appendix (Section A.4) we offer a longer description of measurement of this population and some alternative measurements that yield consistent results. 20 4 Results 4.1 Presence of mechanisms nationwide We display the basic nationwide results for the preference, technology, and strategy mechanisms found in the literature on diversity and social efficiency in Table 1. In the Appendix (Section A.5) we more fully explore the distribution of each of these variables and report differences in behavior for UO and non-UO samples. Table 1: Nationwide Means of Behavioral Strategies Dictator Ingroup Preference UO - non-UO Education Preference UO - non-UO Defense Preference Public Goods Ingroup - Outgroup Cooperation Strategy Ingroup - Outgroup Task Efficacy mean t statistic p value 2.91 0.12 -0.06 0.20 0.63 7.69 2.59 -1.94 6.63 12.77 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.00 0.00 Mean behavioral responses for ingroup preference in Dictator Game, ingroup cooperation minus outgroup cooperation in Public Goods Game, ingroup selection for task, and UO minus non-UO proportions selecting two policy priorities for government spending. N = 440 The difference between giving to the ingroup and outgroup in the dictator game shows a strong tendency to favor the ingroup (Row 1). We operationalize the level of otherregarding behavior by measuring the amount distributed to ingroup members minus the amount distributed to outgroup members. The median difference was 0, which reflects that a large portion of players gave no money to either player, rather choosing to keep it for themselves. On the other hand, over 10% of players awarded all 20 NIS to their ingroup member. The mean differences is 2.91 NIS. A T-test to reject the Null Hypothesis of no difference between ingroup and outgroup giving can very confidently be rejected (t = 7.69). Policy preferences for UO and non-UO are also different, further indicating differences in tastes between groups. Rows 2 and 3 display the proportion of UO minus the proportion of non-UO that favor spending priority for the government. Consistent with their large families, UO favor educational spending, while the non-UO, who serve in the military, have a stronger preference for defense spending. T-tests for a Null hypothesis of no difference in preference 21 on defense spending and education spending allow us to reject both nulls (t = 2.59 and t = −1.94, respectively). Cooperation in the Public Goods Game (Row 4) was much more likely with the ingroup (90%) than the outgroup (70%). These differences allow us to easily reject a Null Hypothesis of no difference in cooperation between ingroup and outgroup members (t = 6.63). These differences indicate strongly different strategy selection depending on the player.8 In the selection of partner for a complicated task, we also see a strong ingroup preference (Row 5). In our sample, 62.9% of respondents indicated they would prefer to complete the task with their ingroup member. These differences also allow us to easily reject a Null Hypothesis of no difference in cooperation between ingroup and outgroup members (t = 12.62).9 These differences indicate that a technology mechanism is operating. In summary, in our sample, nationwide we find support for all three of the categories of mechanisms linking diversity to inefficient social outcomes. This basic result differs slightly from previous findings, such as those of Habyarimana et al. (2007) in Uganda. And, consistent with scholars such as Lieberman and McClendon (2013), this suggests that there may be cross-national variation in the operation of these mechanisms. Of course, some crossnational variation is naturally to be expected and it would be a much larger under-taking to assess the extent of this variation. Instead, our focus in this study is to demonstrate that there is strong systematic variation within a single country, suggesting that the operation of these mechanisms are subject to the same psychological forces observed in the contextual determinants of intergroup relations. We therefore turn now to examining variation across our study locations next. 8 Consistent with Habyarimana et al. (2007), the results reported here are for “non-egoists”. Egoists are players that opted not to cooperate regardless of the identity of the opposing player. Full results for non-egoists are reported in Table A.5 and for all players in Table A.4 in the Appendix. 9 Respondents were given three alternatives: a non-UO Jew, an UO or an Arab. If they were choosing randomly, we would expect the ingroup member to be chosen in 1/3 of selections, a T-test against this alternative hypothesis yields t = 12.62, allowing the hypothesis to be easily rejected. If the Jewish players are expected to pass over the Arab but are indifferent between the two Jewish alternatives, we should expect them to select the ingroup 50% of the time. A t-test on this alternative yields t = 5.50 also allowing us to strongly reject this hypothesis. 22 In the analysis above and all the analysis to follow, in unreported results, we also subset the analysis by UO and subjects which consider themselves as secular (as opposed to all non-UO) and this also yields consistent results. We also performed the analysis using a different classification scheme for religiosity, in which self-reported classifications were used. This too yields substantively similar results. 4.2 The Relationship Between Prejudice and Behavioral Strategies We have proposed that intergroup behavioral strategies can usefully be understood as a general psychological phenomenon that operates through prejudice against members of the outgroup, perhaps based on negative stereotypes that serve as heuristics or other such mechanisms. We display the distribution of prejudice, as measured by social distance, in Figure 2. The modal response is that a subject would accept an outgroup member as a neighbor (29.5%). Only 31% of respondents would accept an outgroup members as friend or relative and 24.4% would only accept an outgroup member as a fellow citizen of their country or more distant, meaning they would not want to live in the same neighborhood or work with outgroup members. We created a dichotomous variable based on whether or not the respondent would accept an outgroup member as a neighbor or closer, meaning the sample includes people that would accept the outgroup as friends or relatives.10 We looked at behavioral strategies as a function of this variable as well. Table 2 displays results of T-tests for the differences in outgroup discrimination for subjects who would not accept an outgroup member as a neighbor and those would would accept an outgroup member as a neighbor (or closer). This table demonstrates that social distance is strongly related with these discriminatory 10 We also created a variable based on acceptance as a relative member which yields substantively similar results in the analysis that follows. Similarly, measuring affect through a seven-point scale of trust of the outgroup yields substantively similar results. 23 Figure 2: Distribution of Social Distance 0.35 0.3 0.30 0.25 0.2 0.20 0.2 0.15 0.15 0.11 0.10 0.05 0.03 0.02 visitor nothing 0.00 relative friend neighbor coworker citizen Distribution of responses on Social Distance Scale. N = 413 behaviors. Subjects with high social distance have a 2.88 NIS greater ingroup bias in the Dictator Game than those with low social distance, this is equal to .37 of a standard deviation of the variable. They also cooperate with the ingroup over the outgroup 17 percentage points more than those with low social distance. And they are 12 percentage points more likely to choose an ingroup member for a task. All these differences yield p < .05 for a Null Hypothesis of no difference between the groups. We use this as non-parametric demonstration of association between these variables, indicating that negative affect toward the outgroup is positively associated with discriminatory behavior. Definitively demonstrating that this relationship is causal - that prejudice causes these behavioral strategies - would require further experiments. However, as reviewed in the introduction to this paper, we argue that there is a strong theoretical and intuitive plausibility that discriminatory behavior is driven by prejudice and, as such, should vary with context in a manner similar to prejudice. Having demonstrated that the discriminatory behavior is 24 strongly predicted by prejudice, we turn to demonstrating that these same discriminatory behaviors are strongly predicted by context. We then demonstrate and discuss some of the implications of this relationship for the study of diversity and social efficiency.11 Table 2: Behavioral Strategies by Social Distance Dictator Ingroup Preference Public Goods Ingroup - Outgroup Cooperation Strategy Ingroup - Outgroup Task Efficacy mean t statistic p value 2.88 0.17 0.12 3.79 2.58 2.60 0.00 0.01 0.01 Mean behavioral responses for ingroup preference in Dictator Game, ingroup cooperation minus outgroup cooperation in Public Goods Game, and ingroup selection for task for subjects rejecting the outgroup as a neighbor minus subjects that would accept the outgroup as a neighbor. N = 422 4.3 Contextual Influences on Prejudice and Behavioral Strategies We have argued that the relationship between individual strategies and social inefficient outcomes can be understood as part of a general psychological phenomenon of anti-outgroup prejudice. And we argue that this implies that individual behavioral strategies are not only a function of the outgroup status of other players but of the context in which the games are played. We can assess this relationship by regressing behaviorally revealed ingroup preferences on the interaction of local area segregation and homogeneity of the outgroup. As dependent variables, we use the results of main experiments: other-regarding behavior as measured by the Dictator Game, outgroup cooperation as measured from a Prisoners’ Dilemma, and preferences for ingroup members in a complex task. In linear regression models, we include individual level covariates and cluster the standard errors at the local level. We regress these variables separately for UO and non-UO subjects because the range of homogeneity is significantly different across the two groups. This is because UO, the minority within the 11 In addition to definitively demonstrating the causal relationship between prejudice and discriminatory behaviors, a direction for further research should be to decompose the direct effects of context on behavior, perhaps through network or social sanctioning effects, and the direct effect of context on behavior, as mediated by prejudice. 25 Jewish population, rarely lives in cities where outgroup is not a majority. As stated in hypothesis 2, this leads to a potential nuance in the expected results. The relationship between outgroup group-size and prejudice is often thought to be quadratic, so that at low-levels of the outgroup population, as the outgroup becomes larger they are more of threat and induce more prejudice. However, at the higher-ends, the relationship may actually negative as an outgroup becomes a large majority of the population, individuals living in these locations may feel particularly at ease with the outgroup. This leads to different expectations for the relationship between outgroup size and discrimination for the UO and non-UO in the analysis below. For the UO, where the outgroup usually comprises over 80% of the local population, increases in the outgroup should be related to decreases in discriminatory behavior. For the non-UO, where the outgroup is usually comprises under 20% of the population, increases in the outgroup should be related to increases in discriminatory behavior. In the regressions below we included only subjects that correctly identified the religiosity of the opposing player. Including all subjects does not substantively change the results. We also tested the relationship using a hierarchical model with varying intercepts for locality, which produces the same substantive results. Below we focus on the results from the Dictator Game. In the Appendix, we report the results of the same regressions using task ingroup preference in task efficacy and ingroup bias in cooperation in Tables A.6 and A.7, which follow the same pattern as the results for ingroup bias in other-regarding behavior. The regression coefficients are reported in Table 3. Our main variables of interest are Segregation, Outgroup Percent, and the interaction of the two. For both the UO and nonUO, respondents are very responsive to changes in these variables, with large coefficients. This is true however especially for the non-UO, where the variables are large and achieve conventional levels of statistical significance. Furthermore, for non-UO, the interaction term is especially strong, demonstrating the sensitivity of individual behavior to contextual influences. Remember that UO and non-UO are operating on opposite ends of the distribution of Outgroup Proportion, which results in different signs on the coefficients, even though the 26 Table 3: Regressions of ingroup bias in other regarding behavior on contextual variables UO Intercept Segregation Outgroup Proportion Male Age Mixed Ethnicity Other Ethnicity Sephardic Ethnicity Political Ideology High Income Low Income Arab Population Jerusalem Segregation x Outgroup Percent N R2 adj. R2 Resid. sd −6.55 (13.66) 31.26 (32.29) 4.91 (16.49) 0.10 (0.92) 0.04 (0.03) −2.12 (1.50) −2.85∗ (1.36) −1.30 (1.03) −0.17 (0.37) 1.81 (2.32) 2.14 (1.57) 31.29∗ (13.09) −0.84 (1.86) −31.68 (37.73) 200 0.09 0.03 7.13 Non UO 11.69∗ (5.56) −13.88∗ (6.03) −41.89∗ (8.89) −0.47 (1.20) −0.05 (0.03) −3.56∗ (1.21) 2.89 (3.42) −2.94∗ (1.09) 0.16 (0.83) −1.23 (1.65) −1.10 (1.53) 7.15 (16.00) −1.76∗ (0.87) 95.40∗ (25.76) 189 0.08 0.01 8.17 Regression of ingroup bias in dictator game for UO (column 1) and non-UO (column 2) on contextual and individual level variables. Ingroup bias in the Dictator Game is the amount in NIS contributed to ingroup members minus the amount contributed to outgroup members. In both cases, higher numbers represent greater discrimination against the outgroup. Clustered standard errors in parentheses. ∗ indicates significance at p < 0.05 behavior of individuals in both groups follows the theoretical prediction. To demonstrate this pattern, we display the predicted values of ingroup preference in the dictator game in Figure 3. In these figures, the predicted amount of ingroup bias is shown while moving between the inner 90% range of levels of segregation found in Tel Aviv (.29) and Jerusalem (.65) and proportion of UO in Tel Aviv (.01) and Jerusalem (.33), while holding other variables at 27 mean values. The solid lines represent the mean values and the dotted lines represent the 95% confidence intervals of these predictions. As predicted, greater segregation (Figures a and c) results in greater ingroup bias and outgroup proportion follows a curve-linear pattern, with lower levels of the outgroup (Figure b), seen among the non-UO population, leading to more ingroup bias. As outgroup levels reach higher levels (Figure d), as with the UO population, ingroup bias decreases. We choose not to extrapolate either of these populations across the entire range of possible outgroup levels because we simply do not have the data to support inference for the lowest outgroup levels for the UO or the highest outgrip levels for the non-UO. However, in the areas we do predict values, the data neatly fits theoretical expectations. Moving across the range of segregation for non-UO (a) takes the ingroup bias from about 0 to almost 4 NIS and the range of Outgroup proportion (b) increases the ingroup bias by over 500%. Similarly, although more weakly, the point estimates on the associated changes for the UO are over 75% increase when segregation increases (c) and an 85% decrease when out group proportion increases (d). Another way to look at the powerful influence of context, especially segregation, is displayed in Figure 4. In this Figure, we demonstrate the effect of segregation by predicting the changes in discriminatory behavioral strategies when moving between Tel Aviv and Jerusalem levels of segregation, while at the population proportions projected for 2059, as discussed in the previous section. These changes indicate the potential strength of segregation to shape intergroup behavior in a more diverse society. The relationship between discriminatory behavior and segregation shows that as the minority population of Israel grows, decisions about the spatial integration of groups can have powerful consequences. In Figure 4 we see that moving from Tel Aviv levels of segregation to Jerusalem levels increases the level of discriminatory behavior. We report increases in discriminatory behavior in the Dictator Game, ingroup preference for a task, and non-cooperation in the Public Goods game for non-UO (white circles) and UO (black circles). Ninety-five percent confidence intervals are displayed with dotted lines. We standardize the results of the Dictator Game to a 0 to 28 Figure 3: Predicted ingroup preference by levels of segregation and homogeneity (a) Segregation, non-UO (b) Outgroup Proportion, non-UO 10 Ingroup Preference Ingroup Preference 10 5 0 −5 5 0 −5 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45 0.50 0.55 0.60 0.00 0.05 0.10 Segregation 0.20 0.25 0.30 Outgroup Proportion (c) Segregation, UO (d) Outgroup Proportion, UO 10 Ingroup Preference 10 Ingroup Preference 0.15 5 0 −5 5 0 −5 0.30 0.35 0.40 0.45 0.50 0.55 0.60 0.70 Segregation 0.75 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 Outgroup Proportion Predicted level of ingroup - outgroup allocation in dictator game in NIS with varying levels of segregation (a) and homogeneity (b) for secular and segregation (c) and homogeneity (d) for UO. All other variables held at mean levels. Dotted lines represent 95% confidence intervals. 1 range. This figure demonstrates the potentially powerful effects of segregation to shape inter- 29 Figure 4: Predicted changes in discriminatory behavioral strategies, moving from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem levels of segregation with 2059 population projections Dictator ● ● Task ● ● Public Goods ● ● −0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 Expected Change from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem Predicted changes in discriminatory behavioral strategies for non-UO (white circles) and UO (black circles) moving from Tel Aviv levels of discrimination to Jerusalem levels at 2059 population projections. Dotted lines are the 95% confidence intervals. All other variables held at mean levels. group relations as population patterns change. If Israeli society develops in a highly segregated, such as the current Jerusalem residential patter, rather than in a more integrated pattern, such as that of the current Tel Aviv situation, intergroup behavioral discrimination can be expected to greatly increase, resulting in more ingroup preference and more perceived ingroup efficacy in tasks, and less cooperation. We further explore the implications of this relationship for Israel and other societies in the Conclusions Section. 30 4.4 Variation in Mechanisms Across Locations Our findings have implications for the understanding of the mechanisms underlying the effects of social diversity and socially inefficient outcomes. Previous work, most prominently Habyarimana et al. (2007), has explored these mechanisms by testing for the presence of discriminatory behavior in different types of games or decision tasks. We have demonstrated that the levels of these behaviors vary systematically with context. This should mean that the operation of these mechanisms will be contextually dependent, so while, for example, preference mechanisms may be most prominent in a certain setting, technology mechanisms may also be found prominently elsewhere. In this section, we demonstrate how different conclusions would be reached by a scholar deciding to locate their study in different locations, even within the same country. We believe this point has important implications for the study of comparative politics. Because behavior is a function of context, as well as the players, scholars may observe the operation of different mechanisms depending on the location chosen for research. In Figure 5 we display findings that illustrate this point. This figure shows four locations where we conducted our experiments: two cities (Kiryat Gat and bnei Brak) and two neighborhoods in Jerusalem (Kiryat Yovel, Jerusalem Center). Pairs of these locations have similar levels of UO population: 4%, 6%, 55%, and 65% respectively (as a percent of the Jewish population), but different levels of segregation: .50, .33, .53, and .34, respectively.12 For each location, we display four quantities of interest: 1) differences in tastes for spending priority on defense between UO and non-UO (T); 2) standardized differences in other regarding preferences for the ingroup over the outgroup (R); 3) perceived efficacy advantage from working with the ingroup over the outgroup fin the Lego test (E); and 4) probability of cooperation with an ingroup member minus probability of cooperation with an ingroup member (C). For each of these measures, positive values mean greater levels of the 12 bnei Brak is a city in the Tel Aviv metropolitan area. In Israel, it is often considered a strongly UO location, but official statistics reveal that the population is more religiously mixed than might be popularly perceived. Reflecting this reality, our sample from bnei Brak includes a mix of UO and non-UO. 31 ingroup favoring behavior. For each quantity, we display the mean result and 95% confidence intervals. In each individual city, we have only small samples, so this discussion is for the purposes of demonstration, rather than making firm inferences. According to our theory, we should expect higher outgroup prejudice in the higher segregation areas. This prediction is largely supported in this example: Kiryat Gat and Kiryat Yovel have similar population proportions, but Kiryat Gat is more segregated. If a researcher chose to locate their laboratory in Kiryat Gat, rather than Kriyat Yovel, they might conclude that all four of the proposed mechanisms were operating, while if they located their laboratory in Kiryat Yovel, they might conclude that only two of the mechanisms were operating - and at weaker levels than in Kiryat Gat. Similarly, Jerusalem Center and bnei Brak have similar population proportions, but Jerusalem is much more segregated. Consistent with our expectation, all of the mechanisms proposed in the literature can be found strongly operating in Jerusalem Center. On the other hand, if researchers chose to study the less segregated city of bnei Brak they might conclude that none of the mechanisms are operating, or that they are operating weakly. In summary, depending on which locality a researcher chose to explore public goods provision, a researcher may arrive at substantially different conclusions about the mechanisms underlying this phenomenon that has been observed on a global scale.13 Can researchers be expected to test for differences in behavior across every location in a country or even a reasonable random sample? In most cases, the answer is likely no. How then can research on individual mechanisms underlying global phenomenon be informative? Our answer is that by drawing on theories of contextual variation in behavior we can form expectations about variation in individual behavior across locations that will inform case selection and interpretation of results. 13 Of course, testing across many locations, with relatively small sample sizes in each, we might expect that in some locations false positives or false negatives would arise by chance. However, using a p = .05 level of significance for testing a null hypothesis of 0 difference in other-regarding behavior, we can reject the null in 11 of 20 locations - a far greater number than would be expected by chance. 32 Figure 5: Levels of differences in tastes, other regarding preferences, perceived efficacy, and cooperation by city T R Kiryat Gat E C T R Kiryat Yovel E C T R Jerusalem Center E C T R Bnei Brak E C −0.5 −0.3 −0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 For each location, we display four quantities of interest: 1) differences in tastes for spending priority on defense between secular and Ultra Orthodox (T); 2) standardized differences in other regarding preferences for the ingroup over the outgroup for all subjects (R); 3) perceived efficacy advantage from working with the ingroup over the outgroup for all subjects (E); and 4) probability of cooperation with an outgroup member (C). Ninety-five percent confidence intervals are the horizontal bars. 33 4.5 Is the relationship between context and behavior causal? In the Introduction, we discussed why context may affect the operation of the mechanisms linking diversity and socially inefficient outcomes. Whether the relationship is causal is not directly relevant for demonstrating that behaviors do vary by context. However, understanding why the mechanisms vary by context does call for understanding whether segregation and outgroup size directly affect behavior, are spuriously related, or if the causality is possibly reversed with people with strong affect selecting into segregated areas. The most obvious objection is that individuals with strong anti-outgroup bias may select into the most segregated areas in order to avoid the outgroup, thereby reversing the proposed relationship between attitudes and segregation. It is unlikely that a person with strong anti-outgroup attitudes would select into areas with a large presence of the outgroup. However, this relationship could still be driven by other unmeasured variables, making the relationship between attitudes and outgroup proportion spurious. A causal relationship in this area of study is difficult to establish (Sampson 2008) due to the inability randomize context. This literature includes experimental (Enos 2014) and quasi-experimental (Enos 2013) designs demonstrating a causal link between context and attitudes, such as prejudice. In this paper, while estimating the effect of context on ingroup preference, we controlled for individual-level variables that might also drive the relationship and found that the prediction is robust to the inclusion of these controls. However, because we collected a unique dataset that has been designed specifically to test this relationship, we are able to directly test for the effects of selection in a manner not usually possible with survey data. We collected a rich-set of variables that allow us to directly measure the abilities and attitudes related to selecting into segregated and homogeneous localities. We do not doubt that selection is responsible for some of the relationship between context and attitudes, but we also believe that context can have a direct effect on attitudes and behaviors. Our unique survey design allows us to test for this relationship. Using open-ended responses to the survey, we can understand the prevalence of this type 34 of selection. We asked respondents whether, when and why they have moved into a new address. Respondents were asked whether they had been living in the same address for their whole life; those who answered negatively, were asked a series of questions about the circumstances of moving and choosing a new place of living. When asked “What was a factor in your decision to move out to another place?”, most respondents mentioned the size of their house and family reasons (getting married or divorce), as well as the cost of living and educational options for their kids. Only 30 respondents (less than 7%) mentioned the people around them. Those respondents who mentioned multiple reasons to leave were asked to choose the most important reason. Only four of these signaled “people” as the most important reason for moving. When asked what was it about the people around them that pushed them to move, only 12 respondents mentioned degree of religiosity. While not many non-UO respondents in our sample opted out of a location because the people around them were seen as too religious, UO opt into places based on the perceived religiosity of the neighborhood. When asked about the factors that made them choose the city and neighborhood to which they moved, around 20% of the respondents mentioned “the people who live there”. When asked what was it about the people around them which they most care about, the most common answer was “their degree of religiosity”. In order to further inquire this point, we subset our data using questions that were specifically designed to test for the influences of selection on our results. We use variation in the means of individuals relocate as variables on which to subset and we also measure expressed and revealed preference for selection away from the outgroup. We subset individuals with reduced ability to change location as a strategy for reducing the likelihood of selection by subsetting on low-income individuals and individuals that report that they have little freedom to choose where they would like to live. Then we subset individuals that express attitudes making them unlikely to select into segregated areas. We subset on individuals that explicitly report they would not want to live in a segregated community, people that are not satisfied with where they currently live (reducing the potential that they have selected into 35 their preferred neighborhood), and on individuals that do not report the religion of others as a factor in their choice of city or neighborhood. We also gave our subjects the ability to construct their ideal neighborhood by choosing the occupants of each of 10 houses neighboring their own. Respondents could choose from UO, non UO, or Arab (see Figure A.4 in Appendix) with the explicit instruction that their choices of neighbors would not affect other qualities of the neighborhood. We subset to individuals that did not construct exclusively homogeneous neighborhoods. We also collected data that precisely geocodes the prior and current residence of our subjects. So we can look for individuals that moved to an area that had a higher proportion of ingroup members and subset on those that did not relocate to a more heavily ingroup area. Controlling for means, this is a measure of revealed preference for moving to a homogeneous area. With each of these groups, we reanalyze the data with the same strategy above. We find substantively the same results and remarkably similar coefficient estimates, indicating that our findings are not driven by individuals selecting into highly segregated areas. We estimated the same model reported in Table 3, except using the subsets described above. We display the coefficients on the contextual variables from these regressions in Figure 6. Coefficients are for outgroup proportion (circle), segregation (square), and the interaction of the two (triangle) from regression of ingroup preference in dictator on contextual and individual level variables for non-UO subjects (a) and UO subjects (b). The coefficients for the full sample are displayed at the top of the graph with vertical lines at these estimates. The results for all subsets are very consistent with the results for the full sample. In the Appendix (A.7), we report the full coefficient tables for the regression of all behavioral measures on all these subsets. The robustness of our results indicates that segregation and homogeneity likely have a direct effect on attitudes and intergroup behaviors, as predicted by prominent theories. Our findings provide further evidence that, despite movement causing concerns about selection biasing results, theories about context strongly affecting attitudes can be analytically supported. 36 5 Conclusion In this paper, we demonstrated that mechanisms associated with diversity and social inefficiency will systematically vary with levels of segregation and demographic diversity. We suggested that in highly segregated localities, general outgroup prejudice should be expected, leading to a general breakdown of socio-political relations and, accordingly, differentiated policy tastes, diminished task efficiency, ingroup preference, and a general lack of cooperation between groups. All of these mechanisms are expected to lead to socially inefficient outcomes. We have quantified the severe strain on relations within the Israeli Jewish community, where aversion between these two particular groups appears to be reflected in the prominence of all three classes of mechanisms characterizing diversity and social inefficiency. We have also demonstrated that this relationship is likely causal and that inferences about the mechanism underlying this relationship are highly sensitive to context. 5.1 Implications of our findings for research design By demonstrating how the strength of the relationship varies with context and that the relationship may be causal, our findings also can serve as a guide for designing future research around the mechanisms connecting diversity and social inefficiency. Researchers should be aware that their answers may vary significantly based on the levels of these variables in the context they select. First, by articulating a model linking context to behavior, scholars can better understand where their findings are likely to fit in the distribution of behaviors within or across countries. When scholars only test a single location, it is difficult to know how behaviorally representative a particular location is of the rest of the country. Theory then is very useful in understanding how findings collected in single location can help to predict behavior in other regions. By establishing an expected relationship between behavior and variables that can potentially be measured in any locality - segregation and diversity - we hope to offer 37 scholars a tool for benchmarking their findings in the future. For example, was the research conducted in an area with low segregation? If so, the findings probably reflect the low-end of intergroup animosity and estimates of levels of discriminatory behavior should be considered as downwardly biased if imputed to the entire country. The opposite would be true of research conducted in highly segregated areas. Of course, the ideal research would be a design that drew a representative sample of individuals from a representative sample of localities. This is only possible in rare circumstances, which is why scholars, such as Habyarimana et al. (2007), carefully selected locations that is believed to be an adequate microcosm of the entire country. However, our findings demonstrate that a scholar must consider multiple dimensions when selecting locations. For example, a scholar cannot just choose a research location based on ethnic fractionalization, because variables besides diversity, i.e. segregation, can affect the inferences that are drawn from this location. 5.2 Implications for policy and understanding of diversity and social inefficiency One implication of our findings is, of course, that not all diverse countries are the same and that not all actors within a diverse country are the same. Depending on the organization of their social and political space, countries will meet the predictions that diversity causes social inefficiency more or less well. Countries that concentrate power in the hands of populations particularly subject to outgroup pressure may have particularly inefficient public goods provision. A prime example of this is the United States when anti-Black Southerners gained disproportional power in the U.S. national government and leveraged it to restrict social spending agendas that they saw as benefiting African Americans. These Southerners, according to classic theories in political science (Key 1949), and consistent with our findings here, were anti-Black because of the high presence of blacks in their localities. Another example may 38 possibly be found in Israel itself, where UO have gained increasing influence due to rapid growth and alliances in governing coalitions with right-wing parties. Our research demonstrates that the UO maintain higher levels of anti-outgroup attitudes than other groups, which is consistent with a highly segregated population, experiencing close contact from large outgroup populations of secular Jews (and in some cases, perhaps also Muslim Arabs). These attitudes, combined with the disproportional influence of UO may be reflected in inefficient public goods provision in Israel, where revenues are inefficiently directed toward institutions catering to the small UO population, rather than projects serving a larger population. One practical implications of our study is that housing policies have social implications. Governments play a role in organizing their citizens in space in various ways, from the design of programs for public housing to subsidies that encourage groups in the population to reside in specific neighborhoods or cities. In Israel, governmental agencies have debated how to allocate subsidies for housing and whether to encourage greater integration between the secular and UO or to concentrate the UO in their own segregated communities. In the US, there are different opinions about whether programs of public housing should try and bring closer together low- and middle-income families. These questions have normative implications and they deal with different visions of a liberal, plural society; however, our research provides empirical evidence that should inform policy makers and the public discussion on these issues. The demonstration of the effects of a society organized as Tel Aviv or Jerusalem in Figure 4 illustrated the policy dilemmas facing a country such as Israel with a rapidly growing, culturally distinct population. This is a situation faced by many countries in the Western world due to international migration and it is also similar to the situation faced in the U.S. during large waves of internal migration in the 20th Century. As the population grows, should segregation be allowed to occur as the result of the seemingly non-prejudiced accumulated choices of individuals (Schelling 1971), as some people might prefer (Massey 39 and Denton 1993) - or should governments intervene to shape housing patterns? The choices are difficult because segregation may in fact be efficient in the short-term but inefficient in the long-term (Alesina, Baqir, and Easterly 1999). As noted by Uslaner, “While ‘solving’ the problem of segregation is not easy [...] changing housing patterns is considerably less difficult than changing who lives in a country.” (Uslaner 2011, p. 244). As population movements, brought on by technological and economic change, spur rapid diversification of countries, policy makers may be able to strongly influence intergroup relations and subsequent social efficiency by shaping patterns of residential segregation. 40 Figure 6: Regression of contextual variables on other-regarding preferences, subsetting to control for selection (a) non-UO (b) UO All Respondents (232) All Respondents (208) ● ● ideal neighborhood not homogenous (112) ideal neighborhood not homogenous (149) ● ● did not select into high−ingroup area (91) did not select into high−ingroup area (179) ● ● religion not a factor in neighborhood choice (167) religion not a factor in neighborhood choice (196) ● ● religion not a factor in city choice (173) religion not a factor in city choice (197) ● ● low income (165) low income (126) ● ● not free to move (168) not free to move (163) ● ● not satisfied with location (140) not satisfied with location (128) ● ● do not prefer homogenous neighborhood (64) do not prefer homogenous neighborhood (118) ● −50 ● 0 50 100 150 200 −150 Regression Coefficients −100 −50 0 50 100 150 Regression Coefficients Regression coefficients generated for outgroup proportion (circle), segregation (square), and the interaction of the two (triangle) from regression of in-group preference in dictator on contextual and individual level variables for non-UO subjects (a) and UO subjects (b) for subgroups listed above the coefficient points. Ninety-five percent confidence intervals of the regression are indicated by dotted horizontal lines. Dotted vertical lines represent the coefficient estimates from the regression with all respondents. In-group preference in the Dictator Game is the amount in NIS contributed to ingroup members minus the amount contributed to outgroup members. 41 References Adida, Claire, David Laitin, and Marie-Anne Valfort. 2012. “Muslims in France: Identifying a discriminatory equilibrium.”. Alesina, Alberto, and Eliana La Ferrara. 2002. “Who trusts others?” Journal of public economics 85(2): 207–234. Alesina, Alberto, and Eliana La Ferrara. 2004. Ethnic diversity and economic performance. Technical report National Bureau of Economic Research. Alesina, Alberto, Arnaud Devleeschauwer, William Easterly, Sergio Kurlat, and Romain Wacziarg. 2003. “Fractionalization.” Journal of Economic growth 8(2): 155–194. Alesina, Alberto, Reza Baqir, and William Easterly. 1999. “Public goods and ethnic divisions.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 114(4): 1243–1284. Baldwin, Kate, and John D Huber. 2010. “Economic versus cultural differences: Forms of ethnic diversity and public goods provision.” American Political Science Review 104(4): 644–662. Baybeck, Brady. 2006. “Sorting Out the Competing Effects of Racial Context.” Journal of Politics 68: 386–396. Ben-Porat, Guy. 2013. Between State and Synagogue: The Secularization of Contemporary Israel. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Ben-Porat, Guy, Yagil Levy, Shlomo Mizrahi, Arye Naor, and Erez Tzfadia. 2008. Israel since 1980. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Berman, Eli. 2000. “Sect, subsidy, and sacrifice: an economist’s view of ultra-orthodox Jews.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 115(3): 905–953. Bhavnani, Ravi, Karsten Donnay, Dan Miodownik, Maayan Mor, and Dirk Helbing. 2013. “Group Segregation and Urban Violence.” American Journal of Political Science . Blalock, Hubert M. 1967. Toward a theory of minority-group relations. New York: Wiley. Blumer, Herbert. 1958. “Race Prejudice as a Sense of Group Position.” Pacific Sociological Review 1(1): 3–7. Bobo, Lawrence. 1983. “Whites’ Opposition to Busing: Symbolic Racism or Realistic Group Conflict?” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 45(6): 1196–1210. Bobo, Lawrence, and Vincent Hutchings. 1996. “Perceptions of Racial Group Competition: Extending Blumers Theory of Group Position to a Multiracial Social Context.” American Sociological Review 61(6): 951–72. Bogardus, Emory S. 1925. “Measuring social distance.” Journal of applied sociology 9(2): 299–308. 42 Cahaner, Lee. 2009. The Development of the Spatial and Hierarchic Structure of The UltraOrthodox Jewish Population in Israel [in Hebrew]. Haifa University: Dissertation. Campbell, David E. 2006. Why We Vote: How Schools and Communities Shape Our Civic Life. Princeton, NJ: Princeton. Carsey, Thomas M. 1995. “The Contextual Effects of Race on White Voter Behavior: The 1989 New York City Mayoral Election.” Journal of Politics 57(Febuary): 221–28. Collier, Paul. 2000. “Ethnicity, politics and economic performance.” Economics & Politics 12(3): 225–245. Costa, Dora L, and Matthew E Kahn. 2003. “Civic engagement and community heterogeneity: An economist’s perspective.” Perspective on Politics 1(1): 103–111. Couzin, Iain D, Christos C Ioannou, Güven Demirel, Thilo Gross, Colin J Torney, Andrew Hartnett, Larissa Conradt, Simon A Levin, and Naomi E Leonard. 2011. “Uninformed individuals promote democratic consensus in animal groups.” Science 334. Delhey, Jan, and Kenneth Newton. 2005. “Predicting cross-national levels of social trust: global pattern or Nordic exceptionalism?” European Sociological Review 21(4): 311–327. Doron, Gideon, and Rebecca Kook. 1999. “Religion and the Politics of Inclusion: The Success of the Ultra Orthodox Parties.” In The Elections in Israel 1999, ed. Ahser Arian, and Michal Shamir. Albany: State University of New York, pp. 67–84. Easterly, William, and Ross Levine. 1997. “Africa’s growth tragedy: policies and ethnic divisions.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 112(4): 1203–1250. Efron, Noah J. 2003. Real Jews: Secular versus ultra-orthodox and the struggle for Jewish identity in Israel. New York: Basic Books. Enos, Ryan D. 2010. The Persistence of Racial Threat: Evidence from the 2008 Election. American Political Science Association, Annual Meeting Washington, DC: . Enos, Ryan D. 2011. “Testing the elusive: a field experiment on racial threat.”. Enos, Ryan D. 2013. “What Tearing Down Public Housing Projects Teaches Us About the Effect of Racial Threat on Political Participation.”. Enos, Ryan D. 2014. “The Causal Effect of Intergroup Contact on Exclusionary Attitudes.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America . Fearon, James D. 2003. “Ethnic and cultural diversity by country*.” Journal of Economic Growth 8(2): 195–222. Fershtman, Chaim, and Uri Gneezy. 2001. “Discrimination in a segmented society: An experimental approach.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 116(1): 351–377. 43 Fiske, Susan T, Amy JC Cuddy, Peter Glick, and Jun Xu. 2002. “A model of (often mixed) stereotype content: competence and warmth respectively follow from perceived status and competition.” Journal of personality and social psychology 82(6): 878. Fitzpatrick, Kevin, and Sean Shong Hwang. 1992. “The Effects of Community Structure on Opportunities for Interracial Contact: Extending Blaus Macrostructural Theory.” Sociological Quarterly 33(1): 51–61. Forbes, Hugh Donald. 1997. Ethnic conflict: commerce, culture, and the contact hypothesis. New Haven: Yale University Press. Fossett, Mark A., and K. Jill Kiecolt. 1989. “The Relative Size of Minority Populations and White Racial Attitudes.” Social Science Quarterly 70(4): 820–35. Gay, Claudine. 2006. “Seeing Difference: The Effect of Economic Disparity on Black Attitudes Toward Latinos.” American Journal of Political Science 50(October): 982–997. Giles, Micheal W., and Melanie A. Buckner. 1993. “David Duke and Black Threat: An Old Hypothesis Revisited.” Journal of Politics 55: 702–13. Glaser, James M. 1994. “Back to the Black Belt: Racial Environment and White Racial Attitudes in the South.” The Journal of Politics 56(1): 21–41. Gordon, Carol. 1989. “Mutual perceptions of religious and secular Jews in Israel.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 33(4): 632–651. Green, Donald P., Dara Z. Strolovitch, and Janelle S. Wong. 1998. “Defended Neighborhoods, Integration, and Racially Motivated Crime.” American Journal of Sociology 104(2). Grossman, Guy. 2011. “Lab-in-the-field Experiments.” Newsletter of the APSA Experimental Section 2: 13–19. Habyarimana, James, Macartan Humphreys, Daniel N. Posner, and Jeremy M. Weinstein. 2007. “Why Does Ethnic Diversity Undermine Public Goods Provision?” American Political Science Review 101(4). Habyarimana, James, Macartan Humphreys, Daniel N. Posner, and Jeremy M. Weinstein. 2009. Coethnicity: Diversity and the Dilemmas of Collective Action. New York: Russell Sage. Hasson, Shlomo, and Amiram Gonen. 1997. The Cultural Tension within Jerusalems Jewish Population. Jerusalem: The Floersheimer Institute for Policy Studies Publications on Reli- gion, Society, and State in Israel. Henrich, Joseph, Robert Boyd, Samuel Bowles, Colin Camerer, Ernst Fehr, Herbert Gintis, and Richard McElreath. 2001. “In search of homo economicus: behavioral experiments in 15 small-scale societies.” The American Economic Review 91(2): 73–78. Hill, Kim Quaile, and Jan E. Leighley. 1999. “Racial Diversity, Voter Turnout, and Mobilizing Institutions in the United States.” American Politics Research 27(July): 275–295. 44 Hopkins, Daniel J. 2010. “Politicized Places: Explaining Where and When Immigrants Provoke Local Opposition.” American Political Science Review 104(1): 40–60. Huffman, Matt L, and Philip N Cohen. 2004. “Racial Wage Inequality: Job Segregation and Devaluation across US Labor Markets1.” American Journal of Sociology 109(4): 902–936. Ichino, Nahomi, and Noah L. Nathan. 2012. “Crossing the Line: Local Ethnic Geography and Voting in Ghana.” American Political Science Review pp. 1–18. Jackson, Ken. 2013. “Diversity and the Distribution of Public Goods in Sub-Saharan Africa.” Journal of African Economies 22(3): 437–462. Kasara, Kimuli. 2012. “Local Ethnic Segregation and Violence.” Unpublished working paper, Columbia University . Kasara, Kimuli. 2013. “Separate and Suspicious: The Social Environment and Inter-Ethnic Trust in Kenya.” The Journal of Politics . Key, V.O. 1949. Southern Politics in State and Nation. New York: Knopf. Koopmans, Ruud, and Susanne Veit. 2013. “Cooperation in Ethnically Diverse Neighborhoods: A Lost-Letter Experiment.” Political Psychology . Kraus, Stephen J. 1995. “Attitudes and the prediction of behavior: A meta-analysis of the empirical literature.” Personality and social psychology bulletin 21(1): 58–75. Leighley, Jan E., and Arnold Vedlitz. 1999. “Race, Ethnicity, and Political Participation: Competing Models and Contrasting Explanations.” The Journal of Politics 61(4): 1092– 1114. Lieberman, Evan S, and Gwyneth H McClendon. 2013. “The Ethnicity–Policy Preference Link in Sub-Saharan Africa.” Comparative Political Studies 46(5): 574–602. Lim, May, Richard Metzler, and Yaneer Bar-Yam. 2007. “Global pattern formation and ethnic/cultural violence.” Science 317(5844): 1540–1544. Lodge, Milton, and Charles S Taber. 2013. The rationalizing voter. Cambridge University Press. Massey, Douglas S., and Nancy A. Denton. 1993. American Apartheid: Segregation and the Making of the Underclass. Cambridge, MA: Havard University Press. Matthews, Donald R., and James W. Prothro. 1963. “Social and Economic Factors and Negro Voter Registration in the South.” The American Political Science Review 57(1): 24–44. Miguel, Edward, and Mary Kay Gugerty. 2005. “Ethnic diversity, social sanctions, and public goods in Kenya.” Journal of Public Economics 89(11): 2325–2368. 45 Mizrachi, Nissim, and Hanna Herzog. 2012. “Participatory destigmatization strategies among Palestinian citizens, Ethiopian Jews and Mizrahi Jews in Israel.” Ethnic and Racial Studies 35(3): 418–435. Newman, Benjamin J. 2012. “Acculturating Contexts and Anglo Opposition to Immigration in the United States.” American Journal of Political Science . Oliver, J. Eric. 2010. The Paradoxes of Integration: Race, Neighborhood, and Civic Life in Multiethnic America. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Oliver, J. Eric, and Janelle Wong. 2003. “Intergroup Prejudice in Multiethnic Settings.” American Journal of Political Science 47(4): 567–82. Oliver, J. Eric, and Tali Mendelberg. 2000. “Reconsidering the Environmental Determinants of White Racial Attitudes.” American Journal of Political Science 44(3): 574–89. Pettigrew, Thomas, and Linda Tropp. 2006. “A Meta-Analytic Test of Intergroup Contact Theory.” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 90(5). Posner, Daniel N. 2004a. “Measuring ethnic fractionalization in Africa.” American Journal of Political Science 48(4): 849–863. Posner, Daniel N. 2004b. “The political salience of cultural difference: why Chewas and Tumbukas are allies in Zambia and adversaries in Malawi.” American Political Science Review 98(4). Putnam, Robert D. 2007. “E pluribus unum: Diversity and community in the twenty-first century the 2006 Johan Skytte Prize Lecture.” Scandinavian political studies 30(2): 137–174. Quillian, Lincoln. 1995. “Prejudice as a Response to Perceived Group Threat: Population Composition and Anti-immigrant and Racial Prejudice in Europe.” American Sociological Review 60(4): 586–611. Rubin, Barry. 2012. Israel: An Introduction. New Haven: Yale University Press. Sampson, Robert J. 2008. “Moving to Inequality: Neighborhood Effects and Experiments Meet Social Structure.” American Journal of Sociology 114(1): 189–231. Sandler, Shmuel, and Aaron Kampinsky. 2009. “Israels Religious Parties.” In Contemporary Israel, ed. Robert O. Freedman. Philadelphia: Westview Press pp. 77–95. Schelling, Thomas C. 1971. “Dynamic Models of Segregation.” The Journal of Mathematical Sociology 1. Schoeni, Robert F., Frank Stafford, Katherine A. Mcgonagle, and Patricia Andreski. 2013. “Response Rates in National Panel Surveys.” The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 645(1): 60–87. 46 Sigelman, Lee, and Susan Welch. 1993. “The Contact Hypothesis Revisited: Black-White Interaction and Positive Social Attitudes.” Social Forces 71(3): 781–95. Sniderman, Paul M, Richard A Brody, and Phillip E Tetlock. 1993. Reasoning and choice: Explorations in political psychology. Cambridge University Press. Spence, Lester K., and Harwood McClerking. 2010. “Context, Black Empowerment, and African American Political Participation.” American Politics Research 38(5): 909–930. Stephens-Davidowitz, Seth. 2013. “The Effects of Racial Animus on a Black Presidential Candidate: Using Google Search Data to Find What Surveys Miss.”. Tajfel, Henri. 1969. “Cognitive Aspects of Prejudice.” Journal of Social Issues 25: 29–97. Tajfel, Henri, M. G. Billig, R. P. Bundy, and Claude Flament. 1971. “Social categorization and intergroup behaviour.” European Journal of Social Psychology 1(2): 149–78. Taylor, Marylee. 1998. “How White Attitudes Vary with the Racial Composition of Local Populations: Numbers Count.” American Sociological Review 63(4): 512–35. Tesler, Michael, and David O. Sears. 2010. Obama’s Race. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Uslaner, Eric M. 2011. “Trust, Diversity, and Segregation in the United States and the United Kingdom.” Comparative Sociology 10(2): 221–247. Uslaner, Eric M. 2012. Segregation and Mistrust: Diversity, Isolation, and Social Cohesion. Cambridge University Press. Vanhanen, Tatu. 1999. “Domestic Ethnic Conflict and Ethnic Nepotism: A Comparative Analysis.” Journal of Peace Research 36(1). Voss, D. Stephen. 1996. “Beyond Racial Threat: Failure of an Old Hypothesis in the New South.” The Journal of Politics 58(4): 1156–70. Welch, Susan, Lee Sigelman, Timothy Bledsoe, and Michael Combs. 2001. Race and Place: Race Relations in an American City. New York: Cambridge University Press. Wright, Gerald. 1977. “Contextual Models of Electoral Behavior: The Southern Wallace Vote.” American Political Science Review 71(2): 497–508. Wright, Matthew. 2011. “Diversity and the Imagined Community: Immigrant Diversity and Conceptions of National Identity.” Political Psychology 32(5): 837–862. Zingher, Josh, and Thom Steen. forthcoming. “The Spatial and Demographic Determinants of Racial Threat: A Demonstration from Louisiana.” Social Science Quarterly . 47 A Appendix A.1 Relationship between Ethnic Fractionalization and Spending 50 40 10 20 30 Govt. Spending % GDP 60 70 Figure A.1: Israel, Ethnic Fractionalization and Spending as % of GDP 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 Ethnic Fractionalization Data taken from (Fearon 2003) and the World Bank 2010 dataset 48 0.8 A.2 Observational Data Prior to undertaking our on the ground experimental research, we used existing observational data in order to establish the systematic variation in inter-group attitudes across cities in Israel. We relied on the Guttman-Avichai survey from 2009, which focuses on beliefs, values and social tensions within the Israeli-Jewish population. Respondents were presented with the following question: “In your opinion, how good are the relations between the religious and nonreligious?”, and asked to choose from four possible answers: very good, fairly good, not so good and not good at all.14 With 2,192 observations taken from 41 towns in Israel, the observational data supported our initial intuitions. We display these results in Table A.1. As expected, a more uneven distribution of the Jewish population corresponds with worse perceptions of relations between the two groups. This holds true for both the UO and secular respondents. When UO population is a minority in a mostly secular city, as is usually the case in mixed cities, the interaction of diversity and segregation leads to more negative perceptions of relations between religious and non-religious Jews. In order to further test our intuitions, we conducted a short Internet-based survey (N=98) and a lab-based pilot experiment (N=15), concentrating on perceptions of intergroup relations in Israel and the determinants of residential patterns. Based on these preliminary explorations, we designed the research instrument to focus on the following: the mechanisms of public goods provision (through experimental decision-making games), attitudes toward and interpersonal contact with different groups in Israeli society, perceptions of discrimination of groups by the government, demographics and other identity questions, and residential preferences and movement. We now turn to discuss to analyze the results of the lab-in-the-field experiments we conducted. 14 In order to examine the robustness of our results, we examined also responses to the following question: “to what extent would you consent for your children to attend an elementary school that enrolls pupils from both religious and secular families?”. The results are substantively identical, suggesting that both questions capture general perceptions of the intra-Jewish religious cleavage in Israel. 49 Table A.1: Observational Data Relations Between Religious and Non-Religious: 1=Very good; 4=Not at all good UO Non-UO Secular −0.459 (0.231) −0.033 (0.420) −0.221 (0.585) 0.042 (0.102) 0.478∗∗∗ (0.098) 0.246∗∗∗ (0.105) 0.025 (0.138) 0.633∗∗∗ (0.148) 0.259∗ (0.142) 0.149 (0.207) 76.12∗∗∗ (18.304) 27.097∗∗∗ (6.938) −5.602∗∗∗ (1.394) −0.009 (0.014) −80.702∗∗∗ (20.161) 147 −0.216∗∗ (0.091) 1.894 (1.361) 3.503 (3.864) 0.854 (0.771) −0.003 (0.010) −9.817 (11.554) 2,045 −0.182 (0.132) 4.296∗∗∗ (1.651) 8.672∗ (4.722) 1.454 (1.026) 0.015 (0.015) −26.649∗ (14.102) 950 Gender (female = 1) Average income Low income Baseline: High income Academic Degree (1 = yes) Segregation Outgroup Proportion Jerusalem Arab Population Segregation x Outgroup Percent N Standard errors are clustered at the city level. A.3 Descriptive Statistics of Experimental Locations and Subject Sample Table A.2 describes the experimental locations for our study, including Jerusalem, which we separated into four “Quarter” as is done by the Central Bureau of Statistics. Table compares or sample to a nationally representative Jewish sample included in the GuttmanAvichai survey from 2009. 50 Table A.2: Descriptions of Experimental Locations Locations Number of residents Share of UO Dissimilarity score Arab population Ashdod Kiryat Malachi Elad Arad Bet Shemesh Kiryat Gat Haifa B’nei Brak Tveria Safed Rehovot Zichron Yakkov Ofakim Netivot Modi’in-Makabim Tel Aviv Jerusalem 204,300 20,500 33,900 23,400 72,700 47,500 264,300 151,800 41,600 29,600 111,100 18,300 24,000 26,100 69,300 402,600 759,700 15% 7% 88% 15% 46% 10% 4% 95% 13% 21% 8% 12% 24% 44% 0 4% 31% 0.91 0.87 0 0.86 0.71 0.92 0.94 0.37 0.63 0.57 0.89 0.79 0.92 0.72 0 0.9 0.82 No No No No No No Around 20% No Less than 10% Less than 10% No No No No No Around 10% Around 35% Jerusalem Quarters Type of Neighborhood Dissimilarity score Arab population Neve Yaakov Ramat Shlomo City Center Kityat Yovel Mixed Mostly UO Mixed Mostly secular 0.81 0.57 0.68 0 6% No No 6% Table A.3: Sample Description Male Academic education Ethnic origin: Sephardic Income above average Income below average Average age Average left-right self-placement Born in Israel N Full sample UO Non-UO Gutmann Sample 51% 35% 49% 15% 68% 40 5.2 78% 549 45% 40% 41% 9% 76% 39 5.3 87% 216 56% 30% 56% 20% 61% 42 5 70% 243 48% 34% 48% 39% 34% 42 4.7 64% 2437 51 A.4 Measurement of the UO Population Our primary tests look at behavioral differences as a function of size and segregation of UO and secular populations. In order to assess the number of UO, the Israel Central Bureau of Statistics uses different measurements. This measurement challenge reflects a deeper problem of classification. The definition of being part of the UO is mostly subjective and its meaning may change over time and place or across individuals. Furthermore, the UO are far from a cohesive social group. There are multiple religious strands within the UO community. In addition, the intra-Jewish ethnic cleavage between Ashkenazi and Mizrahi UO has remained especially salient among the UO over the years, and has been a continuous source of tension within this group. The CBS deals with these challenges by providing different measurements for the UO population, among them the percent of voters casting ballots for parties known to be supported by Ultra-Orthodox voters and the percent of male youth enrolled in schools for learning traditional Jewish religious texts (Yeshivas, which are attended almost exclusively by Ultra Orthodox). We also obtained city-level measures of Ultra Orthodox population based on expert assessments by Israeli academics (Cahaner 2009). All three of these measures are highly correlated and yield similar results in the analysis below. We report our findings based on segregation and group size constructed from the percent of youth in Yeshivas because we believe it is a more reliable measure than voting percentages, which may be affected by unknown processes. 52 A.5 Distribution of Responses to Key Tests Figure A.2: Spending priority distributions of UO and Secular UO Spending Priorities 0.46 0.5 0.4 0.32 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.08 0.06 0.04 labor other 0.0 defense education inequality Secular Spending Priorities 0.5 0.39 0.4 0.34 0.3 0.2 0.14 0.06 0.1 0.03 0.0 defense education inequality labor other Responses of UO and secular populations to question “Which of the following is the most important item on which the government should spend money”? 53 Table A.4: Play in the Public Goods Game Outgroup Ingroup Cooperate Defect Cooperate Defect 206 (47.8) 42 (9.7) 248 (57.5) 108 (25.1) (25.1) 102 (23.7) (23.7) 210 (48.7) Play of all UO and-UO in public goods game with option of cooperating and contribution 20 NIS or defecting and keeping 20 NIS. Table A.5: Play in the Public Goods Game Outgroup Ingroup Cooperate Defect Cooperate Defect 197 (59.9) 33 (10) 230 (69.9) 99 (30.1) (30.1) 0 (0) (0) 99 (30.1) (30.1) Play of UO and non-UO in public goods game with option of cooperating and contribution 20 NIS or defecting and keeping 20 NIS. This table is only “non-egoists”. Egoists are players that opted not to cooperate regardless of the identity of the opposing player. A.6 Contextual Variation on Behavioral Strategies 54 Table A.6: Regressions of ingroup preference in task efficacy on contextual variables UO Intercept Segregation Outgroup Proportion Male Age Mixed Ethnicity Other Ethnicity Sephardic Ethnicity Political Ideology High Income Low Income Arab Population Jerusalem Segregation x Outgroup Percent N R2 adj. R2 Resid. sd −1.24 (1.08) 3.55 (2.97) 1.60 (1.34) −0.02 (0.08) 0.00∗ (0.00) −0.24∗ (0.12) −0.06 (0.22) −0.15 (0.08) 0.03 (0.03) −0.06 (0.12) 0.21∗ (0.10) 0.49 (1.08) −0.34 (0.19) −3.99 (3.43) 200 0.14 0.08 0.48 Non UO 0.95∗ (0.26) −0.07 (0.37) −1.38∗ (0.65) 0.01 (0.09) −0.00 (0.00) 0.06 (0.08) 0.35∗ (0.10) −0.07 (0.08) −0.02 (0.03) −0.03 (0.10) 0.10 (0.06) −0.41 (1.05) 0.07 (0.07) 2.32 (1.53) 189 0.07 −0.00 0.44 Regression of ingroup preference in task efficacy for UO (column 1) and non-UO (column 2) on contextual and individual level variables. Ingroup preference in task efficacy is the tendency to choose the ingroup member in the Lego task. Higher numbers represent greater discrimination against the outgroup. Clustered standard errors in parentheses. ∗ indicates significance at p < 0.05 A.7 Results of Regressions Subsetting for Selection Figure A.4 is an example of the “design your neighborhood” task. Subjects were allowed to hypothetically choose their own neighbors, while keeping everything else about their neighborhood constant. The instructions in Figure A.4 (a) are: Many people are pleased with where they live. But were you to to move into a new place, imagine you would buy a house you like and that you can afford. We want to know in which neighborhood you would have liked to buy your house. Which people would you have liked to live in the area? Imagine that your house 55 Table A.7: Regressions of ingroup bias in public goods cooperation on contextual variables UO Non UO ∗ Intercept Segregation Outgroup Proportion Male Age Mixed Ethnicity Other Ethnicity Sephardic Ethnicity Political Ideology High Income Low Income Arab Population Jerusalem Segregation x Outgroup Percent N R2 adj. R2 Resid. sd −1.46 (0.53) 4.22∗ (1.51) 2.04∗ (0.63) 0.08 (0.06) 0.00 (0.00) 0.06 (0.15) −0.14 (0.10) 0.10 (0.08) −0.02 (0.03) 0.08 (0.12) 0.14 (0.08) 1.38∗ (0.67) −0.33∗ (0.10) −5.43∗ (1.81) 164 0.12 0.04 0.44 0.70∗ (0.21) −0.69 (0.41) −1.88∗ (0.62) −0.07 (0.06) −0.00 (0.00) −0.00 (0.14) 0.36 (0.19) 0.06 (0.09) 0.03 (0.03) 0.08 (0.15) −0.05 (0.14) −0.90 (0.67) −0.20∗ (0.06) 2.80 (1.55) 142 0.13 0.05 0.46 Regression of ingroup bias in public goods game for UO (column 1) and non-UO (column 2) on contextual and individual level variables. Ingroup bias in the public goods games is decision to cooperate with ingroup member and not outgroup member. Higher numbers represent greater discrimination against the outgroup. Clustered standard errors in parentheses. ∗ indicates significance at p < 0.05 is not affected by the people who live next to you. Look at the neighborhood below, and imagine you are buying the house in the middle of the neighborhood. Next to you there are 10 empty houses. Click on the box next to each house in order to choose which family will reside in it. Please choose residents for each of the 10 houses in the neighborhood. 56 Figure A.3: Levels of differences in tastes, other regarding preferences, perceived efficacy, and cooperation by city T Ashdod R E C T Neve Yaakov R E C T Ofakim R E C T Bet Shemesh E T Zichron Yaakov R C R E C T Jerusalem Center R E C T Ramat Shlomo R E C TR Kiryat Gat E C T Netivot R EC T Tveria R E C T Rehovot R E C T Haifa R CE R Arad EC T R Kiryat Malachi T E T Bnei Brak C TR E Elad R CE T Safed C T Kiryat Yovel C R E R E E T Tel Aviv C R Modiin Makabim Reut C R E C −0.5 −0.3 −0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 Cities are arranged by levels of segregation. For each city, we display four quantities of interest: 1) differences in tastes for spending priority on defense between secular and Ultra Orthodox (T); 2) standardized differences in other regarding preferences for the ingroup over the outgroup for all subjects (R); 3) perceived efficacy advantage from working with the ingroup over the outgroup for all subjects (E); and 4) probability of cooperation with an outgroup member (C). Ninety-five percent confidence intervals are the horizontal bars. 57 Figure A.4: “Design Your Neighborhood” task (a) (b) Example of the “design your neighborhood” task used as a direct measure of neighborhood preference. (a) is the task with a blank neighborhood. (b) shows the interactive task as the neighborhood begins to change. 58 59 Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 Model 8 Model 9 −13.49 −15.35 −7.17 −8.09 2.28 −2.75 −11.24 −5.95 −6.55 (12.09) (13.56) (18.31) (10.77) (11.76) (11.77) (14.46) (16.82) (13.66) 39.48 51.96 30.08 41.22 15.43 31.17 45.08 31.02 31.26 (25.85) (38.73) (36.40) (25.55) (29.44) (25.41) (31.89) (30.40) (32.29) 15.34 14.12 4.69 10.52 −1.81 3.56 8.89 0.06 4.91 (12.01) (18.40) (20.59) (13.62) (15.99) (13.95) (16.37) (16.24) (16.49) −0.32 −0.57 0.84 0.18 −0.37 −0.32 0.25 2.30 0.10 (1.36) (1.20) (1.10) (1.20) (1.12) (1.10) (2.10) (1.40) (0.92) −0.02 0.11∗ 0.05 0.04 0.02 0.05 −0.01 0.08 0.04 (0.06) (0.04) (0.03) (0.04) (0.03) (0.03) (0.04) (0.07) (0.03) −0.48 −1.22 −0.04 −1.00 −2.07 −2.71 −2.93 −1.66 −2.12 (1.87) (2.39) (2.05) (1.85) (1.81) (1.57) (2.84) (1.63) (1.50) 0.44 −1.94 −3.15 −2.23 −2.00 −2.85∗ (1.80) (1.27) (1.60) (1.33) (1.44) (1.36) −0.19 −0.99 −0.98 0.32 −2.37 −0.79 0.96 −2.48 −1.30 (1.71) (1.36) (1.62) (1.07) (1.36) (1.51) (1.39) (1.91) (1.03) 0.37 −0.19 0.07 −0.32 −0.43 −0.37 0.90 −0.77 −0.17 (0.72) (0.63) (0.56) (0.48) (0.33) (0.45) (0.55) (0.72) (0.37) 2.35 1.33 0.47 2.07 −0.71 −2.45 1.48 1.81 (2.58) (4.51) (2.92) (2.84) (2.52) (2.64) (2.00) (2.32) 1.70 2.26 1.88 1.98 0.44 −0.09 3.91∗ 2.14 (1.38) (1.94) (1.57) (1.64) (1.57) (2.68) (1.81) (1.57) 1.05 28.09 29.32∗ 46.20∗ 17.27 43.78∗ 97.24∗ 25.14 31.29∗ (22.91) (17.62) (12.52) (14.91) (17.52) (16.45) (20.52) (19.67) (13.09) 0.19 −0.90 −0.62 −1.52 −1.38 −0.59 −0.28 −0.59 −0.84 (0.93) (2.17) (1.46) (1.30) (1.90) (1.29) (1.92) (1.18) (1.86) −51.85 −59.94 −32.86 −48.33 −10.46 −35.00 −62.49 −24.46 −31.68 (33.48) (46.59) (42.93) (29.88) (37.20) (30.35) (36.70) (36.18) (37.73) 51 118 140 151 147 141 74 83 200 0.24 0.17 0.10 0.10 0.07 0.14 0.28 0.25 0.09 −0.02 0.08 0.01 0.02 −0.02 0.05 0.13 0.11 0.03 4.98 6.87 6.91 6.98 7.25 6.77 6.77 6.61 7.13 Regression of in-group bias in dictator game for Ultra Orthodox on contextual and individual level variables. In-group preference in the Dictator Game is the amount in NIS contributed to ingroup members minus the amount contributed to outgroup members. In both cases, higher numbers represent greater discrimination against the outgroup. Clustered standard errors in parentheses. Columns represent the following subsets of subjects: 1) people that do not report preferring to live exclusively with the ingroup, if they had the choice, 2) people that are not satisfied with where they live, 3) people that do not feel that they are free to move if they wanted to, 4) low income people, 5) people who do not list religious people as a reason affecting their choice of city of residence, 6) people who do not list religious people as a reason affecting their choice of neighborhood of residence, 7) people who did not relocate to an area with less of the outgroup, 8) people that did not design a homogeneous ideal neighborhood, 9) all respondents. ∗ indicates significance at p < 0.05. N R2 adj. R2 Resid. sd Segregation x Outgroup Percent Jerusalem Arab Population Low Income High Income Political Ideology Sephardic Ethnicity Other Ethnicity Mixed Ethnicity Age Male Outgroup Proportion Segregation Intercept Table A.8: Regressions of ingroup bias in other regarding behavior on contextual variables, subsetting to control for selection, for UO 60 Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 Model 8 Model 9 9.97 12.39∗ 15.17∗ 8.93 12.75∗ 11.33∗ 8.56 4.81 11.69∗ (6.70) (4.97) (4.79) (8.24) (5.53) (5.65) (5.45) (6.83) (5.56) −18.30∗ −13.33∗ −10.85∗ −15.15 −13.00∗ −14.13∗ −12.77 −9.32 −13.88∗ (8.64) (6.29) (5.30) (7.99) (6.02) (6.20) (7.18) (5.45) (6.03) −44.48∗ −26.76 −20.38∗ −31.52∗ −31.03∗ −42.35∗ −40.48∗ −30.06∗ −41.89∗ (13.54) (14.79) (8.31) (11.39) (9.20) (9.28) (8.87) (9.82) (8.89) −1.22 −2.40 −0.94 −1.55 −1.35 −0.17 −0.09 0.35 −0.47 (2.00) (1.21) (1.52) (1.73) (1.20) (1.15) (1.41) (1.86) (1.20) 0.02 −0.03 −0.06 −0.01 −0.06 −0.05 −0.06 −0.04 −0.05 (0.05) (0.04) (0.04) (0.05) (0.03) (0.03) (0.04) (0.05) (0.03) −3.63 −1.50 −2.42 −5.29∗ −3.52∗ −3.38∗ −3.41∗ −1.98 −3.56∗ (3.02) (2.25) (1.49) (2.55) (1.12) (1.25) (1.49) (1.72) (1.21) 0.43 0.91 1.63 0.57 1.98 3.42 3.63 1.82 2.89 (5.44) (3.75) (4.05) (6.19) (3.68) (3.57) (3.95) (5.42) (3.42) −2.66 −2.53 −1.47 −2.69 −2.43∗ −2.76∗ −2.49∗ −1.68 −2.94∗ (2.20) (1.39) (1.30) (1.79) (1.18) (1.15) (1.25) (1.66) (1.09) 0.46 0.17 −0.24 0.35 0.28 0.19 0.61 0.19 0.16 (1.17) (0.83) (0.68) (1.07) (0.87) (0.85) (0.83) (1.03) (0.83) 0.94 −2.95 −4.04∗ −2.25 −1.56 −1.80 0.00 −1.23 (2.35) (2.44) (1.55) (1.57) (1.71) (1.80) (2.04) (1.65) −1.88 −2.84∗ −2.72 −2.31 −1.05 −1.30 −1.42 −1.10 (2.71) (1.38) (1.55) (1.25) (1.53) (1.85) (1.67) (1.53) 2.79 −10.45 −5.44 3.89 4.37 13.51 23.29 17.40 7.15 (24.90) (21.71) (11.05) (18.68) (15.24) (13.00) (12.28) (19.84) (16.00) −2.05 −1.94 −2.17∗ −1.58 −1.54∗ −1.69∗ −1.54∗ −0.05 −1.76∗ (2.11) (2.04) (0.83) (1.30) (0.59) (0.82) (0.78) (1.80) (0.87) 97.88∗ 78.57 49.75∗ 80.89∗ 69.61∗ 93.33∗ 90.15∗ 75.98∗ 95.40∗ (37.65) (40.66) (23.39) (33.20) (25.00) (26.60) (25.85) (26.81) (25.76) 103 113 145 116 178 177 162 118 189 0.09 0.14 0.09 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.10 0.07 0.08 −0.04 0.02 −0.01 −0.03 0.01 0.00 0.02 −0.05 0.01 9.34 7.52 7.80 8.73 7.93 8.20 8.03 8.02 8.17 Regression of in-group bias in dictator game for Non-UO on contextual and individual level variables. In-group preference in the Dictator Game is the amount in NIS contributed to ingroup members minus the amount contributed to outgroup members. In both cases, higher numbers represent greater discrimination against the outgroup. Clustered standard errors in parentheses. Columns represent the same subsets listed in A.9. ∗ indicates significance at p < 0.05. N R2 adj. R2 Resid. sd Segregation x Outgroup Percent Jerusalem Arab Population Low Income High Income Political Ideology Sephardic Ethnicity Other Ethnicity Mixed Ethnicity Age Male Outgroup Proportion Segregation Intercept Table A.9: Regressions of ingroup bias in other regarding behavior on contextual variables, subsetting to control for selection, for Non-UO 61 Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 Model 8 Model 9 0.20 −1.86 −1.43 −1.50 −0.92 −1.57 −3.18∗ −1.05 −1.24 (0.71) (1.17) (1.16) (1.25) (1.19) (1.16) (0.88) (1.26) (1.08) 1.97 4.32 4.04 4.25 3.21 5.06 8.08∗ 4.00 3.55 (1.31) (3.40) (3.26) (3.34) (3.17) (3.19) (2.32) (2.84) (2.97) 0.67 1.90 1.91 1.98 1.46 2.33 3.70∗ 1.70 1.60 (0.61) (1.52) (1.43) (1.49) (1.45) (1.43) (1.04) (1.53) (1.34) −0.01 −0.07 0.00 −0.07 −0.07 −0.11 −0.19 −0.11 −0.02 (0.13) (0.08) (0.08) (0.08) (0.09) (0.09) (0.11) (0.15) (0.08) −0.00 0.01∗ 0.00 0.01∗ 0.00 0.00 0.01∗ 0.00 0.00∗ (0.01) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) 0.03 −0.18 −0.19 −0.20 −0.11 −0.26∗ −0.31 −0.11 −0.24∗ (0.17) (0.14) (0.15) (0.14) (0.16) (0.12) (0.18) (0.24) (0.12) 0.58∗ −0.07 −0.03 0.02 0.43∗ −0.06 (0.17) (0.19) (0.22) (0.20) (0.17) (0.22) −0.13 −0.12 −0.07 −0.15 −0.17∗ −0.15 0.06 −0.08 −0.15 (0.15) (0.09) (0.08) (0.10) (0.08) (0.12) (0.12) (0.16) (0.08) −0.05 0.04 0.01 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 (0.07) (0.04) (0.03) (0.04) (0.04) (0.03) (0.04) (0.03) (0.03) 0.08 0.03 −0.12 −0.08 −0.12 0.21 0.19 −0.06 (0.36) (0.17) (0.15) (0.17) (0.12) (0.26) (0.34) (0.12) 0.16 0.29∗ 0.21∗ 0.20 0.14 0.13 0.10 0.21∗ (0.23) (0.13) (0.10) (0.14) (0.11) (0.15) (0.18) (0.10) 0.56 0.95 1.45 0.65 0.07 0.23 1.65 1.52 0.49 (1.93) (1.68) (1.85) (0.93) (0.93) (1.20) (1.37) (0.94) (1.08) −0.42∗ −0.29 −0.37 −0.35 −0.36 −0.40∗ −0.54∗ −0.46∗ −0.34 (0.07) (0.23) (0.22) (0.21) (0.20) (0.18) (0.14) (0.11) (0.19) −2.41 −4.66 −4.75 −4.63 −3.55 −5.98 −9.03∗ −5.00 −3.99 (1.77) (3.92) (3.72) (3.82) (3.76) (3.70) (2.60) (3.49) (3.43) 51 118 140 151 147 141 74 83 200 0.26 0.21 0.19 0.15 0.12 0.17 0.38 0.18 0.14 0.00 0.12 0.11 0.08 0.04 0.08 0.26 0.03 0.08 0.48 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.49 0.48 0.43 0.49 0.48 Regression of ingroup preference in task efficacy for UO on contextual and individual level variables. Ingroup preference in task efficacy is the tendency to choose the ingroup member in the Lego task. Higher numbers represent greater discrimination against the outgroup. Clustered standard errors in parentheses. Clustered standard errors in parentheses. Columns represent the same subsets listed in A.9. ∗ indicates significance at p < 0.05. N R2 adj. R2 Resid. sd Segregation x Outgroup Percent Jerusalem Arab Population Low Income High Income Political Ideology Sephardic Ethnicity Other Ethnicity Mixed Ethnicity Age Male Outgroup Proportion Segregation Intercept Table A.10: Regressions of ingroup preference in task efficacy on contextual variables, subsetting to control for selection, for UO 62 Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 Model 8 Model 9 0.65 0.92∗ 1.07∗ 1.09∗ 0.92∗ 0.86∗ 0.98∗ 0.72∗ 0.95∗ (0.38) (0.36) (0.31) (0.32) (0.29) (0.29) (0.27) (0.36) (0.26) 0.34 −0.04 −0.07 −0.26 0.06 0.02 0.07 0.23 −0.07 (0.59) (0.49) (0.45) (0.54) (0.40) (0.39) (0.39) (0.61) (0.37) −1.06 −0.25 −0.22 −1.01 −1.30 −1.01 −1.14 −1.02 −1.38∗ (0.77) (0.99) (0.84) (0.86) (0.84) (0.71) (0.63) (0.93) (0.65) 0.01 0.01 −0.00 −0.05 −0.01 0.03 −0.03 −0.07 0.01 (0.13) (0.10) (0.10) (0.12) (0.09) (0.10) (0.10) (0.09) (0.09) −0.00 −0.00 0.00 0.00 −0.00 −0.00 −0.00 −0.00 −0.01∗ (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) 0.15 0.01 −0.00 0.03 0.08 0.07 0.05 0.09 0.06 (0.12) (0.13) (0.11) (0.13) (0.07) (0.08) (0.06) (0.08) (0.08) 0.47∗ 0.13 0.20∗ 0.24∗ 0.37∗ 0.36∗ 0.29∗ 0.27∗ 0.35∗ (0.14) (0.12) (0.08) (0.09) (0.12) (0.09) (0.14) (0.11) (0.10) −0.07 −0.08 −0.05 −0.05 −0.04 −0.06 −0.10 −0.04 −0.07 (0.11) (0.09) (0.09) (0.10) (0.10) (0.08) (0.08) (0.10) (0.08) 0.00 −0.01 −0.03 −0.02 −0.02 −0.01 −0.00 0.02 −0.02 (0.05) (0.04) (0.03) (0.03) (0.03) (0.03) (0.03) (0.04) (0.03) −0.06 0.07 −0.18 −0.03 −0.03 −0.06 −0.04 −0.03 (0.15) (0.15) (0.13) (0.12) (0.12) (0.13) (0.11) (0.10) 0.17 0.02 −0.05 0.06 0.10 0.10 0.17∗ 0.10 (0.10) (0.10) (0.07) (0.07) (0.07) (0.08) (0.08) (0.06) −2.25 −1.85 −0.75 −0.17 −0.47 −0.28 −0.90 −0.30 −0.41 (1.78) (1.75) (1.47) (1.38) (1.08) (1.19) (1.41) (1.01) (1.05) 0.18∗ 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.08 0.09 0.01 0.29∗ 0.07 (0.06) (0.10) (0.07) (0.10) (0.07) (0.07) (0.08) (0.10) (0.07) 1.35 0.43 −0.18 1.92 1.92 1.47 1.54 1.16 2.32 (1.81) (2.08) (1.86) (2.02) (1.80) (1.67) (1.40) (2.11) (1.53) 103 113 145 116 178 177 162 118 189 0.15 0.08 0.05 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.09 0.14 0.07 0.02 −0.04 −0.04 −0.06 −0.02 −0.02 0.01 0.03 −0.00 0.47 0.43 0.41 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.42 0.45 0.44 Regression of ingroup preference in task efficacy for non-UO on contextual and individual level variables. Ingroup preference in task efficacy is the tendency to choose the ingroup member in the Lego task. Higher numbers represent greater discrimination against the outgroup. Clustered standard errors in parentheses. Clustered standard errors in parentheses. Columns represent the same subsets listed in A.9. ∗ indicates significance at p < 0.05. N R2 adj. R2 Resid. sd Segregation x Outgroup Percent Jerusalem Arab Population Low Income High Income Political Ideology Sephardic Ethnicity Other Ethnicity Mixed Ethnicity Age Male Outgroup Proportion Segregation Intercept Table A.11: Regressions of ingroup preference in task efficacy on contextual variables, subsetting to control for selection, for Non-UO 63 Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 Model 8 Model 9 −0.16 −1.93∗ −1.26∗ −1.31∗ −1.24∗ −1.03 −3.40∗ −0.05 −1.46∗ (1.69) (0.63) (0.62) (0.63) (0.49) (0.57) (1.41) (0.98) (0.53) 2.89 5.01∗ 4.09∗ 4.35∗ 3.89∗ 3.24∗ 8.85∗ 1.61 4.22∗ (3.25) (1.37) (1.55) (1.72) (1.32) (1.34) (2.81) (2.54) (1.51) 0.85 2.25∗ 2.05∗ 2.16∗ 1.77∗ 1.76∗ 4.27∗ 0.73 2.04∗ (1.37) (0.65) (0.66) (0.72) (0.65) (0.62) (1.40) (1.13) (0.63) 0.17 0.09 0.02 0.07 −0.01 0.05 0.18 0.05 0.08 (0.12) (0.09) (0.08) (0.07) (0.08) (0.09) (0.12) (0.12) (0.06) −0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) 0.21 0.11 0.07 0.10 0.07 −0.00 −0.08 0.20 0.06 (0.18) (0.20) (0.18) (0.16) (0.19) (0.13) (0.22) (0.25) (0.15) 0.04 −0.13 −0.14 −0.19 −0.22 −0.14 (0.09) (0.10) (0.12) (0.12) (0.18) (0.10) 0.03 0.15 0.22∗ 0.14 0.04 0.03 0.12 −0.06 0.10 (0.20) (0.12) (0.10) (0.10) (0.08) (0.10) (0.14) (0.09) (0.08) −0.07 0.01 −0.05 −0.02 −0.02 −0.03 0.01 −0.06 −0.02 (0.10) (0.03) (0.03) (0.03) (0.03) (0.03) (0.04) (0.05) (0.03) 0.09 0.03 −0.03 0.17 0.02 0.17 0.27 0.08 (0.23) (0.17) (0.12) (0.14) (0.14) (0.27) (0.24) (0.12) 0.16 0.22 0.20∗ 0.16 0.15 0.08 0.08 0.14 (0.15) (0.11) (0.09) (0.10) (0.11) (0.21) (0.14) (0.08) 1.55 2.93∗ 0.37 1.35 1.69∗ 0.65 2.04 −0.86 1.38∗ (1.62) (1.09) (0.71) (0.83) (0.71) (0.55) (1.36) (1.14) (0.67) −0.31 −0.38∗ −0.30∗ −0.31∗ −0.33∗ −0.33∗ −0.59∗ −0.39∗ −0.33∗ (0.23) (0.08) (0.11) (0.11) (0.10) (0.08) (0.14) (0.19) (0.10) −3.74 −6.48∗ −5.43∗ −5.79∗ −5.03∗ −4.36∗ −11.33∗ −2.28 −5.43∗ (3.92) (1.72) (1.81) (2.05) (1.66) (1.60) (3.43) (2.98) (1.81) 43 97 117 123 120 114 63 66 164 0.36 0.17 0.16 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.31 0.28 0.12 0.08 0.05 0.07 0.02 −0.00 0.02 0.14 0.10 0.04 0.38 0.46 0.44 0.46 0.45 0.44 0.42 0.41 0.44 Regression of ingroup bias in public goods game for UO on contextual and individual level variables. Ingroup bias in the public goods games is decision to cooperate with ingroup member and not outgroup member. Clustered standard errors in parentheses. Clustered standard errors in parentheses. Columns represent the same subsets listed in A.9. ∗ indicates significance at p < 0.05. N R2 adj. R2 Resid. sd Segregation x Outgroup Percent Jerusalem Arab Population Low Income High Income Political Ideology Sephardic Ethnicity Other Ethnicity Mixed Ethnicity Age Male Outgroup Proportion Segregation Intercept Table A.12: Regressions of ingroup bias in public goods cooperation on contextual variables, subsetting to control for selection, for UO 64 Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 Model 8 Model 9 0.85∗ 0.77∗ 0.72∗ 0.82∗ 0.77∗ 0.75∗ 0.64∗ 0.44 0.70∗ (0.28) (0.23) (0.27) (0.29) (0.22) (0.25) (0.21) (0.34) (0.21) −0.77 −0.71 −0.63 −1.02 −0.79 −0.91∗ −0.49 −0.74 −0.69 (0.52) (0.45) (0.44) (0.71) (0.43) (0.41) (0.47) (0.48) (0.41) −2.20∗ −1.75 −1.91∗ −1.69 −2.07∗ −2.30∗ −2.01∗ −0.85 −1.88∗ (0.73) (1.01) (0.80) (1.18) (0.86) (0.69) (0.69) (0.69) (0.62) −0.07 −0.28∗ −0.05 −0.13 −0.07 −0.04 −0.06 0.02 −0.07 (0.09) (0.09) (0.06) (0.07) (0.06) (0.07) (0.07) (0.10) (0.06) 0.00 −0.00 −0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 −0.00 0.00 −0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) 0.04 −0.00 −0.01 0.10 −0.04 0.02 0.02 0.12 −0.00 (0.19) (0.13) (0.13) (0.17) (0.15) (0.14) (0.15) (0.19) (0.14) 0.37 0.48∗ 0.55∗ 0.32 0.36 0.32 1.05∗ 0.36 (0.25) (0.19) (0.12) (0.20) (0.19) (0.17) (0.15) (0.19) −0.08 0.12 0.06 0.16 0.02 0.07 0.04 0.13 0.06 (0.14) (0.09) (0.08) (0.11) (0.10) (0.09) (0.09) (0.13) (0.09) 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 −0.00 0.03 (0.04) (0.04) (0.04) (0.04) (0.03) (0.03) (0.03) (0.06) (0.03) −0.10 −0.07 −0.00 0.04 0.07 0.11 0.21 0.08 (0.19) (0.21) (0.17) (0.14) (0.15) (0.17) (0.17) (0.15) −0.06 −0.08 −0.10 −0.07 −0.09 −0.07 0.03 −0.05 (0.15) (0.14) (0.15) (0.14) (0.14) (0.16) (0.10) (0.14) −1.11 −0.03 −0.88 −2.10∗ −1.12 −0.76 −0.93 −0.42 −0.90 (1.08) (0.98) (1.00) (0.87) (0.75) (0.78) (0.63) (0.79) (0.67) −0.23∗ −0.00 −0.16 −0.12 −0.23∗ −0.24∗ −0.28∗ −0.07 −0.20∗ (0.09) (0.12) (0.11) (0.15) (0.07) (0.07) (0.08) (0.08) (0.06) 3.37∗ 2.85 3.02 2.47 3.20 3.81∗ 3.09 1.08 2.80 (1.51) (2.57) (2.06) (2.99) (1.99) (1.71) (1.75) (1.46) (1.55) 77 85 114 88 132 133 125 90 142 0.18 0.17 0.13 0.14 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.13 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.05 0.01 0.05 0.46 0.46 0.47 0.46 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.42 0.46 Regression of ingroup bias in public goods game for non-UO on contextual and individual level variables. Ingroup bias in the public goods games is decision to cooperate with ingroup member and not outgroup member. Higher numbers represent greater discrimination against the outgroup. Clustered standard errors in parentheses. Clustered standard errors in parentheses. Columns represent the same subsets listed in A.9. ∗ indicates significance at p < 0.05. N R2 adj. R2 Resid. sd Segregation x Outgroup Percent Jerusalem Arab Population Low Income High Income Political Ideology Sephardic Ethnicity Other Ethnicity Mixed Ethnicity Age Male Outgroup Proportion Segregation Intercept Table A.13: Regressions of ingroup bias in public goods cooperation on contextual variables, subsetting to control for selection, for Non-UO