Betty E. Smith Population and Urbanization in Latin America and the Caribbean Latin America and the Caribbean is the most urbanized region in the world with approximately 69 % urban population in Middle America and the Caribbean and 81.6 % in South America (Escamilla et al. 2008, HayesMitchell and Godfrey 2008). The hierarchy of cities reflects preHispanic and colonial settlement patterns and modern transportation routes. While the largest metropolitan regions continue to increase in size and population, the greatest change is occurring in the small and medium size cities. M odern ­ stereotypes of large, well known cities of Latin America and the Caribbean invoke images of carnival in Rio de Janeiro, air pollution in Mexico City, far reaching skylines of Sao ­Paulo (Photo 1), border crossing traffic jams in Tijuana and Juarez, and widespread poverty on the Caribbean island of Hispañola. In contrast, the lesser known, award-winning Curitiba, Brazil offers a model for urban environmental planning (see Textbox 1 and Photo 2). Other cities were built from the ground up as hopeful experiments in urban design and development planning, e.g., Brasilia, the capital of Brazil; the industrial Ciudad Guyana, ­Venezuela; and Cancun, Mexico, a popular tourist destination. Cities in locations better known for their flora and fauna than human occu- pants, like the Galapagos Islands and Amazon jungle, are also experiencing rapid population growth, e.g., Manaus near the confluence of the Rio Negro and Amazon. The urban landscapes of ­ Latin America and the Caribbean changed dramatically during the period 1950 to 2000. The behemoth Mexico City and surrounding Federal District still dominate the urban hierarchy of Mexico and Central America (Figure 1); however, major cities along the United States border surged in population during the latter half of the 20th century, as well as others in central Mexico and several in Central America. In the Caribbean the dominant city in 1950, Havana, Cuba, was equalled in size by three major cities in Haiti and the Dominican Republic during the ensuing 50 years. Likewise the continent of South America has seen the foremost 1950 city of Photo 1: Skylines of Sao Paulo Photo: dpa / picture-alliance 30 Geographische Rundschau International Edition Vol. 6, No 3 | 2010 Population and Urbanization in Latin America and the Caribbean Urbanization It is expected that 75 million more people will be residing in the cities of Latin America and the Caribbean in 2015 than were residing there in 2005 (Figure 1; Fay and Laderchi 2005). Those countries in the region that are less urbanized today will see the greatest change. For example, the countries in Central America as well as Ecuador, Bolivia and Paraguay in South America are expected to have the highest annual growth rate of urban population (2.8 %) with an absolute increase of 13 million people between 2005 and 2015 (Baker and Lall 2003). Although the other countries of South America and Mexico will have lower annual growth rates, the absolute increase in urban population at 58 million will be substantially larger, moving the overall average urbanization rate of Latin America and the Caribbean to a projected 84 % in 2015. The Caribbean is expected to see an urban population increase of 4 million during the same period. While the geographic locations of the largest cities of the urban hierarchy of the region are evident on population maps (Figure 1), the growth rate of populations residing in localities with 2,000 or more inhabitants and mapped by major administrative divisions sharpens understanding of changes in population distribution for the period 1950 to 2000. The highest growth rates are not where the largest ­cities are located but rather in previously remote or sparsely populated areas. This is the result of national public policy and development planning that has occurred in a changing global context. During the second half of the 20th century Mexico developed its international tourism indus- textbox 1 Curitiba, Brazil: model of good city planning Situated about 3,050 feet above sea level in southern Brazil at the headwaters of the Iguaçu River on the Serra do Mar plateau, Curitiba (2010 population 1,896,743) is southwest of Sao Paulo and connected by a 100 mile rail line that travels southeast through the Atlantic rainforest to the seaports of Antonina and Paranaguá. In a 1996 Scientific American article, Jonas Rabinovitch, an urban planner at the U.N., and Josef Leitman, a planner at the World Bank, praised urban planning strategies practiced in Curitiba, e.g., priority for public transportation over private cars (Photo 2), development of the public transit system, citizen participation in master plan formation, recycling efforts and a garbage-purchase program. The American Planning Association recognized Curitiba as a model of environmental and planning practices. By channeling and dispersing growth, municipal regulations preserved colonial heritage and developed many city parks. An efficient bus system extends about six miles out from the city center and zoning encourages high density multi-story development near bus lines. Clear plastic tubes 33 feet long and 9 feet in diameter serve as bus stops. Curitiba is a clean, modern city of wide avenues and flower-bedecked pedestrian malls. Initially Italian, German, Polish, Slav, Ukrainian, and Russian immigrants settled here. Later Japanese, Syrian and Lebanese arrived. Today ethnic restaurants and architecture reflect cultural diversity. Decline of coffee and timber industries after 1950 spurred massive rural to urban migration. The city continues to grow, its population increasing from 1.3 million in 1991 to 1.9 million in 2010. Photo: ­ uenos Aires joined by half a dozen B large cities (Bogotá, Lima, Santiago, Sao Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, and Belo Horizante) as well as numerous small and intermediate size cities. What was once referred to as the hollow core of a continent is rapidly filling with new and growing settlements. Photo 2: Curitiba/Brazil, a model in urban governance try. Towns and villages along the northern Pacific coast, Baja California Peninsula, and Yucatan Peninsula experienced rapid population growth, especially the city of Cancun, the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula (called the Mexican Riviera) and the island of Cozumel. The state in Mexico with the highest population growth rate between 1950 and 2000 was Quintana Roo, a reflection of tourism Geographische Rundschau International Edition Vol. 6, No 3 | 2010 developments and associated employment opportunities that attracted permanent residents to the ­Yucatan Peninsula. In South America the states and provinces located in the center of the continent experienced the greatest change between 1950 and 2000. A wide swath of higher growth rates extends from the south to the northwest of Brazil. In response to global markets and 31 Betty E. Smith Urban Population Percent of Total Population 90 - 100 80 - 90 70 - 80 60 - 70 50 - 60 13 - 50 Latin America: Urban Population, 1950-2010 Percent of Total Population 80 70 60 50 40 30 City Population 20 Millions 10 0 12.2 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 8.0 2010 4.8 2.6 1.2 0.5 Source: World Urbanization Prospects 2007 KJZ Figure 1: Latin America: large cities, urban population and growth between 1950 and 2010 government policy, soybean production expanded northward beginning in the 1970’s (Hasse and Bueno 1996, Jepson et al. 2010). “… Population growth for that region was higher than the overall growth for the country” (Jepson et al. 2010, p. 203). By the year 2000, Brazil was the second largest world producer of soy. Today modern soybean, corn and cotton production propel urbanization processes throughout central and northwestern Brazil as well as eastern portions of Paraguay, Bolivia and Peru. Small in size but noteworthy in its high rate of growth is the TriBorder Area (TBA) where the countries of Brazil, Paraguay and Ar- 32 gentina meet (see Textbox 2). A rapidly expanding viticulture region in west central Argentina drives an above average growth rate in the area of the intermediate sized city of Mendoza. Also noteworthy are the high urbanization rates in Colombia and eastern Peru, where citizens sought refuge in towns and cities from guerrilla warfare and rural violence at various times during the period 1950–2000. Urban problems Many of the largest cities of the ­Caribbean and South America, as well as the popular tourist destinations of Mexico and Central Amer- ica, are located near the coast and vulnerable to tropical hurricanes and subtropical storms (Isla and Schnack 2010). A long term consideration for coastal cities is sea ­level rise while short term considerations involve more immediate anthropogenic effects, e.g., degradation of mangrove swamps and depletion of coastal and island fresh water aquifers. Likewise deforestation and other human modifications of the landscape cause massive downstream flooding, e.g., the flood of May 2005 in metropolitan São Paulo and the 2006 floods of the Acre River that affected the Amazonian city of Rio Branco ­ (Stevaux et al. 2010). It is the poor, e.g., those Geographische Rundschau International Edition Vol. 6, No 3 | 2010 Population and Urbanization in Latin America and the Caribbean textbox 2 Tri-Border Area Argentina, Brazil and Paraguay The Tri-Border Area (TBA) is where the countries of Argentina, Brazil and Paraguay share common political boundaries (Figure 2). Located about 500 feet above sea level, the area surrounds the place where the Iguaçu River enters the Paraná River. ­According to the online World Gazetteer, the urbanized TBA has a total calculated population of more than 700,000 and contains three distinct cities: Ciudad del Este, Paraguay (2010 population: 357,476); Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil (2010 population: 347,421) and the much smaller Puerto Iguazú, Argentina (2010 population: 33,605). Most individuals in Ciudad del Este speak both Spanish and the ­Amerindian language of Guaraní. People of Foz do Iguaçu mostly speak Portuguese and in Puerto Iguazú most people speak ­Spanish.The TBA is transnational, economically interdependent and best known for nearby Itaipu Dam to the north, Iguaçu Falls to the south, and the free trade zone of Ciudad del Este on the west side of the Paraná River. Economic interdependence and porous borders contribute to a mix of legal and illegal economic activities. With annual sales reaching approximately US$ 12 billion, Ciudad del Este is considered third globally in cash transactions after Hong Kong and Miami. Thousands of people per day cross the Friendship Bridge from Brazil to Paraguay to visit, shop and do business. Many sales are illegal, leading to the TBA‘s reputation as the busiest contraband and smuggling center in South America. Trading links exist to various transnational ethnic mafias that specialize in stolen intellectual property and engage in document forgery, money laundering, contraband smuggling, gunrunning and drug trafficking. The Federal Research Division of the Library of Congress in the United States estimated that some of the 55 banks and foreign exchange shops in Ciudad del Este launder US$ 6 billion per year, approximately equal to half of the gross domestic product of ­Paraguay. In 1975 construction of Itaipu Dam began, a very large eighteen turbine hydroelectric project on the Paraná River (Figure 2). It was a driving force for population growth. Nearby Foz do Iguaçu had a population of 12,000 in 1973, grew to 40,000 in 1975 and to ­approximately 350,000 in 2010. Nearby Ciudad del Este experienced similar growth of population from 7,069 in 1972, to 49,423 in 1982 and nearing 360,000 in 2010. The dam employs about 4,000 ­people, stimulating TBA economies. Ciudad del Este is the second largest city in Paraguay after the capital Asunción. In the early 1970’s government planners decided to promote regional trade by establishing a free-trade zone in Ciudad del Este. Internal and international migratory trends created the ethnically diverse TBA. Since the early 1980’s, Brazilians have been the largest immigrant group moving to Paraguay. Inhabitants of the TBA are largely of mixed Spanish, Guaraní and Portuguese descent. Ethnically diverse, the TBA is also inhabited by German, Italian, French, and Japanese immigrants, Chinese and Korean communities, and an estimated 30,000 ethnic Arabs and Muslims, mostly of Palestinian and Lebanese descent. Many are descendents of immigrants who arrived 60 years ago. It is Geographische Rundschau International Edition Vol. 6, No 3 | 2010 Figure 2: Satellite image of the tri-border area of Brazil, Paraguay and Argentina: 1973 (top) and 2001 (bottom) estimated by the Middle East Intelligence Bulletin that there were about 7,500 retailers of Arab ethnicity in Ciudad del Este in 2002. The nearby, relatively small city of Puerto Iguazú, Argentina is separated from Ciudad del Este by the Paraná River. However, it has easy access through Brazil via the Tancredo Neves Bridge across the Iguaçu River. It is about six miles from Puerto Iguazú to the central business district of Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil. Puerto Iguazú is popular for lodging and entertainment among tourists visiting the Argentine side of the UNESCO world heritage site of Iguaçu Falls. 33 Betty E. Smith female participation in the workforce and a decline in fertility rates. While the number of children per woman varies greatly among countries, the overall average in Latin America declined from 6 to 2.5 during the period 1960 to 2000 (Place and Chase 2005). Fertility changes, improved health care, and reduced death rates signal that a demographic transition is occurring. Much of the self built informal sector housing solutions of the 1960s and 1970s have been legitimized and integrated into systems of public services. In those areas where this has not occurred there remains conflict over land and housing title. The countries of Latin America and the Caribbean have engaged to greater or lesser extents in what Knox and McCarthy (2005) describe as a sustainable urban development model. Such a model synthesizes political, social, demographic, environmental, and economic components. Strides have been made in the passage of environmental legislation, reduced fertility rates, and provision of housing and clean water. Increased decentralized and participatory planning is occurring in some countries to achieve appropriate physical urban design for provision of basic needs. Future cross border planning and governing will likely become more widespread in urban regions that encompass international borders. Nevertheless, in spite of foreign direct investment and government led industrial development, access to adequate income remains the single most serious problem. The response has been temporary and permanent migration for work ­occurring nationally, regionally and internationally. Remittances from abroad remain the single most significant response to rural and urban problems in Latin America and the Caribbean. ||| References AUThor Responses to urban problems and thoughts for the future Acosta, P., P. Fajnzylber and J.H. Lopez 2007: The impact of remittances on poverty and human capital: evidence from Latin American household surveys. In: C. Ozden and M. Schiff (eds.): International migration, economic development & policy. Washington, D.C., pp. 59–98 Professor Dr. Betty E. Smith Department of Geology and Geography, Eastern Illinois University, 600 Lincoln Avenue, Charleston, IL 61920 / USA besmith@eiu.edu Improved access to education is usually accompanied by increased 34 Baker, J. and S. Lall 2003: Trends and characteristics of urban poverty in Latin America and the Caribbean. Washington, D.C. Escamilla, I., J.L. Scarpaci and A.G. Aguilar 2008: Cities of Middle America and the Caribbean. In: S.D. Brunn, M. Hays-Mitchell and D.J. Zeigler (eds.): Cities of the World. Lanham, Maryland, pp. 102–141 Fay, M. and C.R. Laderchi 2005: Urban poverty in Latin America and the Caribbean: Setting the stage.In: M. Fay (ed.): The urban poor in Latin America. Washington, D.C, pp. 19–46 Fay, M. 2005: Overview. In: M. Fay (ed.): The urban poor in Latin America. Washington, D.C., pp. 1–18 Garcia, N.O., R.N. Ferreira and E.M. Latrubesse 2010: Climate and geomorphologic-related ­disasters in Latin America. In: E.M. Latrubesse (ed.): Natural hazards and human-exacerbated disasters in Latin America: special volumes of geomorphology. Amsterdam, pp. 1–28 Hasse, G. and F. Bueno 1996: O Brasil da Soja: Abrindo Fronteiras, Semeando Cidades (The Brazil of Soy: Opening Frontiers, Sowing ­Cities). Porto Alegre Hays-Mitchell, M. and B.J. Godfrey 2008: Cities of South America. In: S.D. Brunn, M. Hays-Mitchell and D.J. Zeigler (eds.): Cities of the World. Lanham/MD, pp. 142–199 Isla, F.I. and E.J. Schnack 2010: The changing coastlines of South America. In: E.M. Latrubesse (ed.): Natural hazards and human-exacerbated disasters in Latin America: special volumes of geomorphology. Amsterdam, pp. 49–74 Jepson, W., C. Brannstrom and A. Filippi 2010: ­Access Regimes and Regional Land Change in the Brazilian Cerrado, 1972–2002. Annals of the Association of American Geographers 100 (1), pp. 87–111 Knox, P.L. and L. McCarthy 2005: Urbanization. Upper Saddle River, N.J. 2005 Place, S.E. and J. Chase 2005: The Environment, Population, and Urbanization. In: R.S. Hillman (ed.): Understanding contemporary Latin America. Boulder, Colorado, pp. 209–235 Simões de Castro, S. and J.P. de Queiroz Neto 2010: Soil erosion in Brazil from coffee to the present-day soy bean production. In: E.M. Latrubesse (ed.): Natural hazards and humanexacerbated disasters in Latin America: special volumes of geomorphology. Amsterdam, pp. 195–222 Stevaux, J.C., E.M. Latrubesse, M.L. de P. Hermann and S. Aquino 2010: Floods in urban areas of Brazil. In: E.M. Latrubesse (ed.): Natural hazards and human-exacerbated disasters in Latin America: special volumes of geo­ morphology. Amsterdam, pp. 245–266 World Gazateer. www.world-gazetteer.com; accessed 30 January 2010 living in riverside and hill slope shantytowns, who are most impacted by environmental disasters (Place and Chase 2005). Earthquakes and volcanoes have devastating effects on cities, e.g., Port-au-Prince, Haiti suffered massive earthquake damage in January 2010 (Photo 3). Additionally, the Caribbean and west coast of South America are subject to occasional tsunami damage, such as the ­ February 2010 ­devastation in Concepción, Chile. The urban regions of Latin America and the Caribbean are struggling with poverty. That is not to say that poverty is worse in cities than rural areas? In fact, the opposite is true. However, the sheer number of people impacted by poverty is greater in cities. For example, more than half of those living in the largest cities of El Salvador, Guatemala, Haiti, and Honduras are subsisting under their national poverty lines. According to Fay (2005), urban poverty differs from rural poverty in a number of ways: • urban workers are more integrated into the market economy (in contrast with rural subsistence lifestyles); • monetization of food consumption increases vulnerability to price increases; • urban employment is more susceptible to macroeconomic downturns; and there are • weaker social networks, and • greater exposure to crime. Associated with urban poverty are the problems of inadequate housing, underemployment and unemployment, lack of services, air and water pollution, as well as local and international crime. For example, violence and terror are spiraling Haiti deeper into poverty and associated gang warfare. Similarly, destitution in urban shantytowns in the Andean countries threatens political stability. In addition, there are issues of deterioration of urban heritage sites. Geographische Rundschau International Edition Vol. 6, No 3 | 2010