The American College of History and Legal Studies History of the American Economy and Government Regulation Syllabus Term: Professor: Email: Summer 2014 David W. Fagerstrom david.fagerstrom@achls.org Cell Phone: 603 560-3058 Home Phone: 603 893-0825 Class Schedule: (all classes meet 6:00-to-10:20 p.m., including two 10 minute breaks) Week 1 Pilgrims to Revolution Monday, June 30 Tuesday, July 1 Wednesday, July 2 – View & Discuss “Too Big To Fail” – HBO Adaptation of the book. Thursday, July 3 - No classes before 4th of July. Week 2 Revolution to 1920 Monday, July 7 Wednesday, July 9 Thursday, July 10 Week 3 WWI to WWII Week 4 Cold War to Today Week 5 Final Exam Monday, July 14 – MID-TERM EXAM Wednesday, July 16 Thursday, July 17 Monday, July 21 Wednesday, July 23 Thursday, July 24 Monday, July 28 - Study Day – No Class Wednesday, July 30 - Study Day – No Class Thursday, July 31 - FINAL EXAM This seminar course concerns the history of the American economy and government regulation. We study history chronologically and reflectively; this view helps us to determine whether current crises indicate that the United States has failed to study our economic past. Students also explore the history of governmental regulation of economic matters, focusing on fiscal policies, monetary policies, regulatory agencies and Supreme Court rulings. To ensure students share a common foundation of economic principles, the course includes some basic micro and macro economic theories and the ideas of the leading thinkers whose views influenced economic matters. Like your prior courses at ACHLS, this seminar is rigorous and demands adherence to a heavy reading schedule. You will complete each week’s readings prior to the first class of the week. The readings consist of a traditional History of the American Economy text book, an Economics text book (Version 1.07 is a custom one volume edition. Version 1.0 is in two volumes, one for Micro Economics, the other for Macro Economics), and a scholarly and potentially contrarian work on the role of capitalism in the American Economy. The PDF manuscript, A Financial and Economic History of the American Automobile Industry provides an in-depth look at how government regulation influenced the rise and fall of the American automobile industry from its founding to today. Each week’s readings also include selected websites (including YouTube videos) and instructor provided handouts. This is a discussion class. ACHLS expects each student to respond to instructor questions several times during each class. However, students may voluntarily join the discussion provided we maintain civility, courtesy and decorum at all times. As we’ll discover, many issues in economics are subject to debate with each side’s position dependent upon their point of view and desired outcome. Part of my job is to initiate such discussions and moderate the student-tostudent debate. Attendance is required for participation in the discussion and debate. Under ordinary circumstances, more than two absences will result in a reduction in your participation and final grade. In general the objectives for this course are: • Mastery of the course content by thorough preparation for each class and thoughtful discussion of the issues explored. • Demonstrating knowledge of both sides of economic debates by articulating either side of an issue, regardless of your personal ideology. • Develop critical thinking skills, especially as applied to economic matters, and • Enhance your speaking and writing skills. Reading List: Text 1: Gary M. Walton and Hugh Rockoff, History of the America Economy, 11th Edition. ISBN 0-324-78661-3 Text 2: Russell Cooper and Andrew John, Economics: Theory Through Applications, 1st edition. Version 1.0: ISBN 978-1-4533-2224-6. See Reading List for Version 1.07 and ordering options. Book 1: Thomas Di Lorenzo, How Capitalism Saved America, © 2004, ISBN 1-4000-8331-1 Web inputs: The week-by-week syllabus directs students to text and/or video websites for additional materials used in each week’s discussions. Additional: Instructor-provided PDF files of selected texts. See the Reading List on the ACHLS website for further details surrounding editions, new versus used, sources, etc. Note: Weekly Assignments/Readings Subject to Change as Needed. Assessment: • Participation (12 class meetings) • Mid-Term Exam • Final Exam 30% 30% 40% up to 2.5% per class July 14, 2014 July 31, 2014 Week One Readings: • Text 1, Chapter 1, “Growth, Welfare and the American Economy” pp. 1-17 • Text 1, Part 1, “The Colonial Era: 1607 – 1776” pp. 22 – 107 • • • • • • • • • • • Thomas J. DiLorenzo, How Capitalism Saved America, Introduction, Chapters 1, 2, 3, and 4, Capitalism through the American Revolution, pp. 1-78. Mankiw-Taylor, Europe, Middle East and Africa Economics, 2e, Chapter 1. Instructor provided as a PDF file, pp. 2-18 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jbkSRLYSojo http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=1&ved=0CCAQF jAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww2.econ.iastate.edu%2Fclasses%2Fecon312%2Fvandew etering%2Fdocuments%2Fmarshall.ppt&ei=A3PU9rxHoe_sQS404Bw&usg=AFQjCNEuiAVJZrt9mu7X_WDgZEKrweE2lA&bvm=bv. 68235269,d.cWc (especially slide 3 of the PowerPoint). http://www.gatesfoundation.org/Pages/home.aspx http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Product_Red http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Muhammad_Yunus https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bx_LWm6_6tA http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/warning/view/ In Class Video Viewing: (HBO Documentary, Too Big to Fail) Total Reading: about 350 pages plus web articles. Topics: − Incentives and self-interest, a.k.a.: greed. ! Who’s ox is getting gored? − Adam Smith and the “Invisible Hand.” − Supply and Demand − Shifts in Supply and Demand? − The role government plays in the economy, ca. 1492-to-1776 − The incentives for Europe to colonize the Americas − Economic activities in and between the colonies − Colonial import and export trade − How economic issues drove the colonies into armed revolution − Lord Alfred Marshall and the conflict of cool heads and warm hearts − Contemporary U.S. economic regulation and results concerns − Basics of micro and macro economics How did economic incentives to colonize differ from colony-to-colony? Were all colonization efforts economically driven? How did Adam Smith’s “Invisible Hand” play out in the colonies in the 150 years before he wrote his seminal work, The Wealth of Nations? Looking backwards from today, what do U.S. regulators wrestle with when trying to resolve conflicts between “cool heads” and “warm hearts”? Which of those conflicts have the greatest impact on you, personally? Which of those conflicts have the greatest potential to “change life as we know it”? The July 2nd class will focus on the Financial Crisis of 2007-2009. Students should review the “…v=bx_LWm6_6tA” YouTube video and the Frontline video before class. The class will also feature a showing of the instructor’s copy of the HBO film, “Too Big to Fail” which highlights the beginning of the collapse of the American (and Global) Financial system, and the Bush 43-era Toxic Asset Relief Program (TARP) laws, the intent of the legislation, and the actual results. In class discussion will center around issues such as why didn’t we see this coming, compare/contrast Obama Stimulus and Bush TARP, and what might have happened had the TARP bill not been passed. Week Two Readings: • Text 1, Part 2, “The Revolutionary, Early National, and Antebellum Eras: 1776-1860” pp. 110 – 237 • Text 1, Part 3, “The Reunification Era: 1860-1920” pp. 242 – 377 • • • • • Thomas DiLorenzo, How Capitalism Saved America, Chapters 7 and 8, the Robber Barons and Antitrust, pp. 110-155. Arthur M. Kenison, Economic History of the American Automobile Industry, Chapter 1, pages 5-40 http://www.u-s-history.com/pages/h3002.html (The War of 1812) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dmzZ8lCLhlk (Milton Friedman on “The Robber Baron Myth.”) Total Reading: 400 and web articles. Topics: • • • • • • • • • • • Price Theory: How prices get established. Elasticity: sometimes raising prices produces more revenue, sometimes it doesn’t. GDP Growth, Business Cycles, Prices (Inflation) and Unemployment The role government plays in the economy, ca. 1776-to-1920 The incentives for “The Second Revolution: The War of 1812” A new nation expands Transportation, import and export trade Local beginnings of the industrial age. Changes in the labor force. Industrial captains of industry – villains or heroes? The rise of Antitrust Law. Early attempts (and failures of National Banks) • • The emergence of the Federal Reserve System. Abolitionists versus plantation owners. An early case of warm hearts versus cool heads? What were the economics of winning the revolution? Did independence bring about instant peace and prosperity? How did incentives play a role in expansion of the new country – and who’s ox was being gored? How did early industrialization change life in America? Did both sides (labor and management) gain from the new relationships? Are there benefits from economic growth, especially when measured by per capita GDP? Given a choice (a choice regulators have to some degree), which do you prefer, rising inflation and low unemployment, or low inflation with somewhat high unemployment? Why? What is in the news looking backward from today where we might find guidance from the successes (or failures) of the past? Materials covered in weeks one and two will be the subject of a mid-term exam on Monday, July 14, the first day of week 3. Week Three Readings: • Text 1, Part 4, “War, Depression, and War Again: 1914-1946” pp. 380 – 482 • • • • • • • • • Thomas DiLorenzo, How Capitalism Saved America, Chapters 5 and 6, Public Goods versus Private Goods and Free Market wages, pp. 79-109. Thomas DiLorenzo, How Capitalism Saved America, Chapters 9 and 10, Capitalists’ view on The Great Depression, pp. 156-205. Arthur M. Kenison, Economic History of the American Automobile Industry, Chapters 2 and 3, pages 41-81 http://ingrimayne.com/econ/EconomicCatastrophe/GreatDepression.html http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_economic_thought http://www.encyclopedia.chicagohistory.org/pages/804.html http://www.flatworldknowledge.com/node/26164 Feenstra-Taylor, International Macro Economics, 2e, Chapter 11, part 4. Instructor provided as a PDF file, The Global Financial Crisis of 2007-2009, pp. 1-23 Total Reading: 391 plus web articles. Topics: • Organization of the firm: o Pure competition, monopoly, monopolistic competition, and oligopoly. • Antitrust and government regulation: o Who are the regulators or the money behind regulation? • Post-war divergences of Northern and Southern economies. • Agriculture: advancing westward but in need of Federal assistance • The role of railroads in economic change and the need for government regulation • The Industrial Revolution, incentives for concentration and the need for antitrust laws. • • • • • • • • • • • • Labor, unions, strikes and disruptions. One nation, one currency, but to what standards? Bank panics and the rise of the Federal Reserve System The U.S. in an imperialist world: foreign trade, protectionism and income tax Keynesian versus Classical Economic thought: o Policy choices: government intervention or Laissez Faire. Tools in the government’s economic tool chest: o Fiscal policy, monetary policy, international trade Economic incentives for enemies to drag the U.S. into WWI Economic incentives for enemies to drag the U.S. into WWII From the jubilation of the 1920s to and through the Great Depression The FDR New Deal The role of World War II in extracting the U.S. from the Great Depression Shifts in labor and agriculture during WW II. What were the economic and monetary challenges in the postbellum era? Did western agriculture and eastern industrialization unify or divide the country? What forces were at work to economically hold the union together? How did incentives play a role in industrialization and automation of agricultural processes – and who’s ox was being gored? How did industrialization change life in America? Did both sides (labor and management) gain from the new relationships? What led to the rise of unions? Given a choice (a choice regulators have to some degree), which do you prefer, industry regulated by industry insiders, industry regulated by political appointees with no knowledge of industry operation, or minimal regulation if any? Why? What is in the news looking backward from today where we might find guidance from the successes (or failures) of the past? Week Four Readings: • Text 1, Part 5, “The Postwar Era: 1946 to the Present” pp. 486 – 572 • • • Thomas DiLorenzo, How Capitalism Saved America, Chapters 11 and Conclusion, Capitalists and the Energy Crisis & Choosing Sides, pp. 206-256. Income & Wealth Distribution, Poverty and the Poverty Line PowerPoint − To be Distributed by Professor Fagerstrom Arthur M. Kenison, Economic History of the American Automobile Industry, Chapters 6, pages 116-145 and Chapter 3, pages 165-180 • http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e5VQsDStSVY&feature=relmfu • http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fIqyCpCPrvU&playnext=1&list=PL8967410B91E6A 3BE • http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VoxDyC7y7PM&feature=relmfu Total Reading: 420. • Topics: • Tools in the government’s economic tool chest: o Net exports, exchange rates, international finance and environmental regulation • Fading of the Keynesian era and the rise of the Monetarist era • Shift from a manufacturing (goods) dominated economy to a service economy • Immigration, outsourcing and off-shoring in a service dominated economy • Reaganomics, trickle-down economics, the Laffer Curve and battles over taxation. • Social economics of inflation, unemployment, inequality, poverty, discrimination and the environment: • Policy choices: cool heads or warm hearts. • Energy crises • The ebb and flow of political power in the post-World War II era. • How the Federal Reserve System, Treasury and Congress determined limits for “Too Big to Fail.” • Nationalization of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac • Tightening of credit for all applicants, even after capital infusions into Financial Services. • Financial Success (payback of loans, redemptions of Preferred Stock) of TARP • Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain: countries too big to save or too big to fail? • De-regulation of the financial services industry • Community Reinvestment Act 1977 – outlawing “redlining” by lenders • Administrative pressures to open “The American Dream” (home ownership) to more citizens. • Collapse of the housing bubble • Global savings glut • Federal Reserve lowered interest rates, 2001-2005 o Role of the 9/11/2001 attacks on monetary and fiscal policy • The U.S. was not alone in the “Great Recession.” • Beyond the reach of regulation: AIG • Federal Reserve monetary policy restrictions and remaining tools: o Money Supply and Quantitative Easing • The “Great Recession” is not the only crisis we face: • Continuous deficits, rising national debt, national debt ceiling • Potential consequences of a U.S. “Sovereign Default” (failure to pay maturing bonds and interest payments when due). • Saving the U.S. auto industry through TARP Why did Keynesian philosophies fail and give way to the monetarist era? Did the American Recovery and Reconstruction Act (the Obama stimulus bill) provide economic stimulus, or funds to those who supported the majority party? How has the shift to a service economy changed American labor, income and wealth? Does America need to change distribution of income? Which is the correct approach, make the wealthy poor or provide greater opportunity for the poor to rise out of poverty? Are the current debates over immigration driven by economics, culture, or social mores? What is in the news looking backward from today where we might find guidance from the successes (or failures) of the past? Is the “Great Recession” the worst economy we’ve experienced since The Great Depression? How did the housing bubble burst? How did access to credit change 2007-present? Has regulation of the credit card industry provided more, or less, credit to Americans? What drove changes in consumer and business confidence? To what extent was Federal Government spending (e.g., the “Stimulus Bill”) offset by reductions in state and local spending as tax revenues fell? What is in the news looking backward from today where we might find guidance from the successes (or failures) of the past? How has the shift to a service economy changed American labor, income and wealth? Does America need to change distribution of income? Which is the correct approach, make the wealthy poor or provide greater opportunity for the poor to rise out of poverty? Are the current debates over immigration driven by economics, culture, or social mores? What is your personal downside to the “Great Recession”? Do party politics tend to push critical decisions to the eleventh hour? Does the retail sector affect the Financial Sector and vice versa? How will Congress (and the President) respond to the pending encroachment on the National Debt Ceiling? How are the principle players likely to compromise on the conflicts between “warm hearts” and “cool heads”? If exploration tax breaks for big energy disappear, what are the likely consequences for the consumer in the short run and in the long run? If reducing the deficit and lowering the National Debt requires raising taxes, which taxes (levied against whom) and how much should they increase? What is in the news looking backward from today where we might find guidance from the successes (or failures) of the past? Keynesians versus Classical Economists – who’s right? How does the American Recovery and Reconstruction Act (the Obama stimulus bill) compare and contrast to FDR’s New Deal? How did isolationism and high tariffs contributed to U.S. entry into the two World Wars? How is our current “Great Recession” different from the Great Depression? What forces mitigated the impact of current circumstances compared to the Great Depression? Did both sides (labor and management) gain from the new relationships brought about by the changes necessitated by WW II? What is in the news looking backward from today where we might find guidance from the successes (or failures) of the past? Week Five Final Exam Week! Final Exam Thursday, July 31, 2014