Business Simulation User Guide Sustainability Business Simulation Produced by Tycoon Systems Inc These notes assume that you are in the Sustainability Business Simulation website, that you have registered as a user and you have logged in using the username and password that has been assigned to you TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 1 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation The Sustainability Business Simulation Multi/Single User System Guide Produced by Tycoon Systems Inc The Sustainability Business Simulation Objectives and Background This simulation offers insights into the management of global corporations using sustainable business practices, including the “Sustainable Value Framework” developed by Stuart Hart, Johnson School of Management, Cornell University You will take over a large, global automobile manufacturer. Your objective - to build sales, improve profitability and to maximise shareholder value. At the same time you will be tasked to control total carbon emissions from your business operations, in a tightening regulatory environment. Failure to limit “fleet” CO2 emissions will result in large financial penalties being applied to your company´s profits, leading to a reduction in company value. You also need to develop Sustainable Value for your business, and make certain balanced, strategic investments which have various beneficial impacts. These include reducing total carbon emissions in your operations, reducing operating costs or improving consumer demand for your products. A number of KPIs (Key Performance Indicators) allow you to track improvements in CO2 Efficiency, Energy Efficiency and Corporate Reputation, in addition to the more usual business indicators linked to profitability or cash flow. Your business success is also measured by the Market Value (Market Capitalisation) of your company, which is directly connected to the profitability of your business, and operating decisions that you take. The higher your profits, the higher the market value of your company by the end of the simulation run. The regulatory environment in the auto manufacturing sector will impose increasing constraints on decision-making over time, so you will need to manage your business to conform to these new regulations - yet still make a profit. The background to these issues are highlighted in two appendices in this guide : - European Community : recent Clean air regulations for new cars within the European Community, where new car emissions must be reduced over the period to 2020 – see Appendix 6 - USA (California example) : similar regulations are being enacted in many other countries, including the United States, to produce cleaner “tailpipes” over the years to 2030 – see Appendix 7 This simulation and case study does not directly address issues of global warming, or the politics of such issues. It deals with the realities of operating a business where managers obliged to understand and adapt to government regulations covering carbon emissions and other environmental concerns. TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 2 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Index Item Introduction Using the Multi/Single Simulation Model The Automobile Manufacturing Business Carbon Accounting Future Business Scenario & Case Study Managing for Sustainable Value Current Business Position Your Corporation Navigating the Simulation Managing Operations Supply and Demand Operating decisions Growth through Acquisition Issuing New Capital : Shares Issues and Buyback Other Business Indicators and reports Real Time Scores Appendices : 1. Data on product expansion opportunities 2. Opening Financial Statements for your company 3. Sustainable Value Framework – Stuart Hart Model 4. Note : Economies of Scale and Scope 5. Note : Supply Levels and Pricing 6. Note : Market Dominance 7. Note : EC policy relating on Carbon Emissions 8. Note : California's Clean Cars Law 9. Business Terms 10. Simulation : terms of Use Page 2 4 5 5 6 7 10 10 11 13 14 15 19 22 22 24 27 28 30 34 35 36 37 40 42 45 The GreenCar Business Simulation is an advanced management training tool – a dynamic, interactive simulation which emulates real business issues. This simulation is a browser-based business simulation, which runs on high speed servers in the USA and Europe, which can deliver results instantaneously and simultaneously to participants all over the world. IndustryMasters® is a registered trademark of Tycoon Systems, Inc. TM We Make Business Fun TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 3 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation USING THE MULTI/SINGLE USER SIMULATION MODEL – COMPETITION FORMAT Access : In the “Multi/Single User Simulation” format, individuals can log into our servers from anywhere in the world, 24/7 Virtual Competitors : In this system, we have created several Virtual Intelligent Players (VIPs) who will compete with you – programmed players who can spot strategic gaps in the system which you may have overlooked. They may – or may not –invest in such opportunities; but they will definitely provide some extra competition for you that you have to deal with. “PARTICIPATE” Before you can use this simulation, you MUST “Participate” by clicking this button (see below, left). If you do not click “Participate”, you will be left out of the simulation, and cannot make any decisions. All players in the session must click “Participate” before the instructor can start the simulation running RUNNING TIME : We will run the simulation over 5 days, at the rate of one simulated “business year” per day. Within each day, you will be able to move the simulation forward on your own by a maximum of 4 business quarters for that “year”. To do this you need to click on the “Next Quarter” button shown above right. You therefore have 4 sets of quarterly decisions to make each day. After each quarter, the system will send you updated information about your company, and you can review your new business positions. Your system will open up 4 additional quarters per day. When the system arrives at Quarter 20 (of 20), the simulation will stop. Your last simulation decisions will be made when the screen shows “Quarter 19 of 20”. This is because the results displayed and the labels shown are for the immediate previous quarter All decisions made by any player in each period will have to be made within these time intervals. You can exit the simulation at any time by clicking “Leave Simulation”. The simulation will store your decisions automatically – you can return at any time. Working in Teams: if you are working with a team, all team members can log into the same account with the same passwords etc. All team members can make the same decisions and access the same controls. Care must be taken to ensure teams have some level of discipline, so that they do not act against each other. TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 4 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation The Automobile Manufacturing Business You will participate in a dynamic business environment, where you take over a company which manufactures, and sells a range of conventional gasoline cars. You will compete against 3 virtual competitors, but will be able to compare your performance against other teams, who will manage the same simulated business in “parallel worlds” You will need to manage your business by focusing on three major areas : 1. Operating the main business levers such as price, marketing, production, inventory, and operating efficiencies to make sure you achieve the best performance. 2. Keep a close eye on carbon emissions – your profitability could be severely impacted if you do not manage to stay with government guidelines. See carbon accounting, below, and appendices 6 & 7 for more information. 3. Build a Sustainable Business through investing in various projects, which have beneficial environmental and long term, structural effects. Benefits include improved control over carbon emissions, operating cost reductions to further improve your profitability, increased demand for your products leading to top line growth, and boosting your corporate reputation. Investors will value your commitment to these projects, and your company’s Market Capitalisation will increase as a result. The best business performance will come from managing your business operations well, manufacture with low or no carbon penalties - through balancing output of low carbon emission models, along with carbon reduction investments - and working through the sustainable value framework investments you are offered. Carbon Accounting The government now requires all car manufacturers to manage their operations to an optimum level of carbon emissions. An average level of carbon across the whole corporation is assessed, and if this exceeds government requirements then financial penalties are applied – effectively a company-wide fine on excess carbon production. Those companies which manage their operations within government guidelines benefit from higher net incomes after carbon charging – this benefit feeds through into an increased stock prices and market capitalisation. At the start of the simulation period, the INITIAL maximum level of carbon production is 120g / km per car sold. This is applied as an average to the whole of a company’s production output. If a company exceeds this level (on average) within a certain accounting period, then an excess penalty or “premium” is charged against that company’s profits. The INITIAL penalty rate is $90 for each g/km in excess of the recommended limit, per car sold. The penalty rate will increase over time as the government brings in new regulations. Investment choices in the simulation will determine carbon outputs. In the gasoline car market in which you operate, emissions range from 80 g/km to 160 g/km per car Calculation Example : a. A company sells 10,000 cars per quarter : government emissions allowance for the company is 120 g/km/car b. Assume Actual output of 125 g/km per car : excess of 5 g/km per car assessed, at rate of $90 / g/km per car c. Penalty = 10,000 cars x 5g excess carbon x $90 per gm per car = $4.5m d. The company’s EBIT is reduced by $4.5m for that quarter e. Allowable carbon emissions are expected to be reduced by the government in future years to lower levels. f. See Appendices 6 and 7 for details on European and other government regulations in the real world TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 5 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Future Business Scenario Increases in energy prices are forecast to be between 2% and 8% per year, so gas prices and other costs are expected to continue to rise. This Inflation in energy and raw material prices over the next 4-5 years is expected to favour the newer hybrid technologies, as consumers switch from conventional cars. Government has defined new emission levels for auto makers. The maximum CO2 emission levels (allowances) which have been set by the government for the next few years are shown in the first chart at right – these are entered into law, and all manufacturers must comply or pay heavy penalties. The penalties for excess CO2 emissions will rise over the next few years, as shown on the chart below right Allowance, CO2 g/km 100 80 60 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Penalty - $ / gm / km / car 200 150 100 Producers can also offset the carbon charges with investments in various carbon reducing strategies 50 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 The Case Study This simulation has an underlying case study / event scenario reflecting the development of carbon related regulation. Events will occur, and changes will be made to your environment along the timeline that you are operating your simulated business - as outlined in the “Future Business Scenario” panel above. You will be notified through a series of onscreen messages at the top of your screen, as shown here. Stay alert for these messages. TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 6 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Managing for Sustainable Value The third theme of this business simulation focuses on the work of Stuart Hart on Sustainable Value This work shows how global corporations can lead in addressing major environmental issues, at the same time as creating profitable, long term and sustainable business strategies. See Appendix 3 for more detail. His “Sustainable Value Portfolio” approach offers a template for managers to help them create truly sustainable corporate value though their strategy development process. In the simulation we present this approach – where we “identify four dimensions of Sustainable Value Network : Stuart Hart (2005) Capitalism at the Crossroads (Wharton School Publishing) sustainability strategy with different linkages to firm performance and value creation” [Hart]. These four dimensions are . Pollution Prevention - minimizing waste and emissions from current facilities and operations . Product Stewardship - engaging stakeholders and managing the full life cycle of today’s products . Clean Technology - developing and deploying “next-generation” clean technologies . Base of the Pyramid - co-creating new businesses to serve the unmet needs of the poor and underserved Throughout the simulation, you will be expected to invest in certain solutions which address these elements in turn. By resolving various highlighted issues, you will receive certain financial and other benefits. You will move from resolving issues in Pollution Prevention, to Product Stewardship; from Clean Technology to Base of the Pyramid activities. As the simulation starts, you will find the following investment decisions which you should consider. These decisions focus on the first part of the Sustainable Value Framework, shown above – ie Pollution Prevention. TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 7 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation The special “Sustainability Budget” is a subset of your overall capital investment budget, designed to focus only on sustainability projects. The Sustainability Budget is calculated on a quarterly basis in the simulation, and is increased by 12% of your quarterly Net Income. So : as your profits improve, so you Sustainability budget will increase. If you make operating losses, the Sustainability Budget is not reduced. If you wish to invest in any of these projects, then click on the “OK” button. For each project, you will see the investment required and the specific operational benefit you will receive. These are : Pollution Prevention Pollution Prevention Invest $160m CO2 -3% ISO 14001 Invest $80m CO2 -2% Waste Reduction Invest $140m Invest CO2 -2% Resource Productivity Invest $160m Material Cost -2% Design for Environment Invest $280m CO2 -4% Stakeholder Management Monthly Cost $2m Cust.Satisfaction +5% Life Cycle Management Invest $120m Material Cost -2% Transparency Monthly Cost $1.6m Demand +3% Eco-Effectiveness Investment: $120m CO2 -3% Fuel Cell Investment: $240m CO2 -4% Cradle to Cradle Investment: $290m Material Cost -2% Systems Thinking Monthly Costs: $2.4m CO2 -4% Base of the pyramid Investment: $440m Demand +8% Clean Energy Investment: $580m Material Cost -4% Sustainable Development Investment: $360m Demand +5% Inclusive Capitalism Monthly Costs: $8m Cust.Satisfaction +10% Product Stewardship Clean Technology Base of the Pyramid As can be seen from the table above, some projects require a capital investment, others need increased monthly expenses. Some reduce CO2 emissions, others reduce costs, or increase demand, or improve customer satisfaction (and so increase demand). You will need to invest in phases – you have to complete the Pollution Prevention investments before you can see the investments related to Product Stewardship, and so on. Each individual investment has additional benefits which help you achieve your corporate objectives. TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 8 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation These include an overall reduction in CO2 emissions, where stated. This means that your overall CO2 emissions can be reduced below the government allowances, thereby avoiding penalties. Your CO2 efficiency is tracked as part of the KPI panel on the left side of the screen A further benefit will be that of Cost Reduction, where these investments offer reduced Materials Cost. This reduction is tracked as a KPI shown as Energy Efficiency. Finally, a new KPI called Corporate Reputation will increase when specific investments are made. These strength of these impacts are : Small Impact : Pollution Prevention, ISO 14001, Waste Reduction, Systems Thinking Strong impact : Stakeholder Management, Transparency, Clean Energy Very strong impact : Inclusive Capitalism All investments have a positive impact on your Market Capitalisation – a 2.5% increase on stock value results whenever you invest in one of these projects. This is a reflection of investors appreciation of your progressive strategic positioning : in addition you get real cost benefits from carbon reduction and material cost savings. TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 9 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Current Business Position All competitors in your market have the similar starting positions when you enter the simulation: the same balance sheets, product ranges and sales data. The opening position is summarised here, and the opening financial position is shown in Appendix xxxx. You have three major competitors – Nippon Cars, US Cars and Euro Cars. Each competitor has one car model in each of the business segments shown in the table below. Every company has a share capital of $10 Bn, a market value of $65 Bn, revenue of $20 Bn per quarter and an opening market share at 25% of the market. Car Model Revenue per month Profit Contribution, pm Your Company Sales Price /car Sales – cars per month CO2 g/km Mini $129m $27.1m $14,300 9,000 80 g/km Small $195m $41.0m $16,250 12,000 95 g/km Compact $434m $102.0m $24,120 18,000 110 g/km Midsize $474m $107.0m $30,820 15,379 130 g/km Luxury $353m $80.7m $60,300 5,846 160 g/km Recently your competitors have published new selling prices, and their product ranges have aged faster than yours. Market rumours have indicated that various companies intend to re-launch and rejuvenate their product ranges in the coming months. They may also increase capacity in an attempt to achieve cost leadership. The market is extremely dynamic, with growth mainly dependent on the decisions of all the companies involved in the market. Any competitive pressures that develop will be a result of the combined actions of all the competitors in the simulation Your competitors are “Virtual Intelligent Players” (VIPs) – pre-programmed players which analyse opportunities in the market in light of the decisions that you have made, and then will act according to their predefined policies. As such, each simulation run will be different, as these competitors react to changes in your changing decisions. There are no other companies competing with you, outside of this group. You can track your performance against this group of competitors – you will also be able to see how you compare against other teams in the simulation session Your Corporation You take over a company that has an investment budget of just over $13.1 billion available – to be used to enhance your automobile production facilities and make other capital commitments. This $13.1 billion is your capital investment budget - the amount you can invest into new facilities, not an operating budget (the amount available for daily and weekly operating decisions). The Capital Investment Budget is a mix of Shareholder Equity Capital and Loan Capital (Debt) – not only cash. This will change as you make investment and other operating decisions. Your cash position will also vary as you make these decisions, and the system will give you additional loans should you need them (for example, if you make losses). TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 10 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Your Corporation 5 production Units Revenue 2017 Net Income Cash Market Cap $ $ $ $ 20.0 Bn 3.2 Bn 4.5 Bn 65.4 Bn CO2 Emissions limit 120 g/km CO2 Emissions actual 112.46 g/km CO2 Penalty paid last qtr = $0 M You do not need to make decisions regarding any additional loans needed – these are automatically calculated for you (if your credit rating is acceptable). Your company’s credit rating may fall or rise depending on the amount of debt you have to take to support your company’s activities. Taking debt is essential to allow for your expansion, but a very large level of debt may see your credit rating fall from the AAA score you start with. If you start to make good profits from your operations, then your credit rating will improve back towards AAA. In this simulation your credit rating is determined by your ability to pay interest on any loans that are outstanding (interest coverage) The Market Valuation (Market Cap) of your company is a function of profitability – based on a Price/Earnings ratio calculation. If you make good operating profits then your Market Valuation will rise. If you make losses then your Market Value will fall. The initial Market Value of your corporation is $1 billion, with no upper limit as you proceed. If you manage your business badly, then your market value and stock price may fall to very low levels. If you continue to lose money, then you could be forced into bankruptcy, where your assets are liquidated and you have to leave the management of the business. You will have access to many financial reports and charts, which will show how you are performing, and indicate possible courses of action. A full Income Statement, Balance Sheet and Cash Flow is published for every business quarter, so you can track your financial performance in detail (see Appendix 2) To manage the business effectively, you must understand how to navigate in the simulation: NAVIGATING THE SIMULATION SCREENS (next page) 1. REAL TIME SCORES = COMPETITORS – a list of competitors, share prices, basic financial data about them 2. COMPANY PAGE - click here to return to your own company page at any time 3. COMPANY & ECONOMIC SUMMARY DATA Market Capitalisation, investment budget 4. “NEXT QUARTER” : Click to move simulation to next business quarter 5. KPI : Key Performance Indicators – ratios and important data about your company performance 6. CLICK FOR OVERVIEW OF INDUSTRY SECTOR and PRODUCT DATA 7. COMPANY SUMMARY – Your Market Value, investment budget, equity capital, credit rating and emissions data 8. SUMMARY DATA GAUGES TM 9. TAKEOVER & FINANCIAL PLANNING SECTION –displays some financial data & cash position – allows share issue and buy-back 10. TAKEOVER AND ACQUISITION PANEL – becomes active after 16 months. Take over a virtual competitor. 11. CORPORATE CONTROLS – Show all details for all products that you are invested in. Shows sales revenues, profit margins, sales and marketing data; competitor information; expansion possibilities, production output decisions and other data. 12. SUSTAINABILITY – The Sustainable Value Framework of Stuart Hart 13. SUSTAINABILITY INVESTMENTS and SPECIAL SUSTAINABILITY BUDGET – Options offered here will change as your business develops 14. CHARTS AND ACCOUNTING : Financial data about your company including Balance Sheet, Income Statement, Cash Flow and Corporate Ratios Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 11 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 12 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Managing Operations You need to make a number of decisions as you take over this business – in the early stages, it is difficult to assess the value of each market - or your likely success - as you only have limited competitor information. But you have to make valid business decisions – ones that you (or your team) can live with. a. Review your existing operations and product range. You have five models in your range – where you are running one production lines/business units for each model. Your first task is to assess your current market and business position, think about new investment opportunities, and make some early decisions about the direction you wish your company to go. b. Review Competition : Assess your competitors’ positions, product ranges, pricing and marketing policies – with the limited information available to you c. Expansion : You may be able to expand (upsize), one or more of your production lines, where you may benefit from increased economies of scale, with lower costs of production. There is no construction delay applied to the building of new production facilities – your output will increase in the next quarter. You may also be able to issue shares, buy back shares or possibly acquiring a competitor. d. Operating Decisions : Set Prices: you may not know how to set these initially, because of limited competitor information. But we have suggested some mid-range prices – you could keep to these, or adjust in line with your overall strategic positioning. You will also need to adjust Marketing Budgets, and decide on monthly production output for each model e. Carbon Management and Sustainable Budget Investments : See the later section on sustainability investments Drivers of profitability Good profitability will results from having good selling prices, lower cost prices and lower overhead cost levels which are appropriate for the business you have developed. It will also depend on how you develop a solid portfolio of businesses - where you have a good market position which can be defended, and where you can be sustainable against attack from your competitors. As your market valuation is a function of profits, you will need to understand how effective selling prices and costs prices vary with competition and overall demand. The main issues you should be aware of : a. Supply and Demand Balance in each product/market sector – how do average selling prices in each market vary with the level of supply in that market ? How does maturity and the Product Life Cycle affect demand ? What is the impact of market crowding, of concentrated or of fragmented markets ? b. Pricing and Marketing : optimise sales volumes with pricing which fits your chosen strategy. Price, marketing and production must be balanced. If your company are consistently out of inventory, are your prices set too low? Are you spending too much on marketing ? c. Economies of Scale – how does price vary with the volume produced, or with market share? Can you expand your production base to capture further scale economies ? d. Overhead costs – how are central costs spread across increasing volumes ? How does profitability increase with increasing scale ? e. Merger and Acquisition activity : what is the impact of market concentration as a result of takeovers ? TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 13 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Supply and Demand The Supply Level concept shown on the chart below indicates the current level of participation by all companies in each sector of the market. To access this chart, click on the words “SECTOR : AUTOMOTIVE” in the left column of the screen. Other information shown here for each product : the number of competitors currently operating in each sector, typical investment levels required, and the life cycle maturity of products in that market. Supply Levels (above): This chart shows the current supply level in each business market – ie what is the percentage of current demand that is met by current suppliers who are in the market. Markets with low supply levels are more attractive - as they have fewer competitors – more competitors could mean lower average market prices in more saturated markets. Read the section “Supply Levels and Market Pricing” later in this guide for more information TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 14 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Initial Investment (above): How much do you need to invest in each business to operate one business unit ? As you expand in the future, you may wish to invest in multiple units for certain products – each one will require the investment shown to purchase the plant, distribution and operating infrastructure. Below these charts, you will see the range of products available to you – click on “View Details” to see more information. You are also show the number of existing competitors in this particular market, and the effect of adding one more business unit to the supply situation. “Supply Level +1x” = “what is the supply level vs. current demand, after you add 1 extra business unit to the market” This screen gives you detailed information about each business unit – how much you need to invest, product and life cycle information, supply level data, market pricing etc. We will return to this detail when we discuss expansion opportunities later in this guide. Operating decisions In your main operating screen, you can adjust several business parameters. Click on the small menu tabs next to each product picture to review additional panels : Sales, Marketing, Competitors , Expansion, Planning, roduction a. SELLING PRICE DECISION TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 15 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Moving the slider shown (blue button) to the left or to the right will reduce or increased your offered price to the market. This will be your advertised price that customers can choose to accept or reject. It may not be the final price you will sell at – this is also determined by supply and demand imbalances in the marketplace. Review the section on Market Pricing later in this document. o High prices may increase profit margins (note profit contribution and contribution margin), but may also discourage sales and lead to higher levels of unsold inventories – this may give financial stress to your company. o Lower prices may increase sales volumes, leading to a higher market share, but could also lead to lower profit margins and possible operating losses. o If you are running consistently low in inventory, you may be losing sales through “out-of-stocks” – think about raising prices or cutting marketing spending. If you have excess inventory, cut prices somewhat or increase marketing. Other information shown –small charts on revenues to date, profits and sales history for this business unit. b. MARKETING SPEND DECISION Change and set a marketing budget to promote your products – a larger marketing budget will encourage higher sales, but will also depend on other actions you take. You will need to manage inventory levels – too much money tied up in stock means you will come under financial and cash flow pressure. Too little and you could be losing sales to competitors, as your customers will not be able to able to buy your products c. COMPETITORS information will be shown as you start to compete with other firms, including Market share in a particular sector, Selling Prices set by each competitor and their Manufactured Cost per unit for that model. TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 16 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation d. EXPANSION of your facilities will be offered to you in the simulation, depending on various factors: You must have funds available to expand with – either from your initial capital, from loans, from operating profits retained in the business, or from capital raised by selling new shares. If you have spent all your available budget, or are making serious losses, you may not be able to expand because of shortage of funds. If the supply level forecasted - as a result of any expansion - is expected to exceed certain high levels, you will not be allowed to expand. Excessive expansion and saturation of markets is discouraged, as it could lead to very low prices, low profitability and/or bankruptcy. If your product sector is not yet mature, and is still in introduction or growth stages, expansion is discouraged to avoid over-commitment. And if you have a poor credit rating, you will not be allowed to expand and put your business at further risk. Credit rating in this simulation is a function of interest coverage – your ability to repay loans and credits from operating profits. Higher profits, relative to interest charges, will improve credit standing. When you expand production capacity for any product in your business portfolio, your cash balance will be reduced by the amount shown as “Initial Investment” or “Required Budget”. This will be taken out of your available investment budget. The equipment and other operating assets required to run this business unit will be added to your financial statements. There is no construction delay - you will be able to produce cars for sale as soon as you agree to expand. Once you have made this investment decision, it is a permanent action – there is no possibility to reverse it, except by liquidating or downsizing the business at a later stage, at a cost – see below TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 17 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Expansion through acquisition: The option to buy (acquire) other competitors will become available after 12 months of operations, and represents an opportunity to expand quickly, if other companies fit with your company strategy and portfolio. When you acquire a company, you will absorb all its product lines into your existing ranges. Acquisition may not be the best solution for all players, and may not be available to you if you have insufficient capital to spend. e. PLANNING: Shows the Cost, Revenues and Contribution for each car model – plus revenues and cash contributions in the past quarter made by that model. You should review this to discover where you are making or losing money. f. PRODUCTION OUTPUT DECISION How many cars do you want to produce – for each model in your range – to match your sales plan ?. A number of factors should be considered. What is your market share in the latest quarter? Do you currently have an excess of inventory? Are you running with very low inventory levels? What is your pricing policy? What is your marketing spend? Are you positioning for volume growth or for premium priced products, sold in low TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 18 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation volumes, or operating as a value provider on high volumes? What are your competitors currently doing? What are they expected to do next? The production planning decision will be the result of all of these – and other – considerations. Planning to build too many cars may result in excessive inventory, which may have to be disposed of at much lower prices in the future. Planning to build too few cars may lead to lost sales, with customers moving to buy cars from your competitors instead. g. PRODUCT LIFE CYCLE (PLC) and PRODUCT RE-LAUNCH Each car has a specific product life cycle, where demand, pricing and profitability will vary depending on maturity. See Appendix 1 for details of the PLC for each car. You will also see the current PLC stage that your products are in, from your operations screens. Characteristics of each stage are: Introduction : low sales, low profitability Growth : fast growing sales, higher profitability, high demand , high prices Maturity: sales have peaked, strong cash flow profitability, flattening demand Decline: sales decline, average achieved prices fall, demand falls, profitability falls. When your product range starts to age, and starts to fall into the decline stage, you will be given the opportunity to “relaunch” the product. Effectively you will restyle, reengineer and redevelop product features, effectively creating a new appealing, product. The investment you need to make is shown on the Relaunch button in the Marketing Tab. The PLC stage is reset to “low maturity”, which allows increased sales, increased profits and a new life for your range of cars Any decisions you take on any of these operating tabs will be reported in the following business quarter – you will not see an immediate impact to your financial or business position reported on the screen as you make these changes. Growth through Acquisition One way to speed your growth is to acquire another company in the market place. There has been a large amount written about the value and pricing of acquisitions. You should consider buying a company if there are some likely synergies between your operations and those of the target. Synergies (cost sharing, cost savings) in this simulation occur mainly as a result of scale economies – spreading overhead costs across a larger volume of operations. There is no guarantee of success in post-acquisition merger activity. You will have to work hard to integrate the new operations into your own. You will be offered the opportunity to bid for a competitor after 4 quarters (12 months). If you have sufficient funds available, then this offer will be made in the “Takeover” panel onscreen. If you do not have an investment budget TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 19 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation available at that time – because you have invested everything in other projects, or have been making operating losses, then this option will not be available to you. The takeover bidding process takes effect immediately - as soon as you bid to buy a company, your bid will be accepted. Be careful that you really want to do this – the bid is not reversible At Quarter 4 of 20, a screen like this will appear: If you do not have funds available to bid, then “Make Bid” buttons are not visible - the bids are announced, but you have no opportunity (or buttons) to make an offer. The suggested bid prices (shown on the bid buttons) are calculated from the target company’s equity price, plus a bid premium – an amount added by the market to reflect additional, future business prospects. The price will vary depending on the financial strength and success of that company. Businesses which are not performing well will be cheaper to buy – companies with good performance and share prices will appear more expensive. In the Single User simulation version, once you have made a bid this is immediately accepted. The result (and price) of the takeover will be announced via the news ticker at the top of the screen, and below the Takeover panel. All the acquired company’s assets, liabilities and products are added to those of your company. The Acquiring Company will pay the amount of its bid from its cash balances and investment budget, and will combine all assets and liabilities of the purchased company into its financial statements (consolidation). All products TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 20 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation and business units from the target company are also combined with the acquiring company’s operations, increasing scale economies where possible. In other words if your company already had a “1x” operation in – for example – hybrid cars, and you acquired a company which also had a 1x operation: your updated operations would be sized at 2x. An example of post-acquisition balance sheet impact is shown below, along with relevant coprrate ratios. TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 21 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Issuing New Capital : Shares Issues and Buyback Companies can issue new shares – or offer to buy them back from the market. If you require more money to expand, or to acquire a competitor, this may be an option you should consider. The price of the shares for issue or buyback will depend on the current market price of the shares – if you issue shares, you will receive this value, less a broker fee. It makes sense to issue shares when your share price is high – and buy them back when the price is low, or when you have excess cash and nowhere to invest it When you issue shares, the number of shares “outstanding” increases (reducing the price per share somewhat – “dilution”). To issue or buy back shares, go to the Financial Planning module in the middle of your screen (when available) Click on the “Issue New Shares” or “Buy Back” buttons several times to receive / spend multiple amounts of cash Other Business Indicators and reports Corporate Dashboard At the top of your screen, a summary of your business performance Indicators include - your company’s current market value (Market Cap), and the direction and rate of change in the last month; - the current investment budget available to you, your share capital and corporate credit rating (a function of interest cover, based on your ability to service the total debt that you have borrowed). TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 22 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation - Also shown are calculation details on the average level of carbon dioxide your car fleet is emitting, with the penalties (premiums) that are being charged to your quarterly income statement. - Gauges show Revenue Growth, Profit Margin (EBIT), Debt Ratio (the amount of loans you have) and CO2 Premium paid as a percentage of total revenues. The grey “needle” is your performance; the white marker is the group benchmark (group average for all competitors in your simulation round). A result in the green section would be considered good performance; a result in the red section would be considered poor performance, one in the yellow section is average performance. Key Performance Indicators KPIs are shown on the left of your screen, and updated automatically as the simulation proceeds. These are key numbers which help you to manage your business. These KPIs are based on your latest monthly data, so may not tie up with the quarterly data in the accounting section. In this simulation, the tracking KPIs are : - Sales Volume (number of cars sold) Total Market Share % Return on Sales % Average number of Days of Inventory, across all products at month end CO2 Efficiency % Energy Efficiency % Corporate Reputation % The meaning of these are discussed in the earlier section on Sustainability Colour code : Red = worst performance in the reporting period Green = best performance Grey = other performance. In addition, you can get an immediate update on your KPI performance compared to other teams TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 23 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation REAL TIME SCORES The REAL TIME SCORES button (left hand column) takes you to the “Real Time Scores” section, where you can see the leader table at any time. This is updated every quarter, and shows a summary table listing Company name (with the number of business invested), their Strategic Positioning summary, Credit Rating and Debt Ratio, Sales Revenues, Profit Margin (EBIT %), Share Capital, CO2 emissions and your company’s Market Value (with direction of latest move) The Market Cap chart above shows the evolution of market valuation for your company and the current leaders. The valuation is derived as a function of Earnings (profits). TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 24 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Other data can be found on Individual Product pages : Each product summary page reports on Competitor Position and activity in that product. The following example table and chart shows revenues, market share, selling and costs prices, and other data for two competitors in the Compact Conventional Market: The following chart shows profit margins of all competitors in the Compact Conventional segment. TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 25 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation At the bottom of your main company screen are further buttons, which take you to a series of financial charts (“View Charts”) : these automatically update each quarter. Balance Sheet, Income Statement and Cash Flow statements are also available – click the button labelled “View Accounting” at the bottom of your screen. The opening financial data screens for your company are shown in Appendix 2 Decision logging : In each product summary page, you will see a list of actions from any company operating in that product-market. View this detail to better understand competitive activity TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 26 Appendix 1 : Data on product expansion opportunities Initial Investment $M Prod’n Capacity cars/mth PLC months CO2 Emissions g/km Proposed Sales Price, $ Est. Revenue / Month $M # Staff planned per unit Supply Level Forecast % Mini 1,663 9,000 24 80 13,750 124 7,500 87 Small 2,520 12,000 24 95 15,625 188 11,000 69 Compact 5,443 18,000 30 110 22,500 405 24,000 67 Mid-Size 6,182 16,000 36 130 28,750 460 27,500 75 4,536 6,000 36 160 56,250 338 20,000 104 Luxury TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 27 Appendix 2 : OPENING SCREENS : FINANCIAL & OTHER DATA FOR YOUR COMPANY TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 28 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Opening Financial Statements for year ending 31 December 2017 TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 29 Appendix 3 : Sustainable Value Framework http://www.stuartlhart.com/ Material in this section © 2011 Stuart L. Hart Sustainable Value Framework Over the past decade, Stuart Hart has developed, along with colleague Mark Milstein, a sustainable value framework that directly links the societal challenges of global sustainability to the creation of shareholder value by the firm. The framework shows how the global challenges associated with sustainability - viewed through the appropriate business lens - can help identify strategies and practices that contribute to a more sustainable world while simultaneously driving shareholder value. This "win-win" approach is defined as the creation of "sustainable value" by the firm. There are four core dimensions of sustainability strategy with different linkages to firm performance and value creation: Pollution Prevention: minimizing waste and emissions from current facilities and operations; Product Stewardship: engaging stakeholders and managing the full life cycle of today’s products; Clean Technology: developing and deploying “next-generation” clean technologies; and Base of the Pyramid: co-creating new businesses to serve the unmet needs of the poor and underserved. Taken together as a portfolio, these strategies and practices hold the potential to: reduce cost and risk (pollution prevention); enhance reputation and legitimacy (product stewardship); accelerate innovation and repositioning (clean technology); and crystallize growth path and trajectory (base of the pyramid) — all of which are crucial to the creation of shareholder value. The challenge for the firm is to decide which actions and initiatives to pursue, and how best to manage them. The Sustainable Value Portfolio Companies can begin by taking stock of each component through what Stuart Hart calls their sustainable value portfolio. This simple diagnostic tool can help any company or business determine whether its strategy has the potential to truly create sustainable value. Programs in pollution prevention and product stewardship are well institutionalized within most corporations today, and have saved hundreds of millions of dollars over the past decade. US-based companies have been especially focused on the efficiency gains and cost savings associated with pollution prevention. Highly publicized crises — like those of Monsanto and Nike that failed to successfully engage the views of stakeholders — have also caused growing numbers of firms to explore strategies for product stewardship. European companies have been particularly active in engaging in stakeholder dialogue, extending producer responsibility for products, and adopting more inclusive forms of corporate governance. Research and consulting experience, however, suggests that few firms seem to recognize — let alone exploit — the full range of sustainable business opportunities available. Most companies focus their time and attention primarily on the bottom half of the matrix (short-term solutions tied to existing products and stakeholder groups). Focusing on incremental improvements to existing products and businesses is an important step, but it neglects the vast opportunities associated with clean technology, and the largely underserved markets at the base of the economic pyramid. Indeed, addressing the full range of sustainability challenges can help to create shareholder value, and may represent one of the most under-appreciated avenues for profitable growth in the future. TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 30 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Stuart L. Hart, a leading authority on the implications of environment and poverty for business strategy. A few years ago, he defined the concept of sustainable value; his work includes over 70 academic papers and several books. Blog: Voice of the Planet Stuart L. Hart Strategies for Sustainable Value About Stuart Hart A sustainable world is one in which humans - indeed, all life forms - can flourish indefinitely. This means reversing the widening gap between rich and poor, and halting the rampant loss of natural capital and biodiversity worldwide. A sustainable enterprise, then, is one that grows and profits by moving us more rapidly in this direction. Stuart L. Hart is the Samuel C. Johnson Chair in Sustainable Global Enterprise and Professor of Management at Cornell University's Johnson School of Management. Attaining global sustainability through this new breed of enterprise calls for transformational change in corporate vision and strategy. To address this challenge, companies must learn how to open up to the world: strategies need to take into account the entire human community of 6.6 billion, as well as the host of other species with which we share the planet. To realize the vision of sustainable enterprise, a new set of guiding principles are needed. That's why [Stuart Hart is] the Founder and President of Enterprise for a Sustainable World, a think tank and non-profit, dedicated to tackling the world’s most pressing social and environmental problems through a new, more inclusive form of commerce: sustainable enterprise. The "pillars of sustainable enterprise" are built on principles that support the institutional change required for a truly sustainable world. Three are of particular importance: Shatter the Trade-Off Think Like a Disrupter, and Build Native Capability. Material in this section © 2011 Stuart L. Hart TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 31 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Shatter the Trade-Off Since the time of the industrial revolution, firms have engaged in what might be described as a "take, make, waste" organizing paradigm: Natural resources have been extracted as cheap raw materials; displaced farmers and rural migrants have been exploited for their cheap labor; and local environments have been degraded into cheap waste sinks. This "take-make-waste" pattern continues to this day. Command-and-control regulation seemed like a necessary and appropriate counter to this prevailing mindset: Corporations should "pay" for the negative consequences associated with their operations. Paradoxically, this "end-of-pipe" approach has resulted in what [he calls] the "Great Trade-Off Illusion" — the belief that firms must sacrifice financial performance to meet social and environmental expectations. Truth be told, there is no inherent conflict between financial and societal performance. In fact "sustainability" represents the biggest business opportunity in the history of capitalism! Realizing this opportunity means consciously seeking to overthrow the tyranny of the "trade-off" mentality. Consider the following: In the 1970s, US manufacturers firmly believed that higher quality products meant higher costs. The entry of Japanese producers practicing a new form of "quality management," however, effectively shattered this trade-off. We now know that high quality and low cost can be mutually reinforcing. In the 1980s, corporations still firmly believed that "it didn't pay to be green." The logic of "pollution prevention," however, shattered this trade-off. By the 1990s, it was clear that pollution prevention "paid" by reducing cost and risk, and the concept of "eco-efficiency" was born. Today, the air is still thick with the language of "trade-off:" "You can't do business with the poor without aid;" and "clean technology is not yet economically viable without government subsidy." If history teaches us anything, it should be clear that accepting such orthodoxies is simply lazy thinking; it leads to competitive oblivion. Smart strategists are now focusing on these "trade-offs" and finding ways to "shatter" them. As colleague, the late C.K. Prahalad, and he would say, the fortune may well be at the "bottom of the pyramid!" Seizing the sustainability opportunity thus means learning to revel in contradiction, reconcile opposites, and embrace paradox. Think Like a Disrupter As we enter the new century, the “dark satanic mills” of the Industrial Revolution are giving way to a new generation of technologies that promise to change dramatically the societal, economic, and environmental landscapes. The information economy powered by the microchip has already begun to revolutionize society by democratizing access to information, empowering workers and communities, and increasing productivity. Incremental “eco-efficiency” improvements to current technologies will no longer be sufficient: In the coming years, bioscience; nanotechnology; new materials; wireless IT; renewable energy; distributed generation; and point-of-use water will dramatically reduce the size of the human footprint on the planet, and make obsolete many of today’s energy- and material-intensive incumbents. Perhaps even more important, given their small scale and distributed nature, such “sustainable” technologies hold the potential to: creatively destroy existing hierarchies; bypass corrupt governments and regimes; and usher in an entirely new age of capitalism that brings widely distributed benefits to the entire human community. Given that clean technologies are almost always “disruptive” to large incumbent businesses, seizing the sustainability opportunity means learning to think — and act — like a disrupter. It means launching small-scale experiments and growing them from the bottom-up, rather than continued dependence on large-scale solutions imposed from the top-down. As colleague Clay Christensen and he suggest, the base of the pyramid may turn out to be the ideal place to incubate the “clean” technologies of tomorrow. And taking the “great leap” to the base of the pyramid means turning the time tested business models and routines designed to serve established markets on their heads. Material in this section © 2011 Stuart L. Hart TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 32 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Build Native Capability Today’s corporations are being challenged to rethink global strategies in which “one-size-fits-all” products are made for the global market using world-scale production facilities and supply chains. Even so-called “locally responsive” strategies are often little more than pre-existing solutions tailored to “fit” local markets. Technologies are transferred from corporate labs and applied in unfamiliar cultural and environmental settings; unmet needs in new markets are identified through demographic data. The result is still-born products and inappropriate business models that fail to effectively address real needs. To realize the sustainability opportunity, companies must develop a new mindset that enables them to develop fully contextualized solutions to real problems in ways that respect local culture and natural diversity. This means engaging in “deep dialogue” with local communities to co-create businesses that are truly “embedded” in the local context. Building this new capability means suspending traditional assumptions regarding business development. It requires putting down the corporate “hammer,” and actually experiencing life in poor and underserved communities in a spirit of humility and mutual learning. It requires forging relationships built on trust, understanding, and respect — from which new possibilities for locally embedded businesses can emerge that create value for all partners involved. As colleague Erik Simanis and he suggest, companies must come to view the poor and underserved as partners and colleagues, rather than clients and consumers. This mindset shift requires the development of a new, “native capability” to complement competencies in global efficiency, local responsiveness, and learning-transfer that most corporations already possess. BOOKS by Stuart Hart His best-selling book, Capitalism at the Crossroads, published in 2005, was selected by Cambridge University as one of the 50 top books on sustainability of all-time; the third edition of the book was published in 2010. With Ted London, he is the author of a newly released book entitled Next Generation Business Strategies for the Base of the Pyramid Articles by Stuart Hart Beyond Greening: Strategies for a Sustainable World won the McKinsey Award for Best Article in the Harvard Business Review for 1997 and helped launch the movement for corporate sustainability. With C.K. Prahalad, he wrote the pathbreaking article: The Fortune at the Bottom of the Pyramid which provided the first articulation of how business could profitably serve the needs of the four billion poor in the developing world. The Great Leap: Driving Innovation from the Base of the Pyramid By Stuart L. Hart and Clayton Christensen, Sloan Management Review A Natural-Resource-Based View of the Firm By Stuart L. Hart, Academy of Management Review To read more, go to http://www.stuartlhart.com/ TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc Material in this section © 2011 Stuart L. Hart - page 33 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Appendix 4 : ADDITIONAL STRATEGY and MARKETING ISSUES Economies of Scale and Scope With increasing volumes of production or sales of a product or a range of products, central overheads and other costs start to spread across a larger base. The cost of production per unit, or the cost of delivery per unit, will therefore start to come down. If you can build market share and generate extra sales from the same cost base, then the average cost per unit will continue to decrease, and profitability will rise. This is called Economy of Scale – unit costs will reduce to a level where the overhead part of your cost structure is relatively small compared to the direct, variable costs of manufacturing, delivery or service. The cost reduction per unit is not a “straight line” relationship, which will forever decline - more of an exponential curve which reaches an optimum operational cost level. Market share-driven cost reduction is a major factor in creating profitable operations in a many businesses in the world today Cost sharing benefits are also evident when you increase a range of products that can share the same operational expense base – such as a common sales force, a customer service center, or a logistics system. This is referred to as the “economies of scope” Additional cost reductions may occur as a result of “experience” or “learning” – sometimes these cost benefits are shared across industries (“industry learning”) as techniques and knowledge get passed around, or staff move between companies. A company that is striving to become a cost leader in its industry will focus heavily on driving costs down, including the application of economies of scale and experience curves. A key driver in this simulation is relative cost advantage, because of the high fixed cost / high fixed asset investment nature of the industry. You can improve your cost advantage with greater market shares TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 34 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Appendix 5 : ADDITIONAL STRATEGY and MARKETING ISSUES Supply Levels and Pricing - Market Crowding & Fragmented Markets In each product-market, providers individually decide to invest in extra facilities, in order to satisfy the demand for the services they offer. Overall industry demand is a function of the size of the economy, and the rate of growth of this economy is related to the investment decisions of all the competitors in the simulation. The demand for individual product-services is also related to the size of the economy, as well as to adjusting factors such as pricing, price changes and value propositions. The degree to which the market for each product is currently satisfied is referred to as : “Supply Level” : the percentage of current demand that is satisfied by current providers. As players expand and continue to invest in new facilities, the supply of product available to customers will increase – so the supply level goes up. Each new investment decision leads to the establishment of an extra business unit with a fixed capacity – the capacity increase is referred to as “1x”, “2x”, etc. Additionally, if you have invested in retail operations (selected simulations only), the supply is directly linked to the inventory available for sale in all players’ warehouses. This means that if many players are purchasing larger amounts of inventory (which may remain unsold) then the perceived overall market supply ratio will rise, thereby depressing average market prices If new competitors enter a segment with new investments, the market becomes even more crowded – and supply levels also increase. When supply levels rise well above 70%, the market average price level will start to decline – customers will have a wider range of competing products to choose from, and will start to bargain for lower prices. Providers then need to start making attractive marketing offers to maintain or grow their sales volumes A Supply Level of over 100% leads to much lower profit margins in the industry – even driving some providers into losses. You should be aware of Supply Levels in all the market segments where you are operating. As you and your competitors make investment and inventory purchase decisions, the supply level will change quickly – this will affect your ability to raise or even maintain high prices. Your competitive position is closely linked to Supply Levels in your markets. Wherever possible, try to invest in and promote businesses where Supply Levels are relatively low, to give you a better chance of survival - and also of higher profitability. TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 35 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Appendix 6 : ADDITIONAL STRATEGY and MARKETING ISSUES Market Dominance As you invest in new product lines and associated warehousing, you will increase the Supply Level for that product, but also increase the market share available to you. In this simulated market, investment in products and facilities increases the scale of your operations, and can also reward you with a larger share of the market. Other factors, such as pricing and marketing spend, will also have an effect on your demand and market share, but the scale of your operations is a major factor. To grow market share then, it is important to continue to invest in new product lines and warehousing units Because of the effect of scale economies, profitability is closely linked to higher market shares, and the market will also reward you with slightly higher prices – in effect you become a price leader, not a price follower. At some point, continued investment in extra product and facilities in a particular market will increase the Supply Level to unsustainable levels; pricing comes under pressure, the industry has excess capacity and prices may fall. At this point, market share is less important as losses could mount up Synergy is important …. By concentrating your efforts in one sector at a time, you will spread overhead cost efficiently, so reducing unit cost to the lowest levels. Or at least try to limit the number of sectors you invest and trade in. You could develop a significant cost advantage over your competitors in this way – there are other factors which also affect this. Investing in too many sectors can be a way to lose your competitive advantage Additional Investments are important … up to a point ! You can choose to invest in a number of operating enhancements for your corporation. These investments can offer some significant costs savings and develop additional demand for your products. You may not have sufficient budget to invest in them all – so choose wisely. These are substantial investments, and when the cost is spread over a large enough business then these could add a lot to your financial performance. If you have a smaller business – perhaps because you are at an early stage, or maybe you have underinvested – then these additional investments might be too large a burden for you. Invest wisely, and you can make a big difference in this area. Balance your product investment and these additional investments for maximum impact If you have any products which are losing significant amounts of money, then you may be offered the option to “liquidate” those product lines. TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 36 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Appendix 7 : Government policy relating to Carbon Emissions in automobiles Many countries are enacting clean air legislation. The example quoted here is for academic study purposes only and does not necessarily represent the views of the case study writer or of Tycoon Systems Inc. European Community Policy The text of this page, at http://ec.europa.eu/clima/policies/transport/vehicles/cars/index_en.htm is reproduced here © European Union, 1995-2012. Reuse is authorised, provided the source is acknowledged. Reducing CO2 emissions from passenger cars Policy Documentation Studies FAQ Cars are responsible for around 12% of total EU emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2), the main greenhouse gas. European Union legislation adopted in 2009 sets mandatory emission reduction targets for new cars. This legislation is the cornerstone of the EU's strategy to improve the fuel economy of new cars sold on the European market. The law is similar to that for new vans. Under the Cars Regulation, the fleet average to be achieved by all new cars is 130 grams of CO2 per kilometre (g/km) by 2015 – with the target phased in from 2012 - and 95g/km by 2020. The regulation is currently undergoing amendment in order to implement the 2020 target. The 2015 and 2020 targets represent reductions of 18% and 40% respectively compared with the 2007 fleet average of 158.7g/km. In terms of fuel consumption, the 2015 target is approximately equivalent to 5.6 litres per 100 km (l/100 km) of petrol or 4.9 l/100 km of diesel. The 2020 target equates to approximately 4.1 l/100 km of petrol or 3.6 l/100 km of diesel. Key elements of the legislation are as follows: Limit value curve Emission limits are set according to the mass of vehicle, using a limit value curve. The curve is set in such a way that a fleet average of 130 grams of CO2 per kilometre is achieved by 2015. The limit value curve means that heavier cars are allowed higher emissions than lighter cars while preserving the overall fleet average. Only the fleet average is regulated, so manufacturers are still able to make vehicles with emissions above the limit value curve provided these are balanced by vehicles below the curve. TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 37 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Phasing-in of requirements The EU fleet average target of 130g CO2 per km will be phased in between 2012 and 2015. In 2012, an average of 65% of each manufacturer's newly registered cars must comply with the limit value curve set by the legislation. This will rise to 75% in 2013, 80% in 2014, and 100% from 2015 onwards. Penalty payments for excess emissions If the average CO2 emissions of a manufacturer's fleet exceed its limit value in any year from 2012, the manufacturer has to pay an excess emissions premium for each car registered. This premium amounts to €5 for the first g/km of exceedance, €15 for the second g/km, €25 for the third g/km, and €95 for each subsequent g/km. From 2019, the cost will be €95 from the first gram of exceedance onwards. Long-term target A further emission reduction to 95g CO2/km is specified for the year 2020. Following a thorough review of the target's feasibility, in July 2012 the Commission proposed legislation setting out the modalities of how this target is to be reached. The proposal requires approval by the European Parliament and Council to become law. For a summary see the section 'Implementation of the 2020 target' below. Eco-innovations Under the test procedure used for vehicle type approval, certain innovative technologies cannot demonstrate their CO2-reducing effects when being type approved. Manufacturers can be granted emission credits equivalent to a maximum emissions saving of 7g/km per year for their fleet if they equip vehicles with innovative technologies, based on independently verified data. Super credits The cars Regulation gives manufacturers additional incentives to produce vehicles with extremely low emissions (below 50g/km). Each low-emitting car will be counted as 3.5 vehicles in 2012 and 2013, 2.5 in 2014, 1.5 vehicles in 2015 and then 1 vehicle from 2016 onwards. This approach will help manufacturers further reduce the average emissions of their new car fleet. Pools acting jointly Manufacturers can group together to form a pool which can act jointly in meeting the emissions target. In forming a pool, manufacturers must respect the rules of competition law and the information that they exchange should be limited to average specific emissions of CO2, their specific emissions targets, and their total number of vehicles registered. Targets for smaller manufacturers Independent manufacturers which sell fewer than 10,000 vehicles per year and which cannot or do not wish to join a pool can propose their own emissions reduction target which is subject to approval by the Commission. The Commission decides on the basis of a set of agreed criteria which include the manufacturer's emissions reduction potential. Manufacturers selling between 10,000 and 300,000 cars per year can apply for a fixed target of a 25% reduction from their 2007 average emissions. Special purpose vehicles, such as vehicles built to accommodate wheelchair access, are excluded from the scope of the legislation. Monitoring of emissions The Commission has set out rules on the data required to monitor the CO2 emissions of new cars. Monitoring reports can be found under the Documentation tab above. TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 38 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Implementation of the 2020 target The Commission's legislative proposal for implementing the 95 g/km target includes the following provisions: All manufacturers would be required to achieve the same level of reduction - 27% - from the 2015 target; The target would continue to be set on the basis of a vehicle's mass; Eco-innovations would continue to apply once the new test procedure for vehicle type approval is in place; Super-credits with a multiplier of 1.3 would apply in 2020-2023 for vehicles emitting less than 35 g/km; this benefit would be limited to a maximum of 20 000 cars per manufacturer over the period; The excess emissions premium would remain at €95 per g/km from the first gram of exceedance; Small-volume manufacturers would be given greater flexibility regarding when they can apply for their own reduction target; The smallest manufacturers, producing fewer than 500 cars per year, would be exempted from meeting the target; Niche manufacturers would receive a new target for 2020 of a 45% reduction from their 2007 level; The regulation would be reviewed by end-2014 in order to set reduction targets for post-2020. Update notice : 11 July 2012 More CO2 emission cuts from cars and vans: a win for the climate, consumers, innovation and jobs The European Commission today put forward proposals to implement targets that will further considerably reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from new cars and light commercial vehicles (vans) by 2020. Connie Hedegaard, EU Commissioner for Climate Action, said: “With our proposals we are not only protecting the climate and saving consumers money. We are also boosting innovation and competitiveness in the automotive sector. And we will create substantial numbers of jobs as a result. This is a clear winwin situation for everyone. This is one more important step towards a competitive, low-carbon economy. More CO2 reductions beyond 2020 need to be prepared and these will be considered in consultation with stakeholders” The proposals will cut average emissions from new cars to 95 grams of CO2 per km (g CO2/km) in 2020 from 135.7g in 2011 and a mandatory target of 130g in 2015. Emissions from vans will be reduced to 147g CO2/km in 2020 from 181.4g in 2010 (the latest year for which figures are available) and a mandatory target of 175g in 2017. The mandatory targets for 2020 are already envisaged in existing legislation but are subject to implementation. Following thorough technical and economic analysis by the Commission, the Regulations proposed today establish the modalities by which the targets would be achieved. Read more: Video: Commissioner Connie Hedegaard on the proposals IP/12/771: Further CO2 emission reductions from cars and vans: a win-win for the climate, consumers, innovation and jobs MEMO/12/548: Questions and Answers on the proposals to reduce CO2 emissions from cars and vans further by 2020 Reducing CO2 emissions from cars Reducing CO2 emissions from vans TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 39 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Appendix 8 : Government action in other countries : California example Many countries are enacting clean air and clean car legislation. The example outlined below is for academic study purposes only, and does not necessarily represent the views of the case study writer or of Tycoon Systems Inc. California's Clean Cars Law Reproduced from http://www.edf.org/transportation/policy/california-clean-cars-law Used by permission. Copyright © 2011 Environmental Defense Fund. The original material is available at http://www.edf.org/oceans. Renewed hope for protective tailpipe standards to cut global warming pollution Updates on clean car progress - In June 2009, EPA granted California's long-standing request for a Clean Air Act waiver, immediately clearing the way for vehicle emissions standards to cut global warming pollution in California and 13 other states. In 2011, rather than face a patchwork quilt of different state regulations, automakers agreed to a stricter federal standard. Read below to learn how this progress was made, starting with California's 2002 Clean Cars Law. A history of legal battles In 2002, California passed the Clean Cars Law, the nation's first binding limits on global warming pollution from tailpipes. The state's cars are responsible for almost one third of its global warming pollution. Cutting tailpipe pollution is essential to meet the requirements set under California's global warming law, AB32, the nation's first statewide cap on greenhouse gas emissions, passed in 2006. Thirteen states have since followed California's lead and adopted the Clean Cars standards: Arizona, Connecticut, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont and Washington. In 2004, the auto industry filed lawsuits in California and three other states to derail the law. A series of court victories in 2007 — including a landmark Supreme Court ruling affirming EPA’s power to address global warming pollution under the Clean Air Act — paved the way for putting the Clean Cars Law into effect. EPA prevents state from setting more rigorous standards But one hurdle remains. California may set more rigorous clean air standards than federal requirements, once the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency grants it a waiver to do so. In a surprising denial of both science and the law, EPA rejected the state's request for a waiver. Before this denial, EPA had consistently and repeatedly granted California’s requests. Environmental Defense Fund joined a coalition of states and environmental groups to challenge EPA's decision, and legal action is pending in the U.S. Court of Appeals in Washington, D.C. The Obama administration and the new Congress offer a great opportunity to change course on climate, to grant California’s request and to enforce the Supreme Court ruling. In a November 2008 speech, President Barack Obama promised a "new chapter" on climate change — starting with a national cap-and-trade system. Governor sends letter urging Obama to back waiver On Jan. 21, 2009, California's Republican Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger formally asked President Barack Obama to "immediately reconsider" the Bush administration's denial of California's Clean Car program to cut global warming pollution. In a letter calling the 2008 denial by the Bush administration's EPA "fundamentally flawed," Governor Schwarzenegger said that approving California's landmark program "will not only reduce these emissions, but will also save drivers money and reduce our nation's dependence on imported oil." Details: What the Clean Cars Law does California estimates that the Clean Cars program will reduce overall greenhouse gas emission from passenger cars by: 18 percent in 2020 and 27 percent cut in 2030. TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 40 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation The regulations do not call for radical vehicle changes. They are designed instead to tap technologies, methods, and cleaner fuels available now to reduce emissions of four chief greenhouse gases (GHG) contributing to global warming: carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, and hydrofluorocarbons. The standards apply to new motor vehicles and require declining fleetwide average emissions. California is the only state that can set its own motor vehicle emission standards, though other states may follow once it has done so. To carry out the program, California must (a) set standards at least as stringent as federal ones and (b) receive a waiver from the EPA. Other states adopt law, promising more pollution cuts Because the Clean Air Act allows states to follow California's low emissions vehicle (LEV) program, many states have opted to adopt the Clean Cars law. Such widespread adoption strengthens the law's potential to combat climate change. So far, 13 states have adopted the California standards, and several others are considering doing so. All together, these states represent almost half the U.S. population. States in bold have already adopted the standards. Arizona New Jersey California New Mexico Colorado New York Connecticut North Carolina Florida Oregon Iowa Pennsylvania Maine Rhode Island Maryland Utah Massachusetts Vermont Washington Clean Cars Law wins a series of court victories Supreme Court: EPA can grant California a waiver On April 2, 2007, the first major victory in this fight came when the U.S. Supreme Court ruled against the automaker's main arguments, holding that greenhouse gases are a pollutant, that the EPA has the power to regulate them under existing law, and that greenhouse gas emission standards under the Clean Air Act are not preempted by the federal fuel economy law. Vermont judge rules for Clean Cars, clears way for waiver Though the carmakers initially sued in a federal court in California, they also filed suits in Vermont, New Mexico and Rhode Island. On September 12, 2007, U.S. District Judge William K. Sessions became the first federal district court judge to rule and Judge Sessions rejected all of the carmakers' and dealers' challenges. He ruled that carmakers can safely meet new clean car standards. The ruling also held that motor vehicle greenhouse gas emission standards are not preempted by federal fuel economy standards. Carmakers are appealing. (More on the Vermont ruling.) Carmakers' suit to overrule California law dismissed In 2007, a federal judge in California dismissed a 2004 lawsuit filed by 21 of the world's major automakers against the state. But their reasoning assumed that the tailpipe cleanup would come from fuel efficiency alone, when in fact other adjustments, such as switching to cleaner fuels and mitigating air conditioning emissions, can reduce global warming pollution from cars. The federal judge rebuked the auto industry's efforts to block the Clean Cars law. (Get details on the ruling.) TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 41 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Appendix 9 : BUSINESS TERMS Annual Report An official quarterly or annual financial document published by a public company, showing Income Statement, Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Statement. Balance Sheet Quantitative summary of the financial position of a company at a specific point in time, including assets, liabilities and net worth. The first part of a balance sheet shows all the productive assets a company owns, and the second part shows all the financing methods (such as liabilities and shareholders’ equity). The term balance sheet is derived from the simple purpose of detailing where the money came from, and where it is now. The balance sheet equation is fundamentally: Capital + Liabilities (where the money came from) = Assets (where the money is now). Hence the term double entry - for every change on one side of the balance sheet, there must be a corresponding change on the other side - it must always balance. Capital Invested Money (borrowed or owned) invested in a company's operations. Calculated by: Total Assets less Excess Cash minus noninterest-bearing liabilities. The sum of a corporation’s long-term debt, stock and retained earnings. Also called invested capital. Cash Currency and coins on hand, bank balances, and negotiable money orders and checks. Cash Flow Cash receipts minus cash payments over a given period of time; or equivalently, net profit plus amounts charged off for depreciation, depletion, and amortization. Cash Flow Statement One of the three essential reporting statements for any company. The Cash Flow statement provides a third perspective alongside the Income Statement and Balance Sheet. The Cash Flow statement shows the movement and availability of cash through and to the business over a given period. The availability of cash in a company that is necessary to meet payments to suppliers, staff and other creditors is essential for any business to survive, and so the reliable forecasting and reporting of cash movement and availability is crucial. Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) Corporate Social Responsibility is a concept whereby companies integrate social and environmental concerns into their business operations and in their interaction with their stakeholders (employees, customers, shareholders, investors, local communities, government), on a voluntary basis. Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) The directly attributable costs of products or services sold, (usually materials, labour, and direct production costs). Sales less COGS = Gross Profit. Also called Cost of Sales, or Cost of Services and Goods Sold Credit Rating A published ranking, based on detailed financial analysis by a credit rating agency, of one’s financial history and forecasts, specifically as it relates to one’s ability to meet debt obligations. The highest rating is usually AAA, and the lowest is D. Banks use this information to decide whether to approve a credit. Current Assets A balance sheet item which equals the sum of cash and cash equivalents, accounts receivable, inventory, marketable securities, prepaid expenses, & other assets that could be converted to cash in less than one year. A company’s creditors will often be interested in how much that company has in current assets, since these assets are easily liquidated in case the company goes bankrupt. Current assets are important to most companies as a source of funds for day-to-day operations. TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 42 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Debt A liability or obligation in the form of bonds, loan notes, or mortgages, owed to another person or persons and required to be paid by a specified date (maturity). Debt Ratio Debt capital divided by total capital. This will tell you how much the company relies on debt to finance assets. When calculating this ratio, it is conventional to consider both current and non-current debt. In general, the lower the company’s reliance on debt for asset formation, the less risky the company is since excessive debt can lead to a very heavy interest and principal repayment burden. EBIT Earnings Before Interest and Tax. A financial measure defined as revenues less cost of goods sold and selling, general, and administrative expenses. In other words, operating and non-operating profit before the deduction of interest and income taxes. EBITDA Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortisation. A financial measure where the Depreciation charge on Fixed assets and Amortisation on financial and other assets are deducted from EBIT. Often called “cash flow profit” Equity Ownership interest in a corporation in the form of common stock or preferred stock. It is the risk-bearing part of the company’s capital and contrasts with debt capital has priority over shareholders if the company becomes insolvent and its assets are distributed. Gross Profit and Gross Profit Margin Gross Profit = Pre-tax net sales minus cost of sales. Also called gross income. Gross Profit Margin = Gross profit divided by sales, expressed as a percentage. Interest Cost The fee charged by a lender to a borrower for the use of borrowed money, usually expressed as an annual percentage of the principal; the rate is dependent upon the time value of money, the credit risk of the borrower, and the inflation rate. Here, interest per year divided by principal amount, expressed as a percentage. Interest Rate A rate which is charged or paid for the use of money. An interest rate is often expressed as an annual percentage of the principal. It is calculated by dividing the amount of interest by the amount of principal. Interest rates often change as a result of inflation and Central Bank policies. Interest Coverage the ratio of the amount of interest due on bank and similar loans in a specific period, compared with the earnings of a company. In other words, how times will profits cover the interest payments. A high number indicates high creditworthiness, a low number indicates higher risk of default on loan and interest payments due. Long-Term Assets On a balance sheet, the value of a company’s property, equipment and other capital assets expected to be useable for more than one year, minus depreciation. Net Income Sales minus taxes, interest, depreciation, and other expenses. Net Income is one of the most important measures of a company’s performance, since the pursuit of income is the primary reason companies exist. Sometimes Net Income includes one-time and extraordinary items, and sometimes it does not. Also called net earnings or bottom line. Income Statement An official quarterly or annual financial statement of a public company, showing earnings, expenses, and net profit. The Income Statement typically shows sales revenues, cost of sales/cost of goods sold, generally a gross profit margin (sometimes called contribution), fixed overheads and or operating expenses, and then a profit before tax figure (PBT). Basically the Income Statement shows how well the company has performed in its business activities during a specified period TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 43 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Price-Earnings Ratio (PER or P/E) Indicator of relative value: compares the price per share of a company to the earnings per share (EPS) of that company – normally in a recent financial period. A high number - compared to other companies in a similar sector - indicates greater confidence in the future business of that company, and a greater desire by investors to buy shares in that company. Should be used with caution : the earnings figure used may not be representative of expected performance because of special circumstances or unusual, one-off events Return on Equity (ROE) A measure of how well a company used reinvested earnings to generate additional earnings, equal to a fiscal year’s Net Income divided by Equity, expressed as a percentage. It is used as a general indication of the company’s efficiency; in other words, how much profit it is able to generate given the resources provided by its stockholders. Investors usually look for companies with returns on equity that are high and growing. Return on Investment (ROI) A measure of a corporation’s profitability, equal to a fiscal years income divided by Long-Term Assets. ROI measures how effectively the firm uses its capital to generate profit; the higher the ROI, the better Sales (Revenues) The final amount of sales, determined by subtracting the amount of sales returns and allowances and sales discount from the total amount of sales, for a fiscal period. Inventory (Balance Sheet) A company’s merchandise, raw materials, and finished and unfinished products which have not yet been sold. There are various means of valuing these assets, but the most common one is to price all inventory at the cost that it was acquired for, or its cost of production in the cases of finished goods, or “net realisable value” (what it could fetch in the marketplace), whichever is lower or more conservative Taxes Taxes are compulsory, unrequited payments, in cash or in kind, made by institutional units to government units; they are described as unrequited because the government provides nothing in return to the individual unit making the payment, although governments may use the funds raised in taxes to provide goods or services to other units, either individually or collectively, or to the community as a whole. Total Assets The sum of current and long-term assets owned by a person, company, or other entity. TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 44 Multi/Single Guide – October 2012 The Sustainability Business Simulation Appendix 10 : General Terms and Conditions for use of simulations owned by Tycoon Systems Inc. Tycoon Systems Inc (“Tycoon”) will allow use of its online simulations (“TS Services”) to a User under the following general terms and conditions. 1) TS Services include, but are not limited to, access for selected individuals to Tycoon’s business simulation systems, business games and web-based software, for use in executive education programs and on-line business competitions, on payment of access fees as specified in an agreed Scope of Services. 2) These General Terms and Conditions will form an integral part of any agreement to supply such services. 3) Where a supply of TS Services involves access to Tycoon Systems’ webservers and websites then, the terms and conditions as specified on the websites are deemed to have been read and understood and agreed prior to using such TS Services. A current example is available for inspection at http://www.industrymasters.com/termsofuse.html 4) Tycoon develops online, webserver based simulation games, which reside on their own secure webservers, and are under their control at all times. It is not possible to install these games on any other servers – for example, on clients’ own web servers. Clients may access our simulations and games via standard, widely-used web browsers such as Internet Explorer, Firefox etc from anywhere in the world by using a standard URL which we will supply. 5) Intellectual-Property Ownership and Use: No proprietary software is required to be physically installed on clients’ systems, and no ownership of software is transferred to clients. All Intellectual Property Rights of any business simulation, except Preexisting Materials from clients, shall remain exclusively with Tycoon. 6) Any Tycoon Systems simulation that is based on real-world events is only representational and not an accurate depiction of real-world events. Users should under no circumstances seek to imitate any game experience in real life. 7) Privacy Considerations: In order to take advantage of the full capabilities of the simulation and to receive e-mailed information and announcements, Tycoon may require information about the users. Any communications made through the simulation may be monitored by Tycoon's personnel, with the consent of the client. We respect the users privacy and we will, of course, endeavour to take care of any information supplied to us. We reserve the right to use "cookies," which are small computer files we would thereby transfer to your computer's hard drive to allow us to monitor website usage. The users have the ability to accept or decline cookies, but if users choose to decline cookies, performance of the simulation might be adversely affected. 8) No Warranty: The simulation, including any content or information contained within it and any linked website, is provided "as is" and "as available." TO THE FULLEST EXTENT PERMITTED BY LAW, Tycoon EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ALL EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, WITHOUT LIMITATION, THE IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY, FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE, AND NON-INFRINGEMENT. 9) Limitation of Liability: Tycoon shall have no liability for the deletion of any communications or information collected, maintained or transmitted by the simulation or the failure to store any information, including personalized settings. 10) Jurisdiction and Choice of Law: All claims regarding the simulation shall be governed according to the laws of the State of Delaware, United States of America, without regard to its conflicts of law principles. Any claim or action arising under this agreement shall be subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of courts in Delaware, United States of America. 11) Complete Agreement: This agreement constitutes the entire agreement between the User and Tycoon with respect of use of simulations owned by Tycoon Systems Inc. If any provision of this agreement is found to be unenforceable, the other provisions shall still remain in full force and effect. TM Copyright © 2012 Tycoon Systems Inc - page 45