HOUSING FINANCE POLICY CENTER URBAN INSTITUTE Eminent Domain The Debate Distracts from Pressing Problems Pamela Lee The Urban Institute October 22, 2013 About the Author Pamela Lee is a research associate with the Housing Finance Policy Center and the Metropolitan Housing and Communities Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Thanks to Laurie Goodman, Ellen Seidman, Wei Li, Jim Parrott, Jun Zhu, and Rolf Pendall for reviewing and assisting with the writing of this paper. Special thanks to Bing Bai for expert data analysis, particularly for the CoreLogic HPI numbers. Copyright © October 2013. The Urban Institute. Permission is granted for reproduction of this file, with attribution to the Urban Institute. The Housing Finance Policy Center (HFPC) aims to more effectively connect housing policy and housing finance, and to provide timely, impartial analyses of policy issues, anticipating problems and potential solutions and responding to them as they emerge. HFPC will enable the Urban Institute’s work to both inform and be informed by greater understanding and analysis of how finance and financial regulation, monetary policy, and global capital flows shape and impact the US housing market, including the structure of housing credit (both ownership and rental), who is able to access that credit, and on what terms. The Urban Institute thanks The Citi Foundation and The John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation for providing generous support at the leadership level to launch the Housing Finance Policy Center. We also thank the Ford Foundation and the Open Society Foundation for their additional support. The Urban Institute is a nonprofit, nonpartisan policy research and educational organization that examines the social, economic, and governance problems facing the nation. The views expressed are those of the authors and should not be attributed to the Urban Institute, its trustees, or its funders. Contents JURISDICTIONS WITH AN INTEREST IN THE EMINENT DOMAIN STRATEGY 2 RICHMOND’S SITUATION 8 WHY IS THE PLAN CONTROVERSIAL? 9 IMPACT ON THE BROADER MARKETS 12 EXISTING EFFORTS HAVE NOT GONE AS FAR AS NEEDED 13 CONCLUSION 14 REFERENCES 16 NOTES 17 Eminent Domain Richmond, California, recently approved a plan to assist residents with underwater mortgages 1 by offering to purchase the mortgages and restructure them to more affordable terms. The city has said that if the purchase offers are not accepted, it may use its powers of eminent domain to seize the loans. Several other communities have also considered using eminent domain to assist underwater homeowners, arguing that doing so will prevent foreclosures, stabilize the municipal tax base, and ensure the community’s economic vitality. San Bernardino County was among the first to explore the plan, in 2012, but interest spread to other communities. In this paper, we look at the municipalities that have considered using eminent domain to seize underwater loans. We consider what these jurisdictions have in common and look more closely at the challenges Richmond faces. Finally, we address the appropriateness of Richmond’s response to these challenges. While the use of eminent domain to assist underwater homeowners has only recently received widespread attention, the strategy was initially suggested in 2008 in separate proposals offered by three professors interested in developing effective, timely responses to the housing crisis. 2 Richmond has revisited the idea, in large part, due to frustration with the lack of assistance from lenders and state and federal policymakers for a community still struggling to recover from the housing market collapse. Located in the mostly thriving San Francisco Bay Area, Richmond is an outlier among its wealthier neighbors: it has notoriously high crime rates and a high concentration of poor-quality housing stock and traditionally underserved sectors of the population. In addition, the city is the site of a major Chevron refinery (where several industrial accidents have occurred), three chemical companies, eight Superfund sites, dozens of toxic waste sites, and two rail yards. In response to the city’s plan, two trustees, Wells Fargo and Deutsche Bank, filed suit on behalf of a group of investors. 3 Although the case was dismissed on the grounds that it was premature, it will likely be refiled should the city move forward as planned. Other financial institutions, trade groups, and banks have signaled their intentions to pursue similar legal action and have threatened to restrict lending in any municipality that implements such a plan. Several key policymakers also have weighed in: In early August, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), which regulates Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, declared that the plan “presents a clear threat to the safe and sound operations of [the government-sponsored entities]” (Pollard 2013, 7) and that it would instruct lenders to “limit, restrict, or cease business activities” 4 in jurisdictions contemplating the eminent domain plan. The Protecting American Taxpayers and Homeowners (PATH) Act, which is the House GSE reform proposal, includes two provisions that would prohibit Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) from purchasing or insuring mortgages in any municipality that has exercised eminent domain to seize mortgages over the past five years. In the face of this increasing pressure, two communities considering similar eminent domain proposals—San Bernardino County and North Las Vegas—ultimately decided not to proceed. The controversial use of eminent domain to seize underwater loans is noteworthy for several reasons. First, the plight of Richmond and similar communities is a symptom of an uneven housing recovery. 5 According to the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, while national indicators show signs of housing market improvement, these indicators may mask the continuing struggles of some low- and moderateincome communities (Choi 2013). Second, Richmond’s strategy shows frustration with existing private and federal interventions in the housing market, along with a perception that policymakers and the lending community see less urgency in addressing distress in the housing market. Lacking the ability to negotiate with banks and without a federal stick to force banks to work more closely with communities, cities like Richmond have turned to a more confrontational stance that bypasses both federal and state governments. Jurisdictions with an Interest in the Eminent Domain Strategy Several local jurisdictions have publicly expressed an interest in using eminent domain to seize underwater loans. We examined these jurisdictions for commonalities and shared urban problems. In addition to Richmond, we looked at El Monte, Fontana, Ontario, Pomona, Salinas, San Bernardino County, and Stockton, in California; North Las Vegas, Nevada; Chicago, Illinois; Wayne County, Michigan; Brockton, Massachusetts; Suffolk County, New York; and Irvington and Newark, New Jersey. 2 Housing Finance Policy Center Table 1. Indicators for All Jurisdictions That Considered Seizing Underwater Loans through Eminent Domain Place Richmond, CA El Monte, CA Fontana, CA Ontario, CA Pomona, CA Salinas, CA San Bernardino County, CA Stockton, CA North Las Vegas, NV Chicago, IL Wayne County, MI Brockton, MA Suffolk County, NY Newark, NJ Irvington, NJ United States Median household income (MHI) 12.7% 11.4% 13.6% 13.5% 11.8% 11.3% $54,554 $41,820 $64,058 $55,902 $50,893 $50,658 -6% -1% 7% 1% -3% -11% 18% 22% 14% 16% 19% 20% 12% 5% 6% 6% 7% 6% 5% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 10% 3% 6% 6% 6% 5% 53% 41% 70% 58% 55% 45% 76% 68% 88% 82% 80% 80% 47% 51% 48% 43% 48% 51% 12.9% 15.7% $55,853 $47,365 0% 2% 16% 22% 14 % 10% 4% 4% 7% 7% 64% 53% 78% 79% 41% 44% 10.4% 12% $57,425 $47,371 -5% -6% 14% 21% 14% 14% 5% 4% 9% 8% 61% 47% 89% 73% 40% 40% 17.4% $41,886 -39% 23% 17% 4% 11% 67% 66% 32% 13.8% $49,848 -3% 16% 9% 2% 6% 58% 79% 42% 6.4% 15.7% 15.1% $87,187 $35,696 $41,538 -21% 2% -13% 6% 26% 19% 13% 16% 16% 2% 5% 7% 6% 11% 9% 81% 25% 33% 71% 74% 82% 41% 56% 58% 8.7% $52,762 -4% 14% 12% 2% 8% 66% 68% 29% Unemployment rate Residents living below poverty level Vacant housing units Homeowner vacancy rate Rental vacancy rate Owneroccupied Mortgaged homeowners paying at least 35% of income on owner costs Change in MHI since 2000 Census Mortgaged housing units Source: 2007–11 American Community Survey. Note: Change in MHI was adjusted for inflation using BLS calculator. These 15 communities suffer from high unemployment, stagnant incomes, high poverty, high proportions of cost-burdened homeowners, and high vacancy rates. Except for Suffolk County, all the municipalities have unemployment rates exceeding the national average and reaching into the mid-teens, ranging from 10.4 percent in North Las Vegas to 17.4 percent in Wayne County (which is double the national rate). In six municipalities, more than a fifth of all residents live below the poverty level; in Newark, it’s more than a quarter of all residents. Nine communities have median household incomes that are below the national median, and overall, surrounding counties and states tend to have higher incomes (table 2). Richmond’s median income is a third lower than that of Contra Costa County. The New Jersey median income is 50 percent higher than median income in Irvington and 42 percent higher than in Newark. While North Las Vegas’s median income is higher than in the state overall, this is largely because Nevada was one of the hardest-hit states during the housing crisis: Nevada still leads the nation in foreclosure rates, has the highest proportion of mortgaged residential properties with negative equity (45.4 percent in the first quarter of 2013), and has the country’s highest proportion of highly leveraged homeowners (with an average loan-to-value ratio of 96 percent, versus the national average of 67.2 percent; see Choi 2013). Using Eminent Domain to Assist Underwater Homeowners 3 We also compared the change in median household income between the 2007–11 American Community Survey and the 2000 Census (see table 1). We adjusted the income data from 2000 for inflation using the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Inflation Calculator, 6 which uses the average consumer price index for a given calendar year. Overwhelmingly, we found that, when adjusted for inflation, median income decreased in nearly all communities examined (the exceptions were Fontana, Newark, Ontario, San Bernardino County, and Stockton, where income remained stagnant or made modest increases). This follows the national trend, since US median real income decreased by 4 percent between 2000 and 2011. In Wayne County, real incomes dropped by 39 percent, and in Suffolk County, they dropped by 21 percent. Given stagnant or declining incomes, it is unsurprising that mortgaged homeowners in the communities examined are cost-burdened. Considering that a significant proportion of mortgaged homeowners in the cities and counties are underwater and delinquent (table 3), these communities will likely continue to see high foreclosure rates, even after rates in nearby areas begin to taper off. Officials in Irvington point out that 22 percent of homes are currently in foreclosure, twice the rate for Essex County. 7 Vacancy rates can be a measure of the strength of a city’s housing market. High rental and housing vacancy rates indicate a weakening economy (many people are moving out + few people are moving in = an oversupply of housing), while low vacancy rates indicate an improving economy and high demand for housing. Richmond’s overall vacancy rate is 12 percent, much higher than the county and state averages (7 and 9 percent, respectively); its homeowner and rental vacancy rates are nearly double the county and state averages (see table 2). These heightened numbers are shared by the other communities examined: they have a high share of vacant housing units and higher-than-ideal homeowner and rental vacancy rates. 8 In short, these cities have a toxic combination of high unemployment and vacancy rates and high proportions of cost-burdened homeowners. 4 Housing Finance Policy Center Table 2. Indicators for All Eminent Domain Jurisdictions and Their Home Counties and States Place California Contra Costa County Richmond San Bernardino County Fontana Ontario Los Angeles County El Monte Pomona San Joaquin County Stockton Monterey County Salinas Michigan Wayne County Nevada Clark County North Las Vegas Illinois Cook County Chicago Massachusetts Plymouth County Brockton New York Suffolk County New Jersey Essex County Irvington Newark United States Unemployment rate 10.1% 9.5% 12.7% 12.9% 13.6% 13.5% 9.8% 11.4% 11.8% 14.4% 15.7% 10.8% 11.3% 12.3% 17.4% 7.0% 13.6% 10.4% 9.3% 10.8% 12% 8.1% 8.8% 13.8% 8.2% 6.4% 8.7% 11.3% 15.1% 15.7% 8.7% Median household income $61,632 $79,135 $54,554 $55,853 $64,058 $55,902 $56,266 $41,820 $50,893 $53,764 $47,365 $59,737 $50,658 $48,669 $41,886 $55,553 $64,058 $57,425 $56,676 $54,598 $47,371 $65,981 $74,698 $49,848 $56,951 $87,187 $71,180 $55,876 $41,538 $35,696 $52,762 Change in MHI since 2000 Census* -1% -5% -6% 0% 7% 1% 2% -1% -3% 0% 2% -5% -11% -36% -39% -5% -4% -5% -7% -9% -6% 0% 3% -3% 0% -21% -1% -5% -13% 2% -4% Residents living below poverty line 14% 10% 18% 16% 14% 16% 16% 22% 19% 17% 22% 15% 20% 16% 23% 13% 13% 14% 13% 16% 21% 11% 7% 16% 15% 6% 9% 15% 19% 26% 14% Vacant housing units 9% 7% 12% 14% 6% 6% 6% 5% 7% 9% 10% 10% 6% 15.6% 17.3% 15% 15% 13% 10% 11% 14% 10% 10% 9% 11% 13% 10% 12% 16% 16% 12% Homeowner vacancy rate 2% 3% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 2% 3% 3% 4.3% 4% 5% 5% 2% 3% 4% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 7% 5% 2% Rental vacancy rate 5% 6% 10% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 6% 6% 7% 4% 5% 9% 11% 11% 11% 9% 7% 8% 8% 5% 6% 6% 5% 6% 7% 9% 9% 11% 8% Median home value $421,600 $490,200 $352,600 $278,400 $294,800 $294,300 $478,300 $371,600 $311,300 $264,400 $222,200 $497,400 $340,600 $137,300 $110,000 $225,400 $226,200 $199,300 $198,500 $256,900 $260,800 $343,500 $350,700 $254,300 $301,000 $411,000 $349,100 $389,800 $239,800 $282,400 $186,200 Source: Change in MHI based on Census 2000; other data from 2007–11 ACS. In table 3, which includes information from Zillow’s second quarter 2013 Negative Equity Report, we looked at the share of mortgaged residential homes that are underwater for select cities and counties, as well as the share of these mortgages that are delinquent. The city-level information is only available across zip codes (Irvington has just one zip code). Using Eminent Domain to Assist Underwater Homeowners 5 Table 3. Negative Equity Rates for Select Cities and Counties Place Contra Costa County Richmond 94801 94804 94805 San Bernardino County Fontana 92335 92336 92337 Ontario 91761 91762 91764 Los Angeles County El Monte 91731 91732 Wayne County, MI Essex County, NJ Irvington, NJ Newark, NJ 07102 07103 07104 07105 07106 07107 07108 07112 07114 Clark County, NV North Las Vegas, NV 89030 89031 89032 89081 89084 89085 89086 United States % of mortgaged residential properties that are underwater % of these that are delinquent Negative equity percentile 27% 7% NA 44% 45% 35% 38% 7% 6% 6% 8% Highest 5% in US Highest 5% in US Highest 20% in US Highest 5% in US 38% 35% 41% 9% 10% 10% Highest 10% in US Highest 20% in US Highest 10% in US 33% 34% 33% 20% 8% 7% 9% 8% Highest 20% in US Highest 20% in US Highest 20% in US NA 13% 16% 45% 27% 48% 10% 8% 6% 27% 42% NA NA Highest 5% in US Highest 20% in US Highest 5% in US 60% 47% 54% 52% 56% 59% 59% 58% 48% 48% 53% 39% 36% 34% 31% 35% 44% 44% 48% 13% Highest 1% in US Highest 5% in US Highest 5% in US Highest 5% in US Highest 5% in US Highest 1% in US Highest 1% in US Highest 1% in US Highest 1% in US Highest 1% in US 72% 55% 55% 59% 51% 52% 53% 24% 18% 13% 14% 13% 11% 11% 21% NA Highest 1% in US Highest 5% in US Highest 5% in US Highest 1% in US Highest 5% in US Highest 5% in US Highest 5% in US NA Source: 2Q2013 Zillow Negative Equity Report. What is most striking about the data is that while the ratio of underwater residential properties is high across most of these municipalities, parts of New Jersey seem to suffer from particularly high risk of foreclosure: at least a third of all underwater mortgage holders in Newark are delinquent, as are nearly half of all underwater mortgage holders in Irvington. New Jersey’s high delinquency numbers are likely driven in part by its significant foreclosure backlog, as deeply distressed borrowers remain in their homes much longer than in other parts of the country. 9 We also wanted to track the changes in residential housing prices from peak to trough, trough to recovery, and peak to recovery (see table 4). We used generally accepted time periods for the peak (2006) 6 Housing Finance Policy Center and trough (2011–12), and used the latest data (2013) for the recovery. We looked at all the cities that have considered the eminent domain plan, and compared the changes in housing price indices (HPI) against the counties and states in which they reside. The data indicate that none of the municipalities have recovered as well as the nation overall. National housing prices have dropped 19 percent between peak and recovery; on average, across the eminent domain municipalities, housing prices have dropped by 36 percent from peak to recovery. In North Las Vegas, housing prices have fallen by 51 percent since the peak, larger than the fall in prices in Clark County and Nevada. In fact, based on housing price recovery from peak to recovery, none of the cities are improving as well their home states, and nearly all of the cities are lagging behind their counties. Even Suffolk County, which seems to be an outlier among the eminent domain cities (it has a higher median income and lower unemployment, for example), saw a 28 percent drop in prices between peak and trough, an 8 percent increase between trough and recovery, and a 23 percent drop in prices between peak and recovery. In contrast, New York State saw a 16 percent drop in prices from peak to trough, an 11 percent increase between trough and recovery, and 7 percent drop in prices between peak and recovery. Prices in the state did not drop as much as they did in Suffolk County, and they increased more quickly as well. In California, home prices in El Monte and Pomona are closely aligning with county and state trends. Using Eminent Domain to Assist Underwater Homeowners 7 Table 4. Changes in CoreLogic Housing Price Index (HPI) for All Eminent Domain Jurisdictions and Their Home Counties and States Place Peak to Trough California Contra Costa County Richmond San Bernardino County Fontana Ontario Los Angeles County El Monte Pomona San Joaquin County Stockton Monterey County Salinas Michigan Wayne County Nevada Clark County North Las Vegas Illinois Cook County Chicago Massachusetts Plymouth County Brockton New York Suffolk County New Jersey Essex County Irvington Newark United States -43% -50% -57% -54% -54% -53% -40% -41% -43% -62% -63% -54% -55% -46% -53% -59% -60% -64% -34% -39% -38% -26% -32% -41% -16% -28% -30% -40% -39% -46% -33% Trough to Recovery Peak to Recovery 31% 41% 32% 27% 26% 31% 28% 26% 28% 30% 27% 37% 30% 27% 37% 35% 34% 36% 12% 14% 15% 18% 11% 14% 11% 8% 7% 15% 20% 14% 21% -25% -30% -43% -42% -41% -38% -23% -25% -27% -50% -53% -37% -41% -31% -36% -44% -46% -51% -26% -30% -29% -12% -24% -32% -7% -23% -25% -30% -27% -39% -19% Source: CoreLogic HPI data. Note: CoreLogic HPI is collected at the zip code level for the cities, weighted by the 2010 Census population numbers, and includes single-family attached and detached homes. All of which is to say that the cities and counties that have considered eminent domain are, in essence, pockets of distress left behind as the tide of the recession gradually pulls back. Richmond’s Situation A deeper dive into the Richmond numbers reveals a city that is struggling. Many homes have lost more than half their value since the housing crash: according to CoreLogic’s HPI, housing prices in Richmond dropped 57 percent from peak to trough, 32 percent from trough to recovery, and 43 percent from peak to now. As a result of the drop in home values, many residents have found themselves underwater on their loans. Richmond officials assert that the average underwater homeowner in Richmond owes 45 percent or more on his or her mortgage than the underlying house is currently worth; this difference has resulted in a large number of foreclosures and may contribute to more in the future (Lindsay 2013). According to City Manager William Lindsay, there have been 2,000 foreclosures over the past three years, affecting 16 8 Housing Finance Policy Center percent of Richmond’s mortgaged homeowners. In comparison, the state foreclosure rate over the past three years has been 6 percent, less than half of Richmond’s rate (Lindsay 2013). The city also claims, not surprisingly, that the drop in housing values has had community-level impacts, as foreclosures have resulted in vacant and abandoned properties that further depress neighboring property values. Mr. Lindsay reports that property tax revenues declined 14.5 percent between 2007 and 2012, hindering the city’s ability to provide services to residents and leading to a nearly 20 percent staff reduction during the same period (Lindsay 2013). The city argues that these challenges, and insufficient outside assistance to help address them, have left it little choice but to pursue local interventions. Richmond officials explored several policy solutions and, ultimately, pursued the eminent domain plan by partnering with Mortgage Resolution Partners (MRP), a San Francisco–based firm. Richmond calls its plan Richmond CARES (Community Action to Restore Equity and Sanity). As proposed, the city plans to assist underwater homeowners who are at risk of default. It would do so by offering to purchase the loans at current fair market value from investors who hold the mortgages. These investors would suffer a loss on the nominal loan balance but would, in theory, be shielded from a potentially more costly default. The loans would be financed through funding from MRP’s investors, and MRP would modify the principal to more affordable terms through the FHA’s Short Refinance Program (SRP). 10 Assume an underwater borrower purchased a home for $400,000 and still owes $300,000, though the home has a current assessed value of $200,000. With financing from MRP, the city would purchase the loan for 80 percent of the fair market value ($160,000). The loan would then be transferred to MRP for servicing, and MRP would help the homeowner refinance the loan for $195,500 (since the FHA SRP requires that the LTV not exceed 97.75 percent, the new loan would be $195,500, or $200,000 × 0.9975), with $5,000 of the proceeds held by the FHA for the initial loan insurance premium. Fees to fund city staff and MRP’s expenses would come from the difference between the refinance proceeds and the loan cost ($190,500 − $160,000 = $30,500). MRP would receive a $4,500 servicing fee per successful transaction, and the rest of the proceeds would go to MRP’s funders and the city. Why Is the Plan Controversial? This transaction has generated several points of controversy. Seizure of property through eminent domain requires that the taking must be for a public use and the property owner (in this case, the owner of the Using Eminent Domain to Assist Underwater Homeowners 9 loan) must receive just compensation, which means fair market value. Critics of Richmond’s considered action claim that neither of these requirements is met. Public Purpose Richmond’s eminent domain plan targets 624 loans. A look at the characteristics of these loans raises questions about whether their seizure and refinancing will meet Richmond’s community stabilization objectives. Phillip R. Burnaman, an investment banker who analyzed the target loans for the plaintiffs in the trustees’ suit, testified that nearly a third (31 percent) of the target loans have LTVs below 100 percent, meaning they are not underwater. Reportedly, 70 percent, or 444, of the target loans are performing, meaning these homeowners are current on their payments and unlikely to default, though MRP disputes these numbers (Burnaman 2013). It could be argued that focusing on performing underwater homeowners is an attempt to target people who have been making an honest effort to stay current on their loans, rather than walk away, and that some of these people may be under significant financial stress that could lead them to stop paying. Still, there are concerns that the plan, as proposed, might skip over the homeowners most in need of assistance. Mr. Burnaman further testified that over half (53 percent) of the target loans had received loan modifications—30 percent received permanent principal reductions. For the loans receiving principal reductions, 67 percent transitioned to positive equity after modification, and the average LTV shifted from 160 percent to 96 percent (table 5). Across all modified target mortgages, the average monthly payment reduction was $897, or 38 percent of the original mortgage payment amount. 10 Housing Finance Policy Center Table 5. Modifications to Richmond’s Target Loans by Modification Type Number of loans Current balance Current LTV Total amount capitalized Total amount forgiven Average rate reduction Average payment before modification Average payment after modification Average payment reduction ($) Average payment reduction (%) Capitalization Principal forgiveness Interest rate 41 $16,436,135 129 4,403,761 NA NA $2,044 $1,543 $501 25% 91 $37,199,510 96 NA $13,428,566 NA $2,034 $1,350 $684 34% 223 $94,835,141 124 NA NA 4.05 $2,540 $1,484 $1,056 42% Source: Greensledge Group, based on CoreLogic data (Burnaman 2013) The plaintiffs also assert that a quarter of targeted loans have perfect pay histories (never missed a payment); 9 percent of the loans have been current for all but one or two months; and 46 percent have had perfect pay histories for the past two years (Burnaman 2013). This is noteworthy, since payment history is an important factor in mortgage portfolio risk analysis, and the loans targeted by Richmond reflect a strong commitment on the part of borrowers to stay in their homes. While the intent may be to reward committed borrowers, nonperforming homeowners who are at more serious risk of default will not be helped by Richmond CARES. MRP and Richmond argue that final decisions on loans that receive purchase offers will not be made until transactions are finalized; so far, the city has simply sent letters to loan servicers. To date, the mortgage seizure strategy remains a plan; it has not actually been executed. The city also points out that its program is not designed to simply assist select individual homeowners but has a broader, more important goal of ensuring the safety and soundness of the entire community. It points to places such as Detroit, where individual foreclosures contributed to a landslide of vacant housing units that reduced neighboring property values and played a role in the city’s bankruptcy. Just Compensation As mentioned, the government is required by law to provide owners of property seized by eminent domain with just compensation, which courts have traditionally interpreted as fair market value. Under Richmond CARES, mortgage note holders will be paid 80 percent of the home’s currently assessed fair market value. MRP asserts that the 80 percent value builds in the cost of a potential default, but this pricing assumes that the properties have a 100 percent chance of default. Also, because so many of the loans are performing, it could be argued that the valuation should consider the future cash streams that may be generated by loan interest. MRP states that any speculation about the ultimate purchase price is premature, since the city, MRP, and loan holders have not negotiated offer prices. Using Eminent Domain to Assist Underwater Homeowners 11 The lack of negotiations has a lot to do with the nature of the loans targeted. Richmond is targeting loans in private-label mortgage-backed securities (PLS) and excluding loans guaranteed by the GSEs. This decision is likely based on the institutional and contractual structure of PLS, which MRP says impedes loan modifications. The rights and obligations of originators, subsidiaries, trustees, servicers, and investors in PLS are spelled out in the pooling and servicing agreement (PSA). While trustees are the logical advocates for investors, their obligations under traditional PSAs have typically been administrative. In Richmond’s case, critics argue that the PLS structure lacks an effective mechanism by which investors or their agents can advocate for a fair market value. Many have argued that this underscores the need for broad securitization reform (Goodman et al. 2012). Impact on the Broader Markets One criticism of the plan is that it interferes with the contractual obligation between lenders and borrowers, and does not hold irresponsible homeowners accountable for borrowing more than they could afford. And while some investors may agree that, before the crash, some irresponsible lenders pushed high-interest, subprime loans on both unqualified borrowers and those that qualified for conventional loans, they say that does not justify disregarding the rights of investors. Richmond CARES may have repercussions that extend beyond Richmond and harm the broader securities and housing markets. One consequence could be higher mortgage interest rates, as lenders riskadjust to compensate for future potential seizures, and larger down payment requirements, to provide a buffer against losses in the event of a seizure. Lenders and the FHFA have indicated they will reduce lending and credit access in areas that use eminent domain to seize mortgages, and they have advised associates to do the same. Fair housing advocates argue that this is equivalent to the practice of “redlining,” given that many communities considering eminent domain have high concentrations of lowincome, minority populations. California Lieutenant Governor Newsom asserts that advising others to stop lending in certain areas would violate anti-collusion laws. 11 The plan could also hurt pension funds that own pieces of the affected mortgages: Recently, the nation’s largest public pension fund, California Public Employees’ Retirement System (Calpers), expressed concerns about the eminent domain strategy. 12 At the same time, the Service Employees Union (SEIU), which represents 452 of Richmond’s 900 public employees, most of whom are members of Calpers, has fully endorsed the eminent domain plan. 13 It’s worth noting that some critics of the eminent domain plan initially endorsed the idea of purchasing and modifying underwater mortgages. In 2008, ASF’s Tom Deutsch testified before the House Committee 12 Housing Finance Policy Center on Financial Services “that the seismic economic challenges in the United States…are too great for purely private sector loan modification solutions” and “expanded government programs may be effective in bridging this gap…[since] foreclosures are bad for everyone” (Deutsch 2008, 5). He went on to suggest that “TARP could purchase individual distressed loans out of MBS trusts,” and that ASF “has recently undertaken a review of the various opportunities and obstacles for servicers to sell below par individual distressed loans out of MBS to the TARP.” Similarly, SIFMA’s Tim Ryan stated that “Treasury is uniquely positioned” to intervene and bring buyers and sellers together. 14 Of course, these statements were made in 2008, at the height of the crisis and during TARP negotiations, when there was much concern that the housing market would go over the cliff and tank the rest of the economy. Deutsch and others assert that they were supporting a one-time massive, systematic government purchase of distressed loans (i.e., loans in default or about to default) out of PLS trusts as a loss-mitigation strategy. Underwater loans that have a perfect or near-perfect pay history would not have qualified for this massive undertaking. Existing Efforts Have Not Gone as Far as Needed The Obama administration, the states, and even lenders have taken steps to assist borrowers who have struggled to make their mortgage payments. Even in the aggregate, however, these efforts have fallen short of addressing the level of distress suffered by homeowners in many of the hardest hit communities. The Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), in some ways the administration’s most ambitious effort, is a useful case in point. Designed to incentivize lenders to modify the loans of struggling borrowers, it has led to 1.2 million modifications within the program and another 6.7 million modifications in proprietary programs based on HAMP. 15 But this number should be put in the context of the 2.6 million borrowers who currently are more than 90 days delinquent on their loan payments or are entering foreclosure, 16 and the 6.7 million liquidations (foreclosures and short sales) since 2007. 17 The Hardest Hit Fund (HHF), another administration program, was designed to provide $7.6 billion of direct funding to states suffering the most acute distress as a result of the housing crisis. This will help relieve distress in many of the hardest hit communities, but as of March 2013, only $1.3 billion has been spent locally to assist 109,874 homeowners; the amount of money that has found its way into these communities pales in comparison to the levels of distress they face (SIGTARP 2013). Other assistance efforts also have fallen short of need. In Oakland, just a few miles from Richmond, the Community Housing Development Corporation launched Restoring Ownership Opportunities Together (ROOT), a pilot program to purchase distressed properties from lenders and resell the homes to Using Eminent Domain to Assist Underwater Homeowners 13 existing owners with restructured mortgages reflecting current market value. ROOT is inspired by the Stabilizing Urban Neighborhoods (SUN) initiative, which was developed by Boston Community Capital (BCC). Under SUN, BCC negotiates the acquisition of properties that have been foreclosed (but from which the occupants have not yet been evicted), and resells the home to the original homeowner so the person does not have to leave. The model, however, works best when there is a significant difference between the estimated current value of the house and the mortgage; as the market recovers, this gap has become smaller. Similarly, as the market has picked up, nonprofits that initially had little trouble acquiring real-estate-owned (REO) and vacant properties for resale must now compete with institutional investors and individuals purchasing properties with the intent to rent them. Conclusion In this issue brief, we examined commonalities among jurisdictions considering the eminent domain plan, comparing them to each other, as well as to the counties and states where they are located. We laid out the controversy over Richmond’s eminent domain plan, highlighting potential issues and the reasons municipalities are turning to home-grown solutions. The negative indicators shared by municipalities that have considered the eminent domain solution (e.g., high unemployment, low incomes, high proportions of underwater homeowners, slower HPI recovery, etc.) indicate that their shared problems extend beyond housing. These cities have traditionally suffered from lack of investment, high crime rates, concentrated poverty, and other general barriers to opportunity. These factors contributed to their poor performance during and after the housing crash, and the relief efforts to date, both from lenders and policymakers, have been modest relative to the scale of the problem. Yet it is unclear that seizing loans through eminent domain will produce the desired outcomes: preventing foreclosures and, thus, ensuring that the community fabric and the municipality’s economy remain intact. For example, Richmond is targeting performing loans in PLS, and while the eminent domain plan is designed to help underwater mortgage holders, investors assert that nearly a third of target loans are above water. In contrast, a much wider universe of nonperforming, underwater loans is in private-label and agency securities that are, arguably, at more immediate risk of default. Additionally, implementing eminent domain will likely have repercussions in the housing finance markets that will lead to higher interest rates and down payments. There do appear to be some less disruptive alternatives on the table. For one, recent reforms to the distribution of HHF will improve coordination between local agencies and federal and state funds. State housing finance agencies, which administer HHF, are trying to ensure that help goes to the most distressed borrowers. In Illinois and Ohio, the Mortgage Resolution Fund (MRF, unaffiliated with MRP), a 14 Housing Finance Policy Center partnership founded by four national housing nonprofits, prevents foreclosures by purchasing bundles of delinquent mortgage notes and working with homeowners to modify the loans. Illinois provided MRF with $100 million from its HHF for loan purchases and $40 million as a no-interest, no-fee loan; Ohio created a $30 million program to support the purchase of notes by nonprofits, from which MRF has drawn $15 million. 18 Crucially, in both states, MRF is working with local entities active in foreclosure prevention and neighborhood stabilization to develop city-specific assistance programs. While the program has experienced some bumps in the road (fragmented local lending landscapes, reluctance to sell notes at current value, lack of interest from the GSEs and large commercial players), MRF managed to purchase more than 1,000 delinquent mortgages between 2011 and 2013. California’s own HHF program, Keep Your Home California, has launched an aggressive effort to reach more distressed homeowners. Other assistance programs directly target nonperforming underwater loans, which have a higher chance of default than performing underwater loans. After rejecting the eminent domain plan, San Bernardino County partnered with four nonprofits to assist underwater homeowners through four programs. 19 One program involves purchasing distressed loans through short sales, and then leasing the homes back to the homeowners, setting terms for future repurchase. Another program will acquire nonperforming loans and offer loan modifications to reduce outstanding principal. A third program will acquire nonperforming FHA-insured loans, while a fourth program will also offer a short-sale lease option and a loan-modification program in which nonperforming loans will be acquired from lenders and modified so homeowners can remain in their homes with affordable payments. All of these programs target nonperforming underwater borrowers. Many critics of Richmond’s program point out that the city’s problems would best be resolved federally. This seems to be the one point that Richmond officials, MRP, and eminent domain critics agree on. So far, however, federal (and other) solutions have been less than needed for these communities to turn the corner for recovery. And while changes are set to occur, until places like Richmond do begin to turn that corner, they will likely press to use the best tools they have to deal with the lingering effects of the foreclosure crisis. Using Eminent Domain to Assist Underwater Homeowners 15 References Burnaman, Phillip R. 2013. “Reply declaration of Phillip R. Burnaman, II,” in Wells Fargo Bank, National Association, as Trustee, Et Al. v. City of Richmond, California and Mortgage Resolution Partners LLC, Aug. www.ropesgray.com/news-and-insights/news/2013/08/~/media/Files/articles/domain/ReplyDeclaration-of-Phillip-R-Burnaman-ii.ashx. Choi, Laura. 2013. “Housing Market Recovery in the 12th District: Implications for Low- and Moderate-Income Communities.” San Francisco, CA: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. www.frbsf.org/communitydevelopment/publications/community-development-research-briefs/2013/august/housing-marketrecovery-impact-low-moderate-income/. Deutsch, Tom. 2008. “Statement of Tom Deutsch, Deputy Executive Director, American Securitization Forum before the Committee on Financial Services, US House of Representatives.” Hearing on Private Sector Cooperation with Mortgage Modifications – Ensuring that Investors, Servicers and Lenders Provide Real Help for Troubled Homeowners, November 12. http://archives.financialservices.house.gov/hearing110/deutsch_-_asf.pdf. Goodman, Laurie, Ashworth, R., Landy, B., and Yang, L. 2012. “Creative Uses of Eminent Domain – Implications for PLS Trusts,” Amherst Mortgage Insight, Amherst Securities Group, June 28. Lindsay, William. 2013. “Declaration of William Lindsay in support of opposition to preliminary injunction,” in Wells Fargo Bank, National Association, as Trustee, et al. v. City of Richmond, California and Mortgage Resolution Partners LLC, September 13. http://issuu.com/fitzthereporter/docs/complaint_august_7__2013/1?e=6767291/4716981 McCoy, Patricia A. 2010. “Barriers to Federal Home Mortgage Modification Efforts during the Financial Crisis.” Paper presented at Moving Forward: The Future of Consumer Credit and Mortgage Finance, Harvard Business School, Boston, Feb 18–19. http://www.jchs.harvard.edu/sites/jchs.harvard.edu/files/mf10-6.pdf Office of the Special Inspector General for the Troubled Asset Relief Program (SIGTARP). 2013. Quarterly Report to Congress, July 24, 2013. Washington, DC: SIGTARP. www.sigtarp.gov/Quarterly%20Reports/July_24_2013_Report_to_Congress.pdf. Pollard, Alfred M. 2013. “Summary of Comments and Additional Analysis Regarding Input on Use of Eminent Domain to Restructure Mortgages.” General Counsel Memorandum of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), August 7. Washington, DC: FHFA. www.fhfa.gov/webfiles/25418/GCMemorandumEminentDomain.pdf. 16 Housing Finance Policy Center Notes An underwater mortgage is one in which the unpaid balance of the loan is larger than the home’s current assessed market value. 2 Robert Hockett of Cornell University School of Law, Lauren Willis of Loyola University, and Howell Jackson of Harvard University Law School. 3 Pacific Investment Management Co., Blackrock, DoubleLine Capital, and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. 4 Federal Housing Finance Agency, “FHFA Statement on Eminent Domain,” FHFA press release, August 8, 2013, www.fhfa.gov/webfiles/25419/FHFAStmtEminentDomain080813.pdf. 5 “RealtyTrac Housing MRI Identifies Markets Leading and Lagging Housing Recovery,” Foreclosure Market Report, RealtyTrac, August 19, 2013, www.realtytrac.com/content/press-releases/realtytrac-housing-market-recovery-index-identifiesmarkets-leading-and-lagging-the-housing-recovery--7839. 6 http://www.bls.gov/data/inflation_calculator.htm. 7 Joe Tyrell, “NJ Cities Mull Unusual Step to Help Offset Lower Home Values, High Mortgages,” NJ Spotlight, August 8, 2013, www.njspotlight.com/stories/13/08/07/nj-cities-consider-unusual-step-to-help-homeowners-with-lower-values-highmortgages. 8 Research suggests that a 2 percent housing vacancy rate and 5 percent rental vacancy rate represent rates at which home prices and rent prices rise about the same rate as overall consumer prices. At rates above these, prices and rents tend to decline, while at rates below, prices and rents tend to increase (Barry Bluestone, e-mail message to the author, June 25, 2011). 9 New Jersey, a judicial foreclosure state has the second-longest foreclosure timeline in the nation, behind New York. A backlog of foreclosures is likely responsible for a high proportion of foreclosures (RealtyTrac reports that 75 percent of new foreclosures in New Jersey are for loans originated between 2003 and 2008. If New Jersey had a nonjudicial foreclosure process, then it would likely have far fewer houses that are delinquent but not foreclosed on [Mike Schneider, “After a Backlog, Foreclosures Could be Slowing in New Jersey,” NJ Today, April 17, 2013, http://www.njtvonline.org/njtoday/video/after-abacklog-foreclosures-could-be-slowing-in-new-jersey/].) 10 Developed in 2010, this program is voluntary and requires the cooperation of all lien holders to work; it is only available to non-FHA borrowers who are underwater, current, meet credit standards, and can negotiate with their lenders to reduce the LTV to 97.75 percent. 11 Gavin Newsom, A letter from California Lieutenant Governor Gavin Newsom to US Attorney General Eric Holder and Department of Justice Acting Assistant Attorney General Joseph Wayland,” September 10, 2012, www.ltg.ca.gov/09102012_LTG_DOJ_LETTER.pdf. 12 Jim Christie, “Calpers Concerned about Richmond, Calif.’s Mortgage Plan,” Reuters, September 30, 2013, www.reuters.com/article/2013/09/30/richmond-eminentdomain-calpers-idUSL2N0HM2G920130930. 13Avril Smith, “SEIU Calls on PIMCO and Blackrock to Negotiate with Richmond over Underwater Mortgages,” SEIU press release, October 8, 2013, www.seiu.org/2013/10/seiu-calls-on-pimco-and-blackrock-to-negotiate-wit.php. 14 Travis Larson, “Treasury’s De-emphasis of Asset Purchases through TARP Disappoints, but Securitization Focus Is Welcomed,” SIFMA press release, November 12, 2008, www.sifma.org/news/news.aspx?id=8912. 15 Urban Institute Housing Finance Policy Center (HFPC), “Housing Finance at a Glance: A Monthly Chartbook,” October 2013, Washington, DC: The Urban Institute. 16 CoreLogic, “National Foreclosure Report,” April 2013, www.corelogic.com/research/foreclosure-report/nationalforeclosure-report-april-2013.pdf. 17 Urban Institute HFPC, 2013. 18 Sophie Quinton, "The Surprisingly Simple Solution to Underwater Mortgages,” National Journal, July 25, 2013, www.nationaljournal.com/next-economy/solutions-bank/the-surprisingly-simple-solution-to-underwater-mortgages-20130725. 19 Joe Nelson, “4 groups will offer aid with mortgages in San Bernardino County,” San Bernardino Sun, June 22, 2013, www.sbsun.com/general-news/20130623/4-groups-will-offer-aid-with-mortgages-in-san-bernardino-county. 1 Using Eminent Domain to Assist Underwater Homeowners 17