USC Marshall School of Business Master of Business for Veterans Spring 2015 FINANCIAL STRATEGY Instructor: Professor Julia Plotts Mobile: (310) 528-6291 Email: plotts@marshall.usc.edu Textbook (Same as Financial Management): Analysis for Financial Management, Robert C. Higgins, McGraw Hill, 10th edition Cases/Readings: Corporate Valuation and Market Multiples by Timothy A. Luehrman, HBS 206039 McKinsey Quarterly “What is value-based management?” An excerpt from Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies, August 1994, Timothy Koller. http://tinyurl.com/pc4f4ln Fundamental Enterprise Valuation: Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) Carliss Y. Baldwin HBS #801125, August 2000. A technical note that defines return on invested capital (ROIC). Spyder Active Sports – 2004 HBS 9-206-027 Introduction: The financial strategy sessions will involve applying tools of financial analysis and valuation methodologies to evaluate a competitive positioning, financial performance, and strategic alternatives. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis is a key building block for valuation. During our financial strategy sessions we will review time value of money fundamentals from financial management and will discuss enterprise (firm) valuation. Learning Objectives: • Understand and apply risk analysis tools. • Calculate and apply cost of capital. • Utilizing and interpreting financial data and applying valuation techniques to make decisions about courses of action for a firm. Valuing companies using various valuation models and assessing a firm’s business and competitive strategy and whether it is creating value for shareholders. • Discuss strategies for value creation including mergers and acquisitions. • Discuss valuation considerations for private companies. 1 Financial Strategy January 23, 2015 8:00am – 12:00pm Review Notes from Financial Management, Read Chapter 8 Risk Analysis Financial Management Review and Application of Key Concepts – Review topics from the financial management sessions (Prof. Callahan) including time value of money concepts and decision criteria used to determine project and investment acceptance. Risk Models and Cost of Capital - Discuss the risk and return tradeoff, and its implications to corporate finance and the opportunity cost of capital for corporations. Learning Objectives: • • • • To develop an understanding of how to measure a company’s cost of capital. Much of this session will focus on how to measure risk and how to incorporate that measurement into the cost of capital. Understand the definition of risk in finance. Understand the concept of diversification and the difference between systematic and unsystematic risk. Which type of risk matters to investors? Introduce the concept of the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and understand how it can be used along with discounted cash flow to value both an entire enterprise as well as individual projects. 2 Financial Strategy February 7, 2015 8:00am – 12:00pm Read online book excerpt from McKinsey Quarterly, “What is value-based management?” An excerpt from Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies, August 1994, Timothy Koller. http://tinyurl.com/pc4f4ln The thinking behind VBM is simple. The value of a company is determined by its discounted future cash flows. Value is created only when companies invest capital at returns that exceed the cost of that capital. VBM extends these concepts by focusing on how companies and organizations use them to make both major strategic and everyday operating decisions. Properly executed, it is an approach to management that aligns a company's overall aspirations, analytical techniques, and management processes to focus management decision-making on the key drivers of value. Read Fundamental Enterprise Valuation: Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) Carliss Y. Baldwin HBS #801125, August 2000. This reading is defines return on invested capital (ROIC). Read Corporate Valuation and Market Multiples by Timothy A. Luehrman, HBS 206039 This reading provides a basic introduction to the use of market multiples for business valuation. Learning Objectives: During the session we will discuss the approach of applying Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis and Market Approach (comps) for company/firm valuation. Discussion Questions: • Which key assumptions have the most impact on firm valuation: free cash flow forecast, continuing value (terminal value), discount rate (WACC)? What, if anything, might be done to mitigate the risk or uncertainty in valuation? • Discuss the challenges in identifying “comparable” publicly traded companies and past merger and acquisition transactions for determining implied value of a company. 3 Financial Strategy February 21, 2015 8:00am – 12:00pm Quiz: There will be a short comprehensive multiple choice/short answer quiz on the financial management and financial strategy sessions. Read the case: Spyder Active Sports 2004 David Jacobs founded a high-end ski apparel company in 1978. He successfully built and grew the company, establishing a major international brand that appealed to ski racers and other active skiers. In 1995, he sought external financing to support further growth of the company and structured a financial deal with CHB Capital Partners, a private equity firm in Denver. By 2004, Jacobs was ready to consider alternative types of equity transactions that would provide a source of liquidity to him and his family, including sale of Spyder to another apparel company and sale of a large block of stock to a private equity firm. Learning Objectives: • Consider an expansion/high-growth phase company’s strategic alternatives and an owner’s consideration of timing of “exit” options. • Discuss valuation issues of a privately owned company and market timing. Discussion Questions: • Identify the different “exit” options that are feasible for Spyder in 2004, and analyze the benefits and costs of each alternative. Is this a good time to sell the business? Consider the interests and needs of the owner(s), the current state and future prospects of the company, and the current state of the financial markets. • Perform a valuation of Spyder utilizing the discounted free cash flow method and other value metrics such as the market approach/comps method. Spyder is not publicly-traded on a stock exchange, but we can still apply the market approach to estimate the company’s implied value. Evaluate the financial data provided for Spyder and also the comparable publicly-traded company price multiples and comparable past merger and acquisition price multiples. • Compare the alternative transactions described on the last page of the case. Which one would you choose if you were: 1) David Jacobs; 2) a general partner in CHB; 3) Shimokubo? 4