1 Problem Set 1- Answers 1.1 Question 1 Derive the saving-investment identity, with government and foreign sector. According to the income-expenditure approach, the total product equals the expenditures in consumption, investment, government expenditures and net exports: Y = C + I + G + NX Let’s now compute national savings. First, consider the private savings. Private savings consist of private disposable income minus consumption. The private disposable income corresponds to the income available to be used to consume or to save. It is computed by total income minus taxes(T) plus tranfers from the government (TR), plus interest payments made by the government (return from government bonds, INT), plus net factor payments from abroad (NFP). Therefore, private savings can be expressed in the following equation: Sprivt = (Y + NF P − T + T R + INT ) − C Next, we have to compute the government savings, which corresponds to the government budget surplus. Basically, it consists of government revenues minus government expenditures and payments made to the public. This is expressed in the equation below: Sgovt = (T − T R − INT ) − G National savings are the sum of private savings and government savings: S = Sprivt + Sgovt S = (Y + NF P − T + T R + INT ) − C + (T − T R − INT ) − G Cancelling the terms involving (T − T R − INT ), we get: S = Y + NF P − C − G 1 By the first expression, for the GDP, we can substitute Y: S = C + I + G + NX + NF P − C − G = I + (NX + NF P ) The sum of the net factor payments from abroad and the net exports is called current account (CA) which allows us to rewrite the expression above as: S = I + CA Therefore, national savings can be used to invest or to lend to foreigners. Using the data from Table 5.1for year 2004 (in billions of dollars), we obtain the following values: Gross saving (S)= 1572 Gross private saving =1755.3 Gross government saving =-183.2 Gross domestic investment (I)= 2300.6 Capital account transactions (net)\1\ (NFP)= 1.6 Net lending or net borrowing (-), NIPAs\2\ (NX) =-653.4 Balance of Current Account= -651.8 I+CA= 1648.8 Statistical discrepancy(I+CA-S) =76.8 1.2 Question 2 Information provided in the problem: There are 2 periods: current and future. Initially, the consumer receives an income Yc = Yf = 50, 000 in both periods. The real interest rate equals 10%. Also, she wants to save in the current period so as to be able to make a tuition payment in the future equal to 12,600. Another important information is that the consumer wants to smooth consumption, which is in accordance with the life-cycle model, which means that she wants to consume the same amount in both periods: Cc = Cf = C. Finally, she does not want to have any debt/asset at the end of the future period. (a) Under these conditions just described, you are asked to calculate the amount the consumer wants to consume and to save. Using the information above, we know that in the first period, the consumer will use her income to consume and to save, what can be expressed by: 2 Cc + Sc = Yc Note that the consumer has only the income Yc at her disposal since she has no wealth in the current period. In the future period, the consumer receives an income Yf ,also receives the interest payment of her savings in the previous periods and since she wants to end this period without any asset, she will consume all her savings. But she also has to make her tuition payment.As a result, we can write: Cf + tuition = Yf + (1 + r)Sc Now, using the information that the consumer wants to consume the same amount in both periods we can rewrite the expressions above: C + Sc = Yc → Sc = Yc − C C + tuition = Yf + (1 + r)Sc Substituting Sc in the second expression, we get: C + tuition = Yf + (1 + r)(Yc − C) C + tuition = Yf + (1 + r)Yc − (1 + r)C (2 + r)C = Yf + (1 + r)Yc − tuition This is a general expression that helps to solve the other items in the problem. For this first item though, remember that: Yf = Yc = Y what simplifies the last expression: (2 + r)C = (2 + r)Y − tuition Isolating consumption: 3 C=Y − tuition (2 + r) Substituting the values given: C = 50, 000 − 12, 600 = 44, 000 (2.1) Since: Sc = Yc − C = 6, 000 is the amount she will save. (b)Now, suppose that Yc = 54, 200. From the expression derived above: (2 + r)C = Yf + (1 + r)Yc − tuition So, the difference now is that the incomes are not equal in both periods. In this case, we can isolate C and substitute the numerical values. C= C= Yf + (1 + r)Yc − tuition (2 + r) 50, 000 + (1.1)(54, 200) − 12, 600 = 46, 200 (2.1) Sc = Yc − C = 54, 200 − 46, 200 = 8, 000 (c) Now, consider if Yf = 54, 200. Using the expression used above: C= Yf + (1 + r)Yc − tuition 54, 200 + (1.1)(50, 000) − 12, 600 = = 46, 000 (2 + r) 2.1 Sc = Yc − C = 50, 000 − 46, 000 = 4, 000 4 (d) Now, consider the consumer receives some wealth in the current period. Then, her budget constraint in the current period becomes: C + Sc = Yc + Wc Note that this is equivalent to increasing the current income by this amount. So, we can consider that Yc is now equal to 51,050. C= 50, 000 + (1.1)(51, 050) − 12, 600 = 44, 550 (2.1) Sc = Wc + Yc − C = 51, 050 − 44, 550 = 6, 500 (e) Suppose now that the tuition payment is increased to 14,700. Since the incomes are equal (we are back to the initial situation, item a), we can use the following expression to calculate the consumption: C=Y − 14, 700 tuition = 50, 000 − = 43, 000 (2 + r) 2.1 Sc = 7, 000 (f) Now, assume that r=0.25. Using the same expression as in the previous item, we get that: C=Y − 12, 600 tuition = 50, 000 − = 50, 000 − 5, 600 = 44, 400 (2 + r) 2.25 Sc = 5, 600 1.3 Question 3 Situation described: you are moving to a new city. You have to make a decision whether to buy a house or to rent one. House value=ph =200,000 nominal interest rate = 0.10 per year (mortgage or saving) mortgage= tax deductible 5 saving= not tax deductible , t=30% bracket. expected inflation= 0.05. cost of maintaining house= 0.06(value of the house) (a) The expected after-tax interest rate on the home mortgage can be calculated in two different ways. First, we can think of it as being the opportunity cost of not saving. In this way, if you had decided not to buy the house and instead save the money, you would earn the nominal interest i=0.1, discounted by the tax: (1-t)i. Discounting the inflaton during the period, the after-tax real interest rate = (1 − t)i − π. Alternatively, if you decide to buy the house, you have to pay the mortgage, which corresponds to i*(value of the house). You also have to pay taxes, at a rate of 30%. But the mortgage payments are tax deductible, which means that you can discount from your tax payments the amount corresponding to this payment: t(i ∗ ph ). As a results, what you are paying for your mortgage after tax considerations is [(1 − t)i]ph . So, the nominal after-tax mortgage rate is (1 − t)i. Discounting the inflation gives us:(1 − t)i − π. ra−t = (0.7)(0.1) − 0.05 = 0.02 = 2% (b) The user cost of capital is given by: uc = (ra−t + d)ph = (0.02 + 0.06)(200, 000) = 16, 000 (c) If your only concern is to minimize the living cost of each period, so that you are indifferent between buying or renting a house, you will need to be paying the same amount of rent as you would be if you had bought the house. Then,your rent level will correspond to the sum of the mortgage payment and the maintanance expenditures, which is what you spend in the period if you buy the house. Note that this is exactly the value of the user cost just derived above. 6