Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 1 Chapter 3 Financial Statement Analysis Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 2 Learning Objectives At the end of this chapter, you should be able to: Explain the purpose and importance of financial analysis Calculate and use a comprehensive set of measurements to evaluate a firm’s performance Describe the limitations of financial ratio analysis Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 3 Introduction Knowledge of financial statements and the techniques in analysing financial statements is desirable towards enabling one to make optimal financial decisions that can have future impact on the actions and direction of a firm. However, some form of restatement, computations and analysis may be required before information may be obtained from the financial statements. Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 4 Financial Analysis and Financial Ratios Financial analysis is the use of financial statements to analyse a firm’s financial position and its performance. Questions: Does a firm have the resources to succeed and grow? Does it have adequate resources to invest in new projects? What are its sources of profitability? Did the earnings of the firm meet its forecast earnings? What are the sources of a firm’s future earnings power? Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 5 Financial Ratios Financial ratio analysis employs relative rather than absolute concepts. Financial ratios help readers to identify the financial strengths and weaknesses of a firm. Financial ratios are classified into: - Profitability ratios - Liquidity ratios - Leverage ratios - Efficiency ratios - Market ratios Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 6 ABC Bhd Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 7 ABC Bhd (cont.) Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 8 Profitability Ratios Analyses the ability of management to generate adequate profits from use of firm’s capital and assets. Gross profit margin Operating profit margin Net profit margin (before or after tax) Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 9 Profitability Ratios (cont.) Gross profit Gross profit margin = Revenue Gross profit margin measures how much a firm earns from its revenue less the cost of goods sold Gross profit margin = 911,000 100% 100% = 26.85% 3,393,000 For every RM1 of revenue earned by the firm, its cost of sales amounts to RM0.7315. ABC Bhd has earned sufficient revenue to more than cover the cost of sales, hence the positive gross profit margin, i.e. RM0.2685 of gross profits for every RM1 of revenue made by firm. Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 10 Profitability Ratios (cont.) Operating profit margin = Operating income Revenue 100% Operating income = Revenue – Cost of goods sold – Selling, general and administrative expenses – Depreciation 272,000 100% = 8.02% Operating profit margin = 3,393,000 For every RM1 of revenue earned by the firm, the revenue is enough to cover up to RM0.9198 of the firm’s total operating expenses. Management has been able to manage the forces that influence the amount of operating income that a firm earns. Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 11 Profitability Ratios (cont.) Net profit margin = Profit before tax Revenue Net profit margin = Net profit margin = 245,000 100% = 7.22% 3,393,000 or Profit after tax Revenue Net profit margin = Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 171,000 3,393,000 100% 100% 100% = 5.04% All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 12 Liquidity Ratios Measures the extent to which a firm has adequate cash flows or liquid assets to meet the short-term liabilities of the firm: - Current ratio - Acid Test Ratio (Quick Ratio) - Stock Turnover Ratio - Debtors Turnover Ratio - Creditors Turnover Ratio Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 13 Current Ratio and Acid Test Ratio (Quick Ratio) Current assets Current liabilities Current ratio = This ratio indicates the extent of a firm’s liquidity, as measured by the firm’s liquid assets (current assets) relative to its liquid liabilities (current liabilities). Acid test ratio = Current assets-stock Current liabilities A more stringent version of liquidity ratio Acid test ratio measures the ratio of current assets (less stock) to current liabilities. Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 14 Current Ratio and Acid Test Ratio (Quick Ratio) (cont.) Current ratio = Acid test ratio = Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 1,182,000 736,000 = 1.61 times 1,182,000 - 435,000 736,000 = 1.01 times All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 15 Stock Turnover Ratio Stock turnover ratio = Stock turnover ratio = Cost of goods sold stocks 2,483,000 = 5.7 times 435,000 Stocks = 365 days Stock turnover days = Cost of goods sold 435,000 X 365 = 63.97 days 2,482,000 Stock turnover days = Indicates the relative liquidity of stocks in a firm Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 16 Debtors Turnover Ratio Indicates how long it takes for a firm to collect its receivables Credit sales Debtors turnover ratio = Trade debtors Debtors turnover ratio = 3,393,000 = 7.7 times 441,000 Debtors turnover days = Trade debtors X 365 days Credit sales Debtors turnover days = Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 441,000 = 47.44 days X 365 3,393,000 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 17 Creditors Turnover Ratio Indication of the extent of how quick the cash outflows are in a firm Credit purchases Creditors turnover ratio = Trade creditors 2,482,000 Creditors turnover ratio = Trade creditors Creditors turnover days = Credit purchases Creditors turnover days = Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 321,000 321,000 2,482,000 = 7.7 times X 365 days X 365 = 47.20 days All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 18 Leverage Ratios Investigate how a firm is being financed and provide indicators as to the extent a firm is able to meet the interest payments Questions: What is the relative ratio between the use of debt versus equity to finance a firm’s assets? Has the firm used too much debt? Is the firm earning sufficiently to meet the interest liabilities? Debt ratio Interest cover ratio Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 19 Debt Ratio Debt ratio = Trade liabilities Total assets 883,000 + 736,000 Debt ratio = = 0.5617 or 56.17% 1,700,000 + 1,182,000 Indicates that slightly more than 50% of the firm’s total assets is financed using debt (long and short term debt) Total long term borrowings Debt ratio = Total equity Debt ratio = 707,000 = 0.5598 or 55.98% 1,263,000 Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 20 Interest Cover Ratio Earnings before interest and tax Interest expense Interest cover ratio = 320,000 Interest cover ratio = 75,000 = 4.3 times Firm has earnings before interest and tax that currently covers up to 4.3 times its existing interest expense. Firm may still be able to take on further borrowings Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 21 Efficiency Ratios Efficiency ratios measure the extent to which a firm is able to earn sufficient earnings and returns to its investors. Earnings per share (EPS) Return on capital employed (ROCE) Return on assets (RoA) Return on equity (RoE) Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 22 Earnings Per Share Earnings per share = Earnings attributable to ordinary shareholders X 100 cents Number of ordinary shares in issue 151,000 X 100 = 151 cents 100,000 Earnings per share = For every one ordinary share held by shareholders, ABC Bhd has earned 151 cents of income, which may be either distributed to ordinary shareholders as dividends or be kept in the firm as retained earnings, but still belong to the ordinary shareholders. Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 23 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) Return on capital employed = Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) X 100% Capital employed Where capital employed = Long term debt + Equity 320,000 Return on capital employed = X 100 = 16.24% 1,970,000 Assessment of the level of efficiency of the management of ABC Sdn Bhd: For every RM1 of funding provided to the management of ABC Bhd, the firm is able to earn a return of RM0.1624 annually on average. Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 24 Return on Assets (RoA) Return on assets = Profit after tax Total assets Total assets = Non current assets + Current assets X 100% 171,000 X 100 = 5.93% Return on assets = 2,882,000 Assessment of the level of efficiency of the management of ABC Sdn Bhd: For every RM1 of assets that is made available to the firm or that the firm invests in, the management of ABC Bhd is able to generate a return after tax of RM0.0593. Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 25 Return on Equity (RoE) Profit after tax X 100% Total shareholders' equity Return on equity = Return on ordinary equity = Earnings attributable to ordinary shareholders Total shareholders' equity-Preference shares X 100% Return on equity = 171,000 X 100% = 13.54% 1,263,000 Return on ordinary equity = 151,000 X 100% = 12.43% 1,263,000-48,000 Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 26 Market Ratios Market ratios are ratios that are based on the market price of a firm’s share Price earnings ratio (P/E) Market-to-book ratio Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 27 Price Earnings Ratio (P/E) Profit share Earnings per share P/E ratio = P/E ratio = 1350 151 = 8.94 ABC Bhd’s shares currently sell for 8.94 times its earnings. Generally, firms with high P/E ratios are generally taken as firms with bright future prospects. Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 28 Market-to-Book Ratio Profit per share Market-to-book ratio = Book value per share 1,263,000 - 48,000 = 12.15 100,000 Book value per share = 13.50 Market-to-book ratio = = 1.11 12.15 Market-to-book ratio compares the market price of a firm’s shares relative to the historical cost of the shares. Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 29 DuPont Analysis Using the ‘Decomposed Formula’ Basic formula is Return on assets = Profit after tax Sales X Sales Total assets Total assets Return on equity = (Return on assets) X Equity = Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 Profit tax Total assets Sales X X Sales Total assets Equity All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 30 Du Pont Analysis Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 31 Time Series Analysis Comparison between the firm’s current year ratios with the same ratios of the corresponding previous years Ascertain whether the firm’s situation has: 1. Improved 2. Worsened 3. Stayed the same between one year and the subsequent year(s). Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 32 Time Series Analysis (cont.) Suppose ABC Bhd’s current ratio for the last five years were as follows: Year Current ratio 2005 5.32 2006 3.20 2007 2.56 2008 1.98 2009 1.61 Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 33 Cross-sectional Analysis Comparisons between the firm’s results and the results of: a) Other firms in the same industry b) Other firms in other industries Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 34 Limitations of Ratios Difficulties in identifying suitable industry category to classify a firm—firm may be involved in many different activities (how to identify similar firms?) Effects of inflation ignore—can distort figures Accounting practices may differ between firms, complicating comparisons of results between firms Results may be distorted if there exist changes in accounting standards, resulting in changes in the presentation of financial results Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 35 Limitations of Ratios (cont.) Firms may experience seasonality in their performance. An industry average may not be the desired target or the norm, since industry averages represent averages that includes the results of both good and bad performing firms. Hence, one should seek to compare against the ‘best in the class’. Progress of firm needs to be set in the context of what other firms have done, and whether there exist exceptional or special circumstances or environmental or economic influences that impact firms’ performances. Financial Management © Oxford Fajar Sdn. Bhd. (008974-T) 2010 All Rights Reserved Ch. 3: 36