2/16/2016 3 Types of Unemployment Module 13: #1. Frictional Unemployment •“Temporarily unemployed” or being between jobs. •Individuals are qualified workers with transferable skills but they aren’t working. Examples: •High school or college graduates looking for jobs. •Individuals that were fired and are looking for a better job. You’re The Causes and Categories of Unemployment Learning objectives: • The three different types of unemployment, frictional, structural, cyclical, and their causes. • The factors that determine the natural rate of unemployment. Fired! 1 4 3 Types of Unemployment Seasonal Unemployment •This is a specific type of frictional unemployment which is due to time of year and the nature of the job. •These jobs will come back I. The Natural Rate of Unemployment There is still a level of unemployment even when jobs are plentiful. Even in the best of times, jobs are constantly being created and destroyed. Examples: •Professional Santa Clause Impersonators •Construction workers in Alaska This will make more sense if we know a little more about the various types of unemployment. 2 5 3 Types of Unemployment #2. Structural Unemployment A. Job Creation and Destruction The job market is constantly fluctuating. In Beaver Dam alone a handful of local businesses have opened in recent months or maybe closed. This is happens all over the country. There are three (3) different types of unemployment that describes how jobs are constantly being created and destroyed. 3 •Changes in the structure of the labor force make some skills obsolete. •Workers DO NOT have transferable skills and these jobs will never come back. •Workers must learn new skills to get a job. •The permanent loss of these jobs is called “creative destruction.” (Why?) Examples: •VCR repairmen •Carriage makers •Glass blowers 6 1 2/16/2016 3 Types of Unemployment 3 Types of Unemployment #3 Cyclical Unemployment Technological Unemployment •Type of structural unemployment where automation and machinery replace workers causing unemployment Examples: •Auto assemblers fired as robots take over production •Unemployment that results from economic downturns (recessions). •As demand for goods and services falls, demand for labor falls and workers are fired. Examples: •Steel workers laid off during recessions. •Restaurant owners fire waiters after months of poor sales due to recession. • Producers of Capital Goods (tractors) fire assemblers This sucks! 7 10 The Natural Rate of Unemployment Two of the of the three types of unemployment are unavoidable: •Frictional unemployment •Structural unemployment •Together they make up the natural rate of unemployment (NRU). We’re at full employment if we have only the natural rate of unemployment. Remember that the supply of labor (SL) comes from workers who wish to supply more labor at higher wages. The demand for labor (DL) comes from employers who wish to employ fewer workers at higher wages. •This is the normal amount of unemployment that we SHOULD have. •The number of jobs seekers equals the number of jobs vacancies. 11 W80 was the wage in the 1980s. The demand for timber workers was strong, droving the economies of many towns in Western states. Employment was L80. As this renewable resource was overexploited and species became endangered, more forests were protected and the demand for timber workers permanently decreased. At the old wage W80, the quantity of timber workers seeking to supply their labor (L80) exceeds the quantity of labor demanded (Ld). This difference is structural unemployment. Once the labor market adjusts to lower wage and lower employment, the structural unemployment is eliminated. However, if wages don’t adjust downward, what results? A SURPLUS OF WORKERS Frictional Employment + Structural Employment Natural Employment Natural rate of unemployment: the normal unemployment rate around which the actual unemployment rate fluctuates. 2 2/16/2016 The Natural Rate of Unemployment Full employment means NO Cyclical unemployment! Economists generally agree that an unemployment rate of around 4 to 6 % is full employment. 4-6% Unemployment = NRU Okun’s Law: When unemployment rises 1% above the natural rate, GDP falls by about 2% At the end of December 2014 the U.S. was at 5.6% Wisconsin was at 5.2% 13 What changes take place in the Natural Rate of Unemployment? 1. Changes in Labor Force Characteristics Older, more experienced, workers are more likely to be employed. As the U.S. workforce has gradually aged, this has contributed to a declining natural rate of unemployment. What changes take place in the Natural Rate of Unemployment? 2. Changes in Labor Market Institutions (con’t) Better technology in job search (on-line services) has lessened the time a worker is in between jobs, lessening the frictional unemployment. 3. Changes in Government Policies The government can offer subsidies to employers to employ workers who are currently unemployed. Programs to retrain workers with obsolete skills can also lessen the natural rate of unemployment. 2006 Practice FRQ 2. Changes in Labor Market Institutions The declining role of unions in the U.S. labor market has weakened their ability to raise wages and some of that structural unemployment has been reduced. Union membership presently stands at 11.1% 18 3