LONGEVITY | INCOME | VOLATILITY | ESTATE | INFLATION | TAXES BETTER RISK-ADJUSTED RETURNS: EXPLOITING THE ‘low BETA ANOMALY’ Market fluctuations are a fact of investing life. But high volatility tends to lead to poor investment decisions – more buying at market peaks and panic selling at market lows. Understanding the “Low Beta Anomaly” can help achieve better risk-adjusted returns. the low beta anomaly LOW-BETA STOCKS SHOW HIGHER RETURNS HISTORICALLY S&P 500 (SIMULATED) 1983-2013** • Traditionally, investors have expected higher returns from stocks with higher volatility relative to the market • However, research shows that low-beta stocks (those with lower volatility than the overall market) have outperformed high-beta stocks over time 10% 8% Beta is a measure of risk. It tells you how much a stock fluctuates in price relative to movements in the general market. The market has a beta of exactly 1. A beta less than 1 indicates that a stock is less volatile than the market. For example, a stock with a beta of 0.50 can be expected to fall (or rise) by only half the market change. Low-volatility stocks typically have low beta. Returns • This finding is called the “Low Beta Anomaly” 6% 4% Low-Beta Mid-Beta High-Beta 2% 0% SIMILAR RETURNS, LOWER RISK Given a choice between two funds with similar returns, most prudent investors who want to sleep better at night and resist the urge to make rash investment decisions would pick the one with lower volatility or lower risk. The efficiency of the risk/return trade-off can be measured by something called the Sharpe ratio.* The Sharpe ratio demonstrates that lowvolatility stocks offer a more effective risk/return balance over time. And this is not the result of those stocks being concentrated in certain industries. It occurs across most sectors. LOW-BETA STOCKS SHOW A MORE EFFECTIVE RISK/RETURN BALANCE ACROSS MOST SECTORS S&P 500 (SIMULATED) 1983-2013** Risk-adjusted Return Gauge (Sharpe Ratio) HIGH 1.0 Low-Beta Mid-Beta Financials Technology High-Beta 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 LOW Energy Materials Industrials Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Health Care Telecom Utilities * The Sharpe ratio is calculated by taking an investment’s excess annualized return (its return above the risk-free rate) and dividing by volatility (standard deviation). **Source: Standard & Poor’s. Portfolios formed each month based on predicted beta. Transaction costs not included. Hypothetical outcomes are for illustrative purposes only and are based on certain assumptions that could change without notice or prove to be incorrect. Different assumptions would produce different results. Hypothetical data is subject to risk, does not reflect actual investment results of any particular markets, product, or account, and cannot guarantee or assure future results. Dec. 31, 2013. FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY WHY DOES THE low BETA ANOMALY EXIST AND PERSIST? Behavioral biases: Low-beta stocks attract less attention from investors because they tend to be less exciting companies. But studies show that over time the market rewards stability and reasonable valuations. Benchmarking: Institutional investors have a short-term incentive to outperform benchmark indexes that include high-beta stocks. They are willing to pay up for high-beta stocks, leading to overvaluation and a performance lag in the long run. Leverage aversion: When pursuing higher equity returns, many investors use high-beta stocks as a substitute for leverage. The extra demand this creates causes high-beta stocks to become overvalued relative to low-beta stocks. why invest in a LOW VOLATILITY fund • Lower volatility reduces losses caused by downturns • Shorter recovery leads to higher compounded growth potential • Stocks with lower volatility can perform better over time compared to highvolatility stocks LOWER VOLATILITY REDUCES DOWNTURNS, RESULTING IN HIGHER COMPOUNDED GROWTH POTENTIAL $20,000 S&P 500 Total Return $18,000 US Low Volatility Fund (Simulated) $16,000 $14,000 $12,000 -8.5% $10,000 -4.5% $8,000 $6,000 $4,000 Dec-99 -50.0% -42.5% Dec-01 Dec-03 Dec-05 Dec-07 Dec-09 Dec-11 Dec-13 Source: Bloomberg, Dec. 31, 1999 to Dec. 31, 2013 Mackenzie US LOW VOLATILITY FUND: Actively selecting low-beta stocks for better risk-adjusted returns • Actively selects low-volatility stocks Mackenzie US Low Volatility Fund exploits the Low Beta Anomaly by actively selecting low-beta stocks. The managers use both quantitative and qualitative analysis to identify high-quality stocks that are historically less volatile than the market • Diversifies across all sectors The Fund diversifies to reduce risk by avoiding over concentration in certain sectors • Protects using an option strategy Buying puts reduces volatility by limiting downside risk, while selling calls helps to pay the cost of the puts • Manages currency risk The Fund aims to hedge 50% of its US exposure back to the Canadian dollar, which can reduce portfolio volatility* Get these insights working for you with Visit talkliveit.com * The Fund is permitted to hedge from 0% to 100% of its foreign currency exposure at the discretion of the manager. **For illustrative purposes only. Backtested performance is theoretical, is subject to risk, and cannot guarantee or assure future results. The backtest is based on certain assumptions that are based on the current view of Putnam Investments and could change without notice or prove to be incorrect. Different assumptions would produce different results. Performance results were prepared with the benefit of hindsight. For more information please refer to talkliveit.com 00401 ADVISOR USE ONLY. No portion of this communication may be reproduced or distributed to the public. Commissions, trailing commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with mutual fund investments. Please read the prospectus before investing. Mutual funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. LONGEVITY | INCOME | VOLATILITY | ESTATE | INFLATION | TAXES ABOUT THE MANAGERS Robert Schoen, MBA is Portfolio Manager of Mackenzie US Low Volatility Fund and CoHead of the Global Asset Allocation Team at Putnam Investments Adrian Chan, CFA is Portfolio Manager of Mackenzie US Low Volatility Fund and part of the Global Asset Allocation Team at Putnam Investments MF3953 10/14 Mackenzie US Low Volatility Fund