Broadband Access Evolution – FTTH Wolfgang Fischer © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 1 © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 2 • TV – broadcast, video on demand SDTV HDTV 3D-HDTV • 2nd Screen interactivity • Video / image up-/ download (YouTube & Co.) What kind of video? • Video-related cloud services • Video / image e-mail • Video surveillance • Gaming • Remote health-care via High-Definition Telepresence, ... • ... © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 3 • “Video” is more than just TV • Video related applications and services (“Visual Networking”) will determine access bitrate requirements • Need to support multiple video applications concurrently in a household • Content will become more and more “high definition” • Majority of applications require symmetrical access bitrates • Both sustainable bitrates for streaming video as well as high peak bitrates for transfer of large (video) files are required © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 5 High-end users’ connection speeds grow >50% YoY Mass market lags high-end by 2...3 years © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Source: Usage of Broadband Study, Ventura Cisco Confidential 6 BQS2010, Application Readiness Ready for Tomorrow Korea Japan Latvia Sweden Bulgaria Finland Romania Lithuania Netherlands Hong Kong Germany Portugal Denmark Iceland 52% 34% 3% 13% 5% 4% 2% 22% 3% 34% < 1% 2% 8% 8% Majority of these Comfortably countriesenjoying already Today’s applications have substantial Switzerland FTTH household United States penetration Czech Republic Hungary Belgium France Slovakia Norway Estonia Luxembourg Austria Singapore Poland Slovenia Russian Federation United Kingdom Greece Ukraine Canada Meeting needs of Today’s applications Taiwan Spain Australia Ireland Malta New Zealand Italy Turkey Chile Israel Ghana Thailand Saudi Arabia Cyprus Brazil Below Today’s Application Threshold United Arab Emirates Qatar China Argentina Bahrain Mexico Tunisia Costa Rica South Africa Malaysia Pakistan India Morocco Colombia Philippines Indonesia Jordan Egypt Vietnam Sponsored by Basic Applications Algeria Peru Nigeria Kenya Angola Vertically integrated model Dark fiber model Bitstream open access model Multilayer open access model Services & Content Network (Backbone & Access) Physical Infrastructure (Dark Fiber) Requires open access to fibers © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 8 Where do you want this installed Madam? Super Fast Broadband © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 9 IP/MPLS Edge/core Ethernet/ MPLS Aggregation Network Access Network Shared Medium PE-AGG Access OLT Splitter, ... P2MP STB P2P STB © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 10 Technology Ethernet TDM-PON (GPON, EPON, DPON, XG-PON, 10GEPON) Topology P2P Ethernet P2P PON P2P P2MP Active Ethernet PON P2MP Dedicated medium Shared medium © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 11 Point-to-point Point-to-multipoint Bitrate potential Virtually unlimited Limited by characteristics of aggregation point Technology dependence None Limited to few classes of access technologies Technology upgrade Per subscriber Per aggregation point Open access to fiber Straightforward Complex / impossible Troubleshooting Simple – OTDR Complex – failure correlation Number of feeder fibers One fiber per subscriber One fiber per aggregation point Dimension of fiber management One port per subscriber One port per aggregation point © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 12 Ethernet PON Scalability 100Mbit/s ... 10Gbit/s ... 2.5 ... 10Gbit/s Bitrate sharing Dedicated bitrate Shared bitrate Security High through dedicated medium Requires encryption, vulnerable to DoS attacks Upstream traffic management Highly sophisticated through switch matrix Limited by capabilities of MAC protocol Interoperability OLT-CPE Easy because of ubiquitous technology Still challenging Per subscriber CO power consumption Well defined low value Depends on take rate (<2W), independent of take from very high to low rate CPE power consumption Low CO real estate usage 1600 homes connected per Depends on take rate rack from very high to very low © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. ≈1W higher than Ethernet Cisco Confidential 13 EU Global Ranking - June 2010 25% Ethernet FTTH Countries 20% FTTH 15% FTTB 10% 5% 0% © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Source: IDATE for FTTH Council Europe Cisco Confidential 14 © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 15 Understand your options for the deployment of fiber in various topologies • Which business models do you plan to implement today? • Which business models do you plan to implement in 20 years from now? • Are restrictions for the deployment of certain topologies based on serious analysis of the existing infrastructure (e.g., ducts), conservative assumptions, or driven by considerations to enable / prevent certain business models? If your access infrastructure needs to be flexible, business model and technology agnostic, then deploy point-to-point fiber © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 16 Understand your options for the technologies to be used over the fiber topology • Which peak bitrates will your customers require over the lifetime of the technology (e.g., 5 years) which you deploy today? • Do you want to differentiate technologies between low-tier and high-tier residentials, SMEs, enterprises? • Can you distinguish locations of these different types of customers? • Is a unified approach simpler and cheaper in the end? • Do you want to be on par with the most successful FTTH deployments in Europe? If your technology choice needs to be equally suited for all types of customers, be highly scalable, mature, secure, then deploy Ethernet © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 18 • Video-related applications and services continue to drive exponential access bitrate growth • Applications increasingly require ultra-high-speed symmetrical connectivity • A new fiber plant is the most valuable asset. Make it as future- proof as you can. • Ethernet is the clear choice of virtually all major FTTH deployments in Europe © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 19 © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 20