The 13th International Workshop on
Meta-Synthesis and Complex Systems
As One Special Session at
The 2013 IEEE International Conference on
Systems, Man, and Cybernetics
(IEEE SMC 2013)
Manchester, UK
October 15, 2013
Program and Abstracts
Organized by
Institute of Systems Science, Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science
Chinese Academy of Sciences, P.R.China
Series of International Workshops on Meta-synthesis and
Complex Systems
MCS’2001, Beijing, September 21-23, 2001
MCS’2002, Shanghai, August 7-8, 2002
MCS’2003, Guangzhou, November 29- December 1, 2003
MCS’2004, Beijing, July 21-23, 2004
MCS’2005, Kobe, November 15-16, 2005
MCS’2006, Beijing, September 22-24, 2006
MCS’2007, Beijing, May 27-30, 2007
MCS’2008, Singapore, October 12-15, 2008
MCS’2009, Chengdu, June 21-22, 2009
MCS’2010, Toronto, August 31, 2010
MCS’2011, Lanzhou, September 7-9, 2011
MCS’2012, Macau, December 4, 2012
MCS’2013, Manchester, October 15, 2013
Welcome to MCS’2013
Activated by the regular exchanges on complex system modeling mainly
between Japanese and Chinese systems scholars since 1990s as well as a
NSFC-sponsored major project on meta-synthesis system research
(1999-2003) in China, the international workshop on meta-synthesis and
complex system becomes an annual event since the first Sino-Japan
Workshop on Meta-synthesis and Complex Systems was held in Beijing
in September of 2001. After successful MCS2002 (Shanghai, together
with KSS2002), MCS2003 (Guangzhou, jointly held with KSS2003),
MCS2004 (Beijing), MCS2005 (Kobe, one workshop of IFSR2005),
MCS2006 (Beijing, together with KSS2006), MCS2007 (Beijing, one
workshop of ICCS2007), MCS2008 (Singapore, a special track at IEEE
SMC2008), MCS2009 (Chengdu, a workshop at MCDM2009),
MCS2010 (Toronto, a workshop at IEEE/WIC/ACM Web Intelligence
2010), MCS2011 (Lanzhou, a workshop at Brain Informatics 2011) and
MCS2012 (Macau, a workshop at Active Media Technology 2012), the
community of MCS expand with those bigger conferences under different themes, which also help to disseminate ideas of meta-synthesis system approach proposed in 1990 to tackle with open complex giant system problems by Chinese system scientist Qian Xuesen (1911-2009) and
his colleagues. MCS organizers also set up an on-line conferencing ba
(OLCB) with the url http://meta-synthesis.iss.ac.cn/mcsolcb/ to keep
track all published papers, presentation materials (both audio and slides)
at each MCS since 2007 as a portal of the MCS workshops and the MCS
community.
This year, MCS workshop joins the 2013 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics (IEEE SMC 2013) to continuously provide opportunities for those researchers who are interested
in systems sciences, complex problem solving and advanced modeling,
knowledge-oriented technology and integration, decision sciences and
advanced support technologies, etc.. Under the context of IEEE SMC
2013 with the theme “Cyber Systems Enabling Knowledge Integration:
the Smart Response to Emerging Societal Challenges”, MCS’2013 aims
to facilitate distributing new ideas and latest research results on effective
concepts, methodologies and advanced tools to tackle the wicked problems on social, economic and environmental developments and exploring next-generation knowledge intensive tools for complex system modeling and human decision making.
The organizers of IEEE SMC 2013 are greatly appreciated for their
collaborative helps. Till the deadline of IEEE SMC 2013, MCS workshop got 17 submissions from Argentina, Ireland, Japan, USA and China
while 10 of them were accepted after a serious and high quality review
process. One paper was even reviewed by 5 peers within a very tight
schedule! The referees came from 5 countries: France, Ireland, Japan,
USA and China. The topics of those accepted papers cover Complex
system modeling and complexity; Computing methods for uncertainty
modeling; Consensus methods and technologies, e.g. voter model,
MCDM, etc.; Decision support systems; Knowledge creation, creativity
support, awareness support, etc.; Knowledge discovery: data mining,
text mining and web intelligence tools; Knowledge systems engineering
and knowledge management; Meta-synthetic system modeling and advanced environment, e.g. crisis & emergency management, socioeconomic system, service system, etc.; Problem structuring methods and
system methodologies; Social dynamic network modeling and opinion
dynamics, etc.. We are looking forward to an active event for knowledge
sharing and idea generation in Manchester during October 13-16, 2013.
More advices and comments are always expected at MCS OLCB.
More about meta-synthesis
Originally proposed in 1990 by the famous Chinese system scientist
Qian Xuesen (1911-2009) towards open complex giant systems, meta-synthesis approach emphasizes to make full use of cutting-edge information technologies and aims to achieve knowledge creation and
wisdom emergence along human-machine collaborative complex problem solving process.
Intensive research has been engaged into meta-synthesis approach to
complex system modeling with an interdisciplinary view together with
more practice in both reality and the designed scenarios. In recent years,
computational approaches have been greatly enhanced to explore
knowledge-related technologies to mine more hidden patterns, tacit
meanings from humans, which thus bring out many new foci on diverse
topics. Along with the development of big data, it brings a new and interesting vision of meta-synthesis. As new wicked problems, e.g. emergency management and terrorism, bring more troubles to the current
world, similar systems thinking like meta-synthesis have been of further
exploration, such as the advanced concept group in Sandia National Laboratories. It is expected that the qualitative-to-quantitative meta-synthesis system approach will be of more solid foundations and wide
applications. MCS workshop aims to facilitate idea generation,
knowledge sharing and scientific collaboration among those endeavors.
Y. Nakamori, X. J. Tang and X. J. Zhou
October, 2013
CONTENTS
MCS’2013 INFORMATION .............................................1
PROGRAM COMMITTEE ................................................2
ORGANIZING COMMITTEE ..........................................4
MCS’2013 SCHEDULE.....................................................5
WIC’2013 FEATURES ......................................................7
MCS’2013 SESSION I .......................................................9
MCS’2013 SESSION II....................................................16
CONFERENCE MINING ................................................21
The 13th International Workshop on Meta-synthesis and Complex Systems
Manchester, UK, Oct 15, 2013
MCS’2013 INFORMATION
Organized by
Institute of Systems Science, Academy of Mathematics and Systems
Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Co-organized by
Beijing Institute of Information and Control
Japan Advanced Institute of Science and Technology
Shanghai Academy of Systems Science
Systems Engineering Society of China
IEEE SMC Beijing Chapter
Sponsored by
National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No.
2010CB731405)
Natural Sciences Foundation of China (Grant No. 71171187)
Conference venue
Midland Hotel, Manchester, UK
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PROGRAM COMMITTEE
Honorable Chairs
Gu, Jifa (Institute of Systems Science, AMSS, Chinese Academy of
Sciences, China)
Wang, Huanchen (Shanghai Jiaotong University, China)
Yu, Jingyuan (Beijing Institute of Information and Control, China)
Acting Chairs
Nakamori Yoshiteru (Japan Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Japan)
Tang, Xinjin (CAS Academy of Mathematics & Systems Science,
China)
Zhou, Xiaoji (Beijing Institute of Information and Control, China)
Members
Alidaee, Bahram (University of Mississippi, USA)
Bai, Guohua (Blekinge Institute of Technology, Sweden)
Bai, Quan (Auckland University of Technology, New Zealand)
Brugha, Cathal M. (University College Dublin, Ireland)
Chen, Jian (Tsinghua University, China)
Di, Zengru (Beijing Normal University, China)
Fang, Yong (CAS Academy of Mathematics & Systems Science,
China)
Galam, Serge (CNRS, France)
He, Jing (Victoria University, Australia)
Kijima, Kyoichi (Tokyo Institute of Technology, Japan)
Kochenberger, Gary A. (University of Colorado at Denver, USA)
Liu, Yijun (CAS Institute of Policy and Management, China)
Midgley, Gerald (University of Hull, UK)
Makowski, Marek (International Institute for Applied System Analysis, Austria)
Ohsawa, Yukio (University of Tokyo, Japan)
Rong, Lili (Dalian University of Technology, China)
Ryoke, Mina (University of Tsukuba, Japan)
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Shen, Huizhang (Shanghai Jiaotong University, China)
Wallner, Fritz (University of Vienna, Austria)
Wang, Dahui (Beijing Normal University, China)
Wang, Haibo (Texas A&M International University, USA)
Wang, Xianjia (Wuhan University, China))
Wei, Cuiping (Qufu Normal University, China)
Wei, Yiming (Beijing Institute of Technology, China)
Xia, Haoxiang (Dalian University of Technology, China)
Yang, Jianmei (South China University of Technology, China)
Yoshida, Taketoshi (Japan Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Japan)
Zhang, Minjie (University of Wollongong, Australia)
Zhang, Ning (University of Shanghai for Science and Technology,
China)
Zhang, Pengzhu (Shanghai Jiaotong University, China)
Zhang, Wen (CAS Institute of Software, China)
Zeng, Yi (CAS Institute of Automation, China)
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ORGANIZING GROUP
Tang, Xijin (CAS Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science,
China)
Cao, Lina (CAS Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science,
China)
Chen, Jindong (CAS Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science,
China)
Hu, Yang (CAS Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science,
China)
Wang Chan (CAS Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science,
China)
Zhao, Yongliang (CAS Academy of Mathematics & Systems Science,
China)
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MCS’2013 SCHEDULE
Location: Room 11 (Derby), Midland Hotel, Manchester
Afternoon, 15 October, 2013
Session I: 12:30-14:00
Chair: Xijin TANG (CAS Academy of Mathematics & Systems Science, China)
12:30-12:45
Jian Zhou
Hall for Workshop of Meta-synthetic Engineering
for Complex Product Design
12:45-13:00
Yoshiteru
Nakamori
Knowledge Creation Systems for Regional Revitalization
13:00-13:15
Cathal
Brugha
A Meta-Systems for Conflict Resolution
13:15-13:30
Xijin Tang
Applying Search Words and BBS Posts to Societal Risk Perception and Harmonious Society
Measurement
13:30-13:45
Yijun Liu
The Evolution and Application of Network Analysis Methods
13:45-14:00
Lian Liu
Benefit Compensation of Construction Diversion
in Upstream Flood Discharge Control Based on
Improved Shapley Method
Session II: 16:00-17:20
Chair: Yoshiteru NAKAMORI (Japan Advanced Institute of Science
and Technology, Japan)
16:00-16:15
Jun Huang
A Computational Study of Feature Selection on
Customer Credit Evalustion
16:15-16:30
Ying Tan
Distribution of Node Characteristics in Transfractal Network Systems and Additive Scale Invariance
16:30-16:45
Juan He
The Decision of Price Risk of Portfolio in Inventory Financing
16:45-17:00
Zhiying Lv
A Consensus Model for Multiple-attribute Group
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Decision Making Problems Based on Interval
Fuzzy Number
17:00-17:20
Xijin Tang
Discussion and Closing Speech
Banquet (19:00-21:00)
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IEEE SMC 2013 FEATURES
Location: Midland Hotel, Manchester
Sunday, October 13, 2013
19:00-21:00 Reception
Monday, October 14, 2013
Location: Room S (Alexandra)
08:15-08:30 Opening Ceremony, Prof. Loi-Lei Lai (State Grid Energy
Research Institute, China)
08:30-09:30 Keynote A: Building Prognostic Models for Cancer from
Medical Images, Prof. Lawrence O. Hall, (University of South
Florida, USA)
10:00-11:00 Keynote B: Cyber-Physical and Biological Systems, The
Next Challenge, Prof. Radu Grosu (Vienna University of Technology, Austria)
Tuesday, October 15, 2013
Location: Room S (Alexandra)
08:30-09:30 Keynote C: Predict, Assist and Assess Human Movements,
Prof. Honghai Liu (University of Portsmouth, UK)
09:30-10:00 Coffee Break
Location: Room 11(Derby)
10:00-11:30 Panel: Are the fields of SMC mature enough for the challenges of the cyber world? Danial S.Yeung, Fabio Roli, Vlad Marik
(Czech Technical University, Czech Republic), Keith Hipel (University of Waterloo, Canada), A Min Tjoa (Vienna Technical University, Austria), Weiming Shen (National Research Council of
Canada and University of Western Ontario, Canada), Honghai Liu
(Portsmouth University, UK)
12:30-14:00 Session I: Meta-synthesis and Complex Systems
16:00-17:30 Session II: Meta-synthesis and Complex Systems
19:00-21:00 Banquet
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Wednesday, October 16, 2013
Location: Room S (Alexandra)
08:30-09:30 Keynote D: Changes in the Industrial Control Area, Prof.
Kenwood H. Hall (Vice president of Architecture and Systems Advanced Technology, Rockwell Automation)
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MCS’2013 S09-01
1. Hall for Workshop of Meta-synthetic Engineering for Complex
Product Design………………………………………………………..10
Jian Zhou (China), Fu Xiao (China), Yaoqin Zhu (China)
2. Knowledge Creation Systems for Regional Revitalization…..…..11
Yoshiteru Nakamori (Japan)
3. A Meta-System for Conflict Resolution…………………..………12
Cathal Brugha (Ireland)
4. Applying Search Words and BBS Posts to Societal Risk Perception and Harmonious Society Measurement………………..………13
Xijin Tang (China)
5. The Evolution and Application of Network Analysis Methods…14
Ruya Tian (China), Ning Ma (China), Qianqian Li (China), Yijun Liu
(China)
6. Benefit Compensation of Construction Diversion in Upstream
Flood Discharge Control Based on Improved Shapley Method ………………………………………………………………..15
Lian Liu (China), Lixiang Sun (China)
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1. Hall for Workshop of Meta-synthetic Engineering for Complex Product Design
Jian Zhou
Fu Xiao
College of Computer, Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications,
Nanjing China
Yaoqin Zhu
School of Computer Science and Technology, Nanjing University of Science
and Technology, Nanjing, China
Email: zhoujian@njupt.edu.cn
Abstract
How to improve the design efficiency of complex product with meta-synthesis is a valuable research problem. The research achievements
of complex product design based on meta-synthesis, which has been
made by the author’s research group, is summarized in this paper. First,
the process model and the general framework of complex product design
based on meta-synthesis are established. Then, the architecture and the
key technologies of HWME is presented, including group argumentation
and group decision, project management, 3-d visualization, model and
data management. Finally, a prototype system of HWME for complex
product design is developed.
Keywords: HWMSE, meta-synthetic, complex product design
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2. Knowledge Creation Systems for Regional Revitalization
Yashiteru Nakamori
School of Knowledge Science, Japan Advanced Institute of Science and
Technology, Nomi, Ishikawa, Japan
Email: nakamori@jaist.ac.jp
Abstract
This paper deals with some actual projects of regional revitalization;
here a regional revitalization project is a project to activate the local
economy, to enrich people’s lives, or to activate the feelings of the people, by new initiatives. The paper analyzes the agenda-setting in the project and approaches to achieving the task from the viewpoint of
knowledge creation and systems thinking. By reference to some
knowledge creation models and techniques developed mainly in the field
of management, this paper will propose a knowledge creation system for
regional revitalization, and then introduce some actual revitalization
projects considered by this knowledge creation system.
Keywords: Knowledge creation, systems thinking, emergence, regional
revitalization
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3. A Meta-System for Conflict Resolution
Cathal M.Brugha
School of Business, University College Dubin, Dubin, Ireland
Email: cathal.brugha@ucd.ie
Abstract
We use nomology, the science of the laws of the mind, which provides frameworks based on four embedded layers that explain how people come into conflict. The first is about our commitments, the second
our convictions, the third about how we would like to get other people to
adjust, and the fourth about how we ourselves are prepared to adjust.
The third and fourth layers shape numerous inter-connected dilemmas.
The person involved in a conflict resolution process should try to draw
the conflicted person out of ‘anger’ to ‘avoid more violence’, from
‘grief’ to ‘show respect’, from ‘fear’ to ‘improve conditions’, from
‘shock’ to ‘include all parties’, from feeling the sense of ‘atrocity’ to
‘encourage civil society’, from ‘retaliation’ to ‘consult/train/counsel’,
from ‘revenge’ to ‘bridge-building’, and from ‘bitterness’ to ‘truth and
reconciliation’. We illustrate with a discussion between two academics
about the treatment of Palestinian students by Israeli Defence Forces.
Key words: Decision making, nomology, structures, conflict, systems
thinking, consensus
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4. Applying Search Words and BBS Posts to Societal Risk Perception and Harmonious Society Measurement
Xijin Tang
CAS Academy of Mathematics & Systems Science, China
Email: xjtang@iss.ac.cn
Abstract
Current China is undergoing social transformation with economic
miracle and emerging big poor-rich gap. Mission to a Harmonious Society has been promoted by Chinese top leaders. This paper briefly outlines several indicators to evaluate the harmony society. As a variety of
Internet tools provides ways to record and disseminate fresh community
opinions conveniently, mining of those kinds of public opinions is expected. This paper discusses one approach to societal risk perception using hot search words and BBS posts, which aims to provide another access to societal risk perception different from those in traditional socio
psychology studies. Problems are also indicated.
Key words: Harmony society measures, BBS posts, Baidu hot search
words, societal risk perception
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5. The Evolution and Application of Network Analysis Methods
Ruya Tian, Ning Ma
University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences,
China
Qianqian Li, Yijun Liu
Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China
Email: tianruya@126.com
Abstract
Social network is a reflection of a social structure, composed of actors
and one or several kinds of their mutual ties. Social Network Analysis
(SNA), matured in 1970s, is a piece of art and technology quantitatively
analyzing social relations. Dynamic Network Analysis (DNA), proposed
in 2002, integrates Social Network Analysis, link prediction, multi-agent
simulation methods and technology, and its core is the information collection, data processing and relationship forecasts and so on. Supernetwork, proposed in the same year, refers to the above and beyond existing
network, which has characteristics as multi-layer, multi-level, multi-dimensional, multi-attribute, congestion, coordination. We have the
techniques, tools and indicators of the three network analysis methods
collated and summarized, and applied in opinion leader identification.
Key words: Social network analysis, dynamic network analysis, Supernetwork, opinion leader
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6. Benefit Compensation of Construction Diversion in Upstream Flood Discharge Control Based on Improved Shapley
Method
Lian Liu
State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China
Lixiang Sun
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Co., Lmt., Kunming, China
Email: amelielau@whu.edu.cn
Abstract
In the condition of cascade hydroelectric station construction, upstream control flood discharge can reduce the downstream construction
diversion risk, reduce project investment and shorten the period. In order
to effectively balance upper and lower risk, reasonably share the benefits,
considering the contribution of the earning profits, cooperation risks and
investment costs based on Shapley value method, this paper determines
the weight of each evaluation index by fuzzy mathematics theory. A
model for benefit compensation of construction diversion in upstream
flood discharge control, which can estimate quantitatively the compensation, was proposed. An illustrative example that Fengman diversion
system reconstruction controlled flood discharge by Baishan Hydropower Station is given to show the method, which objectively reflects
individual contributions, provides a feasible basis of realizing benefit
sharing and compensation between upstream and downstream power
stations.
Key words: Construction diversion, benefit compensation, Shapley value method, upstream flood discharge control
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MCS’2013 S09-02
1. A Computational Study for Feature Selection on Customer Credit
Evaluation………..……………………………………………………17
Jun Huang (USA), Haibo Wang (USA), Zhibin Xiong (China), Wei
Wang (USA)
2. Distribution of Node Characteristics in Transfractal Network
Systems and Additive Scale Invariance…………………………..…18
Ying Tan (China), Hong Luo (China) , Shouli Peng (China)
3. The Decision of Price Risk of Portfobio in Inventory Financing………………………..…………………………………………….19
Juan He (China), Jian Wang (China), Xianglin Jiang (China)
4. A Consensus Model for Multiple-attribute Group Decision Making Problems Based on Interval Fuzzy Number……...….…………20
Zhiying Lv (China), Tianmin Huang (China), Liwei Zheng (China),
Ying Liang (China)
5. Closing Speech
Xijin Tang (China)
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1. A Computational Study for Feature Selection on Customer
Credit Evaluation
Jun Huang
Haibo Wang
Wei Wang
AR Sanchez Jr. School of Business, Texas A&M International University, Laredo, USA
Zhibin Xiong
School of Mathematical Sciences, South China Normal Univeristy, Guang
zhou, China
Email: junhuang@dusty.tamiu.edu
Abstract
Customer credit evaluation is an important decision process in many
business areas. E-commerce and online banking bring new challenge
to evaluate the customer credit with time constrains and risk. This paper
will present a framework to build the decision tool on evaluating customer credit and compare different decision models used in the literature
and commercial software. The results of this study shed the light of improving the existing evaluation systems with flexibility and robustness.
Keywords: Customer credit evaluation, feature selection, correlation
based, bisection method
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2. Distribution of Node Characteristics in Transfractal Network
Systems and Additive Scale Invariance
Wei Wang
Statistics and Mathematics College, Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, Kunming, China
Hong Luo
School of Adult Education, Yunnan University, Kunming, China
Shouli Peng
Center for Nonlinear Complex Systems, Department of Physics, Yunnan
University, Kunming, China
Email: xiaonoubao@hotmail.com
Abstract
For studies of distribution of node characteristics, this paper supplies a
random descriptive frame including assertive matrices and the bivariate
Gaussian distribution of dyad variables. Based on the frame, we firstly
find from numerical experiment that there exists the novel additive scale
invariance in total (D,H)-phase diagrams of the transfractal network(DGM model), and compute the transfinite dimensionalities of
semimajor, semiminoraxis and area in the region of (D,H)-phase diagram with an ellipse boundary . Additionally the compressive g-effect
and the stationary T-effect of the total phase diagram in the
Park-Barabási’s network model systems are obtained.
Keywords: Transfractal networks, additive scale invariance,
(D-H)-phase diagrams
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3. The Decision of Price Risk of Portfobio in Inventory Financing
Juan He
Jian Wang
College of Traffic, Transportation & Logistics, Southwest JiaoTong University, Chengdu, China
Xianglin Jiang
Institute for Financial Studies, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
Email: hejunlin93@163.com
Abstract
In order to mitigate concentration risk due to sharp fluctuations of
price of single inventory in supply chain finance, this paper presents an
application of Copula-GARCH model in the dynamic estimation of inventory portfolios’ VaR with rolling time window based on the principle
of risk diversification of Markowitz’s. The back testing are performed
which consists of Kupiec testing and the efficiency loss testing based on
dynamic impawn rate considering fund cost from the perspective of
long-term forecasting. The results show that the Clayton-copula could
reasonably estimate the risk of portfolio and diversify risk markedly. In
summary, Copula-GARCH models provide a new framework for managing the risk of portfolio in inventory financing practice for banks constrained by risk limitation.
Keywords: Supply chain finance, inventory financing, portfolio, Copula-GARCH, VaR
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4. A Consensus Model for Multiple-attribute Group Decision Making Problems Based on Interval Fuzzy Number
Zhiying Lv
College of Mathematics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China
Tianmin Huang
College of Science, Qiqihar University, Qiqihar, China
Ying Liang
Business School, Jilin University, Changchun, China
Email: lvzhiying1979@163.com
Abstract
Sometimes, we find decision situations in which it is difficult to express preferences by means of concrete preference degrees. The consistency measure is a vital basis for consensus model of group decision
making, and includes two sub problems: individual consistency measure
and consensus measure. In this paper, a consensus model for group decision making problems in which the experts use interval fuzzy number to
represent their preferences is presented and a two-stage (a consensus
process and a selection process) approach is proposed to solve it.
Keywords: Fuzzy multiple attribute group decision making, interval
fuzzy number, consensus degree, decision making
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CONFERENCE MINING
This part shows the conference mining results which are also posted at the
MCS2013
on-line
conferencing
ba
(OLCB),
whose
url
is
http://meta-synthesis.iss.ac.cn/mcs2013/analysis/index.jsp.
The mining data are composed of 10 accepted papers from 17 submissions (the
acceptance rate of MCS2013 is around 59%). The whole dataset includes 25 authors and 39 keywords.
1. The iView analysis of MCS2013 accepted papers
1) Keyword network
This idea map as shown in Figure 1 is constructed by linking keywords (vertexes) shared by papers -- a knowledge vision contributed by participants of
MCS2013. What are the principal topics or ideas of MCS2013? How the authors
together explain their understanding about meta-synthesis and complex system
research? Can some hints be acquired from the idea map?
Fig. 1 Keyword map of MCS2013 accepted papers
This year we got 10 papers, the cutpoint (the square vertex in Figure 1) is “systems thinking”. Figure 2 shows the clustering results of the keyword network. 9
clusters are detected; the label of each cluster is also acquired based on betweenness (the right column at the table) and degree (2nd column, and 3rd column considering the weights of the link between the vertexes).
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Fig 2. The keyword network clusters and their label keywords
2) Author network
Fig.3 shows the author network, which is constructed by linking those authors
(vertexes) who share keywords. Interesting group may be detected from human net.
Even 8 clusters are detected by computing.
2. The CorMap analysis of MCS2013 presentations
Fig.4 shows the CorMap between authors and their ideas (keywords) by CorMap analysis, which is a qualitative meta-synthesis computing technology to carry
out qualitative data modeling, visualization and interactive analyzing.
More analytical tasks can be undertaken. For example, k-means clustering can
be done, and one keyword can be selected as a label of each cluster. For example,
we select k=6 and find 6 labels, “transfractal networks”, “construction diversion”,
“decision making”, “supply chain finance”, “harmony society measures” and “social network analysis”.
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Fig. 3 Author network of MCS2013 accepted papers
Fig. 4 The CorMap of the keywords and authors
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The keywords of each cluster are as below.
“transfractal networks”: transfractal networks; additive scale invariance;
(d-h)-phase diagrams. [bottom]
“construction diversion”: feature selection; shapley value method; upstream
flood discharge control; benefit compensation; customer credit evaluation; construction diversion; correlation based; bisection method.
“decision making”: interval fuzzy number; consensus; nomology; knowledge
creation; regional revitalization; fuzzy multiple attribute group decision making;
conflict; emergence; decision making; systems thinking; structures.
“supply chain finance”: copula-garch; complex product design ; var; supply
chain finance; portfolio; hwmse; inventory financing; meta-synthesis.
“harmony society measures”: harmony society measures; societal risk perception; baidu hot search words; bbs posts. [top]
“social network analysis”: opinion leader; supernetwork; dynamic network
analysis; social network analysis. [left]
Above addresses is possible exploratory analysis of those accepted papers at
MCS 2013.
3. SOM analysis of MCS2013
Self-organizing map is another method for presentations clustering where to
extract key topics. Fig.5 shows one reasonable result (8 clusters) with initial learning rate=0.095, initial radius=3, 5×5 rectangular grid and 200,000 training times.
The labels of the 7 clusters are “harmony society measures”(2 accepted papers),
“transfractal networks”(1 accepted papers), “construction diversion”(2 accepted
papers) , “customer credit evaluation”(1 accepted papers) , “systems thinking”(1
accepted papers) , “decision making”(2 accepted papers) , “supply chain finance”(1
accepted papers). More detailed information is given as below.
Total Cluster Number: 7
Cluster 1 (label of cluster: harmony society measures): 2 accepted papers
1) Xijin Tang --"Applying search words and bbs posts to measure a harmonious
society and societal risk reception"
Keywords: [harmony society measures, bbs posts, baidu hot search words, societal risk perception]
2) Ruya Tian, Ning Ma, Qianqian Li, Yijun Liu --"The evolution and application of network analysis methods"
Keywords: [social network analysis, dynamic network analysis, supernetwork,
opinion leader]
Cluster 2 (label of cluster: transfractal networks): 1 accepted paper
1) Ying Tan, Hong Luo, Shou-Li Peng --" Distribution of node characteristics
in transfractal network systems and additive scale invariance"
Keywords: [transfractal networks, additive scale invariance, (d-h)-phase dia24
The 13th International Workshop on Meta-synthesis and Complex Systems
Manchester, UK, Oct 15, 2013
grams]
Fig. 5 The SOM analysis result of the keywords and papers
Cluster 3 (label of cluster: construction diversion): 2 accepted papers
1) Lian Liu, Lixiang Sun --" Benefit compensation of construction diversion in
upstream flood discharge control based on improved shapley method"
Keywords: [construction diversion, benefit compensation, shapley value method, upstream flood discharge control]
2）Jian Zhou, Fu Xiao, Yaoqin Zhu --" Hall for workshop of meta-synthetic
engineering for complex product design "
Keywords: [hwmse, meta-synthetic, complex product design]
Cluster 4 (label of cluster: customer credit evaluation): 1 accepted paper
1) Jun Huang, Haibo Wang, Zhibin Xiong, Wei Wang --"A computational study
for feature selection on customer credit evaluation"
Keywords: [customer credit evaluation, feature selection, correlation based, bisection method]
Cluster 5 (label of cluster: systems thinking): 1 accepted paper
1) Yoshiteru Nakamori --"Knowledge creation systems for regional revitalization"
Keywords: [knowledge creation, systems thinking, emergence, regional revi25
The 13th International Workshop on Meta-synthesis and Complex Systems
Manchester, UK, Oct 15, 2013
talization]
Cluster 6 (label of cluster: decision making): 2 accepted papers
1) Zhiying Lv, Tianmin Huang, Ying Liang --" A consensus model for multiple-attribute group decision making problems based on interval fuzzy number "
Keywords: [fuzzy multiple attribute group decision making, interval fuzzy
number, consensus degree]
2) Cathal Brugha --"A meta-system for conflict resolution"
Keywords: [decisions, nomology, structures, conflict, systems]
Cluster 7 (label of cluster: supply chain finance): 1 accepted paper
1) Juan He, Jian Wang, Xianglin Jiang --" The decision of price risk of portfolio
in inventory financing"
Keywords: [supply chain finance, inventory financing, portfolio, copula-garch,
var]
Welcome any comments at MCS 2013 online conference ba!
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