B_TFT Teorie finančních trhů a analýza jejich stability (J. Frait & L. Komárek, VŠFS) V tomto dokumentu naleznete seznam literatury vztahující se k jednotlivým tématickým blokům (tedy ne striktně k jednotlivým přednáškám). Tento seznam bude průběžně aktualizován. I. Cíl finanční stability a makroobezřetnostní politika. .............................................................. 1 II. Procyklické chování finančního systému, finanční regulace a její procyklické efekty. ........ 2 III. Indikátory zranitelnosti finančního systému a zátěžové testování finančního sektoru. ....... 4 IV. Průřezová dimenze systémového rizika - propojení a vzájemné expozice mezi institucemi a segmenty finančních trhů. ....................................................................................................... 4 V. Teorie finančních krizí, jejich předvídání a reakce hospodářské politiky. ............................ 5 VI. Integrace finanční trhů ......................................................................................................... 6 VII. Mezinárodní architektura regulace a dohledu a její reakce na finanční krizi. .................... 6 IX. Reakce měnové politiky na finanční krizi, agresivita centrálních bank, kvantitativní uvolňování a jejich efekty na finanční trhy ................................................................................ 8 X. Svrchované riziko ................................................................................................................ 10 I. Cíl finanční stability a makroobezřetnostní politika. BANK OF ENGLAND (2009): The Role of Macroprudential Policy. Discussion Paper, November 2009. http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/other/financialstability/roleofmacroprudentialpol icy091121.pdf BANK OF ENGLAND (2011): Instruments of Macroprudential Policy. Discussion Paper, December. BANK OF ENGLAND (2011): The Bank of England, Prudential Regulation Authority: Our approach to banking supervision. http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/other/financialstability/uk_reg_framework/pra_a pproach.pdf Berntsson, C. , Molin, J. (2012): A Swedish framework for macroprudential policy Riksbank Economic Review, 2012:1 http://www.riksbank.se/Documents/Rapporter/POV/2012/rap_pov_artikel_3_120210_eng.pdf BORIO, C. (2003): Towards a macroprudential framework for financial supervision and regulation? BIS Working Paper, No. 128, February 2003. http://www.bis.org/publ/work128.pdf. BORIO, C. (2009): Implementing the macro-prudential approach to financial regulation and supervision, Banque de France Financial Stability Review, No. 13 — The Future of Financial Regulation, September 2009. BORIO, C. (2010): Implementing a macroprudential framework: Blending boldness and realism. HKIMR-BIS conference - Financial Stability: Towards a Macroprudential Approach. July 2010. BORIO, C.-Drehmann, M. (2009), Towards an operational framework for financial stability: fuzzy measurement and its consequences. BIS Working Paper, No. 284, June 2009 BORIO, C. (2011): “Rediscovering the Macroeconomic Roots of Financial Stability Policy: Journey, Challenges and a Way Forward.” BIS Working Paper No. 354. CLARK, A. AND A. LARGE (2011): “Macroprudential Policy: Addressing the Things We Don’t Know.” G30 Occasional Paper, September 2011. 1 CROWE, C., G. DELL’ARICCIA, D. IGAN, AND P. RABANAL (2011): “Policies for Macrofinancial Stability: Options to Deal with Real Estate Booms.” IMF Staff Discussion Note No. SDN/11/02. CGFS (2010): Macroprudential instruments and frameworks: a stocktaking of issues and experiences. Report published by the Committee on Global Financial Systems, BIS, May 2010. Clark, Alastair, Andrew Large (2011): Macroprudential Policy: Addressing the Things We Don’t Know. G30 Occasional Paper, September 2011 CLEMENT, P. (2010): The term “macroprudential”: origins and evolution. BIS Quarterly Review, March 2010, pp. 59-67 FRAIT, J., KOMÁRKOVÁ, Z., (2011): Finanční stabilita, systémové riziko a makroobezřetnostní politika. Zpráva o finanční stabilitě 2010/2011, ss. 96-110 FSB, IMF, BIS (2011): Progress Report to the Group of Twenty—Macroprudential Policy Tools and Frameworks, October GAUTHIER, C, LEHAR, A AND SOUISSI, M (2010), Macroprudential regulation and systemic capital requirements, Bank of Canada Working Paper No. 2010–4. GALATI, G. AND R. MOESSNER (2011): “Macroprudential Policy – A Literature Review.” BIS Working Paper No. 337. Hanson Samuel G., Anil K. Kashyap and Jeremy C. Stein (2011): A Macroprudential Approach to Financial Regulation. Journal of Economic Perspectives Vol. 25, No. 1, Winter 2011 http://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/jep.25.1.3 Hahm, Joon-Ho, Frederic S. Mishkin, Hyun Song Shin, Kwanho Shin (2012): Macroprudential Policies in Open Emerging Economies. NBER Working Paper No. 17780, January 2012 HANSON, S. G., A. KASHYAP, AND J. STEIN (2011): “A Macroprudential Approach to Financial Regulation.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 25(1), pp. 3–28 HOUBEN, A., R. VAN DER MOLEN, AND P. WIERTS (2012): “Making Macroprudential Policy Operational.” Banque Centrale du Luxembourg, Revue de Stabilité Financière 2012. IMF (2011): Chapter 3: Toward Operationalizing Macroprudential Policies: When to Act? IMF Global Financial Stability Report, September 2011, chapter 3 MORENO, R. (2011): Policymaking from a "macroprudential" perspective in emerging market economies. BIS Working Paper, No. 336, January 2011. http://www.bis.org/publ/work336.htm NICOLÒ DE, G., G. AVARA, AND L. RATNOVSKI (2012): “Externalities and Macroprudential Policy.” IMF Staff Discussion Note No. SDN/12/05. RIKSBANK (2012): “Creating a Swedish Toolkit for Macroprudential Policy.” Sveriges Riksbank, Riksbank Studies. Haldane, A. (Bank of England): Risk off http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/speeches/2011/speech513.pdf; The short long http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/speeches/2011/speech495.pdf Curbing the credit cycle http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/speeches/2010/speech463.pdf Why banks failed the stress test http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/speeches/2009/speech374.pdf BIS Working Papers: Nov 2011 No 355 Anchoring countercyclical capital buffers: the role of credit aggregates by Mathias Drehmann, Claudio Borio and Kostas Tsatsaronis http://www.bis.org/publ/work355.htm Sep 2011 No 354 Rediscovering the macroeconomic roots of financial stability policy: journey, challenges and a way forward by Claudio Borio http://www.bis.org/publ/work354.htm 2 Aug 2011 No 351 Weathering the financial crisis: good policy or good luck? by Stephen G Cecchetti, Michael R King and James Yetman http://www.bis.org/publ/work351.htm May 2011 No 346 Global imbalances and the financial crisis: Link or no link? by Claudio Borio and Piti Disyatat http://www.bis.org/publ/work346.htm Feb 2011 No 337 Macroprudential policy - a literature review by Gabriele Galati and Richhild Moessner http://www.bis.org/publ/work337.htm II. Procyklické chování finančního systému, finanční regulace a její procyklické efekty. BCBS (2010): Consultative Document: Countercyclical Capital Buffer Proposal. July 2010 BIKKER, J. A., METZEMAKERS, P. A. J. (2003): Bank Provisioning Behaviour and Procyclicality, DNB Staff Reports No. 111, De Nederlandsche Bank BORGY, V.-CLERC, L.-RENNE, J-.P. (2010): Asset-price boom-bust cycles and credit: what is the scope of macro-prudential regulation? HKIMR-BIS conference - Financial Stability: Towards a Macroprudential Approach, July 2010. http://www.bis.org/repofficepubl/hkimr201007.11.pdf BORIO C., FURFINE C. AND LOWE, P. (2001): Procyclicality of the financial system and financial stability: issues and policy options”, in “Marrying the macro- and microprudential dimensions of financial stability”, BIS Papers, No. 1, March, pp. 1–57 BORIO, C. - P. LOWE, P. (2001): To provision or not to provision. BIS Quarterly Review, September 2001, pp. 36-48. BORIO, C., Disyatat, P., Juselius, M. (2013): Rethinking potential output: Embedding information about the financial cycle BIS Working Paper, No. 404, February 2013 DE LIS, F. S., PAGÉS, J. M., SAURINA, J. (2001): Credit Growth, Problem Loans and Credit Risk Provisioning in Spain, BIS Papers No. 1, pp. 331–353 DREHMANN, M. et al. (2010): Countercyclical capital buffers: exploring options. BIS Working Papers No 317, July 2010 DREHMANN, M., C. BORIO, AND K. TSATSARONIS (2012): “Characterising the Financial Cycle: Don’t Lose Sight of the Medium Term!” BIS Working Paper No. 380. FERNÁNDEZ de LIS, S., and A. GARCÍA-HERRERO. 2010. “Dynamic Provisioning: Some Lessons from Existing Experiences.” Working Paper Series No. 218, Asian Development Bank Institute, Tokyo. http://baobab.uc3m.es/monet/monnet/IMG/pdf/dynamic-provisioningFdaLisGHerrero_09.pdf FRAIT, J., KOMÁRKOVÁ, Z. (2009): Instruments for curbing fluctuations in lending over the business cycle. Financial Stability Report 2008/2009, Czech National Bank, pp. 72-81. GERŠL, A., JAKUBÍK, P. (2010): Procyclicality of the financial system and simulation of the feedback effect. FSR 2009/2010, CNB, pp. 110-119. GERŠL, A.-SEIDLER, J. (2011): Nadměrný růst úvěrů jako indikátor finanční (ne)stability a jeho využití v makroobezřetnostní politice. Zpráva o finanční stabilitě 2010/2011. Česká národní banka, červen, ss. 111-121 HILBERS, P. – OTKER-ROBE, I. – PAZARBASIOGLU, C – JOHANSEN, G. (2005): Assessing and Managing Rapid Credit Growth and the Role of Supervisory and Prudential Policies. Washington, D.C., International Monetary Fund, working Paper, No. WP/151/05, July 2005. JIMÉNEZ, G. – SAURINA, J. (2006): Credit Cycle, Credit Risk, and Prudential Regulation. International Journal of Central Banking, Vol. 2, No. 2, pp. 65-98 JIMÉNEZ, G., ONGENA S., PEYDRÓ, J., SAURINA, J. (2012): Macroprudential policy, countercyclical bank capital buffers and credit supply: evidence from the Spanish dynamic provisioning experiments. Barcelona GSE Working Paper Series, No. 628. PACKER, F. AND H. ZHU (2012): “Loan Loss Provisioning Practices of Asian Banks.” BIS Working Paper No. 375. Plašil, M. a kol. (2014): Indikátor finančního cyklu v české ekonomice. Zpráva o finanční stabilitě 2013/2014. http://www.cnb.cz/miranda2/export/sites/www.cnb.cz/cs/financni_stabilita/zpravy_fs/fs_20132014/fs_2013-2014_clanek_i.pdf REN, H. (2011): “Countercyclical Financial Regulation.” World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 3 No. 5823 SAURINA, J. – TRUCHARTE, C.: (2007): “An assessment of Basel II procyclicality in mortgage portfolios”, Journal of Financial Services Research, vol 32, nos 1–2, October, pp 81–101. TARULLO, D. (2008): Banking on Basel - the Future of International Financial Regulation. Institute of International Economics, October 2008. http://www.petersoninstitute.org/publications/briefs/tarullo4235.pdf WHITE, W. (2006): Procyclicality in the financial system: do we need a new macrofinancial stabilisation framework?, BIS Working Papers, no 193, January. WHITE, W. (2006): Procyclicality in the financial system: do we need a new macrofinancial stabilisation framework?, BIS Working Papers, no 193, January. III. Indikátory zranitelnosti finančního systému a zátěžové testování finančního sektoru. BIS Working Papers: Jan 2012 No 369 Stress-testing macro stress testing: does it live up to expectations? by Claudio Borio, Mathias Drehmann and Kostas Tsatsaronis; http://www.bis.org/publ/work369.htm; Geršl, A.-Seidler, A. (2010): Verifikace zátěžových testů jako součást pokročilého rámce zátěžového testování ; Procykličnost finančního systému a simulace „feedback“ efektu ČNB - ZFS 2009/2010. KOMÁRKOVÁ, Z., GERŠL, A., KOMÁREK, L. (2011): Models for Stress Testing Czech Banks’ Liquidity Risk. Czech National Bank Working Paper 11/2011. DREHMANN, M.: Stress tests: Objectives, challenges and modelling choices. http://www.riksbank.se/upload/Dokument_riksbank/Kat_publicerat/PoV_sve/eng/drehmann2008_2_ eng_ny.pdf MARTIN MELECKY a ANCA MARIA PODPIERA: Macroprudential Stress-Testing Practices of Central Banks in Central and South Eastern Europe. An Overview and Challenges Ahead. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 5434, 2010 IMF (2003): Financial Soundness Indicators—Background Paper. http://www.imf.org/external/np/sta/fsi/eng/2003/051403bp.pdf International Journal of Central Banking. Issue 3, September 2009: http://www.ijcb.org/journal/ijcb09q3.htm ANTONELLA FOGLIA: Stress Testing Credit Risk: A Survey of Authorities' Approaches. BREUER, T. et al.: How to Find Plausible, Severe, and Useful Stress Scenarios KLAUS DUELLMANN and MARTIN ERDELMEIER: Crash Testing German Banks EIVIND BERNHARDSEN and BJØRNE DYRE SYVERSTEN: Stress Testing the Enterprise Sector's Bank Debt: A Micro Approach IV. Průřezová dimenze systémového rizika - propojení a vzájemné expozice mezi institucemi a segmenty finančních trhů. ALESSANDRI, P, GAI, P, KAPADIA, S, MORA, N AND PUHR, C (2009), ‘Towards a framework for quantifying systemic stability’, International Journal of Central Banking, Issue 3, September 2009: http://www.ijcb.org/journal/ijcb09q3.htm D. AIKMAN, P. ALESSANDRI, B. EKLUND, P. GAI, S. KAPADIA, E. MARTIN, N. MORA, G. STERNE and M. WILSON (2009): “Funding liquidity risk in a quantitative odel of systemic stability”, Bank of England Working Paper, No 372, 2009. DIAMOND, D - DYBVIG, P. (1983): Bank runs, deposit insurance and liquidity”, Journal of Political Economy, 91(3), pp 401-19. DIJKMAN, M. (2010): A Framework for Assessing Systemic Risk. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, No. 5282, April 2010 DREHMANN MATHIAS AND NIKOLA TARASHEV (2011): Measuring the systemic importance of interconnected banks by http://www.bis.org/publ/work342.htm ECB: RECENT ADVANCES IN MODELLING SYSTEMIC RISK USING NETWORK ANALYSIS http://www.ecb.int/pub/pdf/other/modellingsystemicrisk012010en.pdf FINANCIAL STABILITY BOARD (2009), Guidance to Assess the Systemic Importance of Financial 4 Institutions, Markets and Instruments: Initial Considerations. Report to G20 Finance Ministers and Governors. FINANCIAL STABILITY BOARD (2010), Reducing the moral hazard posed by systemically important financial institutions. Interim report to G20 Leaders, 18 June. CHAN-LAU, J. (2010): Regulatory capital charges for too-connected-to-fail institutions: a practical proposal. IMF Working Paper WP/10/98, April 2010. IIF (2010): Systemic Risk and Systemically Important Firms: An Integrated Approach”. 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SUMMER, “Systemic Risk Monitor: A model for Systemic Risk Analysis and Stress Testing of Banking Systems”, Financial Stability Report, No 11, Oesterreichische Nationalbank, 2006. MINOIU, CAMELIA ; REYES, JAVIER A. (2011): A network analysis of global banking:1978-2009, IMF Working Paper No. 11/74, http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2011/wp1174.pdf SIGBJØRN ATLE BERG (2011): Systemic surcharges and measures of systemic importace. Journal of Financial Regulation and Compliance, Volume 19 (4): 13 (nebo také Norges Bank Draft Memo, no. 12, 2010) TARASHEV, N,.-BORIO, C.-TSATSARONIS, K.: (2010): Attributing systemic risk to individual institutions. BIS Working Papers No 308, May 2010 WEBER, L.-WILLISON, M. (2011): Systemic capital requirements. Bank of England Working Paper No. 436, October V. Teorie finančních krizí, jejich předvídání a reakce hospodářské politiky. BORIO, C.-DREHMANN, M. 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