Improved Inventory Control Strategies for Farm Supply Cooperatives Selected Paper for 2005 Annual Meeting WERA-172 Western Coordinating Committee on Agribusiness June 19-21, 2006 Las Vegas Nevada Phil Kenkel (contact author) 516 Ag Hall Department of Agricultural Economics Oklahoma State University Stillwater, OK 74078 kenkel@okstate.edu Fitri Pakiding 421 Ag Hall Department of Agricultural Economics Oklahoma State University Stillwater, OK 74078 fitryanti.pakiding@okstate.edu Improved Inventory Control Strategies for Farm Supply Cooperatives Background Farm supply cooperatives have large investments in inventories. A typical farm supply cooperative has over $500,000 invested in inventories, with inventory representing over 50% of current assets and over 25% of total assets (Wadsworth, 1994). Farm supply cooperatives have a diverse inventory ranging from bulk products such as fertilizer, and petroleum to individual products such as tires, hardware and animal health products. Inventory management involves a number of activities which include the proper mix of inventory items, inventory levels, reordering points and order sizes. The goal of inventory management is to balance inventory holding costs with ordering costs and stock out costs. At its most simplistic level inventory management balances the costs of holding an inventory item with the costs of not holding an inventory item. A wide variety of analytical methods have been applied to inventory management. Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) models determine the least cost level of inventory under certain demand by balancing ordering and holding costs. Economic Order Quantity models are robust have been customized for many specific industries as well as expanded to consider stochastic demand. Historically, most farm supply cooperatives and other agribusiness firms have not actively managed inventory. While managers recognize the high costs of inventories, they maintain large inventories under the assumption that any potential savings from inventory reductions are far outweighed by economies of size in procurement and/or transportation. Seasonality and uncertainty in demand can also leads to inventory buildups. Most managers cannot determine the true level of sales loss from “stock-outs” and instead rely on sufficient safety stocks. Cooperative and agribusiness managers often base inventory decisions on simple rules. Decisions on inventory levels, reorder points and order size are often based on historical sales volume and truckload lot sizes. Manager may also use an “ABCD” system where products are classified according to sales and inventory turnover. Managers attempt to always maintain stock of high turnover items that account for a high percentage of their total sales (A items), while applying stricter controls to classes of items with lower turnover and/or a lower percentage of total sales. Farm supply inventory performance is typically monitored through inventory turnover ratios and gross margin percentages for broad farm supply categories. Under one simple technique, termed the “turn to earn” method the product of the gross margin percentage and the inventory turnover (annual sales divided by average inventory) is monitored in relation to a fixed goal (usually 1 to 1.5). The basic rationale is that total inventory holding costs including shrinkage, obsolescence and opportunity costs approach 50% of inventory value. The turn to earn target of 1.00 is designed to ensure sufficient gross margins for each product line to cover the inventory holding costs and leave a sufficient return to meet the business’s overall return on asset goals. One weakness of turnover-based systems is that while they focus attention on reducing inventory carrying costs they ignore the ordering and lost sales costs from low inventories. In recent years, many farm supply cooperatives have adopted automated point of sale information systems that can track purchase and sales data on an individual item basis. While these systems have greatly expanded information on purchases, sales and inventory levels, few cooperatives are making full use of this information. Most cooperatives still base purchases on general guidelines and monitor inventory performance for broad product categories. Objectives The overall objective of the study is to use point of sale information to examine farm supply cooperative inventory management practices and identify improved inventory management strategies. Specific objectives include: (1) Investigate the rate of return on inventory items and determine the variation across product and category, (2) Estimate optimal inventory levels for individual items based on sales patterns and holding costs, (3) Determine potential cost savings from improved inventory management, and (4) Identify improved category-based inventory management strategies. Procedures A twenty four month time series of point of sale information was obtained from an Oklahoma farm supply cooperative. The data represented over $35M of farm supplies sales which encompassed over 300,000 transactions involving 5,000 separate items and 33 branch locations. The cooperative’s average monthly inventory averaged slightly under $1.5 M. Gross margins and average inventory levels and inventory holding costs were calculated for each item code. Sales, gross margins, gross margins percentages, and average inventory were determined for each item code. These parameters were also summarized for eleven (arbitrarily defined) farm supply categories (feed, seed, fertilizer, etc). The “turn to earn ratio” (gross margin percentage times inventory turnover) was calculated for each item and each category. The variation in inventory performance between items and between farm supply categories was examined to determine apparent areas for improvement. Results and Implications A summary of sales, profits and average sales/item for each of the eleven farm supply categories is provided in Table 1. The table illustrates the diversity of the cooperative’s farm supply operation. There were 244 separate items in fertilizer category which represented 46% of the cooperatives total sales. This category also had the highest average sales per item due to the high sales for the handful of popular bulk fertilizer items. At the other end of the spectrum there were 849 items in the “bearings and hoses” a category which accounted for only .23% of total sales and having an average sale per item code of only $94. Table 1: Summary of Farm Supply Sales by Category # Items Sales Avg Sales Petroleum 192 $ 11,267,109 $ 58,379 Animal health 53 $ 51,623 $ 974 Miscellaneous 335 $ 1,799,061 $ 5,370 Hardware 292 $ 34,887 $ 119 Fence 461 $ 197,357 $ 428 Feed 669 $ 1,075,461 $ 1,417 Seed 210 $ 276,104 $ 1,315 Oil and batteries 908 $ 338,833 $ 373 Herbicide 855 $ 3,238,141 $ 3,787 Bearings and hoses 849 $ 79,628 $ 94 Fertilizer 244 $ 15,761,570 $ 64,333 5,068 $ 34,119,775 Total Profit $ 1,331,628 $ 12,787 $ 1,682,095 $ 8,294 $ 44,569 $ 223,807 $ 74,796 $ $ 100,565 475,029 $ $ 29,951 2,709,753 $ 6,693,274 The gross margin percentages of the various farm supply categories are summarized in Table 2. The overall gross margin percentage for entire farm supply department was 36%. Petroleum had the highest gross margin percentage at 46% while seed and herbicide was lowest at 26%. However there was substantial variation within the farm supply categories. For example, within the fencing category one (possibly miss-priced) electric fence wire had a -85% gross margin percentage while one solar electric fence charger had a 800% margin. Table 2. Item Gross Margins by Farm Supply Category Average Maximum Minimum Gross Gross Margin Gross Margin % % Margin % Petroleum 46% 100% -19% Animal health 37% 100% -19% Misc 38% 116% -46% Hardware 43% 100% -55% Fence 40% 800% -85% Feed 31% 637% -120% Seed 26% 163% -322% Oil and batteries 40% 100% -357% Herbicide 26% 100% -141% Bearings and hoses 35% 106% -91% Fertilizer 29% 119% 0% Overall Average 36% The inventory turnover ratios (gross sales divided by average inventory) are shown in Table 3. The overall Farm Supplies Department had an inventory turnover of 7.8 times. The “fence” and “feed” categories had high turnover at 15.5 and 13.6 respectively while animal health had the lowest turnover at 1.0 times. The fertilizer category which had the highest level of gross sales had a turnover of 2.3 while petroleum which was second in sales volume had a turnover ratio of 10.2 Table 3. Inventory Turnover Ratios (Gross sales/Average Inventory) for Farm Supply Categories Average Turnover Minimum Maximum Petroleum 10.2 0.15 97.0 Animal Health 1.1 0.08 6.0 Misc 1.0 0.02 32.0 Hardware 12.8 0.04 299.0 Fence 15.6 0.05 179.0 Feed 13.6 0.05 48.4 Seed 8.9 0.03 199.3 Oil and batteries 3.5 0.14 23.0 Herbicide 14.2 0.36 70.7 Bearings & Hoses 3.0 0.07 21.0 Fertilizer 2.3 0.01 27.5 Overall Average 7.8 The inventory performance as measured by the “turn to earn” ratio for the various farm supply categories is provided in Table 4. The “turn to earn” ratio was calculated by multiplying the gross margin percentage times the inventory turnover. The ratio therefore measures the total contribution of the item over the course of a year to cover both inventory holding costs and to generate a return on the business’s other assets. While there is no scientific basis for an exact guideline most managers strive for a “turn to earn” ratio of 1 to 1.5. The overall “turn to earn” ratio for the cooperative was a respectable 2.7. The animal health and fertilizer categories had the lowest inventory performance while fencing materials and petroleum had the highest. The table illustrates the interaction of gross margin and turnover in creating profitability. The animal health and petroleum categories had similar margin levels. However the petroleum inventory turnover over ten times as fast leading to a similar increase in performance. Table 4. Turn to Earn Ratios (GM% x Inv. Turnover) for Farm Supply Categories Petroleum Animal Health Misc Hardware Fence Feed Seed Oil and batteries Herbicide Bearings & Hoses Fertilizer Overall Average Gross Margin Inventory % Turnover 46% 45% 38% 43% 40% 27% 26% 40% 26% 35% 29% 36% Turn to Earn 10.2 1.1 1.0 12.8 15.6 13.6 8.9 3.5 14.2 3.0 2.3 7.8 4.7 0.5 0.4 5.6 6.2 3.6 2.3 1.4 3.7 1.0 0.7 2.7 Inventory performance, like its composite measures, demonstrated wide variations across items within a farm supply category. The average, maximum and minimum turn to earn ratios for items within the farm supply categories are provided in Table 5. Inventory performance varied widely across items in all categories. While both gross margin percentages and inventory turnover (the components of the turn to earn ratio) varied within each category, most of the variation in inventory performance was due to variation in inventory turnover. It is interesting to note that high and low performing items were found both in categories dominated by bulk handling such as fertilizer and petroleum and in more retail dominated categories such as fencing supplies and hardware. Table 5. Average, Maximum and Minimum Turn to Earn Ratio Across Items for Farm Supply Categories Average Petroleum Animal Health Misc Hardware Fence Feed Seed Oil and batteries Herbicide Bearings & Hoses Fertilizer Overall Average Minimum 4.7 0.5 0.4 5.6 6.2 3.6 2.3 1.4 3.7 1.0 0.7 2.7 0.07 0.04 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.06 0.10 0.02 0.004 Maximum 44.4 2.7 12.2 129.7 70.7 12.9 52.3 9.2 18.7 7.4 7.9 Conclusions and Implications The data obtained from the case study cooperative indicates that the cooperative’s farm supply department is attaining adequate margins, inventory turnover and inventory performance as measured by the turn to earn ratio. However, analyzing the data for the over 5,000 item codes handled the cooperative reveals the wide variation in profit margins, inventory turnover and inventory performance. Cooperative managers frequently comment that specific categories of farm supply items (example oil and batteries) have chronically low inventory performance and are only carried as a service to the members. The data from the case study cooperative suggests that all of the categories (with the possible exception of animal health) had adequate performance. The wide variation in performance within categories suggests that managers can use the item-based information now available to them to identify under performing items. In evaluating items managers will want to consider both an items inventory performance and its sales volume and concentrate on poor performing items which account for significant sales volume. Future research includes more sophisticated analysis of the initial inventory data plus expansion of the research to two additional cooperatives. References Wadsworth, James. “Inventory Management Strategies for Local Farm Supply Cooperatives”, USDA Cooperative Services Rural Development Administration Service Report #41, July 1994.