CARDIFF BUSINESS SCHOOL MACROECONOMICS (BS1652) Spring Semester 2005-06 Maths Macro Lecture 1 Deriving Aggregate Supply in the 4-quadrant model The key element here is understanding the labour market which, of course, was something that you studied in Microeconomics in the Autumn Semester. There are two key components to the labour market: demand and supply – let us examine these in turn. The demand for labour Labour is not demanded for its own sake but rather because it can help a firm earn profits, which it does by increasing output which the firm can sell. Assuming that the firm is a profit-maximiser, and that labour is the only variable factor in the short-run, then we have the following situation: The firm faces a production function: Q = f (L) where Q is output and L is the amount of labour employed. The firm’s cost (C) of production will be: C = w.L + F where w is the cost of labour and F is Fixed Costs. The firm’s revenue (R) from selling the good is: R = p. Q = p. f (L) The firm’s profits () are given by: = R–C = p. f (L) – ( w.L + F ) = p. f (L) - w.L - F To maximise profits: d / dL = 0 d / dL = p. (df / dL) – w = 0 or p. (df / dL) = w ………(1) df / dL = (w / p) ………(2) Equation (1) can be interpreted as saying that a profit maximising firm will employ labour up to the point where the value marginal product of labour is equal to the money wage rate. Equation (2) can be interpreted as saying that a profit maximising firm will employ labour up to the point where the marginal product of labour is equal to the ‘real wage’. Note that, as the ‘real wage’ changes, so too will the demand for labour. Since the marginal product of labour eventually diminishes (as more of the variable factor, labour, is used with the fixed factor, capital), then the demand for labour schedule will also diminish, i.e. it will be negatively-sloped. The supply of labour Most individuals/households do not work because they like it, rather it is a means to an end, namely, gaining income with which to buy goods and services. How much individuals/households will be willing to work will clearly depend upon the amount of money being offered to them to give up their leisure time in order to work. Assuming that individuals/households are utility maximisers, then their choice as to how much to work will depend on their tastes and preferences and the wage being offered: this can be analysed using indifference curve analysis, as was done in microeconomics in the Autumn semester. From this we can examine the response of the individual/household to differing wage rates. Clearly, though: nS = g (w / p) Where nS is the amount of labour supplied and (w / p) is the real wage. Under normal circumstances we would expect this function to be a positive one (i.e. has a positive slope) for at least part of its length, though the possibility that it then bends ‘backwards’ (i.e. the slope becomes negative) can not be ruled out (it will depend on the relative sizes of the income and substitution effects, assuming that leisure is a normal good). The macroeconomic labour market Having determined a firm’s demand for labour and the individuals/households supply of labour, how can we derive the macroeconomic labour market? Clearly it is necessary to aggregate across all firms and all individuals/households. In this way it will be possible to determine both the aggregate demand for labour and the aggregate supply of labour which, when brought together, will make it possible to determine the equilibrium ‘real wage’ in the economy and the equilibrium level of employment. The aggregate demand for labour If we assume that all firms operate in perfect competition, then all firms will have an identical demand for labour. If there are n such firms in the economy, and each of them wishes to demand the same level of labour at each real wage rate, then the aggregate demand at each wage rate will simply be n times that level of labour. So if each firm should desire to employ L1 units of labour at a particular ‘real wage’, then aggregate demand will be n. L1 . [Note that the amount a firm would wish to employ in order to maximise profits will, as we have already seen, depend upon the ‘real wage’.] The aggregate supply of labour The situation is not quite the same for labour supply as for labour demand, since all individuals/households will not be identical (as were the firms). Nevertheless the same underlying principle applies, namely, that the aggregate supply of labour at any given ‘real wage’ will be the sum of the amounts each individual/household in the economy is willing to supply at that ‘real wage’. A key point to notice here is that both the aggregate demand for labour and the aggregate supply of labour will depend upon the ‘real wage’. The macroeconomic or ‘aggregate’ labour market can therefore be depicted by two equations, as follows Demand: ND = h (w / p) Supply: NS = j (w / p) CARDIFF BUSINESS SCHOOL MACROECONOMICS (BS1652) Spring Semester 2005-06 Lecture 1 Numerical examples 1. A profit-maximising firm operating in perfect competition is able to sell its product for £5 per unit and can purchase labour for £25 per unit. If the firm faces a production function given by Q = 40. L½ , how many units of labour will the firm employ and what will be its level of output? Answer To profit maximise, firm must set the marginal product of labour equal to the ‘real wage’. The marginal product of labour is given by: MPL = 20. L-½ The ‘real wage’ is equal to: ( w / p) = £25 / £5 = 5 Therefore the firm will demand labour where: 20. L-½ = 5 20 = 5. L½ L½ = 4 L = 16 At this level of employment, output is: Q = 40. (16)½ = 40. (4) = 160 2. Assume that a perfectly competitive economy consists of 1000 identical firms, all facing the production function given by Q = 17. L - (½). L2. If the aggregate supply of labour curve is given by the equation NS = 2000 ( w / p ) - 10000 , and the market wage rate of labour is £18 and the price of the firm’s product is £2, show that the labour market is in macroeconomic equilibrium. Find the level of aggregate supply in this economy. Answer For an individual firm, profit maximisation occurs where dQ / dL = ( w / p ) 17 – L = ( 18 / 2 ) L = 8 Since there are 1000 firms, all identical, the aggregate demand for labour will be 1000 x 8 = 8000. From the aggregate supply of labour curve, we get that: NS = 2000 ( w / p ) - 10000 = 2000 ( 9 ) - 10000 = 8000 Since ND = NS , the labour market is in macroeconomic equilibrium. With each firm employing 8 units of labour, the firm will produce: Q = 17. (8) - (½) (8)2 = 136 - 32 = 104 Aggregate supply will therefore be equal to 104 x 1000 = 104,000. 3. Let us assume that the aggregate supply of labour schedule is given by: NS = 1000 + 25 ( w / p) and the aggregate labour demand schedule by: ND = 2000 - 15 ( w / p ) (a) (b) Find the equilibrium levels of the ‘real wage’ and employment. Assume that individuals/households now determine to work less at every ‘real wage’. Write down a new aggregate supply of labour schedule to represent this change, and show that the equilibrium levels of both employment and output will fall. Answer (a) NS = 1000 + 25 ( w / p) ND = 2000 - 15 ( w / p ) For market to be in equilibrium, ND = NS , i.e. 1000 + 25 ( w / p ) = 2000 - 15 ( w / p ) 40 ( w / p ) = 1000 , ( w / p ) = 25 Given this wage rate: ND = 2000 - 15 ( 25 ) = 2000 – 375 = 1625 (b) If individuals/households decide to work less at each ‘real wage’, then the labour supply schedule will shift upwards to the left. This can be represented by a reduction in the intercept term of the labour supply function. Hence, let the new labour supply function be: NS = 800 + 25 ( w / p ) The new labour market equilibrium will therefore be at: 800 + 25 ( w / p ) = 2000 - 15 ( w / p ) 40 ( w / p ) = 1200 , ( w / p ) = 30 Given this wage rate: ND = 2000 - 15 ( 30 ) = 2000 – 450 = 1550 Hence, the reduction in willingness of individuals/households to work, raises the equilibrium ‘real wage’ (from 25 to 30) and reduces the level of output in the economy (since employment has fallen from 1625 to 1550).