L701: Strategic Competitive Analysis Progress Report #2 – Key Issues, Preliminary Findings, Open Items Gateway, Inc. Brett Bartlett, Dan Fink, Tina Neal August 2, 2003 Key Issues Gateway’s current challenge in the PC industry is to determine how it can remain competitive in the face of stiff competition. Gateway’s Chairman, Ted Waitt has stated that Gateway will not attempt to grow the PC business but will instead concentrate on profitability.1 Exactly how Gateway will accomplish that is unclear, so in order to chart a proper course, several key questions shown in exhibit 1 must be answered. Preliminary Findings Current Market Perceptions At the beginning of 2003, Ted Waitt’s statements about preparing for a “no growth environment” in 2003 prodded many analysts to recommend that Gateway “close a significant number of its Country Stores,” which Gateway did (76 in 1Q20032). George Elling, Deutsche Bank Securities analyst, reported, “One of our chief concerns with the Gateway story has been our belief that the company is limited by its lack of scale and high fixed cost base (think Country Stores) to compete solely on price with its competitors.”3 Financial Performance Second quarter sales in 2003 were down 25 percent from 2002. “Gateway reported a loss of $72.6 million, or 22 cents a share, compared to a loss of $61.3 million, or 19 cents a share, the same period last year. Revenue tumbled 20 percent to $799.7 million from $1 billion, extending a brutal slide that began in 2001.” Gateway projects that the 2003 third quarter will result in a loss of nearly 19 cents a share versus the 15 cents a share in the third quarter of 2002. However, estimates for the fourth quarter of 2003 will narrow to 9 cents a share from 19 cents a share last year.4 In the first quarter of 1999, Gateway was #3 in U.S. market share, with 9.3%. Firstplaced Compaq held 16.1% and Dell ranked second with 14.8%.5 By the second quarter of 2003, Dell had claimed the top spot with 31.5%, while the combined company of Hp / Compaq held second with 19.1%. IBM came in a distant third at 5.7%, while Gateway was fourth at 4.0%.6 Revenue Sources Gateway is attempting to increase sales by introducing 50 new products this year, including 12 to 15 televisions, digital cameras, camcorders and DVD players. It entered the TV business in 2002 with a 42-inch plasma model that was priced well below 1 Gateway, Inc. 2002 Annual Report, p. 3. Gateway, Inc. 2002 Annual Report, p. 5. 3 http://www.internetnews.com/ent-news/article.php/1577151 4 http://www.internetnews.com/ent-news/article.php/1577151 5 http://www.idctracker.com/newtracker/Pressreleases/april261999.htm 6 http://www.idctracker.com/newtracker/Pressreleases/july162003.doc 2 competitors.7 While Gateway pursues these alternate revenue sources, we will specifically address its efforts in the PC industry. Gateway’s place in the PC industry The SWOT analysis depicted in exhibit 2 and the GE business screen shown in exhibit 3 provide a good idea of how Gateway fits into the PC industry. Gateway has many strengths, but ultimately is a medium strength business in an industry which is above average in attractiveness. The Porter’s Five Forces model in exhibit 4 demonstrates how each force affects the PC industry from Gateway’s perspective. One notable area of this example is the substitutability of products, as the PC market has evolved into being largely a commodity market. This means all substitution forces are negative from Gateway’s perspective, so finding a way to differentiate Gateway’s PC offering would help protect them from these forces. Exhibit 5 shows the Gateway, Inc. value chain. Gateway’s infrastructure gives them a strong physical presence in the US, due to it 192 stores.8 Its e-commerce and order processing systems provide value to customers by allowing them to custom-build PCs tailored to the customer’s needs. Key partnerships with suppliers provide Gateway lowcost sources of inputs, while the outbound logistics are handled largely by Federal Express. Marketing has built a strong brand for Gateway, as everyone knows the cow stands for Gateway. Unfortunately for Gateway, a weak point of the value chain, as noted in the SWOT analysis, is substandard technical support. This weakness is amplified by the fact that Gateway PCs require more repairs than its competition.9 Gateway’s core competencies are marketing, direct sales and manufacturing of customized PCs. Competitor Analysis Exhibit 6 shows the competitive analysis of Gateway and its main competitors in the PC industry. Dell:10 Founded in 1984, Dell’s marketing strategy is based around its “Direct” to consumers model. Dell PCs are not available in physical retail locations, but only by phone or Internet order. However, this model hasn’t held them back from being the leading PC retailer worldwide with approximately 40,000 employees around the globe and revenue of nearly $37 billion for the last four quarters. Their focus on capturing and utilizing consumer information has allowed them to react quickly to market trends and better compete in a highly competitive industry. Dell provides desktop and notebook computers, as well as accessories and peripherals to consumers and businesses. Dell is also known for providing top-notch service. 7 http://www.internetnews.com/ent-news/article.php/1577151 Gateway, Inc. 2002 Annual Report, p. 5. 9 http://abclocal.go.com/wls/news/consumerreports/120502_cr_computers.html 10 http://www.dell.com 8 IBM:11 Formed over 100 years ago, IBM has a long-standing reputation for producing the most innovative business tools in the market. IBM was one of the first movers in the computer industry and uses its reputation to its advantage by commanding higher prices. They offer a full array of computing and networking machinery to the business and consumer markets. With a focus on R&D and innovation, IBM has been able to maintain a diversified global revenue base by meeting the needs of many different markets. Sony:12 Sony was a late entrant into the PC market, but it has proved to be a sleeping giant. Their untarnished reputation for quality electronic products has helped them crack a highly competitive market with high speed. Moreover, Sony’s high-quality reputation has allowed them to do this while commanding a premium price. Sony is a Japanese company, but operates on a global scale and offers a wider array of electronic products than all of its competitors. However, Sony’s products are mostly based in the consumer markets, rather than the business markets. HP / Compaq:13 The recent merger of HP and Compaq has created a computer and technology giant with 140,000 employees in 160 countries. Revenues for the combined companies were $72 billion for the fiscal year that ended October 31, 2002. Similar to IBM, HP has always stood for innovation in business machinery. HP and Compaq are priced in the middle of the pack of major PC brands. As well, HP & Compaq computers are available with both Intel and AMD processors, giving them a larger product line and more price points than most of the competitors in the PC market. eMachines:14 eMachines is the low cost leader of the market. They use less expensive AMD chips to help reduce costs and they focus almost entirely on the consumer market over the business market. They operate on an international basis, but they are a U.S. based company. As shown in the resource based view in exhibit 7, although it has several value-creating activities, Gateway currently has no sustainable competitive advantages. Open Items Our remaining tasks are to interpret all of these data to determine what changes to the company’s strategy will enable Gateway to create and capture value in the PC industry. Ultimately, we will use this information to refine our hypothesis into a final recommendation for a new strategy at Gateway, Inc. 11 http://www.ibm.com http://www.sony.com 13 http://www.hp.com 14 http://www.emachines.com 12 Exhibit 1. Key Issues facing Gateway, Inc. in order to remain competitive in the PC industry. Issue/Hypothesis Subissue/Hypothesis What is Gateway's place the current competitive environment? Poor What are Gateway's strengths, weaknesses, opportunities & threats? TBD Will Gateway's current strategy for the PC industry be successful? No Data Sources End Product Responsibility Gateway website & annual reports Table & Description Neal & Bartlett 2-Aug What are Gateway's core competencies? TBD Analyses SWOT Analysis, GE Business Screen Value Chain Analysis Due Date Gateway website & annual reports Table & Description Neal & Bartlett 2-Aug What are the factors influencing the profitability of the PC industry? Marketing, low-cost producer Porter’s 5 Forces Industry Analysis Company, industry, & government websites Table & Description Bartlett 2-Aug Who are Gateway's primary competitors? IBM, Dell, HP Competitive Analysis Company websites, annual reports Table & Description Fink 2-Aug Where are the competitors' weaknesses? Value added services Competitive Analysis Company websites, annual reports Table & Description Fink 2-Aug How do the product attributes affect industry profitability? Commodities, low profitability Competitive Product Analysis Company websites Table & Description Fink 2-Aug What are Gateway's current areas of sustainable competitive advantage? None ResourcedBased Analysis Company, industry, & government websites Table & Description Bartlett 9-Aug What are the areas where Gateway can create and capture sustainable competitive advantage? Value added services Review all analyses Previous analyses Text All 9-Aug What changes to Gateway's strategy are necessary? Better value-added services Review all analyses Previous analyses Text All 9-Aug Exhibit 2. SWOT Analysis for Gateway, Inc. Gateway, Inc. SWOT Analysis Internal Strengths 1. Direct Model of business - selling direct to customers provides distinct advantages in the areas of distribution costs, inventory control, messaging, and customer care and feedback. 2. Purchasing strategy & expertise - Gateway makes large commitments to key suppliers to ensure a market advantage. 3. Manufacturing - Gateway's manufacturing process is designed to provide custom-configured products to its customers. 4. Leveraging suppliers in research and development - Gateway is relieved of the responsibility of developing technology. 5. Physical proximity to the customer - Gateway stores around the country. 6. Strong brand recognition. External Opportunities 1. Improve technical support 2. Offer proprietary technologies 3. Improve product quality 4. Offer PCs with AMD chips 5. Enter a partnership Internal Weaknesses 1. Technical support and customer service Gateway has a reputation for poor technical support. 2. Lack of corporate business base - Majority of sales are to individual consumers, small businesses, and educational institutions. Gateway has not been successful in selling to large and midsize companies. 3. Late entry into servers and workstations Gateway has not been able to surpass its competitor, Dell, in entering this market. 4. Poor quality product - requires more repairs than competitors. External Threats 1. Price wars - Gateway is disadvantaged due to Dell's low fixed cost base (GW has stores, Dell doesn't). 2. Economic cycle vulnerability - less geographically diversified 3. Competitors may develop exclusive partnerships Sources: http://www.wgss.com/profiles/gateway.htm http://news.com.com/2100-1040-949018.html http://abclocal.go.com/wls/news/consumerreports/120502_cr_computers.html Exhibit 3. GE Business screen for Gateway, Inc. GE Business Screen - Gateway, Inc. Business Strength Medium Low Medium Low Industry Attractiveness High High Classification Strategic Thrust High Overall Attractiveness Invest / Grow Medium Overall Attractiveness Selectively Improve / Defend Low Overall Attractiveness Harvest / Divest Industry Attractiveness Factors Absolute market size Market Potential Market Growth Rate Competitive Structure Financial Economic Technological Social Political Environmental Positive Business Strength Factors Neutral Size of SBU Market Share Positioning Comparative Advantages Brand Strength Human Resources R&D Capacity Manufacturing Process Quality Marketing Learning Capability Negative Exhibit 4. Porter’s Five Forces on the PC Industry and how each affects Gateway, Inc. Porter's Five Forces on PC Industry Structure Legend: how each force impacts Gateway, Inc. Positive Neutral Negative Entry Barriers Rivalry Determinants Economies of scale Proprietary product differences Brand identity Switching costs Capital requirements Access to distribution Absolute cost advantages Proprietary learning curve Access to necessary inputs Proprietary low-cost product design Government policy Expected retaliation Industry growth Fixed (or storage) costs / value added Intermittent overcapacity Product differences Brand identity Switching costs Concentration and balance Informational complexity Diversity of competitors Corporate Stakes Exit barriers Bargaining Power of Suppliers New Entrants Threat of New Entrants Industry Competitors Suppliers Bargaining Power of Buyers Buyers Intensity of Rivalry Determinants of Supplier Power Differentiation of inputs Switching costs of suppliers and firms in the industry Presence of substitute products Supplier concentration Importance of volume to supplier Cost relative to total purchases in the industry Impact of inputs on cost or differentiation Threat of forward integration relative to threat of backward integration by firms in the industry Determinants of Buyer Power Threat of Substitutes Substitutes Determinants of Substitution Threat Relative price performance of substitutes Switching costs Buyer propensity to substitute Bargaining Leverage Price Sensitivity Buyer concentration vs firm concentration Buyer volume Buyer switching costs relative to firm switching costs Buyer information Agility to backward integrate Substitute products Pull-through Price / total purchases Product differences Brand identity Impact on quality/ performance Buyer profits Decision makers' incentives Exhibit 5. The Gateway, Inc. Value Chain. Firm Infrastructure: Plant, Corporate, Gateway Stores Margin Human Resource Management: Recruiting, Training Technology: e-commerce, order processing system Purchasing & Inbound Logistics Operations: PC assembly, finishing & shipping Distribution & Outbound Logistics Marketing & Sales Service: Tech Support & Repairs Exhibit 6. Competitive Analysis of the PC market. Gateway Dell Sony IBM HP Compaq (HP) eMachines Direct to consumers with high quality customizable PCs & unparalleled support Direct to consumers with high quality customizable PCs & unparalleled support Top quality PCs at a premium price Innovative high quality PCs at a premium price Innovative high quality PCs at a good price Quality PCs at a good price Low cost high quality PCs $869 $732 $1,009 $969 $675 $627 $499 Available at physical locations? Yes / No NO Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Chip Band Intel Intel Intel Intel Intel / AMD Intel / AMD AMD Online Purchasing Available? Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes PC Customization Capabilities? Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Online & Phone Support? Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Peripherals & Accessories Available? Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Country USA USA Japan USA USA USA USA Positioning Price Comparison (for comparable machines) Sources: http://www.gateway.com http://www.dell.com http://www.sony.com http://www.ibm.com http://www.hp.com http://www.emachine.com Exhibit 7. Resource Based View of Gateway, Inc. Tests Resource Competitive Superiority Direct Sales Model Purchasing Expertise Manufacturing Outsourced R&D Proximity to Customer Brand Identity Legend: Green = passes the test Red = fails the test Inimitability Durability Appropriability Substitutability Sustainable Competitive Advantage