Energy Policy-Related Programs and Projects at Harvard Overview: 2007-2008 Biofuels and Globalization Project Under the direction of the Sustainability Science Program, this effort seeks to advance basic understanding of the dynamics of human-environment systems; to facilitate the design, implementation, and evaluation of practical interventions that promote sustainability in particular places and contexts; and to improve linkages between relevant research and innovation communities on the one hand, and relevant policy and management communities on the other. The Biofuels and Globalizaton project examines the trade, economic development, and environmental dimensions of the emerging global biofuels industry. (Henry Lee, Robert Lawrence, and Ricardo Hausmann, Investigators) The Center for Health and the Global Environment The Center for Health and the Global Environment works to expand environmental education at medical schools and to further investigate and promote awareness of the human health consequences of global environmental change. Core programs related to energy policy include the development of courses and curricula to educate professionals and the public about the dependency of human health on the health of the environment; annual courses on environment and human health held for members of Congress and their staffs; the Scientists and Evangelicals Initiative, which works to develop relationships of trust and mutual respect and understanding between leading members of the scientific and evangelical communities; and the Media and Outreach project, which hosts numerous activities designed for a wide range of audiences to increase awareness about human health and global environmental change. (Eric Chivan, Director; Paul R. Epstein, Associate Director) The China Project The Harvard China Project conducts peer-reviewed research related to China’s atmospheric environment, to build knowledge underpinning strategies to address local air quality and greenhouse gas emissions in concert. The Project pursues two collaborative mandates: crossing disciplines and schools at Harvard, and partnering with Chinese universities. It has built up advanced research capacities in atmospheric transport and chemistry (both modeling and field measurement); general equilibrium modeling of China’s economy, energy use, and emissions; pollution exposure assessment; health impacts and valuation; household surveys; urban transport planning and emissions; assessment of meteorological energy resources (wind and solar); and, ultimately, integrating these areas to assess full costs and benefits of policy options. (Michael B. McElroy, Chair; Chris Nielsen, Executive Director; Dale Jorgenson, James Hammitt, Peter Rogers, and William Munger, Principal Investigators of component studies.) Energy Technology Innovation Policy Group The Energy Technology Innovation Policy research group (ETIP) aims to determine and then seek to promote adoption of effective strategies for developing and deploying cleaner and more efficient energy technologies, primarily in three of the biggest energyOverview: Programs and Projects - 1 consuming nations in the world: the United States, China, and India. ETIP researchers seek to identify and promote strategies that these countries can pursue, separately and collaboratively, for accelerating the development and deployment of advanced energy options that can reduce conventional air pollution, minimize future greenhouse-gas emissions, reduce dependence on oil, facilitate poverty alleviation, and promote economic development. ETIP staff and fellows this year are researching a range of topics including the deployment of advanced coal technologies in China, the Indian coal sector, Chinese energy consumption, and U.S. transportation policy. (Kelly Sims Gallagher, Director; John Holdren and Henry Lee, Co-Principal Investigators) Future of Energy Initiative The Harvard University Center for the Environment (HUCE)’s Future of Energy Initiative encourages interdisciplinary research and education about energy technologies, consequences, and policy issues. The Center awards research seed grants, sponsors postdoctoral fellows and visiting scholars, supports student energy reading and discussion groups, and holds a flagship “Future of Energy” speaker series to serve as a focal point for the connection of scientific, engineering, and public policy discussion of energy issues. (Daniel Schrag, Faculty Director; Jim Clem, Managing Director) The Harvard Electricity Policy Group The Harvard Electricity Policy Group (HEPG) provides a forum for the analysis and discussion of important policy issues facing the electricity industry. Founded in 1993, its objectives are to study, analyze and engage discourse on the problems associated with the transition from monopoly to a more competitive electricity market. With the involvement of scholars, market participants, regulators, policy makers, and advocates for various positions and interests, HEPG seeks to foster more informed, highly focused open debate in order to contribute to the wider public policy agenda affecting the electric sector. Through research, information dissemination, and regular seminars, HEPG facilitates discussion, which leads to the development of new ideas or to an expansion of the debate. Participants include electricity industry executives from public power and investorowned utilities, independent power producers, consumer advocates, regulators, energy officials from both state and federal governments, representatives of the environmental and financial communities, and academics. (William Hogan, Research Director; Ashley Brown, Executive Director) Harvard Green Campus Initiative The mission of the Harvard Green Campus Initiative (HGCI) is to make Harvard University a living laboratory and learning organization for the pursuit of campus sustainability. The business model of the HGCI is fundamentally entrepreneurial in its approach as it continuously develops and sells new services to schools and departments that want to both save money and reduce their environmental impacts. HGCI is a service organization consisting of 19 professional staff and 40 part-time students that have been trained and managed to work on building upgrades, building construction and design, behavioral change, procurement practice, renewable energy, staff training, waste reduction, ongoing environmental education, recycling, and more. (John Spengler and Thomas Vautin, Co-Chairs; Leith Sharp, Director) Overview: Programs and Projects - 2 Harvard Project on International Climate Agreements Harvard Project on International Climate Agreements, launched in July 2007, helps identify key design elements of a scientifically sound, economically rational, and politically pragmatic post-2012 international policy architecture for global climate change. The Project recently entered its second stage, which focuses on original research, hosting two workshops in spring 2008—one in Cambridge and one in Venice, Italy—for key scholars working on international climate change policy. (Robert Stavins and Joseph Aldy, Co-Directors) Populism and Natural Resources project The Populism and Natural Resources project brings together a broad range of international and Harvard-based researchers to examine the problems that countries face in setting up a credible and stable regime for the exploitation of natural resources. One of the most serious problems in expanding the supply of non-renewal resources in the developing world are the recurrent contract renegotiations to which the sector is usually subject during boom-bust cycles. Economists have developed substantial tools that have helped us understand how to set up optimal contracts, design auctions, hedge risks, provide insurance, and even how to address concerns on fairness, thus addressing the very issues that have hindered successful long term contracts. In addition, economic history can also provide important clues for bettering the institutional scheme that is required to deal with the boom-bust cycle. The project provides a unique opportunity to span the bridge between recent analytical developments and practical implications. The project's first product will be a major volume that applies contract theory to natural resource issues and offers case studies of the oil industry in Bolivia, Argentina, and Venezuela. (William Hogan, Research Director) Project on Managing the Atom The Project on Managing the Atom (MTA) brings together scholars and practitioners who conduct policy-relevant research on key issues affecting the future of nuclear weapons, the nuclear proliferation regime, and nuclear energy. A major focus of MTA research and policy engagement is how nuclear energy could be made as cheap, safe, secure, and proliferation-resistant as possible—and how the problem of radioactive waste can be successfully addressed. The Project sponsors an international group of resident fellows and a bi-weekly research seminar. (John Holdren, Henry Lee, and Steven Miller, Co-Principal Investigators; Matthew Bunn, Senior Research Associate; Martin Malin, Executive Director) Regulatory Policy Program The Regulatory Policy Program serves as a clearinghouse for faculty work on regulation. This past year, the Regulatory Policy Program made regulation and climate the focus of its year-long seminar series. Current research examines the roles of alternative regulatory instruments, including voluntary approaches, management-based strategies, and industry self-regulation, in achieving policy goals. (Erich Muehlegger, Faculty Chair) Overview: Programs and Projects - 3 Sociotechnical Imaginaries and Science and Technology Policy: A Cross-National Comparison Under the Program on Science, Technology, and Society, this two-year project, which began in September 2007, aims to develop a new theoretical framework for understanding the global politics of science and technology, by using case studies focused on three specific technologies: nuclear power, stem cells and closing, and nanotechnology. (Sheila Jasanoff, Director) For more information, contact: Louisa Lund Program Director Energy Policy Research Programs (617) 495-8693 Louisa_lund@harvard.edu Date Prepared: July 31, 2008 Overview: Programs and Projects - 4 Harvard Energy Policy-Related Activities Detail, by Topic Area 2007-2008 Carbon capture and storage ETIP Research Fellow Jeff Bielicki presented on his ongoing work on his "Carbon Sequesterer" model, which identifies the "supply curve" that results from matching spatially heterogeneous sources of CO2 with spatially heterogeneous CO2 storage sites. Bielicke developed this with colleagues at Los Alamos and Oak Ridge National Laboratories. Bielicke spoke about his work before audiences at the Harvard Kennedy School, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Columbia University, National Energy Technology Laboratory, Princeton University, and the Garrison Institute. In February 2008, ETIP researchers John Holdren and Kelly Gallagher joined the 2008 Annual Meeting of the Carbon Mitigation Initiative at Princeton University. There, they reported on ETIP’s collaborative work with the CMI team at Princeton and planned for activities in the coming year. ETIP Associate Jennie Stephens is continuing her work on the socio-political aspects of emerging energy technologies -- particularly CCS -- in the United States. Having won a grant from the NSF to study this, she recently published an article on this subject in Technological Forecasting and Social Change (in press). Stephens presented her work at the 2008 AAAS Annual Meeting in Boston. In June 2008 ETIP brought together a group of colleagues from industry, government, academia, the media, and the civil sector to discuss "Public Perception of Carbon Capture and Storage Technology." Climate change, carbon pricing, trading, and international agreements In a Hamilton Project/Brookings Institution paper published in the Fall of 2007, Robert Stavins argued that the United States should adopt a cap-and-trade system for carbon emissions. Professor Stavins also discussed his work at a forum organized by the Hamilton Project/ Brookings Institution analyzing his and a competing proposal. The Harvard Environmental Economics Program launched The Harvard Project on International Climate Agreements (HPICA), which is working to help identify key design elements of a scientifically sound, economically rational, and politically pragmatic post-2012 international policy architecture for global climate change. In the Spring of 2008, the Project entered its second stage, hosting a March 2008 workshop for key scholars and other thinkers working on international climate change policy. In September 2007, Architectures for Agreement, edited by Project Directors Joseph Aldy and Robert Stavins, was published by Cambridge University Press. The HPICA Directors gave six presentations on international policy architectures around the United States, in Brussels, and in Bali at the Council of the Parties 13 Activities Detail - 1 gathering. HPICA has been enlisted to advise the Danish Prime Minister in preparing for his role as President of the Conference of the Parties 15 in December 2008, which is expected to play an important part in reaching a post-Kyoto treaty. Twenty-five research projects are ongoing as part of “Stage 2” of the HPICA work. The Project has held two research workshops at which researchers met to discuss and refine their ideas. Gallagher, Collantes, Holdren, Lee, and Frosch of ETIP modeled the policy options outlined in their Summer 2007 “Policy Options for Reducing Greenhouse-Gas Emissions and Oil Consumption from the Transportation Sector” paper using the National Energy Modeling System. Gallagher and Collantes presented briefings on the members and staff in the House and Senate, US EPA staff, executives from Ford, GM and UAW, and the ICCT and National Commission on Energy Policy. The paper is available as a discussion paper, and is forthcoming in Energy Policy. In April 2008, Energy Policy Research Programs at Harvard hosted Shell’s Chief Economist and other senior management for an invitation-only workshop on the Shell energy future scenarios, “Scrambles vs. Blueprints.” Forest Reinhardt and Mikell Hyman of the Harvard Business School published a case study on Global Climate Change and British Petroleum. ETIP worked with colleagues in China and India, and the Woods Hole Research Center on a project examining “Win-Win” climate policies in the four rapidlydeveloping countries of China, India, Brazil, and Mexico. The resulting report was presented at the Conference of Parties in Bali in December 2007, and to the Chinese, Brazilian, and Indian governments in their respective capitols. Gallagher published a paper in Current History in November/December 2007 about the magnitude and difficulty of tackling the climate change challenge in China, given China’s heavy dependence on coal. Gallagher was also named to a task force cosponsored by the Brookings Institution, Council on Foreign Relations, and Asia Society on U.S.-China Climate Relations. She was also appointed as an International Task Force member for the China Council for International Cooperation on Environment and Development on Innovation for Environmental Protection. A June 2008 conference on “Managing in a Global Era” at the Harvard Business School featured discussions of ongoing research by HBS faculty, including “Energy and Globalization in Historical Perspectives” by Rawi Abdelal and Tarun Khanna; “The Rise of the Global Wind Industry,” presented by Richard Vietor; and “Markets for Greenhouse Gas Emissions,” presented by Andre Perold and Forest Reinhardt. In April 2008, the Harvard Law School and Duke University jointly held a two-day workshop on carbon trading schemes and the use of carbon offsets. Panelists and Activities Detail - 2 invitees provided a broad range of expertise, and included policy makers, offset market participants, state officials, and academics. The Harvard Law School’s new Environmental Law and Policy Clinic began providing placements and projects for law students, a number of which are energyfocused, including the preparation of a consumer’s guide to the purchase of renewable energy; preparation of proposals for and testimony in support of legislative reforms to improve access to renewable energy by consumers and municipalities; analysis of the legal aspects of the use of tidal, wave, and solar energy for electricity production; development of a model green label rule; and work on lawsuits involving false environmental advertising and the right of regulators to deny air quality permits to facilities that emit carbon dioxide. The Regulatory Policy Program at the Harvard Kennedy School pursued a year-long theme in its New Directions in Regulation speaker series related to regulation and climate change. Topics addressed included a discussion of EU emissions trading by A. Denny Ellerman, a presentation by Robert Stavins of his proposal for a U.S. Capand-Trade system, an overview by Jody Freeman of the Harvard Law School of the implications of the Supreme Court’s decision in Massachusetts v. EPA with regard to global warming, a presentation and working paper by Ian Sue Wing and Marek Kolodziej on the Regional Greenhouse gas Initiative, and a presentation by visiting scholar Charles Kolstad on economics and climate change. The Center for Health and the Global Environment’s Evangelical partnership travelled to Alaska to view the effects of climate change. Their partnership led to their being named together in Time Magazine’s 2008 list of the world’s most influential people. The Center for Health and the Global Environment will release a report in July entitled Healthy Solutions for the Low Carbon Economy: Guidelines for Investors, Insurers and Policy Makers. The report examines the suite of energy choices available­the “stabilization wedges”­through the health and environmental lens, advancing the methodologies: 1. Net energy balance assessments; and 2. Life cycle analyses of the potential health, ecological and economic consequences of proposed technologies and practices. The report draws on precautionary tales passed down by the insurance sector; namely the “long tails” of decades of health, liability and insurance costs, from asbestos, tobacco, lead and industrial toxins. The aim is to separate safe solutions to scale up today from those warranting further research before they are widely adopted. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions 80% (or more) below 1990 levels with the aim of stabilizing the climate will require rapidly scaling up a comprehensive set of safe measures, primed with a coordinated mix of financial and policy instruments. Energy and economic development: China and India The China Project published Clearing the Air: the Health and Economic Damages of Air Pollution in China, edited by Mun Ho and Chris Nielsen (2007, MIT Press). This five-year integrated study by Harvard and Chinese economists, engineers, and health Activities Detail - 3 scientists estimates the national health and economic damages of air pollution, attributed by economic sector. It then uses the estimates to assess economy-wide costs and benefits of market-based approaches to national emission control, notably damage-weighted “green” taxes. The results suggest such policies could reduce domestic air pollution, reduce health damages, and reduce China’s carbon trajectory while, depending on use of revenues, sustaining its economic growth over the long run (described as “an offer that a government cannot refuse” by The Lancet). In any case, the study finds that the costs of such policies are modest compared to the benefits. In 2008 the China Project is seed-funded to begin assessing costs and benefits of national carbon control options in China, including general equilibrium effects throughout the economy and potentially very significant co-benefits of avoided air pollution damages from cleaner and more efficient energy supply. This initiative integrates the Project’s two most powerful research capacities: 1) its economicengineering-health framework developed in Clearing the Air (above); and 2) its atmospheric model of China, nested in Harvard’s global model and validated by scientific observations; along with 3) detailed combustion emission inventories developed at Tsinghua. ETIP Fellow Lifeng Zhao, ETIP Director Kelly Gallagher, and colleagues from the Chinese Academy of Sciences wrote a follow-up paper to their December 2007 Energy Policy article, "Research, Development, Demonstration, and Early Deployment Policies for Advanced-Coal Technology in China." The new paper provides an economic assessment of advanced coal technologies in China and is available from Energy Policy. More recently, Zhao traveled to Birmingham, Alabama to meet with engineers at Southern Company to discuss their progress on technologies that could have important implications for the Chinese coal industry. Following a successful in-use vehicle emissions testing project in Tianjin, in March 2008 ETIP began a similar project in cooperation with the Beijing authorities, led by ETIP Research Fellow Hongyan He Oliver. The U.S.-China Strategic Economic Dialogue, led by U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Vice Premier Wang Qishan, includes an environmental research component structured by the national economic framework of Clearing the Air (above). China Project economists Dale Jorgenson, Mun Ho, and Jing Cao led the national cost and benefit assessment of China’s 2006-2010 energy saving and pollution abatement policies. A “Summary for Policymakers,” signed by the heads of the two countries’ EPAs, was released in December, 2007. The next phase of research is expected to apply the model to prospective sulfur trading in China. A 2007 scientific article by China Project scientists Yuxuan Wang, Michael McElroy, and partners used satellite observations and the Project’s air quality model to quantify strong emission reductions from traffic restrictions during a test run for the Beijing Olympics. The study gained news coverage in Science online, BBC World Service, Financial Times, and NASA and European Space Agency publications. Activities Detail - 4 A forthcoming article by China Project scientists Wang, McElroy, William Munger, Chris Nielsen, and others uses high-precision observations from the Project’s station north of the city to show how strongly meteorology, not just combustion, drives summer ozone levels in Beijing. Accepted for publication in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics in advance of the Olympics, it is expected draw strong media attention. ETIP Research Fellow Ananth Chikkatur and Research Associate Ambuj Sagar are deeply involved in a series of workshops convened by the Indian Planning Commission and the Administrative Staff College of India to discuss a range of issues relating to the coal and coal-power sectors in India. The second seminar in the series, on coal mining technologies and socio-environmental issues, was held in January 2008 at the Indian Institute for Coal Management, Ranchi. Energy security The Harvard Kennedy School completed its year-long energy and security faculty search with the appointment of Matthew Bunn as an Associate Professor. Professor Bunn’s research interests include nuclear theft and terrorism, nuclear proliferation and measures to control it, and the future of nuclear energy and its fuel cycle. Before coming to Harvard, Bunn served as an adviser to the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, as a study director at the National Academy of Sciences, and as editor of Arms Control Today. He is the author or co-author of more than a dozen books or major technical reports, and dozens of articles in publications ranging from Science to The Washington Post. He is an elected Fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science; a recipient of the American Physical Society’s Joseph A. Burton Forum Award for “outstanding contributions in helping to formulate policies to decrease the risks of theft of nuclear weapons and nuclear materials”; and the recipient of the Hans A. Bethe Award from the Federation of American Scientists for “science in service to a more secure world.” The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, in collaboration with Securing America’s Future Energy, has developed an Oil ShockWave College Curriculum--a complete package for use in college and university classrooms to enable students to enact a scenario in which U.S. Cabinet members contend with a simulated oil crisis. On April 28, 2008, a demonstration of the new curriculum was held in the John F. Kennedy Jr. Forum with a group of former White House advisors and senior government officials contending with a simulated oil crisis. On November 1-2, 2007, the Populism and Natural Resources project hosted a workshop to explore the problem that countries face in setting up a credible and stable regime for the exploitation of natural resources. Forty-seven participants from academia, business, and government explored this question in depth, using methods ranging from high-level economic models to case studies of the interaction between government and the oil industry in Argentina and Bolivia. At the workshop, paper authors responded to comments from discussants and the other workshop members. Since the workshop, the authors have been revising their chapters to incorporate insights gained in discussion. The resulting volume is under Activities Detail - 5 review with MIT Press. Kelly Gallagher and Erich Muehlegger released a faculty working paper “Giving Green to Get Green? Incentives and Consumer Adoption of Hybrid Vehicle Technology”, which explores why consumers bought energy-efficient hybrid-electric vehicles. The paper is under review at the American Economic Journal: Economic Policy. Local and institutional energy policy The Kennedy School’s Rappaport Institute for Greater Boston and the Harvard University Center for the Environment co-sponsored a workshop on “Green Cities,” which was attended by numerous local government officials and by the Mayor of Boston. Edward Glaeser, Director of the Rappaport Institute and of the Taubman Center for State and Local Government, co-authored (with Matthew Kahn of UCLA) a working paper on the “Greenness of Cities,” comparing the relative carbon impact of typical energy-use patterns among residents of major American cities. The Institute of Politics hosted a panel of mayors at the Kenney School Forum. Mayors from Albuquerque, Honolulu, Seattle, and Trenton gathered to discuss how cities are responding to the climate crisis. In February 2008, Harvard University hosted the 21st annual campus energy conference, sponsored by the International District Energy Association. The theme focused on clean energy and sustainable campuses. President Drew Faust has formed a task force of faculty, students, and administrators charged with examining Harvard’s greenhouse gas emissions and recommending a University-wide greenhouse gas reduction goal. William C. Clark, Harvey Brooks Professor of International Science Public Policy and Human Development at the Harvard Kennedy School of Government, is chairing the Task Force. Professors Majid Ezzati (Harvard School of Public Health), John Spengler (Harvard School of Public Health), and Matt Welsh (Harvard School of Engineering and Applied Science) are collaborating on research funded by the Sustainability Science Program at Harvard’s Center for International Development to understand the continued use of biomass fuels in the process of urbanization, and its effects on local environmental conditions, leveraging data from an ongoing project on air pollution exposure in Accra, Ghana. Harvard earned an A-, the highest grade earned in 2008, on the Sustainable Endowments Institute’s Green Report Card. Activities Detail - 6 Energy Markets The Harvard Electricity Policy Group (HEPG) held its Fiftieth Plenary Session in Boulder, Colorado in February. HEPG also met at the beginning and end of the academic year at the Harvard Kennedy School and held a December plenary in Los Angeles. The group discussed timely issues affecting the industry including: the siting of federal transmission corridors; risk allocation for generation and transmission investment in an unbundled competitive market; market power mitigation; retail procurement mechanisms; and the potential for nuclear power. As more global agreement was reached on environmental impacts, HEPG turned to the review and implementation of effective solutions to reduce emissions. In FY 08, 25 member entities comprised HEPG, including generation, distribution, and transmission companies, independent system operators from New York, California, New England, the Midwest, and PJM Interconnection (Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Maryland), and institutions and sector associations. Sessions were also attended by regulators from Colorado, Delaware, Idaho, Illinois, Maine, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Utah, Vermont, and Ontario, as well as commissioners and senior staff of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission. HEPG maintains an extensive web-based research library (www.hks.harvard.edu/hepg) that consistently comes up first on a Google search of electricity policy. Visiting CBG Research Fellows from ENEL Corporation worked with HEPG staff and members throughout the country to study US issues with capacity markets and US anti-trust laws governing retail access marketing that could be implemented in the new Italian competitive market, Nuclear energy The Program on Science, Technology, and Society began a two-year project on “Sociotechnical Imaginaries and Science and Technology Policy: A Cross-National Comparison.” One of three technologies to be examined in a cross-national comparison is nuclear power. A new working group on the future of nuclear energy was established by Managing the Atom Senior Research Associate Matthew Bunn. The group will meet regularly to exchange ideas and engage a broader set of researchers in work focused on managing the benefits and risks of nuclear energy. Managing the Atom Senior Research Associate Matthew Bunn and Belfer Center Director Graham Allison began preparing the first draft of a report by an independent panel commissioned by International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) DirectorGeneral Mohammed ElBaradei on the future of the IAEA, and launched a joint project with Russian colleagues (led by Evgeniy Velikhov, President of the Kurchatov Institute of Atomic Energy) on steps the U.S. and Russian governments Activities Detail - 7 can take to promote safe and secure growth of nuclear energy. Technological innovation In January 2008, ETIP began a three-year project on Energy Research, Development, and Deployment Policy, funded by a grant from the Doris Duke Charitable Foundation. ETIP Director Kelly Gallagher updated the DOE Budget Authority for Energy Research, Development, and Demonstration Database to incorporate the President’s request for Fiscal Year 2009. ETIP worked with Matt Bunn and Laura Diaz Anadon to write an analysis of the 2009 request. In November, HUCE organized a two-day, invitation-only workshop to discuss the feasibility of climate engineering: using technological means to manipulate the Earth’s atmosphere and reverse global warming. The 50 participants consisted of top climate scientists, engineers, physicists, political scientists, historians, and economists, including former Harvard President Lawrence Summers. The workshop was covered in the New York Times, Science, and Nature. In mid-April 2008, ETIP convened a diverse group of representatives for a workshop on the "Electrification of Energy" from major utilities, auto companies, regulatory bodies, research institutes and academia to discuss the prospects for greater utilization of electricity, predominately by the transportation and heating sectors. The discussion touched upon a vast array of issues that are central to the questions of how society could, if it should at all, significantly increase the use of electricity, and what would be the implications of increased electrification. ETIP staff note the following take-aways from the discussion: 1) the principal stakeholders have had very limited dialogue, 2) major challenges await any significant movement toward electrification, 3) current institutions and structures are inadequate for the task, though 4) collectively the resources and will to transform the energy system do exist. A research agenda was formulated at the workshop. Transportation and biofuels ETIP researchers continued investigating the role of biofuels in reducing greenhouse gases from the auto sector. In May, the U.S. Secretary of Agriculture, Mr. Ed Schafer, visited the Belfer Center for a talk on "The Environment and Biofuels," and later ETIP co-PI Henry Lee and Professor Bill Clark spent some time briefing him on ETIP’s work on biofuels. In January, ETIP Fellow Gustavo Collantes traveled to South America to gain insight into current activities related to biofuel production in Brazil and Argentina specifically, and to understand the potential implications of the expected expansion in biofuel production. Based on his visit, he began work on a paper on certification of low-carbon biofuels. Collantes also published a paper on CAFE and biofuels. Activities Detail - 8 In September, the Sustainability Science Program hosted a day-long discussion which addressed topics that included biofuels and economic development. In April, Henry Lee, Gustavo Collantes, and Rodrigo Wagner of the Harvard Kennedy School briefed the EPA on HKS biofuels research, focusing on policy options for encouraging biofuel production and consumption. The Biofuels and Globalization Project at the Harvard Kennedy School held a May 2008 Executive Session on Biofuels and Sustainable Development in San Servolo Island, Italy, in cooperation with the Italian Ministry for Environment, Land, and Sea and Venice International University. The off-the-record session brought together 30 scholars and practitioners from Latin America, Africa, Europe, and the United States. ETIP’s “Electrification of Energy” workshop (discussed in detail above in the category “Technological Innovation,”) examined the potential for electrification of transport. Activities Detail - 9 Energy Policy-Related Fellows at Harvard 2007-2008 Osvaldo Agripino de Castro Jr. is Professor of Regulation of Transports and Harbours and Maritime Law at Fundação Getúlio Vargas (Rio de Janeiro) and Master in Law Program of UNIVALI, Santa Catarina. Deck Officer Brazilian Merchant Marine (1983/1987). B.A. Law School of State of Rio de Janeiro University; LLM. Constitutional Law (1996); PhD in Law and Development (UFSC); Visiting Scholar at Stanford Law School (2000). Author of Introduction to Law and Development: Comparative Study to reform judicial system (Brazilian Bar Association, 2004, 864 p.) among others publications about US/Brazilian Legal Systems, Comparative Law, Maritime Law and Regulatory Law. Research interests: Regulation of Infrastructure (harbours and transports). (M-RCBG Fellow) Dr. Michael Burns is a project manager for South Africa’s Council for Scientific and Industrial Research Sustainability Science Programme. Burns’ work focuses on the practical implications of sustainability science in a developing world context and includes an examination of the impact of the petroleum sector on the resilience of the Niger Delta social-ecological system. (Giorgio Ruffolo Research Fellow in Sustainability Science) Jeff Bielicki is a mechanical engineer pursuing a Ph.D. in public policy at Harvard. His dissertation focuses on carbon capture and storage. Bielicki has worked as a mechanical engineer at Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory and the Laboratory of Laser Energetics at the University of Rochester. (ETIP Fellow) Altay Cengizer is the Ambassador from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Turkey. His research focuses on how the solution of frozen conflicts will help more secure energy politics to emerge. (Weatherhead Center for International Affairs Fellow). Daniele Cesano is the Founder of CO2nnect, a project development consultancy based in Italy and specializing in carbon markets and renewable energy, particularly bioenergy. His research aims to identify and develop appropriate frameworks for the development and dissemination of small-scale family agricultural systems in the semi-arid regions of Brazil and Mozambique, to develop a replicable model that increases agricultural productivity and promotes the production of biofuels. (Giorgio Ruffolo Research Fellow in Sustainability Science) Dan Chen is a doctoral candidate in environmental engineering at Tsinghua University, currently resident at the Harvard China Project in the School of Engineering and Applied Sciences. She is increasing the spatial resolution of an air quality model of China nested in Harvard’s global atmospheric model, to improve estimation of energy-derived emissions, air pollution concentrations, and impacts on human health and agriculture. (China Project Fellow) Dr. Ananth Chikkatur’s current research interests include implementing cleaner coal technologies and advanced biomass gasifiers in India, rural electrification, and international climate change. (ETIP Fellow) Fellows - 1 Gustavo Collantes holds a PhD in transportation technology and policy from the University of California at Davis. Until recently, he led the Policy and Business Strategy track of the Hydrogen Pathways project at UC Davis. He is a member of the Public Policy Committee of the Electric Drive Transportation Association and has advised staff members of the U.S. Congress. (ETIP Fellow) Mark Fagan’s work focuses on the creation of competitive markets. He has published working papers and articles examining the role of small and medium size enterprises in the economic development of China, the impact of electricity restructuring on electricity prices in the United States, the results of rail freight deregulation in the United States on market share in contrast to the European experience, and the institutional innovation required to support technological innovation. Mr. Fagan is founding partner of the management and consulting firm, Norbridge, Inc, and was Vice President at Mercer Management Consulting. He holds a Masters degree in regional planning and transportation from Harvard University. (M-RCBG Fellow) Eichiro Fujii is the Manager of the Regional Planning Department of the Tokyo Gas Company. His research interests focus on corporate alliances and firm restructuring in the energy industry. (Program on U.S.-Japan Relations Associate) Garth Heutel is an economist who studies the dynamic interactions between environmental policies and economic issues. As an Environmental Fellow, Garth plans to continue modeling and analyzing environmental policies using recently developed computational methods. He will work with Richard Zeckhauser, the Frank Plumpton Ramsey Professor of Political Economy at the Kennedy School of Government. Garth’s first research project at Harvard will examine other cases of grandfathering in environmental policies, such as the New Source Review policy of the Clean Air Act or Corporate Average Fuel Economy standards for new automobiles. Garth plans to develop a dynamic model of consumer choice of automobiles in the presence of these policies and estimate the model to evaluate the impact of policy changes. He also plans a study of the relationship between real business cycles and optimal environmental policy. (Harvard University Center for the Environment Fellow) Mun Ho has a Ph.D. in economics from Harvard University and is a senior researcher in the Harvard Institute for Quantitative Social Sciences and at Resources for the Future in Washington, DC. He and Dale Jorgenson have led the China Project’s economic research for fourteen years, working with numerous collaborators to develop, refine, and update a 34-sector general equilibrium model of the Chinese economy with emphasis on energy use and emissions. He is the lead economist in the China Project’s integrated framework for assessing total health and economic impacts of emission control options in China. (China Project Fellow) Godstime James is a doctoral candidate in the Interdisciplinary Doctoral Program at the University of Missouri at Kansas City. His major discipline is Geosciences with an emphasis on applied remote sensing and geographic information science. His dissertation research focuses on human-environment interactions and socio-economic impacts in coastal areas with emphasis on the impact of oil and gas exploration and extraction in the Fellows - 2 Mangrove ecological zone in the Niger Delta region of Nigeria. (Giorgio Ruffolo Doctoral Fellow in Sustainability Science). Juha Kiviluoma is a PhD candidate at Helsinki University of Technology. He is employed by VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland and received a one-year Fulbright grant to work on his thesis in the U.S. Kiviluoma holds a MS in environmental science and studies from the University of Helsinki. (ETIP Fellow) Naoki Kobayashi is a Senior Engineer at the Tokyo Electric Power Company. His research interests focus on the World Trade Organization, the harmonization of regulatory standards, and energy companies. (Program on U.S.-Japan Relations Associate) Yu Lei recently received his Ph.D. in environmental engineering from Tsinghua University and will now be a post-doctoral researcher in the Harvard China Project in the School of Engineering and Applied Sciences. Among other research he has developed a state-of-the-art, bottom-up emission inventory for non-power industrial sectors in China. (China Project Fellow) Jintai Lin has a Ph.D. in atmospheric chemistry from the University of Illinois-Urbana Champaign and is a post-doctoral researcher in the Harvard China Project in the School of Engineering and Applied Sciences. He works on the atmospheric science of the Project’s integrated framework for assessing total health and economic impacts of emission control options in China. (China Project Fellow) Xi Lu is a doctoral candidate in the Harvard School of Engineering and Applied Sciences. He is using NASA and European meteorological databases developed for and validated by hundreds of global air quality studies to quantify total wind and solar resource potentials in the U.S., China, and the world. (China Project Fellow) Kira Matus is a doctoral candidate in the Public Policy Program in the Sustainability Science program at the Harvard Kennedy School of government. She is working with the Green Chemistry Institute to explore the potential of green chemistry as a “leap-frog” technology in the United States, India, and China. (Giorgio Ruffolo Doctoral Fellow in Sustainability Science). Jonas Meckling is a PhD candidate in International Relations at the London School of Economics. His current research focuses on the role of European and US companies in climate politics. He has worked for the European Commission on environmental issues and has masters degrees from the London School of Economics and the University of Oldenburg, Germany. (ETIP Fellow) Reiko Nakamura is Professor of Economics at the National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies. Her research interest is in the regional market approach to controlling greenhouse gas emissions in the U.S. and Asia-Pacific region. (Program on U.S.-Japan Relations Associate) Fellows - 3 Hongyan He Oliver's current research focuses on sustainable transportation, energy security, and climate change in China, in particular, as well as technologies and policies concerning vehicle emissions, energy efficiency, and alternative fuels. She holds a Ph.D. from the Civil and Environmental Engineering Department, Stanford University (2005), a Master's degree in environmental economics and policy (1999) and a Bachelor's degree in environmental sciences (1996) from Beijing University. (ETIP Fellow) Peng Ru is a Ph.D. candidate in public management at Tsinghua University, where he also received his M.S. in public management and B.S. in thermal engineering. He is an assistant researcher and assistant director of the Center for Science, Technology and Education Policy at Tsinghua University (CSTEP) and is the vice president of All-China Students Federation. (ETIP Fellow) Guiseppe Tribuzzi holds a Master’s degree in Electrical Engineering from Rome University. He is currently Head of the Electricity Market Unit in the Regulatory Affairs Department of the ENEL Corporation SpA. His research fellowship, to be sponsored by ENEL, will focus on the definition of the electricity market scheme which can provide ancillary services with the best quality standard and lowest prices. (M-RCBG Fellow) Francesca Valente is the current Head of Regulatory Affairs and Antitrust Practices for ENEL Energy SpA. She holds a Bachelor’s Degree in Law from the Libera Università Internazionale degli Studi Sociali Guido Carli, Rome. Also to be sponsored by ENEL, her research will be concerned with the structure of relevant electricity markets in PJM system in order to investigate the concentration index of market shares, in particular the retail market. Also, to further analyze how retail sales of electricity work in PJM system, making a comparison with the EU and Italian market. (M-RCBG Fellow) Rui Wang recently received his Ph.D. in public policy from Harvard University, through the Harvard Kennedy School of Government. His Ph.D. research models transportation choice in Chinese cities. (China Project Fellow) Yuxuan Wang has a Ph.D. in atmospheric chemistry from Harvard University, and is a research associate and lecturer in the Harvard School of Engineering and Applied Sciences and Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences. She developed a highresolution air quality model of China nested within Harvard global atmospheric model, and is the lead scientist in the China Project’s integrated framework for assessing total health and economic impacts of emission control options in China. (China Project Fellow) Lifeng Zhao’s research focuses on advanced coal technology and related policies that promote the development and deployment of these technologies in China. Dr. Zhao holds a Doctor of Engineering Thermophysics from the Chinese Academy of Sciences and comes to the Kennedy School from the Institute of Engineering Thermodynamics at the Chinese Academy of Sciences. (ETIP Fellow) Yu Zhao recently received his Ph.D. in environmental engineering from Tsinghua University and will now be a post-doctoral researcher in the Harvard China Project in the School of Engineering and Applied Sciences. Among other research he has developed a Fellows - 4 state-of-the-art, bottom-up emission inventory for the electric power sector in China. (China Project Fellow) Fellows - 5 Energy Policy-Related Seminars and Speakers at Harvard 2007-2008 Overview of seminars The weekly Tuesday morning Energy Technology Innovation Program/Energy Policy Research Program seminar series on energy policy showcased new research by fellows and staff in the Energy Technology Innovation Policy research group and by other Kennedy School faculty and fellows. ( http://belfercenter.ksg.harvard.edu/project/10/energy_technology_innovation_policy. html) The Harvard Environmental Economics Program’s weekly seminar on environmental economics featured presentations by researchers from within and outside Harvard on topics including forecasting electricity demand, regulating “stock pollutants,” and the distributional impacts of carbon pricing. (http://www.hks.harvard.edu/m-rcbg/heep/) A weekly Sustainability Science Fellows Seminar served as a forum to fellows to present their research plans and work in progress. (http://www.cid.harvard.edu/sustsci/events/seminars/sustsci_fellows_seminar.html) The Harvard China Project Thursday seminar series hosts talks by external and internal speakers 1-2 times a month during the academic year. These talks, normally held in the School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, are designed to attract students, researchers, and faculty across fields and schools at Harvard and surrounding universities. ( http://chinaproject.harvard.edu/seminars/seminars-2008spring-term-schedule) The Kennedy School’s Regulatory Policy Program seminar series focused on questions of regulation and climate change throughout the year, featuring speakers from within and outside Harvard on topics including New England’s Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative, climate and trade, the cost of proposed climate policies, and the pros and cons of a carbon tax. ( http://www.hks.harvard.edu/mrcbg/rpp/seminars.html) The Future of Energy speaker series hosted the President of Iceland, Olafur Ragna Grimsson, to speak on the future of geothermal energy; Areva CEO Anne Lauvergeon, on the future of nuclear energy; and Congressman Ed Markey, on “Reclaiming U.S. Leadership in Global Warming,” and Susan Cischke of the Ford Motor Company, on “Sustainable Mobility.” (http://www.energy.harvard.edu/node/95) The Harvard Energy Journal Club met weekly to review the latest technical knowledge related to energy. Topics discussed included CO2 capture technology, the geology of petroleum, advanced solar, climate skepticism, and geothermal energy. (http://www.hcs.harvard.edu/hejc/) Seminars and Speakers - 1 Chronological listing of speakers and topics September 11, 2007: “Policy Options for Reducing Oil Consumption and Greenhouse Gas Emissions from the U.S. Transportation Sector.” Kelly Sims Gallagher, Harvard, and Gustavo Collantes, ETIP Fellow. September 12, 2007: China Project Seminar: “Environmental and Safety Costs of Urban Passenger Transport Modes in China.” WANG Rui, China Project Fellow. September 19, 2007: Sustainability Science Fellows Seminar: “Resilience Theory: Sustainability Analysis of the Petroleum Energy Economy.” Michael Burns, Giorgio Ruffolo Research Fellow. September 25, 2007: Future of Energy Series: “Geothermal Energy: Harnessing the Fire Inside,” Olafur Ragnar Grimmson. September 26, 2007: Sustainability Science Fellows Seminar: “Forging Strategies for Adaptation to Climate Change and Poverty Reduction: The Role of Water-Efficient technologies and Decentralized Biofuel Production in Semi-Arid Regions.” Daniele Cesano, Giorgio Ruffolo Research Fellow. September 28, 2007: Belfer Center Directors’ Lunch: “Arctic Natural Gas” Honorable Brendan Bell, Minister of Industry, Tourism, and Investment, Northwest Territories, Canada. October 3, 2007: Sustainability Science Fellows Seminar: “Human-Environment Interaction in the Mangrove Ecosystem of the Niger Delta Region of Nigeria.” Godstime James, Giorgio Ruffolo Doctoral Fellow. October 4, 2007: Belfer Center Directors’ Lunch: “Managing the Greenhouse Problem,” Dr. Thomas C. Schelling. October 9, 2007: ETIP Seminar Series: “Building a World that Buries Climate Change.” Jeffrey Bielicki. October 12, 2007: China Project Seminar: “The Economic Value of Air-PollutionRelated Health Risks in Chengdu, China.” Prof. James K. Hammitt, Director, Harvard Center for Risk Analysis, Harvard School of Public Health. October 15, 2007: “Powering the World: Trade-offs in Developing Tomorrow’s Energy Infrastructure.” David Gee, Executive Vice President, AES Corporation. October 17, 2007: Seminar in Environmental Economics and Policy. “Structural Uncertainty and the Value of Statistical Life in the Economics of Catastrophic Climate Change.” Martin Weitzman, Harvard University. Seminars and Speakers - 2 October 22, 2007: New Directions in Regulation Seminar Series: “The EU Emissions Trading Scheme,” A. Denny Ellerman, MIT. October 23, 2007: ETIP Seminar Series. “The Fuel Economy-Biofuels Connection: Does Low-Fossil Always Mean Low-Carbon?” Gustavo Collantes, Harvard. November 6, 2007: ETIP Seminar Series. “Continental Scale Wind Power: Resources and Variations in Production.” Juha Kiviluoma, ETIP Fellow. November 6, 2007: Institute of Politics Forum “Global Climate Disruption: What Do We Know, What Should We Do?” John Holdren, Harvard. November 8, 2007: New Directions in Regulation Seminar Series. “Global Warming Litigation: The Supreme Court’s Decision in Massachusetts v. EPA and its Implications.” Jody Freeman, Harvard Law School. November 9, 2007: China Project Seminar: “Impact of Rapid Environmental Changes on Climate in China: An Overview of EAST-AIRE.” Prof. LI Zhanqing, Department of Atmospheric and Ocean Science, University of Maryland. November 20, 2007: ETIP Seminar Series. “The Rise of Market Mechanisms in Global Climate Politics: Examining the Political Role of American and European Companies.” Jonas Meckling, ETIP Fellow. December 3, 2007: “Climate Change: Is Economics the Source of the Problem or the Key to the Solution?” Charles Kolstad, University of California, Santa Barbara. December 4, 2007: ETIP Seminar: “The Role of Scientists in the Science and Technology Policymaking in China.” Peng Ru, ETIP Fellow. January 11, 2008: Harvard Law School. “Climate Change, Petro-politics, and the Long War of the 21st Century.” James Woolsey, former Director of the CIA. February 5, 2008: ETIP Seminar “The Impact of Policies to Reduce Oil Consumption and GHG Emissions in the Transport Sector: Insights from NEMS.” Kelly Sims Gallagher, Harvard, and Gustavo Collantes, ETIP Fellow. February 6, 2008. Seminar in Environmental Economics and Policy. “Giving Green to Get Green? Incentives and Consumer Adoption of Hybrid Vehicle Technology.” Kelly Sims Gallagher, Harvard, and Erich Muehlegger, Harvard. February 6, 2008, “Prospects for a Nuclear Deal with Iran.” Gary Samore, Council on Foreign Relations. February 8, 2008. Atmospheric Sciences Seminar. “Hubbert’s Peak, the Coal Question, and Climate Change.” David Rutledge, California Institute of Technology. Seminars and Speakers - 3 February 8, 2008. China Project Seminar. “China Climate Policy and Opportunities for Engagement.” Deboarah Seligsohn, World Resources Institute. February 12, 2008. Energy Policy Research Programs. “Electricity Market Design.” William Hogan, Harvard. Feburary 14, 2008. China Project Seminar: “Understanding Emissions of Nitrogen Oxides from China Using Satellite Observations.” Dr. WANG Yuxuan, China Project Fellow. February 14, 2008. Transportation and Infrastructure Study Group. “Locating LNG Terminals in New England.” Susan Reid, Conservation Law Foundation. February 15, 2008. Regulation and Global Climate Change Seminar. “Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative: Emission Leakage and the Effectiveness of Interstate Border Adjustments.” Sue Wing, Boston University. February 15, 2008. “The Path to Fusion Power.” Chris Llewellyn-Smith, Director UKAEA Culham Division. February 19, 2008: ETIP Seminar. “An Economic Assessment of Deploying Advanced Coal Power Technologies in the Chinese Context.” Lifeng Zhao, ETIP Fellow. February 22, 2008: HUCE Green Conversations Series. “Plan B.” Lester Brown. February 22, 2008. “Energy: Beyond the Trends and Technologies.” Steven Koonin, British Petroleum. February 27, 2008: Energy and Natural Resources Program. “International Climate Policy.” Michael Grub, Carbon Trust. February 27, 2008: Seminar in Environmental Economics and Policy. “Consumer Durable Goods and the Long-Run Demand for Electricity.” David Rapson, Boston University. March 4, 2008. ETIP Seminar Series. “Application Oriented R&D: Aphorisms and Anecdotes.” Robert Frosh, ETIP Senior Research Associate. March 4, 2008. “Japan and Asia’s Environmental and Energy Politics.” Miranda Schreuers, Freie Universitat Berlin. March 4, 2008. “A Third Way on Climate: investment, Development, and Global Warming.” Michael Shellenberger and Ted Nordhaus. March 6, 2008. HUCE Green Conversations Series. “SmartGrid Platforms.” Gridpoint Technology. Seminars and Speakers - 4 March 8, 2008. The Dubai Initiative. “The OPEC Disease.” Abderrahmane Cherif, University of Chicago. March 11, 2008. Energy Policy Research Programs Series. “Demand for Fuel Efficiency and the Effects of Tighter Automotive Fuel Economy Standards.” Hunt Alcott, Harvard, and Erich Muehlegger, Harvard. March 12, 2008. Future of Energy Series. “Another Inconvenient Truth?” Anne Lauvergeon, Areva. March 18, 2008. Sustainability Science Fellows Seminar. “Green Chemistry – An International Perspective.” Kira matus, Giorgio Ruffolo Doctoral Fellow. March 18, 2008. ETIP Seminar Series. “Energy R&D and Policy.” Jack Johnston, ExxonMobil. March 18, 2008. China Project Seminar: “Smart Growth with Chinese Characteristics: Transportation/Land Use Integration in Urban China.” Prof. Randall Crane, Professor of Urban Planning and Associate Director, Institute of Transportation Studies, Department of Urban Planning, School of Public Affairs, UCLA. March 20, 2008. Regulation and Global Climate Change Seminar. “You’re Getting Warmer! The Kyoto Path.” Jeffrey Frankel, Harvard. April 1, 2008. ETIP Seminar Series. “Plug-in Electric Vehicles and the Power System.” Juha Kiviluoma, ETIP Fellow. April 8, 2008. Sustainability Science Fellows Seminar. “Biofuel Production, Community Development and Private Sector Engagement: What Could other Countries learn from Brazil?” Daniele Cesano, Giorgio Ruffolo Research Fellow. April 8, 2008. “Let’s Get Serious about Climate Change Policy: What’s Really Achievable at What Cost?” William A. Pizer, Resources for the Future. April 10, 2008. “Organizing Carbon Capture and Storage.” Jeff Bielicki, ETIP Fellow. April 10, 2008. “U.S. Energy Policy, Peak Oil, and Alternative Energy Sources.” John Xuna. April 15, 2008. Sustainability Science Seminar Series. “Impact of the Petroleum Sector on the Resilience of the Niger Delta Social-Ecological System.” Michael Burns, Giorgio Ruffolo Research Fellow. April 15, 2008. ETIP Seminar Series. “Biofuel Production, Poverty Reduction and Private Sector Engagement: What Can we Learn from the Brazilian Experience?” Daniele Cesano, Fellow, Sustainability Science Program. Seminars and Speakers - 5 April 16, 2008: Seminar in Environmental Economics and Policy. “Measuring the Distributional Impacts of Carbon Pricing.” Gilbert Metcalf, Tufts. April 17, 2008. Regulation and Global Climate Change Seminar. “An Analysis of U.S. Carbon Pricing Legislation.” Gilbert Metcalf, Tufts. April 17, 2008: China Project Seminar: “Reconciling China’s Economic Growth and Control of Air Pollution and Carbon Emissions.” Chris Nielson, Executive Director, and Dr. WANG Yuxuan and Dr. Mun HO, China Project Fellows. April 28, 2008. “Oil Shockwave: Oil Crisis Executive Simulation.” April 29, 2008. ETIP Seminar Series. “Coal Assessment and Extraction in India: Issues and Prospects.” Ananth Chikkatur, ETIP Fellow. April 29, 2008. Sustainability Science Seminar Series. “What is the Worth of Mangroves in the Niger Delta?” Godstime James, Giorgio Ruffolo Doctoral Fellow in Sustainability Science. April 30, 2008. Energy Policy Research Programs workshop. “Scramble vs. Blueprints.” Steven Fries and Roxanne Decyk, Royal Dutch Shell. May 1, 2008. Weatherhead Center for International Affairs/Program on U.S.-Japan Relations. “Managing Global Energy and Environmental Problems.” Riko Nakamura, GRIPS; Eiichiro Fujii, Tokyo Gas Company, and Naoki Kobayashi. May 5, 2008. The Future of Energy Series. “Sustainable Mobility: An Automaker’s Perspective on Transportation Energy & Climate Policy.” Susan M. Cischke, Ford Motor Company. May 6, 2008. Energy Policy Research Programs Series. “Optimal Environmental Policy under Economic Fluctuations.” Garth Heutel, HUCE Fellow. May 8, 2008. China Project Seminar. “One Country, Two Systems, One Environment: Environmental Cooperation Between Hong Kong and Guangdong.” Prof. Yok-Shiu F. LEE, Department of Geography, Hong Kong University, and Profs. Carolos Wing-Hung LO, Department of Management and Marketing, Hong Kong Polytechnic University. May 13, 2008. ETIP Seminar Series. “Perceptions of and Discourse on Emerging Energy Technologies for Climate Change Mitigation.” Jennie Stephens, ETIP Research Associate. May 15, 2008. China Project Seminar: “Environmental Regulatory Enforcement in China: Changes in Regulatory Enforcement Styles Among Enforcement Officials in Guangzhou.” Prof. Carolos Wing-Hung LO, Department of Management and Marketing, Hong Kong Polytechnic University. Seminars and Speakers - 6 Selected Harvard Energy Policy-Related Papers and other Publications 2007-2008 Aldy, Joseph E. and Robert N. Stavins, eds. Architectures for Agreement: Addressing Global Climate Change in the Post-Kyoto World. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007. Aldy, Joseph E. and Rober N. Stavins. “Climate Policy Architectures for the post-Kyoto world.” Nature vol. 50, no. 3 (May/June 2008). Cao, Jing. Essays on environmental tax policy analyses: Dynamic computable general equilibrium approaches applied to China. Ph.D. dissertation, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, 2007. Cao, Jing, Richard Garbaccio, Mun S. Ho. Benefits and costs of SO2 abatement policies in China. Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, 2008 (forthcoming). Chikkatur, Ananth. “Cleaner Power in India: Towards a Clean-Coal-Technology Roadmap.” Discussion Paper, Energy Technology Innovation Policy Research Group, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Winter 2007/08. Collantes, Gustavo. “The Dimensions of the policy debate over transportation energy: The case of Hydrogen in the United States.” Energy Policy. (March 2008):1059-1073. Energy: Old Challenges, New Opportunities. 2007 Energy Policy Forum, Walter M. Higgins and William W. Hogan, Co-chairs. The Aspen Institute, 2007. Gallagher, Kelly Sims. China Shifts Gears: Automakers, Oil, Pollution, and Development. The MIT Press, 2006. Gallagher, Kelly Sims and Erich Muehlegger. “Giving Green to Get Green: Incentives and Consumer Adoption of Hybrid Vehicle Technology.” KSG Faculty Research Working Paper Series, February 2008. Gallagher, Kelly Sims; Collantes, Gustavo; Holdren, John P.; Lee, Henry; and Robert Frosch. “Policy Options for Reducing Oil Consumption and Greenhouse-Gas Emissions from the U.S. Transportation Sector.” ETIP Discussion Paper. Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Summer 2007. Gallagher, Kelly Sims. “Synthesis of Comments Received on ‘Policy Options for Reducing Oil Consumption and Greenhouse-Gas Emissions from the U.S. Transportation Sector.’” ETIP Discussion Paper. Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, 2008. Guo, Xiaoqi and James K. Hammitt. Compensating wage differentials with unemployment: Evidence from China. Environmental and Resource Economics, 2008 (forthcoming). Papers/Publications - 1 Ho, Mun S., and Dale W. Jorgenson. Sector allocation of emissions and damage. Chapter 9 in Ho and Nielsen (2007, MIT Press, below). Ho, Mun S., and Dale W. Jorgenson. Policies to control air pollution damages. Chapter 10 in Ho and Nielsen (2007, MIT Press, below). Ho, Mun S., and Chris P. Nielsen, eds. Clearing the air: The health and economic damages of air pollution in China. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2007. Hogan, William, Gribik, Paul R., and Susan L. Pope. “Market-Clearing Electricity Prices and Energy Uplift.” December 31, 2007. Holdren, John P. “Science and Technology for Sustainable Well-Being.” Science (January 25, 2008): 424-434. Hu, Yuan. Implementation of voluntary agreements for energy efficiency in China. Energy Policy 35(11): 5541-5548, 2007. Kukrika, Nicholas. “Vegetable Oil Based Biofuels in India: An overview of the value chain and analysis of biofuels’ pro-poor potential.” ENRP Discussion Paper 2008-01. Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Cambridge, MA, January 2008. Lee, Henry and Dan A. Shalmon. “Searching for Oil: China’s Oil Initiatives in the Middle East.” KSG Faculty Research Working Paper Series, March 2007. Levy, Jonathan I., and Susan Greco. Estimating health effects of air pollution in China: An introduction to intake fraction and the epidemiology. Chapter 4 in Ho and Nielsen (2007, MIT Press, above). Liu, Bingjiang and Jiming Hao. Local population exposure to pollutants from the electric power sector. Chapter 6 in Ho and Nielsen (2007, MIT Press, above). Nielsen, Chris P. and Mun S. Ho. Air pollution and health damages in China: An introduction and review. Chapter 1 in Ho and Nielsen (2007, MIT Press, above). Nielsen, Chris P. and Mun S. Ho. Summary for policy. Chapter 2 in Ho and Nielsen (2007, MIT Press, above). Nielsen, Chris P. and Mun S. Ho. Summary for research. Chapter 3 in Ho and Nielsen (2007, MIT Press, above). Rogers, Peter, and Sumeeta Srinivasan. Comparing sustainable cities—Examples from China, India and the USA. Chapter in Sustainable urban development in China: Wishful thinking or reality, edited by Marco Keiner. Munster: Verlagshaus Monsenstein und Vannerdat, 2008. Papers/Publications - 2 Stavins, Robert N. “Addressing climate change with a comprehensive U.S. cap-and-trade system.” ENRP Discussion Paper 2008-01, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, John F. Kennedy School of government, Cambridge, MA, 2008. Wang, Rui. Autos, transit and bicycles: Transport choices in Chinese cities. Ph.D. dissertation, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, 2008. Wang, Yuxuan, Michael B. McElroy, J. William Munger, Jiming Hao, Hong Ma, Chris P. Nielsen, and Yu Chen. Variations of O3 and CO in summertime at a rural site near Beijing. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2008 (forthcoming). Wang, Yuxuan, Michael B. McElroy, Randall V. Martin, David G. Streets, Qiang Zhang, Tung-May Fu. Seasonal variability of NOX emissions over east China constrained by satellite observations: Implications for combustion and microbial sources. Journal of Geophysical Research 112, D06301, 2007. Wang, Yuxuan, Michael B. McElroy, K. Folkert Boersma, Henk J. Eskes, and J. Pepijn Veefkind. Traffic restrictions associated with the Sino-African Summit: Reductions of NOX detected from space. Geophysical Research Letters 34, L08814, 2007. Wei, Yi-Ming, Lan-Cui Liu, Ying Fan, and Gang Wu. The impact of lifestyle on energy use and CO2 emission: An empirical analysis of China’s residents. Energy Policy 35(1):247-257, 2007. Wing, Ian Sue and Marek Kolodziej. “The Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative: Emission Leakage and the Effectiveness of Interstate Border Adjustments.” Regulatory Policy Program Working Paper Series, RPP-2008-03. Zhao, Lifeng and Kelly Sims Gallagher. “Research, development, demonstration, and early deployment policies for advanced-coal technology in China.” Energy Policy (December 2007): 6467-6477. Zhou, Ying, Jonathan I. Levy, James K. Hammitt, and John S. Evans. Population exposure to pollutants from the electric power sector using CALPUFF. Chapter 7 in Ho and Nielsen (2007, MIT Press, above). Zhou, Ying and James K. Hammitt. The economic value of air-pollution-related health risks in China: A contingent valuation study. Chapter 8 in Ho and Nielsen (2007, MIT Press, above). Papers/Publications - 3 Harvard External Speaking Highlights 2007-2008 The Harvard Project on International Climate Agreements (HPICA) Architectures for Agreement frameworks were discussed at a standing-room-only side panel at the 13th United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change in Bali, Indonesia. At another standing-room-only Bali Conference side event, Science, Technology, and Public Policy Program Director John Holdren spoke on “Linking Climate Policy with Development Strategy: Options for Brazil, China, and India,” summarizing the Phase I report on this multi-year project. John Holdren spoke at a number of other venues, including the following: The first Informal Thematic Debate of the General Assembly, United Nations in the Summer of 2007 (lead panelist). The Clinton Global Initiative Annual Meeting. The Harvard Kennedy School’s John F. Kennedy, Jr. Forum The John H. Chafee Memorial Lecture on Science and the Environment during the 8th National Conference on Science, Policy and the Environment. 8th National Conference on Science, Policy and the Environment: Climate Change: Science and Solutions, where he presented on "Meeting the Climate-Change Challenge” Investor Summit on Climate Risk, UN Headquarters, New York, February 14, 2008. Holdren addressed the group on the topic of "Global Climatic Disruption: Risks and Opportunities." Washington International Renewable Energy Conference (WIREC 2008), March 4, 2008. Holdren gave a presentation to the plenary session on research and development for renewable energy technologies. CBS's "The Late Show with David Letterman" on April 17, 2008, where he spoke about climate science and policy. Holdren has also been advising Letterman in an informal capacity on climate change for the past year or so. As President of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) in 2007, John Holdren gave the Presidential Lecture, on the theme of "Science and Technology for Sustainable Well-Being." External speaking - 1 In a Hamilton Project/Brookings Institution paper published this fall, Professor Robert Stavins argued that the United States should adopt a cap-and-trade system for carbon emissions. He discussed his work at a forum organized by the Hamilton Project/Brookings Institution analyzing his and a competing proposal. Kelly Sims Gallagher served as a discussant on the technology policy panel at this event. William W. Hogan presented the initial address of the plenary session of the 2007 assembly of the Club de Madrid on the topic of “Democratizing Energy: Geopolitics and Power.” Henry Lee spoke at the Lincoln Institute for Land Policy in October 2007 and again in April 2008 on “Climate Change: Emerging Public Policy Issues.” In March, John Holdren and Kelly Gallagher were asked by Harvard University President Drew Faust to join her in Shanghai for a Harvard Alumni Association event. There, Holdren and Gallagher both gave presentation before the assembled audience and then met personally with several key individuals on Chinese energy issues: Mr. WAN Gang, China's Minister of Science and Technology. In March, China Project Executive Director Chris Nielsen and Fellows Dr. WANG Yuxuan and Dr. Mun HO spoke at Tsinghua University and at Peking University in Beijing on “Reconciling China’s Economic Growth with Control of Air Pollution and Carbon Emissions.” In May, China Project Executive Director Chris Nielson spoke at the American Academy of Arts and Sciences on “Understanding China’s Air Quality and Carbon Emissions…or Not.” Kelly Gallagher has been traveling extensively giving talks on coal, climate change, and China. Since just January, Gallagher has spoken at the following venues: Dean's Lecture Series, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, 4 March 2008. The Rise of China: Global Challenges and Opportunities Conference, Mount Holyoke College, Amherst, 7 March 2008. China: Challenge and Change, The Ash Institute for Democratic Governance and Innovation, Harvard Kennedy School, 10 April 2008. U.S.-China Relations: A Synergetic Connection, The US-China Peoples Friendship Association, 17-18 April 2008. Roundtable on the Future of Climate Programming at the Rockefeller Brothers Fund, Rockefeller Brothers Fund, Pocantico, 1 May 2008. External speaking - 2 HEPG’s research director, Professor William Hogan, testified regularly before the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission. Matthew Bunn, Senior Research Associate, Project on Managing the Atom, presented “Safety, Security, Safeguards: Enabling Nuclear Energy Growth,” to the Global Nuclear Future Workshop at the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. External speaking - 3 Illustrative Participation by Harvard Faculty and Staff on Energy-Policy Related Boards, Committees, etc. 2007-2008 Asia Society/Brookings Institution/Council on Foreign Relations. Kelly Gallagher serves on a task force charged with identifying and promoting breakthroughs on U.S.China dialogue on climate change. Global Energy Assessment. Kelly Gallagher will serve as a Lead Author of the GEA chapter on energy innovation. Lifeng Zhao was also invited to join the study. Harvard University. Professor William Clark will chair and Professor John P. Holdren will sit on the President's task force charged with examining Harvard's greenhouse gas emissions and charting a plan to reduce its carbon footprint. International Energy Agency. Kelly Gallagher was invited to be a reviewer for the IEA's China National Development and Reform Commission report on China's Coal Strategy, to be released in May 2008. Gallagher has already submitted extensive comments on the draft. McKinsey & Company. Kelly Gallagher has been invited to join a review panel of an update of McKinsey's global greenhouse gas emissions abatement cost curve, which is a comprehensive mapping of all the opportunities to reduce global emissions. National Commission on Energy Policy. John Holdren and Kelly Gallagher continue their work with NCEP and participate in their regular meetings in Washington, D.C. NCEP last met in April. Transportation Review Board, National Academy of Sciences. Kelly Gallagher will join an Expert Task Group, under the heading "Incorporating Greenhouse Gas Emissions into the Collaborative Decision Making Process," related to how the state and local transportation planning process can address greenhouse gas emissions from passenger vehicles. Transportation Review Board, National Academy of Sciences. Henry Lee is a member of the committee on "Study of Potential Energy Savings and Greenhouse Gas Reductions from Transportation" that is charged with reviewing policies and strategies to affect behavior and improve fuel economy for passenger and freight U.S. National Academy of Sciences-Russian Academy of Sciences. Managing the Atom Senior Research Associate Matthew Bunn is serving on a joint committee on international approaches to the nuclear fuel cycle, designed to reduce the proliferation risks of nuclear energy growth. Working Group for Investment in Reliable and Economic Electricity Systems. HEPG Executive Director Ashley Brown served on the Blue Ribbon Panel on Cost Allocation for the development of new transmission investment. Boards and Committees - 1