Department of Statistics The Wharton School University of Pennsylvania Statistics 102 Spring 2006 ____________________________________________________________ Professor: Office: Email: Telephone: Andreas Buja (Sections 001 and 002) 471 JMHH buja@wharton.upenn.edu 215-898-8236 Professor: Office: Email: Telephone: Michael Smith (Section 003) 470 JMHH michaesm@wharton.upenn.edu 215-898-8228 Office hours: Th 1-6pm and by appointment (Sections 001 and 002) Th 1-6pm and by appointment (Section 003) (Both instructors are available for all three sections.) Classes meet: Section 001, MW 10:30-11:50, in F85 JMHH Section 002, MW 1:30-2:50, in F85 JMHH Section 003, TTh 10:30-11:50, in F85 JMHH Teaching Assistants and Stat Lab Name: Dongyu Lin Alex Braunstein Email: dongyu braunsf Office/Phone: 427.1/8-6360 433.3/8-1249 Office Hours: Mon, 12-1:30 Tue, 1:30-3:30 Shaun Lysen slysen 433/8-1247 Tue, 3:30-5:30 (@wharton) (JMHH/215-89) The Stat Lab provides help with statistics to anybody on campus. It is located in F96 JMHH and is open on days when classes are in session. For staffing and hours, see http://www-stat.wharton.upenn.edu/~juntianx/statlab.html Whoever you find there may or may not be able to help with homework. Therefore, most useful for you are the Stat Lab hours staffed by our own TAs: Dongyu Lin: Wed, 11-1; Alex Braunstein: Fri, 9-11; Shaun Lysen: Fri, 11-1 Course website Statistics 102 is using webCafe. You can gain access by going to http://webcafe.wharton.upenn.edu and following the link to the Statistics Department. All materials for this course will be distributed and managed via the website, and you will be able to monitor your grade entries throughout the semester. Note for non-Wharton students: If you do not have a Wharton computing account, you will need to establish one to access the website. The account also provides access to the computing labs in Wharton and to the intranet. To get an account, on or after the first day of classes, go to http://accounts.wharton.upenn.edu After you have obtained your account, allow up to 12 hours for activation. Wharton students and students who have recently taken a Wharton course have existing accounts. Course Overview This course develops ideas for helping to make decisions using four fundamental statistical methods: Regression analysis, the analysis of variance, logistic regression, and time series. Students beginning the course should be familiar with the key ideas covered in Statistics 101: data displays (including boxplots, histograms, the normal distribution, scatterplots), summary statistics (including mean, standard deviation), and basic properties of statistical estimates and tests (including standard error, confidence intervals, p-values). The course will focus on critical interpretation and analysis of assumptions. We will use JMP IN to carry out computations. The course does not dwell on the details of computation—its main focus is understanding and interpretation of statistical results. Materials Business Analysis Using Regression: A Casebook, by D. Foster, R. Stine, and R. Waterman, Springer-Verlag, 2001 (revised printing). This and class notes (posted on the web site) are the main resources for the course. JMP IN 5 statistical software and handbook. We highly recommend you buy the software so that you have it on your own computer. We will use it extensively in class and you will need to know how to read its output and use it for assignments and for reading and interpreting quiz and examination questions. When you install the software on your computer you will also have installed five manuals, all in pdf format. For those who don’t want to buy the software, JMP IN is available on machines in the Wharton Computer Labs, located in F75 and F80 JMHH. Homework There will be approximately six homework assignments Each homework will be assigned at a lecture and will be due in class a week later unless otherwise noted. Hand in a paper copy; no email. Keep a dated file with your solutions on your computer in case the paper copy gets misplaced. Homework will not be accepted late. The homework is designed to teach and you are encouraged to seek help from the instructor and the TAs if you have questions. You may also work with and help each other. Unless otherwise instructed, you must submit your own solutions, with your own writeup and in your own words. Verbatim copying is against the honor code. Examinations Two midterm examinations are scheduled: Monday, February 13th, 6-8 pm Monday, March 13th, 6-8 pm The final examination will be Wednesday, May 3, 3:00-5:00pm. In-class quizzes will be held approximately every other week. Each quiz will last ten minutes and will begin at the start of class. There will be about six quizzes during the semester. Each quiz will be announced in advance in class, and a reminder will be posted on webCafe. Examinations and quizzes should be written in ink. Those submitted in pencil will not be considered for regrading. Grading and Grading Policy Your course grade will be calculated as 20% homework, 20% quizzes, 30% midterm examination score, and 30% final examination. Your lowest homework score will be dropped. Note that nonsubmission counts as a zero score. Your lowest quiz score will be dropped. Note that a missing quiz counts as a zero score. The midterm examination score is the greater of your two midterm examination scores. A missing midterm examination counts as a zero score. There will be no makeup midterm examinations.