BULLETIN ITEM: Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 2 2006 Impeach The Gangsters Who Fabricated 911 & The Bogus War On Terror Dossier on the 911 Hoax: Is in final edit, draft has been withdrawn from the Web because of abuse. (ECB August 2, 2006, MWM) LATEST THREAT ASSESSMENTS: Solar and tectonic conditions will remain mild for the next several days. As last week, volcanism is up a little more but seismic activity is down a little more. Solar at 11 is way down. NEXT FULL MOON PERIGEE SYZYGY IS AUGUST 7 THROUGH 12. Short and high energy for tectonic activity. Watch out South Cal, Aleutians, Fiji/Tonga, Indonesia broadly, Northern Chile/Argentina. NO CHANGE: High temperature deviations in the North Atlantic are more propitious than ever for drawing a lot more Atlantic storms into New England through Newfoundland. Carib and Gulf conditions highly propitious for vigorous hurricane season. But, due to breakup of current air mass regimes and the coming of major planetary alignments and sunspot spikes in August, except August to be VERY energetic. All variables will be HIGH at that time. NO CHANGE IN OUR COLLECTIVE GEOPATHOS. Grave dangers of additional miscalculation by the Bush/Cheny/Zionazi War Junta. Greater war is intended by crazy white men whose families came from Eastern Europe and never got what America is about. YOU THOUGHT I WAS EXAGERATING LAST WEEK? Would that I was. There are large rat packs of crazed white men in Washington DC and New York who are foaming rabidly at the mouth, bellowing incessantly for unneeded, fruitless, unjustifiable wars to slap-bitch the indianarabians into complete submission. Never have so many people been at the mercy of such demented lunatics, it was rarely this bad under the Roman Empire until Constantine the Horrible took it over. How is it that the Bush/Cheny/Zionazi Junta makes the Caesars look good? What is with that? How do we get rid of this infection? LAST WEEK’S PREDICTIONS NOW UNFOLDING: Clearly Zionazi Israel is now intending to destroy as much as Lebanon as it possibly can, (without hardly seeming to as crocodile tears flow freely), before they are stopped by international outrage. All this is a continuation of the destruction of Gaza, which is now mostly a dysfunctional ruin. Complete economic-social-political obliteration of all Palestinian institutions and Mass Ethnic Cleansing is the name of this campaign. General Custerbush and his crazed pack of barbarians are still rapidly advancing to their destiny at Little Big Horn. Aren’t you weary of this endless replay? Better rally at the next and closest demonstration which demands an end to American military involvement in the Middle East and the cessation of the Zionazi tap on the U.S. Treasury. YOURA DAILY TOON http://www.youra.com/utoons/dailytoon.jpg Polar Motion: - no change as recovery seems underway The anomaly still seems to be slowly resolving. An expanding spiral motion in the 7 year Chandler Wobble cycle is now revealing that the largest phase shift in recorded history of polar motion has in fact occurred. Since we do not know exactly where we are yet in the new seven year cycle, we probably will not be able to completely define the magnitude mathematically for another three years or so. The phase shift may be, by present appearances, in the range of 90 degrees. As far as the amount of displacement of the average location of the Spin Axis, this “appears” as of the moment to have recovered to within historical norms of the last half of Century 20. The overall displacement appears to have been some 83.3 centimeters of 32.8 inches, which if averaged over six years since the last MIN in the size of the wobble, (measured as MIN on the X Axis), we have averages of 13.9 centimeters and 5.5 inches compared with the approx. 12.5 centimeter average annual displacement of last half of Century 20. (These numbers by graphical dead-reckoning of the average spin location). This however is merely appearance at the moment and as should be known the wobble is somewhat irregular so it is better to base such a figure on a longer time frame somewhat more “after the fact”. The size of this average displacement is radically less than observed last February. Here is now my interpretation of this anomaly. The Great Sumatra Rupture of December 2004 occurred while the wobble in the Spin Axis was decreasing in size down nearly into the beginning of its smallest spiral size (each spiral is about 14 months long). The Great Rupture disrupted the fluidic motion of the Spin Axis sufficiently to send it on a long careen considerably out of its “balanced” trajectory. This resulted in its sudden “arrest” in November 2005 through February 2006, which was caused by the geophysical vectors which establish the Earth’s overall balance. So the “arrest” was balance reasserting itself. To return in equipoise, the Earth’s Spin Axis skipped literally during a 90 day period into a new cycle of wobble motion, hence the cartioid shape of the motion of the Spin Axis on the Wobble Track graphs. This of course is seen as a phase shift in the X and Y graphs which are produced by the IERS Agency. From this I infer that all else is as before, only a little earlier because we are further advanced in a new wobble cycle than we would have been. Using past correlations as a guide, we should see a substantial increase in earthquake and especially volcanic activity fairly soon. I strongly suspect that the upcoming new season of volcanic activity, which usually begins in December closely associated with the Earth’s Perihelion phase, will set new world records. Quake activity should upsurge with the upcoming “season” of Full Moon Perigees, which will commence this very month on August 9/10 and extend through November 2006. Solar Activity: and weather Flux at 73, slightly rising?. Sunspots about 10, declining. We have exited solar wind gusts from coronal holes. Magnetic A Index at 12, falling? Magnetic storm probability is in range of 25% during next 48 hours in high latitudes, little chance of major solar storms. Only minor disturbances on the U of Alaska Fluxgate Monitor. Thus, little energy from cosmic vectors into the atmosphere, as has been true past 14 days. Welcome to Solar Min, to which we are very close). This is a good example of Summer in a Solar Min during a Global Warming Syndrome. The atmosphere is becalmed, baking the continents. Drought damage is still mounting in some areas but substantial relief has already hit the Pacific Southwest. Black Canyon City has had three good major rainstorms during the past week. Blew off my phone connections for two days but I was happy for the storms. Be mindful of food supplies. All this heat is disrupting normal agriculture. Has killed my three tomato plants, my parsley, my lettuce, despite my best efforts to shade and cool them. The only survivor is a Japanese eggplant and some cactus starts. Some supplies will become tighter and more expensive in all basics. Volcanic Activity: We are in the midst of a definite upsurge. The number of active volcanoes is the same as last week but at least half of them are definitely oozing more lava or smoking more than last wee. Etna is rumbling and an explosive eruption is now feared, Kilauea oozes even more with others in Central America, Peru, Philippines, and Indonesia, and most of them have been emitting ash; 31 now active (same as last week), 6 restive (same as last week), 71 alert according to the SWVC (highest alert number in four years). I was wrong about last week, this is a higher tide and though the tide is due to turn fairly soon, next week could bring even more activity. ARE WE IN THE UPSURGE WHICH OCCURES AFTER A WOBBLE MIN PERIOD? Could be, there may not be much decline but even so we should see an early upsurge for the next season, beginning as early as November. Earthquake Activity: Betwixt syzygy and thus, as expected, activity is low in magnitude and frequency for all over 4.0. Quake activity is random. I do not expect much change during the next few days. Very low seismic danger period, all in all. But, the next syzygy period, which will commence about August 7, may be more dangerous than in several months. BE ADVISED. There was an increase in shape-shifters in the Mid Atlantic Rifts this past seven days, this adds poignancy to the issue. The Carib and Baja plates may be disposed to move more rapidly this coming Perigee. There are four continuing focal points which accounts for most of the world’s activity above 4.0: Indonesia broadly, Fiji/Tonga Islands, Northern Chile, Aleutians. Watch these areas carefully during the next Full Moon Cycle. These are doubtless the most dangerous zones at this time. Also watch South Cal carefully. LUNAR SCHEDULE: Perigee Jul 13 17:36 Aug 10 18:29 Sep 8 3:08 Oct 6 14:08 Nov 3 23:52 Dec 2 0:07 New 2006 2006 2006 2006 2006 2006 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 364286 359754 357174 357409 360597 365922 25 23 22 22 20 20 km km km + km km km 4:32 19:11 11:46 5:15 22:18 14:01 F+2d14h F+1d 7h F+ 8h F- 13h F-1d13h F-3d 0h Full 2006 2006 2006 2006 2006 2007 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Apogee Jul 29 13:03 405404 km Aug 26 1:24 406270 km Sep 22 5:22 406498 km -Oct 19 9:36 406073 km Nov 15 23:21 405192 km Dec 13 18:57 404416 km 9 7 7 5 5 3 10:56 18:44 3:14 12:59 0:25 13:58 Since the New Moon Syzygies will be far from Perigees during the next three lunar cycles, their influences will be the weakest of 2006. On August 9, a Full Moon will be followed by an August 10 Perigee. Thereafter through the Fall, Full Moons should have the maximum syzygy punch on the Earth. All dates UTC. Here is the list of the remaining Super Moon Syzygies for 2006, meaning a New or Full Moon at Perigee or within 90 per cent. SEP 07, 2006 | 06:43 PM | FULL MOON OCT 07, 2006 | 03:13 AM | FULL MOON In accordance with Hotno’s remarks, the October Full Moon may be the deadliest during 2006, esp. through the Medit-Himalayan Belt. PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS: CONFIRMED SO FAR AS OBSERVED TWO WEEKS AGO: the Sun is almost at MINIMA and there is only one very small sunspot on the farside of the Sun. In other words, there is very little petulant activity which can rotate into the alignment in July. This suggests strongly the Mercury | Earth alignment will be diminished. THIS MAY SAVE SOME CARIB AND GULF COAST LINES THIS YEAR. The timing of the rapid die-off of solar activity is not very predictable but it is a welcome ray of hope which may result in this Hurricane Season remaining closer to the old averages than the new trends established during 2004/05. N+4d 8h N+2d 6h N6h N-2d19h N-4d22h N-6d19h However, keep in mind that precisely because the Sun is mutable and somewhat chaotic in its responses to the planets, which makes exact prediction impossible and most forecasts somewhat sloppy, we could see a sudden flare-out of new activity at any time. August should lull down for the first two weeks until another double-header alignment forms up on about August 21. The Earth will align with Neptune about August 20, which will produce a minor peak in Solar Activity about August 15, while Mercury will align with Venus about August 21 and quickly speed by Saturn the next day. These passages most likely will produce another spectacular increase in Solar Activity. Beware then, THE IDES OF AUGUST. Hurricane activity will be greatly stimulated during the third week of August leading into the New Moon period on August 23. The New Moon of August may be especially ominous this year. But wait it can and most likely will get worse about the end of August when Solar Activity is pulled out in even larger volumes by a triple header alignment on September 4. September 4 will bring alignments between Venus and Saturn, Mercury and Mars, and Earth and Uranus. This may very likely produce a week long plateau above 50 in the Sunspot Count, along with three distinct peaks, one of which will reach towards 100. Any hurricanes which form up about the New Moon of August 23 or during the ensuing week are likely to be stimulated THREE TIMES by the Sun, a few days apart each time. This will be a very good time indeed to be a long ways away from Gulf and Eastern beaches. Take your last August and early September vacation in the Mountains, preferably the Rockies, or in places like Maine and Newfoundland. ATMOSPHERIC VORTEX HURRICANE WATCH: Much diminished for North America. This season probably will not meet the projections, though some battering is likely to occur this month from possibly a couple of Cat 3 plus storms. Is this the result of the Solar MIN conditions into which we have become becalmed? Apparently so, apparently reduced solar activity has neutralized the extremes of Global Warming for this year. If so, this could persist for another couple of years. PACIFIC WATCH: NO CHANGE. All temperature patterns in the Pacific have broken up. All anomalies dissolving. No seeds of El Nino or La Nina are present. These developments portend a more normal year in the western portion of North America (within the new normal of the Global Warming Syndrome). HOWEVER, there is water much warmer than normal parked off the California/Baja coasts. This is probably partly to blame for the becalming of the atmosphere over the continent. ATLANTIC WATCH: Conditions seem as they are on average for this time of year. No anomalies to report except around Newfoundland. All Carib and Gulf Basin sea surface temperature appears at about the same temperature. This will promote equipotential for the land fall of all storms, thus these will likely be heavily influenced more by jet stream mechanics than by the sea surface temperatures. NEWFOUNDLAND: VERY BAD NEWS UNLESS YOU LIKE BIG OCEAN STORMS. The water off Newfoundland has consolidated into a much larger warm patch which is persisting strongly. As it did during the past four weeks, this will be sure to suck more floody storms into the New England area. This “pull on the atmosphere” could help bring in a major hurricane which hits up “high” onto New York as is now subliminally feared and oft discussed. Since it is in the ethers, the planetary alignments, and in the ocean charts, those who live there should be concerned about major destructive storms riding during August and September into New England and of course anywhere along the Southern coasts. Have your “battens” well fastened. Take a look at all this on the “Anomalies Chart” at http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_update/gsstanim.shtml SOUTHWEST: DO NOT EXPECT ANYTHING REMOTELY SIMILAR TO A NORMAL MONSOON. So far this has been right on. No longer certain why. The atmosphere has less motion and energy in it than I thought it would have from Global Warming. Has that slowed this year. Could be. Not sure what is going to happen next here. While the continent baked this past week, we had cloudy scales and cooling moisture. It was actually livable this last half of July, even without an air conditioner for a couple of days, which is profoundly unreal for Arizona this time of year. Our air conditioner blew out after a storm last week and instead of having to move to a motel until it was fixed, we simply opened the doors while the T storms rolled by. Luckily we found an honest pro who made a simple electrical repair to the controller before the sky cleared up again. THIS IS ON TRACK – BUT CONSIDERABLY MORE SLOWLY THAN LAST YEAR: - AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED – I expect that the acceleration of Global Warming during the last four years will sustain a stiff drought regime in the desert latitudes of North and South America, Africa, and through the Middle East for the next several years. I believe we are likely to see dust bowl conditions widespread in both Africa and America. During the next several years, there is not likely to be much relief in Africa and the Sonoran Desert in the PSW of the U.S. The PSW probably will not see much monsoon rain except in the high elevations above 7000 feet. There may not be any relief until the next El Nino, which will come during 2007 or 2008 at the latest This pattern will continue to persist for the foreseeable future under the global warming trend. There will be occasional short-lived relief, as in late 2004 and early 2005, from El Nino wet air, but most of this wet air will probably end up far to the North and to the East, producing extremes of flooding and large numbers of tornadoes in other areas. In other words, the new normal is there is no normal at all, just a deepening of chaotic extremes. AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED, BUT MORE SLOWLY THAN LAST YEAR: Weather PATTERNS will continue to be non-normal because of the chaotic mixing effects which Global Warming Syndrome is inducing into the flow of air. All local regimes will continue to be perturbed and this perturbance will gradually get more and more surreal through this time of the rapidly accelerating Change In The Earth. No normality will be seen for at least the next four millennia. All biomes will relentlessly migrate and transmute. Catastrophic impact of the weather in some regions, such as the Carib Basin, will ebb and flow in severity in response to the modulation imposed by the 7 year cycle in the Wobble, (the Primary Axis Cycle). In general, the coast lines of the Gulf area, including Florida, are in process of being destroyed and this process will accelerate. Within the next 24 months, it is likely that North Americans will give up on the Gulf Coast. The islands in the Carib Basin will face the same issues and abandonment of some of these will commence as well during the next four years. SCRIPPS EL NINO WATCH: - no change since June 5 see http://meteora.ucsd.edu/~pierce/elnino/elnino.html “Forecast Summary (Updated August 1 2006): The model is forecasting the current cold conditions to be replaced by mild warm conditions by the end of 2006.” ECB Commentary: Right on. I expect now to see El Nino arrive during the Fall of 2007 to last through the Spring of 2008. This coming El Nino probably will be driven by a record-breaking increase in world volcanism during late 2006 and through 2007. The El Nino will break a lot of climate/weather records.