Exercise 3 SH_part 2006 Suggested solution Problem 1 a) Mass when vibrating in water: M = (m + a33) Stiffness: K = gAWL Damping coefficient: C = 2 ξ 3 MK b) For a linear system characterized by Eq. (1.1), the steady state heave response process will be on the form: x3(t) = x30 sin (t - ) The modulus part of the transfer function, the response amplitude operator, from force to heave response is defined as the ratio between the heave amplitude and the force amplitude: ∣ H QX¨ 3 ω ∣ = x 30 = RAO ω Q30 The RAO is as the name suggests a scaling factor to be multiplied by the load amplitude for obtaing the response amplitude. This quantity does not include any phase information. The transfer function does also include information about the phase information shift, . Generally speaking, the transfer function is a complex function given by: H QX ω = ∣ H QX 3 ω ∣ e− iθ 3 In order to be a structure characteristic, a linear mechanical system is assumed, i.e as the load is doubled so is also the response. c) As mentioned above, it is the steady state response that can be written as suggested. This solution assumes that the homogeneous solution has died out. This will take place if damping is present. If there is no damping or one is concerned with the response immediately after the force is started, the resulting solution will look like: x 3 t = x30 sin ωt − θ − ξ 3 ω0 t e A sin ωd t B cos ωd t 0 is the natural frequency (undamped) and d is the damped natural frequency. A and B d) The transfer function characterises the steady state solution, i.e it is assumed that the introductory noise caused by the homogeneous solution is assumed to have died out. Introducing the steady state solution, x 3 t = x 30 sin ωt − φ = x 30 cosφ sinωt − x 30 sin φcosωt in the equation of motion yields after pooling terms with sint and cost: [ K − ω2 M ωC sin φ] x 30 sin ωt cosφ [− K − ω2 M sin φ ωC cosφ] x30 cosωt = Q30 sin ωt If this equations shall be fulfilled at any time, we must require that the coefficient in front of cos t is identical equal to zero. Solving that equation yields the an expression from which the phase angle is found by inversion: tg φ = sin φ ωc = cos φ K − ω2 M Similarly, equalling the coefficients in front of the sine terms, yields: [ K − ω2 M ωC tgφ] x30 = Q30 cosφ With tg given above and cos given by: 1 = cosφ 1 tg2 φ we find: x 30= Q30 2 K− ω M 2 ωC 2 = Q30 K 1 M 2 1 − ω2 K ω C K 2 Using that: ω0 = K M C = 2ξ 3 M K β= ω ω0 x30 is shown to be equal to what is given by (1.2) in the problem text. For a natural period of 23s and an exitation period of 16s, the frequency ratio, , becomes: 1.4375 For this frequency ratio and a relative damping of 15%, we DAF = 0.87, i.e. the inertial forces helps to reduce the heave amplitude below the quasi-static level. As the period is increasing towards 23s, DAF will of course increase above 1. e) The RAO between force and response is given by: RAOQX ω = DAF K The RAO between wave and force, RAOQ(), can be found by exposing the platform to harmonic waves with frequency and amplitude 0. As the corresponding load amplitude is found, we have as above: RAOQ() = Q30/0 f) The RAO or absolute value of the transfer function from wave to heave response is denoted ∣ H ηX ω ∣ . Below we will for simplicity denote it by RAO(). As the significant wave height, hs and the spectral peak period, tp, are known, we can determine the wave spectrum by e.g. select a JONSWAP spectrum parameterized in terms of hs and tp, see e. g. the example metocean report. With the wave spectrum and the RAO known, the respons spectrum is given by: sX ω = RAO ω 2 Sη ω If we assume the wave process to be Gaussian and both the load and the mechanical system are linear, the response process is also Gaussian. The maxima of a Gaussian process (reasonably narrow banded) follow a Rayleigh distribution. The most probable largest value, x , during a time perod, T, is defined as the value which is only expected to be exceeded once during the sea state, i.e: P X max { x = exp − 1 x 2 σX 2 } = 1 nT The variance is found by: σX = ∫ s X ω dω The number of maxima is found as the time period T devided by the expected zero-upcrossing period, tX2. This period can be calculated as: t X2 = 2π mX2 mX0 mXn is spectral moment of order n: ∞ mXn = ∫ ωn SX ω dω 0 2 It is seen that mX0 = σX . g) If we denote the maximum value in time T with XT, the distribution function of XT can be found by: F X x = [F Xmax x T nT ] [ − = 1− e n 1 x 2 T 2 σX ] Introducing x = x it is seen from above that the exponential term equals 1/nT, i.e: P XT x = 1− FX x = 1 − T 1− 1 nT nT 1− ∞ nT 1 = 0.63 e This shows that the most probable value in time T will be exceeded in 63 out of 100 realizations of this sea state. Problem 2 a) If w shall use the given target probability directly, we have to use the distribution function of the annual extreme value distribution for the the target variable, i.e. suggestion iii) in problem text. b) F Y3h y is to be used for obtaining a value corresponding to an annual exceedance probability of 10-2. In order to do so, we must find the exceedance probability per 3hour that corresponds to an annual exceedance probability of 10-2. The number of 3hour events per year is 2920. This means that the requested exceedance probability is: 10− 2 = 3.4⋅ 10− 6 2920 qULS = 3h The ULS value of y is then found by solving: 1 − FY 3h yULS = qULS 3h Problem 3 a) The expected number of events with hs > 10m per year is: m1 = 33/24 = 1.375 With reference to the distribution function of the peak significant wave height of an arbitrary event, the exceedance probability per event corresponding to an annual exceedance probability of q is q/m1. This means that the value of significant wave height expected to be exceeded by an annual probability of q is found by solving: P H s , sp hq = 1 − F H s , sp Solving this with respect to hq, yields: hq − h0 q = θ m1 {[ hq = exp − ]} hq= h0 − θ ln q m1 Introducing given values for h0 and estimated 10-2 and 10-4 significant wave heights are found to be: h0.01 = 14.0m h0.0001 = 17.7m b) The parameters of the crest height distribution are found to be: q= 0.01 c = 14.27m and c = 1.02m q= 0.0001 c = 17.30m and c = 1.34m The probability of exceeding the available freeboard, 22m, conditional on the occurrence of these events then become: { { { { P Cs 22m∣ H s, sp = h0.01 = 1 − exp − exp − P Cs 22m∣ H s, sp = h0.0001 = 1 − exp − exp − 22 − 14.27 1.02 }} 22 − 17.30 1.34 = 5.1⋅ 10− 4 }} = 2.95⋅ 10− 2 c) In order to find the unconditional probability of exceedance, the long term distribution of crest height can be estimated. The long term (or marginal) distribution of storm maximum crest height is given by: ∞ FC c = s ∫ 10 j max F C s ∣ H s, sp c ∣ h f H s ,sp h dh ≈ FC∣ H ∑ j =1 s ,sp c ∣ h j P H s, sp = h j where P H s , sp= h j = F H s , sp hj Δh Δh − F H s, sp h j − 2 2 The summation above is easily carried out in spread sheet or Matlab etc.. Here a spread sheet is used. The long term distribution for Cs, is shown in Table and figure below. Marginal probability of exceeding c c (m) P(C >c) log10(P(C>c)) 10 0.998060095 -0.000843308 12 0.461355735 -0.335964077 14 0.071024953 -1.148589042 16 0.009162384 -2.037991524 18 0.001233462 -2.908874287 20 0.000181661 -3.740739403 22 2.94496E-05 -4.530920156 24 5.2204E-06 -5.282296441 26 1.00202E-06 -5.999122375 Long term distribution of exceedance for C s 0 log10(P(Cs>c)) -1 -2 Deck level -3 -4 -5 -6 -7 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 c (m) It is seen from the table (and figure) that the probability of exceeding the available freeboard by an arbitrary storm event of the type considered herein is: P(Wave deck impact) = 2.94 * 10-5 per storm event. (Return period in terms of no of storm events becomes 33898.) The annual exceedance probability of the available freeboard becomes: P(Wave deck impact per year) = 2.94*10-5*1.375 = 4*10-5 If we estimateted the annual probability of exceeding available freeboard by merely considering the 10-2 probability storm, it is seen that the probability of exceeding this level becomes: 5.1*10-4*10-2 = 5.1*10-6. Thus it is seen that this annual probability is much smaller than the annual probability estimated when accounting for all storms. When estimating a marginal probability of exceedance one should include the exceedance probabilities (weighted with the probability of the storm event) from all important storm events, i.e. some sort of a long term distribution should be established. Problem 4 The static displacement, xst, is calculated to be 100mm. The acceptable deformation is 150mm. The question then is: What is the dynamic amplification? There is not enough information in the problem text to do a proper detail calculation. But can we say something from the available information? Let us do some simplifying assumptions: I. Let us assume that we can approximate the given load history with a history of the shape referred to a c in figure below. This will be on the safe side, but since the actual load history is rather skewed, this may be a good approximation to do at an early stage where we are expected to express our concern without knowing too much about the system. Fig. 1 Horizontal axis is ratio of impulse duration to natural period. II. It is seen from the figure that all we now need is to make a guess regarding the ratio duration of impulse to natural period. This is abscissa axis in the figure below. From the available information we can not calculate the natural period exactly. However, it seems reasonable to assume that it is well below 1s. The duration of the impulse could be guessed by looking at a 10-4 wave profile and estimate the time the tank would be submerged, but again we the crest height of the 10-4 wave is not given. In order to give a conservative assumption let as assume that the duration of the impulse (1 in problem text) is 2s. This gives a ratio of 2. From the figure we see that for an impulse of type c) and a duration ratio of 2, DAF is roughly 1.75. This means that the load bearing system will not take the loads if our assumptions are correct. The most critical assumption is possibly the shape, in particular if the load duration ratio is larg. The shape does not have to change in front before the dynamic amplification is considerably reduced for long duration ratios. Regarding the duration ratio it is not likely that it will be lower than 1. This depends very much on the solidity of the load bearing system for the tank. This suggests that a simple consideration without doing any calculations suggests that there may be problems with the tank if it is hit by a wave. The reasonable thing to recommend is that more accurate calculations should be carried out. That will involve a proper estimation of the natural period and finding the DAF for the given shape of the load history.