Prof James Walter Politics Department School of Political and Social Inquiry Monash University James.walter@arts.monash.edu.au Stream: Australian and New Zealand Politics Refereed: Yes Why Johnnie goes too far: institutional change and the renaissance of groupthink The characteristics of groupthink and its adverse effects on leadership are well understood, as is the necessity for institutional arrangements that fend off groupthink by demanding logical justification and recurrent reality checks by policy-makers. This paper examines recent Australian political events—controversial decisions relating to the reception of refugee-seekers, the Australian commitment to the Iraq war, debates over the politicisation of intelligence assessments—and discerns a renaissance of groupthink in John Howard’s leadership group. The threshold requirements and the networks that imposed constraints on leadership caprice for most of the post-war period have been weakened by contemporary institutional change, giving greater momentum to personalised leadership (while diminishing the incentives for consistent reality checks), and leaving leaders of small countries defenceless against what are alleged to be the demands of globalisation, since vernacular tradition, party practices and local protocols have been swept away. The paper advances three propositions. First, the need to connect a personal agenda to a broad shared philosophy no longer prevails: party commitment to belief systems is very much weaker than it used to be. But the conventional demand to “stand for” something, and to carry party followers with you by showing how current action connects to common goals was one form of check on leadership caprice. Second, the transition from “mass” parties to “electoral-professional” parties has undermined the party as a forum influencing policy debate. Third, the decline in belief in the public sector, the privatisation and outsourcing of service provision and managerial reform of the civil service have undermined the tradition of (relatively) neutral bureaucratic advice (and a potential source of disinterested reality checks) and significantly enhanced the power of partisan “insider” groups within ministerial offices. Such insider groups constitute a fertile domain for encouraging groupthink.