Homework Assignment #3 Principles of Macroeconomics Economics 112 Assigned: Wednesday, November 24, 1999 Due: Friday, December 3, 1999 1. The Multiplier Effect a. Consider a closed economy in which no investment or government spending takes place. In this economy, autonomous consumption is equal to 100 (A = 160). The tax bill is equal to 80 (T = 80). Firms in this economy set a fixed price and sell as much output as people demand. If household consumption is equal to expenditure which is equal to output: Y = Expenditure = C = A + mpc (Y-T) Solve the above equation for Y when mpc = .75. Now suppose that A increases by A = 20. How much will Y increase? Why is the increase in Y larger than the increase in autonomous consumption? What is the multiplier? b. In Hong Kong, the government does not set some amount of taxes to be collected. Instead, the government collects a percentage of private income. Now, suppose that taxes are set equal to T=tY where 0< t < 1 is a fraction. Solve for output when A = 160, mpc = .75, and t = .20. How much are taxes? Suppose that A increases by A = 20. How much will Y increase? How much will taxes increase? Explain why the increase in output following the increase in autonomous consumption is smaller than in part A. 2. Investment Demand Though the British economist John Hicks developed the IS-LM model in the 1930’s, it was based on some of the theories of another British economist, John Maynard Keynes (which is why this type of macroeconomic theory is called Keynesian economics). So far we have assumed that investment is strictly a (negative) function of the interest rate. However, Keynes believed that the main cause of business cycles is fluctuations in the optimism and pessimism of owners and managers of businesses. He believed that investor confidence was a major cause of fluctuations in expenditure on investment. Now, imagine if investment was a function of the real interest rate, r, and animal spirits B I = I(r,B) -+ A decrease in B caused by pessimism will reduce investment expenditure at any given interest rate. For the remainder of the question assume that prices are fixed and firms will produce any amount of goods demanded at the given price level. Use the IS-LM analysis to demonstrate the effects of a wave of pessimism that reduces investment expenditure by I. a. A wave of pessimism hits China reducing the level of investment expenditure. Use the IS-LM model of a closed economy to graphically demonstrate the effects of this shock on the equilibrium interest rate and output level. Does this shock cause and increase, decrease, or have no effect on consumption? Explain. b. A wave of pessimism hits Canada reducing the level of investment expenditure. Use the ISX-LMX model of a small open economy with flexible exchange rates to demonstrate the effect of this shock on the equilibrium exchange rate and the output level. Will this increase, decrease or have no effect on consumption and net exports. Explain. c. A wave of pessimism hits Hong Kong reducing the level of investment expenditure. Use the ISX-LMX model of a small open economy with fixed exchange rates to demonstrate the effect of this shock on the equilibrium exchange rate and the output level. Will this increase, decrease or have no effect on consumption, money supply and net exports. Explain. d. A wave of pessimism hits Japan reducing the level of investment expenditure. Use the IS-LM model of a large open economy to demonstrate the effect of this shock on the equilibrium interest rate, exchange rate and the output level. Will this increase, decrease or have no effect on consumption, net foreign investment and net exports. Explain. 3. The Algebra of the IS-LM Model a. In a closed economy with no government spending or taxes (G=T=0), the level of consumption expenditure is C = A + mpc Y while investment expenditure is given by I = B – ieir Firms in the short run set the price level P = 1. We can then write the demand for liquid assets as: M = Y - iemr Solve for the equilibrium interest rate and output levels as a function of the exogenous variables (M, A, B) and the parameter values (mpc, iei, iem). Show that an increase in B will lead to higher interest rates and an increase in M will lead to lower interest rates in the short run. b. In an open economy with flexible exchange rates, and no government spending or taxes (G=T=0), the level of consumption expenditure is given by C = 100 + .75 Y while investment expenditure is given by I = 100 – 200r while net exports are given by: NX = 10 (1-e). Firms in the short run set the price level P = 1. We can then write the demand for liquid assets as: M = Y - 1000r The central bank sets money supply equal to 500 and the world real interest rate is rw=.10. Solve for equilibrium output, the exchange rate, net exports, consumption and investment. Now assume that the monetary authority increases the money supply by 50. Solve for the new equilibrium output, exchange rate, consumption, investment and net exports.