BOGAZICI UNIVERSITY SUMMER 2015 International Politics of the Middle East Dr Omar Ashour Email: O.Ashour@ex.ac.uk COURSE DESCRIPTION The aims of the course are to provide a general survey of the international politics of the Middle East and North Africa, the political dynamics of key states, the politics of transnational non-state actors, foreign policy decision-making and causes of major conflicts. On completion of the module, you should be able to demonstrate: Module-specific skills: Understanding of international relations trends in the region and the foreign policies of major states within it; ability to place contemporary political events in social and historical contexts. Personal and key skills: Synthesizing information from various sources into a coherent written argument; communication skills; team-work. How will we go about this? The way the module works is through a combination of lectures, guided seminar discussions, including group brainstorming and documentaries. Student presentations and seminar discussions generally follow a related general, introductory lecture. Then watching a documentary on the topic of discussion will follow. So, you will generally have an introductory lecture. It will be followed by a seminar, where students will present and discuss the topic at hand. Then a documentary will be played. MAIN TEXTS Fawcett, L., (ed.). “The International Relations of the Middle East.” Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2013. ONLINE SOURCES 1 Students are encouraged to follow regional events via the (http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/default.stm) and/or (http://english.aljazeera.net) and/or other news websites. BBC News al-Jazeera COURSE REQUIREMENTS AND GRADING Active participation (10%) 2 x oral presentations on a pre-scheduled topic in the seminars (15% each) One 2000-word essay on a topic of choice (60%) 1) DEADLINE is 21 July 2015 (during class time) The Essay It is important that you observe what are called “ACADEMIC CONVENTIONS” on giving source references. Advice: Essay-writing & citation See the Chicago Manual of Style citation guide (available online through Google) See this webpage: http://www.ssdd.uce.ac.uk/learner/Writing%20index.htm See the numerous advice books on essay-writing available in the University Bookstore or on Amazon. I would recommend: o K. Turabian, Student’s Guide for Writing College Papers, 3rd edition. (1976) Finally, please do not hesitate to ask, if there is anything at all that is not clear, or if you have difficulties with the literature or certain concepts. Do not leave your questions or worries for later! COURSE OUTLINE Week of 15 June Lecture Introduction The Arab Uprisings: The New International Politics of the Middle East Readings Fred Lawson, “International Relations Theory and the Middle East,” (Fawcett, Ch. 1). “Reflections on Arab Uprisings,” POMED http://pomeps.org/wpcontent/uploads/2014/11/POMEPS_Studies_10_Reflections_web1.pdf Gregory Gause, “Is This the End of Sykes-Picot?” Washington Post, May 20, 2014. http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2014/05/20/is-this-theend-of-sykes-picot/ Week of 22 June Lecture 1 2 The Historical Context: Colonial Legacies and Post-Independence Readings: Eugene Rogan, “Emergence of Middle East into a Modern State System” (Fawcett, Ch. 2). Peter Sluglett, “The Cold War in the Middle East” (Fawcett, Ch.3) Bahgat Korany, “The Middle East since the Cold War” (Fawcett, Ch. 4) Recommended: Mohammed Ayoob, “The Arab Spring: It’s Geostrategic Significance,” Middle East Policy 19. 3 (Fall 2012): 84-97. Documentary: TBA Lecture 2 Egypt: Foreign Policy from Nasser to Sisi Reading: Haber and Ighani, “Egypt Foreign Policy After the Revolution,” IMES Paper Series https://www.gwu.edu/~imes/assets/docs/Capstone%20Papers%20%202013/Capstone_Ighani%20and%20Haber.pdf Laura James, “Nasser and his Enemies,” http://www.rubincenter.org/meria/2005/06/Laura%20James%20pdf.pdf Maringolo, “From Morsi to Sisi” http://www.iai.it/sites/default/files/inegypt_08.pdf Recommended Short Readings: 1. Ashour, Omar. “Disarming Egypt’s Militarized State.” Project Syndicate, 18 July 2013. http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/disarming-egypt-s-militarizedstate-by-omar-ashour 2. ___________. “Egypt: A Return to a Generals’ Republic?” BBC Online, 21 August 2013 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-23780839 Documentary: TBA Week of 29 June Lectures 1 and 2 Arab-Israeli Wars and Peace Process Readings: Benin, J. “Palestine, Israel and Arab-Israeli Conflict.” http://www.merip.org/sites/default/files/Primer_on_PalestineIsrael%28MERIP_February2014%29final.pdf 3 Charles Smith, “The Arab-Israeli Conflict” (Fawcett, Ch. 11) Avi Shlaim, “The Rise and Fall of Oslo” (Fawcett, Ch. 12) Yuval Diskin, “The changing face of the Middle East presents new opportunities for Israeli-Palestinian peace,” Ha’aretz, 6 July 2014 http://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/israel-peaceconference/1.601486 Documentary: TBA Week of 6 July Lecture 1: The Iraqi Conflicts Readings: Philip Robins, “The War for Regime Change in Iraq” (Fawcett, Ch. 15) Safa Rasul al-Sheikh & Emma Sky, “Iraq since 2003: Perspectives on a Divided Society,” Survival, 53, 4 (2011): 119-142. https://www.iiss.org/en/publications/survival/sections/2011-2760/survival-global-politics-and-strategy-august-september-2011-66cf/53-4-10-al-sheikh-andsky-3b0f “ISIS and Sectarian Conflict in the Middle East.” UK Parliament Briefing, March 2015. www.parliament.uk/briefing-papers/rp15-16.pdf Documentary: TBA Lecture 2: The International Dimensions of the Syrian Conflict Readings: Jenkins, Brian. “They Dynamics of Syrian Civil War.” Rand, 2014 http://www.rand.org/pubs/perspectives/PE115.html Mujge Kucukkeles, “Arab League’s Syrian Policy,” SETA Policy Brief No. 56 (April 2012). http://setadc.org/pdfs/SETA_Policy_Brief_No_56_Arab_Leagues_Syrian_Policy. pdf Lister, Charles. “Why Assad is losing.” Brookings Briefings, May 2015 http://www.brookings.edu/research/opinions/2015/05/05-assad-losing-syria-lister POMES, “The Political Science of Syria’s War,” December 2013. http://pomeps.org/wpcontent/uploads/2013/12/POMEPS_BriefBooklet22_PoliSciSyria_Web.pdf Recommended Reading: Lister, Charles. “Assessing Syria’s Jihad.” Survival (January 2014). http://www.iiss.org/en/publications/survival/sections/2014-4667/survival--global-politicsand-strategy-december-2014-january-2015-bf83/56-6-07-lister-7c78 Documentary: TBA 4 Week of 13 July Lecture 1: Libya: The Regional Power Struggle Dimension Readings: Cole, et al. Libyan Revolution and Its Aftermath, Chapters 1, 5 and 6. Wehrey, F. “Ending Libya’s Civil War.” http://carnegieendowment.org/files/ending_libya_civ_war.pdf Fitzgerald, Mary. “Libya’s New Powerbrokers.” Foreign Policy, 27 August 2014. http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2014/08/27/libyas_new_power_brokers_ai rstrikes_egypt_uae Fitzgerald, Mary. “Libya’s Rouge War on Terror.” Foreign Policy, 23 June 2014. http://mary-fitzgerald.com/2014/06/23/libyas-rogue-war-on-terror-foreign-policy/ Documentary: TBA Lecture 2: Non-State Actors: The Foreign Fighters Phenomenon in the Middle East Readings: Hegghammer, Thomas. “The Rise of Muslim Foreign Fighters.” International Security.Volume 35, Number 3 (Winter 2010/11). http://www.trackingterrorism.org/sites/default/files/chatter/The%20Rise%20of%2 0Muslim%20Foreign%20Fighters_%20Islam%20and%20the%20Globalization% 20of%20Jihad.pdf Hafez, Moh. “Jihad after Iraq: Lessons from the Arab Afghan.” Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, 32, no. 2 (2009): 73-94. http://www.start.umd.edu/publication/jihad-after-iraq-lessons-arab-afghans Kardas, Tuncay et al. “The Making of European Foreign Fighters.” SETA, October 2014. http://file.setav.org/Files/Pdf/20141008132806_the-making-of-european-foreignfighters-pdf.pdf Malet, David. “Foreign Fighter Mobilization in Global Context.” Terrorism and Political Violence, May 2015. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09546553.2015.1032151 Documentary: TBA Week of 20 July Lecture 1 Unarmed Islamists and International Politics of the Middle East Readings: Fawcett (Ch. 8) Augustus Richard Norton, “The Puzzle of Political Reform in the Middle East,” (Fawcett, Ch. 6) Hamid, Shadi. “The Rise of Islamists: How Islamists will Change Politics and Vice Versa.” Foreign Affairs, (May/June 2011): http://0www.heinonline.org.lib.exeter.ac.uk/HOL/Page?handle=hein.journals/fora90&id= 446&collection=journals&index=journals/fora 5 Mccants, Will. “Al-Qaeda’s Challenge: the Jihadists’ War with Islamist Democracy.” Foreign Affairs, vol. 90 (2011). http://heinonline.org/HOL/Page?handle=hein.journals/fora90&div=85&g_sent=1 &collection=journals Al-Sharif, Ashraf. “The Muslim Brotherhood and the Future of Political Islam in Egypt.” http://carnegieendowment.org/files/mb_future_egypt1.pdf Documentary: TBA Lecture 2 Armed Islamists and International Politics of the Middle East Readings: Fulton, Will, Joseph Holliday, and Sam Wyer. “Iranian Strategy in Syria.” Institute for the Study of War’s Middle East Security Report, no.6, March 2013 http://www.understandingwar.org/report/iranian-strategy-syria Lister, Charles, “Profiling the Islamic State.” Brookings Papers. http://www.brookings.edu/research/reports2/2014/12/profiling-islamic-state-lister Daniel Byman, “Five Myths about the Islamic State [ISIS],” Washington Post July 6, 2014. http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/five-myths-about-the-islamicstate/2014/07/03/f6081672-0132-11e4-8572-4b1b969b6322_story.html Zelin, Aaron. “The War Between IS and al-Qaida.” http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/uploads/Documents/pubs/ResearchNote_20_ Zelin.pdf “ISIS Global Intel Summary” http://www.understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/INTSUM_Summary_update. pdf Documentary: TBA Week of 27 July Lecture 1 International and Regional Powers: Status-Quo versus Change Forces Readings: Fawcett Ch. 9, Ch. 10. Aydin, Mustafa, “The Determinants of Turkish Foreign Policy, and Turkey’s European Vocation,” The Review of International Affairs. 3, no. 2 (Winter 2003): 306 – 331. Ulrichsen, K. “Qatar and the Arab Spring.” http://carnegieendowment.org/files/qatar_arab_spring.pdf “Turkey and the Arab Spring” http://file.insightturkey.com/Files/Pdf/insight_turkey_vol_14_no_3_2012_onis.pd f http://pomeps.org/2014/11/04/inter-arab-politics-and-international-relations-inthe-middle-east/ Documentary: TBA 6 Lecture 2 International and Regional Powers: Status-Quo versus Change Readings: Fawcett, Ch. 14. Nawaf Obaid, “Saudi Arabia Gets Tough on Foreign Policy,” Washington Post 25 Oct. 2013. http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/saudi-arabia-gets-forceful-on-foreignpolicy/2013/10/24/b037d03e-3c1a-11e3-b7ba-503fb5822c3e_story.html “Small State with a Big Role: Qatar and UAE Foreign Policies” https://www.dur.ac.uk/resources/alsabah/SmallStateswithaBigRole.pdf Kamrava, “Arab Spring and Saudi-led Counter-Revolution.” http://www.fpri.org/docs/media/TheArabSpring.pdf Michael C. Hudson,“The United States in the Middle East (Fawcett, Ch. 16) “Iran’s ISIS Policy.” http://www.chathamhouse.org/sites/files/chathamhouse/field/field_publication_do cs/INTA91_1_01_Esfandiary_Tabatabai.pdf Documentary: TBA 7