Malaysia’s performance in DHL GLOBAL CONNECTEDNESS INDEX 2012 1 MALAYSIA’S PERFORMANCE IN DHL GLOBAL CONNECTEDNESS INDEX 2012 1.0 INTRODUCTION 1.1 DHL released the Global Connectedness Index 2012, its second edition on 12th November 2012 in Barcelona. 1.2 This report measures and analyses the global connectedness of 140 countries, covering 99% of the world’s GDP and 95% population. It measured the depth and breadth of countries’ trade, capital, information and people flows. 12 distinct components of connectedness are incorporated across those four pillars, with historical coverage back to 2005. More than one million data points were included into the calculation of this year’s DHL Global Connectedness Index 1.3 The DHL Global Connectedness Index is based entirely on hard data in order to separate the facts about global connectedness from commonly held myths. It relies on the most recent data available, which for most components are from 2011. It focuses on measures of actual international flows (and stocks cumulated from prior flows) so as to distinguish clearly between connectedness and its enablers. This makes it more useful for policy analysis than globalization indices that mix flows and enablers together. 1.4 The top ranked countries overall on this year’s DHL Global Connectedness Index are, the Netherlands, Singapore, Luxembourg, Ireland, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, Belgium, Sweden, Denmark and Germany. 1.5 Europe is the top ranked region on the people pillar. The East Asia & Pacific region tops the trade pillar and North America leads on the capital and information pillars. 1.6 In terms of the depth and breadth dimensions of overall connectedness, the leading countries and territories with respect to the depth of their international connections are Hong Kong (China), Singapore, Luxembourg, Ireland, and the Netherlands. 1.7 The countries with the broadest connections with the rest of the world are the United Kingdom, the United States, the Netherlands, Switzerland, and Germany. 1.8 Overall, richer countries tend to have deeper and broader global connections than poorer countries. Smaller countries tend to lead on depth while larger countries tend to lead on breadth. 2.0 MALAYSIA’S PERFORMANCE 2.1 Malaysia maintained its position and score in DHL Global Connectedness Index 2012 at 16th out of 140 countries, with the score of 66/100. Malaysia’s overall performance is shown in Appendix 1. 2 2.2 Malaysia is strongest on the Trade pillar, where it ranks 4th worldwide particularly notable in light of the fact that 7 of the top 10 countries on this pillar are located in East Asia & Pacific. 2.3 In terms of overall connectedness, Malaysia ranks higher on depth which is ranked 10th worldwide than breadth at 41st (2010: 43rd) position as shown in Table 1. Table 1: DHL Global Connectedness Index 2012 (Key Scores and Trends) Rank Score 2011 2010 Change 2011 2010 Change Overall 16/140 16/140 0 66/100 66/100 0 Depth 10/140 10/140 0 36/50 37/50 -1 Breadth 41/140 43/140 2 30/50 30/50 0 Trade Pillar 4/140 4/140 0 86/100 86/100 0 Capital Pillar 32/66 32/66 0 50/100 50/100 0 Information Pillar 41/101 40/101 -1 63/100 63/100 0 People Pillar 49/106 49/106 0 53/100 53/100 0 2.4 China (14%), Singapore (13%) and Japan (12%) are the top three exports destination for Malaysia. Among the major exports products are electronic equipment, petroleum and liquefied natural gas. 2.5 Among 22 Asia Pacific countries, Malaysia is ranked 5th ahead of Taiwan (21st), Australia (30th), New Zealand (33rd) and Japan (42nd) as shown in Table 2. Table 2: DHL Global Connectedness Index 2012 for Asia-Pacific Countries RANK COUNTRY POSITION 2011 2010 1 Singapore 2 2 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Hong Kong Korea Republic Thailand MALAYSIA Taiwan Australia Vietnam New Zealand Japan India Mongolia 12 14 15 16 21 30 31 33 42 62 67 12 15 20 16 22 28 30 36 46 64 76 3 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 2.6 Philippines China Brunei Darussalam Bangladesh Pakistan Indonesia Kyrgyz Republic Lao DPR Nepal Myanmar 69 74 80 91 102 105 124 131 133 137 81 73 74 97 98 107 121 131 133 137 In the ASEAN region, Malaysia is placed 3rd after Singapore and Thailand, as shown in Table 3. Table 3: DHL Global Connectedness Index 2012 for ASEAN Countries RANK 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 COUNTRY Singapore Thailand MALAYSIA Vietnam Philippines Brunei Darussalam Indonesia Lao DPR Myanmar POSITION 2011 2010 2 15 16 31 69 80 105 131 137 2 20 16 30 81 74 107 131 137 3.0 HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE DHL GLOBAL CONNECTEDNESS INDEX 2012 3.1 DHL Global Connected Index 2012 has highlighted 10 key-takes away, as below: i. The world today is less globally connected than it was in 2007. Global connectedness was hit hard at the onset of the financial crisis and despite modest gains since 2009 has yet to recapture its pre-crisis peak. ii. Capital markets are fragmenting and services trade is stagnant. While merchandise trade has recovered robustly since 2009 and information flows continue growing, capital connectedness is on a declining trend and the intensity of services trade has not risen since 2009. iii. Global connectedness is also weaker than is commonly perceived, which softens and even reverses some widespread fears about globalization. 4 3.2 iv. Distance and borders still matter – even online. Most international flows take place within rather than between regions. Even online connections are mainly domestic and decline with distance. v. Europe is the world’s most globally connected region: a reminder of what EU integration has managed to achieve – and what its fragmentation might put at risk. The Netherlands retains the top rank on this year’s DHL Global Connectedness Index, and 9 of the 10 most connected countries are in Europe. vi. Sub Saharan African countries averaged the largest connectedness increases. Sub-Saharan Africa remains the least connected region, but the top 5 countries in terms of connectedness increases over the past year were all in this region. vii. Potential gains from boosting global connectedness can reach trillions of dollars. As global growth slows and much of the world struggles with its debts, increasing global connectedness can accelerate growth. viii. Every country has untapped possibilities to benefit from more connectedness. Even in the most connected countries, most activities that could take place either within or across borders are domestic, not international. ix. Countries’ domestic and international policies can help them connect more and identifies a broad array of policy levers that have been shown to deepen connectedness. x. The world’s shifting economic center of gravity reshapes industry connectedness, with significant business implications as shown in this report’s analyses of the mobile phone, passenger car, and pharmaceutical industries. Performance of East Asia & Pacific Region i. East Asia & Pacific averaged the third highest level of overall global connectedness and was the region with the second largest increase in connectedness from 2010 to 2011. ii. East Asia & Pacific has balanced strength across both depth and breadth, with trade clearly standing out as its strongest pillar (on which it is the top ranked region). 5 iii. Countries in this region have in large part pursued export oriented economic development strategies, complemented by private sector-led development of integrated multi-country production chains across the region. iv. The prevalence of regional production chains in East Asia & Pacific contributes to the region’s second place rank, behind Europe, on the intraregional proportion of its trade flows. v. East Asia & Pacific’s achievement of the world’s second largest increase in connectedness from 2010 to 2011 was driven in large part by the fact that it was the only region to increase its connectedness on the capital pillar, while the average country in every other region saw its connectedness on this pillar decline. 4.0 METHODOLOGY 4.1 Global Connectedness refers to the depth and breadth of a country’s integration with the rest of the world, as manifest by its participation in international flows of products and services, capital, information, and people. Depth refers to the size of a country’s international flows as compared to a relevant measure of the size of its domestic economy. It reflects in simple terms how important or pervasive interactions with the rest of the world are in the context of business or life in a particular country. 4.2 The definition of global connectedness used here also identifies four specific categories of flows that are covered as the four pillars of the index. The pillars are: 4.3 Breadth measures how closely a country’s distribution of international flows across its partner countries matches the global distribution of the same flows in the opposite direction. The breadth of a country’s merchandise exports, for example, is measured based on the difference between the distributions of its exports across destination countries versus the rest of the world’s distribution of merchandise imports. Trade Pillar (products and services); Capital Pillar; Information Pillar; and People Pillar Within these four pillars, individual types of flows become the component building blocks from which the index is built up. The components are: 6 Merchandise Trade; Services Trade; Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Stocks; Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Flows; Foreign Portfolio Equity Stocks; Foreign Portfolio Equity Flows; International Internet Bandwidth; International Telephone Call Minutes; Trade in Printed Publications; Migrants (foreign born population); International Tourists (departures and arrivals); and International Students 4.4 DHL Global Connectedness Index 2012 by components and weight assigned as shown in Table 4. 4.5 At the pillar level, if more than 30% of the depth components (by weight) or if more than 50% of the breadth components (by weight) are missing, then the pillar score is not displayed. 7 Appendix 1 MALAYSIA PERFORMANCE IN THE DHL GLOBAL CONNECTEDNESS INDEX (OVERALL) 4.6 For the overall index, if more than 33% of the depth components (by weight) or if more than 50% of the breadth components (by weight) are missing, the overall index is not computed, and the country is dropped from the analysis. 8 Appendix 2 MALAYSIA PROFILE IN THE DHL GLOBAL CONNECTEDNESS INDEX 9