Ruslan Dzarasov PhD, Senior Research Fellow, Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow EICHNERIAN THEORY OF THE BUSINESS ENTERPRISE IN THE CASE OF RUSSIAN CORPORATIONS Buffalo State College Heterodox Microeconomics Workshop 02 March 2012 Contents 1. The Conundrum of Russian Capitalism ...........................................................................2 2. The Eichnerian Megacorp .....................................................................................................3 3. Russian Model of Corporate Governance .......................................................................6 4. Insider Rent and Investment Behaviour...................................................................... 13 5. Insider Rent and Conditions of Growth ....................................................................... 16 6. The War of Big Insiders: a Case-Study.......................................................................... 19 7. Russian Capitalism as a Social System.......................................................................... 28 REFERENCES................................................................................................................................ 34 Dear colleagues, The paper submitted to your consideration offers an alternative vision of the modern Russian capitalism from standpoint of corporate governance and investment behaviour of its big business. Significance of this topic can be seen from the fact that even in the 2000s despite the unprecedentedly favorable external conditions for economic development of Russia, investments of her companies appeared insufficient in scale and inferior in quality to secure modernization of the country’s productive apparatus, overcome the raw extracting bias of industrial structure, achieve sound international competitiveness and reasonable living standards. This determined the main aim of the paper – to identify the internal, institutional obstacles impeding sustainable, innovative growth of the national economy. 1 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations 1. The Conundrum of Russian Capitalism The independent experts do not share rather optimistic picture of the robust growth of investments in Russia, provided by the official statistics. In 2007, at the very eve of the world crisis, the scrapped capital stock in Russia exceeded the gross investment as a proportion of total capital stock by a factor of 2.24 (Khanin and Fomin, 2007, p. 46). Annual residual value of the fixed capital stock measured in prices of renovation declined in the pre-crisis 2000s by 2.75% (ibid.). Some surveys of the enterprises’ managers testify that at the beginning of 2010 42% of respondents did not carry out any investments at all (Kuvalin and Moiseyev, 2010b, p. 131). Qualitative indices of investments are of no less importance. In the middle of 2009 only 20% of the surveyed enterprises did not need modernization of their productive capacities. The rest were in need of partial or full-scale renovation of their fixed assets. In the same period only 6% of the enterprises in question undertook investments allowing them to achieve sound modernization (Kuvalin and Moiseyev, 2010a, p. 151). The majority of Russian enterprises (63%) purchase new and many (15%) – second-hand equipment produced in Russia, both of which managers consider being of low quality in comparison with the imported counterparts (Kuvalin and Moiseyev, 2010b, p. 129-30). Kornev provides a clue to this problem demonstrating that engineering has adjusted to decline of demand for its production simplifying the produced equipment, moving to more primitive technologies, supplying cheaper but less productive machines and so forth. Such strategy allows Russian firms to diminish their investment costs (Kornev, 2005, p. 68). According to some studies the ‘cheap’ variants demand two-three times less expenditures per unit of investment funds, than the strategies assuming new construction and expansion of productive capacities of Russian enterprises (Gladyshevsky A. et al., 2002, p. 16). In result of the inferior investment strategies of Russian companies the country’s fixed capital stock arrived at a miserable state. According to Kornev and Lavrenev (2011, p. 67) the average longevity length of machines and equipment of industrial assets amounts to 21 year, while in 1990 (in the last, but not the best year of the Soviet Union) it was only 10.8 years. (Normative period of equipment renovation in the USSR was 12 years.) The share of equipment with life longevity less than 5 years in the production apparatus of the machine-tool construction is 3.5% of the total stock and in engineering as a whole – 14.5%, while the share of equipment of less than 10 years longevity – 5.2% and 18.5% accordingly (Borisov and Pochukayeva, 2011, p. 59). 2 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations Thus, it is an empirical fact that in twenty years of market reforms investments of Russian companies are insufficient neither to arrest the shrinking of the fixed capital stock, nor to stop its technological degeneration. The main conundrum of Russian capitalism is the following: why it prefers inferior investments to the detriment of innovations and modernization of the national economy? 2. The Eichnerian Megacorp One of possible ways to find an answer to this question is comparative analysis of the institutional nature and investment behavior of Russian and US-American big business. From my standpoint the Megacorp model of USAmerican Post-Keynesian Alfred Eichner (1938-1988) has a great heuristic potential for such a study. Eichnerian Megacorp is the typical, representative corporation of US manufacturing sector in the so-called “Golden age of capitalism” (the late 1940s – early 1970s). Its defining features are: (a) separation of ownership and control the latter function residing with the managers; (b) fixed coefficients of production; and (c) oligopolistic industry structure. Eichner believed that separation of ownership from management extends the Megacorp’s time horizon in the long run, making her prime objective maximization of long-term growth rather than short-term profit. This happens, because welfare of managers depends not on the size of dividends, but on long-term market position of a firm, determining salaries and nonpecuniary privileges. As a result investment strategy starts underlying Megacorp’s pricing. Let us consider Fig. 1.1 R, i, r DI SI i0 F0 ΔF/p Fig. 1. The demand for and the supply of investment funds of a Megacorp. 1 It is a simplified version of the figure in Eichner (1991, p. 385). 3 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations The vertical axis measures the implicit (internal) interest rate (R), external (bank) interest rate (i) and expected investment profitability (r). The horizontal axis – additional, internally generated funds accumulated in the pricing (planned) period (ΔF/p). The curve SI reflects the supply of investment funds function. Its ascending part corresponds to internal generation of funds in result of price increase, while the straight part – to external borrowing. The curve DI reflects the demand for investment funds. This model establishes the link between investments and pricing in the corporate sector. Price increase incurs some losses of expected profit due to market limitations on price increase (customers can move to substitutes, competitors may enter the market, the state may intervene). Implicit interest rate (R) reflects the discounted value of these expected losses of profit per unit of additional funds obtained due to price increase. The supply of investment funds function (SI) grows with price increase and the corresponding implicit interest rate (R) increase. When the latter equals explicit interest rate (i), the Megacorp stops internal generation of funds and starts external borrowing. The demand for investment funds (DI) is an investment projects portfolio ordered according to diminishing expected profitability (r). One of the most important characteristics of Eichnerian model is that according to it wage rate, investment and pricing are determined simultaneously. As was said above, Eichnerian model reflected the realities of the postWorld War II “Golden Age of Capitalism.” In last three decades (the 1980s2000s) financialization had led to significant changes in the fundamental processes which determine development of capitalism. Arrighi (2010) defined financialization as a particular type of accumulation of capital when profit is increasingly appropriated through investing money at financial markets, rather than in productive capacities. This can be seen at the corporate level. Lazonick and O’Sullivan (2000) show that while in the 1970s US corporations tended to reinvest profits in firms’ growth (Eichnerian Megacorp), in the next two decades they increasingly started downsizing their labor and distributing the retained earnings to shareholders. Krippner (2005) finds that the share of profits accruing to FIRE (finance, insurance and real estate) surpassed the share of manufacturing profits. Even more important is the fact, that nonfinancial corporations themselves had sharply increased their investment in financial assets in this period. This is consistent with the results of Milberg and Winkler (2010) presented at the Fig. 2. As can be seen from the figure, combined net dividends and share buybacks as percentage of internally generated funds in the US non-farm nonfinancial corporate business oscillated below 30% until 1980s, then suddenly going through the roof and nearly reaching absurd 160% in 2007. This 4 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations undoubtedly reflects the radical change in the distribution of the relative stakeholder power from managers to shareholders. In correspondence with this Zorn (2004) acknowledges ascendancy of the Chief Financial Officer among the corporate top-managers in USA. According to the “inflation of the capital assets” approach (Toporowski, 2005, see especially ‘Introduction’) an inflow of speculative financial resources at securities markets put such a powerful upward pressure on share prices, that they had completely broke away from corporate profits and the real assets value. This affected corporate governance drastically deteriorating its quality. As a result managerial fraud became widespread as the cases of Enron, WorldCom and the like testify. Fig. 2. Net dividends plus share buybacks as percentage of internal funds in the US non-farm non-financial corporate business, 1960–2008. Source: Milberg and Winkler, 2010, p. 288. All this is consistent with Veblenian treatment of the capitalist firm as a dual phenomenon, contradictory unity of pecuniary and technical business logic (Veblen, 1978). Veblenian approach assumes, that if the two sides of a business enterprise are in balance, then a firm is a long-term growth maximizer (like the Eichnerian Megacorp), but if it is otherwise – a financier overwhelms an engineer. Such a perspective is very consistent with duality of labor approach to accumulation of capital expounded in Marxian Das Kapital. Indeed, it assumes that the prime aim of the capitalist production is value, use value being only a means to obtain the former (monetary production economy in Keynes’ parlance). From this and the idea of ‘commodity fetishism’ the theory of fictitious capital is derived. The latter represented by ‘paper wealth’ is only a shadow of the real (productive) capital, which can temporarily 5 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations exceed its source creating a fetishist illusion. Thus, Marx anticipates financialization with its bubbles, tracing it to the very foundations of the capitalist economy. To be sure, Arrighi (2010) demonstrates that this phenomenon is a recurring event in the history of the world capitalism. In the perspective of the above results, the Eichnerian notion of Megacorp-long term growth maximizer needs updating. While that may be true, I believe that the model in question is still appropriate for analyzing the institutional obstacles for growth in Russia, because it corresponds to realities of a growing corporate economy. 3. Russian Model of Corporate Governance The roots of the current Russian model of corporate governance can be traced to the Soviet system, which was formed by Stalinist degeneration of the Russian revolution. Trotsky considered the Soviet regime as only a transitional, i.e. preparatory for a transition from capitalism to socialism, and in this sense being neither the former, nor the latter. The bureaucracy being the prime distributer of material commodities is by definition a privileged stratum of such a society. Departing from the transitional nature of the USSR, being neither capitalism, nor socialism, but including elements of both in a contradictory blend, Trotsky hypothesized that in the absence of a new tide of workers revolution bureaucracy itself can overthrow the Soviet system to restore capitalism. In a masterstroke of historical materialism he had written: “Privileges have only half their worth, if they cannot be transmitted to one’s children. But the right of testament is inseparable from the right of property. It is not enough to be the director of a trust; it is necessary to be a stockholder. The victory of the bureaucracy in this decisive sphere would mean its conversion into a new possessing class. … In reality a backslide to capitalism is wholly possible” (Trotsky, 2004 (1936), pp. 191-192). The rapid economic growth and cultural development of the Soviet Union in the 20th century produced radical changes in the social structure of society, making it more complex and potentially unstable, since it gave rise to diverse and often contradictory social interests. Lane (2011, p. 38) identifies two broad social groups which were destined to become the driving forces of the move from central planning to capitalism. The first is comprised of state functionaries controlling over economy, cultural life, law enforcement agencies and military apparatus. This he calls ‘administrative class.’ It is complemented by ‘acquisition class’ formed by individuals from intelligentsia with personal skills which can be profitably realized through markets. Large fractions of the both big social groups were increasingly dissatisfied with the 6 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations egalitarian practices which prevailed in the Soviet society. One should note that behind the ostensibly monolithic façade of the USSR the private appropriation of incomes on the bases of state property was gradually increasing. It was carried out in forms of privileges and informal control over resources. Eventually, in course of Gorbachev’s reforms a powerful block of pro-capitalist social forces was formed, led by bureaucracy, which was destined to overthrow the Soviet system and change it to capitalism (Kotz and Weir, 2007, pp. 107-111). After collapse of the Soviet system at the beginning of the 1990s this tendency stemming from rotting of Stalinist bureaucracy was greatly encouraged and supported by Western influence in general and by USAmerican advisors of the reformist Yeltsin’s government in particular. Eventually informal control over the assets exercised by bureaucracy and ‘acquisition’ class was entrenched and legalized by privatization.2 The rationale was provided by the notorious principles of Washington consensus which underlay Russian reforms. Originally it was devised to promote neoliberal agenda of economic reforms – cutting state expenditures, deregulation of the capital markets, price liberalization, privatization – for Latin American countries. Scholars of the Washington consensus see it more as a vehicle of globalization than as a way to achieve sustainable growth and development (Serra, Spiegel, and Stiglitz 2008, p. 6). They note that the consensus “called for opening of countries to the outside world. As a result, the fortunes of developing countries have increasingly depended on what happens outside their boundaries” (ibid.). Russian ‘shock therapy’ was only a slavish replica of the abovementioned principles. Privatization was a pivotal element of reforms. Privileges of bureaucracy and its informal control over resources, being strengthened by Gorbachev’s and legalized by Yeltsin’s reforms, became the prime preconditions of the Russian model of corporate governance. Literature on corporate governance in modern Russia widely acknowledges that in this country it is impossible to implement the formal property rights if they are not backed by informal control over assets (Papper, 2002a, 2002b; Dolgopyatova, 2005; Ustyuzhanina et al., 2010). Ownership can generate revenue only if it gives “control over the cash-flows of an enterprise” (Dolgopyatova, 2005, p. 4). Studies of the internal control in Russian corporations show that ownership concentration became the salient feature of the Russian model of corporate governance, since the dominant shareholder either himself occupies the top-managerial position, or strictly 2 See the account of Russian privatization in Freeland (2011). 7 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations monitors activities of the latter (Abe et al., 2007). Individuals who influence corporate governance are often referred to in literature as ‘insiders.’ I call ‘big insiders’ such stakeholders who control the key decision-making, especially concerning the firm’s finance, and outsiders – those, who are deprived of contributing to these decisions. Introduction of the new term is conditioned by the fact that members of a dominant group in a Russian corporation formally may not be its owners, if it is a state enterprise or if they exercise their control through proxies. The defining feature of the Russian model of corporate governance is the reliance of big insiders on the infrastructure of control over enterprises. The former is a set of sometimes formal, but predominantly informal institutions securing personal control of the dominant group (big insiders) over the assets. One may distinguish between its external and internal elements (Fig. 3). External Elements of Control Chain of ownership (Cloud of offshore companies) Links to state officials (Lobbyists within state structures) External defence of property rights Organs of law enforcement Private security firms Criminal protection rackets Large insiders (Dominant owners/top managers) Centralisation of decisionmaking Monitoring and auditing bodies Internal security services Productive assets (enterprises) Internal elements of control Fig. 3. Infrastructure of Insider Control over Assets Source: Ruslan Dzarasov, Insider Control and Investment Behaviour of Russian Corporations. PhD Thesis in Economics, Stoke-on-Trent, UK, 2007, p. 78. The external elements embrace: the sophisticated scheme of assets ownership through chains of offshore firms (‘offshore cloud’ in Papper’s 8 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations parlance); connections with corrupted state functionaries and so-called ‘roofs’ or informal protection provided by the law enforcement agencies, private security agencies and criminal structures. The prime objective of the external elements of infrastructure of control – protection of the dominant position of big insiders from trespasses of their rivals. The internal elements of infrastructure of control are comprised of: high centralization of the managerial decision-making process greatly exceeding the standards of the developed countries; inflated controlling and monitoring departments; internal security departments. The prime objective of these institutions is to suppress opportunism of the hired labor and workers protest; and to secure a solid control of big insiders over the firms’ financial flows. Infrastructure of control of big insiders reflects specifics of the Russian model of corporate governance characterized by inseparability or fusion of ownership and control (contrary to Eichnerian Megacorp). Infrastructure of control is a kit of tools securing subsumption of hired labor under capital by force. Hence, Russian big business is characterized by reliance on extraeconomic coercion. Primarily informal character of control over assets in Russia engenders fundamental instability of the dominant position of big insiders. To be sure, informal ‘property rights’ cannot be legalized and bequeathed to inheritors, but they always can be challenged. Waves of redistribution of the ‘property rights’ regularly sweep over the Russian economy. Their prime instrument is hostile takeovers, including wide application of raiding or qwasinationalisation (according to Ustyuzhanina’s expression). The great majority of these takeovers are hostile in nature, and are carried out with the help of coercion from state organs or involve criminal violence. From the 1990s, corporate raiding became a distinct sector of the national economy, with its own market for services and an enormous annual capital turnover.3 Those who are threatened by hostile takeovers are above all big insiders who have not created an infrastructure of control powerful enough to defend their dominant positions. This means that ownership and control in Russian business are fundamentally unstable. Instability of the big insiders’ position conditions short-termism of their time horizon. This short-termism, in turn, determines the dominant type of income most common in Russian business. It can be defined as insider rent, i.e. an income appropriated by big insiders due to their control over the firm’s financial 3 To be fair, it should be pointed out that the rate at which property is being redistributed has diminished, though the process itself continues. During the 1990s it was virtually uninterrupted. Now, redistribution occurs in connection with changes of political leadership at the federal and regional levels. This testifies to the critical importance of the external infrastructure of control. Property redistribution is especially marked when leaders who have been in office for long periods, and have built up extensive ties with business, are replaced. Examples include the ousting of Moscow Mayor Luzhkov, of Bashkir President Rakhimov, of Tatar President Shaymiev, and of a number of provincial governors. 9 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations flows. Insider rent can thus be measured as Free Cash Flow (FCF), minus various forms of interest payments on loans and also dividends paid to noncontrolling shareholders. As a rule, the mechanism for obtaining rent involves figure-head trading companies registered in offshore sites. Big insiders sell the products of the companies they control to the trading houses, which they also control, at less than market prices. The proceeds from the subsequent resale of goods under market conditions finish up in private accounts which the large insiders hold in the offshore sites. Another, no less popular method of extracting rent has the big insiders setting up their own firms for the supplying of raw materials. In this case, shipments to businesses under the insiders’ control are made at elevated prices. Or, fly-by-night firms may be used to provide expensive fictitious services, rental of premises or equipment, and so forth. Insider rent should be distinguished from the profit of the Eichnerian Megacorp which depends on the excess of proceeds over outlays. By contrast, big insiders in Russia derive income from their control over the financial flows of enterprises. Insider rent can be extracted at the expense both of the sources of profit and of some articles of costs. It can be augmented through cutting of the wages of workers and salaries of managers, reducing investments, appropriating depreciation fund, abstaining from paying for deliveries, squandering loans and so on. A firm may run at a loss, but continue to enrich the dominant group. Obviously, insider rent is appropriation of the results of unpaid labor and, hence, expresses the relations of exploitation of hired labor. Insider rent must also be distinguished from the concept of rent as employed by the neoclassical mainstream. According to the latter, rent is the excess income which the owner of a factor of production obtains over and above its “opportunity cost”; that is, it is consequent on the profitability of the mode of application of the given factor (Ikeda, 2003). Marxism views rent under feudalism as the surplus product of serf peasants, appropriated by feudal landowners who employ extra-economic coercion on the peasants who are personally dependent on them. Under capitalism, rent is a portion of the surplus value created by hired agricultural workers; capitalist farmers pay this portion to the owners of the land for its leasehold. Insider rent, in the sense in which it is discussed in this work, differs from neoclassical rent in that it is extracted through a reliance on extra-economic coercion (the infrastructure of control), just like the feudal rent of the Marxists. At the same time insider rent has a synthetic nature, possessing certain characteristics of an entrepreneurial income, since the typical big insider still makes some investments. Insider rent is understood by the author of this article as a specific form of surplus value, reflecting the particular nature of modern Russian capitalism.4 Its synthetic nature reflects the dual origins of the 4 For a more detailed treatment, see (R. Dzarasov, 2009). 10 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations modern Russian social system resulting from the marriage of rotting Soviet bureaucracy and the formative influence of global capitalism. In today’s Russia the concept is popular of a so-called “natural rent” (Kuzyk et al., 2004), referring to the excess income of the export-oriented raw materials sector of the national economy – oil, gas, metallurgy and a few other categories. The present author does not subscribe to this concept, since it presupposes that rent is created by nature. In the author’s view nature plays a role in all production, but does not create value. The latter is created solely through labour; in particular, rental income is created through the uncompensated labour of hired workers.5 The above does not mean that the state completely gave up its role in distribution of the financial flows. The “YUKOS affair”6 resulted in the state recovering its tax revenues from exporters of raw materials. The effect was to restrict the use of transfer price-fixing as a means of extracting rent. This particular case, however, was merely a specific instance in a larger-scale trend for the state bureaucracy to strengthen its activity in the milieu of the large insiders, and to redistribute insider rent to its benefit. It should also be noted that the increase in taxation since the turn of the century has coincided with an unprecedented rise in world energy prices. Consequently, the large insiders have shared with the state only a portion of their income, which has increased overall. In any case, they have access to numerous other means for appropriating rent apart from transfer price-fixing (see above). Meanwhile, it has been much less usual for enterprises operating on the domestic market to experience a reduction in the share of their overall financial flows going to rent. The notion of insider rent in the above sense is increasingly used in literature (Dorefeyev 2001; Novojenov 2003a, 2003b; Rozmainsky and Skorobogatov, 2006). The current paper treats this type of income as a variety of surplus value peculiar to the modern Russian capitalism at the current stage of its historical development (Dzarasov, 2009). This approach follows Marxian methodology of analyzing capitalism as a social system, as it was formulated by Tsagolov (MSU).7 According to the latter any mode of production is characterized by its main relationship, which reflects its main objective and determines all other, derived economic relations. For capitalism the law of surplus value is the main relationship which determines all its other economic processes including accumulation of capital, price structure, income 5 In a private correspondence Dr. Kotz (University of Massachusetts, Amherst) made a good point that the rent appropriated by the owners of the Russian oil and gas companies is a product of labor outside Russia. 6 In the YUKOS affair, between 2003 and 2005, a criminal prosecution was brought against the major owners of the Russian oil company YUKOS M. Khodorkovskiy and P. Lebedev, along with a number of employees of YUKOS and of organisations affiliated with it. Bankruptcy procedures were also brought against YUKOS as a result of a substantial additional sum in taxes levied against it for the preceding period. (See Sixsmith, 2010, for details.) 7 Nicolas Tsagolov (1904-1985) was a professor and chair of political economy in MSU. See comparison of his methodology with critical realism in S. Dzarasov, 2009. 11 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations distribution, reproduction. Being a concrete form of surplus value, insider rent expresses the main objective of Russian big business, determines the laborcapital relations, investment strategies, price structure in the economy, technological structure of Russian economy, economic growth. As a result, the modern Russian capitalism can be represented as a holistic economic system, as a particular mode of production characterized by internal logic and cohesion. Insider rent withdrawal violates interests of all the stakeholders do not belonging to the dominant group. The majority of Russian enterprises do not pay any dividends to its shareholders at all (Dolgopyatova, 2003, p. 9). The diverse other forms of violation of rights of minority shareholders in Russia long ago became widespread. Appropriation of rent undermined the position of labor engendering: decline of real wages, increase of egalitarianism in compensation, elimination of the social services provided by enterprises and so forth (Timofeyev, 2003). Cutting the managerial salaries is a problem of no less importance for Russian enterprises. Besides, the career prospects of Russian managers depend not as much on their professional training and business qualities as on their belonging to the dominant group (ibid.). As a result, the opposition arises of the interests of rank-and-file managers and the dominant groups. From these conflicts at the enterprise level a deep split emanates between the different social groups in Russian society. Insider rent withdrawal engenders the whole system of social conflicts at Russian enterprises. In response to numerous violations of the minority shareholders’ rights, securities market systematically underestimates equities of Russian companies. According to Dorofeyev (2001) financial investors tend simply to subtract the value of insider rent (calculated according to their approximate expectations) from share prices. Conflict of workers with the dominant owners in some cases leads to open protest (Rudyk et al., 2000), but more often is manifested in theft, slacking off at work, using the firm’s equipment for private purposes and so forth (Timofeyev, op. cit.). Managers seek to increase their welfare stealing the enterprise’s products or raw materials; bribing partners for singing contracts on conditions favorable to the former and detrimental to the companies; promoting investment projects unprofitable for enterprises but beneficial for the managers; embezzling the firm’s financial flows (Novojenov, 2003a). Often managers establish their own figure-head firms to tunnel assets from their enterprises. The opportunistic strategies of workers and managers comprise different forms of appropriating incomes through control over some parts of enterprises’ financial flows. Essentially it is the same type of income as exerted by big insiders, albeit in a smaller scale. Thus, one may treat managers 12 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations and workers-opportunists as ‘small (or in some cases medium) insiders’ trying to withdraw ‘their’ part of insider rent at the expense of the dominant group. It can be derived from the above that modern Russian capitalist ‘elite’ has predatory nature enriching itself largely through violence, fraud and embezzlement, rather than through Schumpeterian innovative entrepreneurship, Weberian ethics of thrift, or Marxian development of productive capacities. Neoliberals reduce the problem to the legacy of “Communism.” As we demonstrated above it is only half true – infrastructure of control was anticipated by growing privileges and informal control of bureaucracy over economic resources. However, these relations were suppressed by the egalitarian nature of the Soviet system, but were freed, expanded and legalized by transition to capitalism. One should bear in mind that this transition was carried out under the decisive influence of the West in Yeltsin’s times. Infamous Russian oligarchy bears the joint imprint of the rotting of the Soviet bureaucracy and of the ‘predatory,’ financialized capitalism. As Samir Amin succinctly put it: “Oligarchy is not restricted to Russia, as we are led to believe. It is no less real in the United States, Europe and Japan” (Amin, 2011, p. 160). In fact, the modern financialized capitalism looks pretty much as Predator capitalism described by Thorstein Veblen (Henry, 2012). Just as insider rent is extracted to the detriment of an enterprise (which is attested by the poor condition of the Russian fixed capital stock), the world financial and business elite engage in speculation to the detriment of productive capacities.8 Russian business elite siphons out from the country billions of dollars to save them in the West, and Russian industrial structure became distorted in favor of exporting extracting industries. Taking this into account and following Andre Gunder Frank (1974) one may call Russian capitalist class a true “lumpen-bourgeoisie”. 4. Insider Rent and Investment Behaviour Insider rent is a short-term type of income, appropriated to the detriment of the long-term interests of a company. However, short-termism has gradations. The absolutely myopic big insider will tend to withdraw all the available financial flows from an enterprise. His middle-term oriented colleague will do the same on a lesser scale, still undertaking some 8 “The current global economic crisis is a good time to reflect on these narratives of organized crime, in particular that which we call the Russian Mafia, to reassess the relationship between criminal and legal enterprise, to look more critically at the question of harm, to reconsider how issues of responsibility and morality are constructed and understood in a socio-economic context. Manichean narratives of good and evil, heroes and villains, ‘us’ and ‘them’. ‘our’ way of life and ‘their’ desire to destroy it appear less convincing when faced with the exploits of hedge fund managers and bank CEOs” (Rawlinson, 2010, p. 1). 13 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations investments. To grasp this difference one needs developing further the notion of insider rent. As was defined above, it is a short-term income of the dominant group appropriated due to control over the firm’s financial flows. Even when an enterprise is unprofitable, but still creates some financial flows, it can enrich its owner. (It may sound absurd, but the reader should remember from the above that Russian businessmen obtained their assets for prices many times below their market levels through privatization and criminal raiding.) An extremely short-term big insider will invest in her or his controlled business nothing, just milking it and, eventually, leveling it to the ground. On the other hand, a medium-term oriented big insider will invest in maintaining and partial renovation of equipment securing not only current, but some future profits as well. This latter dominant individual (or their group) will be closer to the Eichnerian Megacorp maximizing long-term growth. Still she or he will be a big insider, because she or he needs investing in infrastructure of control which is costly and which undermines her or his investment in productive capacities and limits her or his time horizon. In fact, only creating a sophisticated means of informal control over enterprises – and thus securing domination over them – it is possible to move from a short to medium-term strategy under Russian conditions. Obviously it is necessary to distinguish between the two types of rent pertinent to different investment strategies and time horizons. The first (short-term) type of rent only presupposes control over the assets and not the investment; whereas the second (medium-term) – investment maintaining and partially developing productive capacities. The former type of income is close to Marxian notion of absolute surplus value, based on exploitation without productivity growth (without technical progress). The latter type of income is close to the Marxian relative surplus value, assuming productivity growth.9 In the previous work (Dzarasov and Novojenov ch. 3), I referred to the two types of insider rent as to the absolute and the differential ones following Ricardian-Marxian treatment of agricultural rent under capitalism (distinguishing further between the differential insider rents I and II, the former being acquired in profitable industries without investment on the part of big insiders and the latter – as a result of the investments). Since the two types of income in question are based on two types of surplus value, it may be more consistent to call them absolute and relative insider rent. 9 One may object to the above on the grounds that insider rent is treated as a semi-feudal phenomenon assuming extra-economic coercion, which contradicts Marxian assumption of the personal judicial freedom of the workforce under capitalism. However, here the methodology of ascent from abstract to concrete comes into play. In Das Capital Marx analyses capitalism in its abstract form, while nowhere in the real world such pure capitalism exists. Any empirically given capitalism contains some non-capitalist elements, predetermined by its individual history, culture and geography. This fact gives rise to varieties of capitalism. Since insider rent is a concrete form of income it not only can, but it should diverge in some respects from its abstract essence. Insider rent and surplus value are related as the form and the essence. (See more on this in: Dzarasov 2012). 14 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations In any case, now we have a range of concrete forms of surplus value going from absolutely short-term type on the one polar to the long-term entrepreneurial profit on the other (where rent disappears). The majority of the real, as opposed to theoretical, big insiders fall somewhere in between of these extremes. Distinguishing between the different types of income, we are in a position to move from a static to a dynamic model of modern Russian capitalism, thus grasping its historical development. This enables us to deal with the complex issues raised in this paper. The conflict because of distribution of firms’ income allows one to trace the influence of insider rent on prices and investments of Russian corporations. Naturally, reduction of the firm’s financial flows directly undermines supply of investment funds. Decisive role here is played by the time horizon of big insiders. The shorter is it, the greater portion of finances is withdrawn from enterprise right until completely stopping any investments (Dzarasov and Novojenov, 2005, pp. 342-347). Expenditures on infrastructure of control also represent a powerful limitation of accumulation of the corresponding funds. The more acute intra-firm conflicts are, the more funds should be directed to strengthening mechanisms of suppression of the social groups challenging big insiders. It is a direct deduction of finances from investment fund. Insider rent withdrawal undermines the demand for investment funds as well. The shorter the time horizon of the dominant group, the a) R b) R, r c) R, i, r SF’ SF R0 DI’ DIR 0 FIR DF DI ∆FIR/p ∆FI/p FI FF FI’ ∆F/p Fig. 4. Supply of and demand for funds on the part of a medium-term oriented big insider and of the Eichnerian Megacorp Source: Dzarasov, 2011, p. 209. The vertical axis measures the implicit interest rate (R), the external interest rate (i), and the expected rate of return of investment projects (r). The horizontal axis at the fig. (a) and (b) measures insider rent (∆FIR/p) and investment funds (∆FI/p), while at fig. (c) – the total value of funds (∆F/p). The fig. (a) depicts the demand for insider rent of a medium15 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations term oriented big insider (DIR); while the fig. (b) – his demand for investment funds (DI); and the fig. (c) – the total value of the demand for funds (DF) and of the supply of funds (SF) on the part of the Russian firm and of the Eichnerian Megacorp. the smaller are the standards of the pay-back periods of investment projects, and stronger limitations of their costs and expected returns (Dzarasov and Novojenov, 2005, pp. 348-67). It means that a significant part of potentially profitable for the company investment projects is rejected. This happens because these projects can yield the expected profits only beyond the time horizons of the incumbent big insiders. Undermining of both the supply of and the demand for investment funds functions means, that their intersection, determining the size and nature of accumulation of capital, happens at the level much lower than potentially feasible. Apart from that, the quality of investments undertaken also declines in result of a choice being made in favour of cheaper and more short-term projects. Let us consider Fig. 4 above. It reflects the fact that other conditions being equal investments of Russian corporation are much lower than investments of the Eichnerian Megacorp. Hence, long-term growth of a company is traded-off for the short-term rent of big insiders. 5. Insider Rent and Conditions of Growth The role of appropriating of the surplus value as the main economic relationship of capitalism can be seen, in particular, in the fact that economic growth of this society is directed by profit. Its distribution between industries is explained by Marxian theory of transformation of labour costs into prices of production. Crucial to this process is transformation of surplus value into profit. One of the main arguments against Marxism is the difference between labour value of commodities and their prices of production. Meanwhile this provides one of the major insights into the mechanism by which capitalism operates. As it is known the difference appears because the surplus value is produced according to labour, but distributed according to capital. Surplus value is greater in industries, having lower organic composition of capital (capital/labour ratio), but profit is greater in industries with higher organic composition of capital. In order to preserve the assumption of the uniform rate of profit in all industries (which is the result of competition and interindustrial capital flows) part of the value created in the former sector of economy should be transferred to the latter. This function is performed by the prices of production. The latter depend on two key factors: technologies (organic composition of capital) and social relations (distribution of value between capital and labour and between the different capitalist groups). 16 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations The same mechanism operates in the corporate economy with corresponding modifications reflecting more concrete stage of analysis. Eichner (1991, pp. 338-359) suggested the value condition of growth which is a set of prices covering both current costs of production and costs of expansion of economy (investment) at the level of full employment. These prices are determined by technological conditions reflected in Leontief’s matrix of technical coefficients and by distribution of the national income between wages and profits. In a corporate economy the distribution of profits between industries depends on distribution of mark-ups on unit costs (Eichner, op. cit., ch. 6). It is easy to see that Eichnerian value condition of growth is essentially the Marxian prices of production adjusted to the conditions of a corporate economy. To apply Echner’s model to the modern Russian economy one should introduce the concept of insider rent in it. We have seen above that the latter became an important, sometimes the major part of the mark-up on costs of the Russian corporations (Fig. 4). Now we should take into account the differences in the amount of rent appropriated by big insiders in the different industries of Russian economy. One of important factors of this difference is connected with technological structure of the Russian economy. In Soviet times the major part of high quality resources – equipment, labour and raw materials – was concentrated in military production (Yaremenko 1997). For this reason the civil industries had to rely on using low quality resources. Growth in this sector depended on increasing deliveries of unskilled labour, mineral resources and unsophisticated equipment. Given the labour-intensive technologies of the civil industries, these factors of production could secure growth only if they were provided at relatively cheap prices. Certain industries in the Soviet economy – energy production, civil engineering, transport and some others – played an important role in delivering resources for civil manufacturing on favourable conditions (ibid.). The costs of production in these industries were lower than on average in the world because of cheap labour, availability of easily extractable mineral resources and economies of scale effects (Andrianov 1999). These industries can be referred to as the ‘maintenance’ industries (Yaremenko). The first two sources of growth based on labour-intensive technologies were largely exhausted by the beginning of the 1980s (Yaremenko, 1997). The second major factor which determines the relative distribution of insider rent between industries has institutional nature. The infrastructure of big insiders’ control over their firms (see above) strengthens market power of the Russian enterprises as well. Indeed, its external elements secure for the firms favourable legislation, taxation, restraints on rivals entering markets and so on; while the internal elements of infrastructure help to control employees. Another important factor enhancing the market power of Russian firms is unique to those in the export-oriented industries. Since currently there is no foreign competition in their domestic market, firms belonging to 17 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations this sector are able to increase their foreign deliveries thus limiting domestic supply of their products and putting upward pressure on domestic prices (Uzyakov 2000, pp. 103-104). Data show that Russian industries can be divided into two unequal groups: with prices growing relatively quicker or slower than the average (Rosstat, 2011a, p. 695). The first embraces: the fuel-energy complex, ferrous and non-ferrous metallurgy, foodstuff production and transport, the second includes all the others. The first group of industries belongs to those which fulfilled maintenance functions under the planning system. Due to the advantages mentioned above they enjoy relatively lower costs than their competitors in the world market. Using their cost advantages, the fuel producing complex, ferrous and non-ferrous metallurgy, part of transportation, some chemical enterprises and some other companies started benefiting from exporting their products. Since their prices in the domestic market did not reach the world level, big insiders of these enterprises obtained an additional advantage. For instance on average in 2003-2008 prices of energy resources and of transportation tariffs in Russia grew annually 7-8% quicker than prices of manufacturing and agriculture (Rosstat 2009b, pp. 461, 477, 478, 481). The situation in engineering is particularly revealing, since it determines the technological level of the whole national economy and its competitiveness at the world market. Without any significant changes in the technological structure of the Russian economy, price increases in the maintenance sector have led to costs increasing in manufacturing: “In the majority of industries of Russian manufacturing in the mid 1990s the unit costs of production were higher than: in Japan by 2.8 times, in USA by 2.7 times, in France, Germany and Italy by 2.3 times, in UK by 2 times. In comparison with the advanced countries, manufacturing in Russia is more material and labour intensive” (Andrianov 1999, p. 273). This evidence can be interpreted as suggesting that relative differences in the rate of change of prices are a major determinant of differences in industrial profits. Data show that fuel-energy production, ferrous and non-ferrous metallurgy are the most profitable sectors.10 As identified above, these sectors enjoyed favourable changes in their relative prices. It should be noted that before liberalization the differences in profitability among these industries were not very large. For instance in 1992 in the industrial, agriculture and construction sectors the rate of profit was 38.3, 37.5 and 20% respectively (Goskomstat 2001, p. 551). Many enterprises encountered conditions where their new level of costs exceeded the selling prices of their products leading 10 Rosstat (2004, pp. 336-338). Until the mid-2000s profitability is given by industries, while from that time – by the kinds of economic activities, which makes the data incomparable directly. Still the same tendency can be observed today (see further). For instance, in 2010 the profitability of assets in manufacturing machinery and equipment was only 2.8%, while in mining and quarrying of energy producing materials amounted to 14.1% (Rosstat, 2011b, pp. 450-1). 18 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations overall to losses. In 1998, 53.2% of enterprises made losses. In that period the share of enterprises suffering losses amounted to 47.2% in engineering, 61% in the light industry and 84% in agriculture (Rosstat 2004, p. 333). With the beginning of the economic recovery the situation improved: in 2003-2008 the share of enterprises making losses in Russian economy declined from 43% to 25.2% (Rosstat 2009b, p. 396). Still it is a very high figure. In 2010 profitability of assets in mining and quarrying of energy producing materials amounted to 14.1%, which is more than twice higher than the average 6.8% for the whole national economy, while in manufacturing machinery and equipment was only 2.8% and in agriculture, hunting and forestry – 3.4% (Rosstat, 2011b, pp. 449-51). Thus the price disparity in Russian economy means overt violation both of the value and technological (technological structure) conditions of growth. The pivotal role in formation of the current Russian price structure belongs to the relative power of big insiders’ groups dominating over the different sectors of the Russian economy. This relative power determined the different size of mark-ups on costs and the different types of insider rent (see above) extracted in the different industries. The former maintenance (the current exporting) sector of economy enjoys the privileged position in price disparity. Due to this its big insiders appropriate not only the surplus value created by “their” workers, but also a part of unpaid labour of the rest of the economy (mainly manufacturing and agriculture). One may conclude that the dominant groups of the privileged, exporting sector appropriate both the absolute and the relative (or differential) insider rent, while their other counterparts are compelled to “limit” themselves with only the former. Thus, the notion of insider rent as a concrete form of surplus value enables us to understand the mechanism of lopsided economic growth in modern Russia. 6. The War of Big Insiders: a Case-Study All the elements of our modified Eichnerian model can be seen at the example of Volgograd JSC “Chimprom”.11 It reflects a particularly acute struggle for an enterprise focused on establishing informal control over the top-managerial position. This strife as effectively prevented any possibility of separation of ownership from control at the JSC. The chemical industry only became the subject of conflict between Russian big insiders in recent years. According to Lemeshko (2006), this was due to the previously low profitability in this sector. Indeed on average fixed capital stock has depreciated by 58.8% and more than 60% of its output is This case-study gives a concise exposition of a chapter from an unpublished manuscript: Dzarasov R., Novojenov D., 2012, Empiritcheski Analyz Nakopleniya Kapitala v Sovremennoi Rossii (Empirical Analysis of the Capital Formation in Modern Russia). 11 19 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations uncompetitive in the world market (ibid.). Between 2002-2006 events in the world market became favourable for Russian chemical enterprises due to higher prices of energy in comparison with Russia, and price increase on some chemical materials produced by Russian firms as a result of demand shifting from Western European producers (Krjuchkova, 2005). One of the major consequences of this new situation facing the industry was an intensification of the struggle for control over the enterprises on the part of competing groups of big insiders (Seregin, 2005). The struggle for control over Chimprom is summarised in Fig. 5. Big insiders. The major peculiarity of the Chimprom ownership structure was that 51% of its shares were in state ownership (represented by Mingosymuschestvo12), while the rest of shares were traded in the open market (Andronova, 2005; Anisimov, 2006; Bitsev, 2004). As we show below, rival groups of big insiders struggled to obtain a blocking holding and control over the top-managerial positions. Functionaries from Mingosimuschestvo successfully played on the conflicts between the big insiders. From the Soviet times until April 2003 the general executive of VJSC “Chimprom” was Leonid Kutyanin. According to Snigirev (2004) the functionaries from Mingosymushestvo were eager to get rid of him, but this was difficult because Kutyanin was backed by an influential Moscow businessman Valery Khaykin. The latter was the president of the insurance company “Jiva” and a counsellor to the Ministry of Industry and Science (Minpromnauka) where he had widespread connections with important functionaries. His business methods are based on hostile takeovers of enterprises followed by asset-stripping (ibid.). The cases described by Snigirev (ibid.) are typical examples of rent extraction by very short-term oriented dominant groups. The same functionaries from Minpromnauka who helped Khaykin in his takeovers, were the state representatives on Chimprom’s Board of Directors. Every time the question to remove Kutyanin from his position was raised these state representatives prevented this from happening (ibid.). At the beginning of 2000s Khaykin declared his aim to create a state pharmaceutical holding under the aegis of Minpromnauka (Lemeshko, 2003). Apart from other big chemical enterprises the holding was to include Chimprom. In 2002 Khaykin managed to buy 5.09% of the total amount of shares belonging to the company’s trade union (Snigirev, 2004). He paid only 25 roubles for a share (less than one dollar at that time), while its market value was 800 roubles (nearly 30 dollars) (ibid.). The new owner of the shareholding was “Biopharmthechnologia” Ltd., controlled by Khaykin (Svyatoslavskaya, 2004). The Khaykin-Kutyanin group tried not to lose their chances to enrich themselves, as later prosecution of Kutyanin indicated (Vershinina and Samoilenko, 2004). Abuses of power were revealed in various forms, 12 Ministry of State Property 20 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations Years 20012002 Insiders State officials V. Khaykin State officials 2003 O. Savchenko Organizations and their shareholdings Mingosymuschestvo 51% The enterprise’ top-managers L. Kutyanin Biopharmtechnologiya Ltd. 10% Mingosymuschestvo 51% Deerfield Universal Inc., Maitland Ventures LLC и Forena Ltd. E. Kisyl 34 % Мингосимущество 51% Biopharmtechnologiya V. Khaykin State officials 2004 O. Savchenko O. Savchenko Ltd. 5% Mingosymuschestvo 51% Biopharmtechnologiya Ltd. A. Kozlov 5% Deerfield Universal Inc., Maitland Ventures LLC и Forena Ltd. 34 % End of D. Mazepin 20042005 Мингосимущество 51% Linton Capital Ltd. и Rafford Investment Ltd. D. Osypov 34 % N. Levitsky State officials Мингосимущество 51% Mingosymuschestvo S. Losev 51% F. Dzapshba Ch. Botsiyev Fig. 5. Struggle of Big Insiders for Control of Volgograd JSC Chimprom Source: Drawn from the publications referred to in this section 21 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations including theft of finances provided from the federal budget for conversion from military to civilian production at Chimprom (ibid.). In the course of the interregnum following the removal of Kutyanin, a rival group of big insiders joined the struggle. In 2001 a new group of companies started buying Chimprom shares. They were under the control of Oleg Savchenko, owner of the JSC “Evropeyskaya Podshipnikovaya Corporatsiya” (European Ball-Bearing Corporation) and a member of the State Duma of RF (Bitsev, 2004). It was reported in the mass media that he became a big businessman after being at the head of “Chukotka Economy Foundation” in 1990s, from which he had withdrawn $35 mil. (ibid.).The structures controlled by this businessman then took over a few ball-bearing enterprises, whose fixed assets were immediately stripped and parts of their land holdings sold (ibid.). In 2003 Savchenko declared that he intended to create a chemical holding (Kolesnikov, 2003). That year he became an owner of 30% of Chimprom’s shares (Svyatoslavskaya, 2004). In the spring of the same year as a result of court action, the sale of the trade union’s shares to Khaykin was abrogated, and businesses controlled by Savchenko obtained this holding for 10 mil. roubles (about $ 342 thousand at the time) (ibid.). The new big insider appointed to the position of the Chimprom commercial director was Alexander Mitrofanov, to represent Savchenko’s interests (Bitsev, 2004). The latter was under legal prosecution for illegally bankrupting another chemical enterprise, where previously he was a financial director (ibid.). One can infer from this information that Savchenko and Mitrofanov are experienced big insiders, specialising in hostile takeovers with a tendency to strip the assets of their controlled enterprises. Their activities at Chimprom support this conclusion. As is mentioned in the press, “As a first step the new shareholders established their control over the current management of the enterprise” (Bitsev, 2004, translated by me – R.Dzarasov). Kutyanin was temporarily left in his position of general executive, but the real control shifted to the commercial director Mitrofanov (ibid.). Also in 2003, after entrenching his positions at the enterprise, Savchenko started his struggle against Kutyanin (Lemeshko, 2003). Auditing revealed significant abuses of power by the executives (see below) and Kutyanin was displaced with his functions transferred to Evgeny Kysil associated with Savchenko (Kolesnikov, 2003). Meanwhile Khaykin was backed in his struggle against Savshenko’s grouping by external powerful forces. They were formed by all those whose incomes were jeopardized by the impending change in ownership: functionaries, who had previously benefited from bribes, bankers involved in investing “conversion” money, intermediaries helping to transfer finances, ‘roofs’ covering the participants (see 3.2), and even the governor of Volgogradskaya Oblast (Volgograd Region) Maksyuta (Vershinia and Samoylenko, 2004). The most important support was provided by governmental functionaries at the highest level. Under Prime-Minister 22 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations Kasyanov this role was played by: the deputy head of the federal government machinery (apparatus) Kopeykin; the former first deputy of the minister of Minpromnauka Svinarenko; the head of the department of the financial markets and property relations of the federal government machinery Milovidov (ibid.); head of the department of industrial and innovation policy in chemical industry of Minpromnauka Ivanov (Snigirev, 2004). These powerful functionaries recommended that Prime-Minister Kasyanov replace the Chimprom general director (Vershinia and Samoylenko, 2004). Their candidate was Aleksey Kozlov who had never worked in the industry and had no experience of production management at all, but represented the interests of Khaykin’s group (ibid.). To weaken their rivals, Khaykin group initiated a criminal prosecution of the former executives and Kysil was sued for inflicting damage on Chimprom amounting to 600 mil. roubles (about $ 20.1 mil. in the end of 2003), and was eventually sentenced to three years of imprisonment suspended (Osyka, 2005). This was a serious blow for Savchenko, but further events have shown that he also had powerful allies in state structures (Bitsev, 2004). The appointment of Kozlov was opposed by: the Deputy Minister of Property Relations, Gusev; adviser to the same minister and the Chairman of the Chimprom’s Board of Directors Borodin; the former first deputy of the same minister Medvedev (ibid.). Despite their high position in the governmental hierarchy they failed to protect Savchenko, and in March 2004 Kozlov became the general executive of Chimprom (Snigirev, 2004). The new head of the enterprise immediately instigated court actions against the offshore companies, representing Savchenko among the shareholders (Savyatoslavskaya, 2004) and their shares were suspended (Lemeshko, 2003). The struggle of the Khaykin and Savchenko groups for control over Chimprom demonstrates the importance of an external infrastructure of control which plays a crucial role in securing control over the enterprises in Russia. The nature of these institutions reflects their informal character. Meanwhile the triumph of the Khaykin group was only short-lived. In November 2004 the disputed shares of Savchenko were bought by another pair of offshore companies: Linton Capital Limited and Rafford Investment Limited, controlled by a famous businessman and a former state functionary, Dmytri Mazepin (Kommersant, 2005). In the 1990s the latter occupied a number of top-managerial positions in big companies and successively was: an advisor, a deputy, and the first deputy of the Chairman of the Russian foundation of the federal property (Andronova, 2005). In 2004 being a director of “Construction Bureau” Ltd., he announced his plan to create a holding in the chemical industry and started buying big shareholdings in the enterprises in this sector (Gileva, 2005). Chimprom was interesting for Mazepin because it was a supplier to the enterprises already bought by him (Seregin, 2005). Kozlov in the same November 2004 retired from his position of Chimprop General Director and became a member of the Board of Directors 23 Dzarasov R. Eichnerian theory of the business enterprise in the case of Russian corporations in one of Mazepin’s other companies (Regnum, 2005), which meant that he left Khaykin for a more promising employer. In any case Khaykin was crowded out of Chimprom. Despite this achievement, imposing his own control over the enterprise proved to be a much more difficult task for Mazepin. He was promoting both candidates suggested for this position of General Director, Osipov and Dzapshba, and the first was appointed only temporarily (Kommertcheskaya Nedvijimost, 2006). The reason was that Mazepin’s control over Chimprom was challenged by new strong rivals. These rivals were led by a young, but ambitious businessman, Nikolay Levitsky. His rapid rise in Russian big business was connected with classical hostile takeovers in the 1990s with wide usage of law enforcing agencies in organizing pressure on shareholders reluctant to give up their property rights (Komrakov and Stolyarov, 2005; Efimova, 2005). In 2004 Levitsky established a chemical company Synntech Group together with a famous Russian oligarch, Victor Vekselberg. The latter belongs to the list of the ten richest people in Russia, and has business interests in oil, non-ferrous metallurgy, banking and some other industries (NEWSru.com, 2004). The two partners started creating their own group of chemical companies using the same method of pressurising shareholders and managers (Efimova, 2005). The interests of Mazepin and the Levitsky-Vekselberg groups clashed in a number of chemical enterprises (Malkova, 2005; Anisimov, 2006; Komrakov and Stolyarov, 2005; Efimova, 2005) as is shown at Fig. 6.9 below. This struggle with powerful rivals complicated Mazepin’s obtaining control over Chimprom. In June 2005 his protégé Osipov was forced to retire and a new figure was appointed as a temporary General Director – Losev (Vestnik Chimproma, 2005). He is considered as representing the interests of the Levitsky-Vekselberg group (Osyka, 2005). The complicated situation at Chimprom exemplifies modern Russian business. The Mazepin group possesses a blocking shareholding, while Letitsky-Vekselberg has seized control over the management. This means that neither of the two groups is entrenched at the enterprise. All these rival groups of big insiders managed to establish control over Chimprom only for a brief period of time. This inevitably led to a short-term orientation and induced them to withdraw as much finance as they could. Rent withdrawal by big insiders. Although the methods and size of rent withdrawals are disguised by big insiders, some information about it came into the public domain due to revelations instigated by rivals. It appears that the Khaykin-Kutyanin group specialised in theft of state finances provided for conducting conversion from military to civilian production (Vershinia and Samoylenko, 2004). Of two to five million dollars provided for this aim annually in 1999-2002, not more than 50% was spent on conversion. Their claimed expenditures on these aims were greater than the real costs of these works by 4 times and theft amounted to millions of dollars (ibid.). Auditors in 24 Mazepin Vekselberg Blavatnik 75% 25% “Renova” Group JSC “KCHKHK” JSC “Tollyattiazot” №1 Levitsky 60% JSC “Galogen” 34% №2 49% 50,8% “Construction Bureau” Ltd. 10% Synntech Group JSC “Chimprom” 100% JSC “Minudobrenya” JSC “Azot” JSC “NZSP” Fig. 6. Struggle of Mazepin and Levitsky-Vekselberg Groups of Big Insiders for Control of the Chemical Industry Source: Drawn basing on publications referred to in this section. JSC “KCHKHK” – JSC “Kirovo-Chepetsky Chimitchesky Combinat after B. Konstantinov” JSC “NZSP” – JSC “Novocherkassky Zavod Syntetitcheskykh Productov” The figure is based on the following sources: Malkova, 2005; Anisimov, 2006; Komrakov and Stolyarov, 2005; Efimova, 2005. Percents above the arrows show the share holdings of the two rival groups in the corresponding companies. 25 2002 found that obviously ruinous bond schemes were financed, prices manipulated and the profitability of the enterprise that year dropped from 16.48% to 0.52% (Kolesnikov, 2003). The Savchenko-Kisyl group was no better. It appropriated part of the finances provided for some target programmes, for instance, a part of $ 63 mil. issued by the US government for eliminating the chemical weapons stored at Chimprom (Bitsev, 2004). In 2003 the strategic stock of coke disappeared (about $ 369 thousand); 30 mil. roubles (about $ 1 mil.) of the Russian government, provided for eliminating the chemical weapons, were withdrawn; the building of the enterprise’s central office was sold for 6 mil. roubles without authority (about $ 201 thousand) and so on (Trofimov, 2004). According to the new General Director Kozlov (2004), the enterprise was prepared for a feigned bankruptcy, stopping paying taxes and wages. The major channel for extracting rent from Chimprom by the Savchenko-Kisyl group was “Chimpromtrading” Ltd. (ibid.). Ostensibly this trading company was established to sell Chimprom products for a very modest remuneration (ibid.). However the real role of this firm was very different (Trofimov, 2004). Both functions of purchases and sales were passed to Chimprontrading. Manipulations with prices ensued. Says the new General Director: “Prices were significantly either overvalued or undervalued in favour of the trading house” (Kozlov, 2004, translated by me – R.Dzarasov). According to Kozlov (2004) as a result by March 2004 the recurring finance of the enterprise were reduced to 20% of their norm. This means that the Savchenko group was preparing Chimprom for bankruptcy in order to buy it for a negligible price later (ibid.). Under General Director Losev the situation has not changed radically. The enterprise’s products were still sold to intermediaries at undervalued prices (Osyka, 2005). As a result of six months of his tenure, Losev reduced Chimprom to a nearly bankrupt state. According to the member of State Duma Gubkin this was “premeditated decrease of the assets value prior to privatization (of the state shareholding) in the interests of the particular individuals desiring to obtain Chimprom at a cheap price” (ibid., translated by me – R.Dzarasov). By ‘particular individuals’ he meant the LevitskyVekselberg group (ibid.). How extraction of rent by big insiders affected Chimprom’s financial flows can be seen from the following table 1 below. The data show a persistent decline of return and profit of the enterprise in the last 5 years. In this period the chemicals producing industry experienced recovery along with the economy as a whole. Meanwhile, net profit turned into losses at Chimprom over this period. Due to this profitability of the own capital declined from 12.9% in 2001 to -8.2% in 2004, and both profitability of fixed assets and sales became negative; in 2003 Chimprom’s losses per one share amounted to $ 8.7, and in 2004 - $ 6.0 (Chimprom, 2005, pp. 22-23). At the same time, it should be noted that in 2004 return on sales had grown by 26 Lumpen-Bourgeoisie and Capitalism in Russia Table 1. Profits and Losses of Chimprom Variable 2000 Gross Revenue, 2 302 776 thousands of roubles Gross Profit, thousands of 555 421 roubles Net Profit after taxes (residual profit, loss), thousands of roubles 74 057 1 q. of 2005 2001 2002 2003 2004 2 760 515 2 781 522 2 636 495 3 158 967 859 173 721 840 416 637 342 010 516 885 82 652 153 990 4 554 -178 107 -115 662 -25 352 Source: Chimprom, 2005, pp. 22-23. 19.8% compared with the previous year, and production price at the same period increased by 18.3% (ibid.). Hence, even the increase in the company’s income was more than offset by extractions and tax payments. Small insiders. A number of intra-firm conflicts ensued leading to opportunistic behaviour of managers and employees, who created a unique four-level system of theft at “Chimprom”. The lowest level of theft was organised by rank and file workers trying to compensate for their low wages by carrying away from enterprise tools, construction materials and products, which had a market value. The second level was created by the foremen and heads of shops. Using the gaps in the accounting system, they overvalued expenditure on materials in the production process, appropriating the excessive materials. Later they produced additional products from these materials, using the enterprise’s own workforce and equipment, and sold them. The next level of theft appeared when opportunists from the production departments established connections with their colleagues in the central office especially from its purchasing department. The latter ordered raw materials which were allegedly used in production in the shops of their partners. In reality no materials were bought, the money was shared among the group of small insiders, and fictitiously included in costs of production. The next level was created by medium insiders from the company’s central office. They established their own firms, providing raw materials to or/and purchasing products of Chimprom. Their method of extracting rent, through manipulating prices, was essentially the same as applied by big insiders, the difference was only in the size of these activities. 27 Lumpen-Bourgeoisie and Capitalism in Russia Fixed capital stock and investments. The main indicator of the time horizon and investment strategy of the big insiders, who have dominated Chimprom, is the condition of its productive capacity. Chimprom’s accounts (Chimprom, 2005, p. 21) show that the level of wear and tear of the company’s fixed assets is very high – they lost more than 60% of its original value. Note that machinery, tools and equipment are very heavily worn out, down by more than 70% of their original value. These figures do not show the full picture, since old fixed assets are generally undervalued in Russia, while new assets are valued at current prices. As a result the value of fixed assets is artificially lowered, which helps to reduce property taxes. Probably, this undervaluation of assets is the reason why at the meeting of the Chimprom Board of Directors it was announced that the wear and tear of fixed assets in whole in 2005 amounted to 80% (Sokolova, 2005). This figure itself indicates short-termism and a deeply flawed investment strategy. Says the shop head Knyazev: “At our enterprise the major productive equipment is overwhelmingly obsolete. Due to various reasons it often breaks down. Meanwhile almost no funds were provided in recent years to purchase any new equipment. The approach to the provision of raw materials was similar – they were purchasing what was cheapest” (Maximova, 2004, translated by me – R.Dzarasov). Conclusions. The struggle for informal control over Chimprom was focused on its top-management positions, which suggest that it precluded the separation of ownership and control. In this case the informal control of big insiders was particularly unstable. This led to a short-term time horizon and intensive rent extraction from the company’s financial flows. Withdrawal of funds by big insiders, under relatively weak internal infrastructure of control, induced a four-tier system of rent extraction by small insiders, thus, demonstrating an increase in intra-firm conflicts. This short-term time orientation and a large scale rent extraction caused a deficient investment strategy. Chimprom’s big insiders chose in favour of cheap investment projects of inferior quality with relatively short pay-back periods. 7. Russian Capitalism as a Social System The extraction of insider rent determines how national income is distributed in our society, which is marked by rapidly growing social inequality (see below). The results of this situation include a reduction in the volume of the domestic market, since in modern society the basis for this market is provided by demand exercised by hired workers. This means that if Russian capitalism were to shift from maximising insider rent to maximising entrepreneurial income, the demand for good-quality labour power would induce capitalists to raise wages, and the volume of the internal market would increase. To this, one might object that during the decade from the year 2000 an influx of petrodollars into Russia brought increased incomes to the whole 28 Lumpen-Bourgeoisie and Capitalism in Russia of the country’s population. Official figures, however, show that the share of overall money income received by 80 per cent (!) of the Russian population steadily declined between 2002 and 2009. Only for the richest one-fifth did it increase (Rosstat, 2008, p. 132; Rosstat, 2010b, p. 131). Consequently, the average figures for living standards mask growing social inequality. Research confirms this conclusion. In the fourth quarter of 2010 the Russian government set the monthly subsistence minimum income at a Russia-wide figure of 5,902 rubles per head of population. For the employable population the figure was 6,367 rubles (US$210-215 – R.D.); for pensioners 4,683 rubles; and for children 5,709 rubles. As experts from the economic research centre RIA-Analitika noted, “Two wages are barely enough to cover the essential four subsistence minimums. In thirty-six regions the sum per family does not exceed 10,000 rubles (US$330-350 – R.D.). This is despite the fact that the subsistence minimum in our country is a paltry amount that only by a great stretch of the imagination corresponds to the biological requirements for survival.”13 The sales volumes of Russian companies decline accordingly, as do their profits, limiting accumulation and undermining the incentive to invest. This means that if social inequality were less the internal market would be larger, and accordingly, profits would increase as well. As was discussed in section 5, insider rent has been the main factor shaping the price structures and determining the financial flows between sectors in the Russian economy. The strongest aggregations of capital have been those in the export-oriented energy and raw materials sector, and this has created a disparity of prices in their favour and to the disadvantage of manufacturing industry (Dzarasov and Novojenov, 2005, pp. 124-146). As a result of the orientation of large-scale Russian business to the extraction of short-term rent, companies have pursued harmful investment strategies (Dzarasov, 2011; 2007, ch. 6), and it is this which explains the woeful condition of the country’s basic capital stock. The systematic extraction of insider rent from enterprises, followed by its accumulation abroad, is bringing about a situation in which tax stimuli and monetary policy lose their effectiveness.14 In practice, the amounts saved due to lower taxes will be appropriated by the dominant groups in the form of rent, while production fails to grow. Meanwhile, the practice of systematically diverting part of the financial flows from enterprises leads to banks charging high premiums for risk, while sharply limiting the possibility of attracting credits, lessening the effect of the banking multiplier, and reducing the money supply. During the decade from 13 Cited in RIA-Analitika, 2011. The effects of the outflow of insider rent from Russian enterprises resemble in some ways the role of debt payments by Japanese companies. After the prices of shares and property in Japan collapsed in 1990, the capital holdings of enterprises contracted sharply, and their indebtedness increased relative to finances in the proper sense. Firms began to spend their receipts on debt repayments instead of investment, which led to prolonged stagnation of the national economy. Under the conditions of “balance sheet recession” the stimulatory effect of tax concessions and increases in the money supply declined dramatically. (Koo, 2008). 14 29 Lumpen-Bourgeoisie and Capitalism in Russia the year 2000, the high export incomes of a number of Russian companies brought a substantial inflow of financial resources to the country from the world market for loan capital. This led to a decline in the interest rates on banking capital used for commercial credits. The average interest on commercial loans of less than one year’s duration made out to non-financial organisations declined from 24.43% in 2000 to 10.03% in 2007. During these years the corresponding figures in Great Britain were 3.69-5.98%; in France less than 7%; in the US between 4 and 9%; and in Japan around 2% (Rosstat, 2010a, pp. 308-309). In February 2011 the interest charged on credits in Russia stood at 8.7% (Tsentral’nyy bank RF, 2011), while in March 2011 the prime rates charged by US banks amounted to only 3.25% (Bank of Canada, 2011). Hence in even the most propitious circumstances (beneath a shower of petrodollars), and amid conditions of crisis, bank interest rates in Russia have been markedly higher than in oil-importing Western countries. A case study of a Russian company financing its investment program through credits showed that the interest rates payable were formulated on the principle: LIBOR plus 4.4% (Dzarasov, 2007, p. 188). This surcharge also reflects a specific premium for risk, paid by Russian companies to the banks. In addition, the monetary policy pursued by the Russian authorities is aimed at maintaining an exchange rate favourable to oil exporters. Money is printed in response to the need to purchase the “excess” portion of the dollars, threatening to bring about a fall in the ruble rate and to devalue export earnings that are changed into the national currency.15 During the first decade of the new century, in the view of Sulakshin, a total of $2.0-2.6 trillion was taken out of financial circulation in the country (Sulakshin, 2007, pp. 79-80). The flight of foreign capital and the export of Russian capital increased dramatically in the last quarter of 2008. During the same period energy prices fell on world markets. While the supply of foreign currency declined, the demand for it rose substantially. As a result, a serious blow was dealt to the Russian economy. With the excess of hard currency supply over demand no longer present, monetary emission might have provided a source of financing for domestic demand and production, softening the consequences of the economic crisis. The government, however, did not take this step. Unwilling to buy additional hard currency, it refused to resort to emission, and tightened the money supply (Manevich, 2009, pp. 3-4). As a result, the crisis saw 15 Hence in 2007-2008 most of the active balance of the current operations account (that is, most of the income from foreign trade) was immobilised by the state in the stabilisation funds. The result was that the cost of exporting capital was financed mainly by importing capital to the country. It should be noted that in 2007 exports of capital (and imports of goods) came to a sum ($136.2 billion) that was substantially less than the supply of foreign currency as a whole ($217.4 billion). The remainder ($81.2 billion) was bought by the Central Bank to top up the foreign currency reserves. The situation in 2008 was the direct opposite. At $231.7 billion, exports of capital (and imports of goods) substantially exceeded the total supply of foreign currency ($118.0 billion). The difference was made up by selling part of the foreign currency reserves of the Central Bank ($113.7 billion). The sale and purchase of foreign currency by the Central Bank is thus a balancing item that allows the state to maintain a set rate for the ruble that is to the advantage mainly of exporters (Manevich, 2009, p. 1). 30 Lumpen-Bourgeoisie and Capitalism in Russia Russia’s GDP shrink by 7.9 per cent in 2009 (Rosstat, 2010c, p. 38), a figure higher than in many other countries. It was only in the final quarter of 2008 that the Central Bank of the Russian Federation threw unprecedentedly large resources into supporting the banking system, limiting the depth of the crisis. Early in 2009, however, the Central Bank returned to its earlier policy (Manevich, 2010, p. 22). Meanwhile, experts warned that paying off the credits that had been granted would delay an exit from the crisis.16 Another important factor was the tendency of monetary policy to raise bank interest rates, on top of the premium for risk. In the mid-1990s the rate of refunding of the Russian Central Bank had reached the absurd figure of more than 200 per cent. Subsequently, it declined to 10-13 per cent in the years from 2004 to 2007. In the same period, central bank interest rates in the West were far lower: in Germany 3-5 per cent, in the US 3.15-4.83 per cent, and in Canada 2.75-4.50 per cent (Rosstat, 2010a, pp. 308-309). During the crisis period the refinancing rate of the Russian Central Bank declined still further, to a level of 8 per cent in 2011 (Bankirsha.com, 2011). But this was much higher than, for instance, in the US, where the Federal Funds Rate was set at a level of 0.25 per cent.17 On the whole, experts regard the “financial targeting” policy of the Russian monetary authorities as a brake on economic growth (Var’yash, 2010). The policy of the Central Bank is thus dictated by the interests of the dominant big-business groups, first of all exporters, instead of by the need to ensure sufficient aggregate demand for the growth of the domestic market. It follows from the above, that in terms of their access to the world market, position in the domestic price structure and as the main beneficiaries of the Central Bank monetary policy, the most privileged elite of the Russian big business is the group of exporters of oil, natural gas and metals. It is only natural, that they have the greatest profitability of assets. Hence, big insiders of this privileged sector of Russian economy control the greater share of insider rent. This income was defined in section five as differentiated or relative insider rent. The very fact that it accrues to the dominant groups of exporting raw extracting industries to the detriment of manufacturing testifies that Russia shifts to the semi-peripheral position in the capitalist world-system. The unviability of Russian capitalism is especially clear from the fact that our country has emerged from beneath the flood of petrodollars that poured onto it throughout most of the decade after 2000 with its productive plant worn-out and obsolete, with its economic structure distorted in favour of the energy and resource sector, and with its population massively impoverished. 16 “In such a situation the Russian economy will encounter an extreme credit shortage, which will act as a brake on the economic upturn” (Aleksashenko, 2009, p. 20). This is reminiscent of the situation in which the Japanese companies found themselves (see earlier note). 17 Bankrate.com, 2011. The federal funds rate is the main instrument through which the US Federal Reserve System influences bank interest rates. 31 Lumpen-Bourgeoisie and Capitalism in Russia Transformed into a supplier of raw materials and an export market for the manufacturing industry of developed countries, Russia is becoming a typical country of the capitalist world periphery. Let us now examine Figure 2: The diagram shows in generalised form the impact made by the transition to peripheral (or semi-peripheral) capitalism on the social and economic development of Russia compared with other states. In terms of both Human Development Index18 rankings and rankings for per capita GDP, all of the former Soviet republics without exception lag behind the USSR.19 Under the present social system, this gap cannot be overcome. Fig. 7. Relationship between international rankings according to the Human Development Index and per capita GDP of the USSR (1987) and the former Soviet republics (2007). Rankings are placed in descending order (the first place is the best) Calculated on the basis of : Human Development Report 1990, New York and Oxford, Oxford University Press, 1990, p. 119; Human Development Report 2009, Basingstoke and New York, Palgrave Macmillan, 2009, pp. 171-173. 18 In the literature many shortcomings of the Human Development Index are noted. In particular, the HDI indicates nothing about the scale of poverty and its dynamic; it does not characterise the level of development of the country as a whole; it is a relative index that depends on the maxima and minima achieved globally; and so forth. As a result other statistical indices, which characterise the development of countries more fully, have been proposed. The HDI, however, has the advantage of being based on data that are relatively accessible in all countries, whether their statistical services are highly developed or not. (Krasil’shchikov, 2010). 19 In Soviet statistics GDP was understood as “net production”, that is, as the newly created value of material production without taking services into account. This is close to the modern index “production of the real sector”, which does not take account of a whole series of elements that are now highly significant, such as speculative operations. 32 Lumpen-Bourgeoisie and Capitalism in Russia As if imprinted in its genetic code, all the above features of today’s Russian economy – which is turning into a variant of peripheral capitalism – are revealed by the concept of insider rent, representing a specific form of surplus value. This allows us to present the modern Russian economy in Marxist fashion, not as a chaotic agglomeration of facts and tendencies, but as a consistent social and economic system with its own internal logic and unity. Equipped with an integral picture of the Russian economy, we are able to explain its special vulnerability to crises and shocks of the world scale. With its manufacturing industry collapsing, and with its domestic market sharply reduced, the Russian economy is critically dependent on world prices for energy sources. This is why the onset of the world economic crisis, which most Russians did not expect and which led to a fall in demand for oil, dealt us such painful blows. Another important way in which the crisis has affected our economy has been the flight from our so-called developing market of Russian and foreign speculative capital; this is something which takes effect at the slightest sign of an unfavourable world conjuncture. The reasons why the world crisis has brought about a greater decline in our economy than in the developed countries can thus be traced to the institutional nature of Russian business, reflecting the place occupied by our country in the capitalist world system. Х Х Х Summing up, one may say that the fusion of ownership and control at the Russian companies in the form of informal control of big insiders over assets is an institutional feature of the Russian big business. Essentially, infrastructure of control means reliance of the Russian capitalists on violence as the very foundation of their power over enterprises, and, first of all, over the hired labor. Genetically this institutional nature of private property in Russia succeeds to the arbitrary power of the Soviet bureaucracy, entrenched by privatization under the influence of global capitalism. Heavily relying on violence and never severing itself from the state the modern Russian proprietor class is only another version of Frank’s “lumpen-bourgeoisie”. This is reflected in the notion of insider rent, which is only loosely related to the excess of revenues over costs, and which reflects semi-feudal nature of the modern Russian capitalism. Treating insider rent as a concrete form of Marxian surplus value enables one to present the modern Russian capitalism as a holistic social system without artificial split on micro- and macrospheres. To be sure, insider rent underlies accumulation of capital by Russian corporations and this determines the main features of the country’s economic growth. 33 Lumpen-Bourgeoisie and Capitalism in Russia As this paper attempted to demonstrate, the illusion of economic growth is created in Russia only due to proceeds from high oil prices at the world market. To achieve a genuine development Russia should move beyond insider rent capitalism. Given the semi-feudal nature of the latter, it seems that Russia again faces the need of a “bourgeois-democratic Revolution” just as hundred years ago. And just as then, Russian capitalist class is too reactionary and too dependent on the state (and on the West, to that matter) to lead such a movement. This means that once again bourgeois-democratic changes without bourgeoisie are thinkable only if accompanied by certain socialist changes. Eichnerian type indicative planning based on joint determination of wages, prices and investments and reconsidered in the perspective of the Soviet experience seems a sound alternative to insider rent capitalism. 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